The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA | Morocco | Social, Urban, Rural and Resilience Global Practice Global Practice | Requesting Unit: MNC01 | Responsible Unit: GSU11 IBRD/IDA | Program-for-Results Financing | FY 2016 | Team Leader(s): Augustin Maria, Antoine Bavandi Seq No: 6 | ARCHIVED on 14-Feb-2019 | ISR35820 | Created by: Philipp Stefan Petermann on 16-Jan-2019 | Modified by: Philipp Stefan Petermann on 06- Feb-2019 Program Development Objectives Program Development Objective (from Program Appraisal Document) The program development objective (PDO) is to improve the institutional framework to finance disaster risk reduction activities andstrengthen financial resilience to natural disasters for targeted populations in the Program Area. Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Satisfactory Satisfactory Implementation Status and Key Decisions The implementation of the operation is advancing well. In all three sub-programs of the Program, significant progress is being made, including in terms of advancing institutional reforms to improve the effectiveness of Morocco’s risk management architecture through the development of a national disaster risk management strategy (expected to be adopted in 2019), reforming Morocco’s Fonds de Lutte contre les Effets des Catastrophes Naturelles (FLCN), and implementing a comprehensive disaster risk insurance and finance program. Three successful calls for proposals for risk reduction and prevention projects co-financed by the FLCN have been launched since the beginning of the operation and significant FLCN funding continues to be allocated in this regard. Furthermore, implementation decrees have been drafted to support the implementation of the disaster risk insurance law n°110-14, and a comprehensive financing strategy for the Fonds de Solidarité contre les Evénements Catastrophiques (FSEC) is being prepared. Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P144539 IBRD-86090 Effective USD 200.00 200.00 0.00 133.13 66.87 67% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P144539 IBRD-86090 Effective 20-Apr-2016 26-Jul-2016 16-Nov-2016 31-Dec-2021 31-Dec-2021 2/14/2019 Page 1 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) Program Action Plan Action Description Develop an M&E system for the management of the FLCN. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Technical Client Due Date 16-Nov-2017 In Progress Completion An M&E system for the FLCN is created. Measurement M&E system developed and trainings with project sponsors organized. System operationalization expected for mid- Comments July 2019. Create an interactive website of the FLCN that (i) provides public access to information, (ii) handles grievances, and Action Description (iii) reports on the M&E system. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Technical Client Due Date 16-May-2018 In Progress Completion The interactive website of the FLCN is created. Measurement While the website is online, some functionalities still need further development, such as ensuring that the M&E Comments system is fully automated. This step is expected for mid-July 2019. Include in the FA between MoI/MEF and the implementing agencies of eligible subproject of the FLCN, provisions to Action Description make available technical, environmental, social and fiduciary expertise. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Other Client Recurrent Yearly Completed Completion The FA included provision for adequate capacity of FLCN subproject proposals. Measurement Comments FAs reviewed and provisions have been included. Action Description Prepare and implement a capacity building plan including on technical, social, environmental and fiduciary aspects. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Technical Client Recurrent Yearly In Progress Completion Submission and implementation of annual capacity building plan to strengthen implementation agencies. Measurement Comments FLCN Secretariat still needs to submit the yearly plan for CY2019. 2/14/2019 Page 2 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) Action Description Prepare and implement an action plan for technical and fiduciary audit recommendations made by auditors. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Fiduciary Systems Client Recurrent Yearly In Progress Completion Recommendations made by technical and fiduciary auditors are implemented. Measurement Comments Recommendations of audit report are currently being implemented. Develop probabilistic catastrophe risk models for (i) evaluation and assessment of risks (MoI), and (ii) catastrophic Action Description risk insurance program as per the draft law (MEF/ACAPS). Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Technical Client Due Date 16-Nov-2020 Not Yet Due Completion The catastrophic risk modeling tools are developed within 36 months and operational within 48 months after the Measurement Effective Date of the Loan Agreement. Catastrophe risk models have been developed, and are already operational. These include hazard mapping, Comments vulnerability models and financial loss/impact evaluation tools. Action Description Develop GRM for the FLCN at the national (website of the FLCN) and local levels. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Environmental and Social Client Due Date 16-May-2018 Completed Systems Completion GRM are in place. Measurement Comments GRM system operational at local and national (FLCN website) levels. Prepare simplified technical guides for FLCN subprojects on: (i) Environmental and Social Management, incl. on Action Description public consultations and resettlement; and (ii) GRM. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Environmental and Social Client Due Date 16-May-2018 In Progress Systems Completion Technical guides finalized. Measurement Technical guide for citizen engagement (including public consultations) has been developed and distributed. Comments Technical guide for safeguards forthcoming. Action Description Alignment with the triennial budget programming updated on a yearly basis for the CAS-FLCN. 2/14/2019 Page 3 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Fiduciary Systems Client Due Date 01-Jan-2019 In Progress Completion CAS-FLCN amended for the 2019 budget. Measurement Comments Ongoing discussions. Action Description Include in the FA between MoI and project proponents of timeline for project implementation. