For Official Use Only CASCR Review Independent Evaluation Group 68860 1. CAS Data Country: Sri Lanka CAS Year: FY08 CAS Period: FY09 – FY12 CASCR Review Period: FY09 – FY12 Date of this review: May 10, 2012 2. Executive Summary i. This review examines implementation of the FY09-12 Sri Lanka Country Partnership Strategy (CAS) and the FY11 CAS Progress Report (CASPR), and evaluates the CAS Completion Report (CASCR). The review covers the joint program of IDA and IFC. ii. WBG’s CAS was prepared before the end of the war, in May 2008, and the CASPR in June 2011, two years after the end of the conflict. The WBG strategy was organized around three pillars: (i) expanding economic opportunities in lagging regions; (ii) improving the investment climate and competitiveness; and (iii) enhancing the quality of services and accountability. Pillar 1, on expanding opportunities, focused on supporting integrated rural development, and improving economic opportunities in the Sri Lankan North and East, the conflict affected areas. Pillar 2, on the investment climate and competitiveness, aimed at improving infrastructure provision, the business environment, and the strategic relevance and transparency of public spending. Pillar 3 supported improving quality, relevance and governance of education, improving health and social protection services, and strengthening environmental protection. iii. IEG rates the overall outcome of the WBG strategy in Sri Lanka as moderately satisfactory. Sri Lanka resettled about half of those displaced by the 30-year war, and rehabilitated homes as well as the village infrastructure of part of the affected areas. The country also improved its rural electrification both in terms of coverage and the quality of the service provided, while increasing the capacity to generate electricity from renewable sources. The country’s progress in providing potable water to rural areas was positive, albeit slower than in electricity. Sri Lanka made progress in improving infrastructure provision, as well as in strengthening the business environment, including by moving towards e-government. Sri Lanka also made progress in education and health, including in the administration of the systems. However, the few available indicators on environmental protection show a mixed picture, and progress in improving irrigation was slow and negligible in dams. While budget transparency improved, the strategic relevance and efficiency of public spending did not improve as expected. The WBG provided support for many of these achievements. Nevertheless, the main factors behind the strengthening of the business environment were the end of the conflict and the stable macroeconomic environment, both of which were not addressed by the WBG strategy. IEG does not consider as outcomes of the WBG strategy those outcomes that are achieved by the country without a contribution of the WBG. The WBG’s dialogue with Sri Lanka in the water sector and the conservation of ecosystems was ineffective. Challenges remain in the finances of the social protection system, the regulatory framework for environmental management in the power sector, and the conservation of ecosystems. iv. IEG concurs with the lessons drawn by the CASCR, especially with the need for flexibility in a fast-changing environment. In addition, the main lesson that IEG sees stemming from this review is that committing to deliver results in areas where the government has articulated a different agenda risks opting for policy advice and approaches that the government will eventually discard. In this vein, a close dialogue on the development and implementation of the strategy, including the AAA, would CASCR Reviewed by: Peer Reviewed by: CASCR Review Coordinator Juan José Fernández-Ansola Jorge Garcἰa-Garcἰa Consultant, IEGCC Consultant, IEGCC Jaime Jaramillo-Vallejo David P. Apgar Steve F. Pirozzi Lead Economist, IEGCC Consultant, IEGCC Senior Evaluator, IEGCC For Official Use Only CASCR Review 2 Independent Evaluation Group bolster the effectiveness of the WBG’s dialogue with the authorities. In addition, the CASPR is the instrument to adjust the strategy to changing circumstances and priorities. Timely use of this instrument enhances the relevance of the WBG’s support. Furthermore, deficient monitoring of the strategy hinders its effectiveness by frustrating the M&E that is necessary to adjust the strategy to its observed effectiveness, as well as the evolving priorities and country circumstances . 3. CASCR Summary Overview of CAS Relevance: Country Context 1. Sri Lanka’s thirty-year civil war ended in May 2009, following the defeat of the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam. Reflecting to some extent the return to peace as well as a sound policy framework, the economy recovered from a temporary slowdown in 2009 to an estimated 8 percent growth in 2011. The sectors that performed the best were the agriculture, tourism, and service sectors. Excluding the conflict-affected North and East (for which there is no comparable data), the poverty headcount ratio fell from 15¼ percent in 2008 to less than 9 percent in 2011. The strong economic performance also helped Sri Lanka transition from an IDA-only status to middle-income status, leading to a change to IDA-IBRD blend borrower in FY12. Sri Lanka’s sovereign debt remains below investment grade, by four notches according to Standard and Poor’s (B+) and by three no tches according to Fitch (BB-) and Moody’s (B1). Its proneness to natural hazards was underscored in late 2010 when heavy rains resulted in floods and landslides that affected more than five percent of a population of 21 million. Despite its strong economic performance and poverty reduction, Sri Lanka faces a challenging agenda of developing and reconstructing infrastructure, rehabilitating conflict-afflicted areas of the North and East, and resettling people displaced by the conflict. 2. Sri Lanka’s priorities—expressed in the government’s 10-year Development Framework, Mahinda Chintana— were issued in 2005 (“Towards a New Sri Lanka”) and revised after the end of the internal conflict in 2010 (“Vision for the Future”). The first strategy aimed at accelerating growth through increased investment in infrastructure, achieving more equitable development through accelerated rural development, and strengthening public service delivery, particularly in health and education. The post-conflict strategy retained the main direction, and emphasized the urban and middle-income country agendas. Objectives of WBG Strategy 3. The WBG’s CAS was prepared before the end of the war, in May 2008, and the CASPR in June 2011, two years after the end of the conflict. The WBG strategy was organized around three pillars: (i) expanding economic opportunities in lagging regions; (ii) improving the investment climate and competitiveness; and (iii) enhancing the quality of services and accountability. Pillar 1, on expanding opportunities, focused on supporting integrated rural development, and improving economic opportunities in the Sri Lankan North and East, the conflict affected areas. Pillar 2, on the investment climate and competitiveness, aimed at improving infrastructure provision, the business environment, and the strategic relevance and transparency of public spending. Pillar 3 supported improving quality, relevance and governance of education, improving health and social protection services, and strengthening environmental protection. Relevance of the WBG Strategy 4. The WBG strategy addressed key challenges facing Sri Lanka, particularly on growth and social services, as well as the end of the internal conflict in Sri Lanka in 2009. The strategy was For Official Use Only CASCR Review 3 Independent Evaluation Group broadly aligned with the government’s both Mahinda Chintana, but the approach to achieve the objectives differed in some cases. The WBG’s response to changing circumstances and events, such as peace and the rains, was flexible on size and timing of key operations. At the CASPR stage—which came rather late—the WBG broadened the scope of involvement to urban development, social security, and growth. The CAS put in place a “conflict filter” to ensure that projects addressed the causes and consequences of the conflict, and gave a balanced perception of WBG reach towards both sides of the internal conflict. IEG notes that the AAA associated with the how-to guidance was delivered in FY12. 5. The WBG’s analytic and advisory activities (AAA) were not fully aligned with the government’s priorities, thus hindering the WBG’s dialogue with the government. The authorities perceived that the focus of the WBG agenda on IDA priorities—social development and poverty reduction —was not in line with the shift of Sri Lanka to middle-income status. The authorities also perceived that WBG did not design solutions tailored to the country’s problems (e.g. agriculture). In environment, although the authorities judged that the AAA was relevant, its impact was muted because of divergent views on the content of the AAA. The timing of the CASPR compounded this predicament, because it was prepared towards the end of FY11 and, thus, not able to respond to the evolving government priorities on a timely basis. The original strategy also committed to deliver results in areas where the government had not articulated a precise agenda or where the government opted for other policy options (e.g. ecosystems conservation). 