The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia For the attention of: Dr. Bill Young Lead Water Resources Specialist Program Leader, South Asia Water Initiative The World Bank, The Hindustan Times House (Press Block) 18-20, Kasturba Gandhi Marg New Delhi - 110001 Email: wyoung@worldbank.org Company Information: Name RMSI Private Limited CIN U74899DL1992PTC047149 Registered Office Address Seating 3, Unit No. 119, First Floor, Vardhman Star Citi Mall, Sector-7, Dwarka New Delhi Delhi-110075 India Corporate Office Address A-8, Sector-16 Noida, 201 301 India Tel:+91 120 251 1102, 251 2101 Fax:+91 120 251 1109, 251 0963 E-mail: info@rmsi.com Contact: Dr. MVRL Murthy Vice – President Email - murthy.mvrl@rmsi.com RMSI Private Limited A-8, Sector 16 Noida 201301, India Tel: +91-120-251-1102, 2101 Fax: +91-120-251-1109, 0963 www.rmsi.com Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 2 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Acknowledgements The Final Report (Volume-I and Volume –II) is an output of the South Asia Water Initiative (SAWI); a partnership between the World Bank and the governments of United Kingdom, Australia and Norway. The program is designed to support countries improve and deepen transboundary dialog, enhance the basin and water resources knowledge base, strengthen water institutions, and support investments that lead to sustainable, fair and inclusive development of the Himalayan Rivers. RMSI is thankful to Dr. Bill Young, Lead Water Resources Specialist, World Bank, Washington DC for the continuous support provided throughout the project. We are thankful for the support and suggestions provided by Dr. Satya Priya, Senior Water Resources Specialist, World Bank, New Delhi. Important contributions were made by Dr. Anju Gaur, Senior Water Resources Specialist World Bank, New Delhi. The core team immensely benefitted from the advice of World Bank consultants Dr Raj Chabungbam, Dr Debashish Goswami and Ms Priyanka Chaturvedi. The work was led by Dr. MVRL Murthy, Vice President, RMSI Private Limited. The core team included Pratul Srivastava, Ankit Avasthi, Deshraj Singh, Sanwar Bajiya, Divyanshi Agarwal, and Sumit Dhand of RMSI Private Limited. We would also like to extend our sincere gratitude to various institutions like Central Water Commission, India; Dartmouth Flood Observatory; Department of Hydrology and Meteorology, Nepal; India Meteorological Department; and Water Resource Information System of India (WRIS) whose various public source datasets, publications, and other information have been extensively used and referred in the report at various stages of the project. The team gratefully acknowledges support from the World Bank and SAWI and sincerely thanks all individuals and institutions met during the development of this work. Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 3 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Table of Contents Acknowledgements .............................................................................................................................................................................................. 3 Table of Contents................................................................................................................................................................................................. 4 Foreword.............................................................................................................................................................................................................. 6 1 Basin Level Risk Atlas................................................................................................................................................................................... 7 1.1 Affected Population: ............................................................................................................................................................................... 7 1.2 Economic Losses: ................................................................................................................................................................................ 14 1.2.1 Buildings – Residential:................................................................................................................................................................. 21 1.2.2 Buildings – Commercial: ............................................................................................................................................................... 28 1.2.3 Buildings – Industrial: .................................................................................................................................................................... 35 1.2.4 Buildings – Educational Institutions: .............................................................................................................................................. 42 1.2.5 Buildings – Health Facilities: ......................................................................................................................................................... 49 1.2.6 Buildings – Others: ....................................................................................................................................................................... 56 1.2.7 Infrastructure – Road Network: ..................................................................................................................................................... 63 1.2.8 Infrastructure – Rail Network: ........................................................................................................................................................ 70 1.2.9 Agriculture – Rice: ........................................................................................................................................................................ 77 1.2.10 Agriculture – Wheat: ..................................................................................................................................................................... 84 1.2.11 Agriculture – Maize: ...................................................................................................................................................................... 91 2 Sub-basin Level Risk Atlas ......................................................................................................................................................................... 98 2.1 Lower Ganges sub-basin ..................................................................................................................................................................... 98 2.2 Bagmati Sub-basin............................................................................................................................................................................. 115 2.3 Kosi Sub-basin................................................................................................................................................................................... 129 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 4 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 2.4 Gandak Sub-basin ............................................................................................................................................................................. 144 2.5 Mahananda Sub-basin ....................................................................................................................................................................... 160 2.6 Middle Ganges Sub-basin .................................................................................................................................................................. 176 2.7 Ghagra Sub-basin .............................................................................................................................................................................. 190 2.8 Kamla-Balan Sub-basin ..................................................................................................................................................................... 206 2.9 Yamuna Sub-basin ............................................................................................................................................................................ 221 2.10 Ramganga Sub-basin ........................................................................................................................................................................ 238 2.11 Gomti Sub-basin ................................................................................................................................................................................ 252 2.12 Sone Sub-basin ................................................................................................................................................................................. 266 2.13 Upper Ganges Sub-basin................................................................................................................................................................... 282 2.14 Tons Sub-basin.................................................................................................................................................................................. 297 2.15 Sind Sub-basin .................................................................................................................................................................................. 311 2.16 Ken Sub-basin ................................................................................................................................................................................... 325 2.17 Betwa Sub-basin ................................................................................................................................................................................ 339 2.18 Chambal Sub-basin ........................................................................................................................................................................... 353 Index of Maps .................................................................................................................................................................................................. 368 Index of Tables ................................................................................................................................................................................................ 382 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 5 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Foreword The Ganges basin is one of the largest river basins in the world. It lies in parts of India, Country Area occupied by Ganges Basin in km 2 Nepal, China, and Bangladesh and drains a total area of about 984,076 sq. km in the four countries. The basin lies between latitudes 22.45° N and 31.47° N and longitudes India 790,223 Nepal 147,706 73.37° E and 89.31° E. In India, its catchment lies in the states of Uttar Pradesh, China 39,133 Uttarakhand, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Bihar, Jharkhand Rajasthan, West Bengal, Bangladesh 7,014 Haryana, Himachal Pradesh, and Delhi. Total 984,076 In view of the regular recurrence of losses due to floods in different parts of the basin, a comprehensive study for the entire Ganges system was considered essential to understand the geographical impacts of floods on various sectors (viz. residential, commercial, industrial, essential facilities, infrastructure, and agriculture) exposed in the area falling within the Ganges Basin. This would enhance the knowledge base for better understanding the socio-economic impacts of flooding in the basin and subsequently help the stake holders/decision makers for better mitigation planning. Keeping this need in mind, the World Bank initiated a River Basin Approach to develop a shared knowledge base and analytical framework for flood risk assessment and contracted RMSI as consultant to complete this assignment. The Ganges Basin Risk Atlas is a compilation of all the key risk maps and tables developed as part of this risk assessment study. It, therefore, provides a valuable resource for all stakeholders involved in various aspects of basin/water resource management, and risk mitigation planning and policy formulation etc. to identify the priority areas and asset (exposure) types in the basin and sub-basins, which are more vulnerable to losses due to floods. The Risk Atlas is a part of the Final Report submitted to the World Bank under the Risk Assessment Study for the Ganges Basin, and should be read and interpreted in context of the Final Report only. The Atlas presents the risk maps and accompanying tables at two levels. Section One provides basin-level risks for various exposure types and the considered return period flood events (2, 5, 10, 25, 50, and 100 years). Section Two provides sub basin-level risks covering all the 18 sub-basins of the Ganges Basin. The accompanying tables in section two also present the risk findings on administrative jurisdiction-levels for India, Nepal, and Bangladesh. Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 6 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 1 Basin Level Risk Atlas 1.1 Affected Population: Figure 1-1: Spatial distribution of total affected person s for the 2-Year Return Period Flood : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 7 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-2: Spatial distribution of total affected person s for the 5-Year Return Period Flood : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 8 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-3: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 10-Year Return Period Flood: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 9 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-4: Spatial distribution of total affected person s for the 25-Year Return Period Flood: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 10 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-5: Spatial distribution of total affected person s for the 50-Year Return Period Flood: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 11 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-6: Spatial distribution of total affected person s for the 100-Year Return Period Flood : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 12 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 1 - 1 : T o t a l n u m b e r ( i n m i l l i o n s ) o f p e r s o n s a f f e c t e d d u e t o f l o o d i n G a n g e s B a s i n f o r va r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d f l o o d e ve n t s Demography Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year Entire Ganges Basin 24.70 22.56 47.26 29.53 26.98 56.50 31.96 29.19 61.15 Bangladesh 0.71 0.72 1.42 0.80 0.81 1.61 0.83 0.85 1.68 India 23.78 21.62 45.40 28.50 25.92 54.42 30.88 28.08 58.96 Nepal 0.21 0.22 0.43 0.23 0.25 0.48 0.24 0.26 0.50 Return Period 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year Entire Ganges Basin 34.98 31.97 66.95 37.71 34.48 72.19 38.33 35.04 73.37 Bangladesh 0.88 0.89 1.77 0.95 0.97 1.92 1.00 1.01 2.02 India 33.84 30.80 64.64 36.48 33.22 69.70 37.03 33.71 70.75 Nepal 0.26 0.28 0.54 0.28 0.30 0.58 0.29 0.31 0.61 T a b l e 1 - 2 : T o t a l n u m b e r ( i n m i l l i o n s ) o f c h i l d r e n ( a g e 0 - 6 ye a r s ) , S c h e d u l e d C a s t e s ( S C s ) a n d S c h e d u l e d T r i b e s ( S T s ) a f f e c t e d d u e t o f l o o d s i n t h e I n d i a n p a r t o f G a n g e s B a s i n f o r va r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d s Demography Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year Children (Age<6 year) 3.86 3.53 7.39 4.62 4.23 8.85 5.01 4.58 9.59 SC 3.98 3.62 7.60 4.76 4.33 9.10 5.16 4.70 9.86 ST 0.32 0.30 0.62 0.38 0.36 0.74 0.40 0.38 0.78 Return Period 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year Children (Age<6 year) 5.50 5.03 10.53 5.94 5.44 11.38 6.03 5.51 11.54 SC 5.66 5.15 10.81 6.12 5.57 11.69 6.22 5.67 11.89 ST 0.45 0.42 0.87 0.48 0.45 0.93 0.48 0.46 0.94 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 13 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 1.2 Economic Losses: Figure 1-7: PML for the 2-Year Return Period Flood for Total Loss: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 14 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-8: PML for the 5-Year Return Period Flood for Total Loss: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 15 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-9: PML for the 10-Year Return Period Flood for Total Loss: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 16 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-10: PML for the 25-Year Return Period Flood for Total Loss: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 17 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-11: PML for the 50-Year Return Period Flood for Total Loss: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 18 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-12: PML for the 100-Year Return Period Flood for Total Loss: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 19 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 1 - 3 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f d i f f e r e n t r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r va r i o u s e x p o s u r e c l a s s e s : G a n g e s B a s i n Losses (Million INR): Ganges Basin Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Entire Ganges Basin 71,962 92,343 104,949 121,096 137,496 142,486 42,342 Residential 46,537 60,134 68,526 79,443 90,489 93,842 27,518 Commercial 17,558 22,371 25,422 29,202 33,113 34,325 10,288 Industrial 423 550 629 727 814 858 251 Building Education 109 140 159 184 210 218 64 Health 86 112 128 148 168 175 51 Others 1,153 1,469 1,666 1,910 2,161 2,243 675 Road 353 469 552 664 795 840 216 Infrastructure Railway 256 349 416 506 608 632 159 Rice 2,009 2,440 2,682 3,005 3,375 3,447 1,136 Agriculture Wheat 3,147 3,905 4,329 4,816 5,221 5,360 1,797 Maize 330 403 441 490 541 547 186 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 20 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 1.2.1 BUILDINGS – RESIDENTIAL: Figure 1-13: PML for the 2-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Residential: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 21 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-14: PML for the 5-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Residential: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 22 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-15: PML for the 10-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Residential : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 23 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-16: PML for the 25-Year Return Period Flood fo r Buildings – Residential : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 24 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-17: PML for the 50-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Residential : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 25 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-18: PML for the 100-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Residential : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 26 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 1 - 4 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f va r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r b u i l d i n g s - R e s i d e n t i a l : G a n g e s B a s i n Buildings Loss (Million INR): Residential Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Entire Ganges Basin 46,537 60,134 68,526 79,443 90,489 93,842 27,518 Bangladesh 682 785 847 931 1,047 1,099 374 India 45,802 59,290 67,614 78,443 89,364 92,661 27,116 Nepal 52 59 64 70 78 82 28 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 27 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 1.2.2 BUILDINGS – COMMERCIAL: Figure 1-19: PML for the 2-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Commercial : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 28 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-20: PML for the 5-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Commercial : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 29 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-21: PML for the 10-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Commercial : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 30 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-22: PML for the 25-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Commercial : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 31 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-23: PML for the 50-Year Return Period Flood for Bui ldings – Commercial : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 32 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-24: PML for the 100-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Commercial : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 33 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 1 - 5 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f va r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r b u i l d i n g s - C o m m e r c i a l : G a n g e s B a s i n Buildings Loss (Million INR): Commercial Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Entire Ganges Basin 17,558 22,371 25,422 29,202 33,113 34,325 10,288 Bangladesh 1,093 1,266 1,368 1,504 1,699 1,784 601 India 16,260 20,878 23,812 27,439 31,132 32,244 9,577 Nepal 205 228 242 258 282 296 110 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 34 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 1.2.3 BUILDINGS – INDUSTRIAL: Figure 1-25: PML for the 2-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Industrial : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 35 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-26: PML for the 5-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Industrial : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 36 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-27: PML for the 10-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Industrial : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 37 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-28: PML for the 25-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Industrial : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 38 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-29: PML for the 50-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Industrial : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 39 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-30: PML for the 100-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Industrial : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 40 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 1 - 6 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f va r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r b u i l d i n g s - I n d u s t r i a l : G a n g e s B a s i n Buildings Loss (Million INR): Industrial Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Entire Ganges Basin 423.40 549.94 629.46 726.93 813.98 857.55 251.03 Bangladesh 27.23 31.56 34.09 37.50 42.36 44.48 14.99 India 391.05 512.70 589.33 683.00 764.59 805.69 233.31 Nepal 5.11 5.68 6.03 6.43 7.03 7.38 2.74 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 41 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 1.2.4 BUILDINGS – EDUCATIONAL INSTITUTIONS: Figure 1-31: PML for the 2-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Educational Institute : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 42 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-32: PML for the 5-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Educational Institute : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 43 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-33: PML for the 10-Year Return Period Flood for Buil dings – Educational Institute : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 44 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-34: PML for the 25-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Educational Institute : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 45 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-35: PML for the 50-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Educational Institute : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 46 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-36: PML for the 100-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Educational Institute : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 47 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 1 - 7 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f va r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r b u i l d i n g s - E d u c a t i o n a l I n s t i t u t i o n s : G a n g e s B a s i n Buildings Loss (Million INR): Educational Institute Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Entire Ganges Basin 109.27 140.16 159.47 184.36 210.14 217.83 64.33 Bangladesh 5.90 6.79 7.32 8.04 9.05 9.62 3.24 India 102.92 132.86 151.59 175.71 200.41 207.50 60.85 Nepal 0.45 0.52 0.56 0.61 0.68 0.71 0.25 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 48 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 1.2.5 BUILDINGS – HEALTH FACILITIES: F i g u r e 1 - 3 7 : P M L f o r t h e 2 - Y e a r R e t u r n P e r i o d F l o o d f o r B u i l d i n g s – H e a l t h F a c i l i t y: G a n g e s B a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 49 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 1 - 3 8 : P M L f o r t h e 5 - Y e a r R e t u r n P e r i o d F l o o d f o r B u i l d i n g s – H e a l t h F a c i l i t y: G a n g e s B a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 50 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 1 - 3 9 : P M L f o r t h e 1 0 - Y e a r R e t u r n P e r i o d F l o o d f o r B u i l d i n g s – H e a l t h F a c i l i t y: G a n g e s B a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 51 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 1 - 4 0 : P M L f o r t h e 2 5 - Y e a r R e t u r n P e r i o d F l o o d f o r B u i l d i n g s – H e a l t h F a c i l i t y: G a n g e s B a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 52 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 1 - 4 1 : P M L f o r t h e 5 0 - Y e a r R e t u r n P e r i o d F l o o d f o r B u i l d i n g s – H e a l t h F a c i l i t y: G a n g e s B a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 53 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 1 - 4 2 : P M L f o r t h e 1 0 0 - Y e a r R e t u r n P e r i o d F l o o d f o r B u i l d i n g s – H e a l t h F a c i l i t y: G a n g e s B a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 54 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 1 - 8 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f va r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r b u i l d i n g s - H e a l t h F a c i l i t i e s : G a n g e s B a s i n Buildings Loss (Million INR): Health Facility Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Entire Ganges Basin 86.28 111.94 128.01 148.50 