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Technical Client Recurrent Yearly Completed Completion The FA included implementation timelines. Measurement Comments FA reviewed. FAs include implementation timelines. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance -- Moderate Moderate Macroeconomic -- Low Low Sector Strategies and Policies -- Substantial Substantial Technical Design of Project or Program -- Substantial Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability -- Substantial Substantial Fiduciary -- Substantial Substantial Environment and Social -- Substantial Substantial Stakeholders -- Moderate Moderate Other -- Moderate Moderate Overall -- Substantial Substantial Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes 2/14/2019 Page 4 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) PDO Indicators IN00663415 ►The FLCN strategic orientation and governance structure are redesigned with a focus on disaster risk reduction (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target (i) the Borrower’s 2017 budget law includes provisions regarding the establishment of the i) the Borrower’s 2017 Steering Committee, and budget law includes the inclusion of local provisions regarding the governments The Steering establishment of the (collectivités territoriales) committee, the Steering Committee,and among the beneficiaries National Selection the inclusion of local of FLCN financing; and Commission, the governments The FLCN focuses mainly (ii) circulars (Circulaires) Secretariat, and the (collectivités on post disaster event risk regarding the FLCN website are territoriales) among the Value response outside the establishment of the maintained. beneficiaries of FLCN context of a larger DRM National Selection financing; and (ii) strategy. Commission and the A national integrated circulars (Circulaires) Secretariat have been natural DRM strategy regarding the issued by the MoI. is adopted by the establishment of the An interactive FLCN Steering Committee. National Selection website that provides Commission and the public access to Secretariat have been information, handles issued by MoI. grievances, and reports on the M&E system, has been created. Date 20-Apr-2016 20-Jun-2017 18-Jan-2019 31-Dec-2020 Target for CY2018 expected to be achieved, pending validation through the Independent Verification Agent Comments (IVA). IN00663426 ►Cumulative number of beneficiaries from eligible risk reduction subprojects (% women) (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 40,000.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 06-Aug-2018 18-Jan-2019 31-Dec-2020 Target for CY2018 expected to be achieved, pending further validation. Comments IN00663427 ►Minimum number of people in the Program Area insured for bodily injury against catastrophic events (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 5,850,000.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 06-Aug-2018 18-Jan-2019 31-Dec-2020 Comments IN00663428 ►Establishment and operationalization of the FSEC to protect the uninsured (Text, Custom) 2/14/2019 Page 5 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The implementation The implementation legal legal documents documents referred to in referred to in Article 71 FSEC received initial Article 71 of the draft of the draft catastrophic financial contributions catastrophic risk Value - risk insurance law as per the provisions insurance law regarding regarding the of the catastrophic risk the establishment of the establishment of the insurance law. FSEC are prepared by FSEC are prepared by the MEF and ACAPS. the MEF and ACAPS. Date 20-Apr-2016 07-Aug-2018 18-Jan-2019 31-Dec-2019 FSEC expected to be established in early 2019. Comments Intermediate Results Indicators by Results Areas Promoting Institutional Reform and Capacity Building IN00663429 ►Minimum percentage of entities responsible for the implementation of eligible subprojects having received technical assistance and/or training (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 76.00 76.00 50.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 06-Aug-2018 18-Jan-2019 31-Dec-2020 Target for CY2018 expected to be achieved, pending validation through IVA. Comments IN00663432 ►Improved risk assessment models developed and operational (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Probabilistic cat risk models for i) evaluation and assessment (MoI), and Value No - - ii) catastrophe risk insurance program as per the draft law (MEF) are operational. Date 20-Apr-2016 06-Aug-2018 18-Jan-2019 31-Dec-2019 Target for CY2018 expected to be achieved, pending validation through IVA. Comments Scaling-Up Disaster Risk Reduction Activities IN00663430 ►Cumulative amount of FLCN funds allocated to eligible subprojects (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 310,000,000.00 310,000,000.00 850,000,000.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 06-Aug-2018 18-Jan-2019 31-Dec-2020 2/14/2019 Page 6 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) Target for CY2018 expected to be achieved, pending validation through IVA. Comments IN00663433 ►Minimum percentage of FLCN funds allocated to eligible non-structural subprojects (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 47.00 47.00 10.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 02-Aug-2018 18-Jan-2019 31-Dec-2020 Target for CY2018 expected to be achieved, pending validation through IVA. Comments IN00663434 ►Minimum percentage of total funding of eligible subprojects provided by the entities responsible for implementation and partners (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 55.00 55.00 50.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 02-Aug-2018 18-Jan-2019 31-Dec-2020 Target for CY2018 expected to be achieved, pending validation through IVA. Comments IN00663435 ►Cumulative value of total funding of completed eligible subprojects achieving disaster risk reduction targets (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 600,000,000.