The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report MX Urban Transport Transformation Progr (P107159) MX Urban Transport Transformation Progr (P107159) LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN | Mexico | Transport Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2010 | Seq No: 17 | ARCHIVED on 01-May-2019 | ISR36769 | Implementing Agencies: BANOBRAS, Ministry of Finance (SHCP), BANOBRAS Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 25-Mar-2010 Effectiveness Date: 15-Dec-2010 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 20-Apr-2015 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: 06-Oct-2014 Original Closing Date: 30-Jun-2017 Revised Closing Date: 30-Apr-2019 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The objective of the Project is to contribute to the transformation of urban transport in Mexican cities toward a lower carbon growth path. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Capacity Building: Provision of TA and training to the Eligible Beneficiaries in the Participating Entities Development of Integrated Transit Systems that reduce CO2 emissions: (i) Mass transit corridors and ancillary investments; (ii) Low:(Cost $350.00 M) Project Management Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Moderately Unsatisfactory Moderately Unsatisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Unsatisfactory Moderately Unsatisfactory Overall Risk Rating Substantial Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions The project (UTTP) has contributed to the transformation of urban transport in Mexican cities toward a lower-carbon growth path. To that end, the Bank has provided blended IBRD (US$150 million) and CTF (US$200 million) funds to BANOBRAS, which on-lends (as an intermediary) to states, municipalities and the private sector, mainly to complement a federal non-reimbursable program (PROTRAM) for mass-transit projects. PROTRAM’s portfolio comprises more than 40 projects, eight of which are already in operation, with total investments of around US$3.5 billion. IBRD–CTF funds account for around 10 percent of PROTRAM’s current portfolio. BANOBRAS has provided UTTP financing for the Ecovía BRT Line 1 in Monterrey (infrastructure and buses), Tijuana’s BRT (infrastructure), and the procurement of 12 new trains in Guadalajara’s LRT Line 1 (rolling stock). 5/1/2019 Page 1 of 5 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report MX Urban Transport Transformation Progr (P107159) Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance -- Substantial Substantial Macroeconomic -- Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies -- Low Low Technical Design of Project or Program -- Moderate Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability -- Substantial Substantial Fiduciary -- Substantial Substantial Environment and Social -- Substantial Substantial Stakeholders -- Substantial Substantial Other -- -- -- Overall -- Substantial Substantial Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Contribute to the transformation of urban transport in Mexican cities toward a lower carbon growth IN00694046 ►Avoided CO2 emissions (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 150,000.00 46,842.29 340,000.00 Date 25-Feb-2010 29-Nov-2018 18-Apr-2019 30-Apr-2019 Total CO2 emissions savings at closing is estimated at 46,842.29 CO2e tons per year, which corresponds to 13.8 percent of the original target. Due to lack of data reported, the estimations correspond to adjusting former estimations with known demand levels for Tijuana(6,197 CO2e tons per year), Ecovia (21,959.59. CO2e tons per year). and Guadalajara SITEUR L1 (18,685.70). It totals Comments: For Tijuana we are taking into account 14,000 daily passengers in the trunk corridor, which are expected to grow. Fro Ecovia we take into account 80,000 daily passengers. For SITEUR, we take into account additional 27000 passengers after the system capacity increase. IN00694047 ►Integrated mass transit corridors (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 5/1/2019 Page 2 of 5 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report MX Urban Transport Transformation Progr (P107159) Value 0.00 3.80 2.44 9.30 Date 25-Feb-2010 29-Nov-2018 18-Apr-2019 30-Apr-2019 Total Integrated mass transit corridors (corridor equivalents) at closing is estimated at 2.44, which corresponds to 26.2 percent of the target. For normalization purposes, it is considered an equivalent corridor of 15km in length and daily demand of 220,000 trips. Both criteria are weighted with a weight of 1/3 and 2/3 respectively. Comments: For Tijuana we are taking into account 14,000 daily trips and 25km, resulting in 0.6 corridor equivalents. For Ecovia we take into account 80,000 daily trips and 30.1km, resulting in 0.91 corridor equivalents. For SITEUR, we take into account additional 27000 passengers after the system capacity increase totaling 187000 daily trips, and 16.5km, resulting in 0.93 corridor equivalents. IN00694048 ►Investment leverage (Amount(USD), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 183.00 183.00 585.00 Date 25-Feb-2010 29-Nov-2018 18-Apr-2019 30-Apr-2019 The total investment leveraged by the project, as per the co-financing agreements, is MXN 5,539 millions, which corresponds to USD 294.6 millions (MXN to USD = 0.0533302). This corresponds to 50.36% of the target for this indicator. This indicator includes total investment leveraged by the project, including PROTRAM funding, subnational entities funding, and private sector contributions (minimum 34 percent as per PROTRAM Comments: requirements, unless justified). Lacking information prepared by the cilent, the total investment, as per the cofinancing agreements includes MXN 1712 millions for Ecovia, MXN 1353 millions for Guadalajara SITEUR line 1, and MXN 2474 million for Tijuana. Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Development of Integrated Transit Systems that reduce CO2 emissions: (i) Mass transit corridors and ancillary investments; (ii) Low IN00694049 ►Percentage reduction in perceived total travel time (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 Date 25-Feb-2010 29-Nov-2018 18-Apr-2019 30-Apr-2019 There is no information for reporting this indicator Comments: IN00694051 ►% of modal shift (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 Date 25-Feb-2010 04-Dec-2018 18-Apr-2019 30-Apr-2019 There is no information to report on this indicator Comments: 5/1/2019 Page 3 of 5 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report MX Urban Transport Transformation Progr (P107159) Capacity Building: Provision of TA and training to the Eligible Beneficiaries in the Participating Entities IN00694050 ►Integration of climate change mitigation in transport plans (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 Date 25-Feb-2010 04-Dec-2018 18-Apr-2019 30-Apr-2019 All three Sub-projects financed by the project are consistent with transport plans including climate change Comments: mitigation considerations.This corresopond to 100% of the target for this indicator Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P107159 IBRD-78830 -- USD 150.00 150.00 0.00 52.02 97.98 35% P107159 TF-96291 -- USD 200.00 200.00 0.00 62.02 137.98 31% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P107159 IBRD-78830 -- 25-Mar-2010 21-Jul-2010 15-Dec-2010 30-Jun-2017 30-Apr-2019 P107159 TF-96291 -- 25-Mar-2010 21-Jul-2010 15-Dec-2010 30-Jun-2017 30-Apr-2019 Cumulative Disbursements 5/1/2019 Page 4 of 5 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report MX Urban Transport Transformation Progr (P107159) Restructuring History Level Approved on 22-Aug-2012 ,Level Approved on 03-May-2013 ,Level 2 Approved on 16-Jul-2016 ,Level 2 Approved on 21-Dec-2016 Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 5/1/2019 Page 5 of 5