The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Climate Resilience Multi-Phase Programmatic Approach (P160005) Climate Resilience Multi-Phase Programmatic Approach (P160005) SOUTH ASIA | Sri Lanka | Urban, Resilience and Land Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2019 | Seq No: 1 | ARCHIVED on 10-Oct-2019 | ISR38590 | Implementing Agencies: Democratic Socialist Republic of Sri Lanka, Ministry of Agriculture, Rural Economic Affairs, Irrigation, Fisheries and Aquatic Resources Develop, Ministry of Public Administration, Disaster Management and Livestock Development Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 25-Jun-2019 Effectiveness Date: -- Planned Mid Term Review Date: -- Actual Mid-Term Review Date: Original Closing Date: 30-Sep-2024 Revised Closing Date: 30-Sep-2024 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The Project Development Objective of the first phase is to enhance the capacity of the Government to deliver improved weather and climate forecasting and early warning; and to reduce flood risks in the lower Kelani basin (between Hanwella and Kaduwela). Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Component 1: Forecasting and Early Warning of High Impact Weather, Floods and Landslides:(Cost $50.00 M) Component 2: Flood Risk Mitigation Investments in the lower Kelani basin:(Cost $194.25 M) Component 3: Land acquisition, Resettlement Assistance and Safeguards Implementation:(Cost $65.70 M) Component 4: Project Management:(Cost $6.30 M) Component 5: Contingent Emergency Response Component (CERC) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO -- ►Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) -- ►Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating -- ►High 10/10/2019 Page 1 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Climate Resilience Multi-Phase Programmatic Approach (P160005) Implementation Status and Key Decisions • Project staffing: During the preparation, PMU assessed staffing requirement for the PMU as well as for the implementing units staffing needs and were included in detail in the project operation manual. PMU has already submitted to the Department of Management Services (MSD) for approval. The staffing includes the staff from respective agencies who will contribute to the project on part time basis, the staff that will be seconded to the project on full time basis and the staff to be hired from the market full time basis. Two international consultants and two national consultants (individual) have already been hired to guide the implementation of the activities under component 1 on Forecasting and Early Warning of High Impact Weather, Floods and Landslides. Procurement Documents: The implementing agencies have already started finalizing technical specifications and procurement documents for the component 1 activities; including the procurement of automatic river gauges and rain gauges; upper air observation system, calibration laboratory equipment; acquisition of river cross sections for flood modeling. • Detailed designs: PMU has already hired firms to carry out detailed designs for: Ambatale Salinity Barrier, the National Meteorological Center building and the National Flood Forecasting Center building. Shortlisting has been completed for hiring an international consultancy firm for carrying out detailed designs of flood embankments and pumping stations for lower Kelani flood protection. Most of these preparatory activities are being financed from the savings of the ongoing Climate Resilience Improvement Project (CRIP). The Loan agreement is not yet signed, and the project is not yet effective. Due to the upcoming presidential elections and parliamentary elections, the Government will not have budgetary provisions for the new projects for the first two quarters of year 2020. Therefore, the Government has decided to delay the signing until early 2020. mpaTable Multiphase Programmatic Approach (MPA) Status mpaTableBody The World Bank's Board of Executive Directors approved the IBRD Loan in the amount of US$310 Million for the Sri Lanka Climate Resilience Multi-Phased Programmatic Approach (CRes MPA) Phase I project on June 25, 2019. The CRes MPA Phase 1 project is the first of a three phase investment program totaling US$774 Million and to be implemented over 10 years. The main investments would be to strengthen the disaster forecasting and early warning system in the country, and mitigating floods in Kelani river basin. The Loan agreement of the project has not been signed yet. However the PMU and the implementing agencies have achieved a significant progress on the preparation for implementation. The key technical consultants have been selected to support advance the implementation of component 1, and consultancy firms selected for the detailed design of the salinity barrier and the buildings for weather forecasting center at Department of Meteorology (DoM) and Flood Forecasting Center at Irrigation Department (ID). Procurement documents are being finalized for a number of goods procurements related to stregthening weather forecasting and flood forecasting. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance ►High -- ►High Macroeconomic ►Moderate -- ►Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies ►Moderate -- ►Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program ►Moderate -- ►Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability ►Substantial -- ►Substantial 10/10/2019 Page 2 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Climate Resilience Multi-Phase Programmatic Approach (P160005) Fiduciary ►Moderate -- ►Moderate Environment and Social ►High -- ►High Stakeholders ►Substantial -- ►Substantial Other ►Moderate -- ►Moderate Overall ►High -- ►High Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Improved forecasting and early warning service delivery IN00745111 ►1. Number of people who can take action to protect their lives, livelihood and property based on early warnings (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 15,000.00 -- 0.00 3,500,000.00 Date 01-Feb-2019 -- 23-Sep-2019 30-Sep-2024 This indicator will measure the increased accessibility to the improved flood forecasting and warning information that help Comments: the citizen take necessary mitigation actions. IN00745117 ►Number of female who can take action to protect their lives, livelihood and property based on early warnings (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 7,650.00 -- 0.00 1,785,000.00 Date 01-Feb-2019 -- 23-Sep-2019 30-Sep-2024 IN00745118 ►2. Improved performance of risk-based warning (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 10.00 -- 0.00 66.00 Date 01-Feb-2019 -- 23-Sep-2019 30-Sep-2024 This indicator will measure the improved quality of the early warning based on three elements: accuracy of estimated level Comments: of the impact, appropriateness of timing, accuracy of targeted location. The indicator will be evaluated based on the percentage translated from the scoring system defined (1-9) in the CONOPS. Decreased impacts of flood events IN00745112 ►3. Number of people protected from 1:50 flood events in Kelani (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 10/10/2019 Page 3 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Climate Resilience Multi-Phase Programmatic Approach (P160005) Value 0.00 -- 0.00 63,080.00 Date 01-Feb-2019 -- 23-Sep-2019 30-Sep-2024 This indicator will measure the flood risk reduction benefit as number of people who protected from the risk in Kelani river Comments: basin. IN00745115 ►4. Reduction in damages from 1:50 flood events (Amount(USD), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 132,000,000.00 Date 01-Feb-2019 -- 23-Sep-2019 30-Sep-2024 Comments: This indicator will measure the reduction of potential economic damages against 1:50 flood events. People moved to flood safe areas IN00745113 ►5. Number of households resettled in flood safe areas between Hanwella and Kaduwela (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 203.00 Date 01-Feb-2019 -- 23-Sep-2019 30-Sep-2024 This indicator will measure land acquisition and the number of affected households resettled. The project aims to complete Comments: the entire resettlement by the end of year 2, since works need to start by latest year 3. PrDO: Increase the number of people and assets protected against flood risk in priority river basins IN00745114 ►PrDO Outcome 1: Number of people who can take action to protect their lives, livelihood and property based on early warnings (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 15,000.00 -- 0.00 3,500,000.00 Date 28-Feb-2019 -- 23-Sep-2019 31-Oct-2027 IN00745116 ►PrDO Outcome 2: Number of people protected from floods in the Kelani and Mundeni Aru basins (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 622,500.00 Date 28-Feb-2019 -- 23-Sep-2019 31-Oct-2027 IN00745119 ►PrDO Outcome 3: Value of assets protected from the reduced flood risk (Amount(USD), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 10/10/2019 Page 4 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Climate Resilience Multi-Phase Programmatic Approach (P160005) Value 0.00 -- 0.00 715,000,000.00 Date 28-Feb-2019 -- 23-Sep-2019 31-Oct-2027 Overall Comments PDO Project is not yet effective Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Component 1: Forecasting and Early Warning of High Impact Weather, Floods and Landslides IN00745121 ►1. National hydromet data portal established (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No -- No Yes Date 01-Feb-2019 -- 23-Sep-2019 30-Sep-2024 Comments: This indicator will monitor the establishment status of the national hydromet data portal. IN00745124 ►2. Percentage of existing weather and water observation stations connected to the national hydromet data portal (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 90.00 Date 01-Feb-2019 -- 23-Sep-2019 30-Sep-2024 This indicator will measure the increased capacity of effective monitoring station operation connected to the national Comments: hydromet data portal. IN00745126 ►3. Number of government professionals trained for flood forecasting and early warning (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 50.00 