The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening Social Safety Net Project (P145699) Strengthening Social Safety Net Project (P145699) MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA | Egypt, Arab Republic of | Social Protection & Labor Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2015 | Seq No: 8 | ARCHIVED on 16-Jan-2019 | ISR35739 | Implementing Agencies: Government of Egypt, Ministry of International Cooperation, Ministry of Social Solidarity Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 10-Apr-2015 Effectiveness Date: 06-Sep-2015 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 11-Dec-2017 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: 10-Dec-2017 Original Closing Date: 30-Nov-2019 Revised Closing Date: 30-Nov-2019 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The project development objective (PDO) is to support the Borrower to establish an efficient and effective Takaful and Karama Cash Transfer Program. “Efficient” is defined and measured by good targeting of the poor. “Effective” is defined and measured by coverage of the poor and having basic administrative building blocks of the Program. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Provision of Conditional and Unconditional Cash Transfers:(Cost $375.00 M) Support SSN Targeting and Operational Systems:(Cost $22.00 M) Project Management and Monitoring and Evaluation:(Cost $3.00 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Substantial Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions The project is progressing well and has made notable progress in terms of achieving its intended objectives reaching 2.24 million households (approx. 9.4 million individuals), exceeding the overall target of 1.5 million which was intended to be met in 2019. Progress towards achievement of Project Development Objective and Overall Implementation Progress are rated Satisfactory (S). The project has rolled-out in all 27 governorates with a solid system of grievances and redress coupled with an expansion of social accountability committees in 20 governorates. To date, total project disbursements stand at US$390.04 million (approximately 95% of the total loan amount). Of this amount, a total of US$345 million are actual disbursements associated with achievement of equivalent value in disbursement-linked-indicators (DLIs) - 16 out of 19 DLIs have been met. 1/16/2019 Page 1 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening Social Safety Net Project (P145699) Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Substantial Moderate Moderate Macroeconomic Substantial Substantial Substantial Sector Strategies and Policies Substantial Substantial Substantial Technical Design of Project or Program Substantial Substantial Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability Substantial Moderate Moderate Fiduciary Substantial Substantial Substantial Environment and Social Low Low Low Stakeholders Substantial Substantial Substantial Other Substantial Substantial Substantial Overall Substantial Substantial Substantial Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Support the Borrower to establish an efficient and effective CT program IN00623966 ►Percentage of the Program’s beneficiary HHs who are under the poverty line (to measure targeting efficiency/accuracy) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 67.50 67.50 60.00 Date 30-Jun-2015 30-Nov-2018 30-Nov-2018 30-Dec-2022 Comments: Number of beneficiaries who are below poverty line/total beneficiaries*100 IN00623967 ►Percentage of poor households covered by the program (to measure the program’s overall coverage) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 20.10 20.10 20.00 Date 30-Jun-2015 30-Nov-2018 30-Nov-2018 30-Dec-2022 T&K target coverage represents 38.77% of the bottom quintile, if targeting was perfect. With the Comments: assumption of 60% targeting accuracy, coverage of the poorest quintile becomes 23%. IN00623992 1/16/2019 Page 2 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening Social Safety Net Project (P145699) Of which are female-headed (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 88.40 88.40 60.00 IN00623991 ►Number of days, after payment due date, funds are deposited in beneficiaries' individual accounts (a measure administrative building block of the Program) (Days, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 10.00 15.00 1.00 Date 30-Jun-2015 30-Nov-2018 30-Nov-2018 30-Dec-2022 Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Component 1: Provision of Conditional and Unconditional Cash Transfers IN00623968 ►Direct project beneficiaries (Number, Custom, DLI) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 2,268,801.00 2,247,018.00 3,000,000.00 Date 30-Jun-2015 30-Apr-2018 30-Nov-2018 30-Dec-2022 Direct beneficiaries are people or groups who directly derive