Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report LAOSTAT-STRENGTHENING THE NATIONAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM PROJECT (P129825) LAOSTAT-STRENGTHENING THE NATIONAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM PROJECT (P129825) EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC | Lao People's Democratic Republic | Macro Economics & Fiscal Management Global Practice | Recipient Executed Activities | Technical Assistance Loan | FY 2013 | Seq No: 4 | ARCHIVED on 30-Dec-2015 | ISR20946 | Implementing Agencies: Lao Statistics Bureau (LSB) Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date:07-May-2013 Effectiveness Date:05-Jul-2013 Planned Mid Term Review Date:-- Actual Mid-Term Review Date:-- Original Closing Date:30-Jun-2017 Revised Closing Date:30-Jun-2017 Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) 10. The objective of the Project is to improve the capacity of the Recipient’s national statistical system to produce and disseminate reliable and timely macroeconomic and poverty statistics in accordance with international standards and in response to user needs. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No PHRPDODEL Components Name 1. Strengthening Macroeconomic and Poverty Data Development and Management:(Cost $3.13 M) 2. Improving Policies and Strengthening Implementation Capacity:(Cost $1.16 M) 3. Improving Data Sharing and Access:(Cost $2.68 M) 4. Supporting LAOSTAT Project Management:(Cost $0.80 M) Unallocated Budget:(Cost $0.23 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO  Moderately Satisfactory  Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP)  Moderately Satisfactory  Moderately Satisfactory 12/30/2015 Page 1 of 11 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report LAOSTAT-STRENGTHENING THE NATIONAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM PROJECT (P129825) Overall Risk Rating  Substantial  Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions The overall project implementation has been on track towards achieving its objective. The implementation capacity of the client has been further strengthened during the last six months (with the twinning consultancy services onboard and completion of recruitment of additional local assistants for NICT). The WB conducted a project implementation support mission to Laos in Sep-2015 to take stock of the implementation progress. The mission met with the head of LSB, members of the LAOSTAT Project Steering Committee and NICT team to discuss recent achievements, key issues and concerns and proposed next steps. It's agreed that the project would need to prioritize the work program, agree on a set of priorities with a coordinated and detailed timetable to ensure smooth implementation. Key development outcomes contributing to achieving the PDO of the project include (i) the development of macroeconomic framework, (ii) improved country statistical scores (quality, timelyness, access, etc), and (iii) increased user satisfaction. Results monitoring and evaluation for mid-term indicators is largely based on (i) country statistical scores - a capacity assessment of national statistical system (with regard to data quality, timelyness, access, etc) which is conducted by WB/DECDG on a annual basis, (ii) user surveys (the baseline survey in Laos was done in early 2014 and next one in early 2017), and relevant reports. 12/30/2015 Page 2 of 11 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report LAOSTAT-STRENGTHENING THE NATIONAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM PROJECT (P129825) 12/30/2015 Page 3 of 11 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report LAOSTAT-STRENGTHENING THE NATIONAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM PROJECT (P129825) Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance  --  Low  Low Macroeconomic  --  Low  Low Sector Strategies and Policies  --  Moderate  Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program  --  Moderate  Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability  --  Substantial  Substantial Fiduciary  --  Substantial  Substantial Environment and Social  --  Low  Low 12/30/2015 Page 4 of 11 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report LAOSTAT-STRENGTHENING THE NATIONAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM PROJECT (P129825) Stakeholders  --  Moderate  Moderate Other  --  --  -- Overall  --  Substantial  Substantial Results Project Development Objective Indicators PHINDPDOTBL  User satisfaction with macroeconomic and poverty statistical products and services of the NSS (disaggregated by LBS and SMAs) improved. (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 49.00 -- -- 78.40 Date 28-Mar-2014 -- -- 30-Jun-2017 Comments Based on the user satisfaction baseline survey in