The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA | Morocco | Social, Urban, Rural and Resilience Global Practice Global Practice | Requesting Unit: MNC01 | Responsible Unit: GSU11 IBRD/IDA | Program-for-Results | FY 2016 | Team Leader(s): Axel E. N. Baeumler, Augustin Maria, Olivier Mahul Seq No: 5 | ARCHIVED on 16-Aug-2018 | ISR33413 | Created by: Charlene D'Almeida on 28-Jun-2018 | Modified by: Charlene D'Almeida on 13-Aug-2018 Program Development Objectives Program Development Objective (from Program Appraisal Document) The program development objective (PDO) is to improve the institutional framework to finance disaster risk reduction activities andstrengthen financial resilience to natural disasters for targeted populations in the Program Area. Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Satisfactory Satisfactory Implementation Status and Key Decisions The implementation of the operation is advancing well. In all three sub-programs of the PforR, significant progress is being made, including in terms of advancing institutional reforms to improve the effectiveness of Morocco’s risk management architecture through the development of a national disaster risk management strategy, reforming Morocco’s Fonds de Lutte contre les Effets des Catastrophes Naturelles (FLCN), and implementing a comprehensive disaster risk insurance and finance program. Two successful calls for proposals for risk reduction and prevention projects co- financed by the FLCN have been launched since the beginning of the operation and significant FLCN funding has been allocated in this regard. Furthermore, implementation decrees have been drafted to prepare the implementation of the disaster risk insurance law n°110-14, which is expected to become effective on January 1, 2019. 8/16/2018 Page 1 of 11 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) 8/16/2018 Page 2 of 11 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P144539 IBRD-86090 Effective USD 200.00 200.00 0.00 133.13 66.87 67% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P144539 IBRD-86090 Effective 20-Apr-2016 26-Jul-2016 16-Nov-2016 31-Dec-2021 31-Dec-2021 Program Action Plan Action Description Develop an M&E system for the management of the FLCN. Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client No 16-Nov-2017 In Progress Comments 8/16/2018 Page 3 of 11 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) Create an interactive website of the FLCN that (i) provides public access to information, (ii) handles grievances, and Action Description (iii) reports on the M&E system. Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client No 16-May-2018 In Progress While the website is up and running, some functions still need further development, such as ensuring that the M&E Comments system is fully automated. Include in the FA between MoI/MEF and the implementing agencies of eligible subproject of the FLCN, provisions to Action Description make available technical, environmental, social and fiduciary expertise. Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client Yes Yearly In Progress Comments Action Description Prepare and implement a capacity building plan including on technical, social, environmental and fiduciary aspects. Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client Yes Yearly In Progress Comments Action Description Prepare and implement an action plan for technical and fiduciary audit recommendations made by auditors. Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client Yes Yearly Delayed It will be reassessed during next supervision mission. Audit arrangement is part of the assessment but not the only Comments condition. Develop probabilistic catastrophe risk models for (i) evaluation and assessment of risks (MoI), and (ii) catastrophic risk Action Description insurance program as per the draft law (MEF/ACAPS). Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client No 16-Nov-2020 Not Yet Due Comments Action Description Develop GRM for the FLCN at the national (website of the FLCN) and local levels. Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status 8/16/2018 Page 4 of 11 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) Client No 16-May-2018 In Progress Comments Prepare simplified technical guides for FLCN subprojects on: (i) Environmental and Social Management, incl. on public Action Description consultations and resettlement; and (ii) GRM. Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client No 16-May-2018 In Progress Due to the contracting of social and environmental implementation support consultants – something not foreseen at Comments Board – the need for technical guides is less evident. This will be revisited at mid-terms review Action Description Alignment with the triennial budget programming updated on a yearly basis for the CAS-FLCN. Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client No 01-Jan-2019 Not Yet Due Comments Action Description Include in the FA between MoI and project proponents of timeline for project implementation. Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client Yes Yearly In Progress Comments Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance -- Moderate Moderate Macroeconomic -- Low Low Sector Strategies and Policies -- Substantial Substantial Technical Design of Project or Program -- Substantial Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability -- Substantial Substantial Fiduciary -- Substantial Substantial Environment and Social -- Substantial Substantial 8/16/2018 Page 5 of 11 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) Stakeholders -- Moderate Moderate Other -- Moderate Moderate Overall -- Substantial Substantial Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes PDO Indicators IN00629338 ►The FLCN strategic orientation and governance structure are redesigned with a focus on disaster risk reduction (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target (i) the Borrower’s 2017 (i) the Borrower’s 2017 budget law includes budget law includes provisions regarding the provisions regarding the establishment of the establishment of the Steering Committee, Steering Committee, and and the inclusion of the inclusion of local local governments governments The Steering (collectivités (collectivités territoriales) committee, the territoriales) among the among the beneficiaries National Selection beneficiaries of FLCN of FLCN financing; and Commission, the financing; and (ii) The FLCN focuses mainly (ii) circulars (Circulaires) Secretariat, and the circulars (Circulaires) on post disaster event risk regarding the FLCN website are regarding the Value response outside the establishment of the maintained. establishment of the context of a larger DRM National Selection National Selection strategy. Commission and the A national integrated Commission and the Secretariat have been natural DRM strategy Secretariat have been issued by the MoI. is adopted by the issued by the MoI. An interactive FLCN Steering Committee. An interactive FLCN website that provides website that provides public access to public access to information, handles information, handles grievances, and reports grievances, and reports on the M&E system, has on the M&E system, been created. has been created. Date 20-Apr-2016 20-Jun-2017 20-Jun-2017 31-Dec-2020 Comments IN00629339 ►Cumulative number of beneficiaries from eligible risk reduction subprojects (% women) (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 40,000.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 -- 06-Aug-2018 31-Dec-2020 Comments IN00629340 8/16/2018 Page 6 of 11 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) ►Minimum number of people in the Program Area insured for bodily injury against catastrophic events (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 5,850,000.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 -- 06-Aug-2018 31-Dec-2020 Comments IN00629341 ►Establishment and operationalization of the FSEC to protect the uninsured (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The implementation The implementation legal legal documents documents referred to in referred to in Article 71 FSEC received initial Article 71 of the draft of the draft catastrophic financial contributions catastrophic risk Value - risk insurance law as per the provisions insurance law regarding regarding the of the catastrophic risk the establishment of the establishment of the insurance law. FSEC are prepared by FSEC are prepared by the MEF and ACAPS. the MEF and ACAPS. Date 20-Apr-2016 -- 07-Aug-2018 31-Dec-2019 Comments Intermediate Results Indicators by Results Areas Promoting Institutional Reform and Capacity Building IN00629335 ►Minimum percentage of entities responsible for the implementation of eligible subprojects having received technical assistance and/or training (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 76.00 50.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 -- 06-Aug-2018 31-Dec-2020 Comments IN00629346 ►Improved risk assessment models developed and operational (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Probabilistic cat risk models for i) evaluation and assessment (MoI), and Value No -- - ii) catastrophe risk insurance program as per the draft law (MEF) are operational. Date 20-Apr-2016 -- 06-Aug-2018 31-Dec-2019 8/16/2018 Page 7 of 11 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) Comments Scaling-Up Disaster Risk Reduction Activities IN00629347 ►Cumulative amount of FLCN funds allocated to eligible subprojects (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 310,000,000.00 850,000,000.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 -- 06-Aug-2018 31-Dec-2020 Comments IN00629348 ►Minimum percentage of FLCN funds allocated to eligible non-structural subprojects (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 47.00 10.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 -- 02-Aug-2018 31-Dec-2020 Comments IN00629349 ►Minimum percentage of total funding of eligible subprojects provided by the entities responsible for implementation and partners (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 55.00 50.