The World Bank Report No: ISR13138 Implementation Status & Results Andean Countries Adaptation to the Impact of Rapid Glacier Retreat in the Tropical Andes (P098248) Public Disclosure Copy Operation Name: Adaptation to the Impact of Rapid Glacier Retreat in the Project Stage: Implementation Seq.No: 11 Status: ARCHIVED Archive Date: 04-Jan-2014 Tropical Andes (P098248) Country: Andean Countries Approval FY: 2008 Product Line: Global Environment Project Region: LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN Lending Instrument: Specific Investment Loan Implementing Agency(ies): Key Dates Board Approval Date 27-May-2008 Original Closing Date 30-Sep-2012 Planned Mid Term Review Date Last Archived ISR Date 20-Jun-2013 Effectiveness Date 12-May-2006 Revised Closing Date 31-Mar-2014 Actual Mid Term Review Date 10-Oct-2010 Global Environmental Objectives Global Environmental Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The broad development objective of the proposed project is to contribute to strengthening the resilience of local ecosystems and economies to the impacts of glacier retreat in the Tropical Andes, through the implementation of specific pilot adaptation activities that illustrate the costs and benefits of adaptation. The specific objectives of the project, in support of this broad objective, are: a) the effective integration of the implications of glacier retreat into the regional and local planning in glacierized basins; b) the inclusion of glacier retreat impacts in local, sector development projects; and c) generation of data on glacier dynamics. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project? Yes No Component(s) Component Name Component Cost Development of climate change scenarios and glacier-fed basin impact maps and models 0.32 Design and implementation of pilot adaptation measures 5.81 Monitoring of glacier retreat in the region 0.35 Public Disclosure Copy Project Management 0.70 Development of regional activities 0.75 Overall Ratings Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of GEO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Moderate Moderate Implementation Status Overview Page 1 of 14 The World Bank Report No: ISR13138 The project continues to make significant progress. Most of the activities are already finalized or about to be concluded. Current ongoing activities are mostly focused on workshops, publications, and dissemination of results. Some achievements by country include: Bolivia has finalized the preparation of their glacier, water bodies and moorlands or paramo inventories. These were based on ALOS satellite images, and are now published. The Public Disclosure Copy collaboration with EPSAS (the water utility for La Paz and El Alto) is also concluded: activities to reduce water losses and unaccounted for water were a success and are being replicated by EPSAS in other water districts. Activities to identify alternatives for water supply to El Alto in the short term also concluded. This initiative identified a menu of options, and a suggested prioritization and cost estimate. Institutional strengthening of the utility in climate change and integrated water management concepts, as well as strengthening of their social department, is concluded. The construction of pilot irrigation systems in the communities of Batallas and Palca is ongoing. In both cases work is more than 50% complete, and conclusion is expected for the first quarter of 2014. Ecuador has received, tested, installed and is currently receiving information from the ten hydro-meteorological stations purchased by the project. The communications system for two high altitude monitoring stations has also been upgraded. The activities carried out in paramo ecosystems are virtually completed, one of them related to adaptive management of the ecosystem in Papallacta area, with community work and a number of activities aimed at reducing anthropogenic pressure on the paramo, and the other related to restoration of degraded paramo areas. Eco-tourism activities in the Papallacta region are also concluded. A small water supply and sanitation pilot project in the Tambo community is virtually finalized. The information system carried out with FONAG for the integrated management of water resources in the Gayllabamba, Papallacta and Antisana areas has been concluded. Parts of module four were not completed due to difficulties with data. Workshops are being planned for January-February 2014. Peru has virtually finalized all activities. All reforestation, infiltration trenches, native grassland regeneration, irrigation systems, canal improvements