Page 1 No. 43280 –TJ ( ). IV - ( ) 12 2008 Page 2 ( 29 2007 . ) = ( ) US$1 = 3.4465 - - - / / . 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............................................................147 ............................................................................................150 ...........................................................................................................150 ..............................................................................153 ......................................................................................................................156 .................................................................166 3.1 – ( ).....................................................................................................36 3.2: 2005 . .................................................37 3.3: 2005 . .....................39 3.4: ..........................................................................................................................40 3.5: ( . ) .........................................42 3.6 , 2005 .................................................................................................................44 3.7: ( , . ) ...................................................................................................45 3.8 ( ) .....................................48 3.9 - 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( ) .........................................68 4.11: , – ......................................................................................69 4.12a: , ..........................................................................................................69 Page 5 v 4.12b: ..................70 4.13: ..................................71 4.14: ..............................................................72 4.15: 2005 . ...................73 4.16: ..................76 4.17: ........................................76 4.18: ................................................................................77 4.19: ( ) .........................................................78 4.20: .................78 4.21: , , .......................................................................................................................................................80 4.22: , ( ) .................80 4.23: ........................................................82 4.24: ( , 27 ) .......................................................................................................................83 4.25: ...................83 4.26: ............................................................................................84 4.27: : - ...........85 4.29: , 2005 . ............................................87 4.30: , ...................88 4.31: .......................................88 4.32: .89 5.1: ( / ) ................90 5.2: .................................91 5.3: ( . , ) ........................................92 5.4 ..............................................................................94 5.5 ..............................................................................95 5.6: .............................................................................98 5.7: ( ) ............................99 5.8: , , , , ...........101 5.9: , , , ( ) ...............101 5.10: , , , ( ) .............................................................................................................102 5.11: , , , ( ) .................................103 5.12: , , , ( ) ...................................................................................................................................104 5.13: , , .........................................105 Page 6 vi 5.14: , , , ( ) ...................................................................................................................................106 5.15: , , ( ) ......................107 5.16: , , , ( ) .......................................................................................................107 5.17: , , ( ) .....................111 5.18: , , ............................................................... 111 5.19: , , ( ) ...............................112 5.20: , , ( ) ...................................................................................113 5.21: , , , .............114 5.22: , , ( ) ......................................................115 5.23: 116 5.24: .......................................................................................................................................116 5.25: , ..................................................................................................................................118 5.26: , ............118 5.27: , , ( ) .............................................................................120 5.28: , ..........................................................................................................................120 5.29: ..........122 ( ) ...................................................................................................................................122 5.30: , , , ( ) .................................123 5.31: , .........................................124 5.32: OLS - 100 5 .....................................................................................127 5.33: OLS - 100 5 .....................................................................................128 Page 7 vii 4.1: – , 2006 ......................................................................................................................61 4.2: ..........................................64 4.3: ...........73 4.4: ...................74 4.5: ........................................79 4.6: ......................................................86 5.1: ...........................................93 5.2: ..................................................................................................96 5.3: ....................................................................................................97 5.4: , , ( )..................................................................109 5.5: , , ( ) ..................................................................109 Page 8 ( ) , (ECSPE). . ( ); , ( , , , , , ) , “ ” 66 12 . ( ); ( ); ( ); ( ); ( - ); ( ) ( , ). . ( ) . - ( ), - ( , ), - ( ); - ( ). , , 2005 . Page 9 1. . , . 2. , 2006 . ( ). , . , , , , , . , , . 3. , ( ) - . , , , – . , , - , . 4. , . , , , , . , , , , , . , / , . 5. , . , , . , , , , . – . , , . 6. , , . Page 10 2 – , , , , . , 1.1 . , . - , 2005 . , , . . , , - . 