The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report KZ SKILLS AND JOBS PROJECT (P150183) KZ SKILLS AND JOBS PROJECT (P150183) EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Kazakhstan | Education Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2015 | Seq No: 11 | ARCHIVED on 17-Jan-2020 | ISR39164 | Implementing Agencies: REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN, Minister of Labor and Social Protection of Population Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 30-Mar-2015 Effectiveness Date: 10-Mar-2016 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 12-Jul-2018 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: 17-Jul-2018 Original Closing Date: 30-Jun-2020 Revised Closing Date: 30-Jun-2020 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The proposed Project Development Objectives (PDO) are to improve employment outcomes and skills of target beneficiaries and to improve the relevance of technical and vocational education and training and higher education programs. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Building the Foundation of a National Qualifications System:(Cost $13.08 M) Enhancing Skills for Improved Employment Outcomes and Productivity:(Cost $42.88 M) Project Management and Monitoring and Evaluation:(Cost $5.47 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Moderately Unsatisfactory Moderately Unsatisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Unsatisfactory Moderately Unsatisfactory Overall Risk Rating Moderate Moderate Implementation Status and Key Decisions Overall project implementation has been slow due in part to several systemic bottlenecks in Ministry of Labor and Social Protection of the Population of the Republic of Kazakhstan (MLSP), including (a) lengthy internal procedures for signing of contracts, especially delays in signing contracts for several IT packages, and for approving contracted services; (b) substantive delays in national budget allocations; and (c) limited procurement and institutional capacity, including a very high staff turnover in the Project Management Unit (PMU) and lack of ownership within the MLSP technical ranks. Although the MLSP’s senior management is taking several measures to expedite implementation progress, including following the Action Plans agreed with the Bank team on various supervision missions and adopting a Ministerial order regulating the content and length of project approval processes, delays continue unabated. During the November mission, it was agreed that it is imperative that following actions are taken as a matter of priority before the Bank management approves extension: (i) time-bound plan to resolve problem contracts; (ii) 1/17/2020 Page 1 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report KZ SKILLS AND JOBS PROJECT (P150183) strengthened PMU, with enough technical staff to supervise each subcomponent; (iii) official plan and timeline to implement the project-financed Skills Enhancement Training Program (schemes A and B). The positive development in project implementation is the finalization of 550 occupational standards in 2019, which were approved in December 2019 - January 2020 by the official registration body. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Substantial Substantial Substantial Macroeconomic Moderate Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies Moderate Moderate Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program Substantial Substantial Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability Substantial Substantial Substantial Fiduciary Substantial Substantial Substantial Environment and Social Low Low Low Stakeholders Moderate Moderate Moderate Other -- Moderate Moderate Overall Substantial Moderate Moderate Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes To improve employment outcomes and skills of target beneficiaries IN00762395 ►Share of unemployed beneficiaries who are employed six months after completion of the training (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 Date 01-Jul-2015 08-May-2019 07-Jan-2020 30-Jun-2020 IN00762517 Share of female unemployed beneficiaries who are employed six months after completion of training (Percentage, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 10.00 0.00 40.00 1/17/2020 Page 2 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report KZ SKILLS AND JOBS PROJECT (P150183) Date 01-Jul-2015 08-May-2019 07-Jan-2020 30-Jun-2020 IN00762518 ►Share of unproductively self-employed beneficiaries who report increased earnings (real terms) one year after completion of training (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.00 Date 01-Jul-2015 08-May-2019 07-Jan-2020 30-Jun-2020 IN00762519 Share of female unproductively self-employed beneficiaries who report increased earnings (real terms) one year after completion of training (Percentage, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 Date 01-Jul-2015 08-May-2019 07-Jan-2020 30-Jun-2020 IN00762520 ►Share of firms employing graduates from Scheme B training programs that are satisfied with the training financed by the project (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.00 Date 01-Jul-2015 08-May-2019 07-Jan-2020 30-Jun-2020 To improve the relevance of TVET and training and higher education program IN00762516 ►Share of occupations/specialties covered by educational programs (TVET and higher education) developed based on OS and/or analysis of professional activity (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 9.00 9.00 13.00 Date 01-Jul-2015 08-May-2019 07-Jan-2020 30-Jun-2020 Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Building the Foundation of a National Qualifications System IN00762521 ►Number of registered occupational standards (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 60.00 70.00 550.00 Date 01-Jul-2015 08-May-2019 07-Jan-2020 30-Jun-2020 IN00762524 ►Number of new TVET educational program developed with input from industry developed based on OS and/or analysis of professional activity (Number, Custom) 1/17/2020 Page 3 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report KZ SKILLS AND JOBS PROJECT (P150183) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 30.00 30.00 45.00 Date 01-Jul-2015 08-May-2019 07-Jan-2020 30-Jun-2020 IN00762526 ►Number of new Higher Education programs developed with input from industry and based on OS and/or analysis of professional activity (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 40.00 40.00 70.00 Date 01-Jul-2015 08-May-2019 07-Jan-2020 30-Jun-2020 IN00762528 ►Master plan to establish a national qualifications authority (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 01-Jul-2015 08-May-2019 07-Jan-2020 30-Jun-2020 Enhancing Skills for Improved Employment Outcomes and Productivity IN00762522 ►Share of Employment Centers (ECs) with staff that successffully completed training provided by the project (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.00 Date 01-Jul-2015 08-May-2019 07-Jan-2020 30-Jun-2020 IN00762525 ►Share of short-term training providers that meet the requirements of the pre-qualified training provider list (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 30.00 20.00 Date 01-Jul-2015 08-May-2019 07-Jan-2020 30-Jun-2020 IN00762527 ►Number of unemployed people registered at the EC or EU (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 50,000.00 229,777.00 152,000.00 65,000.00 Date 01-Jul-2015 08-May-2019 07-Jan-2020 30-Jun-2020 The numbers increased compared to the baseline and target estimates due to implementation of the government funded Enbek program (starting 2017), introduction of the Targeted Social Assistance Comments: (2019), and other social welfare support, which requires registration in the Employment Centers as unemployed and/or unproductively self-employed. IN00762529 ►Number of unemployed or unproductively self-employed beneficiaries who complete project financed-training (Number, Custom) 1/17/2020 Page 4 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report KZ SKILLS AND JOBS PROJECT (P150183) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 15,450.00 Date 01-Jul-2015 08-May-2019 07-Jan-2020 30-Jun-2020 Following the restructuring and countersigned results framework (with the Ministry of Labor and Social Protection of the RK), the number of unemployed or unproductively self-employed beneficiaries who complete project financed-training is 15 450. Comments: A request was sent to operations portal service to help sort out the issue. The correct value was re- entered as per counter-signed project indicators. IN00762530 Number of female unemployed or unproductively self-employed beneficiaries who complete project financed training (Number, Custom Breakdown) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 5,500.00 Date 01-Jul-2015 08-May-2019 07-Jan-2020 30-Jun-2020 IN00762531 ►Number of unproductively self-employed people registered at the EC or EU (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 3,000.00 105,728.00 191,900.00 4,500.00 Date 01-Jul-2015 08-May-2019 07-Jan-2020 30-Jun-2020 The numbers increased compared to the baseline and target estimates due to implementation of the government funded Enbek program (starting 2017), introduction of the Targeted Social Assistance Comments: (2019), and other social welfare support, which requires registration in the Employment Centers as unemployed and/or unproductively self-employed. IN00762532 ►Number of firms selected to receive training Scheme B training financed by the Project (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 Date 01-Jul-2015 08-May-2019 07-Jan-2020 30-Jun-2020 IN00762533 ►Number of employees of firms who receive Scheme B of SETP (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 4,700.00 Date 01-Jul-2015 08-May-2019 07-Jan-2020 30-Jun-2020 Project Management and Monitoring and Evaluation IN00762523 ►Share of grievances addressed related to delivery of project benefits registered - disaggregated by gender. (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 1/17/2020 Page 5 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report KZ SKILLS AND JOBS PROJECT (P150183) Value 0.00 100.00 80.00 85.00 Date 01-Jul-2015 08-May-2019 07-Jan-2020 30-Jun-2020 80% of grievances have been addressed - about 53 feedback inputs came through the system in 2019. the feedback primarily concerned the work of Employment Centers and training providers in general, not specifically concerning the project training which is yet to be conducted. Consultations. Throughout 2019 consultations have taken place within the Occupational Standards (OS) Comments: development framework. More specifically, within the implementation of 20+contracts for the development of the OS, on average 80 consultations and round-tables were held with the stakeholders in 2019. The stakeholders include: sector associations, employers, labor unions, education providers, think tanks and research institutes. ADD what happened with the information/feedback provided in the consultations. Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P150183 IBRD-84900 Effective USD 100.00 44.80 55.20 14.66 30.14 33% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P150183 IBRD-84900 Effective 30-Mar-2015 20-Jul-2015 10-Mar-2016 30-Jun-2020 30-Jun-2020 Cumulative Disbursements 1/17/2020 Page 6 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report KZ SKILLS AND JOBS PROJECT (P150183) Restructuring History Level 2 Approved on 01-Feb-2019 Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 1/17/2020 Page 7 of 7