in Shullcas are concluded. Institutional strengthening in Santa Teresa, with various demonstration interventions to adapt to climate change, are concluded. Work carried out in paramo ecosystems in Piura (creation of a dynamic paramo hydrological model, and implementation of a monitoring system) is concluded. Workshops are being planned for January-February 2014. The regional component has also made remarkable progress. A number of documents with a systematization of experiences have been prepared; documents synthesizing lessons learned, achievements and gaps, are also available. This component also implemented numerous workshops to share experiences amongst the national meteorological organizations of the participating countries, workshops with direct project beneficiaries, and others with strategic partners (CARE, water utilities of Ecuador and Bolivia, and others). The AndesPlus initiative also concluded, and a publication of the executive summary has been prepared. Finally, the closing workshop of the project was also implemented (the project is not yet closed, but most activities are). The closing workshop took place in Lima, November 28-29, 2013. Locations Country First Administrative Division Location Planned Actual Andean Countrie Not Entered Cantón Quito Andean Countrie Not Entered Quito Andean Countrie Not Entered Río Quijos Public Disclosure Copy Ecuador Provincia de Pichincha Provincia de Pichincha ✔ Andean Countrie Not Entered Río Papallacta Ecuador Provincia de Napo Provincia de Napo ✔ Andean Countrie Not Entered Río Antisana Andean Countrie Not Entered Rio Tuni Andean Countrie Not Entered Departamento de Tarija Page 2 of 14 The World Bank Report No: ISR13138 Country First Administrative Division Location Planned Actual Andean Countrie Not Entered Departamento de Potosi Public Disclosure Copy Andean Countrie Not Entered Departamento de Oruro Bolivia Departamento de La Paz Rio La Paz Bolivia Departamento de La Paz Departamento de La Paz Andean Countrie Not Entered Guayguasi Bolivia Departamento de La Paz El Palomar Bolivia Departamento de La Paz El Alto Andean Countrie Not Entered Rio Condoriri Andean Countrie Not Entered Departamento de Cochabamba Andean Countrie Not Entered Departamento de Chuquisaca Andean Countrie Not Entered Altiplano Andean Countrie Not Entered Río Vilcanota Andean Countrie Not Entered Río Urubamba Andean Countrie Not Entered Río Shullcas Andean Countrie Not Entered Río Mantaro Peru Departamento de Junin Departamento de Junin ✔ Andean Countrie Not Entered Huancayo Peru Departamento de Cusco Departamento de Cusco ✔ Public Disclosure Copy Andean Countrie Not Entered Río Santa Teresa Andean Countrie Not Entered Laguna Lazo Huntay Results Global Environmental Objective Indicators Page 3 of 14 The World Bank Report No: ISR13138 Indicator Name Core Unit of Measure Baseline Current End Target Information/data on CC scenarios and glacier Text Value There are no climate change Achieved. Development of at least one retreat contribute to the definition of local/ (CC) adaptation strategies or adaptation strategy/plan per Public Disclosure Copy regional governments’ adaptation strategies to plans for the selected basins country that incorporates the CC and/or integrated water resources that incorporate the information generated by the management plans. implications of CC or glacier project on the implications of retreat. CC and glacier retreat. Date 15-Oct-2008 12-Dec-2013 31-Mar-2014 Comments This indicator has been In Ecuador, plans have been adjusted as per approved prepared for Pita and project restructuring. Papallacta. In Bolivia, the Master Plan for La Paz and El Alto, and in Palca for basin management. In Peru, the project supported the climate change strategy for Cusco's regional government, and water resource management plans in Santa Teresa. Design and implementation of pilots generates Text Value There is no systematization of Achieved. All adaptation investment lessons delivered to relevant institutions which lessons learnt from what activities implemented by the could be incorporated into planning and could be considered PRAA generate relevant implementation of public/private investment adaptation activities. information on adaptation programs and projects which is collected and elaborated to be used as input in the planning and implementation of public/ private investment programs and projects. Date 15-Oct-2008 12-Dec-2013 31-Mar-2014 Comments This indicator has been There are numerous adjusted as per approved examples where lessons project restructuring. learned with this project Public Disclosure Copy informed