7. , , . , , , . – (i) / (ii) . , , . 8. , . , , . – ( . . ), , . . 9. , . : 10. . , , . , ( ) , . , ( ) , . ( , ). , , , . Page 11 3 11. . . , , . , , , . , . 12. ( - )) . 61 , , , , . ( ), , . ( ) , , . 60 , . 13. ( ) . 356 , , , . , – ( ), ( ) ( ). , ( ) . , . . 14. – , , . . : (i) , (ii) , ( iii) . ? 15. (i) , (ii) , ( iii) . , , , . , . “ ” – . . , ? , - , , . - , Page 12 4 – , ? 16. – , – , - . , , . , , , , , , . , , . , , . 17. , , , , – . , , , . 50 , 41 – - 12 . – “ ” – . . , . , , . , ( ) , , . 18. . . , ( ) 23 , 2.6 . , , , , . , . . 19. , . , . , , , , . , - ( , ), . , , , , . , , , , , , . Page 13 5 ? 20. , , , , , . , , , . , ? ? 21. 60 . , , . , – . . , , , , . , , , , . 22. . ( ) , , . , , . , . , , - , . , , . , , . , - , , , . 23. , - . . . , , 2005 . . , , , , , . , (“ , ”) / , . 2005 . . 24. . , 2005 . Page 14 6 ; . , , , , . , , . , . ? 25. - . , . , , . ( ), . , , . 26. , . , , . , , . – . (i) ( . . ), ( . . ), ; , , . 1 , , , . (ii). , , . (iii) ( , ) . , , . , , . 1 , , , . Page 15 7 27. . , , . , , . , , , ( ) , , - ( ). . , , . , , , . 28. ( ) , , . , 2005 . 89 78 . 16 , , / . 24 ( ). , 81 56 ( ). 85 , , . 6 , , . , , – . 29. , , . . , . , , – ( ) . , ( ). 30. - , , , . , , . 24.4 , , 147.7 . , , , . Page 16 8 ( ), , . , 2 4 . 2.08; 0.95 , , , 2.71 . 31. , . , , . , 40 , . , 48 . , . . , . 32. , , , . , “ ”, 7.7 . , . 18 , . 20 , , . , , . , 55 , , 28 . 33. , 46 ( ) . , 72 , 60 , 50 . 28 , 124 . 34. , , . , 13 , 8 , 5 . 148 123 . . . . , Page 17 9 , . 35. 30 . , 31 . 7 , , . , . , , , , . 36. , ( , , ), , , . , . , , , , , . , - , ( ). 37. , . , , . , . : · 53 . , . 42 - ( ). · , , 100 ( ). 30 – 50 . 6 , , , 64 . · 90 . , Page 18 10 . - 3 - 4 . · 23 / . . , , 9 . · 19 , , ( , , ) , , , , . , - . 38. , , , , . , , , . , , , - . · 33 ( , ) . 2 8 044 108 42 000 . · 57 . , . 25 623 . · 11 . 5 342 . · , , 55 . , 9 945 , . · 75 50 . 2 , , . , . Page 19 11 39. , 16 , . , . ( ) , ( ) , , . , , , , - . 40. , . . , , , . , . , 55 . (90 ) – . , , . , , , , . ? 41. , , , / - . . , - ( , , , ) . ( , , ). 42. , . , , . 50 , . . , . Page 20 12 43. , , 4.8 , , , , . , , . – , . 52 . 1/3 , . , 12.7 , 7.9 , 4.8 . , . 44. , ( ) . ( , ) , , . ( / , , , ) . , , . , , , . 45. , . . , . , , , , , . 46. , , . , , . , . 75 , – . 47. . . : · , . 76 ( , ), . , . Page 21 13 , , , . , ( ) , , , . · , . , , ( , ). , . , . · , , . . , , . · - . , . , , , . 3 ( , ) , . 48. , – . , , , , ( . ., ) . , . 49. - , , ? , ( 3 . , , . Page 22 14 ) . , , , . ( , ), , , , , . , , , ? 50. - , , . , , , , . , , , , , . , , . 51. - , , , . , . , , , . 52. . , , , . , , , . Page 23 15 1: 1.1. , , . , , , . , , , . , , . 4 1.2. , , . , , . - . , . , , , , . 1.3. , . , , , – . ( ), , . , , , , . A. ? 1.4. . – , . , , . – – , . . . , . , ‘ ” 4 . Page 24 16 , , . 1.5. “ ” . , : (i) ; (ii) , , / ; (iii) ; ( iv) , . , . 1.6. – , , . , , . , , . , , . 1.7. , , , , . , , , . , . , ( ). . 1.8. . ( , , ). , . , , - , , , . . Page 25 17 1.9. , , , . 60 , , . ( . ., , , , , , , , ), , ( ), , . ( . ., ) , , , . 1.10. , , , , , , , . - , . ( , ) , , . , . , . 1.11. . , , , , . , , ( ) , , , , , , . 1.12. . - , , , – . , , , ( , ), . , , , . B. 1.13. , (2005) (2005). Page 26 18 , , . 5 , (i) , (ii) 71 , 96 , 52 – , ( iii) , . 1.14. 2005 . 6 , . 20 , . 2003 . 38 , , 24 1999 . , , 12 , . , . 