102244 Gender Inequality, DISCUSSION PAPER Structural MFM Global Practice Transformation No. 8 December 2015 and Growth : The case of Morocco Daniela Marotta Paul Prettitore Paolo Verme MFM DISCUSSION PAPER NO. 8 Abstract Do persistent gender inequality hamper productivity and growth? This paper investigates the extent to which the persistence of gender inequality might have constrained growth and productivity in Morocco. It does so through an overview of the recent (2000-2011) growth performance and the analysis of the structure of female employment over the last decade. The paper does not attempt to show the link between female employment, gender inequality and growth as this has been already treated extensively in the empirical literature. This analysis builds instead on the assumption, put forth in the theoretical and empirical literature1, that gender disparities and related occupational and market segmentations hamper productivity and growth2. By analyzing the structure of female employment over time and sectoral labor productivity data we examine whether employment opportunities for women are concentrated in sectors where labor productivity (and hence the wage rate) is low or not growing and the reasons that might be behind these outcomes. This is an important question from not only the welfare perspective, but also from the point of view of economic efficiency. Evidence that women are working in low return sectors signals the existence of mobility barriers which prevent them from moving to higher return sectors. Corresponding author: (dmarotta@worldbank.org, pprettitore@worldbank.org, pverme@worldbank.org) JEL Classification: E2, E24, J08, J1, J16, O11, O15 Keywords: Growth, Employment, Gender, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development i 1 Esteve-Volart, 2000; Knowles et al., 2002; Klasen, 1999; Gatti and Dollar, 1999; Klasen and Lamanna, 2003. 2 See, among others, IMF Staff Discussion Note “Women, work and the economy: Macroeconomic gains from gender equity” This series is produced by the Macroeconomics and Fiscal Management (MFM) Global Practice of the World Bank. The papers in this series aim to provide a vehicle for publishing preliminary results on MFM topics to encourage discussion and debate. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper are entirely those of the author(s) and should not be attributed in any manner to the World Bank, to its affiliated organizations or to members of its Board of Executive Directors or the countries they represent. Citation and the use of material presented in this series should take into account this provisional character. For information regarding the MFM Discussion Paper Series, please contact the Editor, Bernard Funck at bfunck@worldbank.org. © 2015 The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank 1818 H Street, NW Washington, DC 20433 All rights reserved. ii Gender Inequality, Structural Transformation and Growth: The case of Morocco3 Daniela Marotta4, Paul Prettitore5 and Paolo Verme6 1. The link between gender equality and growth Promoting gender equality has taken a prominent stage in the new global agenda for development, as also recognized by the recently finalized SDGs (sustainable development goals)7. The Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), drafted in 2000, focused on reducing poverty, hunger, disease, ensuring access to water and sanitation and promoting gender equality by 2015. The new sustainable development goals, and broader sustainability agenda, aim to complete the MDGs and take them one step further, addressing the root causes of poverty and inequality and the universal need for development that works for all people. The ambitious agenda- which seeks to end poverty by 2030 and promote shared economic prosperity, social development and environmental protection for all countries- is based on 17 goals and includes a stand-alone goal on gender equality and the empowerment of women and girls as well as gender sensitive targets in other goals8. This is an important progress towards a more holistic approach to gender equality, which brings together its economic, social and human development value. While the MDG goal focused solely on equality in education, wage labor, and participation in government, the Sustainable Development Goal 5 includes six specific targets that address major barriers to gender equality and female empowerment. Among these, ensuring women’s full and effective participation in political, economic and public life and undertake reforms to give women equal rights to economic resources. The important recognition of the economic (alongside the most valued social and human development) value of gender equality derives from a long stream of literature, most of which has focused on the implication of current gender inequality for growth and economic development. Among others, the WDR 20129 has shown that, beyond its intrinsic value (gender equality is a core development objective in its own right), gender equality directly contributes to growth by enhancing productivity and improving development outcomes for the next generation. The report calls policies geared towards reducing gender gaps “smart economics”. 3 This paper is based on the work done for the Morocco Country Gender Assessment “Mind the Gap”, published by the World Bank and completed in 2014. Key contributions were made by, Andy Kotikula (gender CCSA, WB), Ernest Sergenti (former WB consultant), Abdoulaye Sy (Macro GP, WB). Any error or omission remains mine, as the main author of the paper 4 Senior Economist, World Bank, Macro and Fiscal Management Global Practice (GP) 5 Senior Public Sector Specialist, World Bank, Governance GP 6 Senior Economist, World Bank, Poverty GP 7 The SDGs were adopted during the UN Sustainable Development Summit in NYC on September 25th, 2015. 8 See more at: http://www.unwomen.org/en/what-we-do/post-2015#sthash.kwhLOyvo.dpuf 9 World Bank (2012) gender and Development” Gender equality would indeed contribute to growth10 through several channels. If we assume that boys and girls, and men and women have a similar distribution of innate abilities, then restrictions to girls education or to women’s business opportunities will reduce the overall level of ability and potential in the supply (and allocation) of resources, therefore hindering growth potential. Gender parity in education and in the labor market could therefore improve growth through better allocative efficiency. The empirical literature on the relation between gender parity and growth has been growing significantly in the recent years. Among others, Dollar and Gatti (1999) and Klasen (1999) found a positive correlation of measures of gender equality in education (enrollment to secondary education and total years of schooling) on growth rates. Stotsky (2006b) posits that women’s relative lack of opportunities in developing countries inhibits economic growth, while at the same time, economic growth leads to improvements in their disadvantaged conditions. Conversely, gender inequality, specifically in the labor market, has been shown to reduce growth in GDP per capita. Losses in the growth of GDP per capita attributable to gender gaps in the labor market have been estimated at up to 27 percent in certain regions (Cuberes and Teignier, 2012). Aguirre at al. (2012) suggest that raising the female labor force participation rate (FLFPR) to country-specific male levels would, for instance, raise GDP in the United States by 5 percent, in Japan by 9 percent, in the United Arab Emirates by 12 percent, and in Egypt by 34 percent. A recent McKinsey report (Sept 2015) had as headline “How advancing women’s equality can add $12 trillion to global growth” stating how narrowing the global gender gap could double the contribution of women to global GDP growth by 2025. The negative growth effect of gender inequality across several dimensions is greater for countries at lower income level. Based on International Labour Organization (ILO) data, Aguirre at al. (2012) estimate that of the 865 million women worldwide who have the potential to contribute more fully to their national economies, 812 million live in emerging and developing nations.11 More recently, Cuberes et al. (2015) has used an occupational choice model to quantify the effects of gender gaps in the labor market on aggregate productivity and income per capita. Their benchmark model predicts that if no women worked as employers or self-employed, income per worker would drop by around 10% in the short run and 11% in the long run, while if the labor force participation of women was zero, income per capita would decrease by almost 47% in the short run and 50% in the long run. Their country-by-country analysis reveals important differences across countries and geographical regions. Gender inequality creates an average income loss of 14% in the short run and 15.4% in the long run for the OECD sample, and an average income loss of of 16% in the short run and 17.5% in the long run for the sample of developing countries. On average, 44% of those losses are due to gender gaps in occupational choices. The region with the largest income loss due to gender inequality is Middle East and North Africa, with an average income loss of 38% in the long run, followed by South Asia and Latin America and the Caribbean, with long-run income losses of 25% 10 And vice versa. The WDR in fact argues that this could be a two way- relationship, with a virtuous circle of growth enhancing gender equality and gender equality contributing to higher growth. 