6. IFC interventions responded to some of the country conditions. Under the previous CAS, the main areas of involvement were electric power generation, commercial bank support, and agri- business development advice. IFC expanded the scope of involvement at the time of the CASPR, also focusing on small-business capacity building in five Southern regions, including on how to establish better linkages across the country—these five regions were not the conflict affected ones. IFC invested in and provided advice to companies in the information and communication technology sector. Risk Identification and Mitigation 7. The CAS indicated that the main risks to IDA’s effectiveness were: (a) a significant escalation of the conflict; (b) a serious macroeconomic crisis; (c) fiduciary risks; and (d) reputational risks from being perceived as biased against one side in the inter-ethnic conflict. In the event, the first two risks did not materialize. IEG has no information on developments under the other two. Overview of CAS Implementation: Lending and Investments 8. IDA lending amounted to about US$1 billion over the CAS period with about a third going to exclusively to conflict afflicted areas and the remainder including other areas as well. Of fourteen projects active at the outset of the CAS in FY09, three focused on conflict affected areas, and this number increased to seven out of twenty projects active at the end of the CAS. Of the21 proposed lending activities six were dropped; at the same time, four Additional Financing operations were approved, covering road projects and recovery from infrastructural damage caused by the 2010 rains on conflict- afflicted areas. 9. Ten IFC investment projects were in operation at inception of the review period, for US$220 million of net commitments. Of these, seven projects were in finance and insurance, and one health, one in telecommunications and another in tourism services. IFC undertook seven additional projects amounting to net commitments of US$173million. These covered finance and insurance, health care, electric power, and a private equity fund. For Official Use Only CASCR Review 4 Independent Evaluation Group 10. While the outcome of IDA projects exiting the portfolio in the period was strong, portfolio performance weakened during the CAS period. Of three projects that exited during the period and evaluated by IEG, all were rated as moderately satisfactory or better, albeit with risks to the development outcomes on the high side. As for portfolio management, the proportion of commitments at risk increased throughout the CAS period and represented about 36 percent in FY12, higher than the average for the South Asia Region (16 percent) and IBRD/IDA (14 percent). The increase in portfolio risk may reflect the shift toward projects in the conflict affected area. 11. IFC’s portfolio approved during the CAS period is relatively new, and there are no IEG evaluations for the new projects yet. IEG evaluations of pre-existing IFC operations gave them positive ratings, with the exception of one focused on housing finance and another one on telecommunications. The latter’s unsatisfactory financial results were tempered by a positive assessment of social and environmental effects and private-sector development impact. Advisory and Analytical Activities and Services 12. IBRD-IDA delivered 29 pieces of analytical and advisory activities (AAA), of which twelve were planned. Seventeen planned AAA products were dropped. The areas covered by AAA included an Infrastructure Assessment, a report on Growth Potential in Lagging Regions, a Demographic Transition Study, as well education, health, disaster reduction and recovery, development partner coordination, tourism, gender, urban policy, transport, agricultural policy, and competitive skills. Although the changing AAA agenda partly reflected government preferences, AAA was not fully aligned with the transformation agenda of the government as mentioned above. 13. IFC approved five advisory projects on access to finance amounting to US$2.2 million. IEG rated two of these projects positively. Partnerships and Development Partner Cooperation 14. IDA cooperated well with other development partners and played a coordinating role during the CAS period. Key external partners were the Asian Development Bank (ADB), Japan and a host of UN agencies. Within WBG, cooperation was good between IDA and IFC. Safeguards and Fiduciary Issues 15. There were no significant safeguards issues or fiduciary complaints that IEG is aware of in the WBG portfolio. Overview of CAS Implementation: Pillar 1: Expanding Economic Opportunities 16. Under this pillar the WBG’s support was to focus on (i) supporting integrated rural development; and (ii) improving economic opportunities in the North and East. 17. Supporting integrated rural development. The WBG’s efforts concentrated on developing rural access to electricity, improving availability of drinking water, and improving irrigation systems. These were additional to an ongoing effort to address the risks of dams. As for electricity, the share of rural households having the electricity as a source of lighting increased from 78.5 percent in 2007 to 83.2 percent in 2010. In addition, the World Economic Forum (WEF) indicator on the quality of electricity supply improved from 4.6 over 7.0 in 2009-10 to 5.0 in 2010-11. Sri Lanka, with WBG support, increased the capacity to generate electricity from renewable sources from about 110 MW in 2008 to 174.2 MW in November 2011, and supplied more households and entities with off-grid For Official Use Only CASCR Review 5 Independent Evaluation Group electricity. In regard to drinking water, the percentage of households with access to water in rural areas increased from 71.0 percent in 2008 to 73.8 percent in 2010. As for improving irrigation, Sri Lanka has made slow progress in repairing its large and dated irrigation system, as step deemed essential to improve flood management and raise agricultural productivity. In addition, only two out of thirty two large dams are considered as not risky for the population as of the end of 2011. Heavy rains during 2010 slowed progress in irrigation and dams. 18. Sri Lanka received support from Japan and China in power, and ADB and Japan in water supply. Within the WBG, both IDA and IFC had interventions aimed at supporting this sub-objective. IDA had the Renewable Energy for Rural Economic Development Project (FY02), which closed in FY12, the Second Community Development and Livelihood Improvement Project (FY10), and the Dam Safety and Water Resources Planning (FY08). While the first one is reported as satisfactory, the second one has been restructured and is deemed to have unrealistic goals; the third one is behind schedule. Several projects planned in the water sector were not being delivered because of authorities’ different priorities for the sector. IFC established a risk-sharing facility with two commercial banks that—together with advisory services —supported small hydro and wind power projects (65.4 MW), and provided direct financing for wind power generation. 19. Improving economic opportunities in the North and East. Under this objective the WBG intended to support resettlement of those displaced by the conflict, housing and village rehabilitation and construction, and improving access to public services and infrastructure for the rural conflict- affected areas. As of end-October 2011 over 187 thousand refugees had returned to their homes, out of about 395 thousand displaced, as estimated by UNHCR in August 2011. Moreover, those resettled have come back to more employment opportunities, fueled in part by the reconstruction efforts and the rehabilitation of farming. With involvement of communities and final beneficiaries, Sri Lanka has reconstructed some 52 thousand homes and has rebuilt basic infrastructure in several hundreds of villages. Also, the share of rural population with access to basic infrastructure facilities in the North and East increased from 9 percent in 2008 to 15 percent in 2011. 20. As with the previous one, both IDA and IFC provided support to Sri Lanka for this sub- objective. IDA interventions included the Emergency Northern Recovery Project (ENRP, FY10), the Puttalam Housing Project (PHP, FY07), the Northeast Housing Reconstruction Project (NHRP, FY05) and its additional financing (FY09), and the Second North East Irrigated Agriculture Project (FY04), which was restructured in 2007 and renamed Community Livelihoods in Conflict Affected areas (locally known as the Re-awakening Project) and which received two additional financings (in 2009, to support resettlement and scale-up support for village development and irrigation, and in 2011, to provide emergency response to the rains and flooding in late-2010 and early-2011). Of these interventions, the PHP and the NHRP closed in FY12. IFC provided advisory services to help formulate strategies to finance SMEs in the conflict areas. 21. IEG rates the outcome of the WBG strategy in Pillar 1 as moderately satisfactory. Sri Lanka improved its rural electrification both in terms of coverage and the quality of the service provided, while increasing the capacity to generate electricity from renewable sources. The country’s progress in providing potable water to rural areas was positive, albeit slower than in electricity. Sri Lanka also resettled about half of those displaced by the 30-year war, and rehabilitated homes as well as the village infrastructure of part of the affected areas. However, Sri Lanka’s progress in improving irrigation was slow and negligible in dams. The WBG provided support for these achievements, with the exception of those in the water sector where the WBG’s views differed from the country’s own priorities. For Official Use Only CASCR Review 6 Independent Evaluation Group Pillar 2: Improving the Investment Climate and Competitiveness 22. Under this pillar the WBG’s support to Sri Lanka was to focus on improving (i) infrastructure provision; (ii) the business environment for stronger entrepreneurship and a knowledge-based economy; and (iii) the strategic relevance and transparency of public spending. 