investments, some of which are already underway. Some include EPSAS in Bolivia, where lessons learned with the unaccounted for activities are being replicated and improved; Activities inPapallacta Ecuador, which have served as basis upon Page 4 of 14 The World Bank Report No: ISR13138 which the Environment Ministry is building a larger adaptation program; or the experiences in Santa Teresa Public Disclosure Copy Peru, where the municipality is expanding the scope and amount of services provided to beneficiaries based on project lessons. Strengthened national meteorological services Text Value Limited availability of high- Completed. Information on glacier capacity to monitor glacier dynamic in Bolivia mountain meteorological behavior in the region is Ecuador and Peru. stations (only those available and 8 high-mountain administered by the IRD of meteorological stations France). Limited availability of provide useful data for satellite images/data. modeling, and for CC impact and glacier retreat studies in the selected basins. ALOS images have been processed. Date 15-Oct-2008 12-Dec-2013 31-Mar-2014 Comments This indicator has been All ALOS satellite images adjusted as per approved have been received, project restructuring. processed and applied to generate historical information. High mountain monitoring stations are installed and producing useful information. A number of capacity building events took place to further strengthen national and regional capabilities. Increase in the national and local awareness of Text Value No mentions in written media. Achieved. At least 8 press articles in the the impacts of rapid tropical glacier retreat as local written media. Public Disclosure Copy measured through mentions in written media of Date 15-Oct-2008 12-Dec-2013 31-Mar-2014 mass circulation. Comments Unchanged after project The number of mentions in restructuring. different media about the impacts of rapid glacier retreat is large. Peru spear- headed the implementationof a Mountain Pavilion during the Cancun COP, and glacier Page 5 of 14 The World Bank Report No: ISR13138 retreat will be an important topic for the Lima COP. Contribute to strengthening Andean region Text Value The Andean Environmental On track. The results of the different integration by supporting implementation of Agenda establishes the need studies, and design and Public Disclosure Copy Andean Env Agenda, through generation of to work on these topics at the implementation of adaptation tools to assess impacts and design and sub-regional level, but this activities in all countries has implement adapt measures has not fully materialized. been systematized. Good practices at the community, national and Andean sub- regional levels have been identified and disseminated in participating countries. Date 15-Oct-2008 12-Dec-2013 31-Mar-2014 Comments New indicator resulting from The project continues to the inclusion of a new gather lessons. However, a component (Comp 5) through large number of documents the restructuring. have already been prepared and delivered to participating countries. They capture lessons learned at local, national and regional levels. A number of scientific publications have also been prepared and made available. Intermediate Results Indicators Indicator Name Core Unit of Measure Baseline Current End Target Number of water utilities that the project is Number Value 0.00 3.00 3.00 supporting Date 15-Oct-2008 12-Dec-2013 31-Mar-2014 Comments No water utilities supported by Achieved. At least 3 water utilities project EPMAPS in Ecuador, EPSAS involved with project activities in Bolivia, SEDAM in Peru. and supported by it. Public Disclosure Copy Climate change scenarios developed using Text Value Availability of some scenarios Achieved. The three countries have data from a high-resolution global circulation based on other global generated CC scenarios with model (Earth Simulator, MRI Japan) in circulation models with less MRI data for the selected participating countries generating useful resolution. basins. This constitutes an information for selected basins. input for assessing CC impacts on water balances on those basins. Date 15-Oct-2008 12-Dec-2013 31-Mar-2014 Page 6 of 14 The World Bank Report No: ISR13138 Comments Indicator modified through CC scenarios have been project restructuring. developed by the participating countries using MRI data. Other models have been Public Disclosure Copy used, and tools such as Climdex have been applied. The most successful example is in Peru, where agro- climatological models, and hydro-climatological models have been prepared and have informed