11 For a more detailed discussion please refer to (IMF Staff Discussion Note “Women, work and the economy: Macroeconomic gains from gender equity” 2 and 17.3%, respectively. Finally, a 2015 WB paper12 has shown how gender inequality in areas other than education, such as political empowerment, health and employment opportunities might also have an adverse impact on growth. Interestingly, the authors find that lower growth associated with greater inequality is entirely driven by low- income countries. This paper presents the case of Morocco exploring the existence of a “line of sight” between th e persistent gender inequality across several dimensions and the slow increase in productivity, sluggish structural transformation of the economy and ultimately a slower pace of growth. Morocco is an interesting case, as it encompass several of the characteristics and dimensions analyzed in the literature which link gender inequality to growth. It is a lower middle income country, with one of the lowest female labor force participation in the world (as most countries in the MENA region). Moreover, Female Labor Force Participation in Morocco has been actually decreasing in the past decade, at odds with world trends in terms of the relationship between income level of the country and rates of women’s economic participation. At the same time, the country, despite steady and consistent structural reforms, continues to see a slow structural transformation of the economy, a limited integration into world markets and therefore a growth performance below income peers and which shows only modest sign of convergence towards upper middle income countries. The paper does not attempt to show the link between female employment, gender inequality and growth as this has been already treated extensively in the empirical literature. This analysis rather builds on the assumption that gender disparities and related occupational and market segmentations hamper productivity and growth and examines whether indeed it is the case for Morocco that employment opportunities for women are concentrated in sectors where labor productivity (and hence the wage rate) is low or not growing. The paper also explores the potential reasons behind these outcomes and introduce, for the first time, an analysis of the effect of women’s “agency”, or “an individual’s (or group’s) ability to make effective choices and to transform those choices into desired outcomes” on economic opportunities. 2. Structural transformation and women in Morocco Thanks to a wide range of macroeconomic, social and labor market reforms, Morocco experienced steady economic growth and significant poverty reduction in the past decade. Building on the historical set of economic and social reforms that deeply changed the institutional and economic framework of the country,13 Morocco saw a steady increase in GDP growth which averaged 4.9 percent over 2001-2011, much higher than the average rate of the 1990s (2.8 percent). Gross domestic product (GDP) per capita 12 Amin et al. (January 2015) “Gender inequality and growth” the case of rich vs poor countries” WB Policy Research Discussion paper n. 7172 13 Macroeconomic policies included regulatory and institutional improvements to attract FDI, price liberalizations, privatization process, better competition laws, a better framework for SME development and a progressive opening of the economy to global trade with the country joining the WTO and signing several bilateral and multilateral trade agreements with some important economies like US, EU and several Mediterranean countries. Stabilization policies aimed at controlling inflation, reducing the debt/GDP ratio and reaching a competitive real exchange rate were also central to the government agenda and a large program of infrastructure development accompanied these reforms with the aim of closing the gap between urban and rural areas (Verme et al., forthcoming). 3 almost doubled over the same period to reach the equivalent of US$3,000 in 2012.14 As total employment growth was slower than value added growth (figure 1.1a and 1.1b), labor productivity also grew substantially, averaging 3.4 percent per year.15 The positive economic performance of the past decade and the observed increase in (labor) productivity was mostly driven by within-sector productivity growth. Structural transformation, however, played a somewhat important role from 2000 to 2007. Aggregate labor productivity may change for two main reasons. First, productivity may increase within sectors. For example, the labor productivity in the agriculture sector may have increased between 2000 and 2011. If the relative employment share of the agriculture sector remained the same and the labor productivity of all of the other sectors remained the same, aggregate labor productivity would rise, due to the rise in agriculture labor productivity. Second, aggregate labor productivity may increase due to structural change, i.e. when higher productive sectors record net increases in employment and lower productive sectors record net decreases. In Morocco, most of the increase in labor productivity was due to within sector productivity growth (out of a total increase of 3.4 percent between 2000 and 2011, 2.4 percent came from within-sector productivity growth, while 1.0 percent was due to structural change (Figure 1.1c). This increase has been driven by strong growth in high (above-average) productivity sectors such as finance and insurance services, business services (but also health, education and government services) and slow growth in low (below-average) productivity sectors, with the exception of agriculture. 14 The higher pace of growth contributed to the almost complete eradication of extreme poverty (its rate dropping from 2 to 0.28 percent over the period) and allowed for a dent in relative poverty (whose rate declined from 15.3 to 6.2 percent) and population vulnerability (rate decreasing from 22.8 to 13.3 percent). 15 During the more recent period, between 2007 and 2011, productivity grew at 3.9 percent 4 Figure 1.1 a and b Labor Productivity Trends (2000 - 2011) Labor Productivity Value Added Total Employment (right axis) 70 700,000 11,000 60 600,000 10,500 50 500,000 10,000 40 400,000 9,500 30 300,000 9,000 20 200,000 8,500 10 100,000 0 0 8,000 2000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Figure 1.1 c Labor Productivity Decomposition: Structural Change did play a role Labor Productivity Decomposition (Annual Growth Rates) 2000-11 (3.4%) 2.4% 1.0% 2000-07 (3.2%) 1.6% 1.6% 2007-11 (3.9%) 3.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% Within-Sector Growth Growth due to Structural Change Source: WDI Notwithstanding these achievements, Morocco’s economic (and social)16 outcomes have remained below the performance of its peers in the middle income group. Morocco’s convergence towards the performance of the upper middle income countries (UMICs) has remained incomplete. Morocco’s growth trajectory has actually been more akin to that of the lower MICs than the upper MICs (fig. 1.2a). The catching-up momentum has been weaker than in some other emerging markets in the region, such as Turkey, or countries that started with the same initial conditions in 1960, such as South Korea (fig. 1.2b). A slower than expected structural transformation of the economy and weak total factor productivity (TFP) have limited the gains of well-intended macroeconomic policies in the past decades. 16 Economic vulnerability (poor and vulnerable) remains widespread, meaning that nearly 20 percent of the population, or 6.3 million Moroccans, live in poverty or under constant threat of falling back into poverty. 5 Fig. 1.2a GDP per capita 1990-2013 Fig. 1.2b Morocco’s GDP per capita in Comparison to South Korea and Turkey 1990- 2013 35000 GNI per capita, PPP (constant 2011 International $) 30000 15000 25000 20000 10000 15000 5000 10000 0 5000 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 0 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Lower middle income Morocco Upper middle income Korea, Rep. Morocco Turkey WDI The role of structural transformation Structural transformation led to a decline in employment shares of low-productivity sectors and an increase, albeit small in more dynamic sectors. The increase in overall labor productivity between 2000 and 2011 owed to structural change was driven mostly by a decline in the share of employment in agriculture and textiles (by -5.8 and -1.3 percent respectively), considered lower-than-average productivity sectors. Increase in employment in two above-average sectors, finance17 and communications, also contributed to gains in aggregate labor productivity. 17 Finance, insurance and real estate. 6 Figure 1.2c Structural transformation in Morocco (from 2000 to 2011) led to increased labor productivity Total 2000-2011 12 pu comm 10 8 6 fire min 4 e mf 2 g mc mo mmtn a mt f h td c os 0 -2 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 Change in Employment Share beta = 0.159; t-test = 0.34 Source: Morocco LFS Despite some improvement, the vast majority of employment remains in very low productivity sectors. In 2011, 78 percent of the total employed were in the below-average productivity sectors (Figure 1.4). They produced only 39 percent of value added, while the remaining 22 percent of total employed produced the rest. Moreover, the four lowest productivity sectors (agriculture, other services-which include domestic helpers- construction and textile) accounted for 60 percent of total employment and produced just 26 percent of value added Figure 1.2c18). By contrast, the five highest productivity sectors (which include finance and ITC) produced 28 percent of total value added and employed only 3.5 percent of total employment. 18 Figure 1.2c makes the point starkly. It plots relative labor productivity and total employment share by economic sector. Relative productivity is calculated by dividing the absolute productivity values for each sector by the average productivity value. Hence, any sector with a relative value over 100 is in the above-average category and any sector with a relative value under 100 is in the below-average category. 7 Figure 1.3 Relative Labor Productivity and Employment Share by Economic Sectors - 2011 250 200 150 Almost 80%of workers are in low productivity sectors 100 50 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 oth_s agr con m_text trade m_refi hr fish tran m_oth m_mech m_chem gs eh m_food rbus min comm pu fin Source: Morocco LFS (2011) Women and structural transformation Women and men did not contribute equally to the structural changes. Women LFP remained extremely low during the last decade (even reducing) and, when working, women remained confined in low productivity sectors (Figure 1.5). If we disaggregate by gender the relative changes in employment shares of sectors, the most striking result is the diverging path in reallocation of employment between sectors according to the gender of the employed. While men have mostly left below-average productivity sectors- such as agriculture- and moved towards more productive sectors, women remained, for the most part, trapped in lower productivity sectors. Women are mostly employed in the three least productive sectors: agriculture, other services and textile. Their share in agriculture actually increased between 2000 and 2011 from 36 percent to over 41 percent: as of 2011, more than 60 percent or women work in this sector. There were also some positive reallocations, with more women for instance moving to trade and services, but these numbers remain very small in proportion19. 