The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pap-Angren Railway (P146328) Pap-Angren Railway (P146328) EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Uzbekistan | Transport Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2015 | Seq No: 9 | ARCHIVED on 28-May-2019 | ISR37036 | Implementing Agencies: Republic of Uzbekistan, Uzbekistan Temir Yo'allari State Joint Stock Company, Uzbekenergo, State Joint Stock Company Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 13-Feb-2015 Effectiveness Date: 15-Sep-2015 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 15-Mar-2019 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: 06-May-2019 Original Closing Date: 31-Mar-2019 Revised Closing Date: 31-Mar-2020 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The proposed project development objectives are to reduce transport costs and to increase transport capacity and reliability through the construction of a rail link between the Uzbek part of the Ferghana Valley and the rest of Uzbekistan. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Railway Main Infrastructure:(Cost $1438.75 M) Rail Electrification, Signaling, Track Maintenance and Railway Video Surveillance System:(Cost $54.00 M) Power Distribution Line:(Cost $10.76 M) Technical assistance to UTY for Supporting Railway Construction:(Cost $0.50 M) Technical Assistance to UTY for Improving Railway Logistics:(Cost $1.00 M) Implementation Support:(Cost $4.50 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating High High Implementation Status and Key Decisions The project was formally restructured on February 4, 2019 to extend the closing date by one year (to March 31, 2020). Since the new rail link between Angren and Pap opened nearly three years ago, passenger and cargo traffic has been higher than expected. In addition, the cost to transport goods (oil, fertilizers and automobiles) and passengers between the Uzbek part of the Ferghana Valley and the rest of Uzbekistan has dropped. 5/28/2019 Page 1 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pap-Angren Railway (P146328) Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance -- Substantial Substantial Macroeconomic -- Substantial Substantial Sector Strategies and Policies -- Substantial Substantial Technical Design of Project or Program -- Substantial Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability -- Substantial Substantial Fiduciary -- Substantial Substantial Environment and Social -- Moderate Moderate Stakeholders -- Substantial Substantial Other -- -- -- Overall -- High High Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Reduce transport costs and to increase transport capacity and reliability. IN00701624 ►Transportation cost for public transport users per passenger (Amount(USD), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 15.00 24.33 11.20 16.00 Date 16-Feb-2015 11-Oct-2018 10-May-2019 29-Mar-2019 Measurements compare the cost of a trip by rail in economy class from Andijan to Tashkent (after the new rail line became operational) against the baseline cost, which measured the cost per passenger to travel in a private taxi or mini-bus, along the same route. To convert the cost from UZ sums to US$, the PAD indicates that currency conversion should be done using the 2014 exchange rate used in the PAD (US$1 Comments: = UZS 2,384), rather than the current rate of exchange, which is US$1 = UZS 8,420. Using the exchange rate from the PAD the passenger cost is US$39.50, whereas using the current exchange rate the cost is US$11.20. The current exchange rate has been used to measure this indicator. IN00701625 ►Transportation cost for freight (Amount(USD), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 5/28/2019 Page 2 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pap-Angren Railway (P146328) Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Date 16-Feb-2015 11-Oct-2018 10-May-2019 29-Mar-2019 The results of these sub-indicators are substantially different from what has previously been reported because they were incorrectly measured. They were calculated looking at the overall cost to transport the Comments: commodities, including the price of the commodity itself. However, the measurement should only consider the cost to transport, and the updated figures reflect this difference. IN00701691 Freight cost for oil and oil products per tank (Amount(USD), Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 1,944.00 1,972.09 760.00 930.00 Date 16-Feb-2015 11-Oct-2018 10-May-2019 29-Mar-2019 IN00701692 Freight cost for fertilizers per wagon (Amount(USD), Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 2,058.60 6,042.15 214.00 979.90 Date 16-Feb-2015 11-Oct-2018 10-May-2019 29-Mar-2019 IN00701693 Freight cost for automobile per wagon (Amount(USD), Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 6,714.00 7,354.31 413.00 604.00 Date 16-Feb-2015 11-Oct-2018 10-May-2019 29-Mar-2019 IN00701694 ►Transport capacity (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Date 16-Feb-2015 11-Oct-2018 10-May-2019 29-Mar-2019 IN00701695 Pairs of passenger trains per day (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 3.00 7.00 2.00 Date 16-Feb-2015 11-Oct-2018 10-May-2019 29-Mar-2019 IN00701696 Pairs of freight trains per day (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 8.00 8.00 8.00 Date 16-Feb-2015 11-Oct-2018 10-May-2019 29-Mar-2019 IN00701697 ►Reliability of rail services (Percentage, Custom) 5/28/2019 Page 3 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pap-Angren Railway (P146328) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 95.00 10.00 10.00 5.00 Date 16-Feb-2015 11-Oct-2018 10-May-2019 29-Mar-2019 Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Rail Electrification, Signaling, Track Maintenance and Railway Video Surveillance System IN00701698 ►Installation of Signaling System (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Temporary system is Temporary system is The system is not installed. Procurement of installed. Procurement The system is Value commissioned the new signaling system of the new signaling commissioned is on hold. system is on hold. Date 16-Feb-2015 11-Oct-2018 10-May-2019 29-Mar-2019 IN00701702 ►Electrification of the Rail (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The traction substation The traction substation was commissioned and was commissioned The system is not made operational on and made operational The system is Value commissioned November 1, 2017. on November 1, 2017. commissioned SCADA system is SCADA system is pending. pending. Date 16-Feb-2015 11-Oct-2018 10-May-2019 29-Mar-2019 Power Distribution Line IN00701699 ►Construction of Power Distribution Line (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The system is The system is The power distribution The power distribution Value commissioned and commissioned and line is not commissioned line is commissioned operational. operational. Date 16-Feb-2015 11-Oct-2018 10-May-2019 29-Mar-2019 Technical Assistance to UTY for Improving Railway Logistics IN00701700 ►Working Ratio (Financial Sustainability of UTY) (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Updated data not Updated data not Value 64.00 67.00 provided by UTY. provided by UTY. Date 16-Feb-2015 11-Oct-2018 10-May-2019 29-Mar-2019 5/28/2019 Page 4 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pap-Angren Railway (P146328) This information has not been provided by UTY. Comments: Implementation Support IN00701701 ►Direct project beneficiaries (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 549,120 744,929 611,740.00 Date 16-Feb-2015 11-Oct-2018 10-May-2019 29-Mar-2019 IN00701703 Beneficiary satisfaction with the quality of services (males) (Text, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 95.00 95.00 85.00 IN00701704 Beneficiary satisfaction with the quality of services (females) (Text, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 97.00 97.00 85.00 IN00701705 ►Grievances registered related to delivery of project benefits addressed (%) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 70.00 66.50 67.00 90.00 Date 16-Feb-2015 11-Oct-2018 10-May-2019 29-Mar-2019 IN00701706 Grievances related to delivery of project benefits that are addressed-(number) (Number, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 30.00 2.00 2.00 25.00 Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P146328 IBRD-84650 Effective USD 195.00 70.76 124.24 51.68 19.08 73% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P146328 IBRD-84650 Effective 13-Feb-2015 04-Mar-2015 15-Sep-2015 31-Mar-2019 31-Mar-2020 5/28/2019 Page 5 of 6 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Pap-Angren Railway (P146328) Cumulative Disbursements Restructuring History Level 2 Approved on 12-Sep-2015 ,Level 2 Approved on 03-Feb-2019 Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 5/28/2019 Page 6 of 6