Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report ET: Agricultural Growth Program (P113032) ET: Agricultural Growth Program (P113032) AFRICA | Ethiopia | Agriculture Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Specific Investment Loan | FY 2011 | Seq No: 10 | ARCHIVED on 30-Jun-2016 | ISR24488 | Implementing Agencies: Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date:30-Sep-2010 Effectiveness Date:16-Feb-2011 Planned Mid Term Review Date:03-Mar-2014 Actual Mid-Term Review Date:10-Mar-2014 Original Closing Date:30-Sep-2015 Revised Closing Date:30-Apr-2017 Project Development Objectives ET: Agricultural Growth Program (P113032) Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The PDO is to increase agricultural productivity and market access for key crop and livestock products in targeted woredas with increased participation of women and youth. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Name 1.1 Institutional Strengthening and Development:(Cost $36.70 M) 1.2 Scaling Up Best Practices:(Cost $28.20 M) 1.3 Market and Agribusiness Development:(Cost $50.80 M) 2.1 Small-scale Agricultural Water Development and Management:(Cost $80.30 M) 2.2 Small-scale Market Infrastructure Development and Management:(Cost $51.10 M) 3.1 AGP Management at the Federal, Regional, Zonal, and Woreda levels:(Cost $11.40 M) 3.2 Monitoring and Evaluation:(Cost $6.70 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating 6/30/2016 Public Disclosure Copy Page 1 of 12 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report ET: Agricultural Growth Program (P113032) Progress towards achievement of PDO  Moderately Satisfactory  Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP)  Moderately Satisfactory  Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating  Substantial  Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions The objective of the project is to increase agricultural productivity and market access for key crop and livestock products in targeted woredas (districts) with increased participation of women and youth. The project became effective on February 16, 2011. Following some initial delays, there has been a steady improvement in the implementation of the project, however, in April 2015 the Government requested a nine month extension to the project's closing date from September 30, 2015 until June 30, 2016. This was primarily to complete small scale irrigation schemes under the project. Further delays due to external factors, notably civil disturbances in Oromia Region and the unseasonal heavy rains in April and May 2016, have hindered the construction of these irrigation schemes, prompting the Ministry of Finance and Economic Cooperation to request this further extension until April 30, 2017 which the Bank management has approved. The Bank and other development partners have agreed with Government an enhanced supervision of these small scale works, with frequent reporting and field based monitoring to ensure that the works are completed before the project's revised closing date. Note that implementation of all other activities under the project is satisfactory. The Project Development Objective and key targets under the project remain achievable. The Second Agricultural Growth Project has been approved and became effective on August 31, 2015. AGP2 consolidates the investments made under the current project; scale up the project to a further 61 woredas (districts); and refine the design of the project, including the introduction of an agricultural research component and greater emphasis on nutrition, gender and climate-smart aspects of agricultural production and marketing. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool 6/30/2016 Public Disclosure Copy Page 2 of 12 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report ET: Agricultural Growth Program (P113032) Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance  --  Moderate  Moderate Macroeconomic  --  Moderate  Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies  --  Moderate  Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program  --  Low  Low Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability  --  Substantial  Substantial Fiduciary  --  Substantial  Substantial Environment and Social  --  Substantial  Substantial Stakeholders  --  Substantial  Substantial Other  --  --  -- Overall  --  Substantial  Substantial Results Project Development Objective Indicators PHINDPDOTBL  Percentage increase in agricultural yield (basket crops and livestock products). (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 9.93 0.80 0.80 15.80 Date 30-Jun-2011 31-Mar-2014 31-Mar-2014 30-Jun-2016 PHINDPDOTBL  Female headed households (Percentage, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 9.44 2.90 2.90 21.80 Date 30-Jun-2011 31-Mar-2014 31-Mar-2014 30-Jun-2016 PHINDPDOTBL  