19 Relative share analysis may hide other conditions that are more visible when we examine absolute changes in employment. As shown in the Morocco “Mind the Gap” (WB 2015 - Table A.3.1), of the 372 thousand extra female labor that entered the labor market by 2011, 73 percent (or 270 thousand more women) worked in lower productivity agriculture in 2011. Over the same period, 134 thousand fewer men worked in the sector. Hence, women may have been called upon to replace men who left for other sectors. Moreover, by 2011, female employment in textiles had declined by 92 thousand, while the number of men increased by 63 thousand. In all, there were 71 thousand fewer women working in manufacturing in 2011, compared 218 thousand more men in the sector. As manufacturing is normally a higher productive sector (especially during the stage of development where Morocco finds itself) and is associated with better jobs in terms of employment status and on-the-job training, most women appear not to be benefitting from structural change in Morocco (and in fact may be seeing their situation get worse because of it). 8 Figure 1.4 The effects of structural changes did not benefit equally men and women Female 2000-2011 Male 2000-2011 Log (Sectoral Productivity / Average Productivity) 12 12 pu pu comm comm 10 10 8 8 fire fire 6 6 min min 4 4 mf e e mf 2 g 2 g mcmm mc mo tn mm mo tn mt fc h td f mthtd c os a a os 0 0 -2 -2 -6 -4 -2 0 2 -10 -5 0 5 Change in Employment Share Change in Employment Share Source: Morocco LFS 2.1 Women in employment Gender segregation in terms of employment appears also pervasive, with women mostly working in low productivity sectors. Women do not appear to have fully participated or contributed to the recent (although not dramatic) structural transformation of the economy. Uneducated women are heavily concentrated in low productivity sectors, both in rural and urban areas, and low-skills occupations. They are exposed to more uncertainty and less returns to their labor (with many of them being unpaid workers). Their situation has actually worsened in the recent decade, being positioned at the lower end sectors of the structural transformation of the economy. On the other side, women with secondary or tertiary education seem to have benefitted to a great extent from the positive changes brought by structural transformation- working in more productive sectors- and in “better” jobs and occupations. They are more likely to be employed full time, with social security contributions and they are doing better than the equivalent male worker (in terms of occupations-we’ll see this is not the case in terms of salary). However, with the possible exception of public jobs (in government services), the distribution of occupations within this group (highly educated workers) is not equal between men and women. Namely, a higher proportion of men are in upper- level occupations, such as senior managers and professions, while the proportion of women was greater in lower-level technicians and employees/clerks occupations- suggesting the presence of glass-ceiling effects. (a) Uneducated women remain heavily concentrated not only in low-productive sectors but also in lower quality (and paying) jobs Striking differences exist also in employment status and occupation between men and women. While it is important to assess if women work in low-productivity sectors, it is also crucial to understand if occupational segregation exists within any given sector, which leads to more women occupied in lower- level occupations than men and thus to lower wages. In addition, women may have a lower employment status (family helper vs. salaried worker) and / or less regularity of employment (part-time vs. full-time). If we attempt to analyze these issues on the aggregate level, we are often unable to discern any meaningful patterns. That is because many of these job characteristics are highly correlated with education – with 9 higher-level occupations, more-secure employment statuses, and greater regularity of employment associated with higher levels of education. Moreover, the type of work and the sectors where one may work differs with respect to area – with agriculture more prevalent in rural areas and manufacturing more prevalent in urban areas. Hence, an analysis of productivity bias as well as correlated women’s welfare requires further breaking up the labor market based on the education level of the individual (no education or primary education, secondary education, and tertiary education) and her area of residence (rural vs. urban). In addition to describing the situation for women, we also compare it with that for men. Table 1.1 presents the share of women working in each sector – by education level and area – as well as the average labor productivity of the sector in 2011. We see clearly that where women work depends on whether they are in a rural or urban environment and their level of education. Not surprisingly, more women work in agriculture in the rural areas and more lower-educated women work in agriculture. Table 1.1 Employment Shares – By Economic Sectors, Area, and Education RURAL URBAN 2011 Economic Sectors ED_1 ED_2 ED_3 ED_1 ED_2 ED_3 LP Agriculture 95.0 75.0 9.4 14.4 1.4 0.1 26 Fisheries 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 47 Mining 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 352 Manufacturing – Total 3.5 9.9 1.3 37.6 31.5 10.4 70 Manufacturing – Food 0.4 1.8 0.0 5.3 2.1 1.0 149 Manufacturing – Textiles 2.9 7.1 0.0 30.4 22.1 3.1 31 Manufacturing – Chemicals 0.1 0.5 1.3 0.7 1.3 0.7 92 Manufacturing – Mech / Elect 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.3 5.1 4.2 91 Manufacturing – Other 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.9 0.9 1.4 78 Public Utilities 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.7 674 Construction 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.7 1.0 30 Wholesale and Retail Trade 0.5 5.3 5.3 11.1 9.6 9.8 44 Transport and Storage 0.2 1.7 0.0 5.7 5.0 2.3 44 Hotels and Restaurants 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.0 78 Communication 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.6 3.4 3.0 632 Finance, Insurance, Real Estate 0.1 0.8 11.9 1.6 5.7 11.9 426 Government Services 0.0 1.7 10.3 1.3 10.1 16.2 114 Education and Health Services 0.1 4.5 61.9 2.6 20.3 40.3 139 Other Services 0.5 0.0 0.0 24.4 10.7 2.1 14 Source: Morocco LFS 10 The almost totality of women with little or no education works in agriculture in rural areas and in “other non-financial services” or textiles in urban areas. They all perform very low -skills jobs. The “feminization of agriculture” has been documented in developing countries as men migrate farther away and for longer for off-farm employment while women, more constrained in terms of time and mobility, are more likely to continue agricultural work (source: De Schutter 2013). However, women remain generally concentrated in very low levels of agriculture value chains, and most likely performing basic farming activities. In rural areas of Morocco the almost totality -96 percent- of women with little or no education works in agriculture. The vast majority of them (79 percent) are occupied as less-skilled agricultural workers20, while 20.5 percent work as agricultural owners, e.g. heads of family farms. Men, in contrast, were more likely to work as agricultural owners. Moreover, women are much more likely than men to work as family helpers (both in agriculture or textile) and to have less “stable” type of occupation, with only half of them working full time versus more than 90 percent of men doing so (see Figure 1.). Table 1.2 Employment Status – Rural, No and Primary Education Agriculture Textile Manufacturing Female Male Female Male Amount Share Amount Share Amount Share Amount Share Occupation Agriculture Owners 289,791 (18.4) 994,815 (51.4) Craft Workers 41,633 (87.7) 13,316 (65.1) Agriculture Workers 1,285,448 (81.5) 914,141 (47.3) Elementary 5,827 (12.3) 5,441 (26.6) Occupations Employment Status Salaried 39,083 (2.5) 297,060 (15.4) 27,116 (2.8) 133,117 (39.6) Independent 280,469 (17.8) 942,069 (48.7) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) Employer 1,322 (0.1) 10,870 (0.6) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) Family Helper 1,248,139 (79.1) 641,615 (33.2) 954,032 (97.2) 202,525 (60.3) Cooperative Member 8,000 (0.5) 42,165 (2.2) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) Regularity Permanent - Full Time 816,452 (51.8) 1,768,171 (91.4) 468,966 (47.8) 283,821 (84.5) Permanent - Part Time 719,540 (45.6) 45,707 (2.4) 482,960 (49.2) 4,323 (1.3) Occasional 32,340 (2.1) 97,247 (5.0) 25,415 (2.6) 43,359 (12.9) Seasonal 9,137 (0.6) 23,266 (1.2) 4,263 (0.4) 4,332 (1.3) Social Security Contributing to SS 7,941 (0.5) 23,243 (1.2) 0 (0.0) 5,797 (2.9) Outside of SS system 1,569,833 (99.5) 1,910,419 (98.8) 8,205 (100.0) 194,273 (97.0) Total 1,577,774 1,934,391 981,909 335,835 20 Workers are identified by two major occupations in agriculture: agricultural exploitants / owners and agricultural workers and laborers). 