168.34 175.49 51.17 Bangladesh 1.45 1.67 1.80 1.98 2.22 2.33 0.79 India 84.72 110.15 126.08 146.37 165.96 172.99 50.31 Nepal 0.11 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.17 0.18 0.06 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 55 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 1.2.6 BUILDINGS – OTHERS: Figure 1-43: PML for the 2-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Others : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 56 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-44: PML for the 5-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Others : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 57 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-45: PML for the 10-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Others : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 58 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-46: PML for the 25-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Others : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 59 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-47: PML for the 50-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Others : Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 60 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-48: PML for the 100-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Others: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 61 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 1 - 9 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f va r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r b u i l d i n g s - O t h e r s : G a n g e s B a s i n Buildings Loss (Million INR): Others Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Entire Ganges Basin 1,153.13 1,468.79 1,665.76 1,910.43 2,161.48 2,242.58 675.01 Bangladesh 73.52 85.19 92.03 101.22 114.35 120.07 40.46 India 1,065.81 1,368.27 1,557.44 1,791.85 2,028.16 2,102.59 627.16 Nepal 13.81 15.33 16.29 17.36 18.97 19.92 7.39 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 62 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 1.2.7 INFRASTRUCTURE – ROAD NETWORK: Figure 1-49: PML for the 2-Year Return Period Flood for Infrastructure – Road Network: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 63 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-50: PML for the 5-Year Return Period Flood for Infrastructure – Road Network: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 64 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-51: PML for the 10-Year Return Period Flood for Infrastructure – Road Network: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 65 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-52: PML for the 25-Year Return Period Flood for Infrastructure – Road Network: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 66 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-53: PML for the 50-Year Return Period Flood for Infrastructure – Road Network: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 67 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-54: PML for the 100-Year Return Period Flood for Infrastructure – Road Network: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 68 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 1 - 1 0 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f va r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r I n f r a s t r u c t u r e – R o a d n e t w o r k : G a n g e s B a s i n Infrastructure Loss (Million INR): Road Network Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Entire Ganges Basin 353.49 469.18 551.72 663.88 795.39 839.67 215.70 Bangladesh 4.33 5.09 5.90 6.69 8.55 8.98 2.47 India 320.33 433.28 513.84 623.75 751.13 793.21 198.18 Nepal 28.83 30.80 31.97 33.44 35.70 37.49 15.05 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 69 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 1.2.8 INFRASTRUCTURE – RAIL NETWORK: Figure 1-55: PML for the 2-Year Return Period Flood for Infrastructure – Rail Network: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 70 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-56: PML for the 5-Year Return Period Flood for Infrastructure – Rail Network: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 71 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-57: PML for the 10-Year Return Period Flood for Infrastructure – Rail Network: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 72 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-58: PML for the 25-Year Return Period Flood for Infrastructure – Rail Network: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 73 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-59: PML for the 50-Year Return Period Flood for Infrastructure – Rail Network: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 74 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-60: PML for the 100-Year Return Period Flood for Infrastructure – Rail Network: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 75 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 1 - 1 1 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f va r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r I n f r a s t r u c t u r e – R a i l n e t w o r k : G a n g e s B a s i n Infrastructure Loss (Million INR): Rail Network Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Entire Ganges Basin 256.42 348.59 415.71 506.21 607.89 631.97 159.25 Bangladesh 3.66 4.77 5.60 6.29 7.92 8.32 2.20 India 252.53 343.55 409.80 499.57 599.54 623.20 156.92 Nepal 0.23 0.28 0.31 0.36 0.43 0.45 0.13 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 76 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 1.2.9 AGRICULTURE – RICE: Figure 1-61: PML for the 2-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Rice: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 77 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-62: PML for the 5-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Rice: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 78 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-63: PML for the 10-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Rice: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 79 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-64: PML for the 25-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Rice: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 80 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-65: PML for the 50-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Rice: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 81 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 1 - 6 6 : P M L f o r t h e 1 0 0 - Y e a r R e t u r n P e r i o d F l o o d f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – R i c e : G a n g e s B a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 82 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 1 - 1 2 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f va r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – R i c e : G a n g e s B a s i n Agriculture Loss (Million INR): Rice Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Entire Ganges Basin 2,008.59 2,440.08 2,682.02 3,004.77 3,375.31 3,447.21 1,135.83 Bangladesh 453.08 513.12 536.62 562.02 608.87 639.32 243.15 India 1,455.35 1,812.45 2,022.78 2,307.49 2,612.63 2,646.40 837.96 Nepal 100.16 114.52 122.62 135.25 153.80 161.49 54.71 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 83 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 1.2.10 AGRICULTURE – WHEAT: Figure 1-67: PML for the 2-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 84 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-68: PML for the 5-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 85 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-69: PML for the 10-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 86 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-70: PML for the 25-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 87 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-71: PML for the 50-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 88 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 1 - 7 2 : P M L f o r t h e 1 0 0 - Y e a r R e t u r n P e r i o d F l o o d f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – W h e a t : G a n g e s B a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 89 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 1 - 1 3 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f va r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – W h e a t : G a n g e s B a s i n Agriculture Loss (Million INR): Wheat Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Entire Ganges Basin 3,147.11 3,905.29 4,328.64 4,816.22 5,220.70 5,359.56 1,796.51 Bangladesh 28.23 32.34 34.07 35.96 39.01 40.96 15.27 India 3,087.23 3,837.21 4,256.86 4,738.83 5,135.23 5,269.82 1,764.13 Nepal 31.65 35.74 37.71 41.42 46.46 48.78 17.11 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 90 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 1.2.11 AGRICULTURE – MAIZE: Figure 1-73: PML for the 2-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 91 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-74: PML for the 5-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 92 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-75: PML for the 10-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 93 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-76: PML for the 25-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 94 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-77: PML for the 50-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Ganges Basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 95 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 1 - 7 8 : P M L f o r t h e 1 0 0 - Y e a r R e t u r n P e r i o d F l o o d f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – M a i z e : G a n g e s B a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 96 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 1 - 1 4 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f va r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – M a i z e : G a n g e s B a s i n Agriculture Loss (Million INR): Maize Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Entire Ganges Basin 329.87 403.35 440.99 490.28 540.70 546.60 186.44 Bangladesh - - - - - - - India 318.93 391.31 428.37 476.91 526.35 531.53 180.63 Nepal 10.94 12.04 12.62 13.37 14.35 15.07 5.81 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 97 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 2 Sub-basin Level Risk Atlas 2.1 Lower Ganges sub-basin Affected Population: Figure 2-1: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Lower Ganges sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 98 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 1 : T o t a l n u m b e r ( i n t h o u s a n d s ) o f p e r s o n s a f f e c t e d d u e t o v a r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d f l o o d e ve n t s : L o w e r G a n g e s S u b - b a s i n Sub-basin: Lower Ganges Bangladesh India Nepal Return Period Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total 2-Year 357 360 717 5,034 4,538 9,573 4 4 8 5-Year 408 412 820 5,835 5,260 11,095 4 5 9 10-Year 431 434 865 6,208 5,595 11,803 4 5 9 25-Year 461 465 926 6,663 6,007 12,670 5 5 10 50-Year 514 518 1,032 7,262 6,546 13,808 5 6 11 100-Year 540 544 1,084 7,262 6,546 13,808 5 6 11 Economic Losses: F i g u r e 2 - 2 : E x c e e d a n c e p r o b a b i l i t y c u r ve s h o w i n g t h e t o t a l l o s s e s d u e t o f l o o d f o r a l l e x p o s u r e t yp e s : L o w e r G a n g e s S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 99 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 2 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f d i f f e r e n t r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r va r i o u s e x p o s u r e c l a s s e s : L o w e r G a n g e s S u b - b a s i n State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Lower Ganges Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL State/Province total 526,831.9 625,725.7 677,767.8 751,436.1 877,246.7 921,109.0 294,300.5 Residential 141,601.5 168,477.2 182,926.8 203,367.1 237,751.3 249,638.9 79,245.0 Commercial 279,848.1 332,919.5 360,817.6 400,161.1 467,046.9 490,399.2 156,473.1 Industrial 6,975.4 8,298.3 8,993.6 9,974.3 11,641.5 12,223.6 3,900.2 Building Education 1,223.9 1,456.2 1,581.0 1,757.7 2,054.9 2,157.6 684.9 Health 300.7 357.7 388.4 431.8 504.8 530.1 168.3 Kushtia Others 18,830.3 22,401.4 24,278.5 26,925.9 31,426.5 32,997.8 10,528.7 Road 414.8 569.3 722.3 828.6 1,188.0 1,247.4 265.6 Infrastructure Railway 1,092.7 1,350.9 1,558.0 1,849.9 2,352.2 2,469.8 641.6 Rice 72,982.8 85,643.9 91,932.7 101,077.1 117,363.8 123,232.0 40,402.7 Agriculture Wheat 3,561.7 4,251.4 4,568.7 5,062.6 5,916.8 6,212.6 1,990.3 Maize 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Bangladesh State/Province total 64,633.1 97,834.9 109,333.7 123,420.0 152,072.6 159,676.3 41,319.3 Residential 14,715.5 22,526.3 25,343.6 28,793.6 35,578.5 37,357.4 9,493.1 Commercial 31,572.3 48,631.8 54,943.0 62,681.2 77,637.2 81,519.1 20,476.6 Industrial 787.0 1,212.2 1,369.5 1,562.4 1,935.2 2,031.9 510.4 Building Education 127.2 194.7 219.0 248.9 307.5 322.9 82.0 Health 31.2 47.8 53.8 61.1 75.5 79.3 20.2 Pabna Others 2,124.4 3,272.3 3,697.0 4,217.7 5,224.0 5,485.2 1,377.8 Road 11.0 31.2 42.7 52.1 92.7 97.3 11.9 Infrastructure Railway 114.5 189.3 248.4 292.4 410.1 430.6 82.5 Rice 13,883.6 19,914.0 21,468.0 23,387.9 28,247.9 29,660.3 8,491.4 Agriculture Wheat 1,266.3 1,815.2 1,948.6 2,122.9 2,564.0 2,692.2 773.3 Maize 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Rajshahi State/Province total 660,211.9 733,634.5 784,665.1 857,032.6 941,658.5 988,841.4 354,952.6 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 100 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Lower Ganges Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Residential 206,521.1 230,698.1 247,928.7 272,699.9 301,492.5 316,567.1 111,536.5 Commercial 294,596.9 329,291.7 354,781.7 392,196.9 434,665.1 456,398.4 159,349.7 Industrial 7,343.0 8,207.8 8,843.2 9,775.8 10,834.4 11,376.1 3,971.9 Building Education 1,785.0 1,993.9 2,142.9 2,357.0 2,605.8 2,836.1 965.0 Health 438.5 489.8 526.4 579.0 640.2 672.2 236.8 Others 19,822.7 22,157.2 23,872.4 26,390.0 29,247.6 30,709.9 10,722.3 Road 1,261.1 1,509.1 1,773.5 2,078.2 2,604.2 2,734.4 730.6 Infrastructure Railway 627.8 806.1 950.3 1,034.8 1,246.9 1,309.3 372.2 Rice 119,570.9 129,571.1 134,582.9 140,220.2 148,059.7 155,462.7 62,743.0 Agriculture Wheat 8,244.8 8,909.6 9,263.0 9,701.0 10,262.2 10,775.3 4,324.6 Maize 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 State/Province total 13,726,581.0 17,252,741.8 19,503,858.6 22,449,258.5 26,595,680.7 26,595,927.1 7,994,381.2 Residential 10,482,748.3 13,199,660.5 14,933,105.6 17,235,975.1 20,488,242.7 20,488,242.7 6,115,261.2 Commercial 2,437,776.8 3,062,653.2 3,460,934.4 3,960,434.1 4,663,860.2 4,663,860.2 1,417,740.3 Industrial 39,552.3 49,754.4 56,176.5 64,279.3 75,641.5 75,641.5 23,010.1 Building Education 21,975.8 27,730.8 31,419.1 36,055.6 42,373.1 42,373.1 12,819.5 Health 16,150.3 20,417.2 23,129.1 26,531.3 31,169.1 31,169.1 9,428.6 Bihar Others 171,609.4 216,276.3 244,637.7 280,583.3 330,302.4 330,302.4 100,006.4 India Road 40,998.1 55,702.5 65,562.5 81,676.0 102,959.6 103,205.4 25,498.6 Infrastructure Railway 53,440.3 70,202.2 83,316.2 100,629.9 123,828.3 123,828.8 32,540.5 Rice 165,021.4 201,175.0 224,391.3 251,118.0 282,969.7 282,969.7 93,769.1 Agriculture Wheat 192,519.9 228,082.8 250,123.3 270,722.9 300,354.0 300,354.0 106,993.2 Maize 104,788.4 121,086.8 131,062.9 141,253.1 153,980.2 153,980.2 57,313.6 State/Province total 450,935.2 557,034.2 591,778.4 691,920.9 822,547.9 822,547.9 256,780.1 Jharkhand Residential 376,024.6 465,752.8 493,400.1 578,113.4 688,781.1 688,781.1 214,324.6 Building Commercial 54,104.3 66,544.6 72,048.6 82,911.7 97,350.1 97,350.1 30,813.9 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 101 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Lower Ganges Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Industrial 1,430.9 1,760.0 1,905.5 2,193.0 2,575.1 2,575.1 815.0 Education 1,170.2 1,438.7 1,525.1 1,775.2 2,103.7 2,103.7 664.0 Health 452.4 555.4 588.7 684.4 810.3 810.3 256.5 Others 5,938.8 7,303.5 7,907.4 9,099.3 10,683.0 10,683.0 3,382.1 Road 516.7 775.3 970.1 1,388.8 2,305.7 2,305.7 364.6 Infrastructure Railway 2,991.9 3,742.8 4,138.5 5,479.3 7,340.0 7,340.0 1,776.6 Rice 7,545.9 8,333.8 8,458.3 9,350.0 9,654.1 9,654.1 3,984.7 Agriculture Wheat 526.6 573.5 579.5 641.9 654.6 654.6 276.0 Maize 232.9 253.8 256.6 283.9 290.1 290.1 122.1 State/Province total 1,936,536.4 2,281,779.9 2,507,319.1 2,894,375.1 3,325,179.3 3,325,194.3 1,083,969.3 Residential 1,452,154.6 1,721,177.9 1,904,664.4 2,201,646.9 2,540,875.4 2,540,875.4 816,894.5 Commercial 262,579.2 306,798.7 335,531.9 388,951.1 449,149.0 449,149.0 146,347.5 Industrial 6,660.8 7,799.1 8,521.8 9,895.7 11,467.2 11,467.2 3,716.7 Building Education 2,104.3 2,464.7 2,709.6 3,154.0 3,654.0 3,654.0 1,176.5 Health 2,190.3 2,555.5 2,812.0 3,277.3 3,789.6 3,789.6 1,222.7 West Bengal Others 24,551.7 28,826.3 31,461.9 36,308.5 41,905.9 41,905.9 13,700.1 Road 5,718.9 7,042.1 8,057.9 10,573.2 13,018.5 13,018.5 3,375.2 Infrastructure Railway 7,842.0 9,267.5 10,234.0 12,887.2 14,746.3 14,761.4 4,446.2 Rice 142,684.1 162,749.0 169,303.9 190,452.7 206,732.8 206,732.8 77,182.1 Agriculture Wheat 27,652.0 30,458.7 31,319.7 34,301.2 36,772.9 36,772.9 14,642.1 Maize 2,398.6 2,640.6 2,701.9 2,927.7 3,067.7 3,067.7 1,265.7 State/Province total 4,900.2 5,434.4 5,786.8 6,190.9 6,824.3 7,165.6 2,624.4 Residential 380.7 419.9 445.8 475.3 521.8 547.9 203.1 Nepal Eastern Commercial 2,042.0 2,256.3 2,397.4 2,558.4 2,812.4 2,953.0 1,090.9 Building Industrial 50.9 56.2 59.8 63.8 70.1 73.6 27.2 Education 3.3 3.6 3.9 4.1 4.5 4.7 1.8 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 102 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Lower Ganges Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Health 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 0.4 Others 137.4 151.8 161.3 172.1 189.2 198.7 73.4 Road 20.7 23.5 25.9 28.2 31.0 32.6 11.3 Infrastructure Railway 26.7 32.2 36.2 41.0 48.3 50.7 15.2 Rice 1,607.4 1,800.3 1,926.5 2,074.3 2,302.6 2,417.8 866.5 Agriculture Wheat 489.0 531.4 559.7 590.4 640.8 672.8 258.4 Maize 141.3 158.3 169.4 182.4 202.4 212.6 76.2 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 103 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-3: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Lower Ganges sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 104 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-4: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Lower Ganges sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 105 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-5: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Lower Ganges sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 106 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-6: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Lower Ganges sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 107 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-7: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Lower Ganges sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 108 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-8: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Lower Ganges sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 109 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-9: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Lower Ganges sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 110 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-10: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Lower Ganges sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 111 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 2 - 1 1 : A A L d u e t o f l o o d f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – R i c e : L o w e r G a n g e s s u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 112 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 2 - 1 2 : A A L d u e t o f l o o d f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – W h e a t : L o w e r G a n g e s s u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 113 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-13: AAL due to Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Lower Ganges sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 114 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 2.2 Bagmati Sub-basin Affected Population: Figure 2-14: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Bagmati Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 115 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 3 : T o t a l n u m b e r ( i n t h o u s a n d s ) o f p e r s o n s a f f e c t e d d u e t o v a r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d f l o o d e ve n t s : B a g m a t i S u b - b a s i n Sub-basin: Bagmati India Nepal Return Period Male Female Total Male Female Total 2-Year 1,142 1,027 2,168 40 38 78 5-Year 1,338 1,203 2,540 44 43 87 10-Year 1,511 1,358 2,869 45 43 89 25-Year 1,641 1,475 3,116 47 45 92 50-Year 1,828 1,643 3,471 49 47 96 100-Year 1,828 1,643 3,471 51 50 101 Economic Losses: F i g u r e 2 - 1 5 : E x c e e d a n c e p r o b a b i l i t y c u r ve s h o w i n g t h e t o t a l l o s s e s d u e t o f l o o d f o r a l l e x p o s u r e t yp e s : B a g m a t i S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 116 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 4 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f d i f f e r e n t r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r va r i o u s e x p o s u r e c l a s s e s : B a g m a t i S u b - b a s i n State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Bagmati Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL State/Province total 2,442,543.7 3,002,599.1 3,475,714.2 3,957,081.7 4,679,978.2 4,679,978.2 1,414,307.1 Residential 1,798,694.9 2,203,740.0 2,547,025.2 2,898,937.8 3,432,321.6 3,432,321.6 1,039,429.2 Commercial 492,187.0 606,983.6 705,928.5 801,311.9 944,191.3 944,191.3 285,620.2 Industrial 6,036.1 7,428.7 8,619.2 9,790.4 11,515.4 11,515.4 3,497.0 Building Education 2,865.6 3,528.3 4,065.6 4,627.2 5,470.9 5,470.9 1,658.4 Health 1,832.1 2,258.5 2,592.4 2,952.5 3,493.9 3,493.9 1,059.9 India Bihar Others 21,103.7 26,107.7 30,100.7 34,306.0 40,494.1 40,494.1 12,243.9 Road 5,922.4 8,378.9 10,575.6 13,400.6 17,520.5 17,520.5 3,867.6 Infrastructure Railway 12,664.7 17,073.1 20,887.8 26,307.9 33,049.6 33,049.6 7,947.1 Rice 18,347.2 23,660.1 28,978.4 34,339.3 42,735.9 42,735.9 11,150.4 Agriculture Wheat 49,801.1 61,259.3 70,234.5 78,474.7 89,743.1 89,743.1 28,644.7 Maize 33,089.0 42,180.8 46,706.2 52,633.3 59,441.8 59,441.8 19,188.6 State/Province total 37,642.8 43,130.7 44,528.8 46,876.4 50,616.0 53,146.8 20,252.8 Residential 2,913.9 3,338.1 3,446.2 3,622.0 3,984.6 4,183.8 1,568.9 Commercial 17,662.8 20,201.1 20,843.1 21,891.6 23,562.0 24,740.1 9,490.4 Industrial 440.3 503.5 519.5 545.7 587.3 616.7 236.6 Building Education 25.2 28.9 29.8 31.3 34.4 36.2 13.6 Health 6.2 7.1 7.3 7.7 8.5 8.9 3.3 Nepal Central Others 1,188.5 1,359.3 1,402.5 1,473.0 1,585.4 1,664.7 638.6 Road 628.4 770.6 870.0 1,004.0 1,138.5 1,195.5 361.2 Infrastructure Railway 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Rice 8,609.4 10,011.7 10,371.5 10,965.8 12,080.8 12,684.8 4,673.2 Agriculture Wheat 5,638.5 6,320.5 6,429.5 6,700.5 6,965.5 7,313.8 2,986.2 Maize 529.6 590.0 609.4 634.8 669.0 702.5 280.9 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 117 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-16: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Bagmati Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 118 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-17: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Bagmati Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 119 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-18: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Bagmati Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 120 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-19: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Bagmati Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 121 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-20: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Bagmati Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 122 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-21: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Bagmati Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 123 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-22: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Bagmati Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 124 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-23: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Bagmati Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 125 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 2 - 2 4 : A A L d u e t o f l o o d f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – R i c e : B a g m a t i S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 126 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 2 - 2 5 : A A L d u e t o f l o o d f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – W h e a t : B a g m a t i S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 127 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-26: AAL due to Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Bagmati Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 128 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 2.3 Kosi Sub-basin Affected Population: Figure 2-27: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Kosi Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 129 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 5 : T o t a l n u m b e r ( i n t h o u s a n d s ) o f p e r s o n s a f f e c t e d d u e t o v a r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d f l o o d e ve n t s : K o s i S u b - b a s i n Sub-basin: Kosi India Nepal Return Period Male Female Total Male Female Total 2-Year 610 548 1,158 34 37 71 5-Year 682 613 1,294 37 40 77 10-Year 723 650 1,373 39 42 80 25-Year 788 709 1,497 41 44 85 50-Year 869 782 1,651 44 47 91 100-Year 869 782 1,651 46 50 96 Economic Losses: F i g u r e 2 - 2 8 : E x c e e d a n c e p r o b a b i l i t y c u r ve s h o w i n g t h e t o t a l l o s s e s d u e t o f l o o d f o r a l l e x p o s u r e t yp e s : K o s i S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 130 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 6 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f d i f f e r e n t r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r va r i o u s e x p o s u r e c l a s s e s : K o s i S u b - b a s i n State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Kosi Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL State/Province total 1,347,157.7 1,623,452.5 1,798,499.6 2,066,179.5 2,427,307.0 2,427,309.8 764,272.3 Residential 853,482.9 1,029,574.9 1,143,223.5 1,316,308.3 1,556,135.5 1,556,135.5 485,044.6 