Document of The World Bank FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Report No: ICR00004622 IMPLEMENTATION COMPLETION AND RESULTS REPORT ON A SMALL GRANT IN THE AMOUNT OF USD(XX) MILLION TO THE Ministry of Finance FOR KYRGYZ REP IMPLEMENTATION OF NSDS (P144874) {Date} Poverty And Equity Global Practice Europe And Central Asia Region Note to Task Teams: 1. For date, enter the date the ICR is submitted to SECPO. Please delete this note when finalizing the document. Regional Vice President: Cyril E Muller Country Director: Lilia Burunciuc Senior Global Practice Director: Carolina Sanchez Practice Manager: Carlos Silva-Jauregui Task Team Leader(s): Saida Ismailakhunova, Gregory Kisunko ICR Main Contributor: Saida Ismailakhunova ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS TABLE OF CONTENTS DATA SHEET .......................................................................................................................... 1 I. PROJECT CONTEXT AND DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES ....................................................... 4 II. OUTCOME ...................................................................................................................... 4 III. KEY FACTORS THAT AFFECTED IMPLEMENTATION AND OUTCOME .................................. 5 IV. BANK PERFORMANCE, COMPLIANCE ISSUES, AND RISK TO DEVELOPMENT OUTCOME .... 5 V. LESSONS LEARNED AND RECOMMENDATIONS ................................................................ 6 ANNEX 1. RESULTS FRAMEWORK AND KEY OUTPUTS ............................................................. 7 ANNEX 2. PROJECT COST BY COMPONENT ........................................................................... 19 ANNEX 3. RECIPIENT, CO-FINANCIER AND OTHER PARTNER/STAKEHOLDER COMMENTS ...... 20 ANNEX 4. SUPPORTING DOCUMENTS (IF ANY) ..................................................................... 21 The World Bank KYRGYZ REP IMPLEMENTATION OF NSDS (P144874) Note to Task Teams: The following sections are system generated and can only be edited online in the Portal. Please delete this note when finalizing the document. DATA SHEET BASIC INFORMATION Product Information Project ID Project Name P144874 KYRGYZ REP IMPLEMENTATION OF NSDS Country Financing Instrument Kyrgyz Republic Investment Project Financing Original EA Category Revised EA Category Not Required (C) Not Required (C) Organizations Borrower Implementing Agency Ministry of Finance National Statistical Committee of the Kyrgyz Republic Project Development Objective (PDO) Original PDO The development objective of the proposed KGSTAT project is to support and facilitate production and dissemination of reliable and timely statistics in a cost-effective manner, in accordance with international standards and in response to user needs, by modernizing and streamlining the processes in the NSC to ensure that it has sufficient resources in terms of human resources, essential tools and infrastructure. Page 1 of 21 The World Bank KYRGYZ REP IMPLEMENTATION OF NSDS (P144874) FINANCING FINANCE_T BL Original Amount (US$) Revised Amount (US$) Actual Disbursed (US$) Donor Financing TF-17862 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,471,622 Total 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,471,622 Total Project Cost 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,471,622 KEY DATES Approval Effectiveness Original Closing Actual Closing 03-Feb-2015 23-Jun-2015 30-Jun-2018 14-Dec-2018 RESTRUCTURING AND/OR ADDITIONAL FINANCING Date(s) Amount Disbursed (US$M) Key Revisions 18-Dec-2017 1.66 Change in Loan Closing Date(s) Change in Implementation Schedule KEY RATINGS Outcome Bank Performance M&E Quality Satisfactory Satisfactory Substantial RATINGS OF PROJECT PERFORMANCE IN ISRs Actual No. Date ISR Archived DO Rating IP Rating Disbursements (US$M) 01 16-May-2016 Satisfactory Satisfactory 0.34 02 22-Dec-2016 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 1.12 Moderately 03 14-Aug-2017 Moderately Unsatisfactory 1.53 Unsatisfactory 04 20-Nov-2017 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 1.66 Page 2 of 21 The World Bank KYRGYZ REP IMPLEMENTATION OF NSDS (P144874) 05 05-Sep-2018 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 2.12 ADM STAFF Role At Approval At ICR Regional Vice President: Laura Tuck Cyril E Muller Country Director: Saroj Kumar Jha Lilia Burunciuc Senior Global Practice Director: Ana L. Revenga Carolina Sanchez Practice Manager: Adrian Fozzard Carlos Silva-Jauregui Gregory Kisunko, Saida Saida Ismailakhunova, Gregory Task Team Leader(s): Ismailakhunova Kisunko ICR Contributing Author: Saida Ismailakhunova Note to Task Teams: End of system generated content, document is editable from here. Please delete this note when finalizing the document. Page 3 of 21 The World Bank KYRGYZ REP IMPLEMENTATION OF NSDS (P144874) I. PROJECT CONTEXT AND DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES Note to Task