Date 01-Feb-2019 -- 23-Sep-2019 30-Sep-2024 This indicator will measure the number of government staff who received capacity building on the impact-based flood Comments: forecasting and early warnings. IN00745129 ►4. National flood forecasting center established (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No -- No Yes 10/10/2019 Page 5 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Climate Resilience Multi-Phase Programmatic Approach (P160005) Date 01-Feb-2019 -- 23-Sep-2019 30-Sep-2024 This indicator will measures the progress of establishment of National flood forecasting center including construction of its Comments: building. IN00745131 ►5. Disaster analytics and information center established under the Ministry of Public Administration and Disaster Management (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No -- No Yes Date 01-Feb-2019 -- 23-Sep-2019 30-Sep-2024 This indicator will measures the progress of establishment of Disaster analytics and information center center including Comments: construction of its building. IN00745132 ►6. Number of community disaster management plans developed by communities in Kelani river basin (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 10.00 Date 01-Feb-2019 -- 23-Sep-2019 30-Sep-2024 This indicator will measure the level of citizen engagement through the development of community disaster management plans with clear role of the communities. The plans will help communities to equip themselves with flood risk mitigation Comments: capacity leveraging improved early warning information become available for the community . Therefore, this activity will be started upon the completion of the forecasting early warning delivery system. This is a Beneficiary Feedback indicator which responds to the Bank's Citizen Engagement approach. Component 2: Flood Risk Mitigation Investments in the lower Kelani Basin IN00745120 ►7. Percentage of constructed and replaced pumping stations out of planned pumping stations number in tributaries of the Kelani river (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 100.00 Date 01-Feb-2019 -- 23-Sep-2019 30-Sep-2024 This indicator will measure the percentage of replaced and constructed pumping stations for tributaries out of the optimized Comments: number of stations based on the optimization analysis. IN00745123 ►8. Percentage of salinity barrier constructed (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 100.00 Date 01-Feb-2019 -- 23-Sep-2019 30-Sep-2024 This indicator will measure the construction progress of salinity barrier with gated structure that will will enable smooth Comments: water discharge during the flood events. IN00745125 ►9. Number of designs for the construction of two upstream reservoirs in Kelani river basin (Number, Custom) 10/10/2019 Page 6 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Climate Resilience Multi-Phase Programmatic Approach (P160005) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 2.00 Date 01-Feb-2019 -- 23-Sep-2019 30-Sep-2024 This indicator will measure the progress of the design of upstream reservoirs that will increase the level of flood protection Comments: for Kelani river basin. IN00745128 ►10. Length of embankment completed (Kilometers, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 30.00 Date 24-May-2019 -- 23-Sep-2019 30-Sep-2024 Component 3: Land acquisition, Resettlement and Safeguards Implementation IN00745122 ►11. Percentage of land acquisition completed for construction of embankment under the Phase I (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 100.00 Date 01-Feb-2019 -- 23-Sep-2019 30-Sep-2024 Comments: This indicator will measure the progress of land acquisition required for Component 2. IN00745127 ►12. Percentage of joint ownership or female ownership of land and/or asset among the resettled households (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 30.00 Date 01-Feb-2019 -- 23-Sep-2019 30-Sep-2024 This indicator will measure the impact of land acquisition and resettlement that create opportunities to close gender gap in Comments: land ownership. IN00745130 ►13. Percentage of Grievance redressed (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 90.00 Date 01-Feb-2019 -- 23-Sep-2019 30-Sep-2024 This will measure the efficiency of the GRM management by the PMU. This is a Beneficiary Feedback indicator which Comments: responds to the Bank's Citizen Engagement approach. Data on Financial Performance 10/10/2019 Page 7 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Climate Resilience Multi-Phase Programmatic Approach (P160005) Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed Not P160005 IBRD-89960 USD 310.00 310.00 0.00 0.00 310.00 0% Effective Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date Not P160005 IBRD-89960 25-Jun-2019 -- -- 30-Sep-2024 30-Sep-2024 Effective Cumulative Disbursements Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Project(s) 10/10/2019 Page 8 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Climate Resilience Multi-Phase Programmatic Approach (P160005) There are no related projects. 10/10/2019 Page 9 of 9