activities in the project areas. Generation of models and/or impact maps to Text Value There are no impact maps Achieved. At least one model or impact the effects of climate change and glacier due to the effects of CC and map has been developed by retreat in the selected basins in Bolivia, glacier retreat for the selected each country. Ecuador and Peru. basins. Date 15-Oct-2008 12-Dec-2013 31-Mar-2014 Comments New indicator introduced Models and impact maps through project restructuring. have been generated in the three participating countries. Peru has worked with agro- climatology and hydro- climatology. Also a modeling of CC impacts on paramo ecosystems has been performed. Bolivia and Ecuador have used Climdex and global circulation model data to elaborate on anticipated impacts. Specific impacts maps were not the most powerful tool since results from one single model Public Disclosure Copy are subject to biases. Participatory development at the regional/local Text Value There are no CC adaptation Achieved. At least one strategy and/or level of CC adaptation strategies and/or plans strategies or plans for the plan has been developed for (e.g. integrated water management plan or selected basins. Also, the each participating country. zoning plan that considers CC and glacier coordination among water retreat implications) users is very limited. Date 15-Oct-2008 12-Dec-2013 31-Mar-2014 Page 7 of 14 The World Bank Report No: ISR13138 Comments New indicator introduced Numerous plans and through project restructuring. strategies have been informed to some extent by project activities. Some of the Public Disclosure Copy most significant examples are: integrated basin management plan in Santa Teresa, Peru; integrated water resources management plan in Papallacta, Ecuador; and catchment management plans in Batallas and Palca, Bolivia. Sets of adaptation measures designed for the Text Value No adaptation activities have Achieved. At least two adaptation selected basins. been designed in the selected activities have been designed basins. under each pilot. Each design includes its own M&E system able to generate information, beyond project closure. Date 15-Oct-2008 12-Dec-2013 31-Mar-2014 Comments Indicator unchanged, target All adaptation activities have value adjusted through project been designed, and M&E restructuring. arrangements defined, in the three participating countries. Implementation of adaptation activities to Text Value No specific activities on fragile On target, almost achieved. At least one adaptation promote integrated water resources high-mountain ecosystems in measure implemented under management in the selected basins in Ecuador. Ecuador, which contribute to each pilot in Ecuador, with its water regulation at the basin own M&E system. level, have been designed or implemented as an adaptation response to CC. Date 15-Oct-2008 12-Dec-2013 31-Mar-2014 Comments Indicator modified through The vast majority of activities Public Disclosure Copy project restructuring. are concluded. The water supply and sanitation pilot is virtually completed. Some small modifications, due to the unrelated construction of an adjacent road, had to be made.The adaptive management of paramo ecosystems in Papallacta, Page 8 of 14 The World Bank Report No: ISR13138 and the paramo restoration activities in Pita, Antisana and Papallacta are finalized. Implementation of adapt activities to promote Text Value There is no water resources Achieved. At least one adaptation Public Disclosure Copy integrated water resources mgment, including planning that considers the activity has been demo activities for CC resilient agriculture in impact of glacier retreat in any implemented and tested in the selected basins (Sta Teresa, Shullcas) in of the two selected sub- each sub-basin under each Peru basins, and limited knowledge pilot in Peru, with their own on climate change resilient M&E system. At least one of agriculture practices amongst the activities includes local farmers. demonstration pilot showcasing good agricultural practices and water efficiency. Date 15-Oct-2008 12-Dec-2013 31-Mar-2014 Comments Indicator modified through All activities have been project restructuring. implemented, tested and are delivering their expected results. Specific activities aimed at showcasing good agricultural management practices, climate-resilient species selection, and water management techniques, have been implemented. Implementation of adaptation activities to Text Value Water distribution systems in On target. More than 50% A proposal to reduce UFW promote integrated water resources La Paz and