benefits from an intervention (i.e., children who benefit from an immunization program; families that have a new piped water connection). Please note that this indicator requires supplemental information. Supplemental Value: Female beneficiaries Comments: (percentage). Based on the assessment and definition of direct project beneficiaries, specify what proportion of the direct project beneficiaries are female. This indicator is calculated as a percentage. IN00623993 Female beneficiaries (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 88.00 88.00 60.00 IN00623969 ►Direct and Indirect Beneficiaries (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 9,459,913.00 9,391,152.00 12,750,000.00 Date 30-Jun-2015 31-Aug-2018 30-Nov-2018 30-Dec-2022 Number of all individuals in the benefiting households. Or, individual recipients (mothers, elderly and Comments: disabled) multiplied by their household size. Targets assume an average household size of 3. IN00623970 ►Takaful and Karama Cash Transfer Program Launched (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes 1/16/2019 Page 3 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening Social Safety Net Project (P145699) Date 30-Jun-2015 04-Oct-2016 30-Nov-2018 30-Nov-2019 Comments: MoSS informs Bank team; and press material. IN00623971 ►Communication and Outreach begins (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 30-Jun-2015 04-Oct-2016 30-Nov-2018 30-Nov-2019 IN00623974 ►PMT-based application developed and PMT scoring adopted and applied (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 30-Jun-2015 04-Oct-2016 30-Nov-2018 30-Nov-2019 IN00623975 ►Share of HH in the Takaful sub-program who comply with education conditionality of 80% school attendance (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 82.40 0.00 80.00 Date 30-Jun-2015 30-Nov-2017 30-Nov-2018 30-Nov-2019 IN00623972 ►Share of households with children age 6-12, who have new enrolled children (excluding in grade 1) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 84.50 -- 0.00 Date 30-Jun-2015 30-Nov-2017 -- 30-Nov-2019 IN00623973 ►Share of households with children in grades 1-12, reported to have female drop-out decrease (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 82.60 82.60 0.00 Date 30-Jun-2015 30-Nov-2017 30-Nov-2018 30-Nov-2019 IN00623977 ►Share of HH in the Takaful sub-program who comply with health conditionality of 3 visits a year to the health unit and maintain child growth monitoring record (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 86.00 86.00 70.00 Date 30-Jun-2015 30-Nov-2017 30-Nov-2018 30-Dec-2022 Comments: (Number of Takaful Beneficiaries with effective conditionalities/ Total number of Takaful beneficiaries)*100 IN00623978 1/16/2019 Page 4 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening Social Safety Net Project (P145699) ►Health clinic utilization rate increased in Takaful Program areas (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 75.00 75.00 20.00 Date 30-Jun-2015 30-Nov-2017 30-Nov-2018 30-Nov-2019 Comments: Utilization rate is calculated as number of visits per annum IN00623979 ►Share of mothers reported to have improved knowledge on health issues (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 58.00 58.00 50.00 Date 30-Jun-2015 30-Nov-2017 30-Nov-2018 30-Nov-2019 Mothers in program beneficiary households answered an average of 5.8 out of 10 questions correctly Comments: regarding infant and young child feeding practices. (ref. impact evaluation baseline study). IN00623980 ►Beneficiaries whose consumption of foods increase (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 Date 30-Jun-2015 31-Jan-2018 30-Nov-2018 30-Dec-2022 Beneficiary households increased food spending by 7.7% as a result of the Takaful program. Beneficiary households spent an average of 432 EGP per month per “adult equivalent”), a total of 1280 EGP per Comments: month for the household. This implies a spending increase of 33.3 EGP per “adult equivalent” or approximately 100 EGP per household. (ref. impact evaluation baseline study). Component 2: Support SSN Targeting and Operational Systems IN00623976 ►Share of sampled beneficiaries whose application information yields no discrepancies or errors once verified (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 90.00 90.00 80.00 Date 30-Jun-2015 30-Nov-2017 30-Nov-2018 30-Dec-2022 Number of beneficiaries whose application information is verified with no discrepancies or errors on record Comments: / total number of beneficiaries verified. Sample for verification is of newly enrolled beneficiaries in a given year. IN00623981 ►PMT targeting accuracy evaluation completed (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No -- Yes Yes Date 30-Jun-2015 -- 30-Nov-2018 30-Nov-2019 1/16/2019 Page 5 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening Social Safety