11 In urban areas, women with little or no education are mostly occupied in manufacturing, namely textiles, and in “other non-financial services”. Overall, their position also worsen with respect to 2000, with more women working in lower productivity sectors than women moving up to more productive sectors (in contrast with men which saw an improvement in their sectoral occupations). Table 1.3 presents occupations and employment status for all sectors. Women’s conditions in the urban area- in terms of employment status, regularity, and social security components- appear much better than in the rural area (the distribution of women among the different states for each of these three components is very similar to that for men). Women are still more likely to work as family helpers and part-time, but these proportions are much lower than before and the percentage of women working as salaried workers is even higher than that for men. However, differences are still present in terms of occupations, where a higher proportion of men work in the higher-level occupations of employees and shop workers, while a greater proportion of women work in the lower-level occupations of agricultural workers and elementary occupations. Table 1.3 Employment Status – Urban, No Education and Primary Education All Sectors Female Male Amount Share Amount Share Occupation Clerks / Employees 13,746 (3.2) 146,003 (7.0) Service / Shop 26,344 (6.2) 343,153 (16.3) Workers Craft Workers 141,887 (33.4) 729,100 (34.7) Agriculture Workers 44,688 (10.5) 56,910 (2.7) Plant / Machine Oper. 1,145 (0.3) 153,921 (7.3) Elementary 179,476 (42.3) 598,223 (28.5) Occupations Employment Status Salaried 271,828 (64.0) 1,095,582 (52.2) Independent 96,954 (22.8) 776,869 (37.0) Employer 4,671 (1.1) 94,392 (4.5) Family Helper 44,596 (10.5) 50,851 (2.4) Cooperative Member 4,228 (1.0) 63,606 (3.0) Regularity Permanent - Full Time 326,989 (77.0) 1,901,947 (90.6) Permanent - Part Time 64,678 (15.2) 15,733 (0.8) Occasional 26,791 (6.3) 167,175 (8.0) Seasonal 5,510 (1.3) 12,654 (0.6) Social Security Contributing to SS* 64,182 (15.1) 298,143 (14.2) Outside of SS* system 360,306 (84.9) 1,800,840 (85.8) Total 424,488 2,099,831 (*) Social Security. 12 Table 1.4 Employment Status – Urban, Secondary Education All Sectors Female Male Amount Share Amount Share Occupation Tech. / Associate Prof. 65,666 (18.2) 108,071 (6.6) Clerks / Employees 120,607 (33.4) 344,979 (21.0) Service / Shop 10,756 (3.0) 207,956 (12.7) Workers Craft Workers 93,330 (25.8) 461,451 (28.1) Plant / Machine Oper. 4,277 (1.2) 126,046 (7.7) Elementary 60,891 (16.9) 331,716 (20.2) Occupations Employment Status Salaried 302,212 (83.7) 1,026,624 (62.5) Independent 30,776 (8.5) 382,134 (23.3) Employer 7,188 (2.0) 59,126 (3.6) Family Helper 14,424 (4.0) 97,167 (5.9) Cooperative Member 1,526 (0.4) 55,632 (3.4) Regularity Permanent - Full Time 339,729 (94.1) 1,543,670 (94.0) Permanent - Part Time 13,349 (3.7) 10,052 (0.6) Occasional 5,438 (1.5) 77,458 (4.7) Seasonal 369 (0.1) 7,855 (0.5) Social Security Contributing to SS 167,278 (46.3) 501,841 (30.6) Outside of SS system 193,939 (53.7) 1,138,623 (69.3) Total 361,217 1,642,124 Source: Morocco LFS (b) However, for women with higher education, the situation has improved dramatically. This is particularly true in urban areas (but not limited to) Women with secondary or tertiary education contributed more than their uneducated counterparts to structural transformation. However, they represent only a small number of women. While there was no sizable difference in the employment conditions of women with secondary education in rural areas, structural change led to an increase in aggregate labor productivity for women with secondary education in urban areas (meaning there was a net positive movement towards more productive sectors). Employment conditions were better for women than men. A larger proportion of women were in higher-level occupations, with over 50 percent of women working as technicians or employees. More women were salaried, although if we combine salaried with independent workers (which could be shop owners), the distributions of women and men are roughly similar. Roughly the same proportion of women and men 13 worked full-time, and more women received social security contributions – most likely as a higher proportion of women worked as salaried employees, while a higher proportion of men worked as independent service and shop workers. The patterns for women with tertiary education are very similar, with same trends in both rural and urban areas. However, if we look at the number of women employed, they are actually much smaller than the previous groups. Women with secondary education –particularly married women- are less likely to join the labor force, due to higher reservation wages and less availability of “suitable” jobs21. Moreover, with the possible exception of public jobs (in government services), the distribution of occupations within this group is not equal between men and women. Namely, a higher proportion of men are in upper-level occupations, such as senior managers and professions, while the proportion of women was greater in lower-level technicians and employees/clerks occupations- suggesting the presence of glass-ceiling effects. (c) Women Entrepreneurship in Morocco Females remain underrepresented as business owners. Women entrepreneurs are a minority everywhere. But in the Middle East and North Africa just 13 percent of firms are owned by women, significantly fewer than in East Asia, Latin America, or Europe and Central Asia. Morocco is at the lower end of the MENA region, with only 10 percent of firms owned by women, against nearly 30 percent in Lebanon and 20 percent in Egypt. Even so, female-owned firms defy commonly held expectations, revealing the great potential for women economic empowerment and for their contribution to economic growth and job creation.22 Women entrepreneurs manage their firms, which are large and well established. In Morocco more than 65 percent of female business owners are also managers of their enterprises, debunking the myth that women are owners only in name and defusing the common perception that women are not prepared or effective in managing a business. The presence of female ownership, however, remains too low for this to make an impact on the aggregate numbers. Evidence from the labor force survey data reinforces the low levels of female entrepreneurship presented by enterprise data. However, female-owned firms- as few as they might be- are well established. The average age of female-owned firms is basically equal to that of male-owned firms. Female-owned firms participate in the global economy. Male- and female-owned firms have similar patterns of domestic sales, selling most products to small domestic firms or individuals. Their global orientation—participation in export markets, use of information and communication technology, and attraction of foreign direct investment—is also similar, though female-owned firms have an edge. 21 For an empirical analysis of women LFP and their correlates, please refer to the most recent WB Morocco Gender Assessment “Mind the Gap: Empowering women for a more open, inclusive and prosperous society” (2015) and Verme (2015). 22 This section is based on data from the World Bank’s Enterprise Surveys to detail the characteristics and performance of female-owned firms in Morocco comparing them with male-owned firms. 14 According to past Enterprise Surveys23, in Morocco, female-owned enterprises are significantly more likely than male-owned enterprises to export24 and to receive foreign investment25. This strong export performance suggests that female-owned firms are productive—only efficient firms can compete in the international market. The export success of female-owned firms may also be linked to their size, which helps them achieve economies of scale. Female-owned firms also employ a higher share of female workers at professional and managerial levels, pointing to their potentially strong role in absorbing a growing female labor force. All together, these factors indicate an efficient use of resources, which would significantly contribute to an increase in productivity and growth. Box 1.1 The Demand side: do firms hire women in Morocco’s Manufacturing Sector? Young firms in emerging sectors tend to hire more women. Analysis of firm surveys between 1995 and 2006 reveals that only one in every four employees in the Moroccan manufacturing sector were female. However, this average hides large differences across industries within the manufacturing sector. Female employment shares are highest in the wearing apparel sector where about 75 percent of workers were women followed by the manufacturing of radio, telecommunications and communication equipment (58 percent), the tanning and dressing of leather products (33 percent), the textiles sector (33 percent), and the medical and precision instruments sector (29.5 percen. The sectors with the lowest share of female workers are concentrated in mineral and metallurgic industries such as in the manufacturing of basic metals (6.8 percent), fabricated metals (6.3 percent), and coke and refined petroleum (5.4 percent. These results suggest that the hiring of female workers in the Moroccan manufacturing sector was higher in young emerging sectors (e.g. electrical, electronic and mechanical equipment), and in more labor-intensive and export oriented sectors (e.g. textile, leather and apparel sectors). Exporting firms hire five times more women than non-exporting firms. These ideas are tested using firm- level data; the elasticity of female employment with respect to total firm employment is estimated to examine the influence of firm age, size and export-orientation on female employment. On the basis of these elasticities, it is possible to derive the number of female jobs created as firm employment expands providing indication on firm level factors that influence female hiring26. Turning first to firm export status, the results show that 23 Enterprise Surveys 2003-2006. 24 Exporters are firms that export more than 10 percent of their output. 25 Firms with high foreign investment are those in which the share of subscribed capital owned by foreign investors is at least 10 percent of the total. 