El Alto register achieved. and improve efficiency is management in the cities of La Paz and El Alto, unaccounted-for water (UFW) delivered to EPSAS. At least and in the selected sub-basins in Batallas and loses of more than 30%. one adaptation activity is Palca in Bolivia. There are no local level plans implemented in Palca andone that include CC and glacier in Batallas, with their own retreat considerations. M&E system. Date 15-Oct-2008 12-Dec-2013 31-Mar-2014 Comments Indicator modified through All adaptation activities for La Public Disclosure Copy project restructuring. Paz and El Alto are completed. Proposal to reduce unaccounted for water was delivered to EPSAS, and is now being replicated by them. Another important delivery was a study on alternatives of water supply for El Alto, proposing alternatives for EPSAS. This has also been concluded, Page 9 of 14 The World Bank Report No: ISR13138 together with institutional strengthening. The two pilot irrigation schemes, in Palca and Batallas, are under Public Disclosure Copy implementation, with over 50% of physical progress. They are expected to be completed in the first months of 2014. Increase knowledge about the economic Text Value There is no economic Achieved. Studies on the economic implications of glacier retreat in the region. information about the impacts impacts of glacier retreat have of rapid glacier retreat in the been finalized in all countries region. based on the methodology agreed by all. Date 15-Oct-2008 12-Dec-2013 31-Mar-2014 Comments New indicator introduced This activity was carried out through project restructuring. through the implementation of a capacity building activity. Relevant participants of Ecuador, Bolivia, Peru, and Colombia, were trained on how to calculate economic impacts related to glacier retreat, with a focus on selected sectorssuch as water supply or agriculture. Availability of a methodological guide to Text Value There are several Achieved. Methodological guide is formulate baselines and adaptation measures methodologies but none available. in high-mountain ecosystems. specifically designed for high- mountain ecosystems. Date 15-Oct-2008 12-Dec-2013 31-Mar-2014 Comments New indicator to reflect newly The guide has been created comp. 5 through completed through the Public Disclosure Copy project restructuring. AndesPlus activity. An executive summary has been prepared, and published as a stand-alonepiece. This was distributed during the project closing workshop. Systematization and analysis of the different Text Value Each country applies its own Achieved. At least one workshop to methodologies used for glacier monitoring in methodology and generates exchange know-how on CC the Andean sub-region. data, but there is no scenarios development and exchange of information glacier monitoring has taken Page 10 of 14 The World Bank Report No: ISR13138 generated by the project place. A document that amongcountries. systematizes the experiences of Bolivia, Ecuador and Peru on this topic is also available. Public Disclosure Copy Date 15-Oct-2008 12-Dec-2013 31-Mar-2014 Comments New indicator to reflect newly A number of regional created comp. 5 through workshops were project restructuring. implemented, with participation of national experts. An information exchange protocol, the first of its kind for glacier dynamics in the region, was elaborated by all participants, and adopted. A regional database for the glacier retreat information generated by high altitude monitoring stations was also prepared. Number of high-mountain meteo stations Text Value Limited availability of high- Achieved. 8 meteorological stations installed in glacier and high-mountain mountain meteorological data installed and operational, ecosystems, generating consistent data in the tropical Andes. generating accessible data to through time to monitor glacier evolution and all relevant stakeholders in meteo conditions in the basins. the 4 countries (Bolivia, Colombia, Ecuador and Peru). Date 15-Oct-2008 12-Dec-2013 31-Mar-2014 Comments Indicator modified through All high-mountain meteo project restructuring. stations are installed and providing useful information. They all have their communications systems and data protocols. Information is being collected on an regional Public Disclosure Copy database, publicly available. Availability and use of satellite images and/or Text Value ALOS images are not being Achieved. Each country has at least aerial photographs to characterize glacier used and very few generated one study on surface, assess the dynamic of glaciers and photogrammetric analyses glacier cover