Teams: This section provides a succinct, coherent, and clear story line and narrative description of the operation’s context and rationale, its objectives or key outcomes, and how these outcomes were envisioned to be achieved. This section also documents, if applicable, any significant changes that were introduced during implementation. This section is descriptive, not evaluative, taken mostly from other documents (e.g., Project Paper/ISR/GRM). Please delete this note when finalizing the document. Context Project Development Objectives (PDOs) Key Expected Outcomes and Outcome Indicators Components II. OUTCOME Assessment of Achievement of Each Objective/Outcome Note to Task Teams: The assessment of PDOs should be organized around each objective or outcome indicated in the PDO statement. Compound PDOs with multiple outcomes should be “unpacked� and each outcome assessed separately. This applies to the case when several outcomes are linked together in a single sentence. Assessment of each objective or outcome should be based on the level of achievement and the directness of demonstrated connections between the activities of the project and the achievements reported. Please delete this note when finalizing the document. Page 4 of 21 The World Bank KYRGYZ REP IMPLEMENTATION OF NSDS (P144874) Overall Outcome Rating Note to Task Teams: Rate the overall outcome rating, using 6-point scale (Highly Satisfactory (HS), Satisfactory (S), Moderately Satisfactory (MS), Moderately Unsatisfactory (MU), Unsatisfactory (U) and Highly Unsatisfactory (HU)). In projects with multiple objectives or outcomes, provide only a single overall outcome rating covering all objectives or outcomes. Each objective does not need to be separately rated, although each need to be separately discussed. Please delete this note when finalizing the document. Other Outcomes and Impacts Note to Task Teams: (If any, discuss other outcomes and impacts achieved, including unintended, positive or negative. Where relevant, discuss how the project contributed to the development/strengthening of relevant institutions, mobilization of other resources, knowledge exchange, recipient policy/program implementation, replicable best practices). Please delete this note when finalizing the document. III. KEY FACTORS THAT AFFECTED IMPLEMENTATION AND OUTCOME Note to Task Teams: This section provides an analysis of key factors and events influencing the operation’s achievements or non-achievements during preparation and implementation. This section also discusses actions taken by the Bank and/or the borrower to address and correct each factor undermining project performance. Please delete this note when finalizing the document. IV. BANK PERFORMANCE, COMPLIANCE ISSUES, AND RISK TO DEVELOPMENT OUTCOME Note to Task Teams: To the extent not previously covered, discuss other factors (if any) linked to the operation being assessed, including the Bank performance, compliance issues, and risk to development outcome. Please delete this note when finalizing the document. Page 5 of 21 The World Bank KYRGYZ REP IMPLEMENTATION OF NSDS (P144874) V. LESSONS LEARNED AND RECOMMENDATIONS Note to Task Teams: Drawing on the descriptions and analysis in the earlier section on key factors that impacted performance and achievement of PDOs (Section III above), this section briefly presents the most significant positive and negative lessons learned from the operation’s experience. These lessons need to be reflected in the arrangements in the post-completion phase, follow-up operations, and/or in any other next steps. Please delete this note when finalizing the document. . Page 6 of 21 The World Bank KYRGYZ REP IMPLEMENTATION OF NSDS (P144874) ANNEX 1. RESULTS FRAMEWORK AND KEY OUTPUTS Note to Task Teams: The following sections are system generated and can only be edited online in the Portal. Please delete this note when finalizing the document. A. RESULTS INDICATORS A.1 PDO Indicators Objective/Outcome: NSC has capacity to produce and disseminate key statistics in line with international standards Unit of Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Baseline Original Target Measure Target Completion Statistical Capacity of the state Amount(USD) 84.40 86.00 86.00 86.70 according to the Wolrd Bank Bulletin Board 31-Dec-2013 20-Oct-2014 14-Dec-2018 Comments (achievements against targets): Objective/Outcome: Increased use of the NSC data and reports for monitoring, government policy making and development partners’ analytical and advisory products. Unit of Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Baseline Original Target Measure Target Completion Statistical Capacity of the state Amount(USD) 84.40 86.00 86.00 86.70 Page 7 of 21 The World Bank KYRGYZ REP IMPLEMENTATION OF NSDS (P144874) according to the Wolrd Bank 31-Dec-2013 20-Oct-2014 14-Dec-2018 Bulletin Board Comments (achievements against targets): Objective/Outcome: Strengthened regulatory framework for