Commercial 353,480.4 423,838.5 467,016.4 536,274.3 627,496.1 627,496.1 199,724.4 Industrial 4,398.2 5,283.5 5,817.0 6,703.5 7,811.5 7,811.5 2,487.1 Building Education 1,785.2 2,157.2 2,387.6 2,749.7 3,234.1 3,234.1 1,014.2 Health 946.4 1,153.1 1,280.2 1,475.7 1,737.4 1,737.4 540.3 India Bihar Others 22,340.5 26,815.0 29,541.9 33,961.2 39,649.0 39,649.0 12,628.4 Road 10,062.9 13,334.3 15,304.8 18,172.0 22,123.0 22,125.7 6,076.5 Infrastructure Railway 9,301.2 11,775.6 13,467.2 16,083.0 19,233.3 19,233.3 5,482.3 Rice 24,591.7 29,506.2 32,761.2 37,319.6 41,602.7 41,602.7 13,872.3 Agriculture Wheat 31,057.6 36,916.5 40,606.8 44,764.5 49,787.6 49,787.6 17,336.4 Maize 35,710.7 43,097.9 47,092.8 52,367.8 58,496.8 58,496.8 20,065.9 State/Province total 11,357.9 11,779.6 12,002.7 12,274.2 12,696.1 13,330.9 5,811.3 Residential 713.6 744.1 758.3 775.4 802.5 842.6 366.0 Commercial 6,653.1 6,920.3 7,039.5 7,180.3 7,399.5 7,769.5 3,405.6 Industrial 165.8 172.5 175.5 179.0 184.4 193.7 84.9 Building Education 6.2 6.4 6.6 6.7 6.9 7.3 3.2 Health 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.8 0.8 Central Nepal Others 447.7 465.7 473.7 483.1 497.9 522.8 229.2 Road 1,434.5 1,465.6 1,510.3 1,574.9 1,662.7 1,745.9 733.1 Infrastructure Railway 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Rice 1,168.3 1,209.6 1,230.5 1,252.3 1,293.7 1,358.4 596.8 Agriculture Wheat 271.9 281.9 286.8 292.5 302.2 317.3 139.0 Maize 495.3 511.9 520.0 528.3 544.5 571.7 252.7 Eastern State/Province total 48,996.9 52,972.5 55,642.4 59,002.1 64,922.7 68,168.9 25,845.8 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 131 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Kosi Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Residential 3,774.4 4,102.4 4,324.3 4,548.4 4,877.7 5,121.6 1,993.0 Commercial 26,771.6 28,905.1 30,356.0 31,821.2 33,943.6 35,640.8 14,075.6 Industrial 667.3 720.5 756.6 793.2 846.1 888.4 350.8 Building Education 32.6 35.5 37.4 39.3 42.2 44.3 17.2 Health 8.0 8.7 9.2 9.7 10.4 10.9 4.2 Others 1,801.4 1,945.0 2,042.6 2,141.2 2,284.0 2,398.2 947.1 Road 2,261.9 2,380.8 2,426.1 2,510.4 2,570.9 2,699.5 1,165.1 Infrastructure Railway 66.7 80.6 92.5 107.0 129.1 135.5 38.4 Rice 9,117.8 9,919.2 10,464.0 11,377.0 13,353.5 14,021.1 4,856.4 Agriculture Wheat 2,642.9 2,924.8 3,108.0 3,555.9 4,665.8 4,899.0 1,438.6 Maize 1,852.2 1,950.0 2,025.7 2,098.8 2,199.6 2,309.6 959.3 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 132 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-29: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Kosi Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 133 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-30: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Kosi Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 134 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-31: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Kosi Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 135 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-32: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Kosi Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 136 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-33: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Kosi Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 137 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-34: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Kosi Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 138 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-35: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Kosi Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 139 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-36: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Kosi Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 140 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 2 - 3 7 : A A L d u e t o f l o o d f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – R i c e : K o s i S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 141 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 2 - 3 8 : A A L d u e t o f l o o d f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – W h e a t : K o s i S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 142 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-39: AAL due to Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Kosi Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 143 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 2.4 Gandak Sub-basin Affected Population: Figure 2-40: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Gandak Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 144 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 7 : T o t a l n u m b e r ( i n t h o u s a n d s ) o f p e r s o n s a f f e c t e d d u e t o v a r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d f l o o d e ve n t s : G a n d a k S u b - b a s i n Sub-basin: Gandak India Nepal Return Period Male Female Total Male Female Total 2-Year 1,441 1,353 2,794 20 24 44 5-Year 1,831 1,725 3,556 22 26 48 10-Year 1,938 1,825 3,763 24 28 51 25-Year 2,212 2,087 4,300 25 29 54 50-Year 2,332 2,200 4,531 28 33 61 100-Year 2,332 2,200 4,531 30 35 64 Economic Losses: F i g u r e 2 - 4 1 : E x c e e d a n c e p r o b a b i l i t y c u r ve s h o w i n g t h e t o t a l l o s s e s d u e t o f l o o d f o r a l l e x p o s u r e t yp e s : G a n d a k S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 145 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 8 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f d i f f e r e n t r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r va r i o u s e x p o s u r e c l a s s e s : G a n d a k S u b - b a s i n State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Gandak Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL State/Province total 3,266,807.9 4,362,440.8 4,952,436.3 5,782,056.9 6,773,413.6 6,773,490.0 1,964,542.8 Residential 2,157,784.3 2,887,325.9 3,282,554.0 3,825,691.6 4,490,170.0 4,490,170.0 1,299,338.3 Commercial 836,552.0 1,118,346.7 1,270,081.6 1,484,992.2 1,736,505.6 1,736,505.6 503,435.1 Industrial 9,836.2 13,180.8 14,971.6 17,487.4 20,455.8 20,455.8 5,926.1 Building Education 5,229.3 6,956.2 7,872.2 9,144.9 10,687.2 10,687.2 3,133.4 Health 3,093.7 4,118.3 4,662.0 5,414.6 6,329.7 6,329.7 1,854.5 Bihar Others 44,883.3 60,229.3 68,376.2 79,902.8 93,733.7 93,733.7 27,063.2 Road 12,186.1 18,203.7 23,002.3 28,959.0 39,868.4 39,884.3 8,233.0 Infrastructure Railway 18,134.9 27,378.8 33,283.6 40,491.5 50,319.9 50,380.4 11,992.2 Rice 55,144.7 70,626.9 78,907.8 92,639.8 108,729.6 108,729.6 32,368.0 Agriculture Wheat 103,411.5 130,089.9 140,465.4 164,641.6 180,326.5 180,326.5 59,359.7 Maize 20,552.0 25,984.4 28,259.5 32,691.5 36,287.3 36,287.3 11,839.2 India State/Province total 167,014.7 216,973.0 244,193.3 283,531.3 324,442.4 324,442.4 98,612.8 Residential 66,477.5 84,177.3 94,376.5 110,429.7 125,154.4 125,154.4 38,735.2 Commercial 71,354.8 92,185.6 103,728.8 120,030.9 138,415.6 138,415.6 42,017.7 Industrial 518.8 670.6 754.3 872.2 1,005.6 1,005.6 305.5 Building Education 205.5 260.5 291.6 340.6 386.2 386.2 119.7 Health 110.1 139.7 156.3 182.4 207.0 207.0 64.2 Uttar Pradesh Others 1,988.4 2,569.1 2,890.6 3,344.2 3,856.3 3,856.3 1,170.9 Road 499.9 702.9 855.7 1,065.7 1,343.3 1,343.3 319.8 Infrastructure Railway 291.6 413.1 543.3 682.3 878.2 878.2 192.6 Rice 8,054.7 11,686.3 13,978.0 16,440.0 19,262.7 19,262.7 5,137.8 Agriculture Wheat 17,275.0 23,822.2 26,221.2 29,687.9 33,409.3 33,409.3 10,399.9 Maize 238.4 345.8 396.9 455.5 523.8 523.8 149.5 Nepal Central State/Province total 21,239.5 24,378.7 26,393.3 28,775.6 33,417.5 35,088.3 11,653.9 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 146 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Gandak Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Residential 3,376.8 3,966.9 4,336.4 4,779.2 5,706.2 5,991.5 1,882.5 Commercial 9,740.1 11,382.7 12,450.0 13,731.4 16,309.0 17,124.4 5,416.3 Industrial 242.8 283.7 310.3 342.3 406.5 426.8 135.0 Building Education 29.2 34.3 37.5 41.3 49.3 51.8 16.3 Health 7.2 8.4 9.2 10.1 12.1 12.7 4.0 Others 655.4 765.9 837.7 924.0 1,097.4 1,152.3 364.4 Road 733.0 794.8 879.4 944.8 1,011.3 1,061.9 391.8 Infrastructure Railway 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Rice 5,267.6 5,836.2 6,155.2 6,543.0 7,224.8 7,586.0 2,812.2 Agriculture Wheat 837.1 923.9 974.1 1,035.2 1,143.7 1,200.9 446.1 Maize 350.4 381.8 403.5 424.2 457.1 480.0 185.4 State/Province total 11.2 11.7 11.8 12.0 12.4 13.0 5.7 Residential 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.2 Commercial 4.8 4.9 5.0 5.0 5.2 5.5 2.4 Industrial 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 Building Education 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Health 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Mid Western Others 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 Road 4.3 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 5.0 2.2 Infrastructure Railway 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Rice 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.4 Agriculture Wheat 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.2 Maize 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 State/Province total 64,538.3 70,555.4 75,707.3 80,651.9 92,135.0 96,741.8 34,461.3 Western Residential 7,000.0 8,040.7 8,918.3 9,827.9 11,846.0 12,438.3 3,878.6 Building Commercial 31,183.4 34,068.7 36,469.5 38,896.2 43,949.3 46,146.8 16,628.9 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 147 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Gandak Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Industrial 777.3 849.2 909.0 969.5 1,095.5 1,150.2 414.5 Education 60.5 69.5 77.1 84.9 102.4 107.5 33.5 Health 14.9 17.1 18.9 20.9 25.2 26.4 8.2 Others 2,098.3 2,292.4 2,453.9 2,617.2 2,957.2 3,105.1 1,118.9 Road 8,068.3 8,367.7 8,586.7 8,808.3 9,340.0 9,807.0 4,140.1 Infrastructure Railway 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Rice 11,419.5 12,636.4 13,800.7 14,730.7 17,528.5 18,404.9 6,171.5 Agriculture Wheat 1,421.0 1,587.9 1,744.2 1,869.9 2,258.9 2,371.8 773.5 Maize 2,495.2 2,625.9 2,728.9 2,826.4 3,032.1 3,183.7 1,293.6 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 148 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-42: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Gandak Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 149 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-43: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Gandak Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 150 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-44: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Gandak Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 151 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-45: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Gandak Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 152 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-46: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Gandak Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 153 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-47: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Gandak Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 154 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-48: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Gandak Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 155 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-49: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Gandak Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 156 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 2 - 5 0 : A A L d u e t o f l o o d f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – R i c e : G a n d a k S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 157 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 2 - 5 1 : A A L d u e t o f l o o d f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – W h e a t : G a n d a k S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 158 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-52: AAL due to Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Gandak Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 159 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 2.5 Mahananda Sub-basin Affected Population: Figure 2-53: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Mahananda Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 160 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 9 : T o t a l n u m b e r ( i n t h o u s a n d s ) o f p e r s o n s a f f e c t e d d u e t o v a r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d f l o o d e ve n t s : M a h a n a n d a S u b - b a s i n Sub-basin: Mahananda Bangladesh India Nepal Return Period Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total 2-Year 349 357 706 1,180 1,110 2,290 25 27 52 5-Year 389 397 786 1,394 1,312 2,706 27 30 57 10-Year 404 412 816 1,438 1,353 2,791 29 32 61 25-Year 416 425 841 1,590 1,494 3,084 31 34 65 50-Year 439 448 887 1,731 1,627 3,358 34 37 71 100-Year 461 470 931 1,731 1,627 3,358 36 39 75 Economic Losses: F i g u r e 2 - 5 4 : E x c e e d a n c e p r o b a b i l i t y c u r ve s h o w i n g t h e t o t a l l o s s e s d u e t o f l o o d f o r a l l e x p o s u r e t yp e s : M a h a n a n d a S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 161 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 1 0 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f d i f f e r e n t r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r va r i o u s e x p o s u r e c l a s s e s : M a h a n a n d a S u b - b a s i n State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Mahananda Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL State/Province total 61,594.9 80,275.8 88,684.6 98,199.1 110,139.5 115,646.5 36,049.0 Residential 8,670.9 10,696.2 11,557.1 12,674.5 13,965.5 14,663.7 4,904.1 Commercial 26,341.7 32,525.1 35,261.9 38,812.4 43,129.1 45,285.5 14,931.1 Industrial 656.6 810.7 878.9 967.4 1,075.0 1,128.8 372.2 Building Education 74.9 92.4 99.9 109.5 120.7 126.7 42.4 Health 18.4 22.7 24.5 26.9 29.7 31.1 10.4 Dinajpur Others 1,772.5 2,188.5 2,372.7 2,611.6 2,902.1 3,047.2 1,004.7 Road 206.0 255.8 286.6 320.6 402.0 422.1 119.2 Infrastructure Railway 578.2 814.1 947.5 1,047.8 1,432.4 1,504.1 362.0 Rice 18,965.1 27,394.6 31,261.7 35,150.3 40,041.9 42,044.0 11,828.5 Agriculture Wheat 4,310.6 5,475.5 5,993.7 6,478.1 7,041.2 7,393.3 2,474.2 Maize 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Bangladesh State/Province total 1,059,175.0 1,194,129.4 1,272,124.0 1,364,468.0 1,497,325.7 1,572,213.7 571,477.7 Residential 310,984.0 352,639.4 379,639.5 413,001.4 457,872.6 480,766.3 168,983.9 Commercial 460,202.3 522,683.0 561,938.5 610,475.0 676,969.1 710,817.6 250,132.7 Industrial 11,470.9 13,028.3 14,006.7 15,216.5 16,874.0 17,717.7 6,234.7 Building Education 2,687.9 3,047.9 3,281.2 3,569.6 3,957.4 4,177.0 1,460.8 Health 660.3 748.8 806.1 876.9 972.2 1,020.8 358.8 Rajshahi Others 30,965.9 35,170.1 37,811.5 41,077.4 45,551.6 47,829.2 16,830.8 Road 2,434.0 2,729.2 3,077.6 3,409.6 4,265.2 4,478.5 1,343.4 Infrastructure Railway 1,250.2 1,605.1 1,892.2 2,060.4 2,482.9 2,607.0 741.2 Rice 227,673.1 250,592.7 257,374.5 262,186.2 275,158.6 288,916.5 119,688.1 Agriculture Wheat 10,846.6 11,885.0 12,296.3 12,595.0 13,222.0 13,883.2 5,703.2 Maize 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 India Bihar State/Province total 377,725.3 487,385.8 528,745.0 644,593.6 769,119.9 769,119.9 222,055.1 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 162 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Mahananda Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Residential 202,393.0 259,345.9 280,035.6 342,149.0 406,273.7 406,273.7 118,423.1 Commercial 126,848.9 164,518.0 180,567.7 218,008.8 261,998.6 261,998.6 74,940.7 Industrial 1,934.9 2,513.8 2,756.7 3,352.8 4,034.6 4,034.6 1,145.0 Building Education 355.8 459.2 498.5 608.0 727.2 727.2 209.3 Health 185.2 238.8 259.3 315.3 377.0 377.0 108.8 Others 8,131.6 10,560.4 11,575.5 14,080.3 16,941.3 16,941.3 4,810.5 Road 1,497.8 2,275.3 2,531.4 3,473.5 5,216.0 5,216.0 1,002.5 Infrastructure Railway 7,038.0 9,411.2 10,384.7 13,050.7 15,809.1 15,809.1 4,252.8 Rice 13,710.8 18,113.6 19,128.4 23,623.3 28,453.7 28,453.7 8,113.8 Agriculture Wheat 8,046.4 10,151.5 10,667.1 13,051.2 14,633.2 14,633.2 4,622.8 Maize 7,582.9 9,798.2 10,340.2 12,880.6 14,655.5 14,655.5 4,425.8 State/Province total 4,928.9 6,207.0 6,381.6 7,764.2 9,316.8 9,316.8 2,823.9 Residential 4,450.2 5,615.8 5,774.3 7,024.4 8,428.4 8,428.4 2,552.2 Commercial 337.3 423.1 435.7 531.3 650.6 650.6 193.3 Industrial 8.9 11.2 11.5 14.1 17.2 17.2 5.1 Building Education 12.4 15.7 16.1 19.6 23.6 23.6 7.1 Health 4.7 6.0 6.1 7.5 8.9 8.9 2.7 Jharkhand Others 37.0 46.4 47.8 58.3 71.3 71.3 21.2 Road 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 Infrastructure Railway 22.6 26.3 27.4 34.5 42.0 42.0 12.6 Rice 50.7 56.9 56.9 67.9 67.9 67.9 27.0 Agriculture Wheat 3.4 3.8 3.8 4.5 4.5 4.5 1.8 Maize 1.5 1.7 1.7 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.8 State/Province total 1,707,977.4 2,043,927.9 2,219,659.7 2,446,910.3 2,807,929.8 2,807,929.9 955,062.4 West Bengal Residential 806,169.1 968,275.2 1,055,050.6 1,171,359.0 1,359,134.5 1,359,134.5 452,591.2 Building Commercial 488,543.2 579,769.4 628,167.7 687,048.4 785,586.3 785,586.3 271,682.7 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 163 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Mahananda Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Industrial 11,419.4 13,544.5 14,679.8 16,043.2 18,393.8 18,393.8 6,349.8 Education 2,087.0 2,485.8 2,697.9 2,968.2 3,422.3 3,422.3 1,164.4 Health 1,741.5 2,076.5 2,254.5 2,482.9 2,866.3 2,866.3 972.3 Others 50,792.7 60,263.7 65,319.2 71,397.0 81,859.5 81,859.5 28,248.5 Road 12,146.0 15,152.7 17,178.0 20,281.7 24,983.9 24,983.9 7,095.1 Infrastructure Railway 12,509.7 16,243.4 18,340.6 20,695.5 24,406.4 24,406.4 7,379.7 Rice 265,602.2 319,235.0 346,488.9 380,220.9 426,491.4 426,491.4 148,527.7 Agriculture Wheat 47,062.0 55,098.9 56,971.8 60,877.8 65,964.8 65,964.8 25,583.6 Maize 9,904.6 11,782.8 12,510.9 13,535.6 14,820.7 14,820.7 5,467.4 State/Province total 32,767.4 38,462.0 41,579.1 45,547.1 50,462.2 52,985.3 18,116.6 Residential 2,665.9 3,020.3 3,263.5 3,555.6 3,928.6 4,125.1 1,449.2 Commercial 14,050.1 15,860.7 17,088.0 18,600.7 20,512.9 21,538.5 7,618.9 Industrial 350.2 395.3 425.9 463.6 511.3 536.9 189.9 Building Education 23.0 26.1 28.2 30.7 34.0 35.7 12.5 Health 5.7 6.4 6.9 7.5 8.3 8.8 3.1 Nepal Eastern Others 945.4 1,067.2 1,149.8 1,251.6 1,380.3 1,449.3 512.7 Road 142.8 173.5 190.0 207.0 229.6 241.1 80.5 Infrastructure Railway 131.9 159.2 179.1 202.8 238.9 250.9 75.2 Rice 10,564.9 13,204.9 14,385.6 15,967.2 17,843.5 18,735.6 6,038.2 Agriculture Wheat 2,684.9 3,025.1 3,204.4 3,408.9 3,716.4 3,902.2 1,444.6 Maize 1,202.7 1,523.3 1,657.6 1,851.5 2,058.4 2,161.4 691.8 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 164 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-55: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Mahananda Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 165 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-56: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Mahananda Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 166 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-57: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Mahananda Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 167 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-58: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Mahananda Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 168 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-59: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Mahananda Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 169 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-60: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Mahananda Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 170 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-61: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Mahananda Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 171 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-62: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Mahananda Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 172 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 2 - 6 3 : A A L d u e t o f l o o d f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – R i c e : M a h a n a n d a S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 173 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 2 - 6 4 : A A L d u e t o f l o o d f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – W h e a t : M a h a n a n d a S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 174 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-65: AAL due to Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Mahananda Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 175 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 2.6 Middle Ganges Sub-basin Affected Population: Figure 2-66: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Middle Ganges Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 176 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 1 1 : T o t a l n u m b e r ( i n t h o u s a n d s ) o f p e r s o n s a f f e c t e d d u e t o v a r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d f l o o d e ve n t s : M i d d l e G a n g e s S u b - b a s i n Sub-basin: Middle Ganges India Return Period Male Female Total 2-Year 2,595 2,372 4,967 5-Year 3,248 2,968 6,216 10-Year 3,622 3,312 6,935 25-Year 4,067 3,719 7,786 50-Year 4,376 4,005 8,380 100-Year 4,480 4,100 8,580 Economic Losses: F i g u r e 2 - 6 7 : E x c e e d a n c e p r o b a b i l i t y c u r ve s h o w i n g t h e t o t a l l o s s e s d u e t o f l o o d f o r a l l e x p o s u r e t yp e s : M i d d l e G a n g e s S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 177 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 1 2 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f d i f f e r e n t r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r va r i o u s e x p o s u r e c l a s s e s : M i d d l e G a n g e s S u b - b a s i n State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Middle Ganges Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL State/Province total 1,668,409.7 2,198,236.6 2,512,346.1 2,982,697.2 3,521,248.7 3,521,264.6 1,001,166.4 Residential 1,127,770.6 1,489,725.2 1,693,104.2 2,014,671.0 2,362,861.2 2,362,861.2 676,440.6 Commercial 376,068.4 491,183.1 571,099.3 672,936.2 808,842.2 808,842.2 225,840.4 Industrial 5,385.6 6,934.3 8,052.7 9,421.9 11,277.5 11,277.5 3,206.3 Building Education 2,615.9 3,422.8 3,908.0 4,607.7 5,421.0 5,421.0 1,562.1 Health 1,940.2 2,540.9 2,896.6 3,416.7 4,020.9 4,020.9 1,158.7 Bihar Others 27,590.8 36,106.6 41,896.3 49,470.4 59,473.0 59,473.0 16,580.5 Road 15,186.9 19,020.1 22,415.9 25,989.8 33,466.1 33,466.1 8,992.1 Infrastructure Railway 5,381.9 9,036.1 11,210.1 14,119.6 18,296.8 18,312.7 3,839.3 Rice 60,447.8 79,490.8 90,367.3 107,709.2 127,224.4 127,224.4 36,204.1 Agriculture Wheat 44,153.6 58,465.3 64,962.7 77,568.1 87,403.5 87,403.5 26,289.8 Maize 1,868.3 2,311.5 2,432.8 2,786.7 2,962.1 2,962.1 1,052.6 India State/Province total 7,058,306.3 9,253,120.3 10,769,202.3 12,494,289.0 13,930,741.1 14,744,853.7 4,225,597.8 Residential 4,031,641.9 5,314,906.7 6,156,058.7 7,165,629.4 7,972,169.4 8,466,801.1 2,418,049.0 Commercial 2,249,974.7 2,953,023.1 3,472,121.5 4,025,996.2 4,511,089.7 4,762,517.7 1,351,878.0 Industrial 39,996.9 53,415.7 63,501.0 74,227.5 83,125.2 88,186.8 24,348.4 Building Education 9,668.2 12,641.1 14,803.8 17,355.8 19,724.3 20,805.4 5,805.2 Health 8,449.5 11,163.1 13,092.3 15,351.9 17,355.8 18,383.3 5,101.1 Uttar Pradesh Others 138,753.4 182,055.5 212,643.5 245,614.9 273,289.3 288,873.9 83,124.1 Road 37,809.3 55,172.0 67,637.0 83,688.2 98,128.9 108,787.3 24,661.1 Infrastructure Railway 32,755.7 49,780.7 63,892.2 81,875.2 96,214.5 107,044.5 22,308.4 Rice 168,995.7 208,747.4 240,893.8 270,231.4 301,028.2 309,746.1 97,539.5 Agriculture Wheat 328,141.9 397,988.8 449,080.1 497,333.7 540,805.5 555,295.5 186,093.9 Maize 12,119.1 14,226.2 15,478.4 16,984.8 17,810.5 18,412.3 6,689.0 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 178 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-68: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Middle Ganges Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 179 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-69: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Middle Ganges Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 180 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-70: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Middle Ganges Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 181 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-71: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Middle Ganges Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 182 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-72: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Middle Ganges Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 183 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-73: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Middle Ganges Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 184 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-74: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Middle Ganges Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 185 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-75: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Middle Ganges Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 186 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 2 - 7 6 : A A L d u e t o f l o o d f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – R i c e : M i d d l e G a n g e s S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 187 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 2 - 7 7 : A A L d u e t o f l o o d f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – W h e a t : M i d d l e G a n g e s S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 188 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-78: AAL due to Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Middle Ganges Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 189 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 2.7 Ghagra Sub-basin Affected Population: Figure 2-79: Spatial distribution of total affe cted persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Ghagra Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 190 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 1 3 : T o t a l n u m b e r ( i n t h o u s a n d s ) o f p e r s o n s a f f e c t e d d u e t o v a r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d f l o o d e ve n t s : G h a g r a S u b - b a s i n Sub-basin: Ghagra India Nepal Return Period Male Female Total Male Female Total 2-Year 2,826 2,676 5,502 62 68 129 5-Year 3,471 3,289 6,760 68 75 143 10-Year 3,848 3,645 7,493 72 79 151 25-Year 4,365 4,136 8,501 78 85 163 50-Year 4,835 4,584 9,420 84 92 176 100-Year 4,836 4,585 9,420 88 97 185 Economic Losses: F i g u r e 2 - 8 0 : E x c e e