23. Improving infrastructure provision. The WBG’s strategy in this objective focused on roads. The WEF indicator quality of overall infrastructure increased from 3.8 over 7.0 in 2008-09 to 4.7 in 2011-12, while that for the quality of roads increased from 3.6 to 4.5 in the same period. Moreover, the 1 International Road Roughness Index declined from 7.0 m/km in 2007 to 6.2 m/km in 2010 , and the average network vehicle operating cost estimated by the World Bank almost halved from 23.8 Rupees/km in 2005 to 14.6 Rupees/km in 2010. Sri Lanka also reduced the share of the road network in poor or bad condition from 52 percent in 2005 to 38 percent in 2010. The government appropriated additional resources to the Road Maintenance Fund in 2010. 24. Main IDA interventions to support this objective were a loan for the Road Sector Assistance project (RSAP, FY06) and its two additional financings (FY09 and FY11), the Provincial Roads Project (PRP, FY10), and the Metro Colombo Urban Development project (MCUDP, FY12). There was only one piece of AAA delivered (in FY12). 25. Development partners supporting the roads sector worked through the Transport Forum, which was established by the three main development partners in the sector: ADB, Japan, and IDA. ADB took the lead in supporting the development of the Road Master Plan. Japan took the lead supporting the development of a competitive and competent road construction sector. IDA focused on strengthening the institutional framework for road maintenance through the establishment of the Road Maintenance Fund. IFC invested in a telecommunication company, and in a port. Its work to promote public-private partnerships (PPPs) in infrastructure development has yet to pay off because the government does not want WBG support in this area. China and ADB provided support on ports. 26. Improving the business environment for stronger entrepreneurship and a knowledge- based economy. The end of the conflict changed significantly the environment for business in Sri Lanka. The country’s Global Competitiveness Index (WEF) rating increased from 4.0 over 7.0 in 2008 to 4.3 in 2011. The macroeconomic environment was the component that most improved (from 3.1 to 4.1), followed by infrastructure (from 3.6 to 4.1), and health and primary education (from 5.7 to 6.0). The WEF also reports that the share of the population using internet increased from 5.9 percent in 2008 to 12.0 in 2010. Tourism arrivals increased significantly following the end of the conflict —50 percent in 2010 alone, with 655,000 visits. 27. IDA supported Sri Lanka through the E-Lanka Development project (ELDP, FY05) and its additional financing (FY12), the Sustainable Tourism Development project (STDP, FY10), and the Small and Medium Enterprise Development facility (SMED, FY11). There were also three pieces of AAA. IFC is giving advice for the establishment of the Secured Collateral Registry, and provided performance-based grants for micro-loans in conflict (North and East) and non-conflict (South) regions. In addition, IFC provided advisory services on SMEs, including financing, and on tourism. 28. Improving the strategic relevance and transparency of public spending. The limited engagement of IDA in this area has not produced results yet. The WEF rating of wastefulness of government spending improved from 3.3 out of 7.0 in 2008-09 to 3.8 in 2011-12. Government effectiveness as measured by the World Governance Indicators, declined between 2008 and 2010, although the Open Budget Index shows some improvement in the transparency of the government 1 A measure of suspension movement of a vehicle going at 80 km/hour. For Official Use Only CASCR Review 7 Independent Evaluation Group budget with its score increasing from 64 over 100 in 2008 to 67 in 2010. The public audit coverage extended from 50 percent of the public sector organizations in 2008 to 100 percent in May 2011. 29. IDA provided financial support to Sri Lanka in this area through the Public Sector Capacity Building project (FY08), and an IDF Grant to support the Committees of Public Accounts and Public Enterprises (FY12). The Public Sector Capacity Building project (FY08) helped increase the coverage of public audit to all public sector organizations. IDA also delivered two pieces of AAA, both on procurement. 30. IEG rates the outcome of the WBG strategy in Pillar 2 as moderately unsatisfactory. Sri Lanka made progress in improving roads, as well as in strengthening the business environment, including by moving towards e-government. While budget transparency improved, the strategic relevance and efficiency did not improve as expected. WBG support was limited in roads, and ineffective in improving the strategic relevance and transparency of public spending. Moreover, the main factors behind the strengthening of the business environment and increased tourism were the end of the conflict and the stable macroeconomic environment, both of which were not addressed by the WBG strategy. IEG does not consider as satisfactory outcomes of the WBG strategy those outcomes that are achieved by the country without a contribution of the WBG. Pillar 3: Enhancing the quality of services and accountability 31. Under this pillar the WBG’s strategy supported Sri Lanka’s efforts at (i) improving the quality, relevance, and governance of education; (ii) improving health and social protection services; and (iii) strengthening environmental protection. 32. Improving the quality, relevance, and governance of education . Sri Lanka improved the quality of education somewhat; and launched institutional reform in higher education. School survival rates through grade 9 increased from 78 percent in 2005 to 91 percent in 2011, while the proportion of primary school students attaining competence in mathematics increased from 69 percent to 82 percent during the same period. At the tertiary level, the information technology achievement scores for undergraduates rose from 49 percent in 2008 to 56 percent at end-2010—the latest available information. Broader measures of education outcomes (WEF) show an increase in the rating of the quality of the education system from 4.1 over 7.0 in 2008-09 to 4.3 in 2011-12, and in the rating of higher education and training from 4.0 to 4.2 in the same period. However, WEF indicators also show a decline in the rating of education in mathematics and science from 4.7 to 4.2 over the same period. Sri Lanka’s general improvement in these education indicators reflects better governance for the sector. A school-based management approach was extended from 16 zones (17 percent) to all zones of the country during the CAS, with all zones adopting attendance committees and teacher training programs. 33. WBG provided support to Sri Lanka, working with provincial and local governments, through the Education Sector Development project (FY06, a SWAp) which closed in FY11, the Improving Relevance and Quality of Undergraduate Education project (FY03) which closed in FY10, and a Higher Education for the Twenty First Century project (FY10). This was complemented by two pieces of AAA. 34. Improving health and social protection services. Sri Lanka made progress in health as reflected in lower infant mortality, which declined from 15.1 per 1,000 births in 2008 to 14.2 in 2010. Similarly, DPT immunization for children ages 12-23 months increased from 98 percent in 2008 to 99 percent in 2010. Broader measures on health and primary education from WEF show a significant improvement from a rating 5.7 in 2008-09 to 6.0 in 2011-12. Improvements in health partly reflect a greater focus on performance and results in the health system; all health districts are now reporting regularly on performance compared with less than 30 percent in 2006. Despite this progress, the finances of the social protection system remain to be strengthened. For Official Use Only CASCR Review 8 Independent Evaluation Group 35. IDA’s contribution to Sri Lanka came through the Health Sector Development project (FY04, a sector wide approach, SWAp) which closed in FY11. This was complemented by three pieces of AAA and an IDF grant to support the targeting of social assistance.). IFC invested in a hospital in Colombo during the CAS. 36. Strengthening environmental protection. There is little information available on progress in environmental protection in Sri Lanka, and the few data available show a mixed picture. The higher production of renewable energy mentioned above couples with a slight increase in the production of charcoal and bagasse from 185.8 thousand tons in 2008 to 187.7 thousand in 2010. The forest area declined from 29.9 percent of the country’s land in 2005 to 29.0 percent in 2010 , a small amount considering the conflict. The CASCR acknowledges that there was no progress on the preservation of the biodiversity of the country, and that the regulatory framework for environmental management in the power sector backed by IDA is yet to be implemented. 37. IDA’s contribution came through the Renewable Energy for Rural Economic Development project (REREDP, FY02) which closed in FY12. This was complemented by AAA on Environmental Issues in the Power Sector—Consequences of Coal Based Generation (FY10). A project on ecosystems conservation was cancelled because the government and IDA could not agree on the terms. IFC trained small-and-medium hotel operators’ energy-efficient practices that allowed them to obtain the OS Green Building Council’s Certification. There is no data on how many operators earned the certification. 