evolution, using high-mountain ecosystems in the 4 countries. are being done to assess ALOS images and/or aerial glacier behavior in the region. photos obtained by the Project. Date 15-Oct-2008 12-Dec-2013 31-Mar-2014 Page 11 of 14 The World Bank Report No: ISR13138 Comments Indicator modified through Bolivia has updated its project restructuring. national glacier, water bodies, and paramo (bofedales) inventory, using ALOS Public Disclosure Copy images. Ecuador has used ALOS and historical photographs. Peru has also used the latter. Development of capacity to analyze and Text Value There is no knowledge about Achieved. The studies on the role of the monitor high-mountain ecosystems’ (paramos) the impacts of CC on paramos on the water and behavior to CC, in reference to the water cycle paramos. carbon cycle in Peru and and their role in fixing carbon. Ecuador have been finalized. Date 15-Oct-2008 12-Dec-2013 31-Mar-2014 Comments Indicator modified through This activity has been carried project restructuring. out in Peru and Ecuador. In Peru, specifically in Piura, a module on climate change impacts on paramos has been prepared, together with a detailed protocol for future M&E of the ecosystem. In Ecuador, paramo restoration works have concluded. Systematization and analysis of the different Text Value There is no or very limited On track, almost completed. At least one workshop to adaptation processes applied in the different regional exchange on this exchange know-how on pilots financed by the project. topic, and if done, is not adaptation processes. formal. A document that systematizes the experiences of Bolivia, Ecuador and Peru on this topic is also available. Date 15-Oct-2008 12-Dec-2013 31-Mar-2014 Comments New indicator to reflect newly Systematization at national created comp. 5 through level is virtually concluded. Public Disclosure Copy project restructuring. Systematization at project level is well advanced. A number of workshops have already taken place, including the closing workshop with participation of the different levels of government, partners, NGOs, and project beneficiaries. Page 12 of 14 The World Bank Report No: ISR13138 Dissemination among the communities, local Text Value Limited formal understanding Achieved. Project web page that governments involved, specialized institutions by the communities of the integrates information about and other stakeholders of the participatory problematic of CC, glacier the topic, experiences, and working experiences and results on the topic of retreat and the role of the results at the local and sub- Public Disclosure Copy adaptation to CC. high-mountain ecosystems on regional level is operational. the eater cycle. Very few Project closing workshop and press articles and publications Report. at the community level on this topic in the Andean region. Date 15-Oct-2008 12-Dec-2013 31-Mar-2014 Comments Indicator modified through Multiple workshops have project restructuring. been implemented, at different levels. Workshops for technical exchange between practitioners. Decision makers. Exchange experiences between beneficiaries of different catchments. And a 2-day closing workshop that reunited all types of actors involved throughout the project. Data on Financial Performance (as of 04-Dec-2013) Financial Agreement(s) Key Dates Project Ln/Cr/Tf Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Original Closing Date Revised Closing Date P098248 TF-56694 Closed 12-May-2006 12-May-2006 12-May-2006 30-Mar-2007 12-Dec-2007 P098248 TF-90328 Closed 31-Oct-2007 31-Oct-2007 31-Oct-2007 31-May-2011 31-Jan-2013 P098248 TF-91712 Effective 11-Jul-2008 11-Jul-2008 11-Jul-2008 30-Sep-2012 31-Mar-2014 Public Disclosure Copy Disbursements (in Millions) Project Ln/Cr/Tf Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P098248 TF-56694 Closed USD 0.59 0.58 0.01 0.58 0.00 100.00 P098248 TF-90328 Closed USD 0.87 0.85 0.01 0.85 0.00 100.00 P098248 TF-91712 Effective USD 7.94 7.94 0.00 7.15 0.79 90.00 Disbursement Graph Page 13 of 14 The World Bank Report No: ISR13138 Public Disclosure Copy Key Decisions Regarding Implementation The closing date of the project has been extended to March 31, 2014. This will enable the implementation of dissemination workshops, and the appropriate conclusion of several construction works in Bolivia and Ecuador. Restructuring History Level two Approved on 21-Mar-2012, Level two Approved on 03-Apr-2012, Level 2 CD Decision on 04-Sep-2013 Related Projects P119725-Adaptation to the Impact of Rapid Glacier Retreat in the Tropical Andes Additional Financing Public Disclosure Copy Page 14 of 14