d a n c e p r o b a b i l i t y c u r ve s h o w i n g t h e t o t a l l o s s e s d u e t o f l o o d f o r a l l e x p o s u r e t yp e s : G h a g r a S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 191 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 1 4 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f d i f f e r e n t r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r va r i o u s e x p o s u r e c l a s s e s : G h a g r a S u b - b a s i n State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Ghagra Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL State/Province total 555,851.3 701,888.8 780,928.1 916,212.4 1,072,286.5 1,072,286.5 323,569.9 Residential 370,188.8 461,368.3 512,045.2 591,403.7 690,053.7 690,053.7 213,545.3 Commercial 138,359.5 178,027.3 198,660.4 236,171.5 278,635.6 278,635.6 81,526.4 Industrial 1,521.8 1,960.3 2,185.7 2,603.4 3,072.7 3,072.7 897.2 Building Education 930.1 1,163.6 1,292.6 1,505.9 1,768.3 1,768.3 538.4 Health 566.7 708.9 786.5 918.5 1,078.5 1,078.5 328.0 Bihar Others 5,997.0 7,795.8 8,643.2 10,411.7 12,328.3 12,328.3 3,552.1 Road 1,129.0 1,424.9 1,832.5 2,324.2 3,483.6 3,483.6 707.3 Infrastructure Railway 2,627.0 3,572.5 4,372.7 5,489.5 7,278.7 7,278.7 1,663.1 Rice 8,392.4 11,636.7 13,182.3 17,433.5 21,407.0 21,407.0 5,249.1 Agriculture Wheat 22,996.5 29,969.6 33,222.5 41,886.3 46,275.8 46,275.8 13,652.5 Maize 3,142.5 4,260.9 4,704.5 6,064.0 6,904.3 6,904.3 1,910.5 India State/Province total 4,397,024.3 5,751,225.2 6,623,135.3 7,918,189.8 9,479,446.2 9,482,072.4 2,639,596.9 Residential 1,975,664.9 2,631,356.7 3,065,145.3 3,731,733.4 4,560,701.7 4,562,068.9 1,205,606.2 Commercial 1,506,945.4 1,930,874.3 2,203,571.4 2,600,177.5 3,094,073.0 3,094,965.2 891,279.3 Industrial 19,211.9 24,529.1 28,094.4 33,218.1 39,539.4 39,557.0 11,357.5 Building Education 6,780.5 9,061.8 10,546.5 12,932.4 15,902.2 15,906.1 4,149.8 Health 4,471.8 6,012.2 7,041.5 8,684.3 10,753.4 10,756.0 2,754.0 Uttar Pradesh Others 78,649.3 100,686.8 115,223.6 136,188.5 162,221.5 162,292.0 46,545.8 Road 15,342.8 22,013.7 26,855.3 34,177.6 46,448.0 46,498.5 10,028.6 Infrastructure Railway 13,669.6 19,993.5 24,825.8 30,023.3 36,456.3 36,476.8 8,919.6 Rice 192,097.0 257,084.6 298,189.8 361,604.1 431,131.1 431,216.0 117,084.5 Agriculture Wheat 565,126.3 723,057.2 813,086.7 933,394.5 1,041,619.2 1,041,734.1 330,130.2 Maize 19,065.0 26,555.1 30,554.8 36,056.1 40,600.3 40,601.8 11,741.4 Uttarakhand State/Province total 115,180.2 119,199.4 121,443.1 124,471.0 128,223.3 128,297.6 58,815.2 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 192 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Ghagra Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Residential 75,589.2 77,501.8 78,522.6 80,029.5 81,721.3 81,739.8 38,373.5 Commercial 31,785.9 33,530.3 34,484.5 35,698.6 37,395.8 37,441.5 16,420.2 Industrial 321.9 340.5 351.1 364.5 382.1 383.5 166.6 Building Education 532.5 555.8 568.5 584.7 607.8 607.9 273.3 Health 202.0 211.9 217.3 224.3 234.0 234.1 104.0 Others 1,957.4 2,051.4 2,102.7 2,168.2 2,260.2 2,262.4 1,007.1 Road 2,950.8 3,031.0 3,135.3 3,198.8 3,266.5 3,267.0 1,505.8 Infrastructure Railway 373.1 386.0 393.6 435.8 465.2 465.2 192.2 Rice 356.0 360.8 363.8 367.5 373.1 373.1 179.5 Agriculture Wheat 1,087.7 1,206.0 1,279.6 1,375.0 1,492.6 1,498.4 581.1 Maize 23.6 23.9 24.1 24.4 24.7 24.7 11.9 State/Province total 62,551.8 71,442.6 77,283.3 83,323.1 90,795.6 95,335.3 34,074.6 Residential 8,030.6 9,269.5 10,171.3 10,952.9 11,979.0 12,577.9 4,411.0 Commercial 25,829.6 28,991.4 31,290.8 33,397.9 36,025.9 37,827.2 13,932.0 Industrial 643.8 722.6 779.9 832.5 898.0 942.9 347.3 Building Education 69.4 80.1 87.9 94.7 103.5 108.7 38.1 Health 17.1 19.7 21.6 23.3 25.4 26.7 9.4 Far Western Others 1,738.0 1,950.8 2,105.5 2,247.3 2,424.1 2,545.3 937.4 Nepal Road 2,028.2 2,184.6 2,257.2 2,386.0 2,551.6 2,679.2 1,062.4 Infrastructure Railway 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Rice 16,728.0 19,771.6 21,600.1 23,760.3 26,441.3 27,763.3 9,308.8 Agriculture Wheat 6,843.0 7,724.2 8,201.4 8,806.3 9,469.7 9,943.2 3,687.7 Maize 624.0 728.0 767.6 822.0 877.1 921.0 340.5 State/Province total 121,282.9 133,057.3 140,660.7 148,319.8 158,500.6 166,425.7 64,345.9 Mid Western Residential 18,411.8 20,711.1 22,512.6 23,957.3 26,092.3 27,396.9 9,959.5 Building Commercial 50,170.3 54,503.3 57,404.2 60,309.3 63,691.7 66,876.3 26,457.5 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 193 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Ghagra Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Industrial 1,250.5 1,358.5 1,430.8 1,503.3 1,587.6 1,666.9 659.5 Education 159.1 179.0 194.6 207.1 225.5 236.8 86.1 Health 39.1 44.0 47.8 50.9 55.4 58.2 21.1 Others 3,375.8 3,667.4 3,862.6 4,058.1 4,285.7 4,499.9 1,780.3 Road 12,632.3 13,697.5 14,239.5 14,910.4 15,930.2 16,726.7 6,638.6 Infrastructure Railway 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Rice 26,493.8 29,228.7 30,805.7 32,595.3 35,089.2 36,843.6 14,090.6 Agriculture Wheat 6,284.4 7,009.9 7,399.3 7,825.1 8,478.7 8,902.7 3,360.6 Maize 2,465.6 2,657.8 2,763.7 2,903.2 3,064.4 3,217.6 1,292.2 State/Province total 19,269.4 22,460.9 24,722.2 32,299.0 40,510.4 42,535.9 10,986.7 Residential 3,263.6 3,893.3 4,318.2 5,152.8 6,279.9 6,593.9 1,859.3 Commercial 8,483.5 9,901.4 10,907.7 12,740.2 15,325.0 16,091.2 4,758.6 Industrial 211.5 246.8 271.9 317.6 382.0 401.1 118.6 Building Education 28.2 33.7 37.3 44.5 54.3 57.0 16.1 Health 6.9 8.3 9.2 10.9 13.3 14.0 3.9 Western Others 570.8 666.2 734.0 857.3 1,031.2 1,082.7 320.2 Road 510.2 550.1 570.9 603.7 735.2 771.9 269.5 Infrastructure Railway 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Rice 4,653.6 5,391.9 5,959.9 9,416.5 12,664.2 13,297.4 2,740.8 Agriculture Wheat 1,221.6 1,416.6 1,532.2 2,698.6 3,464.2 3,637.5 725.0 Maize 319.5 352.7 380.9 457.0 561.0 589.1 174.6 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 194 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-81: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Ghagra Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 195 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-82: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Ghagra Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 196 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-83: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Ghagra Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 197 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-84: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Ghagra Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 198 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-85: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Ghagra Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 199 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-86: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Ghagra Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 200 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-87: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Ghagra Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 201 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-88: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Ghagra Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 202 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 2 - 8 9 : A A L d u e t o f l o o d f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – R i c e : G h a g r a S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 203 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 2 - 9 0 : A A L d u e t o f l o o d f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – W h e a t : G h a g r a S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 204 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-91: AAL due to Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Ghagra Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 205 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 2.8 Kamla-Balan Sub-basin Affected Population: Figure 2-92: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Kamla -Balan Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 206 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 1 5 : T o t a l n u m b e r ( i n t h o u s a n d s ) o f p e r s o n s a f f e c t e d d u e t o v a r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d f l o o d e ve n t s : K a m l a - B a l a n S u b - b a s i n Sub-basin: Kamla-Balan India Nepal Return Period Male Female Total Male Female Total 2-Year 1,012 929 1,941 25 25 50 5-Year 1,150 1,057 2,207 29 30 59 10-Year 1,248 1,146 2,393 31 31 62 25-Year 1,370 1,258 2,628 33 33 66 50-Year 1,567 1,437 3,004 35 35 70 100-Year 1,567 1,437 3,004 37 37 73 Economic Losses: F i g u r e 2 - 9 3 : E x c e e d a n c e p r o b a b i l i t y c u r ve s h o w i n g t h e t o t a l l o s s e s d u e t o f l o o d f o r a l l e x p o s u r e t yp e s : K a m l a - B a l a n S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 207 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 1 6 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f d i f f e r e n t r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r va r i o u s e x p o s u r e c l a s s e s : K a m l a - B a l a n S u b - b a s i n State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Kamla-Balan Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL State/Province total 1,542,325.7 1,815,298.9 2,016,205.7 2,273,141.1 2,675,790.5 2,675,790.5 864,178.6 Residential 1,032,136.7 1,208,927.0 1,339,853.5 1,503,915.1 1,762,750.3 1,762,750.3 576,258.2 Commercial 420,361.3 491,403.9 544,977.9 617,178.5 725,435.2 725,435.2 234,799.7 Industrial 5,998.8 7,029.8 7,768.3 8,751.5 10,236.2 10,236.2 3,348.5 Building Education 2,156.1 2,521.2 2,785.5 3,129.1 3,647.7 3,647.7 1,201.6 Health 1,379.6 1,611.7 1,794.5 2,029.0 2,381.4 2,381.4 770.9 India Bihar Others 19,597.5 22,902.4 25,368.7 28,697.9 33,783.4 33,783.4 10,941.2 Road 3,972.2 5,022.2 5,666.2 6,598.2 8,427.8 8,427.8 2,334.4 Infrastructure Railway 5,632.9 6,464.7 6,984.7 8,289.3 10,064.9 10,064.9 3,122.5 Rice 13,903.0 18,567.8 22,037.7 25,893.8 32,567.1 32,567.1 8,519.2 Agriculture Wheat 28,108.6 36,754.0 42,891.7 49,693.5 61,925.0 61,925.0 16,913.8 Maize 9,078.9 14,094.2 16,077.0 18,965.2 24,571.6 24,571.6 5,968.4 State/Province total 14,229.7 17,495.8 18,781.6 20,024.2 21,861.5 22,954.6 7,994.0 Residential 847.5 1,044.0 1,121.1 1,194.9 1,307.1 1,372.5 476.6 Commercial 6,204.8 7,640.1 8,205.1 8,730.0 9,531.7 10,008.3 3,487.8 Industrial 154.7 190.4 204.5 217.6 237.6 249.5 86.9 Building Education 7.3 9.0 9.7 10.3 11.3 11.9 4.1 Health 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.8 2.9 1.0 Central Nepal Others 417.5 514.1 552.1 587.4 641.4 673.4 234.7 Road 240.6 255.7 272.0 303.6 323.3 339.4 126.8 Infrastructure Railway 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Rice 3,322.7 4,148.2 4,478.0 4,847.9 5,486.6 5,760.9 1,889.7 Agriculture Wheat 2,667.7 3,239.9 3,450.4 3,606.8 3,759.1 3,947.1 1,480.5 Maize 365.1 452.0 486.3 523.2 560.7 588.7 205.9 Eastern State/Province total 9,989.8 11,270.9 11,952.0 13,102.7 15,395.5 16,165.3 5,418.8 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 208 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Kamla-Balan Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Residential 972.2 1,095.4 1,159.9 1,237.9 1,350.4 1,417.9 523.2 Commercial 6,364.2 7,173.4 7,591.1 8,101.5 8,847.7 9,290.1 3,425.5 Industrial 158.6 178.8 189.2 201.9 220.5 231.6 85.4 Building Education 8.4 9.5 10.0 10.7 11.7 12.3 4.5 Health 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.9 3.0 1.1 Others 428.2 482.7 510.8 545.1 595.3 625.1 230.5 Road 100.8 109.2 117.3 129.5 147.5 154.9 53.8 Infrastructure Railway 3.1 3.7 5.2 7.2 10.2 10.7 2.0 Rice 1,205.8 1,353.9 1,438.0 1,720.1 2,491.4 2,616.0 668.9 Agriculture Wheat 647.3 755.3 817.1 1,031.1 1,592.9 1,672.6 372.0 Maize 99.2 106.6 110.8 115.0 125.1 131.3 51.9 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 209 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-94: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Kamla-Balan Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 210 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-95: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Kamla-Balan Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 211 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-96: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Kamla-Balan Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 212 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-97: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Kamla -Balan Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 213 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-98: AAL due to flood for Buildi ngs – Health Facilities: Kamla-Balan Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 214 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-99: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Kamla-Balan Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 215 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-100: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Kamla-Balan Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 216 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-101: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Kamla-Balan Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 217 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-102: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Rice: Kamla-Balan Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 218 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-103: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Kamla-Balan Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 219 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 2 - 1 0 4 : A A L d u e t o F l o o d f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – M a i z e : K a m l a - B a l a n S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 220 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 2.9 Yamuna Sub-basin Affected Population: Figure 2-105: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Yamuna Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 221 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 1 7 : T o t a l n u m b e r ( i n t h o u s a n d s ) o f p e r s o n s a f f e c t e d d u e t o v a r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d f l o o d e ve n t s : Y a m u n a S u b - b a s i n Sub-basin: Yamuna India Return Period Male Female Total 2-Year 3,900 3,408 7,308 5-Year 4,683 4,092 8,776 10-Year 5,064 4,426 9,490 25-Year 5,382 4,704 10,086 50-Year 5,595 4,890 10,485 100-Year 5,815 5,082 10,897 Economic Losses: F i g u r e 2 - 1 0 6 : E x c e e d a n c e p r o b a b i l i t y c u r ve s h o w i n g t h e t o t a l l o s s e s d u e t o f l o o d f o r a l l e x p o s u r e t yp e s : Y a m u n a S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 222 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 1 8 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f d i f f e r e n t r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r va r i o u s e x p o s u r e c l a s s e s : Y a m u n a S u b - b a s i n State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Yamuna Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL State/Province total 946,028.0 1,209,494.7 1,337,179.8 1,510,217.8 1,651,352.3 1,766,587.7 549,372.4 Residential 466,252.1 608,797.2 674,226.6 767,795.0 841,526.7 905,310.2 274,033.2 Commercial 248,033.3 314,355.4 348,587.1 391,920.5 430,105.2 460,956.9 143,509.8 Industrial 7,952.2 10,123.7 11,236.7 12,692.0 13,841.6 14,853.3 4,613.0 Building Education 856.1 1,107.8 1,229.1 1,389.9 1,521.3 1,634.2 500.7 Health 1,086.5 1,414.4 1,573.3 1,781.7 1,949.9 2,097.4 637.9 Haryana Others 10,869.3 13,781.1 15,266.0 17,168.7 18,813.5 20,156.7 6,287.9 Road 5,081.5 7,107.1 8,333.0 9,712.6 11,027.1 12,181.2 3,161.5 Infrastructure Railway 3,143.5 4,241.4 4,713.1 5,407.3 5,779.9 6,280.4 1,878.7 Rice 34,701.3 46,232.4 52,993.1 60,828.4 66,765.5 71,873.4 20,816.2 Agriculture Wheat 167,928.2 202,181.2 218,858.8 241,343.9 259,833.7 271,049.8 93,863.8 Maize 124.1 152.9 163.1 177.7 187.7 194.3 69.7 India State/Province total 61,718.1 70,494.2 75,329.7 80,378.1 83,876.4 87,386.0 33,404.8 Residential 37,745.8 43,748.3 47,066.0 50,640.1 53,088.9 55,504.6 20,621.3 Commercial 20,886.1 23,309.3 24,627.7 25,913.7 26,824.6 27,779.8 11,138.8 Industrial 382.1 427.2 451.8 475.6 492.7 510.2 204.0 Building Education 309.0 352.5 375.7 400.1 416.4 433.0 167.0 Health 156.8 178.4 189.9 202.0 210.0 218.2 84.6 Himachal Pradesh Others 976.3 1,079.2 1,135.2 1,189.2 1,228.3 1,269.5 517.7 Road 147.1 168.8 193.4 211.3 225.5 244.8 81.6 Infrastructure Railway 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Rice 137.2 151.6 159.1 166.1 171.6 176.0 72.7 Agriculture Wheat 398.5 439.6 460.9 480.8 496.4 509.1 210.8 Maize 579.0 639.1 670.2 699.3 722.1 740.7 306.4 Madhya Pradesh State/Province total 4,941.4 7,121.7 8,396.2 10,004.5 11,184.2 12,403.4 3,134.3 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 223 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Yamuna Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Residential 3,072.9 4,398.4 5,186.3 6,170.7 6,897.0 7,664.5 1,941.9 Commercial 1,098.4 1,596.1 1,906.4 2,271.4 2,550.1 2,818.7 702.6 Industrial 14.1 20.0 23.5 27.7 30.7 33.9 8.8 Building Education 19.1 27.3 32.0 37.5 41.6 46.0 12.0 Health 5.8 8.2 9.5 11.1 12.3 13.6 3.6 Others 122.3 175.6 207.5 245.6 274.0 302.6 77.4 Road 238.1 363.6 414.6 518.2 582.4 659.8 155.4 Infrastructure Railway 60.9 104.6 118.9 143.0 163.3 178.2 42.2 Rice 123.8 174.7 206.9 243.0 266.9 290.3 77.5 Agriculture Wheat 184.2 250.8 287.5 332.7 361.9 391.6 111.8 Maize 1.8 2.5 3.0 3.6 4.0 4.3 1.1 State/Province total 10,994,589.1 15,110,488.9 17,515,230.8 20,502,675.8 22,390,890.3 24,284,496.0 6,737,146.9 Residential 9,440,157.6 12,964,225.2 15,006,039.1 17,543,346.2 19,132,687.6 20,744,151.1 5,778,467.5 Commercial 1,251,204.6 1,734,419.2 2,031,625.7 2,402,239.1 2,648,216.3 2,880,152.6 774,029.3 Industrial 146,198.4 200,634.1 234,267.5 275,249.2 302,595.0 328,015.7 89,790.1 Building Education 12,806.4 17,693.7 20,583.0 24,098.4 26,381.2 28,607.0 7,878.1 Health 20,590.4 28,150.2 32,682.8 38,205.1 41,773.2 45,257.4 12,587.5 NCT of Delhi Others 96,506.0 131,894.2 153,506.3 180,019.6 197,694.3 214,478.3 59,073.7 Road 4,447.0 5,799.6 6,806.6 8,273.5 9,070.3 10,067.8 2,679.3 Infrastructure Railway 3,421.3 4,402.3 4,921.3 5,636.5 6,198.7 6,771.4 2,004.3 Rice 3,509.3 4,468.9 4,849.8 5,175.1 5,390.4 5,626.6 2,004.3 Agriculture Wheat 15,729.9 18,779.7 19,925.7 20,409.5 20,859.2 21,343.5 8,622.7 Maize 18.2 21.7 23.0 23.6 24.1 24.7 10.0 State/Province total 303,540.7 371,688.8 425,925.0 458,906.6 489,189.7 513,292.1 172,989.5 Rajasthan Residential 118,859.3 143,504.1 162,184.2 174,332.9 184,006.9 192,789.0 66,993.9 Building Commercial 125,049.2 152,173.7 174,727.9 188,565.5 199,415.9 209,183.6 71,073.1 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 224 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Yamuna Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Industrial 2,195.4 2,672.6 3,039.3 3,271.6 3,454.3 3,614.5 1,244.4 Education 433.7 528.7 595.2 639.5 674.5 705.2 245.3 Health 285.8 348.1 393.8 423.9 447.6 468.7 161.8 Others 7,249.7 8,843.3 10,076.8 10,858.2 11,471.9 12,020.8 4,115.9 Road 2,637.8 3,286.6 3,888.5 4,478.0 5,005.9 5,619.9 1,549.1 Infrastructure Railway 1,898.3 2,504.5 2,897.4 3,212.7 3,419.8 3,721.1 1,129.4 Rice 159.1 207.0 240.7 263.1 292.7 310.0 94.2 Agriculture Wheat 44,726.2 57,563.2 67,816.5 72,790.1 80,924.7 84,779.5 26,356.0 Maize 46.3 57.1 64.6 71.1 75.5 79.8 26.4 State/Province total 5,027,502.6 6,633,124.7 7,590,084.1 8,760,800.2 9,484,575.4 10,254,055.1 2,999,570.6 Residential 3,142,737.0 4,153,445.4 4,759,967.2 5,523,392.3 6,000,655.3 6,512,109.2 1,879,359.2 Commercial 1,357,687.9 1,797,565.2 2,056,965.9 2,366,340.3 2,551,546.8 2,744,914.1 810,772.3 Industrial 23,600.3 31,303.8 35,866.0 41,272.1 44,543.6 47,924.7 14,112.6 Building Education 8,295.8 11,151.1 12,864.6 15,043.0 16,382.2 17,756.0 5,018.0 Health 5,396.7 7,205.4 8,307.2 9,670.4 10,533.9 11,415.0 3,250.9 Uttar Pradesh Others 88,155.5 116,865.0 133,985.8 154,256.8 166,458.6 178,965.9 52,711.7 Road 16,953.4 26,651.2 34,310.2 44,088.3 51,473.6 58,797.0 11,794.2 Infrastructure Railway 9,217.1 12,275.8 14,285.3 16,968.6 19,262.7 21,537.3 5,597.2 Rice 68,090.6 88,209.0 99,138.2 111,447.7 118,780.9 126,962.5 39,882.8 Agriculture Wheat 302,158.0 381,563.7 426,617.0 469,672.2 495,763.4 523,797.8 173,989.8 Maize 5,210.5 6,888.9 7,776.7 8,648.5 9,174.4 9,875.5 3,082.1 State/Province total 40,925.5 42,698.1 43,721.3 44,926.3 45,802.0 46,751.0 20,994.8 Residential 6,888.6 7,621.3 8,084.4 8,678.3 9,098.1 9,493.9 3,673.3 Uttarakhand Commercial 28,888.7 29,767.3 30,213.7 30,657.4 30,993.0 31,436.7 14,693.6 Building Industrial 445.0 458.6 465.5 472.3 477.5 484.5 226.4 Education 212.8 220.9 225.3 230.2 233.8 237.8 108.8 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 225 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Yamuna Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Health 152.1 157.9 161.1 164.6 167.2 170.2 77.7 Others 1,594.7 1,643.1 1,667.7 1,692.3 1,710.7 1,735.1 811.1 Road 1,913.0 1,969.1 2,027.8 2,138.9 2,217.7 2,274.2 980.2 Infrastructure Railway 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Rice 276.3 286.8 292.5 298.6 303.1 308.4 141.2 Agriculture Wheat 435.8 450.5 458.5 466.6 472.3 479.5 222.1 Maize 118.6 122.6 124.8 127.0 128.6 130.7 60.5 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 226 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-107: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Yamuna Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 227 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-108: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Yamuna Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 228 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-109: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Yamuna Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 229 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-110: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Yamuna Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 230 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-111: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Yamuna Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 231 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-112: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Yamuna Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 232 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-113: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Yamuna Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 233 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-114: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Yamuna Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 234 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-115: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Rice: Yamuna Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 235 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-116: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Yamuna Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 236 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 2 - 1 1 7 : A A L d u e t o F l o o d f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – M a i z e : Y a m u n a S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 237 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 2.10 Ramganga Sub-basin Affected Population: Figure 2-118: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Ramganga Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 238 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 1 9 : T o t a l n u m b e r ( i n t h o u s a n d s ) o f p e r s o n s a f f e c t e d d u e t o v a r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d f l o o d e ve n t s : R a m g a n g a S u b - b a s i n Sub-basin: Ramganga India Return Period Male Female Total 2-Year 824 728 1,552 5-Year 1,051 929 1,979 10-Year 1,162 1,028 2,190 25-Year 1,274 1,127 2,401 50-Year 1,340 1,186 2,526 100-Year 1,401 1,241 2,642 Economic Losses: F i g u r e 2 - 1 1 9 : E x c e e d a n c e p r o b a b i l i t y c u r ve s h o w i n g t h e t o t a l l o s s e s d u e t o f l o o d f o r a l l e x p o s u r e t yp e s : R a m g a n g a S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 239 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 2 0 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f d i f f e r e n t r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r va r i o u s e x p o s u r e c l a s s e s : R a m g a n g a S u b - b a s i n State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Ramganga Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL State/Province total 1,223,876.9 1,670,175.4 1,908,655.7 2,172,903.5 2,347,234.0 2,515,466.9 740,785.0 Residential 608,695.0 821,807.6 938,640.1 1,071,645.9 1,162,865.3 1,251,640.3 366,685.7 Commercial 353,941.1 481,280.3 549,098.2 625,268.9 678,147.8 728,549.6 213,828.6 Industrial 5,798.3 7,973.1 9,119.7 10,406.5 11,298.0 12,141.4 3,526.5 Building Education 1,607.5 2,160.1 2,457.4 2,797.6 3,035.2 3,263.5 964.6 Health 1,095.5 1,487.2 1,699.9 1,940.7 2,107.2 2,267.0 661.9 Uttar Pradesh Others 20,344.2 27,634.7 31,533.3 35,913.3 38,956.0 41,856.3 12,285.1 Road 3,994.8 5,900.1 7,235.9 9,032.9 10,438.0 12,051.3 2,628.2 Infrastructure Railway 3,965.2 6,445.6 7,776.1 9,664.4 11,507.5 12,958.7 2,738.6 Rice 724.5 1,004.7 1,164.1 1,345.9 1,472.5 1,596.4 445.3 Agriculture Wheat 218,865.0 308,394.0 353,342.6 397,811.1 420,078.8 441,485.4 134,271.3 Maize 4,845.7 6,087.9 6,588.3 7,076.2 7,327.8 7,657.0 2,749.2 India State/Province total 58,516.5 66,360.2 70,579.2 75,404.0 79,133.5 81,715.9 31,542.3 Residential 23,142.0 26,185.9 27,994.0 29,981.6 31,359.3 32,587.4 12,479.9 Commercial 28,323.8 32,162.5 34,020.1 36,174.0 37,883.2 38,976.1 15,246.7 Industrial 326.2 379.2 408.1 442.1 471.4 486.9 178.7 Building Education 293.1 328.3 346.8 367.5 382.1 394.8 156.7 Health 149.4 168.6 179.2 191.0 199.5 206.6 80.3 Uttarakhand Others 1,645.1 1,854.5 1,955.3 2,074.1 2,166.5 2,226.0 881.7 Road 1,093.6 1,192.1 1,254.0 1,320.2 1,367.8 1,438.1 577.0 Infrastructure Railway 67.2 89.3 97.9 118.1 132.3 142.0 40.1 Rice 201.5 216.7 222.6 231.3 238.3 241.7 104.9 Agriculture Wheat 3,241.1 3,747.3 4,063.7 4,465.0 4,893.0 4,975.3 1,778.9 Maize 33.5 35.9 37.5 39.1 40.2 41.0 17.5 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 240 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-120: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Ramganga Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 241 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-121: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Ramganga Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 242 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-122: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Ramganga Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 243 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-123: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Ramganga Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 244 