26 The empirical strategy is based on the estimation of the following equation: ∆, = ∆, + , + + + + , (1); where indexes firms, sectors and years. ∆ is the change in the logarithm of total employment between − 5 and , ∆ is the change in the logarithm of female employment between − 5 and . We use employment changes over a five year period to smooth out short-run evolutions and capture medium to longer-run dynamics. is a set of firm and sector time-varying control variables. The ’s are firm, sector and time fixed effects. The control variable includes the following variables: a set of dummy variables for firm age and size categories 26 at time − 5, the logarithm of firm productivity at time , a dummy variable for the firm export status at time and the logarithm of 3-digit sector level herfindahl index for sales at time . The coefficient of interest is and measures 15 for every 10 new jobs, non-exporting firms employ only 1 additional female worker on average. On the other hand, for exporting firms every 10 new jobs is virtually equally split between female and male hires. The results indicate that younger firms hire more female workers for each additional job suggesting that startups, younger firms and emerging sectors (sectors with high share of young firms) are more female labor intensive. For instance firms with less than 4 years of activity employ 3.3 female workers for every 10 new jobs compared to 1.5 female workers on average among firms with 15 years of activity or more. Put together, the findings point to the important role of young firm and emerging sectors, labor-intensive and export-oriented sectors as a source of employment for women in Morocco. Moroccan manufacturing jobs are particularly important sources of employment for urban women with low educational attainment. In urbanizing countries women tend to benefit more from growth in light manufacturing. In Morocco, about 42 percent of urban women with some primary schooling (and over 33 percent of urban women with no education) who work are employed in the manufacturing sector - the corresponding figures for rural women are respectively 6 and 3 percent only. The low educational attainment of urban women in the manufacturing also points to the low-skill activities they are engaged in. The overwhelming majority of these women (over 75 percent) are employed to perform low-skill tasks in the textiles, apparel and leather sector and to a lesser extent in the electrical, electronic and mechanical equipment industry. Among urban women with tertiary education, about 10 percent work in the manufacturing sector (4.2 percent in the electrical, electronic and mechanical equipment and 3.1 percent in the textile, apparel and leather sector) pointing to the fact that women are under-represented in high-skill activities in the manufacturing sector. Manufacturing firms- particularly the exporting ones- have the potential to hire more women in better jobs. This will in turn support firms’ productivity and growth. Exporting firms have the potential to hire more women and to grow as businesses exploiting the new markets that are opened to Morocco by their immediate neighbors, including the EU. Women can contribute to firms’ growth if given the chance to work in the firms and occupy also high-skills positions (including as entrepreneurs). In turn, the growth in young and open industries within manufacturing (but also- sometimes even more so-in dynamics services sectors) can contribute to women progress on many other aspects. In East Asia, growth in the manufacturing sector— particularly in textile and food services industries—has increased women’s wage work and improved female and child health and education outcomes. the elasticity of female employment with respect to total employment. Assuming that the share of female workers is µ the number of new female jobs for each new jobs at a firm is given by ∗ µ. 16 Number of Additional Female Workers for Each 10 New Jobs Created by Firm Characteristics Panel A. Firm Age Panel B. Firm Size 5 6 Number of New Female Jobs Number of New Female Jobs 4.5 5 4 3.5 4 3 2.5 3 2 2 1.5 1 1 0.5 0 0 Firm age Firm size Panel C. Firm Export Status 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Non-exporting Exporting Note: The figure shows the estimated number of additional female workers hired for each 10 new jobs (in continued lines and bars) and the corresponding 95 percent confidence intervals (in dashed grey lines and black vertical lines). These results were obtained from the estimation of the elasticity of female employment with respect to total employment as specified in equation (1). 17 2.1.1 Gender differences in labor market transitions27 Gender imbalances in the labor market can also be observed in the different transitions and labor mobility between men and women. If we consider labor market mobility across labor market statuses, economic sectors or contractual arrangements (sectors for short), it is possible to provide a tentative normative classification of sectors - “better” and “worse”- and identify upward and downward mobility. Such normative classification does not reflect individual taste for labor market status or for contractual arrangements but simply the most suited allocations to maximize production and productivity. In such classification employment is considered better than unemployment and inactivity while private employment is better than public employment. It can also be argued that services and industry are better than agriculture in that these sectors are generally characterized by higher value added and productivity. This is not always the case of course. But it is known that, during the historical and structural transformation of societies, agriculture is the first sector to shrink during periods of industrialization while the service sector is the last sector to expand as societies move from agriculture to industry and into the knowledge era. Such classification may help to capture advancements in the structural transformation of a society. Based on the same principles, we also categorize paid and unpaid employment, full-time and part-time employment and formal and informal sectors in this order. This framework has been applied to Morocco labor market in the years from 2007 to 201128. Figure 1.5 Labor mobility across sectors Source: Verme et al. (forthcoming) 27 This section builds on the work from Verme et al. (forthcoming). 28 Using LFS quarterly data. 18 Men and women in Morocco experience very different labor market transitions. Women’s performance is worse than men’s in almost all aspects of labor mobility . Analysis of employment transitions over the period 2007-2007 shows an overall trend towards “upward” mobility. Workers have - on average - improved their labor market status. However, mobility varies significantly across population groups. Men and urban residents have done better than women and rural residents. The gender gap is typically larger in rural areas as compared to urban areas. In Morocco, unemployment plays a significant role mostly for men while it plays no role for rural women 29. When women join employment they do that most frequently from inactivity rather than unemployment. Reallocation of labor across economic sectors and across the private and public sectors is also not operating positively for women. Women are as mobile as and sometimes even more mobile than men but most of the mobility for females occurs between agriculture and inactivity. There are negligible transitions between the public and private sectors.30 The informal sector plays a much greater role in mobility than the formal sector. For both men and women, the formal sector accounts for less than 10 percent of total transitions. Transitions between formal and informal employment are lower for women as compared to men. There is a large flow of people that moves every quarter into unpaid work and this phenomenon is much larger for women than for men. For women, nearly half of mobility occurs between inactivity and unpaid work with a small difference between the directions of the flow between these two statuses. For men, by far the largest transition occurs from salaried to self- employed. A gender asymmetry also exists in how the labor market reacts to economic shocks. The population of Morocco overall has gained during the past decade in terms of welfare but this progress has occurred via non-inclusive labor market developments. Women have not improved their labor market status and, if anything, they are more dependent on their male counterparts as ever before. Rural women in particular seem to function as a `shock absorber’ for the economy. When the economy is doing well, rural women participate to the labor market in greater numbers but when the economy suffers this group is the first – and often the only group - to be excluded. 3. Which constraints impede job market opportunities for women? Why do these gender gaps in economic opportunities persist? The previous section shows how women and men tend to work in very different parts of the “economic space” with little change over time. In fact, in the past ten years, women positions in the world of work seem to have deteriorated. Women continue to be more likely than men to engage in low-productivity activities. They are also more likely to be in wage or unpaid family employment or work in the informal wage sector, with very limited access to entrepreneurship. When in formal employment, they concentrate in “female” occupations and sectors. These patterns of gender segregation in economic activity can change with economic development but do not disappear. As a result of these differences in where women and men work, gender gaps in earnings and 29 As shown in the World Bank gender assessment for Morocco “Mind the Gap” (2015) 30 The public sector in particular hires young people out of education and keeps these people throughout their working careers with little or no recruitment of middle aged workers. Public jobs are taken early and they are for life. 19 productivity persist across all forms of economic activity— as we will see later in the section this also contributes to discourage many women from entering the labor force all together. This lack of progress in economic opportunities is puzzling. It raises several questions, such as: why do these gaps persist. Disparities persist when multiple reinforcing constraints combine to block progress. As shown in the 2012 WDR on Gender and Development disparities in the economic sphere (the persistence of gender earnings gaps and gender segregation in employment) stem from overlapping constraints. They start with differences in endowments (in time use, education, in access to assets and formal institutions), combine with limited agency (differences in societal voice and household decision making) and results in different (and unequal) economic opportunities. Gender differences are particularly persistent when rooted in deeply entrenched gender roles which are also expressed in gender biased rules and regulations or at least in an unequal enforcement and implementation. All these levels are mutually reinforcing in their interactions. Income growth has some influence in shifting these patterns but, as seen in the case of Morocco, does not eliminate them. Identifying the market failures or inefficiencies that cause low labor force participation by women is a critical policy issue as they impede the economy from fully utilizing a valuable human resource. These costs are even greater for a country like Morocco which aims to accelerate economic growth by deepening the structural transformation of the economy. One obvious way to achieve this would be to look into an untapped pool of resources who are willing to work but are unable to find suitable jobs. This section will focus on the main economic obstacles women face in accessing “decent” j obs and wider economic opportunities. 