This paper studies commodity price cycles and their underlying drivers using a dynamic factor model. The study employs a sample of 39 monthly commodity prices over 1970:01 to 2019:12. The analysis identifies global and group–specific cycles in commodity markets and includes them in a structural vector autoregressive model together with measures of global economic activity and global inflation, to disentangle their response to global demand, global...
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INFORMACIÓN
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2023/04/11
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Documento de trabajo sobre investigaciones relativas a políticas
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WPS10401
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1
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2023/04/11
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Disclosed
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Commodity Price Cycles : Commonalities, Heterogeneities, and Drivers