The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report TZ-Rural Electrification Expansion Program (P153781) TZ-Rural Electrification Expansion Program (P153781) AFRICA | Tanzania | Energy & Extractives Global Practice | Requesting Unit: AFCE1 | Responsible Unit: GEE01 IBRD/IDA | Program-for-Results Financing | FY 2016 | Team Leader(s): Richard H. Hosier, Kabir Malik Seq No: 4 | ARCHIVED on 27-Dec-2018 | ISR35557 | Created by: Kabir Malik on 17-Dec-2018 | Modified by: Richard H. Hosier on 20-Dec-2018 Program Development Objectives Program Development Objective (from Program Appraisal Document) The Project Development Objectives are (a) to increase access to electricity in rural areas; and (b) to scale up the supply of renewable energy in rural areas while strengthening sector institutional capacity. Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Implementation Status and Key Decisions Implementation progress continues to be moderately satisfactory, with some delays due to the challenging sector and policy context. Main results on grid connections seem to be progressing well, while other activities are slowly falling into place. Verification of the first round of reported results for grid connections (DLI 1) is being undertaken. The annual capacity building plan (DLR #4) is also being verified. Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P153781 IDA-58940 Effective USD 200.00 200.00 0.00 49.55 146.76 25% P153781 TF-A2502 Effective USD 9.00 9.00 0.00 2.25 6.75 25% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P153781 IDA-58940 Effective 21-Jun-2016 15-Aug-2016 17-Mar-2017 31-Jul-2022 31-Jul-2022 P153781 TF-A2502 Effective 21-Jun-2016 15-Aug-2016 17-Mar-2017 31-Jul-2022 31-Jul-2022 12/27/2018 Page 1 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report TZ-Rural Electrification Expansion Program (P153781) Program Action Plan Preparation of a Rural Electrification Master Plan (REMP) to strengthen the planning and coordination capacity of the Action Description sector institutions is underway. Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status REA No 31-Mar-2019 In Progress Comments REMP exercise is ongoing. Some delays due to delay in payment by REA. Action Description Apply standard technical specifications and bid evaluation criteria Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status REA, TANESCO Yes CONTINUOUS In Progress Comments Action Description Deployment of REA and or TANESCO staff to the regional level Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status REA, TANESCO Yes CONTINUOUS In Progress Comments TANESCO regional and district staff are closely involved in supervision of works Staffing of the PMU, Directorate of Technical Services, and IAU ‐ recruit/appoint qualified and experienced staff to fill Action Description the gap in the two units or outsource the functions Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status REA No 21-Jun-2017 In Progress Comments Procurement training ‐ trainings on preparation of bidding documents and request for proposal for large packages; Action Description evaluation of bids/proposals for large packages; and contract management Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status REA No 17-Mar-2018 Delayed Comments Action Description Establish records keeping management system Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status 12/27/2018 Page 2 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report TZ-Rural Electrification Expansion Program (P153781) REA Yes CONTINUOUS In Progress Comments Action Description Establish system for timely disbursement of funds to the REA to meet its contractual obligations Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status MoF No 17-Mar-2018 Delayed Comments Strengthen capacity for ESIA: (a) a strategic ESIA for development of renewable energy; (b) an ESIA consultant Action Description qualification system at the REA; (c) training for ESIA consultants, implemented by REA and NEMC; (d) dedicated staff for processing at NEMC Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status REA No 30-Jun-2019 In Progress Comments strengthen capacity for monitoring, and enforcement: (a) adding staff and equipment to the REA’s E&S unit; (b) place Action Description env. staff in TANESCO’s zonal offices to support district office supervision of grid‐extension projects;(c) EMO training program Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status REA/TANESCO/NEMC No 17-Mar-2018 In Progress Comments Staff added to REA's E&S unit. Strengthen the REA’s capacity for informing and consulting with all stakeholders, including district and local Action Description Governments through formulation and adoption of a Stakeholder Engagement Plan, and administer training in its application Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status REA No 17-Nov-2017 In Progress Comments SEP has been formulated. Training will be administered starting in January. through contractors workshop. Action Description Prepare a detailed REA procedural manual Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status REA No 17-Mar-2018 Completed 