3.1 A binding constraint: unequal access to education Despite a big push to enroll girls in school in the last decade, women continue to face unequal access to education. This prevents them from moving to better jobs. Opportunities to attend school remain far from universal in Morocco. The question is which socio-economic characteristics influence the child’s likelihood of being in a group that is vulnerable in terms of access to education opportunities. Figures 1.7 and 1.8 show how each particular circumstance contributed to inequality of opportunity in 2001 and 2007. While residence (urban/rural) and welfare status (being in different quintiles based on expenditure per capita) explain the largest shares of inequality in education related opportunities, gender plays also an important role behind an unequal enrollment at school among kids aged 10-14. Low education quality— resulting from poor facilities, overcrowded classrooms (in Morocco the average size of a classroom is over 45 students), and absentee teachers—contributes to poor educational outcomes, such as high repetition and drop-out rates and low achievement levels. High enrollment rates may mask low levels of actual educational attainment, which in turn contribute to the skills shortages and mismatches. While this is an issue common to both men and women, it becomes even more prevalent for women given the high barriers they have to circumvent to move up to higher education levels. 20 Figure 1.6 The contribution of circumstances to Figure 1.7 The contribution of opportunities (Shapley decomposition), 2001 circumstances to opportunities (Shapley decomposition), 2007 100 2001 100 2007 90 80 42 80 37 70 55 52 60 60 15 50 16 40 10 40 13 13 13 30 11 13 20 16 20 16 10 17 14 0 0 Started School (10-14) Finished 6 years (13-16) Started School (10-14) Finished 6 years (13-16) gender wealth family hh education region rural gender wealth family hh education region rural Source: National Survey of Living Standards 2007, MNA HOI report (forthcoming). Note: Circumstances include: quintiles based on consumption per capita, gender, age of hh, number of household members between 0-15 age, presence of elderly, being single parent household, hh education, region, rural or urban locality 3.2 Wide gender gap in remunerations as expression of occupational segregation There is a substantial wage gap between men and women (about 23 percent), even when controlling for education and professions. In 2007, 60 percent of employed men received wages compared to 36 percent of women.31 As shown from the Kernel density curve and the results of simple OLS regressions explaining logarithm of wage earnings, men tend to earn more than women and the gap widens if we control for such individual characteristics as age and education32. In particular, wage gap in logarithm without controls is 0.2 and 0.27 with controls. Re-transforming results in original scale shows that women tend to earn 23 percent less than men without controls and 29 percent if we control for education, age and the place of residence. 31 Source: National Survey of Living Standards 2007, author’s calculation. Note: sample includes population aged 15 and above. 32 In order to calculate wage gender gap, we have selected a subsample of workers with non-zero wage earnings. Wage is measured as monthly cash wage earnings in Moroccan dirhams without premium and payment in-kind. The results remain qualitatively the same if cash premiums are taken into account. 21 Figure 1.8 Kernel density of log of monthly wage Table 1.5 Male dummy coefficients earnings from the OLS regressions explaining log of monthly wage Kernel density estimate 1 .8 log N % .6 Density wage .4 without 23** 0.20*** 6883 controls .2 with 0 29*** 0.27*** 6849 4 6 8 10 controls log_monthly_wage Men Women kernel = epanechnikov, bandwidth = 0.0868 Source: National Survey of Living Standards 2007, author’s calculation. Note: sample includes population aged 15 and above. Monthly wage does not include payment in-kind and bonuses. Controls include education, age and region. For 34 individuals with wages information about education was missing. Asterisks show level of significance: * at 10 percent, ** at 5 percent and *** at 1 percent. Kolmogorov-Smirnov equality-of-distributions test rejects equality of distributions. Observed characteristics can only explain a small part of the gender wage gap. Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition is used to divide the wage differential between men and women into the part “explained” by characteristics or endowments (education, age and so forth) and the residual part called “unexplained”. This “unexplained” part includes the effects of unobserved predictors, but also often used as a measure of discrimination. As shown in Table 1.6, the differences in endowments between women and men narrow wage gap by 6 percent. In particular, both education and region favor women and reduce the gap, while experience widens it. The unexplained part, in contrast, increases the gender gap by 31 percent and this mostly comes from higher returns to experience among men. The gender wage gap adjusted for selectivity bias- meaning taking into account the fact that only some women work in wage employment- is much higher, reaching 77 percent. If we control for potential selection bias in female wage employment using the probit model, results change dramatically. Gender wage gap increases from 23 percent to 77 percent with an absolute majority of it coming from unexplained part, in particular the difference in the constant term. This indicates a presence of selection bias with women engaged in wage work being a non-random sample of the population. Correcting for this fact increases the gender wage gap substantially. Occupational segregation is the key observed factor 22 explaining the wage gap and contributing to the unexplained part as well. As shown in Table 1.6, education tends to narrow both the explained and unexplained parts of the wage gap, but concentration of women in low paid sectors overweighs this effect and increases the explained part of gender gap. Evidence that women are working in low return sectors signals the existence of mobility barriers, which prevent them from moving to higher return sectors. It is also important from a welfare perspective as such restricted employment opportunities could be an additional reason preventing women from participating in the labor force. Table 1.6 Results from Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition of gender wage gap in 2007 (exponential results) Oaxaca-Blinder Oaxaca-Blinder adjusted for selection Male, average wage in dirham 1789 1789 Women, average wage in dirham 1458 1010 difference 1.23*** 1.77*** explained 0.94*** 0.93*** unexplained 1.31*** 1.90*** Explained part (endowments) Experience (age and age squared) 1.03*** 1.02*** education 0.94*** 0.94*** region 0.98*** 0.98*** Unexplained part Experience (age and age squared) 1.35* 0.94 education 0.98 1.00 region 0.99 1.00 constant 0.99 2.02*** N 6849 6849 Source: National Survey of Living Standards 2007, author’s calculation. Note: sample includes population aged 15 and above. Correction for selectivity is done following Jann (2008). Probit model for female with non-zero wages was estimated to obtain the Mills ratio. Asterisks show level of significance: * at 10 percent, ** at 5 percent and *** at 1 percent. 3.3 Limited access to credit hinders female entrepreneurship opportunities Gender biased access to formal credit limits self-employment opportunities through entrepreneurship. In Morocco there remain prominent gender gaps in terms of access to credit and formal savings, limiting the ability of women to start a private enterprise. In 2012 only 27 percent of women had 23 an account at a formal financial institution (Findex 2012) while 43 percent of women have taken a loan (formal or informal) in the past year. Given the limited amount of credit available from formal institution, it is reasonable to think of microfinance as an alternative source of credit, particularly for micro-enterprises. In Morocco, approximately 46 percent (368,000) of total MFI clients are indeed women. Qualitative interviews carried out among women entrepreneurs has revealed gender-biased attitudes of loan officers towards female entrepreneurs, the request for high collateral and/or for a male guarantor (typically the husband or another male family member). Access to microfinance services is important for women economic empowerment, which in turn contributes to higher growth. Microfinance33 is considered a successful example of gender-inclusive development. Globally 75 percent of more than 205 million customers served by MFIs are women, including 82 percent of the 137.5 million poorest clients (Microcredit Campaign Report 2012). Women are viewed as key beneficiaries for MFIs because they are often responsible for the well-being of the family, and thus seen as a conduit for conferring income and consumption smoothing benefits to the greatest number of people. Microfinance also supports females’ economic empowerment because it creates opportunities for business expansion and productive investment at the household level, bypassing many socio-economic barriers that prevent women from participating in the local economy. Qualitative and quantitative studies (e.g. Women’s World Banking34) have demonstrated the access to microfinance services empowers women