Net Project (P145699) PMT targeting evaluation will be based on a random sample beneficiary consumption survey, after Comments: completion of wave one. IN00623982 ►PMT adjusted after targeting accuracy evaluation (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 30-Jun-2015 16-Jan-2018 30-Nov-2018 30-Nov-2019 Targeting Accuracy assessment using consumption survey; recommendations results in changing of Comments: assigned weights / variables chosen for eligibility determination IN00623983 ►Process evaluation conducted after wave 1 (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 30-Jun-2015 04-Oct-2016 30-Nov-2018 30-Nov-2019 Comments: Findings from the process evaluation after wave 1 will be used to adjust processes. IN00623984 ►MIS is operational (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 30-Jun-2015 04-Oct-2016 30-Nov-2018 30-Nov-2019 Operational is defined that information entered in field locations load correctly to MIS from all locations Comments: and devices, and the MIS is used to generate eligible IN00623985 ►MIS synchronizes electronically back office information from SSP and Social Insurance databases (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 30-Jun-2015 04-Oct-2016 30-Nov-2018 30-Nov-2019 Information sourced from specific database is loaded correctly. This does not measure integrity of input Comments: data IN00623986 ►Share of beneficiaries paid through electronic payments (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 Date 30-Jun-2015 29-Sep-2017 30-Nov-2018 30-Dec-2022 (Number of beneficiaries paid via electronic means/ Total number of beneficiaries) *100 Quarterly Comments: payment transactions are produced quarterly IN00623987 ►“Attention to beneficiary module – case management” within MIS is operational (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 1/16/2019 Page 6 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening Social Safety Net Project (P145699) Value No No Yes Yes Date 30-Jun-2015 28-Feb-2018 30-Nov-2018 30-Nov-2019 IN00623988 ►Conditionality compliance module in MIS is operational (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No Yes Yes Date 30-Jun-2015 27-Sep-2018 30-Nov-2018 30-Nov-2019 IN00623989 ►Complaint management module in MIS is operational (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 30-Jun-2015 17-Aug-2017 30-Nov-2018 30-Nov-2019 IN00623990 ►Percent of grievances addressed within stipulated timeframe (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 97.00 97.00 80.00 Date 30-Jun-2015 30-Apr-2018 30-Nov-2018 30-Dec-2022 (Grievances addressed within stipulated timeframes/ total number of grievances filed)*100 The stipulated Comments: timeframes for complaints will be stated in the operational manual. Disbursement Linked Indicators IN00662233 ►DLI 1 PMT designed and used to identify Wave 1 beneficiaries for Takaful and Karama (Yes/No, Outcome, 10,000,000.00, 0.00%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) FY19 Value No -- Yes -- Date -- -- 30-Nov-2018 -- Comments: DLI met and verified in January 2016. IN00662234 ►DLI 2 Freeze on new entrants to social pensions for 2 categories covered by Karama where Karama has been rolled out. (Yes/No, Outcome, 10,000,000.00, 0.00%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) FY19 Value No -- Yes -- Date -- -- 30-Nov-2018 -- 1/16/2019 Page 7 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening Social Safety Net Project (P145699) Comments: DLI has been met and verified in January 2016. IN00662235 ►DLI 3 Action plan prepared and adopted based on findings of verification of self-reporting among Wave 1 applicants. (Yes/No, Outcome, 20,000,000.00, 0.00%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) FY19 Value No -- Yes -- Date -- -- 30-Nov-2018 -- Comments: DLI has been met and verified in June 2017. IN00662256 ►DLI 4 Action plan prepared, adopted, and published based on findings of independent process evaluation of Wave 1 enrollment process. (Yes/No, Output, 20,000,000.00, 0.00%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) FY19 Value No -- Yes -- Date -- -- 30-Nov-2018 -- Comments: DLI has been met and verified in December 2016. IN00662257 ►DLI 5 PMT adjusted based on findings of independent targeting accuracy assessment. (Yes/No, Outcome, 20,000,000.00, 0.00%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) FY19 Value No -- Yes -- Date -- -- 30-Nov-2018 -- Comments: DLI has been met and verified in December 2017. IN00662296 ►DLI 6 Impact evaluation baseline survey conducted. (Yes/No, Output, 10,000,000.00, 0.00%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) FY19 Value No -- Yes -- Date -- -- 30-Nov-2018 -- Comments: DLI has been met and verified in December 2017. IN00662297 ►DLI 7 Impact evaluation endline survey completed and results published. (Yes/No, Output, 10,000,000.00, 