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 02-Aug-2018 18-Jan-2019 31-Dec-2020 Target for CY2018 not expected to be fully achieved; pending validation through IVA. Comments Improving Disaster Risk Financing and Insurance IN00663431 ►Adoption of the catastrophic risk insurance legislative and regulatory framework (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The draft catastrophic The draft catastrophic risk insurance law is risk insurance law is The implementation transmitted to the transmitted to the legal documents Parliament, and the Parliament, and the referred to in Article 71 implementation legal implementation legal of the draft documents referred to in documents referred to catastrophic risk Article 71 of the draft in Article 71 of the draft Value - insurance law and catastrophic risk catastrophic risk providing for the insurance law and insurance law and effectiveness of the providing for the providing for the insurance scheme, are effectiveness of the effectiveness of the adopted by the insurance scheme, are insurance scheme, are Government. prepared by the MEF and prepared by the MEF ACAPS. and ACAPS. Date 20-Apr-2016 20-Jun-2017 18-Jan-2019 31-Dec-2018 Implementation decrees are expected to be adopted in April 2019. Comments 2/14/2019 Page 7 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) Disbursement Linked Indicators DLI_IND_TABLE ►DLI 1 1-The FCLN strategic orientation and governance structure are redesigned with a focus on disaster risk reduction (Process, 35.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) CY2020 i) the Borrower’s 2017 (i) the Borrower’s 2017 budget law includes budget law includes provisions regarding the provisions regarding the establishment of the establishment of the Steering Committee,and The Steering Steering the inclusion of local committee, the Committee, and the governments (collectivités National Selection inclusion of local territoriales) among the Commission, the governments beneficiaries of FLCN Secretariat, and the The FLCN focuses mainly (collectivités territoriales) financing; and (ii) circulars FLCN website are on post disaster event risk among the beneficiaries (Circulaires) regarding the maintained. Value response outside the of establishment of the context of a larger DRM FLCN financing; and (ii) National Selection A national strategy circulars (Circulaires) Commission and the integrated natural regarding the Secretariat have been DRM strategy is establishment of the issued by MoI. An adopted by the National Selection interactive FLCN website Steering Committee. Commission and the that provides public Secretariat have been access to information, issued by MoI. handles grievances, and reports on the M&E system, has been created. Date 20-Apr-2016 07-Aug-2018 18-Jan-2019 -- Target for CY2018 expected to be achieved, pending validation through the Independent Verification Agent Comments (IVA). ►DLI 2 2-Cumulative amount of FLCN funds allocated to eligible subprojects. (Output, 25.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) CY2020 Value 0.00 310,000,000.00 310,000,000.00 850,000,000.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 02-Aug-2018 18-Jan-2019 -- Target for CY2018 expected to be achieved, pending validation through the Independent Verification Agent Comments (IVA). ►DLI 3 3-Minimum percentage of FLCN funds allocated to eligible non-structural subprojects (Output, 8.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) CY2020 Value 0.00 47.00 47.00 10.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 02-Aug-2018 18-Jan-2019 -- Target for CY2018 expected to be achieved, pending validation through the IVA. Comments 2/14/2019 Page 8 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) ►DLI 4 4-Minimum percentage of total funding of eligible subprojects provided by the entitites responsible for implementation and their parteners. (Process, 22.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) CY2020 Value 0.00 55.00 55.00 50.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 02-Aug-2018 18-Jan-2019 -- Target for CY2018 expected to be achieved, pending validation through the IVA. Comments ►DLI 5 5-Cumulative value of total funding of completed eligible subprojects achieving disaster risk reduction targets. (Output, 39.97, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) CY2020 Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 600,000,000.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 02-Aug-2018 18-Jan-2019 -- Target for CY2018 not expected to be fully achieved, pending validation through the IVA. Comments ►DLI 6 6-Minimum percentage of entities responsible for the implementation of eligible subprojects having received technical assistance and/or training. (Intermediate Outcome, 10.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) CY2020 Value 0.00 76.00 76.00 50.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 02-Aug-2018 18-Jan-2019 -- Target for CY2018 expected to be achieved, pending validation through the IVA. Comments ►DLI 7 7-Adoption of the catastrophic risk insurance legislative and regulatory framework and minimum number of people in the Program Area insured for bodily injuries against catastrophic events (Outcome, 34.50, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) CY2020 The draft catastrophic The draft catastrophic risk risk insurance law is insurance law is transmitted by the transmitted by the General General Secretary of the Secretary of the Government Government (Secrétariat Général du (Secrétariat Général du Value - 5.85 million Gouvernement) to the Gouvernement) to the relevant Ministries, and is relevant Ministries, and is adopted by the adopted by the Government Cabinet Government Cabinet (Conseil du (Conseil du Gouvernement) Gouvernement) Date 20-Apr-2016 07-Aug-2018 18-Jan-2019 -- 2/14/2019 Page 9 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) This is expected to be achieved at Law 110-14 implementation (currently scheduled for April 2019). Comments ►DLI 8 8-Establishment and operationalization of the FSEC to protect the uninsured (Outcome, 25.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) CY2020 The implementation legal The implementation legal documents referred to in documents referred to in Article 71 of the draft Article 71 of the draft catastrophic risk catastrophic risk insurance Value - - insurance law regarding law regarding the the establishment of the establishment of the FSEC are prepared by FSEC are prepared by the the MEF and ACAPS MEF and ACAPS Date 20-Apr-2016 07-Aug-2018 18-Jan-2019 -- This is expected to be achieved by end of 2019 (with Government contribution to a reserves budget line). Comments 2/14/2019 Page 10 of 10