Youth headed households (Percentage, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 10.23 1.20 1.20 11.90 6/30/2016 Public Disclosure Copy Page 3 of 12 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report ET: Agricultural Growth Program (P113032) Date 30-Jun-2011 31-Mar-2014 31-Mar-2014 30-Jun-2016 PHINDPDOTBL  Percentage increase in total real value of marketed agricultural products (including livestock) per household (in ETB). (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 5790.00 12.70 12.70 21.70 Date 30-Jun-2011 31-Mar-2014 31-Mar-2014 30-Jun-2016 PHINDPDOTBL  Female headed households (Percentage, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 3797.00 29.10 29.10 21.70 Date 30-Jun-2011 31-Mar-2014 31-Mar-2014 30-Jun-2016 PHINDPDOTBL  Youth headed household (Percentage, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 5361.00 14.60 14.60 21.70 Date 30-Jun-2011 31-Mar-2014 31-Mar-2014 30-Jun-2016 Overall Comments All PDO level indicators are maintained as per the previous ISR as no additional data has been collected. The end of project survey is scheduled for January 2017. Global Environmental Objective Indicators Overall Comments Intermediate Results Indicators 6/30/2016 Public Disclosure Copy Page 4 of 12 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report ET: Agricultural Growth Program (P113032) PHINDIRITBL  Percentage of farmers satisfied with quality of extension services provided. (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 92.00 98.00 98.00 99.00 Date 30-Jun-2011 31-Mar-2014 31-Mar-2014 30-Jun-2016 PHINDIRITBL  Female headed households (Percentage, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 92.00 99.00 99.00 99.00 Date 30-Jun-2011 31-Mar-2014 31-Mar-2014 30-Jun-2016 PHINDIRITBL  Youth headed households (Percentage, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 93.00 98.00 98.00 99.00 Date 30-Jun-2011 31-Mar-2014 31-Mar-2014 30-Jun-2016 PHINDIRITBL  Share of farm households who are members of functional agricultural cooperatives. (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 13.10 14.40 14.40 15.70 Date 31-Mar-2010 31-Mar-2014 31-Mar-2014 30-Jun-2016 6/30/2016 Public Disclosure Copy Page 5 of 12 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report ET: Agricultural Growth Program (P113032) PHINDIRITBL  Female headed households (Percentage, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 7.60 8.40 8.40 9.20 Date 30-Jun-2011 31-Mar-2014 31-Mar-2014 30-Jun-2016 PHINDIRITBL  Youth headed households (Percentage, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 10.60 12.50 12.50 14.40 Date 30-Jun-2011 31-Mar-2014 31-Mar-2014 30-Jun-2016 PHINDIRITBL  Number of beneficiaries with innovative best practices (improved / new techniques and technologies) (in 1000s). (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 32.00 32.00 60.00 Date 31-Mar-2010 09-Dec-2015 09-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2016 PHINDIRITBL  Female (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 15.10 15.10 28.00 Date 31-Mar-2010 09-Dec-2015 09-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2016 6/30/2016 Public Disclosure Copy Page 6 of 12 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report ET: Agricultural Growth Program (P113032) PHINDIRITBL  Youth (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 13.10 13.10 27.90 Date 31-Mar-2010 09-Dec-2015 09-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2016 PHINDIRITBL  Number of sub-projects fully operational and sustainably managed one years after initial investment (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 4966.00 4966.00 7000.00 Date 31-Mar-2010 09-Dec-2015 09-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2016 PHINDIRITBL  Women groups' sub projects (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 1227.00 1227.00 2600.00 Date 31-Mar-2010 09-Dec-2015 09-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2016 PHINDIRITBL  Youth groups' sub-projects (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 1629.00 1629.00 3300.00 Date 31-Mar-2010 09-Dec-2015 09-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2016 6/30/2016 Public Disclosure Copy Page 7 of 12 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report ET: Agricultural Growth Program (P113032) PHINDIRITBL  Value of farmgate sales for selected commodities (in US$ '000) (Amount(USD), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 15720.00 111987.00 111987.00 29267.00 Date 31-Mar-2011 09-Dec-2015 09-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2016 PHINDIRITBL  Value of exports of targeted agricultural commodities as a result of AGP-AMDe assistance (US$'000) (Amount(USD), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 108559.00 108559.00 53032.00 Date 31-Mar-2010 09-Dec-2015 09-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2016 