7 1.15. : 1.15.1. . , . 1.15.2. – , , . 1.15.3. . , . 1.15.4. , . 1.16. , . , , , . , , 5 . , , . 6 , 2005 . : . 7 , , , , ( ) . , . ( : , 2005 ., “ ”.) Page 27 19 . , , . C. 1.17. . 2 , , , . 3, 4 5 , , , . 6 . , , , , , , , . Page 28 Page 29 2: 2.1 , . , , . , . , , , , , , – . 2.2 : CHAPTER 1: , - . . CHAPTER 2: , ( ), ( ). CHAPTER 3: , . . CHAPTER 4: , . 2.3 : (i) , (ii) , (iii) , ( iv) . A. 2.4 . , . [64] [2005 .] – , 72 2001 . [59] 1 000 2005 ., 87 1 000 2001 . 8 2000 2003 . 0,5 , 3,5 . , – 50 100 000 2003 ., 8 1 000 . , . 1 . Page 30 22 100. 9 , 1990 2002 . ( ) 5 , 74 , ( ). , – 2000 . 30 , . 2.5 , - . , , , , , . , . , . , , . ( ), “ ” . 2.6 / , . , / , . 2005 . 4 900 / . 1 300 2003 . ( , 2006 . ). , : 1993 2002 . , 12 100 000 1993 . 64 100 000 2002 . 2004 . 4 529 , 32 . – , , 150 000–250 000. 300 000 400 000. 2.7 . 2003 . ( ) 85 , 3 . - 2003 . , 57 . 11 2003 . 33 100 000 2003 . , , . , , , , . 9 , . Page 31 23 2.8 . , , . 1 0 , 62 24 ( 2000 . ). 50 , . , . , 15-24 27 , 63 , 50 . , . 2.9 – . . 42 5 2003 .; 15 . . 10 , 17 . 11 , . , 35 , , . , . 2.10 , , , . . . 2.11 , . 12 , , . 13 , – , , ( ) . ( ) 2.12 . 10 3, 7 2.4 , 2.6 2.0 . 11 , 2004 . 12 ( ) . 13 : HIT . Page 32 24 , , , , , . . , - , . , , . 2.13 , . , 61 , . , , ( ) . , . , , , . 356 2 617 . 2.14 , . , , . , , . , , . , , , , . Page 33 25 2 .1 . 2.15 . 2003 . . , , , . , , , - - - Page 34 26 , . 2005 . 4.8 5.1 , 1.1 2005 . , . , , , 44 2002 . , 22 2003 . , 32 2004 ., 96 2005 . 2004 . 2.16 . , , 43 2005 . ( 37 2002 . ) - . , , , . , ( , , . .), , , 57 2002 . 41 2005 . , , , , , . , . 10 2002 . 15 2005 . 2.17 . , , , 2003 . 63 , 64 , 1 . 2005 . , , 65 . . . , , , 2003 ., 2004 2005 . , 2005 . 2.18 , . . , , , . , , . , . Page 35 27 2.19 – , , . , ( , ) , ( ). 80 , 20 ( ) . , 71 2004 . ( 79 2001 . ) , 76 2005 . , , . 2.20 . , , . - , , , . ., , , , , . , , , . ( ) , (2005 PEIR ); , 47 -93 . , , , , . 2.21 . ( ) , , , , , . , . , . , - ( ) , “ ” - . - , . Page 36 28 2.22 . , , . . 2.23 , . , . , , , . , . 2.24 , , , , . , , , , , . , , . , . , , , , . , . , , . 2.25 , . , . , . - , , . , . , , . 2.26 , , . , , , , . 2005 . 1.1 , 4.6 . 14 13 71 14 , : ( www.who.org ), 19 99-2005 . Page 37 29 , [16 ] . , 96 , 61 , 52 37 . , , . 2.27 . 2005 . , - . 15 ( ) , , 15 , , 14 8 . 2.28 . , , - . . , . , , , , , , . . 2.29 , . 1995 . , “ 2005 ” : (i) ; (ii) ; ( iii) . . 21 ( ). 1996 . “ 2001 . ” , : CHAPTER 5: , ; 15 , , (38 2003 . 24 1999 . ). , , , , 1999 2003 . , , , 12 . , , , . Page 38 30 CHAPTER 6: , ; CHAPTER 7: ; CHAPTER 8: ; CHAPTER 9: , , ; CHAPTER 10: ; CHAPTER 11: , . 16 2.30 , . , , , , / . 1994 1996 . , 30 17 , , . , , . , (US$5.21 . ) . . , . . 2.31 2005 . , . , . , , , , . , , : CHAPTER 12: ; CHAPTER 13: ; CHAPTER 14: ; CHAPTER 15: , ; CHAPTER 16: ; CHAPTER 17: ; CHAPTER 18: ; 16 . 2000 . 17 125 10 000 1992 . 63 2002 . Page 39 31 CHAPTER 19: ; CHAPTER 20: . 2.32 . , , . , , (80 ), . 2003 . , , , , , . . 2.33 2005 . , ( ) . , , 18 . , , , . 2007 . 8 15 (2 , 2 4 ). , , , , ( ). (a) ( ); (b) ; ( c) , ; ( d) . , 20% . 2.34 2007 . , . , 18 2005-2015 . Page 40 32 - . . , ( ). , . , . 2.35 . , . , . . , , . ( ) , . Page 41 3: 3.1 ( ) / , , . 30 ( ), 104 , 28 326 ( / , ( ), ( ) ). , , . , , . A. 3.2 , , , , ,. , , . 3.3 . , . ( ) , . , , . , - , , . 