statistical work and clarity of responsibilities of NSS Unit of Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Baseline Original Target Measure Target Completion Statistical Capacity of the state Amount(USD) 84.40 86.00 86.00 86.70 according to the Wolrd Bank Bulletin Board 31-Dec-2013 20-Oct-2014 14-Dec-2018 Comments (achievements against targets): Objective/Outcome: Strengthened feedback loop within National Statistical System Unit of Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Baseline Original Target Measure Target Completion Statistical Capacity of the state Amount(USD) 84.40 86.00 86.00 86.70 according to the Wolrd Bank Bulletin Board 31-Dec-2013 20-Oct-2014 14-Dec-2018 Comments (achievements against targets): Page 8 of 21 The World Bank KYRGYZ REP IMPLEMENTATION OF NSDS (P144874) A.2 Intermediate Results Indicators Component: I. Improving organization of statistics Unit of Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Baseline Original Target Measure Target Completion Adequate statistical legislation Text The score of 20 was 22 The score = 22. 21 that covers UN fundamental established based on principles of official statistics is the U.S. Census in palce and functional. Bureau assessment.(Scores range from 0 to 24) 01-Sep-2015 23-Jun-2015 14-Dec-2018 Comments (achievements against targets): The score was calculated based on the end-line TASC survey results (self-evaluation) in accordance with the Bureau Census Methodology in September 2018. A significant impact on the score had pending approval of the new Law on Official Statistics. The Law was approved by the Parliament on May 29, 2019. Unit of Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Baseline Original Target Measure Target Completion Mechanisms for effective inter- Text There is no such The Advisory Council The Advisory Council Mechanisms for agency coordination are mechanism. with members of the with members of the effective inter-agency established and operational. public and private public and private coordination - the sectors that advises sectors that advises Advisory Council and the NSC, meets the NSC, meets technical working regularly and works regularly and works groups (TWG) under effectively. effectively. all 4 project components - are Page 9 of 21 The World Bank KYRGYZ REP IMPLEMENTATION OF NSDS (P144874) established, well- functioning and meet regularly. 01-Sep-2015 23-Jun-2015 14-Dec-2018 Comments (achievements against targets): The Advisory Council meets regularly (at least twice a year). TWGs for all 4 project components function effectively and meet regularly to support the efficient implementation of project activities. TWGs have been especially active in advancing the development of the draft Law “On Official Statistics�, ICT assessment, facilitation of TP -implemented activities and review of the produced methodologies. Cooperation between NSC and MDAs improved, NSC signed 9 MoUs with concerned MDAs. Unit of Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Baseline Original Target Measure Target Completion User satisfaction surveys are Text 25% User satisfaction User satisfaction 38% conducted regularly, user surveys are conducted surveys are conducted satisfaction rates have annually; user annually; user increased by 40% at the end of satisfaction rates have satisfaction rates have the project. increased by 40% increased by 40% compared to the compared to the baseline. baseline. 01-Sep-2016 09-Jun-2015 14-Dec-2018 Comments (achievements against targets): 511 respondents participated in the endline user satisfaction survey. User satisfaction rate at project completion reached 38%, which is 41% increase compared to the baseline value of 25% (reweighted using number of participants) Component: II. Strengthening technological capacity, ICT technologies, upgrading and expanding statistical infrastructure Indicator Name Unit of Baseline Original Target Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Page 10 of 21 The World Bank KYRGYZ REP IMPLEMENTATION OF NSDS (P144874) Measure Target Completion IT capacity for operations is Text Practically all IT IT capacity (hardware IT capacity (hardware The procured ICT adequate and maintained systems and and software) for and software) for equipment is equipment are operations is operations is operational and outdated. adequate and adequate and adequately maintained. maintained. maintained. 31-Aug-2015 23-Jun-2015 14-Dec-2018 Comments (achievements against targets): Project-procured and installed computers, servers, data storages, printing facilities, tablets, smartphones and other ICT equipment is marinated in the central and regional statistical offices. Additionally, using savings, the project procured 15 tablets to facilitate the collection of data on mutual trade between Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan as part of the EAEU agreement with the pilot data collection initiated in July 2018. Furthermore, the accumulated savings were utilized to co-finance the renovation of the local area network (LAN). Unit of Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Baseline Original Target Measure Target Completion Printing facility is adequate for Text Printing facility is Printing facility is Printing facility is Printing facility is production of the NSC outdated adequate for adequate for adequate for publications production of NSC production of NSC production of NSC publications publications publications. 