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-124: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Ramganga Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 245 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-125: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Ramganga Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 246 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-126: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Ramganga Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 247 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-127: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Ramganga Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 248 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-128: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Rice: Ramganga Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 249 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-129: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Ramganga Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 250 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 2 - 1 3 0 : A A L d u e t o F l o o d f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – M a i z e : R a m g a n g a S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 251 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 2.11 Gomti Sub-basin Affected Population: Figure 2-131: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100 -Year Return Period Flood: Gomti Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 252 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 2 1 : T o t a l n u m b e r ( i n t h o u s a n d s ) o f p e r s o n s a f f e c t e d d u e t o v a r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d f l o o d e ve n t s : G o m t i S u b - b a s i n Sub-basin: Gomti India Return Period Male Female Total 2-Year 701 662 1,364 5-Year 831 784 1,616 10-Year 891 840 1,731 25-Year 976 921 1,897 50-Year 1,019 962 1,981 100-Year 1,056 997 2,053 Economic Losses: F i g u r e 2 - 1 3 2 : E x c e e d a n c e p r o b a b i l i t y c u r ve s h o w i n g t h e t o t a l l o s s e s d u e t o f l o o d f o r a l l e x p o s u r e t yp e s : G o m t i S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 253 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 2 2 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f d i f f e r e n t r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r va r i o u s e x p o s u r e c l a s s e s : G o m t i S u b - b a s i n State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Gomti Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL State/Province total 1,548,581.9 1,994,238.9 2,276,647.5 2,601,423.0 2,842,803.2 3,041,834.0 911,472.1 Residential 720,210.3 951,344.8 1,103,474.2 1,270,253.3 1,393,262.7 1,494,951.2 431,693.2 Commercial 546,521.8 697,604.2 792,363.2 907,137.6 994,904.0 1,069,259.9 320,043.1 Industrial 8,167.2 10,561.9 12,053.3 13,818.3 15,226.0 16,383.8 4,822.0 Building Education 1,748.9 2,277.7 2,619.0 3,007.4 3,312.4 3,564.0 1,038.5 Health 1,664.8 2,174.0 2,501.2 2,883.5 3,176.3 3,412.6 990.5 Uttar Pradesh Others 34,632.8 44,778.3 51,088.0 58,535.4 64,404.2 69,285.0 20,440.5 Road 8,681.9 11,800.7 13,841.4 16,455.2 18,589.2 20,398.0 5,334.1 Infrastructure Railway 6,316.5 8,252.0 9,724.0 12,046.6 13,765.1 15,105.9 3,833.2 Rice 55,699.0 68,516.3 75,779.4 84,348.3 90,392.9 94,374.0 31,642.7 Agriculture Wheat 159,674.2 190,636.1 206,420.1 225,433.7 237,874.3 246,863.1 88,707.1 Maize 5,264.5 6,292.9 6,783.4 7,503.7 7,896.1 8,236.4 2,927.1 India State/Province total 499.1 598.4 660.7 740.5 829.7 847.9 280.8 Residential 120.8 144.9 160.0 179.3 200.7 205.2 68.0 Commercial 208.0 254.5 283.3 319.8 358.8 370.1 118.5 Industrial 6.2 7.6 8.5 9.5 10.7 11.0 3.5 Building Education 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.4 Health 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.2 0.4 Uttarakhand Others 9.9 12.2 13.5 15.3 17.2 17.7 5.7 Road 2.4 3.1 3.5 4.2 5.6 5.6 1.4 Infrastructure Railway 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.0 Rice 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Agriculture Wheat 150.3 174.5 189.9 210.0 234.0 235.5 82.8 Maize 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 254 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-133: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Gomti Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 255 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-134: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Gomti Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 256 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-135: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Gomti Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 257 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-136: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Gomti Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 258 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-137: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Gomti Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 259 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-138: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Gomti Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 260 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-139: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Gomti Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 261 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-140: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Gomti Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 262 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-141: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Rice: Gomti Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 263 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-142: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Gomti Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 264 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 2 - 1 4 3 : A A L d u e t o F l o o d f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – M a i z e : G o m t i S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 265 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 2.12 Sone Sub-basin Affected Population: Figure 2-144: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Sone Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 266 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 2 3 : T o t a l n u m b e r ( i n t h o u s a n d s ) o f p e r s o n s a f f e c t e d d u e t o v a r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d f l o o d e ve n t s : S o n e S u b - b a s i n Sub-basin: Sone India Return Period Male Female Total 2-Year 238 218 456 5-Year 294 270 564 10-Year 318 292 609 25-Year 355 325 680 50-Year 394 362 756 100-Year 394 362 756 Economic Losses: F i g u r e 2 - 1 4 5 : E x c e e d a n c e p r o b a b i l i t y c u r ve s h o w i n g t h e t o t a l l o s s e s d u e t o f l o o d f o r a l l e x p o s u r e t yp e s : S o n e S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 267 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 2 4 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f d i f f e r e n t r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r va r i o u s e x p o s u r e c l a s s e s : S o n e S u b - b a s i n State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Sone Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL State/Province total 426,458.2 582,829.2 678,981.7 804,690.2 974,427.2 974,427.3 262,541.6 Residential 284,834.8 389,535.7 455,716.2 540,715.6 656,125.2 656,125.2 175,683.8 Commercial 96,474.9 131,217.9 152,384.8 180,777.9 220,638.0 220,638.0 59,235.7 Industrial 1,435.6 1,930.4 2,227.8 2,632.2 3,194.5 3,194.5 873.9 Building Education 789.9 1,072.9 1,255.6 1,489.7 1,813.8 1,813.8 485.7 Health 669.7 904.7 1,056.4 1,250.7 1,518.6 1,518.6 410.1 Bihar Others 7,244.1 9,835.1 11,396.8 13,514.7 16,484.8 16,484.8 4,440.5 Road 4,073.6 5,473.7 6,441.6 7,565.3 9,294.3 9,294.3 2,493.1 Infrastructure Railway 1,030.3 1,627.3 2,211.1 2,702.7 3,446.0 3,446.1 727.5 Rice 18,300.9 25,164.7 28,570.0 33,422.4 38,677.7 38,677.7 11,162.9 Agriculture Wheat 11,245.1 15,574.0 17,176.7 19,988.0 22,521.4 22,521.4 6,811.7 Maize 359.2 492.9 544.6 631.1 713.1 713.1 216.6 India State/Province total 18,319.6 22,116.6 24,620.3 27,596.5 31,766.6 31,766.6 10,372.0 Residential 7,808.5 9,550.4 10,796.2 12,189.6 14,132.4 14,132.4 4,471.8 Commercial 4,478.9 5,409.5 5,930.7 6,605.7 7,472.3 7,472.3 2,522.0 Industrial 107.3 129.4 141.7 157.6 178.1 178.1 60.3 Building Education 61.3 74.7 82.7 92.5 105.8 105.8 34.8 Health 10.3 12.5 13.7 15.3 17.4 17.4 5.8 Chattisgarh Others 419.1 504.7 552.0 613.0 691.9 691.9 235.4 Road 2,416.3 2,871.0 3,203.2 3,614.9 4,330.7 4,330.7 1,363.1 Infrastructure Railway 76.4 113.3 139.9 164.7 192.9 192.9 49.8 Rice 2,520.1 2,960.1 3,226.8 3,559.2 3,992.1 3,992.1 1,396.7 Agriculture Wheat 131.3 153.0 166.3 182.1 203.7 203.7 72.4 Maize 290.1 338.1 367.2 401.9 449.3 449.3 159.9 Jharkhand State/Province total 62,108.5 87,221.8 103,391.2 123,128.6 151,252.3 151,252.3 39,045.8 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 268 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Sone Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Residential 48,387.9 68,484.1 81,590.3 97,643.3 120,449.3 120,449.3 30,622.0 Commercial 9,757.9 13,431.0 15,619.1 18,267.9 22,127.8 22,127.8 6,015.5 Industrial 172.6 239.5 279.1 327.5 397.8 397.8 107.0 Building Education 185.4 264.3 314.0 373.3 455.5 455.5 117.5 Health 75.3 107.5 127.7 151.8 185.3 185.3 47.8 Others 891.9 1,234.7 1,438.0 1,685.9 2,046.2 2,046.2 552.0 Road 1,329.3 1,674.6 1,932.2 2,260.2 2,728.3 2,728.3 782.0 Infrastructure Railway 243.8 401.4 565.3 730.2 964.7 964.7 181.1 Rice 641.2 856.9 948.4 1,057.3 1,191.0 1,191.0 379.9 Agriculture Wheat 177.2 223.6 244.9 268.6 301.0 301.0 101.6 Maize 245.9 304.2 332.2 362.7 405.4 405.4 139.5 State/Province total 126,012.3 157,830.2 180,113.4 205,281.9 240,651.1 240,724.9 73,312.9 Residential 81,530.5 102,919.0 118,377.3 135,656.4 159,623.0 159,682.3 47,759.9 Commercial 25,239.4 31,482.5 35,709.1 40,360.4 46,979.3 46,990.9 14,609.5 Industrial 486.4 609.7 694.3 787.9 920.4 920.6 282.7 Building Education 396.2 497.7 571.3 651.7 764.6 764.7 231.2 Health 116.9 147.4 169.3 193.3 227.0 227.0 68.4 Madhya Pradesh Others 3,367.9 4,172.9 4,713.3 5,297.9 6,136.6 6,138.1 1,939.2 Road 8,537.8 10,698.8 11,717.3 13,297.2 15,369.4 15,369.5 4,907.6 Infrastructure Railway 831.5 1,064.7 1,539.7 1,910.5 2,806.4 2,806.4 542.6 Rice 3,822.3 4,351.3 4,634.9 5,006.7 5,517.5 5,517.9 2,070.4 Agriculture Wheat 1,415.8 1,583.1 1,663.8 1,771.3 1,923.4 1,923.7 756.8 Maize 267.6 303.1 323.0 348.7 383.7 383.7 144.6 State/Province total 116,501.5 157,843.8 190,778.7 225,525.0 269,247.0 269,251.4 72,077.0 Uttar Pradesh Residential 70,369.3 97,534.5 119,004.2 141,363.9 168,374.8 168,377.4 44,199.3 Building Commercial 33,332.8 44,148.8 53,612.4 63,869.5 77,166.1 77,167.6 20,452.2 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 269 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Sone Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Industrial 431.7 571.8 694.3 827.2 999.4 999.4 264.9 Education 228.7 316.4 387.3 461.6 551.3 551.3 143.7 Health 159.2 221.0 270.1 321.6 383.5 383.5 100.2 Others 1,911.1 2,531.3 3,073.9 3,662.0 4,424.4 4,424.5 1,172.6 Road 2,321.6 3,720.2 4,483.8 5,455.9 7,189.7 7,189.7 1,590.4 Infrastructure Railway 554.0 685.3 792.0 915.0 1,178.2 1,178.2 324.1 Rice 2,104.0 2,839.3 3,082.1 3,158.4 3,279.4 3,279.4 1,228.8 Agriculture Wheat 4,615.3 4,784.2 4,877.9 4,979.0 5,169.7 5,169.7 2,358.6 Maize 473.8 491.1 500.8 511.1 530.7 530.7 242.1 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 270 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-146: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Sone Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 271 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-147: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Sone Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 272 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-148: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Sone Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 273 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-149: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Sone Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 274 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-150: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Sone Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 275 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-151: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Sone Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 276 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-152: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Sone Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 277 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-153: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Sone Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 278 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-154: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Rice: Sone Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 279 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-155: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Sone Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 280 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 2 - 1 5 6 : A A L d u e t o F l o o d f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – M a i z e : S o n e S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 281 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 2.13 Upper Ganges Sub-basin Affected Population: Figure 2-157: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100 -Year Return Period Flood: Upper Ganges Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 282 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 2 5 : T o t a l n u m b e r ( i n t h o u s a n d s ) o f p e r s o n s a f f e c t e d d u e t o v a r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d f l o o d e ve n t s : U p p e r G a n g e s S u b - b a s i n Sub-basin: Upper Ganges India Return Period Male Female Total 2-Year 1,127 991 2,118 5-Year 1,286 1,130 2,416 10-Year 1,369 1,204 2,573 25-Year 1,451 1,275 2,727 50-Year 1,503 1,321 2,824 100-Year 1,551 1,363 2,914 Economic Losses: F i g u r e 2 - 1 5 8 : E x c e e d a n c e p r o b a b i l i t y c u r ve s h o w i n g t h e t o t a l l o s s e s d u e t o f l o o d f o r a l l e x p o s u r e t yp e s : U p p e r G a n g e s S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 283 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 2 6 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f d i f f e r e n t r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r va r i o u s e x p o s u r e c l a s s e s : U p p e r G a n g e s S u b - b a s i n State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Upper Ganges Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL State/Province total 27.9 28.2 28.8 29.2 29.2 29.6 14.1 Residential 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.8 1.2 Commercial 6.6 6.9 7.2 7.5 7.5 7.8 3.4 Industrial 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 Building Education 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Health 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Himachal Pradesh Others 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 Road 18.4 18.4 18.4 18.4 18.4 18.4 9.2 Infrastructure Railway 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Rice 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Agriculture Wheat 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Maize 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 India State/Province total 2,361,145.2 2,823,705.4 3,097,008.8 3,407,117.2 3,631,314.1 3,853,265.1 1,319,522.8 Residential 1,085,172.6 1,302,303.0 1,437,548.8 1,597,830.1 1,718,056.5 1,838,953.2 609,561.7 Commercial 775,305.3 935,758.1 1,026,299.5 1,130,719.5 1,204,450.3 1,276,117.7 435,165.5 Industrial 11,940.7 14,392.5 15,766.3 17,364.9 18,480.3 19,558.6 6,695.1 Building Education 3,795.7 4,560.4 5,028.8 5,588.6 6,006.5 6,424.9 2,132.5 Health 2,867.9 3,441.9 3,798.9 4,227.9 4,545.3 4,859.6 1,611.1 Uttar Pradesh Others 39,975.2 48,329.8 53,051.9 58,500.9 62,354.1 66,107.4 22,463.3 Road 7,811.8 10,889.7 13,193.8 16,322.3 18,671.3 21,251.4 4,949.8 Infrastructure Railway 6,219.2 8,219.3 9,562.5 11,085.1 12,465.0 13,768.0 3,745.5 Rice 15,519.0 19,617.0 22,056.9 24,865.0 26,847.0 28,775.5 8,994.3 Agriculture Wheat 395,094.5 455,657.6 488,575.0 517,240.4 535,252.4 552,395.8 214,629.9 Maize 17,443.2 20,536.0 22,126.4 23,372.6 24,185.3 25,052.9 9,574.0 Uttarakhand State/Province total 279,049.8 303,466.0 319,158.4 336,676.9 347,928.1 358,507.2 147,009.0 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 284 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Upper Ganges Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Residential 160,278.4 174,154.1 182,330.4 191,724.5 198,176.8 204,192.7 84,296.9 Commercial 88,131.8 96,735.6 101,668.6 107,260.7 111,108.1 114,804.6 46,617.6 Industrial 1,136.2 1,279.5 1,365.8 1,463.0 1,529.0 1,593.7 611.2 Building Education 1,087.5 1,159.5 1,198.6 1,244.3 1,275.7 1,305.2 564.8 Health 589.3 643.8 675.0 710.2 734.0 757.2 310.8 Others 4,327.5 4,726.0 4,952.3 5,212.4 5,390.2 5,560.4 2,281.8 Road 18,416.7 18,965.2 19,290.2 19,789.4 20,086.2 20,301.1 9,378.6 Infrastructure Railway 515.0 613.0 698.1 825.6 887.5 948.1 292.6 Rice 680.8 716.2 734.5 752.4 766.0 777.4 350.4 Agriculture Wheat 3,820.6 4,399.6 6,166.9 7,613.1 7,890.8 8,179.8 2,269.1 Maize 66.0 73.6 77.8 81.4 84.0 86.9 35.2 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 285 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-159: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Upper Ganges Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 286 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-160: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Upper Ganges Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 287 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-161: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Upper Ganges Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 288 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-162: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Upper Ganges Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 289 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-163: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Upper Ganges Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 290 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-164: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Upper Ganges Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 291 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-165: AAL due to flood for Infrastr ucture – Road network: Upper Ganges Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 292 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-166: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Upper Ganges Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 293 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-167: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Rice: Upper Ganges Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 294 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-168: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Upper Ganges Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 295 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 2 - 1 6 9 : A A L d u e t o F l o o d f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – M a i z e : U p p e r G a n g e s S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 296 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 2.14 Tons Sub-basin Affected Population: Figure 2-170: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Tons Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 297 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 2 7 : T o t a l n u m b e r ( i n t h o u s a n d s ) o f p e r s o n s a f f e c t e d d u e t o v a r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d f l o o d e ve n t s : T o n s S u b - b a s i n Sub-basin: Tons India Return Period Male Female Total 2-Year 110 101 211 5-Year 144 132 276 10-Year 167 152 319 25-Year 190 173 363 50-Year 205 187 392 100-Year 218 199 417 Economic Losses: F i g u r e 2 - 1 7 1 : E x c e e d a n c e p r o b a b i l i t y c u r ve s h o w i n g t h e t o t a l l o s s e s d u e t o f l o o d f o r a l l e x p o s u r e t yp e s : T o n s S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 298 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 2 8 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f d i f f e r e n t r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r va r i o u s e x p o s u r e c l a s s e s : T o n s S u b - b a s i n State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Tons Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL State/Province total 124,220.2 139,515.4 152,948.7 161,803.0 169,903.9 176,764.5 67,097.3 Residential 67,985.2 76,900.8 84,713.4 90,274.5 95,085.3 99,371.6 36,918.5 Commercial 37,468.4 41,545.0 45,504.2 47,821.4 50,063.6 51,807.6 20,100.4 Industrial 560.6 624.3 687.9 725.3 760.1 787.0 301.9 Building Education 536.0 592.8 646.7 678.8 709.6 735.2 286.9 Health 158.1 175.5 192.4 202.4 211.7 219.5 84.9 Madhya Pradesh Others 4,753.8 5,272.9 5,785.7 6,084.4 6,369.6 6,593.7 2,551.9 Road 5,226.0 5,926.1 6,281.0 6,554.8 6,871.0 7,109.5 2,808.2 Infrastructure Railway 99.4 170.7 193.9 233.2 266.4 290.7 68.8 Rice 3,362.0 3,768.8 4,063.1 4,192.4 4,349.1 4,483.8 1,801.4 Agriculture Wheat 4,047.8 4,512.9 4,852.8 5,007.4 5,188.0 5,335.5 2,162.2 Maize 22.9 25.7 27.5 28.4 29.5 30.3 12.3 India State/Province total 388,455.6 558,127.4 673,339.9 803,899.3 887,506.9 966,425.7 247,367.1 Residential 121,037.4 175,560.0 213,462.9 256,015.5 281,874.0 307,184.7 77,685.9 Commercial 213,998.3 307,218.0 369,532.8 439,928.7 484,903.5 527,628.2 136,017.1 Industrial 2,986.6 4,286.2 5,149.1 6,122.6 6,744.9 7,336.9 1,896.8 Building Education 464.5 672.1 812.7 973.0 1,075.2 1,171.3 297.2 Health 370.1 537.0 651.3 782.3 864.9 943.6 237.5 Uttar Pradesh Others 13,863.4 19,908.4 23,951.6 28,520.7 31,433.8 34,210.1 8,813.8 Road 2,806.7 4,589.3 5,972.9 7,983.9 9,887.5 11,171.3 2,029.6 Infrastructure Railway 698.9 1,736.9 2,843.5 4,552.4 6,447.1 7,931.5 788.8 Rice 14,870.3 20,156.6 23,561.6 27,294.8 29,722.1 31,838.7 9,051.9 Agriculture Wheat 17,324.0 23,420.3 27,353.8 31,671.4 34,492.3 36,946.0 10,528.3 Maize 35.5 42.5 47.8 53.9 61.7 63.3 20.1 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 299 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-172: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Tons Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 300 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-173: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Tons Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 301 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-174: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Tons Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 302 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-175: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Tons Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 303 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-176: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Tons Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 304 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-177: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Tons Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 305 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-178: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Tons Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 306 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-179: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Tons Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 307 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-180: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Rice: Tons Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 308 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-181: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Tons Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 309 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 2 - 1 8 2 : A A L d u e t o F l o o d f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – M a i z e : T o n s S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 310 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 2.15 Sind Sub-basin Affected Population: Figure 2-183: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Sind Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 311 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 2 9 : T o t a l n u m b e r ( i n t h o u s a n d s ) o f p e r s o n s a f f e c t e d d u e t o v a r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d f l o o d e ve n t s : S i n d S u b - b a s i n Sub-basin: Sind India Return Period Male Female Total 2-Year 154 132 286 5-Year 189 161 349 10-Year 207 176 383 25-Year 226 192 418 50-Year 238 203 441 100-Year 250 213 463 Economic Losses: F i g u r e 2 - 1 8 4 : E x c e e d a n c e p r o b a b i l i t y c u r ve s h o w i n g t h e t o t a l l o s s e s d u e t o f l o o d f o r a l l e x p o s u r e t yp e s : S i n d S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 312 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 3 0 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f d i f f e r e n t r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r va r i o u s e x p o s u r e c l a s s e s : S i n d S u b - b a s i n State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Sind Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL State/Province total 454,254.0 564,974.2 620,646.8 683,106.3 722,786.5 762,395.9 258,526.4 Residential 282,673.8 349,483.7 382,144.9 418,411.6 440,802.7 463,370.4 160,089.2 Commercial 113,708.1 143,323.7 158,887.4 176,829.2 188,790.5 200,586.6 65,408.4 Industrial 1,405.0 1,745.9 1,921.8 2,117.9 2,249.0 2,377.6 800.0 Building Education 927.3 1,154.8 1,268.4 1,394.0 1,473.2 1,552.7 527.9 Health 327.9 408.2 449.0 494.3 523.3 552.1 186.8 Madhya Pradesh Others 12,446.6 15,616.7 17,281.4 19,186.7 20,456.8 21,710.3 7,137.9 Road 7,138.3 9,222.0 10,379.1 11,743.1 12,717.0 13,709.1 4,185.6 Infrastructure Railway 1,538.4 1,936.6 2,180.4 2,599.9 2,666.6 2,783.4 892.5 Rice 2,133.9 2,669.0 2,969.5 3,287.3 3,508.9 3,710.6 1,223.2 Agriculture Wheat 31,609.1 38,970.7 42,666.2 46,490.5 49,005.1 51,412.4 17,873.7 Maize 345.6 442.9 498.8 551.7 593.3 630.8 201.2 India State/Province total 116,240.1 157,490.4 183,333.0 213,467.5 230,874.4 248,938.4 70,688.5 Residential 67,416.3 91,973.4 107,535.2 125,747.9 136,203.2 147,192.3 41,223.3 Commercial 34,242.6 46,123.5 53,580.4 62,240.8 67,148.5 72,168.0 20,737.9 Industrial 428.5 576.3 665.6 767.6 826.3 886.7 258.6 Building Education 350.6 475.8 551.0 636.8 686.1 737.5 212.8 Health 212.8 289.2 334.9 387.3 418.2 450.3 129.3 Uttar Pradesh Others 2,741.8 3,688.1 4,268.4 4,935.6 5,313.8 5,702.1 1,656.3 Road 1,261.9 1,851.3 2,213.6 2,761.5 3,195.4 3,660.7 820.3 Infrastructure Railway 250.8 439.9 520.0 639.4 738.1 825.6 178.9 Rice 1,432.1 