3.4 . , , , , , . ( . . ) , , . ( , , ), . – , , , . , . , . Page 42 34 3.5 , , , . , , . ( , , ). , , , . ( , , ( 1999 .) ) 1 9 . . , , , , . , , ( ) ( ). 3.6 . 2005 . 1.1 , 5 . US$3.8 . 24 77 2005 . [3.1] , (47 ) 20 (49 ). (4 ) (1 ). 3.7 . 2005 . 61 39 . , , , , . ( ). ( . . ) 21 . , ( , , ) 40 . 19 , “ : ”, 1994 . 20 (1986 .) , , . , , , , , , . . Page 43 35 , 11 . , , , . 3.8 ( ), . , , . , 5 , , , . 2005 . 3.9 . 2005 . . 71 , – 16 . . - . , , , . 3.10 . 2005 . 40 2004 . 50 2005 . ( 3.1 ). . , , , 42 2005 . 53 2004 . , 6 11 2005 . 8 12 2004 . , 2005 . 21 , . 21 , ( , ). Page 44 36 3 .1 – ( ) 3.11 . 2005 . (23 ), 2.6 , . (9 ) (8.8 ). (7.9 ). , , , 10 - ( 3 ). , , , . 3.12 . , , ( 3.2). , , , 30 47 . 35 56 . , , , 6 10 . , . , . , 50 / 78 . Page 45 37 3 .2: 2 005 . ( ) 3.13 ( ) - . ( ) , , , , , . , , ( ), , , . , . . , , . , , . 3.14 . , ( ) . / , , , . , , . 3.15 . Page 46 38 , . 13 58 , . (18 ), – (7.7 ). 3.16 . 73 , 19 . , , 58 ( ) 93 ( ). 47 . 23 , . (8.5 ) (6.8 ). , 7.2 6.6 . 3.17 ( , - ) , . (16 ), (11 ) - (6.5 ). , 68 . (78 ), - (75 ). 50 – . 3.18 , , , 2005 . US$1.1 ( ) ( ). US$4.4 ( ). (US$57) 12 (US$4. 8) 22 - (US$2.6). Page 47 39 3 .3: 2 005 . ( . . ) : , , 2006 . 3.19 , . , , , 3 . , . US$3.9 ( ) US$1.1 ( ), 22 0.84 0.37 . ($1.1), (0.72 0.37). ($1.3), (0.81). (0.84) US$3.2 . 22 , . Page 48 40 ( - ) 3.20 ( ) – , 2 3 . . , , , . , . , . 24 . 3.21 . , ( 3.4). 4 , 2005 . . 53 , , 32 / , 5 , 16 . , , 182 / ; 1 665 ( ) 25 ; 574 ( ). 3.4: 3.22 , , , . [ 3.5] , 16.1 (US$6 503), 64 (US$46 908) 16.5 (US$5 116). ( ) $27 246, 69 . , ( ), US$31 , 23 , , 2005 . 24 , “ ”, . 625. 25 , . Page 49 41 . 44 107 (41 ) 100 . ( ) 100 . , . . (59 ) , , . . , , , , (14 ), (6 ) (6 ). Page 50 42 3 .5: ( . ) Page 51 43 3.23 . ( ) ( ) , , , , , , . - ( ), ( , ) , ( ), ( ) . , / , . 3.24 ( ) . , , . , . 3.25 , ( , ) . ( ) , , . . 3.26 , , , . , 2005 . 41 , 2005 ., , 22 , 19 . , , , ( 440 ) , . 3.27 (18 21 ). , 46 931 . (9 ) , 3 . 32 47 . 4 8 (50 ) , 2 . (5) . 16 27 , 10 ( 3.6). Page 52 44 3 .6 , 2005 3.28 , , . 54 . 10 , 9 ( , , . .), 8 7 . . ( 3.7). ( ) - (66 , 13 ). ( ) . (41 ). Page 53 45 3 .7: ( , . ) 3.29 - , . , (94 ) - 2005 . , 14 - 11 - . - , , , . 3.30 , - , ( 3.10). - ( , , ) , , , . - , , . , , - Page 54 46 , , , . - , . , , - . , , . . 3.31 ( ) . . . 3.32 , . . , , , . ( ) . , , . , . ( , , , . .) , , , . , 0.35- 0.45 0.45 - 0.55 . . 3.33 , . , . , , . , , , , , , . , . , 38 , 27 – ( ), 25 – 10 – . 3.34 . . , Page 55 47 , 81 , 63 , 58 . , , ( 26 29 ). 3.35 . , 94 , 21 . 2 6 , . . , . . , 3.36 ( ) ( ). , , . , , . , , , , , . , , , , . , – / , . 3.37 . 2005 . 13 - ( 3.8). , 73 ( ), 37 ( ), 28 ( ). (25 ). ( ) . , . 26 , , . Page 56 48 3 .8 ( ) : , : . 3.38 , . Page 57 49 , , 5 ( 3.9). , - , 30 . 24 , (14 ) (3 ). : 22 ( ), 13 ( ) 12.5 ( ). 7 , 1.6 , . 3.9 - , ( ) 3.39 . 6 , – 2.6 ( 3.9). Page 58 50 46 . , 4 , 4 , 3 . , ( ) 13 , . , . , 24 , 0.7, 4.8 1.4 , . Page 59 51 3 .10 - , ( ) 3.40 , . , , , . , . , . . , , , Page 60 52 . , , . , , . 2005 . , , . 3.41 2005 . . , , , . , , , - , . , . 3.42 . , . , . , , . 3.43 . , . , - ( , , . .) ( . ). , , . . ( , , , ) , . 3.44 , - . 2005 . 49 41 , 9 , . - (4 ) (6 ). 3.45 2005 . , . . . , 92 50 . 2005 . (45 49 ) , Page 61 53 , 61 , . 3.46 . 2005 . , 76 79 , 70 . . (33 ) (33 ) , (15 ). . 3.47 , . . ( ) 2007 . , - , , - , 27 28 . . ( 3.8 73 2005 . ) , . 