167 publications (6287 copies) were published in 2017 (100% coverage of printing needs) and 235 publications (8007 copies) - in 2018. Page 11 of 21 The World Bank KYRGYZ REP IMPLEMENTATION OF NSDS (P144874) 01-Sep-2015 23-Jun-2015 14-Dec-2018 Comments (achievements against targets): Component: III. Modernizing production and dissemination of statistical data Unit of Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Baseline Original Target Measure Target Completion Compliance with Text Limited compliance NSC is in full NSC is in full All methodologies (6 internationally accepted with internationally compliance with the compliance with the approved and 1 draft), standards and classifications accepted standards internationally internationally instructions and and classifications. accepted standards accepted standards classifications revised and classifications and classifications or developed under the project fully correspond to international standards. 31-Aug-2015 23-Jun-2015 14-Dec-2018 Comments (achievements against targets): Unit of Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Baseline Original Target Measure Target Completion Adoption of the electronic data Text no regular electronic Electronic data Electronic data Adaptation of the collection data collection collection is adopted collection is adopted electronic data and used. and used. collection is underway. NSC has Page 12 of 21 The World Bank KYRGYZ REP IMPLEMENTATION OF NSDS (P144874) already been using e- data collection and processing for: “1- invest�, “financial and economic (micro) activities�, “1-labour� and "1-F- Report on the main financial indicators of the enterprise� forms, household budget and labor forces surveys and price data. E-data processing module development by the NSC in collaboration with the Norway Stat project is underway. 31-Aug-2015 23-Jun-2015 14-Dec-2018 Comments (achievements against targets): E-data processing module is developed by the NSC in collaboration with the Norway Stat project. Under the KGSTAT project, NSC undertook a study trip to Finstat on technical specifications and the system development, as a whole. Introduction of the e-data collection system was done on a pilot basis using three forms of statistical reporting, including “1 -invest�, “financial and economic (micro) activities�, “1-labour� and "1-F- Report on the main financial indicators of the enterprise� forms. E -data collection of the household budget and labor forces surveys is conducted using tablets and CAPI technologies (Survey Solution) in all oblasts and cities of the country. Price data collection for CPI and other price indices is conducted using smartphones and respective software allowing having timely price data. Draft ToRs for development of the automated system of consumer price index calculation has been prepared using international expertise. Page 13 of 21 The World Bank KYRGYZ REP IMPLEMENTATION OF NSDS (P144874) Unit of Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Baseline Original Target Measure Target Completion Data quality assurance Text there is no state of the Data quality assurance Data quality assurance NSC worked on the framework and quality art QAF framework and quality framework and quality development of the assurance is established and assurance working assurance working data quality assurance functions. group is established group is established framework in and functioning. (Data and functioning. (Data collaboration with the errors are reduced errors are reduced Twinning Partner and regular reviews and regular reviews (including Italy Stat) are conducted). are conducted). and NorwayStat, in particularly the description of current business processes throughout the entire NSC structure (including regional statistical units) in accordance with the UNECE’s Generic Statistical Business Process Model (GSBPM), one of the key standards for statistical modernization, is completed. Data quality assurance working group is functioning on regular Page 14 of 21 The World Bank KYRGYZ REP IMPLEMENTATION OF NSDS (P144874) basis and consists of all heads of departments and NSC leadership. NSC has been working on improvement of data quality assurance principles. 