1,902.4 2,134.8 2,373.4 2,507.1 2,650.5 847.0 Agriculture Wheat 7,805.2 10,041.3 11,384.4 12,816.5 13,667.9 14,485.5 4,566.6 Maize 97.4 129.0 144.7 160.8 169.8 179.4 57.5 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 313 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-185: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Sind Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 314 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-186: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Sind Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 315 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-187: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Sind Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 316 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-188: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Sind Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 317 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-189: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Sind Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 318 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-190: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Sind Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 319 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-191: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Sind Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 320 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-192: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Sind Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 321 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-193: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Rice: Sind Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 322 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-194: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Sind Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 323 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 2 - 1 9 5 : A A L d u e t o F l o o d f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – M a i z e : S i n d S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 324 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 2.16 Ken Sub-basin Affected Population: Figure 2-196: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Ken Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 325 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 3 1 : T o t a l n u m b e r ( i n t h o u s a n d s ) o f p e r s o n s a f f e c t e d d u e t o v a r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d f l o o d e ve n t s : K e n S u b - b a s i n Sub-basin: Ken India Return Period Male Female Total 2-Year 60 53 113 5-Year 79 70 149 10-Year 92 81 173 25-Year 107 94 201 50-Year 117 103 221 100-Year 126 111 237 Economic Losses: F i g u r e 2 - 1 9 7 : E x c e e d a n c e p r o b a b i l i t y c u r ve s h o w i n g t h e t o t a l l o s s e s d u e t o f l o o d f o r a l l e x p o s u r e t yp e s : K e n S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 326 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 3 2 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f d i f f e r e n t r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r va r i o u s e x p o s u r e c l a s s e s : K e n S u b - b a s i n State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Ken Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL State/Province total 136,881.7 181,338.1 213,745.2 245,759.8 274,016.8 296,486.0 82,643.3 Residential 78,350.3 104,282.8 123,479.6 142,115.0 158,367.2 171,422.0 47,482.3 Commercial 35,899.1 47,772.1 56,169.8 64,730.0 71,792.1 77,714.3 21,706.8 Industrial 423.7 562.4 660.7 760.1 844.8 915.2 255.8 Building Education 394.8 523.2 615.9 708.2 786.5 849.8 238.2 Health 123.3 163.3 192.0 220.8 245.2 264.8 74.3 Madhya Pradesh Others 3,241.1 4,306.7 5,057.1 5,826.1 6,469.5 7,006.8 1,957.7 Road 7,741.5 10,136.2 12,101.0 14,092.6 16,423.3 18,122.0 4,689.4 Infrastructure Railway 833.1 1,123.5 1,384.5 1,498.8 1,912.8 2,014.6 514.6 Rice 2,647.7 3,329.1 3,751.2 4,206.7 4,563.7 4,828.2 1,530.3 Agriculture Wheat 7,122.5 9,007.7 10,186.4 11,437.5 12,433.7 13,160.2 4,133.4 Maize 104.6 131.1 147.0 164.1 178.0 188.1 60.3 India State/Province total 158,593.0 235,148.9 291,268.1 366,601.2 411,340.7 453,506.5 104,549.4 Residential 97,224.9 144,132.6 178,448.0 225,165.1 252,637.2 278,658.6 64,103.9 Commercial 49,140.7 72,810.5 89,644.1 112,102.9 125,695.9 138,414.4 32,285.1 Industrial 472.8 699.4 860.4 1,078.0 1,209.0 1,332.0 310.4 Building Education 334.1 492.7 609.2 772.2 868.6 960.8 219.8 Health 195.7 288.8 357.3 451.8 508.2 562.0 128.8 Uttar Pradesh Others 2,299.9 3,403.0 4,187.1 5,242.3 5,878.8 6,475.8 1,509.9 Road 1,506.3 3,035.1 4,785.1 6,745.5 7,925.0 8,979.5 1,346.5 Infrastructure Railway 392.0 532.1 591.3 711.9 791.6 894.3 237.4 Rice 667.1 934.8 1,118.1 1,439.1 1,591.2 1,744.0 422.8 Agriculture Wheat 6,359.4 8,819.6 10,667.3 12,892.1 14,234.8 15,484.9 3,984.9 Maize 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 327 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-198: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Ken Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 328 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-199: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Ken Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 329 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-200: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Ken Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 330 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-201: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Ken Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 331 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-202: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Ken Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 332 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-203: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Ken Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 333 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-204: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Ken Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 334 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-205: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Ken Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 335 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-206: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Rice: Ken Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 336 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-207: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Ken Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 337 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 2 - 2 0 8 : A A L d u e t o F l o o d f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – M a i z e : K e n S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 338 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 2.17 Betwa Sub-basin Affected Population: Figure 2-209: Spatial distribution of total affected pers ons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Betwa Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 339 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 3 3 : T o t a l n u m b e r ( i n t h o u s a n d s ) o f p e r s o n s a f f e c t e d d u e t o v a r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d f l o o d e ve n t s : B e t w a S u b - b a s i n Sub-basin: Betwa India Return Period Male Female Total 2-Year 97 87 184 5-Year 123 109 232 10-Year 138 122 260 25-Year 156 139 295 50-Year 168 150 318 100-Year 179 159 339 Economic Losses: F i g u r e 2 - 2 1 0 : E x c e e d a n c e p r o b a b i l i t y c u r ve s h o w i n g t h e t o t a l l o s s e s d u e t o f l o o d f o r a l l e x p o s u r e t yp e s : B e t w a S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 340 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 3 4 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f d i f f e r e n t r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r va r i o u s e x p o s u r e c l a s s e s : B e t w a S u b - b a s i n State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Betwa Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL State/Province total 110,426.7 154,233.0 182,238.9 217,719.7 241,736.3 265,736.5 68,914.8 Residential 58,395.9 81,607.9 96,696.7 115,494.1 128,372.2 140,995.9 36,484.9 Commercial 30,171.4 42,866.7 51,003.4 61,390.9 68,484.4 75,643.5 19,067.4 Industrial 378.9 540.9 645.2 778.8 869.9 963.0 240.4 Building Education 331.9 468.1 557.1 668.8 744.6 819.4 208.8 Health 98.0 139.1 166.0 199.8 222.7 245.5 61.9 Madhya Pradesh Others 3,156.3 4,494.3 5,354.1 6,458.6 7,208.5 7,966.1 1,998.5 Road 3,586.8 5,474.6 6,674.7 8,477.9 9,628.1 10,958.5 2,399.4 Infrastructure Railway 1,029.0 1,392.0 1,681.6 2,084.0 2,348.6 2,740.8 641.4 Rice 311.8 432.7 503.9 588.0 642.7 693.8 192.2 Agriculture Wheat 12,696.2 16,471.2 18,568.7 21,142.2 22,747.9 24,216.3 7,462.6 Maize 270.4 345.5 387.5 436.6 466.8 493.8 157.3 India State/Province total 305,587.1 438,571.2 530,086.5 642,422.7 729,793.1 811,653.8 195,601.4 Residential 170,949.4 248,556.1 302,827.8 369,308.4 420,403.7 468,861.0 110,588.9 Commercial 99,549.1 143,219.8 172,129.3 207,900.0 236,872.0 263,401.1 63,675.2 Industrial 1,047.0 1,489.6 1,783.2 2,140.6 2,426.6 2,692.4 664.1 Building Education 830.0 1,205.3 1,472.1 1,818.0 2,091.6 2,355.2 538.7 Health 616.0 879.0 1,061.4 1,292.5 1,473.8 1,649.4 393.5 Uttar Pradesh Others 5,900.9 8,341.7 9,958.4 11,938.1 13,510.2 14,963.4 3,725.4 Road 2,445.4 4,549.7 6,682.9 8,955.4 10,421.3 11,831.3 1,991.2 Infrastructure Railway 843.4 1,256.1 1,558.6 1,855.3 2,143.9 2,388.6 554.6 Rice 159.4 199.3 221.1 247.4 264.9 280.9 91.4 Agriculture Wheat 22,687.8 28,208.5 31,686.6 36,214.2 39,404.0 42,425.6 13,071.0 Maize 558.6 666.1 705.1 752.8 781.3 805.0 307.4 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 341 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-211: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Betwa Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 342 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-212: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Betwa Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 343 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-213: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Betwa Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 344 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-214: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Betwa Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 345 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-215: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Betwa Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 346 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-216: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Betwa Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 347 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-217: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Betwa Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 348 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-218: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Betwa Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 349 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-219: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Rice: Betwa Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 350 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-220: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Betwa Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 351 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 2 - 2 2 1 : A A L d u e t o F l o o d f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – M a i z e : B e t w a S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 352 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia 2.18 Chambal Sub-basin Affected Population: Figure 2-222: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Chambal Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 353 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 3 5 : T o t a l n u m b e r ( i n t h o u s a n d s ) o f p e r s o n s a f f e c t e d d u e t o v a r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d f l o o d e ve n t s : C h a m b a l S u b - b a s i n Sub-basin: Chambal India Return Period Male Female Total 2-Year 364 335 699 5-Year 460 424 884 10-Year 514 473 987 25-Year 570 525 1,095 50-Year 609 562 1,171 100-Year 646 596 1,241 Economic Losses: F i g u r e 2 - 2 2 3 : E x c e e d a n c e p r o b a b i l i t y c u r ve s h o w i n g t h e t o t a l l o s s e s d u e t o f l o o d f o r a l l e x p o s u r e t yp e s : C h a m b a l S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 354 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia T a b l e 2 - 3 6 : P M L a n d A A L d u e t o f l o o d e ve n t s o f d i f f e r e n t r e t u r n p e r i o d s f o r va r i o u s e x p o s u r e c l a s s e s : C h a m b a l S u b - b a s i n State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Chambal Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL State/Province total 493,233.5 668,212.1 767,715.1 875,093.7 958,235.6 1,032,871.2 298,267.1 Residential 279,870.7 384,809.2 445,753.6 512,997.7 564,362.4 611,603.4 171,206.9 Commercial 148,265.4 196,243.5 222,339.6 249,124.3 270,432.3 288,281.8 88,014.0 Industrial 2,415.6 3,202.0 3,637.3 4,080.6 4,435.2 4,742.9 1,436.5 Building Education 1,446.1 2,003.9 2,329.5 2,688.1 2,958.8 3,208.7 889.4 Health 483.6 663.1 768.1 882.5 969.4 1,051.8 295.3 Madhya Pradesh Others 15,681.5 20,881.4 23,722.2 26,676.9 28,990.8 30,962.4 9,349.0 Road 5,967.7 8,996.2 10,651.3 13,011.6 14,860.3 16,692.9 3,904.8 Infrastructure Railway 3,861.0 5,714.8 7,177.3 8,636.6 9,974.0 11,534.7 2,548.2 Rice 644.7 833.6 931.7 1,048.6 1,132.9 1,220.6 377.2 Agriculture Wheat 29,552.8 38,429.6 43,200.3 48,018.1 51,574.5 54,585.0 17,322.8 Maize 5,044.4 6,434.7 7,204.3 7,928.8 8,545.0 8,987.0 2,922.9 India State/Province total 920,326.4 1,187,166.5 1,348,613.1 1,530,274.1 1,659,010.0 1,788,180.9 540,808.7 Residential 357,162.4 471,325.4 540,690.3 619,056.0 675,430.9 731,788.4 213,176.0 Commercial 372,257.8 474,671.2 537,057.8 606,268.7 655,005.1 703,904.4 217,082.4 Industrial 9,508.7 11,514.9 12,756.5 14,159.6 15,141.9 16,118.1 5,365.3 Building Education 1,669.2 2,200.3 2,508.9 2,853.5 3,097.8 3,335.4 992.7 Health 1,244.8 1,591.8 1,797.1 2,028.8 2,193.3 2,353.9 726.5 Rajasthan Others 36,929.5 47,271.3 53,642.8 60,782.0 65,789.4 70,836.2 21,606.5 Road 21,023.4 26,404.4 29,520.6 33,642.2 36,880.7 40,558.4 12,165.9 Infrastructure Railway 12,652.2 13,808.9 14,546.6 15,532.4 16,359.4 16,950.4 6,693.1 Rice 4,086.8 5,730.5 6,729.0 7,910.1 8,657.3 9,446.7 2,542.1 Agriculture Wheat 87,254.0 111,898.1 126,182.5 142,201.8 152,801.0 163,510.4 50,944.1 Maize 16,537.5 20,749.7 23,181.0 25,838.9 27,653.0 29,378.6 9,514.2 Uttar Pradesh State/Province total 213,764.3 267,306.3 292,537.7 314,916.3 327,264.8 341,174.1 121,394.9 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 355 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia State/Province wise Losses (Thousand INR): Chambal Sub-basin Country State/Province Return Period 2-Year 5-Year 10-Year 25-Year 50-Year 100-Year AAL Residential 95,630.6 120,601.3 132,744.5 143,105.9 148,931.6 155,352.6 54,618.9 Commercial 92,121.9 114,168.0 124,213.0 133,387.5 138,329.4 144,037.6 51,997.6 Industrial 1,785.9 2,205.5 2,395.0 2,567.2 2,659.5 2,766.9 1,005.6 Building Education 454.3 579.0 639.3 694.4 725.1 758.9 261.3 Health 341.3 429.8 471.5 509.4 530.3 553.8 194.7 Others 8,049.3 9,985.1 10,869.2 11,677.7 12,113.8 12,616.6 4,546.3 Road 963.7 1,189.5 1,279.0 1,389.4 1,478.8 1,570.2 543.1 Infrastructure Railway 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Rice 2,269.3 2,940.7 3,279.8 3,605.0 3,788.1 3,985.7 1,321.5 Agriculture Wheat 12,006.8 15,024.1 16,441.3 17,753.9 18,470.5 19,281.6 6,823.5 Maize 141.1 183.5 205.1 225.9 237.6 250.2 82.4 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 356 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-224: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Chambal Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 357 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-225: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Chambal Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 358 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-226: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Chambal Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 359 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-227: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Chambal Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 360 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-228: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Chambal Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 361 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-229: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Chambal Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 362 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-230: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Chambal Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 363 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-231: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail netw ork: Chambal Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 364 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-232: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Rice: Chambal Sub-basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 365 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-233: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Chambal Sub -basin Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 366 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia F i g u r e 2 - 2 3 4 : A A L d u e t o F l o o d f o r Ag r i c u l t u r e – M a i z e : C h a m b a l S u b - b a s i n Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 367 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Index of Maps Figure 1-1: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 2-Year Return Period Flood: Ganges Basin ........................................................ 7 Figure 1-2: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 5-Year Return Period Flood: Ganges Basin ........................................................ 8 Figure 1-3: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 10-Year Return Period Flood: Ganges Basin ...................................................... 9 Figure 1-4: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 25-Year Return Period Flood: Ganges Basin .................................................... 10 Figure 1-5: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 50-Year Return Period Flood: Ganges Basin .................................................... 11 Figure 1-6: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Ganges Basin .................................................. 12 Figure 1-7: PML for the 2-Year Return Period Flood for Total Loss: Ganges Basin ............................................................................................ 14 Figure 1-8: PML for the 5-Year Return Period Flood for Total Loss: Ganges Basin ............................................................................................ 15 Figure 1-9: PML for the 10-Year Return Period Flood for Total Loss: Ganges Basin .......................................................................................... 16 Figure 1-10: PML for the 25-Year Return Period Flood for Total Loss: Ganges Basin ........................................................................................ 17 Figure 1-11: PML for the 50-Year Return Period Flood for Total Loss: Ganges Basin ........................................................................................ 18 Figure 1-12: PML for the 100-Year Return Period Flood for Total Loss: Ganges Basin ...................................................................................... 19 Figure 1-13: PML for the 2-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Residential: Ganges Basin ...................................................................... 21 Figure 1-14: PML for the 5-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Residential: Ganges Basin ...................................................................... 22 Figure 1-15: PML for the 10-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Residential: Ganges Basin .................................................................... 23 Figure 1-16: PML for the 25-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Residential: Ganges Basin .................................................................... 24 Figure 1-17: PML for the 50-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Residential: Ganges Basin .................................................................... 25 Figure 1-18: PML for the 100-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Residential: Ganges Basin .................................................................. 26 Figure 1-19: PML for the 2-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Commercial: Ganges Basin ..................................................................... 28 Figure 1-20: PML for the 5-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Commercial: Ganges Basin ..................................................................... 29 Figure 1-21: PML for the 10-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Commercial: Ganges Basin ................................................................... 30 Figure 1-22: PML for the 25-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Commercial: Ganges Basin ................................................................... 31 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 368 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-23: PML for the 50-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Commercial: Ganges Basin ................................................................... 32 Figure 1-24: PML for the 100-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Commercial: Ganges Basin ................................................................. 33 Figure 1-25: PML for the 2-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Industrial: Ganges Basin ......................................................................... 35 Figure 1-26: PML for the 5-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Industrial: Ganges Basin ......................................................................... 36 Figure 1-27: PML for the 10-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Industrial: Ganges Basin ....................................................................... 37 Figure 1-28: PML for the 25-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Industrial: Ganges Basin ....................................................................... 38 Figure 1-29: PML for the 50-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Industrial: Ganges Basin ....................................................................... 39 Figure 1-30: PML for the 100-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Industrial: Ganges Basin ..................................................................... 40 Figure 1-31: PML for the 2-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Educational Institute: Ganges Basin ........................................................ 42 Figure 1-32: PML for the 5-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Educational Institute: Ganges Basin ........................................................ 43 Figure 1-33: PML for the 10-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Educational Institute: Ganges Basin ...................................................... 44 Figure 1-34: PML for the 25-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Educational Institute: Ganges Basin ...................................................... 45 Figure 1-35: PML for the 50-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Educational Institute: Ganges Basin ...................................................... 46 Figure 1-36: PML for the 100-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Educational Institute: Ganges Basin .................................................... 47 Figure 1-37: PML for the 2-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Health Facility: Ganges Basin.................................................................. 49 Figure 1-38: PML for the 5-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Health Facility: Ganges Basin.................................................................. 50 Figure 1-39: PML for the 10-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Health Facility: Ganges Basin................................................................ 51 Figure 1-40: PML for the 25-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Health Facility: Ganges Basin................................................................ 52 Figure 1-41: PML for the 50-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Health Facility: Ganges Basin................................................................ 53 Figure 1-42: PML for the 100-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Health Facility: Ganges Basin .............................................................. 54 Figure 1-43: PML for the 2-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Others: Ganges Basin ............................................................................. 56 Figure 1-44: PML for the 5-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Others: Ganges Basin ............................................................................. 57 Figure 1-45: PML for the 10-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Others: Ganges Basin ........................................................................... 58 Figure 1-46: PML for the 25-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Others: Ganges Basin ........................................................................... 59 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 369 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-47: PML for the 50-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Others: Ganges Basin ........................................................................... 60 Figure 1-48: PML for the 100-Year Return Period Flood for Buildings – Others: Ganges Basin ......................................................................... 61 Figure 1-49: PML for the 2-Year Return Period Flood for Infrastructure – Road Network: Ganges Basin ........................................................... 63 Figure 1-50: PML for the 5-Year Return Period Flood for Infrastructure – Road Network: Ganges Basin ........................................................... 64 Figure 1-51: PML for the 10-Year Return Period Flood for Infrastructure – Road Network: Ganges Basin ......................................................... 65 Figure 1-52: PML for the 25-Year Return Period Flood for Infrastructure – Road Network: Ganges Basin ......................................................... 