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 -- 02-Aug-2018 31-Dec-2020 Comments IN00629350 ►Cumulative value of total funding of completed eligible subprojects achieving disaster risk reduction targets (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 600,000,000.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 -- 02-Aug-2018 31-Dec-2020 Comments Improving Disaster Risk Financing and Insurance IN00629351 ►Adoption of the catastrophic risk insurance legislative and regulatory framework (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The draft catastrophic The draft catastrophic The implementation risk insurance law is risk insurance law is legal documents Value - transmitted to the transmitted to the referred to in Article 71 Parliament, and the Parliament, and the of the draft 8/16/2018 Page 8 of 11 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) implementation legal implementation legal catastrophic risk documents referred to in documents referred to insurance law and Article 71 of the draft in Article 71 of the draft providing for the catastrophic risk catastrophic risk effectiveness of the insurance law and insurance law and insurance scheme, are providing for the providing for the adopted by the effectiveness of the effectiveness of the Government. insurance scheme, are insurance scheme, are prepared by the MEF and prepared by the MEF ACAPS. and ACAPS. Date 20-Apr-2016 20-Jun-2017 20-Jun-2017 31-Dec-2018 Comments Disbursement Linked Indicators DLI_IND_TABLE ►DLI 1-The FCLN strategic orientation and governance structure are redesigned with a focus on disaster risk reduction (Process, 35.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) CY2020 (i) the Borrower’s 2017 budget law includes provisions regarding the establishment of the The Steering Steering committee, the Committee, and the National Selection inclusion of local Commission, the governments (collectivités Secretariat, and the The FLCN focuses mainly territoriales) among the FLCN website are on post disaster event risk (i) the Borrower’s 2017 beneficiaries of maintained. Value response outside the budget law includes FLCN financing; and (ii) context of a larger DRM provis circulars (Circulaires) A national strategy regarding the integrated natural establishment of the DRM strategy is National Selection adopted by the Commission and the Steering Committee. Secretariat have been issued by MoI. Date 20-Apr-2016 29-Jan-2018 07-Aug-2018 -- Comments ►DLI 2-Cumulative amount of FLCN funds allocated to eligible subprojects. (Output, 25.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) CY2020 Value 0.00 -- 310,000,000.00 850,000,000.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 -- 02-Aug-2018 -- Comments 8/16/2018 Page 9 of 11 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) ►DLI 3-Minimum percentage of FLCN funds allocated to eligible structural subprojects. (Output, 8.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) CY2020 Value 0.00 -- 47.00 10.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 -- 02-Aug-2018 -- Comments ►DLI 4-Minimum percentage of total funding of eligible subprojects provided by the entitites responsible for implementation and their parteners. (Process, 22.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) CY2020 Value 0.00 -- 55.00 50.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 -- 02-Aug-2018 -- Comments ►DLI 5-Cumulative value of total funding of completed eligible subprojects achieving disaster risk reduction targets. (Output, 39.97, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) CY2020 Value 0.00 -- 0.00 600,000,000.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 -- 02-Aug-2018 -- Comments ►DLI 6-Minimum percentage of entities responsible for the implementation of eligible subprojects having received technical assistance and/or training. (Intermediate Outcome, 10.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) CY2020 Value 0.00 -- 76.00 50.00 Date 20-Apr-2016 -- 02-Aug-2018 -- Comments ►DLI 7-Adoption of the catastrophic risk insurance legislative and regulatory framework and minimum number of people in the Program Area insured for bodily injuries against catastrophic events (Outcome, 34.50, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) CY2020 Value - The draft catastrophic The draft catastrophic risk 5.85 million risk insurance law is insurance law is trans transmitted by the General 8/16/2018 Page 10 of 11 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Integrated Disaster Risk Management and Resilience Program (P144539) Secretary of the Government (Secrétariat Général du Gouvernement) to the relevant Ministries, and is adopted by the Government Cabinet (Conseil du Gouvernement) Date 20-Apr-2016 29-Jan-2018 07-Aug-2018 -- Comments ►DLI 8-Establishment and operationalization of the FSEC to protect the uninsured (Outcome, 25.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) CY2020 The implementation legal documents referred to in Article 71 of the draft The implementation legal catastrophic risk insurance Value - - documents referred to in law regarding the establishment of the FSEC are prepared by the MEF and ACAPS Date 20-Apr-2016 29-Jan-2018 07-Aug-2018 -- Comments 8/16/2018 Page 11 of 11