PHINDIRITBL  Number of farmers benefiting from the irrigation investments (in '000s). (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 42.69 42.69 42.00 Date 31-Mar-2010 09-Dec-2015 09-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2016 PHINDIRITBL  Female (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 9.13 9.13 8.00 Date 31-Mar-2010 09-Dec-2015 09-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2016 6/30/2016 Public Disclosure Copy Page 8 of 12 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report ET: Agricultural Growth Program (P113032) PHINDIRITBL  Youth (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 4.66 4.66 10.50 Date 31-Mar-2010 09-Dec-2015 09-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2016 PHINDIRITBL  Infrastructure (for agricultural water) used 1 year after the investment is completed. (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 89.00 89.00 80.00 Date 31-Mar-2010 09-Dec-2015 09-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2016 PHINDIRITBL  Area provided with irrigation and drainage services (Hectare(Ha), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 12763.00 12763.00 21000.00 Date 30-Jun-2011 09-Dec-2015 09-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2016 PHINDIRITBL  New (Hectare(Ha), Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 9030.00 9030.00 15000.00 Date 31-Mar-2011 09-Dec-2015 09-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2016 6/30/2016 Public Disclosure Copy Page 9 of 12 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report ET: Agricultural Growth Program (P113032) PHINDIRITBL  Improved / rehabilitated (Hectare(Ha), Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 3733.00 3733.00 6000.00 Date 31-Mar-2011 09-Dec-2015 09-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2016 PHINDIRITBL  Land area where sustainable land management practices have been adopted as a result of the project (Hectare(Ha), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 217598.00 217598.00 96400.00 Date 31-Mar-2010 09-Dec-2015 09-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2016 PHINDIRITBL  Percentage decrease in time for farmers to travel to nearest market center. (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 71.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 Date 30-Jun-2011 31-Mar-2014 31-Mar-2014 30-Sep-2015 PHINDIRITBL  Female headed households (Percentage, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 71.70 0.00 0.00 5.00 Date 31-Mar-2011 31-Mar-2014 31-Mar-2014 30-Jun-2016 6/30/2016 Public Disclosure Copy Page 10 of 12 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report ET: Agricultural Growth Program (P113032) PHINDIRITBL  Youth headed households (Percentage, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 60.10 0.00 0.00 5.00 Date 31-Mar-2011 31-Mar-2014 31-Mar-2014 30-Jun-2016 PHINDIRITBL  Users satisfied with the quality of market infrastructure (roads and markets). (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 66.20 -- -- 76.00 Date 31-Mar-2010 27-Jan-2014 27-Jan-2014 30-Jun-2016 PHINDIRITBL  Market infrastructure (roads and markets) sustainably managed one year after the investment is completed. (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 80.00 80.00 80.00 Date 31-Mar-2010 09-Dec-2015 09-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2016 Overall Comments All intermediate indicators are maintained as per the previous ISR. Those which are based on the project's information system will be updated once the FY16 annual report is submitted to the Bank, expected in early September 2016. Those indicators depended on the sample survey will be updated following the end of project survey scheduled for January 2017. Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed Disbursed P113032 IDA-47830 Effective USD 108.40 108.40 0.00 106.17 0.05 98% P113032 IDA-H6000 Effective USD 41.60 41.60 0.00 42.44 0.01 102% P127507 TF-11306 Closed USD 50.00 50.00 0.00 50.00 0.00 100% 6/30/2016 Public Disclosure Copy Page 11 of 12 Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report ET: Agricultural Growth Program (P113032) P113032 TF-99729 -- USD 56.20 56.20 0.00 56.20 0.00 100% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P113032 IDA-47830 Effective 30-Sep-2010 19-Oct-2010 16-Feb-2011 30-Sep-2015 30-Apr-2017 P113032 IDA-H6000 Effective 30-Sep-2010 19-Oct-2010 16-Feb-2011 30-Sep-2015 30-Apr-2017 P127507 TF-11306 Closed 15-Feb-2012 15-Feb-2012 15-Feb-2012 30-Sep-2015 30-Sep-2015 P113032 TF-99729 -- 12-Jul-2011 18-Jul-2011 18-Jul-2011 30-Sep-2015 30-Jun-2016 Cumulative Disbursements Restructuring History Level Approved on 24-Sep-2015 ,Level 2 Approved on 22-Jun-2016 Related Project(s) P127507-Agricultural Growth Project - Additional Financing 6/30/2016 Public Disclosure Copy Page 12 of 12