66 Figure 1-53: PML for the 50-Year Return Period Flood for Infrastructure – Road Network: Ganges Basin ......................................................... 67 Figure 1-54: PML for the 100-Year Return Period Flood for Infrastructure – Road Network: Ganges Basin ....................................................... 68 Figure 1-55: PML for the 2-Year Return Period Flood for Infrastructure – Rail Network: Ganges Basin ............................................................. 70 Figure 1-56: PML for the 5-Year Return Period Flood for Infrastructure – Rail Network: Ganges Basin ............................................................. 71 Figure 1-57: PML for the 10-Year Return Period Flood for Infrastructure – Rail Network: Ganges Basin ........................................................... 72 Figure 1-58: PML for the 25-Year Return Period Flood for Infrastructure – Rail Network: Ganges Basin ........................................................... 73 Figure 1-59: PML for the 50-Year Return Period Flood for Infrastructure – Rail Network: Ganges Basin ........................................................... 74 Figure 1-60: PML for the 100-Year Return Period Flood for Infrastructure – Rail Network: Ganges Basin ......................................................... 75 Figure 1-61: PML for the 2-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Rice: Ganges Basin .............................................................................. 77 Figure 1-62: PML for the 5-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Rice: Ganges Basin .............................................................................. 78 Figure 1-63: PML for the 10-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Rice: Ganges Basin ............................................................................ 79 Figure 1-64: PML for the 25-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Rice: Ganges Basin ............................................................................ 80 Figure 1-65: PML for the 50-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Rice: Ganges Basin ............................................................................ 81 Figure 1-66: PML for the 100-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Rice: Ganges Basin .......................................................................... 82 Figure 1-67: PML for the 2-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Ganges Basin ........................................................................... 84 Figure 1-68: PML for the 5-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Ganges Basin ........................................................................... 85 Figure 1-69: PML for the 10-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Ganges Basin ......................................................................... 86 Figure 1-70: PML for the 25-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Ganges Basin ......................................................................... 87 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 370 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 1-71: PML for the 50-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Ganges Basin ......................................................................... 88 Figure 1-72: PML for the 100-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Ganges Basin ....................................................................... 89 Figure 1-73: PML for the 2-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Ganges Basin ............................................................................ 91 Figure 1-74: PML for the 5-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Ganges Basin ............................................................................ 92 Figure 1-75: PML for the 10-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Ganges Basin .......................................................................... 93 Figure 1-76: PML for the 25-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Ganges Basin .......................................................................... 94 Figure 1-77: PML for the 50-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Ganges Basin .......................................................................... 95 Figure 1-78: PML for the 100-Year Return Period Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Ganges Basin ........................................................................ 96 Figure 2-1: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Lower Ganges sub-basin ................................. 98 Figure 2-2: Exceedance probability curve showing the total losses due to flood for all exposure types: Lower Ganges Sub-basin .................... 99 Figure 2-3: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Lower Ganges sub-basin ......................................................................................... 104 Figure 2-4: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Lower Ganges sub-basin ........................................................................................ 105 Figure 2-5: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Lower Ganges sub-basin............................................................................................. 106 Figure 2-6: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Lower Ganges sub-basin....................................................................... 107 Figure 2-7: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Lower Ganges sub-basin .................................................................................. 108 Figure 2-8: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Lower Ganges sub-basin ................................................................................................ 109 Figure 2-9: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Lower Ganges sub-basin ............................................................................... 110 Figure 2-10: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Lower Ganges sub-basin ............................................................................... 111 Figure 2-11: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Rice: Lower Ganges sub-basin ............................................................................................... 112 Figure 2-12: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Lower Ganges sub-basin ............................................................................................ 113 Figure 2-13: AAL due to Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Lower Ganges sub-basin ............................................................................................ 114 Figure 2-14: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Bagmati Sub-basin ...................................... 115 Figure 2-15: Exceedance probability curve showing the total losses due to flood for all exposure types: Bagmati Sub-basin .......................... 116 Figure 2-16: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Bagmati Sub-basin ................................................................................................. 118 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 371 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-17: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Bagmati Sub-basin................................................................................................ 119 Figure 2-18: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Bagmati Sub-basin .................................................................................................... 120 Figure 2-19: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Bagmati Sub-basin .............................................................................. 121 Figure 2-20: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Bagmati Sub-basin ......................................................................................... 122 Figure 2-21: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Bagmati Sub-basin ........................................................................................................ 123 Figure 2-22: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Bagmati Sub-basin ...................................................................................... 124 Figure 2-23: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Bagmati Sub-basin ........................................................................................ 125 Figure 2-24: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Rice: Bagmati Sub-basin ......................................................................................................... 126 Figure 2-25: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Bagmati Sub-basin...................................................................................................... 127 Figure 2-26: AAL due to Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Bagmati Sub-basin ..................................................................................................... 128 Figure 2-27: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Kosi Sub-basin ............................................ 129 Figure 2-28: Exceedance probability curve showing the total losses due to flood for all exposure types: Kosi Sub-basin ................................ 130 Figure 2-29: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Kosi Sub-basin ....................................................................................................... 133 Figure 2-30: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Kosi Sub-basin...................................................................................................... 134 Figure 2-31: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Kosi Sub-basin .......................................................................................................... 135 Figure 2-32: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Kosi Sub-basin .................................................................................... 136 Figure 2-33: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Kosi Sub-basin................................................................................................ 137 Figure 2-34: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Kosi Sub-basin .............................................................................................................. 138 Figure 2-35: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Kosi Sub-basin ............................................................................................ 139 Figure 2-36: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Kosi Sub-basin............................................................................................... 140 Figure 2-37: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Rice: Kosi Sub-basin ............................................................................................................... 141 Figure 2-38: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Kosi Sub-basin ............................................................................................................ 142 Figure 2-39: AAL due to Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Kosi Sub-basin ........................................................................................................... 143 Figure 2-40: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Gandak Sub-basin ....................................... 144 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 372 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-41: Exceedance probability curve showing the total losses due to flood for all exposure types: Gandak Sub-basin ........................... 145 Figure 2-42: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Gandak Sub-basin ................................................................................................. 149 Figure 2-43: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Gandak Sub-basin ................................................................................................ 150 Figure 2-44: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Gandak Sub-basin..................................................................................................... 151 Figure 2-45: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Gandak Sub-basin............................................................................... 152 Figure 2-46: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Gandak Sub-basin .......................................................................................... 153 Figure 2-47: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Gandak Sub-basin ........................................................................................................ 154 Figure 2-48: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Gandak Sub-basin ....................................................................................... 155 Figure 2-49: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Gandak Sub-basin ......................................................................................... 156 Figure 2-50: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Rice: Gandak Sub-basin ......................................................................................................... 157 Figure 2-51: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Gandak Sub-basin ...................................................................................................... 158 Figure 2-52: AAL due to Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Gandak Sub-basin ...................................................................................................... 159 Figure 2-53: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Mahananda Sub-basin................................. 160 Figure 2-54: Exceedance probability curve showing the total losses due to flood for all exposure types: Mahananda Sub-basin ..................... 161 Figure 2-55: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Mahananda Sub-basin ........................................................................................... 165 Figure 2-56: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Mahananda Sub-basin .......................................................................................... 166 Figure 2-57: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Mahananda Sub-basin .............................................................................................. 167 Figure 2-58: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Mahananda Sub-basin ........................................................................ 168 Figure 2-59: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Mahananda Sub-basin .................................................................................... 169 Figure 2-60: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Mahananda Sub-basin .................................................................................................. 170 Figure 2-61: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Mahananda Sub-basin ................................................................................ 171 Figure 2-62: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Mahananda Sub-basin ................................................................................... 172 Figure 2-63: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Rice: Mahananda Sub-basin ................................................................................................... 173 Figure 2-64: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Mahananda Sub-basin ................................................................................................ 174 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 373 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-65: AAL due to Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Mahananda Sub-basin................................................................................................ 175 Figure 2-66: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Middle Ganges Sub-basin ........................... 176 Figure 2-67: Exceedance probability curve showing the total losses due to flood for all exposure types: Middle Ganges Sub-basin................ 177 Figure 2-68: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Middle Ganges Sub-basin ...................................................................................... 179 Figure 2-69: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Middle Ganges Sub-basin ..................................................................................... 180 Figure 2-70: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Middle Ganges Sub-basin ......................................................................................... 181 Figure 2-71: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Middle Ganges Sub-basin ................................................................... 182 Figure 2-72: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Middle Ganges Sub-basin ............................................................................... 183 Figure 2-73: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Middle Ganges Sub-basin ............................................................................................. 184 Figure 2-74: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Middle Ganges Sub-basin ........................................................................... 185 Figure 2-75: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Middle Ganges Sub-basin .............................................................................. 186 Figure 2-76: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Rice: Middle Ganges Sub-basin .............................................................................................. 187 Figure 2-77: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Middle Ganges Sub-basin ........................................................................................... 188 Figure 2-78: AAL due to Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Middle Ganges Sub-basin .......................................................................................... 189 Figure 2-79: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Ghagra Sub-basin ....................................... 190 Figure 2-80: Exceedance probability curve showing the total losses due to flood for all exposure types: Ghagra Sub-basin............................ 191 Figure 2-81: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Ghagra Sub-basin .................................................................................................. 195 Figure 2-82: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Ghagra Sub-basin ................................................................................................. 196 Figure 2-83: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Ghagra Sub-basin ..................................................................................................... 197 Figure 2-84: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Ghagra Sub-basin ............................................................................... 198 Figure 2-85: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Ghagra Sub-basin........................................................................................... 199 Figure 2-86: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Ghagra Sub-basin ......................................................................................................... 200 Figure 2-87: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Ghagra Sub-basin ....................................................................................... 201 Figure 2-88: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Ghagra Sub-basin.......................................................................................... 202 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 374 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-89: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Rice: Ghagra Sub-basin .......................................................................................................... 203 Figure 2-90: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Ghagra Sub-basin ....................................................................................................... 204 Figure 2-91: AAL due to Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Ghagra Sub-basin ...................................................................................................... 205 Figure 2-92: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Kamla-Balan Sub-basin ............................... 206 Figure 2-93: Exceedance probability curve showing the total losses due to flood for all exposure types: Kamla-Balan Sub-basin ................... 207 Figure 2-94: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Kamla-Balan Sub-basin.......................................................................................... 210 Figure 2-95: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Kamla-Balan Sub-basin ........................................................................................ 211 Figure 2-96: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Kamla-Balan Sub-basin ............................................................................................. 212 Figure 2-97: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Kamla-Balan Sub-basin ....................................................................... 213 Figure 2-98: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Kamla-Balan Sub-basin .................................................................................. 214 Figure 2-99: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Kamla-Balan Sub-basin................................................................................................. 215 Figure 2-100: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Kamla-Balan Sub-basin ............................................................................. 216 Figure 2-101: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Kamla-Balan Sub-basin ............................................................................... 217 Figure 2-102: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Rice: Kamla-Balan Sub-basin................................................................................................ 218 Figure 2-103: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Kamla-Balan Sub-basin ............................................................................................ 219 Figure 2-104: AAL due to Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Kamla-Balan Sub-basin ............................................................................................ 220 Figure 2-105: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Yamuna Sub-basin .................................... 221 Figure 2-106: Exceedance probability curve showing the total losses due to flood for all exposure types: Yamuna Sub-basin ........................ 222 Figure 2-107: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Yamuna Sub-basin ............................................................................................... 227 Figure 2-108: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Yamuna Sub-basin ............................................................................................. 228 Figure 2-109: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Yamuna Sub-basin .................................................................................................. 229 Figure 2-110: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Yamuna Sub-basin ............................................................................ 230 Figure 2-111: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Yamuna Sub-basin ....................................................................................... 231 Figure 2-112: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Yamuna Sub-basin...................................................................................................... 232 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 375 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-113: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Yamuna Sub-basin .................................................................................... 233 Figure 2-114: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Yamuna Sub-basin ...................................................................................... 234 Figure 2-115: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Rice: Yamuna Sub-basin....................................................................................................... 235 Figure 2-116: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Yamuna Sub-basin ................................................................................................... 236 Figure 2-117: AAL due to Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Yamuna Sub-basin ................................................................................................... 237 Figure 2-118: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Ramganga Sub-basin ................................ 238 Figure 2-119: Exceedance probability curve showing the total losses due to flood for all exposure types: Ramganga Sub-basin .................... 239 Figure 2-120: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Ramganga Sub-basin ........................................................................................... 241 Figure 2-121: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Ramganga Sub-basin ......................................................................................... 242 Figure 2-122: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Ramganga Sub-basin .............................................................................................. 243 Figure 2-123: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Ramganga Sub-basin ........................................................................ 244 Figure 2-124: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Ramganga Sub-basin ................................................................................... 245 Figure 2-125: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Ramganga Sub-basin ................................................................................................. 246 Figure 2-126: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Ramganga Sub-basin ................................................................................ 247 Figure 2-127: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Ramganga Sub-basin .................................................................................. 248 Figure 2-128: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Rice: Ramganga Sub-basin .................................................................................................. 249 Figure 2-129: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Ramganga Sub-basin ............................................................................................... 