38. IEG rates the outcome of the WBG strategy in Pillar 3 as moderately satisfactory. Sri Lanka made progress in education and health, including in the administration of the systems. The few available indicators on environmental protection show a mixed picture. Challenges remain in the finances of the social protection system, the regulatory framework for environmental management in the power sector, and the conservation of ecosystems. Objectives IEG Rating Pillar 1: Expanding Economic Opportunities in Lagging Regions Moderately Satisfactory Pillar 2: Improving the Investment Climate and Competitiveness Moderately Unsatisfactory Pillar 3: Enhancing Quality Services and Accountability Moderately Satisfactory 4. Overall IEG Assessment Outcome: Moderately Satisfactory IBRD-IDA Performance: Moderately Satisfactory IFC Performance: Moderately Satisfactory 39. IEG rates the overall outcome of the WBG strategy in Sri Lanka as moderately satisfactory. Sri Lanka resettled about half of those displaced by the 30-year war, and rehabilitated homes as well as the village infrastructure of part of the affected areas. The country also improved its rural electrification both in terms of coverage and the quality of the service provided, while increasing the capacity to generate electricity from renewable sources. The country’s progress in providing potable water to rural areas was positive, albeit slower than in electricity. Sri Lanka made progress in improving infrastructure provision, as well as in strengthening the business environment, including by moving towards e-government. Sri Lanka also made progress in education and health, including in the administration of the systems. However, the few available indicators on environmental protection show For Official Use Only CASCR Review 9 Independent Evaluation Group a mixed picture, and progress in improving irrigation was slow and negligible in dams. While budget transparency improved, the strategic relevance and efficiency of public spending did not improve as expected. The WBG provided support for many of these achievements. Nevertheless, the main factors behind the strengthening of the business environment were the end of the conflict and the stable macroeconomic environment, both of which were not addressed by the WBG strategy. IEG does not consider as outcomes of the WBG strategy those outcomes that are achieved by the country without a contribution of the WBG. The WBG’s dialogue with Sri Lanka in the water sector and the conservation of ecosystems was ineffective. Challenges remain in the finances of the social protection system, the regulatory framework for environmental management in the power sector, and the conservation of ecosystems. IDA Performance: 40. IEG rates IDA performance as moderately satisfactory. IDA reacted quickly to support Sri Lanka at the end of the 30 year war and in facing the 2010 floods. The WBG’s strategy was aligned with Sri Lanka’s development strategy at a very broad level, but differed on many aspects, particularly on the water sector and the environment. The WBG’s AAA was not fully aligned with the government’s priorities, thus hindering the WBG’s dialogue with the government. The authorities perceived that the focus of the WBG agenda on IDA priorities—social development and poverty reduction —was becoming misaligned with the reality of Sri Lanka growing to middle-income status. According to the CASCR, the authorities also perceived that IDA did not design solutions tailored to the country’s circumstances. The CASPR was prepared towards the end of the CAS period (FY11), yet it did not reflect the evolving government priorities on a timely basis. The original CAS also committed to deliver results in areas where the government had not articulated a precise agenda or where the government opted for other policy options (e.g. ecosystems conservation). Coordination was good with other development partners, especially in the transport sector. Within the WBG, the strategy was well- coordinated between IBRD-IDA and IFC, who complemented each other well for good results, especially in including the private sector in Sri Lanka’s broader development agenda. The results framework included indicators that were not available and, accordingly, were not monitored or updated at the time of the CASPR. IFC Performance: 41. IEG rates performance of IFC as moderately satisfactory. IFC’s relevance was weak. IFC’s strategy was relevant for the third pillar, but lacked focus on the post-conflict recuperation of the North and East regions as envisaged under the first pillar or the developments foreseen for the second pillar. Recovery of the post-conflict regions would call for a more pro-active stance by IFC. 5. Assessment of CAS Completion Report 42. This is a well-written and candid CASCR. It is detailed and comprehensive on the activities undertaken by the WBG but short in terms of outcomes. The CASCR could have covered better some of the country outcomes that correspond to the strategy objectives. It could also have been more direct and dealt more in-depth with the areas of the program that did not go well, to find out the reasons and draw lessons, particularly regarding the disagreements in the water sectors and the environment. The lessons drawn by the CASCR were pertinent. For Official Use Only CASCR Review 10 Independent Evaluation Group 6. Findings and Lessons 43. IEG concurs with the lessons drawn by the CASCR, especially with the need for flexibility in a fast-changing environment. In addition, the main lesson that IEG sees stemming from this review is that committing to deliver results in areas where the government has articulated a different agenda risks opting for policy advice and approaches that the government will eventually discard. In this vein, a close dialogue on the development and implementation of the strategy, including the AAA, would bolster the effectiveness of the WBG’s dialogue with the authorities. In addition, the CASPR is the instrument to adjust the strategy to changing circumstances and priorities. Timely use of this instrument enhances the relevance of the WBG’s support. Furthermore, deficient monitoring of the strategy hinders its effectiveness by frustrating the M&E that is necessary to adjust the strategy to its observed effectiveness, as well as the evolving priorities and country circumstances. Annexes CASCR Review 11 Independent Evaluation Group Annex Table 1a. Planned and Actual Lending, FY09-12 Annex Table 1b. Trust Funds, FY09-12 Annex Table 2. Planned and Actual Analytical and Advisory Work, FY09-12 Annex Table 3a. IEG Project Ratings for Sri Lanka, FY09-FY12 Annex Table 3b. IEG Project Ratings for Sri Lanka and Comparators, FY09-12 Annex Table 4. Portfolio Status for Sri Lanka and Comparators, FY09-12 Annex Table 5. IBRD/IDA Net Disbursements and Charges Summary Report for Sri Lanka (in US$ million) Annex Table 6. Total Net Disbursements of Official Development Assistance and Official Aid, 2009- 2010 (in US$ million) Annex Table 7. Economic and Social Indicators for Sri Lanka and Comparators, 2008- 2010 Annex Table 8. Sri Lanka: Millennium Development Goals Annex Table 9. List of IFC's Investments in Sri Lanka That Were Active During FY09-12 Annex Table 10. List of IFC's Advisory Operations in Sri Lanka, FY09-12 Annex Table 11. Summary of Achievements of the CAS Objectives Annexes CASCR Review 13 Independent Evaluation Group Annex Table 1a. Planned and Actual Lending, FY09-12 Project Proposed Approval Proposed Approved Project ID FY FY Amount Amount P097329 Public Sector Capacity Building Project 2008 2008 22.6 P113489 Additional Financing of Health Sector Development 2009 24.0 P110324 Road Sector Assistance Project : Additional Credit 2008 2009 98.1 P119152 Additional Financing Community Livelihoods in Conflict Affected Areas Project 2010 12.0 P118870 Emergency Northern Recovery Project 2010 65 P113709 Sustainable Tourism Development Project 2010 2010 15.0 18.0 P113402 Higher Education for the Twenty First Century Project 2010 2010 40.0 P113036 North East Local Services Improvement Project (NELSIP) 2010 2010 50.0 50.0 P107847 Provincial Roads Project 2009 2010 150.0 105.0 P087145 Second Community Development and Livelihood Improvement Project 2009 2010 75.0 75.0 Second Additional Financing for the Community Livelihoods in Conflict Affected 2011 38.0 P125855 Areas Project P121328 Small and Medium Enterprise Development Facility 2011 57.4 P116742 Road Sector Assistance Project - Second Additional Financing 2011 2011 100.0 P122735 Metro Colombo Urban Development Project 2012 217.0 P113488 Transforming the School Ed System as the Foundation of a Knowledge Hub 2012 2012 50.0 100.0 slipped to Health Sector Development Project 2012 35.0 2013 P102336 Agric Research and Productivity Improvement 2011 Dropped Irrigation Maintenance and Water 2011 Dropped 50.0 Community Water and Poverty Alleviation in Plantation Districts Project 2011 Dropped 40.0 Provincial Water Supply 2012 Dropped Water Supply in the Northern Easter and Sabaragamuwa Province Dropped 75.0 Environmental Resource Management 2010 Dropped 20.0 Total Programmed projects CAS FY09-12 560.0(*) 1,022.1 Non-programmed projects P128702 SL: E-Sri Lanka Development Project Additional Financing 2012 11.0 Total non-programmed projects 11 Total projects CAS FY09-12 1,033.1 ONGOING PROJECTS Project Approval Closed Approved Project ID FY FY Amount P076702 Renewable Energy for Rural Economic Development 2002 2012 75.0 P050741 Improving Relevance and Quality of Undergraduate Education 2003 2010 40.3 P058067 Second Community Water Supply and Sanitation Project 2003 2011 39.8 P050740 Health Sector Development 2004 2011 60.0 Community Livelihoods in Conflict Affected Areas Project ( Yali Pibedemu P086747 2004 Active 64.7 Viyapruthiya) (Maru Eluchchithittum) P074872 Community Development and Livelihood Improvement "Gemi Diriya" Project 2004 2010 51.0 P083932 North East Housing Reconstruction Program 2005 2012 75.0 P081771 E-Lanka Development 2005 Active 53.0 P094205 Tsunami ERL 2005 2009 75.0 P086411 SL- Road Sector Assistance Project 2006 Active 100.0 P084580 Education Sector Development Project 2006 2011 60.0 P100390 Puttalam Housing Project 2007 2012 32.0 P093132 Dam Safety and Water Resources Planning (DSWRPP) 2008 Active 65.3 P110317 Second North East Housing Reconstruction Program 2008 2012 43.0 Total Ongoing Projects 834.1 Source: Sri Lanka FY 09-12 CAS/CASPR and WB Business Warehouse Tables 2a.1, 2a.4 