3.48 , ( ) . , , . , 29 , . , , 17 74 , . , , . , , 2 17 . , . (90 , 66 , 83 ) , . , . , , 94 27 17 (2002) , , , “ ” , . . 28 : – , SECO , 2007 , . 23, 29 ( 20 , . Page 62 54 , , 78 . 45 40 , 73 . 3.49 , , , , . , , ( 64 , 64 53 ) . , 35 , 26 25 , . , , . , , (44 , 44 79 ) . 3.50 2005 ., . , . , 88 66 ( 3.13). 52 , . . 3.51 2005 . . 12, 19 29 , , 26 , 2005 . , . 2005 . ( 3.14). 77 41 . 3.52 , 2005 . 13 6 , 2005 . . (3 ) , 2005 . ( ). 48 , 2005 . . 3.53 , . , , . , , . Page 63 55 3.54 , . (a) “ ” 73, 63 79 , . , . . , 25 , 83 93 . , : 41 , 32 7 , ; (c) , , . , 28 37 . 3.55 , . , , 88, 91 85 , . , 65 ,85 73 . . 3.56 , . , . , , , , . , . , . 3.57 . , . , , , , . 3.58 ( , ) . ( , , , . .) , . - , , . - , , , . – Page 64 56 . “ ” , , . , , . 3.59 , . , ( ), , ( , ) . , ( ), ( ). 3.60 , . 15 , , 8 , . 7 ( ), ( ), ( ), ( ) , , . , 37 36 , . ( 23 ). , 132 125 , . 3.61 . , , . , . 3.62 , . , , ( ) . , . ( / , , , ) . - , . - , , , , , - . , - ( , . .) , . 3.63 , . , , / . , Page 65 57 . , , , . . , . Page 66 Page 67 59 4: . 4.1 , . , ( ) , 2006 ., , , , , . , , , . , 317 1 282 . 4.2 , , , , , « » . , . , , . , , 27 . , 28 , , 27 , . , , . , , . . 4.3 4.1 . , , , 300 000 , ( ), 200 . Page 68 60 4 .1: ( , ) 4.4 28 , , , . , 2,9 . , , 2/3 . . « », , . 4.2, . 300 3,2 , , . ; , 64 , – 1 000 . 4.2: 4.5 24,4 ( 4), . . 147,7 , – 18,5 . , , . – , – . . % . . . . . 28 2.9 309.8 204.5 64 237 963 . . 22 5.7 67.1 104.2 10 34 429 18 4.6 86.7 73.8 18 68 273 27 9.2 40.2 34.4 13 32 153 59 21.2 9.3 5.1 2 8 30 . 156 53.9 3.2 3.5 1 3 6 7 2.5 10.2 9.8 1 10 27 317 100 24.4 71.3 1 4 963 : , , 2006 . . . 397.3 249.1 231.8 424.1 393.8 153.3 309.8 . . . 167 29.2 78.8 . 40.1 68.1 53 67.1 134.8 67.4 34.2 130.8 80 102.2 31.5 86.7 . 58.4 32.2 31.9 17.5 33.3 40.6 40.2 . 10.2 7.9 10.7 4.5 . 9.3 9.3 . 3.4 3.6 2.7 2.4 . 3.2 3.2 . 2 23.5 10 5 14.5 5.5 10.2 147.7 27.5 20.6 18.5 31.2 119.5 10.7 24.4 : , , 2006 . Page 69 61 4 .3: ( ) 4.6 , , 72, 1 . . , 82,2 75,6 . , . 4.1: – , 2006 4.7 , . 4.1 , . , , . , 1993 . (WDR), , 2 4 ( . 139). 2,08 , . , 0,95, . , , . , / 3, 15, . , 2,71 . 0 20 40 60 80 100 . . . . : , , 2006 0 20 40 60 80 100 . . . 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( 2,6 ) . , 26,1 , , ; , , , . , . , , . 30 ( ), , , 53,2 ( ) , , , , . , 6 , 156 , . 0 0 2.6 97.4 / 0 0 97.7 2.3 0 2.6 88.9 8.5 . 2.8 46.5 33.3 17.4 39.9 58.9 1.2 0 3.9 11.3 45.6 37.4 : , , 2006 . – : , Page 71 63 4 .5: 4.10 4.5 , . , 17,2 , – 19 . , , , 12, 8 . , , , , , . , 16 , . , , , , . . , 4.11 , , , , . , (World Bank 2005a), ( . 72) , 2004 . 18.7 20 19.1 20.1 15.2 19.1 / 20.7 21 18.6 16. 6 16.9 19 8.2 11.6 18.1 17.2 3.5 8.5 16.2 17.9 11.8 8.7 14 14.1 18.8 11.4 10 11.8 6.7 10.6 19 19.5 16.8 16.8 13.3 17.2 11.84 15.77 11.1 14.9 10.9 13.2 / 13.93 17.59 10.7 13.4 14.3 14.1 6.57 10.24 10.4 17.2 3.5 6.8 13.6 15.3 9.2 6.2 13.7 11.9 . 18.8 9.4 8.9 10.4 6.7 9.4 12.7 16 10.4 13 11 12.8 : , , 2006 . Page 72 64 4 .2: 4.12 , - , , 4.2. , . , , , 40 45 , . , . . 4.13 , , , . 4.6 ( ) . , , , - . . , - , , . , - 38,3 , 11,3 – / . , . . 0 20 40 60 80 1 00 : , , 2006 . ? 0 20 40 60 80 1 00 : , , 2006 . . . ? 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(21 ) (17,4 ). , , , , , (24, 8 ) , , (17, 4 ). , , , , . / . / 1 1 0 0 61 29.7 7.2 . . . . 0 3.2 0.9 0 14.3 75.6 5.9 0.5 0.2 0.5 0 35.1 56.6 7 0 0.2 0.2 0.8 38 53 7.8 0.5 0 0.7 0.9 75 18.5 4.5 . 