0.00%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) FY19 Value No -- No Yes Date -- -- 30-Nov-2018 -- 1/16/2019 Page 8 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening Social Safety Net Project (P145699) Comments: Not yet due. IN00662298 ►DLI 8 Enrollment of 180,000 beneficiaries selected using the PMT (Yes/No, Process, 30,000,000.00, 0.00%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) FY19 Value No -- Yes -- Date -- -- 30-Nov-2018 -- Comments: DLI has been met and verified in May 2016. IN00662299 ►DLI 9 Enrollment of 500,000 beneficiaries selected using the PMT (Yes/No, Process, 40,000,000.00, 0.00%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) FY19 Value No -- Yes -- Date -- -- 30-Nov-2018 -- Comments: DLI has been met and verified in May 2016. IN00662300 ►DLI 10 Enrollment of 750,000 beneficiaries selected using the PMT (Yes/No, Process, 60,000,000.00, 0.00%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) FY19 Value No -- Yes -- Date -- -- 30-Nov-2018 -- Comments: DLI has been met and verified in November 2016. IN00662301 ►DLI 11 Enrollment of 1 million beneficiaries selected using the PMT (Yes/No, Process, 65,000,000.00, 0.00%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) FY19 Value No -- Yes -- Date -- -- 30-Nov-2018 -- Comments: DLI has been met and verified in June 2017. IN00662302 ►DLI 12 MIS basic registration module operational and being used for the registration of applicants. (Yes/No, Outcome, 10,000,000.00, 0.00%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) FY19 Value No -- Yes -- Date -- -- 30-Nov-2018 -- Comments: DLI has been met and verified in October 2015. 1/16/2019 Page 9 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening Social Safety Net Project (P145699) IN00662238 ►DLI 13 MIS back-office registry module operational and used to cross-check applicants with MOSS databases. (Yes/No, Outcome, 10,000,000.00, 0.00%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) FY19 Value No -- Yes -- Date -- -- 30-Nov-2018 -- Comments: DLI has been met and verified in October 2015. IN00662239 ►DLI 14 MIS payment cycle module operational and used to process payment for eligible beneficiaries. (Yes/No, Outcome, 10,000,000.00, 0.00%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) FY19 Value No -- Yes -- Date -- -- 30-Nov-2018 -- Comments: DLI has been met and verified in October 2015. IN00662240 ►DLI 15 MIS case management module operational and provides access to beneficiaries to update life events. (Yes/No, Outcome, 10,000,000.00, 0.00%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) FY19 Value No -- No -- Date -- -- 30-Nov-2018 -- DLI is partially met. Application is developed and tested yet is still being presented via administrative trainings Comments: to all MOSS administrative staff at central and local levels. IN00662258 ►DLI 16 MIS conditionality compliance module operational and capable of identifying cases of non-compliance. (Yes/No, Outcome, 10,000,000.00, 0.00%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) FY19 Value No -- No -- Date -- -- 30-Nov-2018 -- DLI is partially met: Business requirements and cycle management completed. Software design is finished at Comments: MoE, and is still ongoing for Azhar and MoHP. IN00662259 ►DLI 17 MIS grievance mechanism module operational and incoming grievances and replies are logged in the system. (Yes/No, Outcome, 10,000,000.00, 0.00%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) FY19 Value No -- Yes -- Date -- -- 30-Nov-2018 -- 1/16/2019 Page 10 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening Social Safety Net Project (P145699) Comments: DLI has been met and verified in June 2017. IN00662260 ►DLI 18 Grievance redress mechanism established and 50% of complaints addressed (Yes/No, Output, 10,000,000.00, 0.00%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) FY19 Value No -- Yes -- Date -- -- 30-Nov-2018 -- Comments: DLI has been met and verified in December 2017. IN00662303 ►DLI 19 Grievance redress mechanism established and 80% of complaints are addressed within stipulated time-frame according to the OM. (Yes/No, Output, 10,000,000.00, 0.00%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) FY19 Value No -- Yes -- Date -- -- 30-Nov-2018 -- Comments: DLI has been met and verified in December 2017. Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P145699 IBRD-84960 Effective USD 400.00 400.00 0.00 390.04 9.96 98% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P145699 IBRD-84960 Effective 10-Apr-2015 17-Apr-2015 06-Sep-2015 30-Nov-2019 30-Nov-2019 Cumulative Disbursements 1/16/2019 Page 11 of 12 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Strengthening Social Safety Net Project (P145699) Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Project(s) P168414-Egypt Strengthening Social Safety Net Additional Financing 1/16/2019 Page 12 of 12