March 2014, the overall satisfaction rate was 49%. The LAOSTAT planned to achieve a 60% improvement in user satisfaction by the end of the project or an increase from 49% in Mar-2014 to 78.4% by Jun-2017. The target seems to be a bit ambitious given the short timeframe for implementation. Next user survey will be conducted in early 2017. PHINDPDOTBL  Macroeconomic and poverty related statistical capacity score improved and disaggregated by: (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 61.00 65.00 73.30 75.00 Date 31-Dec-2011 30-Jun-2014 31-Dec-2014 30-Jun-2017 Comments This PDO indicator is on track toward achieving the target. PHINDPDOTBL  (a) Methodology (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 50.00 55.00 60.00 65.00 Date 31-Dec-2011 30-Jun-2014 31-Dec-2014 30-Jun-2017 12/30/2015 Page 5 of 11 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report LAOSTAT-STRENGTHENING THE NATIONAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM PROJECT (P129825) PHINDPDOTBL  (b) Source Data (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 50.00 50.00 70.00 65.00 Date 31-Dec-2011 30-Jun-2014 31-Dec-2014 30-Jun-2017 PHINDPDOTBL  (c) Periodicity & timeliness: (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 74.00 74.00 90.00 85.00 Date 31-Dec-2011 30-Jun-2014 31-Dec-2014 30-Jun-2017 PHINDPDOTBL  - Survey data (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 83.00 83.00 83.00 90.00 Date 31-Dec-2011 30-Jun-2014 31-Dec-2014 30-Jun-2017 PHINDPDOTBL  - Administrative data (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 65.00 65.00 65.00 80.00 Date 31-Dec-2011 30-Jun-2014 31-Dec-2014 30-Jun-2017 PHINDPDOTBL  A comprehensive macroeconomic framework is developed and used within the GOL for policy making and planning process. (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target A comprehensive The framework Being developed with Value None is available macroeconomic is produced support from LAOSTAT framework with medium and used by 12/30/2015 Page 6 of 11 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report LAOSTAT-STRENGTHENING THE NATIONAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM PROJECT (P129825) term forecasts has been GOL developed by the GOL with support from LAOSTAT and IMF TA. This a live process and the framework is expected to be institutionalized and updated regularly and used in GOL's planning and policy making. The macroeconomic monitoring team is expected to meet on a quarterly basis to update the framework. Date 31-Dec-2012 30-Jun-2014 27-Oct-2015 30-Jun-2017 Overall Comments The project implementation is on track to achieving its overall development objective indicators. However, challenges and risks remain due to the time constraints. Intermediate Results Indicators PHINDIRITBL  Macroeconomic statistics are produced in line with internationally accepted standards. (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target work in process (national accounts, Improved Value Poor qualiy work in process BOP/reserves, quality investment and trade statistics, prices, etc.) Date 28-Dec-2012 30-Jun-2014 21-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2017 Comments This IRI includes the following outputs: (1) rebase of GDP from 2002 to 2013; (2) a shift from SNA 1993 to SNA 2008; (3) supply and use table; (4) rebase of CPI basket from 2010 to 2015; (5) use of tablets for CPI data collection; and (6) BOP: a move from BMP 5 to BMP 6 with some improvement in trade and investment statistics; 12/30/2015 Page 7 of 11 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report LAOSTAT-STRENGTHENING THE NATIONAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM PROJECT (P129825) PHINDIRITBL  Social and demographic statistics (particularly household and poverty data including sex-disaggregated data) are produced in line with internationally accepted standards. (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target LECS 5 survey data was processed and poverty report was release much Improved Value Poor qualiy Relatively good quality faster than before. quality International standards and methodologies are used. Date 28-Dec-2012 30-Jun-2014 30-Sep-2015 30-Jun-2017 Comments The 2015 population census results were officially released by the GOL on Dec-10, 2015 with significant improvement in terms of timeliness and quality (just nine months after the data collection - a regional/global best practice so far). The deployment of ICT (scanner system) in data capturing and processing has contributed significantly to the achievement. PHINDIRITBL  Internationally accepted standards, classifications and methodologies in macroeconomic and poverty related data collection, compilation, and validation are in place. (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Ongoing (with support