31-Aug-2015 23-Jun-2015 14-Dec-2018 Comments (achievements against targets): Unit of Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Baseline Original Target Measure Target Completion Establishment and proper Text Existing statistical Statistical registers are Statistical registers are Methodological updates of statistical registers registers lack established and established and provisions on compliance with the regularly updated. regularly updated. statistical accounting international “General provisions on statistical standards statistical units used in the Kyrgyz statistical system� developed in accordance with the UNECE Guidelines on Statistical Business Registers. NSC has been working on updating of registers with respective government agencies. Page 15 of 21 The World Bank KYRGYZ REP IMPLEMENTATION OF NSDS (P144874) 01-Sep-2016 23-Jun-2015 14-Dec-2018 Comments (achievements against targets): Statistical registers are under revision to correspond to international standards. NSC has developed a technical manual (methodological provisions) and recommendations on statistical accounting “General provisions on statistical units used in the Kyrgyz statistical system�. The statistical model register improved in two main areas: 1) analysis of the legal, operatio nal and accounting structure of enterprises to define statistical units; 2) interdepartmental cooperation with State Tax Service, State Customs Service and ICT Committee to ensure NSC’s access to administrative data for feature and condition verification purposes. For further implementation, NSC has been working with state agencies on establishment of a joint database between the concerned agencies and departments to facilitate the data exchange process. Component: IV. Strengthening statistical intellectual and human capacity Unit of Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Baseline Original Target Measure Target Completion Improved specialized Text there is limited Sufficient number of Sufficient number of Over 80% of the core knowledge of the core staff. number of staff with core staff specialized core staff specialized NSC staff received sufficient knowledge in all areas of in all areas of training and improved in areas of census/survey census/survey professional census/survey data collection data collection data knowledge in their collection, analysis, collection, analysis, collection, analysis, respective areas of evaluation, and evaluation, and evaluation, and expertise. dissemination. dissemination. dissemination. 31-Aug-2015 23-Jun-2015 14-Dec-2018 Comments (achievements against targets): Indicator Name Unit of Baseline Original Target Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Page 16 of 21 The World Bank KYRGYZ REP IMPLEMENTATION OF NSDS (P144874) Measure Target Completion HR management framework Text There is no properly Management Management Mentorship program established and functions functioning HR framework for human framework for human (approved in 2017), management resources (including resources (including operational HRMIS, HR framework that recruitment, training recruitment, training strategy (approved in includes recruitment, programs, and programs, and January 2019), training programs, and performance performance Probation Manual performance management) is in management) is in Guide and Instruction management. place and functioning place and functioning on HR Record well. well. Management (approved in November 2018). 31-Aug-2015 23-Jun-2015 14-Dec-2018 Comments (achievements against targets): HR management framework is established and described in the HR strategy, which was revised based on the international expertise and approved in January 2019. Component: V. Project management Note to Task Teams: End of system generated content, document is editable from here. Please delete this note when finalizing the document. Page 17 of 21 The World Bank KYRGYZ REP IMPLEMENTATION OF NSDS (P144874) A. ORGANIZATION OF THE ASSESSMENT OF THE PDO Note to Task Teams: Organize the indicators and outputs around each Objective/Outcome captured in the PDO statement. Please delete this note when finalizing the document. Objective/Outcome 1 1. Outcome Indicators 2. 1. Intermediate Results Indicators 2. 3. 1. Key Outputs by Component 2. (linked to the achievement of the Objective/Outcome 1) 3. 4. Objective/Outcome 2 1. Outcome Indicators 2. 3. 1. Intermediate Results Indicators 2. 3. 1. Key Outputs by Component 2. (linked to the achievement of the Objective/Outcome 2) 3. 4. Page 18 of 21 The World Bank KYRGYZ REP IMPLEMENTATION OF NSDS (P144874) . ANNEX 2. PROJECT COST BY COMPONENT Note to Task Teams: The data in this section has been pre-populated for the first time for your convenience, but it is completely editable. Please delete this note when finalizing the document. Amount at Approval Actual at Project Percentage of Approval Components (US$M) Closing (US$M) (US$M) Total 0.00 0.00 0.00 Page 19 of 21 The World Bank KYRGYZ REP IMPLEMENTATION OF NSDS (P144874) ANNEX 3. RECIPIENT, CO-FINANCIER AND OTHER PARTNER/STAKEHOLDER COMMENTS Page 20 of 21 The World Bank KYRGYZ REP IMPLEMENTATION OF NSDS (P144874) ANNEX 4. SUPPORTING DOCUMENTS (IF ANY) Page 21 of 21