through an increased likelihood to own assets (land, houses, etc.), greater control over household assets, and an ability to invest and grow in microbusinesses. An impact evaluation in Morocco (Duflo et al 2011) estimated the effect of Al Amana opening 60 new branches in sparsely populated rural areas on credit allocation, consumption, and business activity, among others. The main effect of improved access to credit was to expand the scale of existing self-employment activities of households, including both keeping livestock and agricultural activities. Impact evaluation reveals important limitations to female empowerment in rural areas in Morocco. Social norms still prevent low-income women from benefitting from alternative sources of finance. Studies35 find that only a small proportion of women borrow in rural areas. Out of those women who borrow there was little change with regards to bargaining power in the household, decision-making, or mobility between villages. This impact evaluation highlights the significant economic and social challenges low- income women face even when financial services are extended to them. Financial literacy problems along with lack of financial and business planning, and cultural norms stigmatizing debt and interest credit have been identified as major barrier to the use of microfinance (see Box 1.2). The impact evaluation and the qualitative study carried out recently by the World Bank36 bring important insights into these challenges and as a result helps policymakers structure more effective interventions. 33 Source: WB MSME project document “Micro, Small and Medium Enterprise Development Project” (2013) 34 Numerous studies are available at http://womensworldbanking.org 35 Referencing various studies available at http://womensworldbanking.org 36 WB Morocco Gender Assessment (forthcoming for publication) 24 Box 1.2 Women and micro-finance in Morocco 37 Women entrepreneurs in Morocco tend to use micro-finance as the last resort. This entails a negative perception of this type of financial service: it is often perceived as too costly (the interest rates are too high); the conditions are too stringent and do not match with the uncertainty coming from their economic activity (which is often seasonal and subject to fluctuation). Some women report having recurred to micro-finance to pay utility bills, get a lump sum during inactivity or unemployment, more rarely to finance an investment. Most of women’s experiences appear to be mixed or negative in this field. Women who recurred to micro-finance by necessity reported the feeling of undertaking a risky activity, as they feared punishment and imprisonment for their inability to repay. Debt in traditional society appears as something as potentially ‘dishonorable’ as it publicly displays ‘a need’ for money. Further the inability to repay, despite the legal consequences, can tarnish the man’s honor as it publicly admits the husband’s inability to provide. Most commonly debt, and therefore microfinance liability operates through two different gender channels in Morocco: the woman – after consulting her husband – asks for a loan and normally repays it. However, if she is unable to pay back, implicitly her liability is transferred to the husband. When a husband is unemployed - as in many of the cases illustrated by the interviews - and the facto the woman is the only breadwinner, asking to take out a loan is an even more hazardous activity for a woman. Many women feared that their inability to repay could have even harsher consequences over their husbands. In one case the woman seemed uncomfortable with the idea of paying interest, which is in conflict with the tenets of the Shari’a and reported to cast more trust in Islamic finance. Very few women seemed to be financially literate and using credit in the framework of business/financial planning to grow their activity. On the contrary, most of the women – who reported having no savings, no assets at all - used credit along with consumption smoothing during hardship. As Rutherford (2000) has emphasized, the poor tend to use credit as a lump sum that operates as substitute for insurance, as well savings. Source: Morocco Qualitative Survey (2014) 37 The information reported in Box 1.2 is based on a series of consultations carried out between Dec 2013 and March 2014 across the country through ethnological methods – including, but not exclusively, textual analysis or hermeneutics; phenomenology or ethnic knowledge analysis; linguistics; and post-structuralism. The consultations carried out by local consultants in Moroccan, have been transcribed and lately translated into French have used mixed qualitative data gathering methods such as focus groups discussions; in-depth and semi-structured interviews; and life history interviews. Key informants of the enquiries are salaried women (in two different age groups); micro- entrepreneurs without employees or self-employed; small (micro) entrepreneurs; community leaders; and men (both employed and unemployed). 25 3.4 Regulations Women are predominantly occupied in jobs- such as micro businesses or domestic workers- that are not protected under the Labor Code.38 The Government of Morocco faces the challenge of finding the right balance between worker protection and labor market flexibility. The task is even more complicated as the Labor Code applies only to a minor portion of the workforce. By definition, labor regulations in Morocco protect formal sector workers who constitute only a minority of the workforce, and exclude the self-employed, domestic workers, family members working in a family business, workers in traditional artisan or handicraft sectors for businesses with less than five employees, and employers with the annual revenue of less than five times the amount excluded from income tax calculations. These occupations are almost a prerogative of women, as shown above. The key structural issues identified in labor regulations are related to the dismissive hiring and firing regulations, the fragmented and high contributions of social security, and the high payroll tax39. Labor regulations and payroll taxes in Morocco do not promote a dynamic labor force and discourage formal employment, disproportionately affecting youth and women. More specifically, Morocco’s highly restrictive fixed-term contract laws and heavy firing regulation and costs constitute important obstacles to a firm seeking to adjust its working force to best cope with new demand, technologies, and economic shocks. With one of the highest minimum wages40 in the world and relatively high payroll taxes, the cost of formal labor is inflated. As a result, businesses prefer to remain informal to minimize labor costs and rigidities, and this in turn negatively affects the quality of jobs available to young people and women. A fragmented social security system coupled with ineffective dismissal regulations and institutions also play an important role in explaining poor labor market outcomes. 41 The majority of 38 A somewhat recent study (2007) by the Ministry of Employment on the minimum wage found that a third of paid workers in formal employment earn wages of 90 to 110 percent of the minimum wage (“le SMIG”). A large proportion of those “Smigards” are women and part-time workers in sectors that rely heavily on labor and in small enterprises. Forty one percent of female wage workers earn the minimum wage, compared to 31 percent of men. The same study found that enterprises adjust to increases in the minimum wage by shedding workers, especially unskilled workers. Workers earning the minimum wage appear 4.7 times more likely to lose their job than better paid workers. The study noted that the greatest effects fall on the youngest (below 25 years old) and oldest (60 years and older) workers. The study does not explicitly state the impact on women, but given their proportion among minimum wage workers, and their concentration in low skilled jobs, women are disproportionately affected negatively by increases in the minimum wage. 39 For more details, please refer to “Mind the gap”, Morocco country gender assessment (World Bank, 2015). 40 With between 25 and 33 percent of labor costs, the tax wedge in Morocco is among the highest in the region. It reflects high payroll and income taxes, as well as high social security contributions. Evidence from the countries suggests that, in general, the tax wedge can have sizable effects on employment and unemployment rates, in particular, could lead to less hiring, lower labor force participation, fewer hours worked, and more informality. By the available data, a 10 percent reduction in the tax wedge (the difference between the cost of labor and take-home pay) could increase employment between 1 and 5 percent (Kugler & Kugler 2003). Estimates for OECD countries show that a 10 percent rise in the tax wedge reduces labor input by 1 to 4 percent of the working age population. (Nickell, 2003). 41 Current income protection policies, based on a large extent on the regulation of dismissal procedures and severance pay, are not effective for a large segment of the labor force and in fact constrain the management of those human resources who are covered. Some evidence suggests that firms are either bypassing the regulations or moving to short- term contracts. 