Improved Poor standards and from the twinning, WB standards and Value in process. methodologies and other donor methodologies agencies). used Date 28-Dec-2012 30-Jun-2014 30-Oct-2015 30-Jun-2017 PHINDIRITBL  Interagency coordination mechanism (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Ongoing (the interagency coordination is carried out through the newly established Well the macro monitoring Value Not clearly defined in progress established and team (on functional macroeconomic statistics and policies), the PSC and the annual user-producer forum. Date 28-Dec-2012 30-Jun-2014 21-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2017 12/30/2015 Page 8 of 11 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report LAOSTAT-STRENGTHENING THE NATIONAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM PROJECT (P129825) PHINDIRITBL  Human resource management strategy is in place and LBS and SMA staff trained and maintained their skills. (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The twinning arrangement has been put in place and the inception mission was HR strategy conducted in past No HR strategy and and training Value No HR strategy yet. months. The HR training program is in place program is in strategy is expected to place. be completed by Jun- 2016 with support from the twinning's consultant team. Date 28-Dec-2012 30-Jun-2014 30-Oct-2015 30-Jun-2017 PHINDIRITBL  Data user-producer dialog established and functional (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Ongoing (annual Regular The dialog is random and Value In progress dialogue is organized dialogue in infrequent regularly) place Date 28-Dec-2012 30-Jun-2014 30-Oct-2015 30-Jun-2017 PHINDIRITBL  Dissemination strategy is developed and implemented. (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The dissemination Work on strategy was strategy is expected to Dissemination delayed but actual Value No strategy. be prepared in early strategy in dissemination work is 2016 with support from place ongoing. the twinning. Date 28-Dec-2012 30-Jun-2014 30-Oct-2015 30-Dec-2016 PHINDIRITBL  IT plan for LBS and SMAs is developed and implemented. (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The ICT plans are expected to be completed by end-2015 Good plans in Value No plan Not yet started or early 2016 with place and support from the implemented twinning. Initial meetings with key GOL agencies 12/30/2015 Page 9 of 11 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report LAOSTAT-STRENGTHENING THE NATIONAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM PROJECT (P129825) have been conducted by the twinning's consultants in recent months. Date 28-Dec-2012 30-Jun-2014 30-Oct-2015 30-Jun-2017 Comments The twinning consultants are helping the GOL/LSB develop the ICT plan and the progress has been on track with first draft to be shared and consulted with the key stakeholders concerned in Jan/Feb 2016. Procurement of the large ICT package would begin afterward. Installation of ICT systems and equipment is expected to start in July and complete by end-2016. PHINDIRITBL  LSB web portal improved with increased number of data available. (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Ongoing (with support Needs significant The web portal Value In progress from the twinning, WB improvement improved and other donors). Date 28-Dec-2012 30-Jun-2014 21-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2017 Comments The WB team with support from DECDG and in collaboration with the twinning consultants has been working closely with LSB on data access and dissemination. Some good progress has been made during the last six months and in this regard, new change is likely to happen in early 2016. PHINDIRITBL  IT staff trained and retained their skills. (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Ongoing (more IT training will be conducted in 2016 Skills learned Value Limited skills In progress during the and applied implementation of ICT plans). Date 28-Dec-2012 30-Jun-2014 30-Oct-2015 30-Jun-2017 Overall Comments Most intermediate result indicators are expected to be completed by mid-2016, 12 months before the end of the project. Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) 12/30/2015 Page 10 of 11 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report LAOSTAT-STRENGTHENING THE NATIONAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM PROJECT (P129825) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed Disbursed P129825 TF-14613 Effective USD 8.00 8.00 0.00 2.62 5.38 33% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P129825 TF-14613 Effective 17-May-2013 17-May-2013 05-Jul-2013 30-Jun-2017 30-Jun-2017 Cumulative Disbursements Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 12/30/2015 Page 11 of 11 Public Disclosure Copy