Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) AFRICA | Kenya | Poverty and Equity Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Program-for-Results | FY 2016 | Seq No: 1 | ARCHIVED on 11-Dec-2015 | ISR21889 | Implementing Agencies: Kenya National Bureau of Statistics, Ministry of Devolution and Planning Program Development Objectives Program Development Objective (from Program-for-Results Appraisal Document) To support the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics to generate better and more accessible data to inform policy-makers and contribute to strengthening its capacity. Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO  --  Highly Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP)  --  Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating  --  Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions The credit is not yet effective. Preparing the subsidiary agreement took more time than anticipated. The effectiveness deadline was extended by 45 days to February 14, 2016. The team does not anticipate further delays. Progress towards achieving the PDO and results is fully on-track and, in some cases, ahead of schedule. The formal process to verify the achievement of prior and FY16 results that will trigger disbursements upon effectiveness is underway and fully on-track. The team will undertake a supervision mission during February 2016. 12/11/2015 Public Disclosure Copy Page 1 of 11 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) 12/11/2015 Public Disclosure Copy Page 2 of 11 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) 12/11/2015 Public Disclosure Copy Page 3 of 11 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Data on Financial Performance 12/11/2015 Public Disclosure Copy Page 4 of 11 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed Disbursed Not P149718 IDA-57170 XDR 35.60 35.60 0.00 0.00 35.60 0% Effective Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date Not P149718 IDA-57170 10-Sep-2015 02-Oct-2015 -- 31-Dec-2020 -- Effective Disbursement Linked Indicators (DLI) PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 1: Implement an integrated program of economic surveys to fill National Accounts source data gaps (Text) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Progress on track to achieve National Accounts source DLR1.1 (Micro and small Value data incomplete and partly -- enterprises (MSE) survey outdated conducted, report produced and available on-line) by June 2016 Date 30-Jun-2014 -- 09-Dec-2015 Comments The 4 DLRs under DLI 1 are: (1.1) Micro and small enterprises (MSE) survey conducted, report produced and available on-line; (1.2) Establishment census conducted, report produced and available on-line; (1.3) Integrated Survey of Services (ISS) conducted, report produced and available on-line; and (1.4) 2018 Survey of Industrial Production (SIP) conducted, report produced and available on-line PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 2: Implement an integrated program of household surveys to fill key poverty, labor and socio-economic data gaps (Text) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) The first two DLRs (2.0 and 2.1) Labor force, poverty and other have been achieved as planned Value key socio-economic data -- and will be assessed as per the outdated verification protocol in January 2016 Date 30-Jun-2014 -- 09-Dec-2015 Comments The 5 DLRs under DLI 2 are: (2.0) Design the 2015/16 Kenya Integrated Household Budget Survey (KIHBS) instruments, conduct pilot, and start fieldwork by September 2015; (2.1) KIHBS 2015/16 fieldwork partly conducted and progress report produced and available on-line; (2.2) KIHBS 2015/16 poverty report and labor indicators reports produced and available on-line; 12/11/2015 Public Disclosure Copy Page 5 of 11 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) (2.3) Kenya Continuous Household Survey (KCHS) 2017 fieldwork conducted and quarterly labor indicators report produced and available on- line; and (2.4) KCHS 2018 fieldwork conducted and County poverty report produced and available on-line. PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 3: Produce better real and external sector economic data (Text) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) The first two DLRs (3.0 and 3.1) Insufficient capacity to meet have been achieved as planned SDDS criteria in all real and Value -- and will be assessed as per the external sector data verification protocol in January categories 2016 Date 30-Jun-2014 -- 09-Dec-2015 Comments The 5 DLRs under DLI 3 are: (3.0) Revised National Accounts with base year updated to 2009 produced and published; (3.1) Foreign Investment Survey (FIS) conducted and report produced and available on-line; (3.2) Business register upgraded and updated; (3.3) Rebased Consumer Price Index (CPI) series produced and available on-line; and (3.4) Rebased Producer Price Index (PPI) series produced and available on-line PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 4: Compile the IMF Data Quality Assessment Framework (DQAF) for five macro-economic datasets (Text) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Compilation of the first DQAF is DQAF not compiled for any of scheduled to commence in Value the seven macro-economic -- March 2016 with TA by the Bank datasets and IMF Date 30-Jun-2014 -- 09-Dec-2015 Comments The 5 DLRs under DLI 4 are: (4.1) DQAF compiled and published for 1 macro-economic dataset; (4.2) DQAF compiled and published for 2 macro-economic datasets; (4.3) DQAF compiled and published for 3 macro-economic datasets; (4.4) DQAF compiled and published for 4 macro-economic datasets; and (4.5) DQAF compiled and published for 5 macro-economic datasets. PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 5: Develop an Advance Release Calendar (ARC) and scale-up data coverage (Text) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) ARC not used and Economic Value Surveys not digitized and not -- -- freely available 12/11/2015 Public Disclosure Copy Page 6 of 11 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Date 30-Jun-2014 -- -- Comments The 6 DLRs under DLI 5 are: (5.0) All past Economic Survey Reports digitized and made freely available on-line; (5.1) An ARC covering up 2 data categories of the Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS) developed and published; (5.2) An ARC covering up 4 data categories of the SDDS developed and published; (5.3) An ARC covering up 6 data categories of the SDDS developed and published; (5.4) An ARC covering up 8 data categories of the SDDS developed and published; and (5.5) An ARC covering up 10 data categories of the SDDS developed and published. PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 6: Improve access to official survey microdata (Text) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Microdata files not available Value on-line and not freely -- -- obtainable Date 30-Jun-2014 -- -- Comments The 6 DLRs under DLI 6 are: (6.0) Kenya National Data Archive (KeNADA) with microdata from at least 30 surveys launched; (6.1) Revised microdata dissemination policy produced, adopted and published; (6.2) Micro and Small Enterprise (MSE) survey microdata available on-line; (6.3) KIHBS 2015/16 microdata available on-line; (6.4) KCHS 2017 microdata available on-line; and (6.5) KCHS 2018 microdata available on-line. PHDLIPDOTBL  DLI 7: Implement the Corruption Risk Assessment (CRA) action plan and strengthen financial and records management systems (Text) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) CRA conducted and endorsed Value action plan prepared by KNBS -- -- and fully implemented Date 30-Dec-2015 -- -- Comments The 3 DLRs under DLI 7 are: (7.0) CRA conducted and endorsed action plan prepared by KNBS and implementation completed; (7.1) A FMIS with multi-dimensional chart of accounts and capability to generate key reports designed and operationalized; and (7.2) An ISO 15489 certified RM system established. Results Results Area 12/11/2015 Public Disclosure Copy Page 7 of 11 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Intermediate Results Area Data gaps filled and capacity strengthened through the implementation of integrated survey programs Quality of key official statistical products and processes improved Dissemination practices strengthened and access to data improved Management systems strengthened Project Development Objective Indicators PHINDPDOTBL  Inform development strategies, policies and poverty reduction programs of the Government of Kenya (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Outdated poverty statistics and household survey data All three First intermediate target (2005/06) being used to intermediate Value -- to be achieved by June infrom poverty reduction targets 2018 targeting and resource achieved allocations Date 30-Jun-2014 -- -- 30-Jun-2020 PHINDPDOTBL  Produce regular poverty monitoring data and statistics (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Progress is on track and the first intermediate target (Kenya Integrated Household Budget Survey KIHBS 2015/16 partly conducted and progress report Poverty statistics are produced and available All five outdated (2005/06) and online) has been intermediate Value there is insufficient -- achieved. targets capacity to monitor poverty achieved at least once every 3 years The progress report is available for download from the KNBS website http://www.knbs.or.ke Date 30-Jun-2014 -- 09-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2020 PHINDPDOTBL  Produce better real and external sector economic data (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 12/11/2015 Public Disclosure Copy Page 8 of 11 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Progress is on track and the first intermediate target (Foreign Investment Survey (FIS) conducted and report Insufficient capacity to produced and available All five meet SDDS criteria in all on-line) has been intermediate Value -- real and external sector achieved. targets data categories achieved The 2015 FIS report is available for download from the KNBS website http://www.knbs.or.ke Date 30-Jun-2014 -- 09-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2020 PHINDPDOTBL  Improve access to official survey microdata (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Progress is on track to achieve the first intermediate target All five Microdata files not (Revised microdata intermediate Value available on-line and not -- dissemination policy targets freely obtainable produced, adopted and achieved published) before June 2016 Date 30-Jun-2014 -- 09-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2020 Overall Comments Progress against all PDO level indicators is fully on-track with 3 out of the 4 targets achieved ahead of time Intermediate Results Indicators PHINDIRITBL  Implement an integrated program of economic surveys to fill National Accounts source data gaps (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Progress towards the first intermediate target (Micro and small enterprises (MSE) survey conducted, report All four National Accounts source produced and available intermediate Value data incomplete and partly -- on-line) is on track. targets outdated achieved The MSE survey instruments have been designed and the fieldwork is scheduled to take place in February 12/11/2015 Public Disclosure Copy Page 9 of 11 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) 2016. Date 30-Jun-2015 -- 09-Dec-2015 28-Jun-2019 PHINDIRITBL  Improve Overall Statistical Capacity Score (SCI) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 54.00 -- 54.00 69.00 Date 30-Jun-2015 -- 09-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2020 PHINDIRITBL  Compile the IMF data Quality Assessment Framework (DQAF) for five macro-economic datasets (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Compilation of the first DQAF compiled DQAF not compiled for any DQAF is scheduled to and published Value of the seven macro- -- commence in March for 5 macro- economic datasets 2016 with TA by the economic Bank and IMF datasets Date 30-Jun-2015 -- 09-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2020 PHINDIRITBL  Proportion of Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS) requirements met or partially met (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 72.00 -- 72.00 100.00 Date 30-Jun-2015 -- 09-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2020 PHINDIRITBL  Develop an Advance Release Calendar (ARC) and scale-up data coverage (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Progress is ahead of Develop and schedule. The ARC was publish an ARC developed (and is covering 10 available on-line) and data categories Value ARC not used -- already covers 4 data of the Special categories of the SDDS. Data The intermediate target Dissemination set for June 2017 has Standard already been achieved. (SDDS) Date 30-Jun-2015 -- 09-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2020 12/11/2015 Public Disclosure Copy Page 10 of 11 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) PHINDIRITBL  Implement the Corruption Risk Assessment (CRA) action plan and strengthen financial and record management systems (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The CRA was conducted and the endorsed action plan has been assessed by the EACC for compliance in November 2015. The report of that assessment will be made available by the EACC in January 2016. CRA conducted and Both of the 2 endorsed action plan intermediate Value -- Work on the first prepared by KNBS and targets intermediate target fully implemented achieved (Design and operationalize a FMIS with multi-dimensional chart of accounts and capability to generate key reports) is underway. Progress will be reviewed during the upcoming supervision mission. Date 31-Dec-2015 -- 09-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2017 Overall Comments 12/11/2015 Public Disclosure Copy Page 11 of 11