26 workers- and the large majority of women- are lacking access to formal income protection and/or proper unemployment insurance schemes, which not only leave them vulnerable to unemployment risks, but also constrain their ability to move between jobs and/or engage in higher risk/higher return activities. This may affect labor productivity growth over the medium term. 3.5 Limited Agency hinders women’s economic opportunities Agency has a role, often a strong one, in contributing to women’s human development and economic opportunities, and opening opportunities for greater participation in social and political life. The World Bank’s World Development Report 2012: Gender Equality and Development (WDR 2012) and its regional companion “Opening Doors: Gender Equality and Economic Development in the Middle East and North Africa” (2013) define agency as ‘an individual’s (or group’s) ability to make effective choices and to transform those choices into desired outcomes’. Overlapping with access to fundamental resources (from education to key economic assets or formal institutions), the legal framework of the country and the societal norms, agency contributes to shape economic, social and political outcomes. The interaction of all these dimensions has therefore a great importance in promoting development. In Morocco, having full agency in employment (defined as the ability of women alone to decide by themselves whether to work or not) contributes to women’s actual employment. On average, about 18 percent of women with full agency are in fact employed, compared to only four percent among women with partial or no agency. A woman empowered to decide on her employment is 18 percent more likely to be in the labor force and 14 percent more likely to work outside the home. The effect of agency (or empowerment) is so large in magnitude that it can offset negative factors commonly found in the female labor supply literature such as caretaking duties and earning potentials. Conversely, paid employment combined with the ability to generate income for themselves, also boost Moroccan women’s agenc y. Further analysis reveals an encouraging trend. Once women overcome the hurdle of entering the labor market and earn their own income, they retain- in many cases (83 percent) - control over their own money. Women are not free to decide by themselves if they would like to work or not: for the vast majority of them it is their family that makes the decision. Intra household decision making is crucial to analyze female labor force participation in Morocco. Few women make decisions on labor issues by themselves. Data from the 2010 Morocco Household and Youth Survey shows that only about one-third of Moroccan women aged 15 to 49 make decisions about employment by themselves. Other family members, particularly husbands and fathers, influence women’s decisions to work. Family opinions also inhibit women from seeking employment opportunities outside the home: 19 percent of women who are not employed and were not looking for paid employment reported that the reason for not seeking employment was that their husbands or fathers did not allow them. As per the Family Code, married men remain legally responsible for providing financial support to their wives and any children. This likely promotes favoritism towards employment of married men over women. 27 A number of legal inequalities continue to restrict women’s agency, further constraining economic and social development. Introduction of a new Family Code in 2004 and Constitution in 2011 enhanced legal equality for women. However, a number of gaps remain. Underage marriage affects primarily girls, who accounted for 99% of those married under the age of eighteen in 2010, according to statistics from the Haut-Commissariat au Plan. Judicial checks on underage marriages are proving mostly ineffective, with the percentage of marriages involving an underage party remaining mostly constant. Access to marital property de facto favors men, with a default separate property regime. The number of married couples opting for community property regimes, which would be favorable to women given low labor force participation rates, through marriage-related contracts remains minimal, with less than 1% of couples married in 2011 opting for such contracts. Figure 1.10 Who makes decision about female employment? Woman herself Total 42 13 3 42 Woman herself with ot Mother Rural 22 12 4 62 included Only men Urban 56 13 3 28 Source: MHYS 2009-10 data 28 Figure 1.11 Agency to spend earned income Figure 1.12 Work Agency and Employment evolves over stages of live Status of Women 100 80 60 40 20 0 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 Woman herself Woman herself with ot Mother included Only men Source: MHYS data, authors’ analysis Agency constraints in different spheres of life tend to overlap. Agency tends to be exercised differently in different spheres of life – a woman may have agency in the labor market but not in her household for instance, or vice versa. But where these agency-related constraints connect and overlap, they may heighten girls’ and women’s experience of deprivation. In Morocco, agency in several dimensions appears to be highly correlated. Women who are empowered to choose their own employment usually also display agency in decisions related to education, marriage and how to spend their income. Conversely, women who do not have agency in one of these domains usually experience overlapping constraints. 4. Conclusions This analysis builds on the assumption, put forth in the theoretical and empirical literature, that gender disparities and related occupational and market segmentations hamper productivity and growth. Since this has been shown to be more the case for developing countries, we present the case of Morocco as a case study in support of this evidence. By analyzing the structure of female employment over time and sectoral labor productivity data we showed how employment opportunities for women are concentrated in sectors where labor productivity (and hence the wage rate) is low or not growing. This is an important question from not only the welfare perspective, but also from the point of view of economic efficiency. Evidence that women are working in low return sectors signals the existence of mobility barriers which prevent them from moving to higher return sectors. This paper also attempted to identify some of the potential reasons behind these observed outcomes. A novelty of this analysis consists in showing that the status of women’s agency is key to understand the emergence of unequal development outcomes based on differing capacities of men and women to exercise choices related to economic, social and political life. In the specific case of Morocco, having full agency in employment (defined as the ability of women alone to 29 decide by themselves whether to work or not) contributes to women’s actual employment and is highly correlated with women’s ability to control their own income (and therefore economic empowerment). However, women’s (lack of or constrained) agency is highly connected to – and reinforced by- other persistent barriers – economic as result but social in nature- that represent a biased, inefficient and unjustified misallocation of resources, with the ultimate outcome of hindering productivity and growth. Some examples are summarized below. Differential access to assets creates an unequal playing field for women. Women entrepreneurs face significant difficulties relative to men. Foremost among these is access to credit, especially since personal laws limit women’s ownership of family assets42. These differences are rooted in failures of markets and institutions and in their interactions with household responses. For example, accessing credit often requires collateral, preferably land or immobile assets. Women are thus at a disadvantage because they have lower or less secure access to land and are disproportionately employed in the service sector where capitalization is lower and output is often intangible. These forces may be further reinforced by gender- based preferences in the households that can lead to unequal resource allocations (of land, for example) to male and female members. As shown in the case of Morocco, however, women could be as successful entrepreneurs (if not more) than men, and contribute significantly to the growth of productive and exporting firms. Efforts focused on these underlying determinants of differential access—leveling the institutional playing field by strengthening women’s ownership rights, correcting biases in service delivery institutions, and improving the functioning of credit markets- could have a tremendous impact on women’s economic participation. Gender-biased occupational segregation severely constrains women’s ability to contribute to economic growth and represents an irrational misallocation of resources. Gender-based occupational segregation and barriers that prevent women from working in high productivity sectors are often present to a certain extent in all countries but they are particularly pervasive in countries at low level of income. The very low rate of female labor force participation in Morocco reflects also a real lack of opportunities for women who want to work and is not simply the result of women preferences for family life. This is starkly reflected in the dramatically high unemployment rates for young women, in particular for those with high levels of education. These women want to work, but cannot find suitable employment. The simple fact that the vast majority of women in Morocco are working in low return sectors signals the existence of mobility barriers that prevent them from moving to higher return sectors. These barriers might be of legal or social nature and might be behind such a low rate of economic participation. Moreover, the specific patterns of transitions experienced by women, specifically women living in rural areas, suggest that the role of “secondary worker” that women hold in the household is stressed in time of crisis, where women employment seem to replace men’s. When the economy is weak, rural men working in urban areas seem to go back to rural areas and, by doing so, push women out of the fields and back to inactivity. Conversely, when the economy performs well, rural men take up jobs in urban areas and they are replaced by women in the fields. These compensation mechanisms suggest that rural areas have an excess of labor force that, 42 Please refer to Chapter 4 in the WB Country gender assessment for Morocco (2015)” Mind the Gap” 30 does not transit via unemployment. Job creation of non-farm jobs would seem one of the keys to address this issue, a process that may need specific investments and labor market policies and programs. Gender equality as smart economic and growth-enhancing policy Mainstreaming gender into policy action is key not only to achieve gender equality and women empowerment but also to strengthen productivity and growth by utilizing resources fully and efficiently. This paper brings to the attention of policymakers the importance of fully mainstreaming gender into policy action from a purely economic standpoint (in addition to the most valuable social and equity perspective. 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