12/27/2018 Page 3 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report TZ-Rural Electrification Expansion Program (P153781) Comments Action Description Monitoring and annual reporting by the REA on social and environmental performance Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status REA No 01-Apr-2019 Revised Date Comments Action Description Project Management Consultant will be hired by REA Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status REA No 02-Apr-2018 Revised Date Comments PS MoFP will set up a Project Steering Committee to monitor TANESCO payments to SPPs. TANESCO will report to Action Description the Project Steering Committee, chaired by PS MoFP, and to the Association on a quarterly basis Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status TANESCO/MOFP No 19-Jun-2017 Completed Comments Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Substantial Substantial Substantial Macroeconomic Moderate Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies Substantial Substantial Substantial Technical Design of Project or Program Substantial Substantial Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability Substantial Substantial Substantial Fiduciary Substantial Substantial Substantial Environment and Social Low Moderate Moderate Stakeholders Moderate Moderate Moderate Other Substantial Substantial Substantial 12/27/2018 Page 4 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report TZ-Rural Electrification Expansion Program (P153781) Overall Substantial Substantial Substantial Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Increase access to electricity in rural areas; and scale up the supply of renewable energy IN00657196 ►PDO Indicator 1: People provided with access to electricity under the Program by household connections (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 280,425.00 280,425.00 2,500,000.00 Date 30-Jan-2017 01-Jun-2018 07-Dec-2018 30-Jun-2022 Comments IN00657197 ►PDO Indicator 2: Non-residential connections implemented under the Program (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 3,664.00 3,664.00 30,000.00 Date 09-Mar-2018 01-Jun-2018 07-Dec-2018 30-Jun-2022 Comments IN00657198 ►PDO Indicator 3: Generation Capacity of Renewable Energy Constructed Under the Program (Megawatt, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.00 Date 30-Jan-2017 01-Jun-2018 07-Dec-2018 30-Jun-2022 Comments IN00657199 ►PDO Indicator 4: People provided with access to electricity via off-grid supplies under the Program (SPP and renewables, including solar PV) (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 310,000.00 Date 30-Jan-2017 01-Jun-2018 07-Dec-2018 30-Jun-2022 Comments IN00657200 ►PDO Indicator 5: Capacity for delivery of energy access and renewable energy generation strengthened (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 12/27/2018 Page 5 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report TZ-Rural Electrification Expansion Program (P153781) Value No No No Yes Date 30-Jan-2017 01-Jun-2018 07-Dec-2018 30-Jun-2022 Comments Intermediate Results Indicators by Results Areas Expanding Rural Access to Electricity IN00657201 ►IR Indicator 1.1: Cumulative number of grid electricity connections, including those under mini-grids, made under the program (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 59,836.00 59,836.00 500,000.00 Date 30-Jan-2017 01-Jun-2018 07-Dec-2018 31-Jul-2022 Comments IN00657204 ►IR Indicator 1.2: Transmission and distribution lines constructed or rehabilitated under the program (Kilometers, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 24,000.00 Date 30-Jan-2017 01-Jun-2018 07-Dec-2018 31-Jul-2022 Comments IN00657207 ►IR Indicator 1.3: Households connected to the grid that are female-headed (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 24.00 17.40 17.40 24.00 Date 30-Jan-2017 01-Jun-2018 07-Dec-2018 31-Jul-2022 Comments IN00657209 ►IR Indicator 2.1: Educational facilities connected under the program (5%) (Number (Thousand), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 1,023.00 1,023.00 25,000.00 Date 30-Dec-2016 01-Jun-2018 07-Dec-2018 31-Jul-2022 Comments IN00657211 ►IR Indicator 2.2: Health care facilities connected under the program (5%) (Number (Thousand), Custom) 12/27/2018 Page 6 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report TZ-Rural Electrification Expansion Program (P153781) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 283.00 283.00 25,000.00 Date 30-Dec-2016 01-Jun-2018 07-Dec-2018 31-Jul-2022 Comments IN00657213 ►IR Indicator 2.3: Business, out of which number of female owned, connected under th program (30%) (Number (Thousand), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 150,000.00 Date 30-Dec-2016 01-Jun-2018 07-Dec-2018 31-Jul-2022 Comments Increasing Supply of Renewable Electricity in Rural Areas IN00657202 ►IR Indicator 3.1: Cumulative number of proposed MWs covered by SPP Loans for Small Power Projects reaching financial close under the CL (Megawatt, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.00 Date 30-Dec-2016 01-Jun-2018 07-Dec-2018 31-Jul-2022 Comments IN00657205 ►IR Indicator 4.1: Households provided with electricity via SPPs or renewable energy under the program that are female- headed (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 24.00 24.00 24.00 24.00 Date 30-Dec-2016 01-Jun-2018 07-Dec-2018 31-Jul-2022 Comments IN00657208 ►IR Indicator 4.2: SPP projects reaching financial close using CL (cumulative) (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Date 30-Dec-2016 01-Jun-2018 07-Dec-2018 31-Jul-2022 Comments IN00657210 ►IR Indicator 4.3: Loans to renewable energy companies reaching finacial close (culmulative) (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target 12/27/2018 Page 7 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report TZ-Rural Electrification Expansion Program (P153781) Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.00 Date 30-Dec-2016 01-Jun-2018 07-Dec-2018 31-Jul-2022 Comments IN00657212 ►IR Indicator 4.4: Cumulative value of eligible renewable energy sub-loans reaching finacial close (Amount(USD), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 12,500,000.00 Date 30-Dec-2016 01-Jun-2018 07-Dec-2018 31-Jul-2022 Comments IN00657214 ►IR indicator 4.5: SPPs successfully in operation selling energy to both TANESCO and rural customers (cumulative) (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 2.00 2.00 2.00 9.00 Date 30-Dec-2016 01-Jun-2018 07-Dec-2018 31-Jul-2022 Comments IN00657215 ►IR Indicator 4.6: Solar energy systems sold (Number (Thousand), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 10,000.00 Date 30-Dec-2016 01-Jun-2018 07-Dec-2018 31-Jul-2022 Comments IN00657216 ►IR Indicator 4.7: Other renewable energy systems sold (Number (Thousand), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 10,000.00 Date 30-Dec-2016 01-Jun-2018 07-Dec-2018 31-Jul-2022 Comments IN00657217 ►IR Indicator 4.8: Lanterns sold (Number (Thousand), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 15,000.00 Date 30-Dec-2016 01-Jun-2018 07-Dec-2018 31-Jul-2022 Comments 12/27/2018 Page 8 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report TZ-Rural Electrification Expansion Program (P153781) Strengthening Capacity of the Sector to Deliver the NREP IN00657203 ►IR Indicator 5.1: Annual capacity building and project preparation activities completed (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 30-Dec-2016 01-Jun-2018 07-Dec-2018 31-Jul-2022 Comments IN00657206 ►IR Indictor 5.2: Implementation of the National Energy Policy of 2015 to enhance access to modern energy services completed (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 30-Dec-2016 01-Jun-2018 07-Dec-2018 31-Jul-2022 Comments Disbursement Linked Indicators DLI_IND_TABLE ►DLI 1 DLI 1: Cumulative number of grid electricity connections, including those under mini grids, made under the program (Outcome, 151,000,000.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) July 31, 2022 Value 0.00 59,836.00 59,836.00 500,000.00 Date 14-Mar-2017 01-Jun-2018 07-Dec-2018 -- Estimate has not yet been verified by IVA. This figure will likely be adjusted down following receipt of IVA's Comments report. ►DLI 2 DLI2: Cumulative number of proposed MWs covered by SPP Loans for Small Power Projects reaching financial close under the CL (Outcome, 32,000,000.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) July 31, 2022 Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.00 Date 14-Mar-2017 01-Jun-2018 07-Dec-2018 -- No Progress to date on SPP's. Comments ►DLI 3 DLI 3: Cumulative value of eligible renewable energy sub-loans reaching financial close (Output, 10,000,000.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) July 31, 2022 12/27/2018 Page 9 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report TZ-Rural Electrification Expansion Program (P153781) Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 12,500,000.00 Date 14-Mar-2017 01-Jun-2018 07-Dec-2018 -- Again, progress under this DLI has been nil as participating financial entities are not comfortable with lending Comments to the sector with some form of guarantee. ►DLI 4 DLI 4: Annual capacity building and project preparation activities completed (Output, 15,000,000.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) July 31, 2022 No Planning and Preparation Department Draft Annual Capacity Cap Bldg Plan prepared strengthened Building Plan submitted. for year 1 and under Value Feasibility studies for -- revision for year 2 No training and no some districts completed. transaction advisors hired Date 14-Mar-2017 01-Jun-2018 07-Dec-2018 -- Results are yet to be formally endorsed by the REA's trust agent or by the IVA. Comments ►DLI 5 DLI 5: Implementation of the National Energy Policy of 2015 completed (Output, 1,000,000.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) July 31, 2022 No implementation strategy No implementation Value for subsidy policy strategy for subsidy MoE has not fully defined. -- completed policy completed Date 14-Mar-2017 01-Jun-2018 07-Dec-2018 -- MoE agreed to provide an acceptable work plan for this indicator by March 2019 or it will be eliminated with no Comments funding disbursed. 12/27/2018 Page 10 of 10