and 2a.7 as of 01/26/2012. *Total planned was US$900 million, but not all of it was identified at CAS stage. Annexes CASCR Review 14 Independent Evaluation Group Annex Table 1b. Trust Funds, FY09-12 Approval Closing Approved Project ID Project TF ID FY FY Amount P077761 Renewable Energy for Rural Economic Development TF 51248 2003 2012 8 Norway 5th Dimension- Sri Lanka TF051074 2004 Active 2.90 P081771 E-Lanka Development TF 52884 2005 2009 0.91 P094205 Sri Lanka Tsunami ERL TF 56712 2006 2010 24.88 P083932 Sri Lanka: North East Housing Reconstruction Program TF 56348 2006 2009 7.41 P105080 Community Peace Councils/Deshodaya Fora for Sri Lanka TF 90122 2007 2011 0.23 Second Community Development and Livelihood Improvement P087145 TF 56903 2007 2010 0.39 Project Sri Lanka: Avian and Human Influenza Control and P107100 TF 91200 2008 2011 1.43 Preparedness P105084 Poverty and Conflict Program TF 58233 2008 2010 0.07 Enabling Civil Society to Influence the Process of Negotiations in P105202 TF 58229 2008 2010 0.25 Sri Lanka The FCE Human Security Program: Providing early warning and P105081 implementing rapid response by collecting info on local level TF 58230 2008 2010 0.13 conflicts Effective, Safe and Sustainable Humanitarian Assistance and P105082 Dvt Cooperation of Agencies in SL: Mainstreaming Conflict TF 58303 2008 2011 0.25 Sensitivity P111185 IDF Grant for COPE/COPA TF 92313 2008 2012 0.14 Improving Monitoring and Evaluation of Samurdhi Safety Net P115525 TF 94313 2009 Active 0.45 Program P116377 ICT Regulatory Capacity Building TF 94299 2009 Active 0.47 P105083 Study of Politics of State Reform TF 58231 2009 2011 0.15 P111185 Strengthening Parliamentary Oversight Committees TF 92313 2009 2012 0.49 P116377 TA for Regulatory Agencies (IDF Grant for telecom sector) TF 94299 2009 2012 0.33 P115525 IDF to improve targeting and administration of Samurdhui TF 94313 2009 Active 0.29 P121571 Local Level Nutrition Interventions for the Northern Province - RE TF 97171 2011 Active 2.73 P118870 Emergency Northern Recovery Project TF 96422 2011 2012 10.54 North and East Pilot WASH for Post-Conflict Resettlements P126697 TF 10773 2012 Active 2.01 (NEP WASH) Total FY09-12 64.45 Source: Sri Lanka FY09-12 CAS/CASPR and WB Business Warehouse Tables 2a.1, 2a.4 and 2a.7 as of 03/07/2012 Annexes CASCR Review 15 Independent Evaluation Group Annex Table 2. Planned and Actual Analytical and Advisory Work, FY09-12 Delivered Project Proposed to Client Output Type ID FY FY ECONOMIC AND SECTOR WORK Planned (CAS FY09-12) Cost of No Reform P078810 2009 2009 Policy Note Growth Potential in Lagging Regions P102719 2009 2009 Report Country Environmental Analysis (A Review of the Sri Lanka Environmental P121681 2009 2012 Policy Note Assessment System) Infrastructure Assessment P112928 2009 Active Report Coal Power Assessment (renamed: Environmental issues in the power P111245 2009 2010 Report sector-Consequences of coal based gen) Health Service Delivery Strategy (renamed Health Services Delivery in Sri P113486 2010 2010 Report Lanka: Retooling for the 21st Century ) Public Financial Management Assessment 2010 Dropped Growth, Outsourcing and Jobs 2010 Dropped Pre-feasibility assessment of the conditions of degradation of the Sigiriya P124387 2011 2012 How-To" Guidance Frescoes in Sri Lanka Excellence in General Education P118851 2011 2011 Report Advisory Services Sri Lanka Development Partners Coordination P094367 2011 2012 Document 2020 Raising the Game: Middle Income Age P118686 2012 Active Report Post FSAP, Crisis Management, Financial Safety Net & Lender of Last P118532 2012 2011 Report Resort Advisory Services Support for Post-Crisis PPP framework development in Sri Lanka P122112 2012 Active Document Sri Lanka - Competitive Skills for a Middle Income Country (MIC) P118804 2012 Active Policy Note Strategic Development Framework Eastern Province 2012 Dropped Private Health Sector Assessment P123402 2012 Active Report Demographic Transition Study P118781 2012 Active Report Post Disaster Needs Assessment 2012 Dropped Advisory Services Disaster Reduction and Recovery in Sri Lanka P110745 2012 Active Document Non-planned Towers of Learning: the Sri Lanka Higher Education Report P102566 2009 Report Nature Based Tourism and the Human Elephant Conflict in Sri Lanka P102696 2010 Policy Note Lagging Regions Phase 2 P113746 2010 Report Valuation of Environmental Services in Sri Lanka: A case study of P121680 2010 Policy Note agriculture and watershed benefits in the Southern Province Sri Lanka: Benchmarking of Procurement Systems P121246 2010 Report Agricultural Policy Options P120308 2010 Policy Note Gender Analysis of Sri Lanka P128091 2012 Report Sri Lanka Urban Policy Note P128031 2012 Policy Note Sri Lanka Public Procurement Review P127321 2012 Report Annexes CASCR Review 16 Independent Evaluation Group Delivered Project Proposed to Client Output Type ID FY FY LK: Investment Climate Assess PN P128016 2012 Policy Note LK: Financial Sector Policy Note P128015 2012 Policy Note Promoting Broad Based Agriculture Growth in Sri Lanka - Policy and P127360 Active Policy Note Investment Priorities Sri Lanka - Policy Note on Transport P128272 Active Policy Note SL: Fiscal Policy Note P128411 Active Policy Note LK: Use of Country Financial Management Systems P127521 Active Policy Note Advisory Services FIRST Sri Lanka: Risk Sensitive Capital Rule for Insurance Supervision P115603 Active Document Assessment of Secondary Cities of Sri Lanka: The Eastern and the Northern Advisory Services P117210 Active Provinces Document Advisory Services Sri Lanka: Amendment to SEC Act # 10158 P126528 Active Document TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE Planned (CAS FY09-12) Knowledge-Sharing Female Migration P112929 2009 Dropped Forum Social Protection P113487 2010 2010 "How-To" Guidance Government Debt Management P118915 2011 2011 "How-To" Guidance Implementing the Sri Lanka Conflict Filter P115471 2011 2012 "How-To" Guidance Strengthening Samurdhi Targeting Systems P121873 2012 Active "How-To" Guidance Non-planned Sri Lanka - Knowledge Economy Report P113710 2010 "How-to" Guidance Institutional Sri Lanka Housing Finance for the Poor P113741 2010 Development Plan Poverty Impact of Crisis (including TA for Poverty Mapping and HIES); P073814 2011 "How-to" Guidance formerly poverty analysis, monitoring & evaluation Sri Lanka PDNA P122347 2011 "How-to" Guidance FIRST: Sri Lanka Accounting and Payment System P115665 2011 "How-to" Guidance Inclusive Financial Services for North and East P114590 2011 "How-to" Guidance Sri Lanka: Decentralization and Sub-national Capacity Building P119618 Active "How-to" Guidance Source: Sri Lanka CAS/CASPR and WB Business Warehouse Table ESW/TA 8.1.4 as of 01/27/2012. Annexes CASCR Review 17 Independent Evaluation Group Annex Table 3a: IEG Project Ratings for Sri Lanka, FY09-FY12 Total IEG Risk to Exit Proj ID Project Name Evaluated IEG Outcome Development FY (US$M) Outcome* 2009 P094205 Sri Lanka Tsunami ERL 69.2 Moderately Satisfactory Significant Relevance and Quality of Undergrad. 2010 P050741 29.6 Moderately Satisfactory Moderate Educ LK: Community Dev & Livelihood 2010 P074872 33.3 Highly Satisfactory High "Gemi Source: WB Business Warehouse Table 4a.6 as of as of 02/24/2012. * With IEG new methodology for evaluating projects, institutional development impact and sustainability are no longer rated separately. Annex Table 3b. IEG Project Ratings for Sri Lanka and Comparators, FY09-12 RDO % RDO % Total Total Outcome Outcome Moderate or Moderate or Region Evaluated Evaluated % Sat ($) % Sat (No) Lower Sat Lower Sat ($M) (No) ($) (No) Sri Lanka 132.2 3 100.0 100.0 22.4 33.3 Bangladesh 381.9 6 93.0 66.7 43.9 50.0 Nepal 163.3 5 62.9 60.0 52.2 40.0 Vietnam 382.6 4 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 SAR 2,754.3 49 91.8 77.6 68.4 44.9 World 16,569.4 438 84.8 73.2 68.3 55.4 Source: WB Business Warehouse Table 4a.5 as of as of 02/24/2012. * With IEG new methodology for evaluating projects, institutional development impact and sustainability are no longer rated separately. Annexes CASCR Review 18 Independent Evaluation Group Annex Table 4. Portfolio Status for Sri Lanka and Comparators, FY09-12 Fiscal Year 2009 2010 2011 2012 Sri Lanka # Proj 13 16 15 13 # Proj At Risk 1 1 3 3 % At Risk 8 6 20 23 Net Comm Amt 954 1,188 1,229 1,068 Comm At Risk 32 32 203 388 % Commit at Risk 3 3 16 36 Bangladesh # Proj 26 27 28 30 # Proj At Risk 1 5 3 5 % At Risk 4 19 11 17 Net Comm Amt 2,767 3,562 4,975 5,580 Comm At Risk 16 741 166 737 % Commit at Risk 1 21 3 13 Nepal # Proj 16 15 17 16 # Proj At Risk 5 11 7 5 % At Risk 31 73 41 31 Net Comm Amt 858 1079 1259 1274 Comm At Risk 304 753 558 533 % Commit at Risk 35 70 44 42 Vietnam # Proj 43 46 48 49 # Proj At Risk 5 4 3 7 % At Risk 12 9 6 14 Net Comm Amt 5,428 6,308 7,704 7,831 Comm At Risk 601 421 400 808 % Commit at Risk 11 7 5 10 SAR # Proj 171 183 193 182 # Proj At Risk 30 40 38 34 % At Risk 18 22 20 19 Net Comm Amt 24,031 31,679 37,540 36,075 Comm At Risk 3,120 4,807 5,128 5,841 % Commit at Risk 13 15 14 16 World # Proj 1,408 1,449 1,454 1,385 # Proj At Risk 310 328 302 290 % At Risk 22 23 21 21 Net Comm Amt 128,472 155,684 165,792 158,632 Comm At Risk 19,539 27,684 22,573 22,069 % Commit at Risk 15 18 14 14 Source: WB Business Warehouse Table 3a.4 as of 02/24/2012. Annexes CASCR Review 19 Independent Evaluation Group Annex Table 5. IBRD/IDA Net Disbursements and Charges Summary Report for Sri Lanka (in US$ million) FY Disb. Amt. Repay Amt. Net Amt. Charges Fees Net Transfer 2009 113.5 55.2 58.3 0 17.5 40.8 2010 220.5 57.4 163.1 0 18.5 144.6 2011 209.3 63.7 145.6 0 18.3 127.3 2012 92.1 38.8 53.2 0 12.5 40.7 Total (09-12) 635.4 215.1 420.3 0 66.7 353.6 Source: WB Loan Kiosk, Net Disbursement and Charges Report as of 02/06/2012 Annex Table 6. Total Net Disbursements of Official Development Assistance and Official Aid, 2009- 2010 (in US$ million) Development Partners 2009 2010 2009-2010 Bilaterals Canada -4.85 -4.2 -9.05 Denmark -0.58 -12.83 -13.41 France 10.03 43.62 53.65 Germany -38.45 -25.76 -64.21 Japan 36.22 91.88 128.1 Korea 10.79 31.86 42.65 Netherlands -4.18 -1.57 -5.75 Norway -0.04 0 -0.04 Spain 11.49 -1.36 10.13 Sweden 0.52 0 0.52 United Kingdom 1.12 -18.89 -17.77 United States -38.53 -28.84 -67.37 DAC Countries, Total -16.46 73.91 57.45 Kuwait 4.65 2.32 6.97 Non-DAC Countries, Total 4.65 2.32 6.97 Multilaterals AsDB Special Funds 60.42 18.05 78.47 GAVI 0 -0.08 -0.08 IDA 90.78 82.89 173.67 IFAD 11.38 7.91 19.29 IMF (Concessional Trust Funds) -11.84 -11.71 -23.55 Nordic Dev.Fund -0.08 -0.51 -0.59 OFID -1.96 -1.81 -3.77 UNDP 0 -0.02 -0.02 WFP -0.64 0 -0.64 Multilateral, Total 148.06 94.72 242.78 All Development Partners Total 136.25 170.95 307.2 Source: OECD DAC Online database, Table 2a. Destination of Official Development Assistance and Official Aid - Disbursements, as of 02/06/2012. Annexes CASCR Review 20 Independent Evaluation Group Annex Table 7. Economic and Social Indicators for Sri Lanka and Comparators, 2008- 2010 South Sri Lanka Sri Lanka Bangladesh Nepal Vietnam World Series Name Asia 2008 2009 2010 Average 2008-2010 Growth and Inflation GDP growth (annual %) 6.0 3.5 8.0 5.8 6.0 5.0 6.1 7.0 1.1 GDP per capita growth (annual %) 4.9 2.6 7.0 4.8 4.9 3.1 5.0 5.5 0.0 GNI per capita, PPP (current international $) 4506.9 4706.6 5078.0 4763.8 1567.1 1155.2 3016.2 2997.7 10896.3 GNI, Atlas method (billions current US$) 35.8 40.4 46.7 41.0 93.8 12.3 89.4 1731.1 59985.9 Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) 22.6 3.4 5.9 10.6 7.5 10.8 13.0 Composition of GDP (%) Agriculture, value added (% of GDP) 13.4 12.7 12.8 13.0 18.8 34.3 21.2 18.5 2.9 Industry, value added (% of GDP) 29.4 29.7 29.4 29.5 28.5 16.4 40.4 27.0 26.2 Services, etc., value added (% of GDP) 57.2 57.6 57.8 57.6 52.7 49.3 38.4 54.4 70.8 Gross fixed capital formation (% of GDP) 25.3 23.7 25.9 25.0 24.3 21.2 34.9 28.4 20.1 Gross domestic savings (% of GDP) 13.9 17.9 18.7 16.8 16.9 8.9 27.0 26.5 20.0 External Accounts Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) 24.8 21.3 21.7 22.6 19.4 11.7 74.6 20.5 27.6 Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) 38.5 27.8 30.8 32.4 26.8 35.2 86.5 26.2 27.8 Current account balance (% of GDP) -9.5 -0.5 -2.9 -4.3 2.5 3.0 -7.6 .. External debt, total (% of GNI) 39.3 41.4 41.8 40.8 24.5 26.9 32.1 20.3 .. Total debt service (% of GNI) 3.1 3.4 3.0 3.2 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.7 … Total reserves in months of imports 1.9 5.2 5.3 4.1 4.0 6.3 2.5 8.0 13.3 Fiscal Accounts /1 Revenue and Grants (% of GDP) 15.6 15 14.9 15.2 … … .. … … Total Expenditure (and net lending, % of GDP) 22.6 24.9 22.9 23.5 16.1 … .. … … Overall Balance (% of GDP) -7 -9.9 -7.9 -8.3 -4.9 … -5.9 … … Public Sector Gross Debt (% of GDP) 81.4 86.1 81.9 83.1 34.6 … 50.3 … … Social Indicators Health Life expectancy at birth, total (years) 74.4 74.6 … 74.5 68.2 67.8 74.5 64.8 69.3 Immunization, DPT (% of children ages 12-23 months) 98.0 97.0 99.0 98.0 95.3 89.0 94.0 75.6 84.4 Improved sanitation facilities (% of population with access) 91.0 … … 91.0 53.0 31.0 75.0 35.6 60.6 Improved water source (% of population with access) 90.0 … … 90.0 80.0 88.0 94.0 86.6 86.8 Mortality rate, infant (per 1,000 live births) 15.1 14.7 14.2 14.7 40.1 43.3 19.3 52.9 42.0 Annexes CASCR Review 21 Independent Evaluation Group South Sri Lanka Sri Lanka Bangladesh Nepal Vietnam World Series Name Asia 2008 2009 2010 Average 2008-2010 Population Population, total (in million) 20.5 20.7 20.9 20.7 147.1 29.4 86.0 1557.6 6763.7 Population growth (annual %) 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.8 1.1 1.4 1.1 Urban population (% of total) 15.1 15.1 15.1 15.1 27.6 17.7 28.3 29.8 50.4 Education School enrollment, preprimary (% gross) … .. … … 11.4 … 80.6 53.7 49.7 School enrollment, primary (% gross) 99.1 95.4 97.3 101.4 … 104.8 110.3 107.0 School enrollment, secondary (% gross) … .. … … 47.3 … 77.2 54.6 67.9 Source: WB World Development Indicators (02/20/2012) for all indicators excluding those noted. 1/ IMF, International Financial Statistics. Annexes CASCR Review 22 Independent Evaluation Group Annex Table 8. Sri Lanka: Millennium Development Goals 1990 1995 2000 2009 Goal 1: Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger Employment to population ratio, 15+, total (%) 51 49 53 55 Employment to population ratio, ages 15-24, total (%) 31 30 34 36 Income share held by lowest 20% 8.7 7.9 6.8 .. Malnutrition prevalence, weight for age (% of children under 5) .. .. 22.8 21.1 Poverty gap at $1.25 a day (PPP) (%) 3 3 3 .. Poverty headcount ratio at $1.25 a day (PPP) (% of population) 15 16 14 .. Prevalence of undernourishment (% of population) 28 25 20 19 Vulnerable employment, total (% of total employment) .. 38 41 41 Goal 2: Achieve universal primary education Literacy rate, youth female (% of females ages 15-24) .. .. 96 99 Literacy rate, youth male (% of males ages 15-24) .. .. 95 97 Persistence to last grade of primary, total (% of cohort) .. .. .. 98 Primary completion rate, total (% of relevant age group) 98 .. 107 98 Total enrollment, primary (% net) .. .. 100 99 Goal 3: Promote gender equality and empower women Proportion of seats held by women in national parliaments (%) 5 5 5 6 Ratio of female to male primary enrollment (%) 96 96 99 100 Ratio of female to male secondary enrollment (%) 108 108 106 .. Ratio of female to male tertiary enrollment (%) 48 .. .. .. Share of women employed in the nonagricultural sector (% of total nonagricultural employment) .. 30.9 30.5 31.0 Goal 4: Reduce child mortality Immunization, measles (% of children ages 12-23 months) 80 87 98 96 Mortality rate, infant (per 1,000 live births) 23 21 17 13 Mortality rate, under-5 (per 1,000) 28 25 21 15 Goal 5: Improve maternal health Adolescent fertility rate (births per 1,000 women ages 15-19) .. .. 29 29 Births attended by skilled health staff (% of total) .. 94 96 99 Contraceptive prevalence (% of women ages 15-49) .. 66 70 68 Maternal mortality ratio (modeled estimate, per 100,000 live births) 91 73 59 39 Pregnant women receiving prenatal care (%) .. 80 95 99 Unmet need for contraception (% of married women ages 15-49) .. .. .. .. Goal 6: Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria, and other diseases Children with fever receiving antimalarial drugs (% of children under age 5 with fever) .. .. .. 0 Condom use, population ages 15-24, female (% of females ages 15-24) .. .. .. .. Condom use, population ages 15-24, male (% of males ages 15-24) .. .. .. .. Incidence of tuberculosis (per 100,000 people) 66 66 66 66 Prevalence of HIV, female (% ages 15-24) .. .. .. .. Prevalence of HIV, male (% ages 15-24) .. .. .. 0 Prevalence of HIV, total (% of population ages 15-49) .. .. .. .. Tuberculosis case detection rate (all forms) 58 49 68 70 Goal 7: Ensure environmental sustainability CO2 emissions (kg per PPP $ of GDP) 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 CO2 emissions (metric tons per capita) 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 Forest area (% of land area) 36 34 32 29 Improved sanitation facilities (% of population with access) 70 76 82 91 Improved water source (% of population with access) 67 73 80 90 Marine protected areas (% of total surface area) .. .. .. 1 Terrestrial protected areas (% of total surface area) .. .. .. 20.6 Goal 8: Develop a global partnership for development Debt service (PPG and IMF only, % of exports, excluding workers' remittances) 15 9 11 11 Internet users (per 100 people) 0.0 0.0 0.6 5.8 Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) 0 0 2 55 Net ODA received per capita (current US$) 43 31 15 36 Telephone lines (per 100 people) 1 1 4 17 Other Fertility rate, total (births per woman) 2.5 2.3 2.2 2.3 GNI per capita, Atlas method (current US$) 470 700 880 1,990 GNI, Atlas method (current US$) (billions) 8.1 12.6 16.4 40.4 Gross capital formation (% of GDP) 22.2 25.7 28.0 24.5 Life expectancy at birth, total (years) 70 70 71 74 Literacy rate, adult total (% of people ages 15 and above) .. .. 91 91 Population, total (millions) 17.1 18.1 18.7 20.3 Trade (% of GDP) 68.2 81.6 88.6 49.2 Source: World Development Indicators database as of 02/20/2012. Annexes CASCR Review 23 Independent Evaluation Group Annex Table 9. List of IFC's Investments in Sri Lanka That Were Active During FY09-12 Project ID The First Commitment FY Project Status Project Size IFC Primary Sector Net Equity Net Loans Total Net Commitment Investments approved in the pre-CAS period, but active during FY09-12 7374 2001 Active 33,640 Health Care 1,096 5,350 6,447 8648 2000 Active 100 Finance & Insurance 100 0 100 9901 2001 Active 29,322 Information 7,500 20,914 28,414 11707 2003 Active 11,000 Finance & Insurance 9,966 0 9,966 21772 2004 Active 2,885 Finance & Insurance 2,885 0 2,885 24424 2008 Active 205,000 Accommodation & Tourism Services 0 75,000 75,000 25639 2008 Active 10,000 Finance & Insurance 0 10,478 10,478 25640 2007 Active 8,000 Finance & Insurance 0 35,090 35,090 26039 2007 Active 7,421 Finance & Insurance 7,421 0 7,421 26652 2008 Active 15,000 Finance & Insurance 0 45,129 45,129 Subtotal 28,969 191,960 220,930 Investments approved in FY09-12 26317 2009 Active 14,869 Finance & Insurance 0 13,511 13,511 28555 2010 Active 20,000 Health Care 0 20,000 20,000 28662 2010 Active 13,112 Electric Power 0 56,783 56,783 30376 2011 Active 10,000 Collective Investment Vehicles 10,000 0 10,000 30396 2011 Active 0 Finance & Insurance 0 1,626 1,626 31098 2011 Active 2,000 Electric Power 1,684 0 1,684 31099 2011 Active 2,000 Electric Power 1,684 0 1,684 31315 2012 Active 3,203 Finance & Insurance 3,207 0 3,207 30613 2012 Active 65,000 Finance & Insurance 0 65,000 65,000 Subtotal 16,576 156,920 173,496 Grand Total 45,545 348,881 394,425 Source: IFC, Feb 2012. Annexes CASCR Review 24 Independent Evaluation