250 Figure 2-130: AAL due to Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Ramganga Sub-basin ............................................................................................... 251 Figure 2-131: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Gomti Sub-basin ........................................ 252 Figure 2-132: Exceedance probability curve showing the total losses due to flood for all exposure types: Gomti Sub-basin ............................ 253 Figure 2-133: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Gomti Sub-basin .................................................................................................. 255 Figure 2-134: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Gomti Sub-basin ................................................................................................. 256 Figure 2-135: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Gomti Sub-basin...................................................................................................... 257 Figure 2-136: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Gomti Sub-basin ................................................................................ 258 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 376 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-137: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Gomti Sub-basin ........................................................................................... 259 Figure 2-138: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Gomti Sub-basin ......................................................................................................... 260 Figure 2-139: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Gomti Sub-basin ........................................................................................ 261 Figure 2-140: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Gomti Sub-basin .......................................................................................... 262 Figure 2-141: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Rice: Gomti Sub-basin .......................................................................................................... 263 Figure 2-142: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Gomti Sub-basin ....................................................................................................... 264 Figure 2-143: AAL due to Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Gomti Sub-basin ....................................................................................................... 265 Figure 2-144: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Sone Sub-basin ......................................... 266 Figure 2-145: Exceedance probability curve showing the total losses due to flood for all exposure types: Sone Sub-basin ............................. 267 Figure 2-146: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Sone Sub-basin .................................................................................................... 271 Figure 2-147: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Sone Sub-basin .................................................................................................. 272 Figure 2-148: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Sone Sub-basin ....................................................................................................... 273 Figure 2-149: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Sone Sub-basin ................................................................................. 274 Figure 2-150: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Sone Sub-basin ............................................................................................ 275 Figure 2-151: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Sone Sub-basin .......................................................................................................... 276 Figure 2-152: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Sone Sub-basin ......................................................................................... 277 Figure 2-153: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Sone Sub-basin ........................................................................................... 278 Figure 2-154: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Rice: Sone Sub-basin ........................................................................................................... 279 Figure 2-155: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Sone Sub-basin ........................................................................................................ 280 Figure 2-156: AAL due to Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Sone Sub-basin ........................................................................................................ 281 Figure 2-157: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Upper Ganges Sub-basin .......................... 282 Figure 2-158: Exceedance probability curve showing the total losses due to flood for all exposure types: Upper Ganges Sub-basin .............. 283 Figure 2-159: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Upper Ganges Sub-basin ..................................................................................... 286 Figure 2-160: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Upper Ganges Sub-basin.................................................................................... 287 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 377 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-161: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Upper Ganges Sub-basin ........................................................................................ 288 Figure 2-162: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Upper Ganges Sub-basin .................................................................. 289 Figure 2-163: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Upper Ganges Sub-basin.............................................................................. 290 Figure 2-164: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Upper Ganges Sub-basin ............................................................................................ 291 Figure 2-165: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Upper Ganges Sub-basin .......................................................................... 292 Figure 2-166: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Upper Ganges Sub-basin............................................................................. 293 Figure 2-167: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Rice: Upper Ganges Sub-basin ............................................................................................. 294 Figure 2-168: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Upper Ganges Sub-basin .......................................................................................... 295 Figure 2-169: AAL due to Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Upper Ganges Sub-basin ......................................................................................... 296 Figure 2-170: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Tons Sub-basin ......................................... 297 Figure 2-171: Exceedance probability curve showing the total losses due to flood for all exposure types: Tons Sub-basin ............................. 298 Figure 2-172: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Tons Sub-basin .................................................................................................... 300 Figure 2-173: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Tons Sub-basin ................................................................................................... 301 Figure 2-174: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Tons Sub-basin ....................................................................................................... 302 Figure 2-175: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Tons Sub-basin ................................................................................. 303 Figure 2-176: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Tons Sub-basin............................................................................................. 304 Figure 2-177: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Tons Sub-basin ........................................................................................................... 305 Figure 2-178: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Tons Sub-basin ......................................................................................... 306 Figure 2-179: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Tons Sub-basin............................................................................................ 307 Figure 2-180: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Rice: Tons Sub-basin ............................................................................................................ 308 Figure 2-181: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Tons Sub-basin ......................................................................................................... 309 Figure 2-182: AAL due to Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Tons Sub-basin ........................................................................................................ 310 Figure 2-183: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Sind Sub-basin .......................................... 311 Figure 2-184: Exceedance probability curve showing the total losses due to flood for all exposure types: Sind Sub-basin .............................. 312 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 378 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-185: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Sind Sub-basin ..................................................................................................... 314 Figure 2-186: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Sind Sub-basin ................................................................................................... 315 Figure 2-187: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Sind Sub-basin ........................................................................................................ 316 Figure 2-188: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Sind Sub-basin .................................................................................. 317 Figure 2-189: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Sind Sub-basin ............................................................................................. 318 Figure 2-190: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Sind Sub-basin ............................................................................................................ 319 Figure 2-191: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Sind Sub-basin .......................................................................................... 320 Figure 2-192: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Sind Sub-basin ............................................................................................ 321 Figure 2-193: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Rice: Sind Sub-basin ............................................................................................................. 322 Figure 2-194: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Sind Sub-basin.......................................................................................................... 323 Figure 2-195: AAL due to Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Sind Sub-basin ......................................................................................................... 324 Figure 2-196: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Ken Sub-basin ........................................... 325 Figure 2-197: Exceedance probability curve showing the total losses due to flood for all exposure types: Ken Sub-basin ............................... 326 Figure 2-198: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Ken Sub-basin...................................................................................................... 328 Figure 2-199: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Ken Sub-basin .................................................................................................... 329 Figure 2-200: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Ken Sub-basin ......................................................................................................... 330 Figure 2-201: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Ken Sub-basin ................................................................................... 331 Figure 2-202: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Ken Sub-basin .............................................................................................. 332 Figure 2-203: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Ken Sub-basin ............................................................................................................ 333 Figure 2-204: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Ken Sub-basin ........................................................................................... 334 Figure 2-205: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Ken Sub-basin ............................................................................................. 335 Figure 2-206: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Rice: Ken Sub-basin ............................................................................................................. 336 Figure 2-207: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Ken Sub-basin .......................................................................................................... 337 Figure 2-208: AAL due to Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Ken Sub-basin .......................................................................................................... 338 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 379 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-209: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Betwa Sub-basin ....................................... 339 Figure 2-210: Exceedance probability curve showing the total losses due to flood for all exposure types: Betwa Sub-basin............................ 340 Figure 2-211: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Betwa Sub-basin .................................................................................................. 342 Figure 2-212: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Betwa Sub-basin ................................................................................................. 343 Figure 2-213: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Betwa Sub-basin ..................................................................................................... 344 Figure 2-214: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Betwa Sub-basin ............................................................................... 345 Figure 2-215: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Betwa Sub-basin ........................................................................................... 346 Figure 2-216: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Betwa Sub-basin ......................................................................................................... 347 Figure 2-217: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Betwa Sub-basin ....................................................................................... 348 Figure 2-218: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Betwa Sub-basin .......................................................................................... 349 Figure 2-219: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Rice: Betwa Sub-basin .......................................................................................................... 350 Figure 2-220: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Betwa Sub-basin ....................................................................................................... 351 Figure 2-221: AAL due to Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Betwa Sub-basin ...................................................................................................... 352 Figure 2-222: Spatial distribution of total affected persons for the 100-Year Return Period Flood: Chambal Sub-basin ................................... 353 Figure 2-223: Exceedance probability curve showing the total losses due to flood for all exposure types: Chambal Sub-basin ....................... 354 Figure 2-224: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Residential: Chambal Sub-basin .............................................................................................. 357 Figure 2-225: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Commercial: Chambal Sub-basin ............................................................................................ 358 Figure 2-226: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Industrial: Chambal Sub-basin ................................................................................................. 359 Figure 2-227: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Educational Institutions: Chambal Sub-basin ........................................................................... 360 Figure 2-228: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Health Facilities: Chambal Sub-basin ...................................................................................... 361 Figure 2-229: AAL due to flood for Buildings – Others: Chambal Sub-basin ..................................................................................................... 362 Figure 2-230: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Road network: Chambal Sub-basin ................................................................................... 363 Figure 2-231: AAL due to flood for Infrastructure – Rail network: Chambal Sub-basin ..................................................................................... 364 Figure 2-232: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Rice: Chambal Sub-basin ...................................................................................................... 365 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 380 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Figure 2-233: AAL due to flood for Agriculture – Wheat: Chambal Sub-basin .................................................................................................. 366 Figure 2-234: AAL due to Flood for Agriculture – Maize: Chambal Sub-basin .................................................................................................. 367 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 381 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Index of Tables Table 1-1: Total number (in millions) of persons affected due to flood in Ganges Basin for various return period flood events .......................... 13 Table 1-2: Total number (in millions) of children (age 0-6 years), Scheduled Castes (SCs) and Scheduled Tribes (STs) affected due to floods in the Indian part of Ganges Basin for various return periods ..................................................................................................................... 13 Table 1-3: PML and AAL due to flood events of different return periods for various exposure classes: Ganges Basin ....................................... 20 Table 1-4: PML and AAL due to flood events of various return periods for buildings - Residential: Ganges Basin ............................................. 27 Table 1-5: PML and AAL due to flood events of various return periods for buildings - Commercial: Ganges Basin ............................................ 34 Table 1-6: PML and AAL due to flood events of various return periods for buildings - Industrial: Ganges Basin ................................................ 41 Table 1-7: PML and AAL due to flood events of various return periods for buildings - Educational Institutions: Ganges Basin........................... 48 Table 1-8: PML and AAL due to flood events of various return periods for buildings - Health Facilities: Ganges Basin ...................................... 55 Table 1-9: PML and AAL due to flood events of various return periods for buildings - Others: Ganges Basin .................................................... 62 Table 1-10: PML and AAL due to flood events of various return periods for Infrastructure – Road network: Ganges Basin ............................... 69 Table 1-11: PML and AAL due to flood events of various return periods for Infrastructure – Rail network: Ganges Basin .................................. 76 Table 1-12: PML and AAL due to flood events of various return periods for Agriculture – Rice: Ganges Basin .................................................. 83 Table 1-13: PML and AAL due to flood events of various return periods for Agriculture – Wheat: Ganges Basin ............................................... 90 Table 1-14: PML and AAL due to flood events of various return periods for Agriculture – Maize: Ganges Basin ................................................ 97 Table 2-1: Total number (in thousands) of persons affected due to various return period flood events: Lower Ganges Sub-basin ..................... 99 Table 2-2: PML and AAL due to flood events of different return periods for various exposure classes: Lower Ganges Sub-basin ................... 100 Table 2-3: Total number (in thousands) of persons affected due to various return period flood events: Bagmati Sub-basin ............................. 116 Table 2-4: PML and AAL due to flood events of different return periods for various exposure classes: Bagmati Sub-basin ............................. 117 Table 2-5: Total number (in thousands) of persons affected due to various return period flood events: Kosi Sub-basin ................................... 130 Table 2-6: PML and AAL due to flood events of different return periods for various exposure classes: Kosi Sub-basin ................................... 131 Table 2-7: Total number (in thousands) of persons affected due to various return period flood events: Gandak Sub-basin ............................. 145 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 382 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Table 2-8: PML and AAL due to flood events of different return periods for various exposure classes: Gandak Sub-basin .............................. 146 Table 2-9: Total number (in thousands) of persons affected due to various return period flood events: Mahananda Sub-basin ....................... 161 Table 2-10: PML and AAL due to flood events of different return periods for various exposure classes: Mahananda Sub-basin...................... 162 Table 2-11: Total number (in thousands) of persons affected due to various return period flood events: Middle Ganges Sub-basin ................ 177 Table 2-12: PML and AAL due to flood events of different return periods for various exposure classes: Middle Ganges Sub-basin ................ 178 Table 2-13: Total number (in thousands) of persons affected due to various return period flood events: Ghagra Sub-basin ............................ 191 Table 2-14: PML and AAL due to flood events of different return periods for various exposure classes: Ghagra Sub-basin ............................ 192 Table 2-15: Total number (in thousands) of persons affected due to various return period flood events: Kamla-Balan Sub-basin ................... 207 Table 2-16: PML and AAL due to flood events of different return periods for various exposure classes: Kamla-Balan Sub-basin .................... 208 Table 2-17: Total number (in thousands) of persons affected due to various return period flood events: Yamuna Sub-basin .......................... 222 Table 2-18: PML and AAL due to flood events of different return periods for various exposure classes: Yamuna Sub-basin ........................... 223 Table 2-19: Total number (in thousands) of persons affected due to various return period flood events: Ramganga Sub-basin ...................... 239 Table 2-20: PML and AAL due to flood events of different return periods for various exposure classes: Ramganga Sub-basin ....................... 240 Table 2-21: Total number (in thousands) of persons affected due to various return period flood events: Gomti Sub-basin .............................. 253 Table 2-22: PML and AAL due to flood events of different return periods for various exposure classes: Gomti Sub-basin ............................... 254 Table 2-23: Total number (in thousands) of persons affected due to various return period flood events: Sone Sub-basin ............................... 267 Table 2-24: PML and AAL due to flood events of different return periods for various exposure classes: Sone Sub-basin ................................ 268 Table 2-25: Total number (in thousands) of persons affected due to various return period flood events: Upper Ganges Sub-basin ................. 283 Table 2-26: PML and AAL due to flood events of different return periods for various exposure classes: Upper Ganges Sub-basin ................. 284 Table 2-27: Total number (in thousands) of persons affected due to various return period flood events: Tons Sub-basin ................................ 298 Table 2-28: PML and AAL due to flood events of different return periods for various exposure classes: Tons Sub-basin ................................ 299 Table 2-29: Total number (in thousands) of persons affected due to various return period flood events: Sind Sub-basin................................. 312 Table 2-30: PML and AAL due to flood events of different return periods for various exposure classes: Sind Sub-basin ................................. 313 Table 2-31: Total number (in thousands) of persons affected due to various return period flood events: Ken Sub-basin ................................. 326 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 383 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia Table 2-32: PML and AAL due to flood events of different return periods for various exposure classes: Ken Sub-basin .................................. 327 Table 2-33: Total number (in thousands) of persons affected due to various return period flood events: Betwa Sub-basin .............................. 340 Table 2-34: PML and AAL due to flood events of different return periods for various exposure classes: Betwa Sub-basin .............................. 341 Table 2-35: Total number (in thousands) of persons affected due to various return period flood events: Chambal Sub-basin.......................... 354 Table 2-36: PML and AAL due to flood events of different return periods for various exposure classes: Chambal Sub-basin .......................... 355 Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 384 of 385 The World Bank Flood Risk Assessment for the Ganges Basin in South Asia ---End of Risk Atlas Report--- Final Report, Volume II: Ganges Basin Risk Atlas Confidential Page 385 of 385