0.2 0 1.5 2.1 77.3 7.7 11.2 0 29.5 3.9 0 17.8 48.8 0 0.5 1.3 0.5 0.3 47.7 42.8 6.9 : , , 2006 – / . 1.6 1.8 3.7 0 36.1 56.7 0 . . . . 0 41.3 5.9 0 17.6 35.2 0 2.7 12.1 0 0 51.7 33.6 0 0 4.3 12.8 0 59.3 23.7 0 0 0 2.3 1.6 81.2 12.5 2.4 0 0 3.2 6.4 79.7 2.6 8.2 0 0 12.7 0 25.4 61.9 0 0.2 3.4 4.2 3.8 70.7 13 4.9 : , , 2006 – Page 77 69 4 .11: , – ? 4.22 ½ 4 . , , , , 2,5 4 . , . . 4.12a , . , (1,3) , – 1,26 . - , , , - , . 4.12 a : , / 1.16 1.36 1.31 1.36 1.27 1.33 1.18 1.16 1.36 1.22 1.32 1.34 1.17 1.14 1.28 1.29 1. 32 1.14 1.1 1.26 1.25 1.05 0.9 1.08 1.04 1.25 1.2 1.19 1.15 1.21 1.35 1.28 1.1 1.2 1.24 1.31 1.39 1.16 1.2 1.31 1.27 1.23 1.12 1.16 1.2 1.3 1.26 1.13 1.18 1.23 : , , 2006 – . . . . . 80 10 70 80 50 24.8 17.4 21 80.8 65.1 20.5 79.3 57.1 2. 6. 4. 52.5 27.4 20 64 25.4 5. 12.1 7. 88.1 69.5 41.7 38.6 45.4 10 32.4 17.4 60.5 36.2 39.5 80.3 39.5 1. 2. 2. 59.6 32.8 37.5 69.7 57.8 8. 15.7 11.3 75 54.7 23.4 63.8 36.5 2. 8. 5. 71 49.1 27.1 65.3 42 6. 12.7 9. : , , 2006 . 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Republic of Tajikistan Health Sector Note. . 383.1 298.9 210.3 233 370.8 163.9 . . . . 111.5 46.3 67.5 . 42 64.9 60 16 10 20 . 8 13.5 . . 44 37 35 12.5 25 38.4 .5.4 4 5 . . 4.6 . 1 .. . . 1 . . 20 . . 20 . 92.4 120.6 102 120.2 82 177.4 49.1 : , , 2006 / Page 101 93 5.1: : , , 2006 5.6 ; , - . , 94 , , , (11 ), (23 ), (20 ). , , . , , . , - . , , . , , , 19 , – 7 ( 5.4). , ( ) 20 .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 1 % 79.9 636.4 6.0 1.7 0 : \03 79.9 641.1 6.0 1.7 0 : \03 , % .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 1 % 293.1 628.5 6.0 1.7 0 : \03 293.1 633.2 6.0 1.7 0 : \03 , % .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 1 % 79.8 453.3 6.0 1.7 0 : \03 79.8 458.0 6.0 1.7 0 : \03 , % .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 1 % 293.1 443.0 6.0 1.7 0 : \03 293.1 447.7 6.0 1.7 0 : \03 / , % Page 102 94 . , - , , ( , ) 8, 5, 6 . 5.7 . , , , 9 , 3 4 . , - , , . . , ( 16 ), , – ( 9 ), . , (8 9 ) (8 ), , . , 4 . 5.4 10.25 10.04 20.29 . . . 8.14 8.14 16.27 9.72 9.89 19.61 3.89 3.81 7.70 2.51 2.51 5.02 2.74 2.56 5.30 10.00 10.00 20.00 3.44 3,35 6.79 10.25 10,04 20.29 8.08 8,04 16.13 12.00 12,00 24.00 5.26 5.16 10.43 3.16 3.05 6.21 3.88 3.70 7.58 5.61 5.68 11.29 9.47 9.55 19.02 3.21 3.06 6.27 4.40 4.30 8.71 : , , 2006 5.8 , . 45 . , , ( , ) ( 16 ), - , (6 ). , , Page 103 95 , ( 5.5). 18 , – 9 . , , 100 . , , . , , . , . , , , , , . 5.5 8.0 7.8 15.7 . . . 5.3 4.8 10.1 3.5 2.9 6.4 5.7 5.4 11.1 2.4 1.1 3.5 1.6 0.4 2.0 7.6 6.9 14.4 2.5 1.3 3.8 8.0 7.8 15.7 5.5 5.0 10.5 6.7 6.7 13.3 3.6 3.0 6.6 1.7 1.1 3.8 2.4 1.5 3.8 8.1 4.1 12.2 6.0 6.1 12.1 2.5 1.3 3.8 3.2 2.2 5.3 : , , 2006 5.9 / . , , , 64 , 21 6 , , , , 6 ( 5.2). 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Page 109 101 5.8: , , , , ( ) : , , 2006 . 5.19 . , 39 , . , , . , , 33 2005 . 90 , . , (58 ). , , , . , . 5.9: , , , ( ) : , , 2006 . 5.20 5.10 , . , . , 8044 . , , , . 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% . . . 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 75% 100% 100% 100% 93% 100% 94% 80% 100% 100% 100% 50% 96% 93% 82% 85% 93% 100% 86% 86% 76% 66% 89% 93% 76% 76% 33% 100% 100% 0% 75% 33% 57% 100% 79% 79% 92% 94% 95% 81% 84% / 88% 91% 100% 0% 82% . . . . 