Group Annex Table 10. List of IFC's Advisory Operations in Sri Lanka, FY09-12 Project Approval Total Funds, Project Name Project Status Primary Business Line ID FY US$ Advisory Services operations approved pre-FY09, but active during FY09-12 535223 Water Disinfection & Purification System Program Active FY05 Sustainable Business Advisory 250,000 542865 SME Banking Capacity Building - SL Closed FY06 Access To Finance 1,504,799 547845 Rain Forest Ecolodge Linkage Project Active FY06 Sustainable Business Advisory 142,443 TA for implementation & Replication of the Portfolio Approach to Distributed 551945 Active FY07 Access To Finance 2,000,000 Generation Opportunity 552365 Business License. Closed FY07 Investment Climate 685,409 552525 Value Chain IT Closed FY07 Sustainable Business Advisory 69,000 552527 Va.Chain Tourism Closed FY07 Sustainable Business Advisory 60,000 554788 Tourism SME Linkage Program Sri Lanka Active FY07 Sustainable Business Advisory 171,898 558625 Dialog Distributor Retailer Community Network Development Project Active FY08 Sustainable Business Advisory 463,065 562407 Southern Sri Lanka(A2F) Active FY08 Access To Finance 1,150,000 561790 Southern Sri Lanka VA2F Active FY09 Sustainable Business Advisory 1,080,000 Subtotal 7,576,614 Advisory Services operations approved in FY09-12 573187 NDB Bank SME Sri Lanka Active FY10 Access To Finance 500,000 576427 PBGI AS SDB SL Active FY10 Access To Finance 413,250 576429 PBGI Lanka Orix Micro Finance Company Limited Active FY10 Access To Finance 470,000 576947 SL-NTB-SME Active FY10 Access To Finance 400,000 584647 GIIF-Sanasa Insurance Active FY11 Access To Finance 435,000 Subtotal 2,218,250 Grand Total 9,794,864 Source: IFC, Feb 2012. Annexes CASCR Review 25 Independent Evaluation Group Annex Table 11. Summary of Achievements of the CAS Objectives CAS 09-12: Pillar 1 Actual Results Comments Expanding Economic Opportunities in Lagging (as of current month Regions year) Objectives 1. Supporting integrated rural development 2. Improving economic opportunities in the North and East Major 1. Supporting integrated rural Outcome development Measures 40 percent increase in rural No data available Source: P076702 Renewable households electrified by off grid Energy for Rural Economic electrification (90,000 households as Development Project ISR. of 2008). 139,241 including households, enterprise and public institutions, electrified by off grid electrification as of November 2011 Share of rural households with 73.8 in 2010. Source: Household Income and access to improved water source Expenditure Survey reach 74 percent (71 percent as of 2008). Increase share of community driven No data available. Source: P086747 Community development (CDD) projects that Livelihoods in Conflict Areas involve functional collaboration across Project ISR and CASCR. ethnic groups. CDD projects operating during the CAS period: Community Development and Livelihood Improvement "Gemi Diriya" Project and Community Livelihoods in Conflict Affected Areas Project (Yali Pibedemu Viyapruthiya) (Maru Eluchchithittum). Number of CBOs revived/formed and satisfactorily engaged in subproject implementation and O&M at village level from nil in 2005 to 1,506 in 2011. Establishment of community peace Not observable CASCR notes that target indicator Councils. has been achieved. IEG has no way of verifying. 2. Improving economic opportunities in the North and East Share of rural population with access 18 percent as January Source: P086747 Community to basic infrastructure facilities in 2012. Livelihoods in Conflict Areas North and East to reach 15 percent (9 Project ISR and CASCR. percent as of 2008). Internal calculation. Share of destroyed residential houses 17.3 percent in November Source: P083932 North East in North and East 2011. Housing Reconstruction Program rehabilitated to reach 18 percent (10 Project ISR and percent as of 2008). P100390 Puttalam Housing Project ISR. Annexes CASCR Review 26 Independent Evaluation Group CAS 09-12: Pillar 1 Actual Results Comments Expanding Economic Opportunities in Lagging (as of current month Regions year) 100,000 Internally Displaced Persons 187, 533 IDPs returned to Source: P118870 Emergency (IDPs) returned to their place of their place of origin since Northern Recovery Project ISR. origin. January 2009 to October 2011. 1, 070,000 person-days of 1,713,603 person-days of Source: P118870 Emergency employment generated for employment generated Northern Recovery Project ISR. returnees. since January 2010 to October 2011. 19,200 hectares cultivated after Farm area has increased Source: P086747 Community irrigation rehabilitation. to 19,200 hectares Livelihoods in Conflict Areas (October 2011). Project ISR. The end target of the project is 213,000 hectares by 2013. The project started from nil in 2005 Ongoing P076702 Renewable Energy for Approved FY02. Closed Latest IR: Satisfactory. pre CAS Rural Economic Development FY12. 09-12 P074872 Community Development Approved FY04. Closed IEG rating: Highly Satisfactory. Support and Livelihood Improvement "Gemi FY10. Diriya" Project P100390 Puttalam Housing Project Approved FY07. Closed Latest IR: Moderately Satisfactory FY12. P110317 Second North East Approved FY08. Closed Latest IR: Satisfactory. Housing Reconstruction Program FY12. P094205 Tsunami ERL Approved FY05. Closed IEG rating: Moderately Satisfactory FY09. P083932 North East Housing Approved FY05. Closed Latest IR: Satisfactory Reconstruction Program (including FY12. Supplemental Financing) P086747 Community Livelihoods in Approved FY04. Active. Latest IR: Satisfactory Conflict Affected Areas Project ( Yali Pibedemu Viyapruthiya) (Maru Eluchchithittum) New P087145 Second Community Approved FY10. Active. Latest IR: Moderately Lending Development and Livelihood Unsatisfactory Support Improvement Project P116742 Road Sector Assistance Approved FY11. Active. Latest IR: Satisfactory Project - Second Additional Financing P110324 Road Sector Assistance Approved FY09. Active. Latest IR: Satisfactory Project : Additional Credit P107847 Provincial Roads Project Approved FY10. Active. Latest IR: Satisfactory P125855 Second Additional Approved FY11. Active. Latest IR: Satisfactory Financing for the Community Livelihoods in Conflict Affected Areas Project P119152 Additional Financing Approved FY10. Active. Latest IR: Satisfactory Community Livelihoods in Conflict Affected Areas Project P118870 Emergency Northern Approved FY10. Active. Latest IR: Satisfactory Recovery Project Annexes CASCR Review 27 Independent Evaluation Group CAS 09-12: Pillar 1 Actual Results Comments Expanding Economic Opportunities in Lagging (as of current month Regions year) P113036 North East Local Services Approved FY10. Active. Latest IR: Satisfactory Improvement Project (NELSIP) P102336 Agric Research and Approved FY11. Active. NA Productivity Improvement Planned P110745 Disaster Reduction and Active. AAA Recovery in Sri Lanka (TA) P102719 Growth Potential in Lagging Delivered to Client FY09. Regions (ESW) P118686 2020 Raising the Game: Active. Middle Income Age (ESW) P078810 Cost of No Reform (ESW) Delivered to Client FY09. P115471 Implementing the Sri Lanka Delivered to Client FY12. Conflict Filter (TA) Additional P113746 Lagging Regions Phase 2 Delivered to Client FY10. AAA P117210 Assessment of Secondary Active. Cities of Sri Lanka: The Eastern and the Northern Provinces P114590 Inclusive Financial Services Delivered to Client FY11. for North and East (TA) P127360 Promoting Broad Based Active. Agriculture Growth in Sri Lanka - Policy and Investment Priorities (ESW) P120308 Agricultural Policy Options Delivered to Client FY10. (ESW) P113741 Sri Lanka Housing Finance Delivered to Client FY10. for the Poor P119618 Sri Lanka: Decentralization Active. and Sub-national Capacity Building P073814 Poverty Impact of Crisis Delivered to Client FY11. (including TA for Poverty Mapping and HIES); formerly poverty analysis, monitoring & evaluation (TA) Annexes CASCR Review 28 Independent Evaluation Group CAS 09-12: Pillar 2 Actual Results Comments Improving the Investment Climate and (as of current month Competitiveness year) Objectives 1. Improving infrastructure provision 2. Improving the business environment for stronger entrepreneurship and a knowledge- based economy 3. Improving the strategic relevance and transparency of public spending Major 1. Improving infrastructure Outcome provision Measures Reduction in International Road In 2007 the IRRI was of 7 Source: National Road Master plan Roughness Index to 8.4 (Average and in 2010 decreased to (Ministry of Highways and Road IRRI for Sri Lanka equal to 9.5 in 6.2. Development) and 2005). P116742 PAD for Second Additional Financing for the road Sector Assistance Project. No data yet available for 2011 as of February 2012. 4 percent decline in Average Network Average Network Vehicle Source: P116742 PAD for Second Vehicle Operating Costs (23.8 in Operating Costs was 14.6 Additional Financing for the road 2005). in 2010 representing a Sector Assistance Project. reduction of around 40 percent. No data yet available for 2011 as of February 2012. Reduction in road network in poor or 38 percent in 2010. Source: P116742 PAD for Second bad condition to 37 percent (52 Additional Financing for the road percent in 2005). Sector Assistance Project. No data yet available for 2011 as of February 2012. 