This paper presents a framework for quantifying income and welfare forecasts, conditional on plausible macroeconomic development trajectories. We use this framework to identify correlates and drivers of poverty in Peru, and to describe the distribution and severity of two likely climate shocks: moderate increases in food prices, and decreases in agricultural earnings. At the upper limit, our model anticipates a 1 percentage point increase in extreme...
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INFORMACIÓN
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2022/09/29
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Country Climate and Development Report
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178347
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1
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2022/12/06
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Disclosed
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Peru - Country Climate and Development Report : Background Note on Microsimulations