2. Improving the business environment for stronger entrepreneurship and a knowledge- based economy Increase the share of commercial Share of commercial Source: P121328 SME lending for SMEs from Bank by 10 lending for SMEs has Development Facility Program and Percent. increased by 15 percent CASCR. from September 2010 to Dec 2011. Internal calculation based on methodology presented in the PAD for the SME Development Facility Program. Establish 20 e-government services 130 e-government Source: CASCR. to be used by the private sector (zero informational services in 2008). offered by 03-11-2011. Annexes CASCR Review 29 Independent Evaluation Group 3. Improving the strategic relevance and transparency of public spending Share of budget expenditures As of 2011, no budget Source: CASCR. classified as ‘other‘ in the MTEF expenditures are reduced to 5 percent (30 percent in categorized as ‘other‘) 2006) Improved public procurement, public No noted progress in Source: P097329 Public Sector financial management and either or public Capacity Building Project ISR and parliamentary oversight over public procurement or public CASCR. spending. financial management, but some progress has been made in improving parliamentary oversight over public spending: (a) external auditing has widened to 100 percent of the public sector now, when it was 50 percent in 2008, and (b) the Audit Agency is in time with the annual audit plan rather than 2 to 4 years late in 2008. Ongoing P086411 SL- Road Sector Approved FY06. Active. Latest IR: Satisfactory pre CAS Assistance Project 09-12 P058067 Second Community Water Approved FY03. Closed Latest IR: Moderately Satisfactory Support Supply and Sanitation Project FY11. P081771 E-Lanka Development Approved FY05. Active. Latest IR: Satisfactory P097329 Public Sector Capacity Approved FY08. Active. Latest IR: Moderately Building Unsatisfactory P113709 Sustainable Tourism Approved FY10. Active. Latest IR: Satisfactory Development Project New P110324 Road Sector Assistance Approved FY09. Active. Latest IR: Satisfactory Lending Project : Additional Credit Support P113709 Sustainable Tourism Approved FY10. Active. Latest IR: Satisfactory Development Project P107847 Provincial Roads Project Approved FY10. Active. Latest IR: Satisfactory P116742 Road Sector Assistance Approved FY11. Active. Latest IR: Satisfactory Project - Second Additional Financing P122735 Metro Colombo Urban Approved FY12. Active. NA Development Project P121328 Small and Medium Approved FY11. Active. Latest IR: Satisfactory Enterprise Development Facility P128702 SL: E-Sri Lanka Approved FY12. Active. Latest IR: Satisfactory Development Project Additional Financing Planned P118915 Government Debt Delivered to Client FY11. AAA Management (TA) P118532 Post FSAP, Crisis Delivered to Client FY11. Management, Financial Safety Net & Lender of Last Resort (ESW) Annexes CASCR Review 30 Independent Evaluation Group P122112 Support for Post-Crisis PPP Active. framework development in Sri Lanka (ESW) P112928 Infrastructure Assessment Active. P094367 Sri Lanka Development Delivered to Client FY12. Partners Coordination (TA) P124387 Pre-feasibility assessment Delivered to Client FY12. of the conditions of degradation of the Sigiriya Frescoes in Sri Lanka (ESW) P128031 Sri Lanka Urban Policy Delivered to Client FY12. Note (ESW) P118804 Sri Lanka - Competitive Active. Skills for a Middle Income Country (ESW) Additional P128411 SL: Fiscal Policy Note Active. AAA (ESW) P127521 LK: Use of Country Active. Financial Management Systems (ESW) P127321 Sri Lanka Public Delivered to Client FY12. Procurement Review (ESW) P121246 Sri Lanka: Benchmarking of Delivered to Client FY10. Procurement Systems (ESW) P128015 LK: Financial Sector Policy Delivered to Client FY12. Note (ESW) P115665 FIRST: Sri Lanka Delivered to Client FY11. Accounting and Payment System (TA) P126528 Sri Lanka: Amendment to Active. SEC Act # 10158 (TA) P115603 FIRST Sri Lanka: Risk Active. Sensitive Capital Rule for Insurance Supervision (TA) P113710 Sri Lanka - Knowledge Delivered to Client FY10. Economy Report (TA) P128272 Sri Lanka - Policy Note on Active. Transport (ESW) P122347 Sri Lanka PDNA (TA) Delivered to Client FY11. P116377 TA for Regulatory Agencies Delivered to Client FY12. (IDF Grant for telecom sector) Support (Grants and P111185 IDF Grant for COPE/COPA Delivered to Client FY12. Special Financing Projects) Annexes CASCR Review 31 Independent Evaluation Group CAS 09-12: Pillar 3 Actual Results Comments Enhancing Quality Services and Accountability (as of current month year) Objectives 1. Improving quality, relevance and governance of education 2. Improving health and social protection services 3. Strengthening environmental protection Major 1. Improving quality, relevance Outcome and governance of education Measures Increase school survival rates 91 percent in 2011. Source: School Census (Ministry of through grade 9 from 79 percent Education) and P084580Education (2005) to 85 percent. Sector Development Project ICR. Increase proportion of primary school 82 percent in 2009. Source: The National Education students attaining competence in Research and Evaluation Center mathematics from 67 percent (2005) and P084580 Education Sector to 71 percent. Development Project ICR). Increase school based management 93 zones as of Dec 2011 Source: P084580 Education Sector from 16 zones (17 percent of zones) representing the total Development Project ICR and to at least 46 zones (50 percent of number of zones in the CASCR. zones). country . Higher education development Not observable CASCR notes that target indicator strategy completed and notified. has been achieved. IEG has no way of verifying. IT achievement scores of 56 percent as of 2008. Source: P050741Improving undergraduates rise from 49 percent Relevance and Quality of (2005) to 56 percent. Undergraduate Education Project ICR. The supporting project ended at the beginning of the CAS and so the target was met early on. English language achievement 69 percent as of 2008. Source: P050741 Improving scores of undergraduates rise from Relevance and Quality of 59 percent (as of 2005) to 67 Undergraduate Education Project percent. ICR. The supporting project ended at the beginning of the CAS and so the target was met early on. Promote a multi-ethnic and School curriculum Source: P084580 Education Sector multicultural society through the promotes bilingual Development Project ICR and school curriculum. education and includes CASCR. civics as a subject, in 2011. 2. Improving health and social protection services Percentage of districts with Maternal 77 percent of districts in Source: CASPR Mortality Rate (MMR) of 2011. 46.9/100,000 or lower equal to 80 percent. Annexes CASCR Review 32 Independent Evaluation Group CAS 09-12: Pillar 3 Actual Results Comments Enhancing Quality Services and Accountability (as of current month year) Number of women more than 35 200 percent between Source: P050740 Health Sector years screened for cervical cancer 2008 and 2010 in the Development Project ICR. increased by 25 percent. percentage of women screened for cervical cancer. Reduce coverage of HH receiving 35 percent of HH receive Source: CASCR Samurdhi benefits from 47 percent to benefits, with 13.2 40 percent and increase the share of percent of beneficiaries in Samurdhi beneficiaries in the East the East and 4.1 percent from 11.7 percent to 15 percent, and in the North, based on in the North from 3.5 percent to 5 most recently available percent. data as of 2011 30 percent increase in the coverage 90,000 as of 2011. Source: CASCR of the Employment Promotion and Creation Program (baseline 3.000 No IDA contribution per year) 30 percent increase in social care 44 centers in 2011 Source: CASCR centers for vulnerable groups representing an increase (baseline 27 centers in 2008) of 63 percent. No IDA contribution 3. Strengthening environmental protection 15 percent reduction in time for No progress as of 2011. Source: CASCR processing environmental approvals (180 days today for EIAs and 45 days for EPLs) 20 percent of GoSL policies and 20 percent as of 2011. Source: CASCR programs will be subject to Strategic Environmental Assessments (none in 2007) Ongoing P084580 Education Sector Approved FY06. Closed Latest IR: Satisfactory pre CAS Development Project FY11. 09-12 P050741 Improving Relevance and Approved FY03. Closed IEG rating: Moderately Satisfactory Support Quality of Undergraduate Education FY10. P050740 Health Sector Development Approved FY04. Closed Latest IR: Satisfactory FY11. P093132 Dam Safety and Water Approved FY08. Active. Latest IR: Satisfactory Resources Planning (DSWRPP) New P113402 Higher Education for the Approved FY10. Active. Latest IR: Satisfactory Lending Twenty First Century Project Support P113488 Transforming the School Approved FY12. Active. NA Education System as the Foundation of a Knowledge Hub P113489 Additional Financing of Approved FY09. Closed Latest IR: Satisfactory Health Sector Development FY11. Planned P112928 Infrastructure Assessment Active. AAA (ESW) P118851 Excellence in General Delivered to Client FY11. Education (ESW) Annexes CASCR Review 33 Independent Evaluation Group CAS 09-12: Pillar 3 Actual Results Comments Enhancing Quality Services and Accountability (as of current month year) P113487 Social Protection (TA) Delivered to Client FY10. P121681 Country Environmental Delivered to Client FY12. Analysis (A Review of the Sri Lanka Environmental Assessment System) (ESW) P121873 Strengthening Samurdhi Active. Targeting Systems (TA) P118781 Demographic Transition Active. Study (ESW) Additional P102566 Towers of Learning: the Sri Delivered to Client FY09. AAA Lanka Higher Education Report (ESW) P113486 Health Services Delivery in Delivered to Client FY10. Sri Lanka: Retooling for the 21st Century (ESW) P123402 Private Health Sector Active. Assessment* (ESW) P121680 Valuation of Environmental Delivered to Client FY10. Services in Sri Lanka: A case study of agriculture and watershed benefits in the Southern Province (ESW) P111245 Environmental issues in Delivered to Client FY10. the power sector-Consequences of coal based generation (ESW) P102696 Nature Based Tourism and Delivered to Client FY10. the Human Elephant Conflict in Sri Lanka (ESW) P128091 Gender Analysis of Sri Delivered to Client FY12. Lanka (ESW) Support (Grants and P115525 IDF to improve targeting Active. Special and administration of Samurdhui Financing Projects)