100% 75% 88% 0% 64% 100% 75% 75% 100% 0% 78% 80% 80% 100% 0% 78% 82% 58% 79% 0% 68% 66% 42% 66% 7% 50% 33% 100% 0% 0% 43% 100% 72% 57% 75% 3% 61% Page 110 102 5.21 , , . , , . - , , , 41947 , - , 108 . , , (35 005 ) , – (4831 ) 35 . , , , . , , . , , , , . 5.10: , , , ( ) : , , 2006 . 5.22 . , , , . . , , , . , , 90 , 60 . , 19 , , , . , , , , , . , , , , ( ) . 35 , . . 69048 27164 32504 . 41947 . . . 54308 722 8298 . . 21741 22136 1081 2960 25588 . 14008 . 570 954 3117 . 1233 . 299 221 276 . 263 . 104 68 166 15 108 . . 2000 . . 2000 35005 8197 4831 6451 15 8044 Page 111 103 5.23 , . – (92 ) . , , (50 ) (45 ) . , . , 36 , , , 82 40 . 5.11: , , , ( ) : , , 2006 . 5.24 5.12 , , . , . , , 25623 . , . , , , , , . , , . 5.25 , , – . , , 49474 , 2 420 , . , , , , . , , (10392 ) , – (37724 ) 37 . , , , , . 36 . 37 , , . 88% 82% 100% 88% . . . 100% 75% 75% 81% 100% 0% 0% 33% 40% 60% 100% 60% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 45% 50% 92% 57% 35 Page 112 104 5.12: , , , ( ) : , , 2006 . 5.26 - ( ). . 10 . , , , . / , , . , , , , , . 5.27 , , . 80 , , . , 32 / – - . , . 5.28 , / , , . 56 38 39 , , , , . , 57 - . , , 80 , 66 , . , , , , , , , , . , - . 38 39 . . 25243 62624 60209 49474 . . . 12876 1633 15404 . 11118 457 . . . 457 . 1400 1974 3998 2420 10392 13372 32660 37724 25623 Page 113 105 5.13: , , ( ) : , , 2006 . 5.29 - , , . 5.12 , , . , , , , 5342 . , , - , . , , 7680 , 391 . , , , , . , (1107 ) , (37724 ) 40 . , , , , , , , - . , , , . 40 , , 88% 73% 83% 80% . . . 25% 25% 0% 13% 0% 0% 0% 50% 6% 20% 40% 40% 32% 0% 4% 0% 2% 10% 11% 10% 13% 11% 38 Page 114 106 5.14: , , , ( ) : , , 2006 . 5.30 . . , , , , , . , , , , . , , . , , (13 ). 5.31 , , . , (44 ) , . , . , , , , - (41 ) , . . 7431 1557 16600 7680 . . . 4592 . . . 4592 . . . 1576 1576 . 580 392 200 391 . . 100 . 100 4592 5908 1107 10622 5342 Page 115 107 5.15: , , ( ) : , , 2006 . 5.32 5.16 . . , , , , , 9945 , , . 5.33 , . , , , . , , 46229 , 3683 , 148 . , , . 50000 , – 2000 3000 . 5.16: , , , ( ) : , , 2006 . 5.34 5.4 5.5 , , , . . , , . 88% 91% 83% 33% 82% . . . 100% 50% 50% 33% 55% 100% 25% 75% 100% 50% 72% 60% 90% 60% 0% 67% 65% 69% 71% 0% 66% 41% 49% 54% 0% 44% 0% 100% 0% 0% 29% 100% 51% 62% 62% 13% 55% . 13,661 20,605 105,178 177,500 50,138 39,876 46,229 . . . 81,242 1,675 620 . 4,750 33,468 5,000 30,880 31,588 161 1,892 3,051 45,000 24,117 1,767 18,959 . 2,575 1,589 12,180 . 30 3,898 3,683 . 329 182 952 . . 434 434 . 140 93 246 . . 148 148 . . 2,000 . . 2,000 . 2,000 51,450 2,487 3,028 15,329 58,000 35,133 3,215 9,945 / Page 116 108 , . , ( , , , . . ). , , . 5.35 , . , , , , . , , - . , ; . , – . 5.36 5.4 , , , . , . , , , . , , – , , , , , . , , , , - ( ). 5.37 , . , . , , , . , , , , , . , , . , , , , , . Page 117 109 5.4: , , ( ) 5.5: , , ( ) 5.38 5.17 5.18 , , , , 3. , . 5.39 ( ); , , . 2005 ., , 152 . , , 41 . , – 41 , - 10,000 20,000 30,000 40, 000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 100,000 110,000 120,000 130,000 140,000 . . . . . . . - 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 11,000 12,000 13,000 14,000 15,000 . . Page 118 110 . 215 , , (54 ). 5.40 . 26 , 3 , , . , , , , (196 ) , – (80 ). , , , , , , . 5.41 , , , , , . , , , – . 5.42 . , , . , , , . , . , , , 1,8 , 0,2 . 5.43 . , , , . , . , , , , , , , , , . , , , , , , , , , , . . , , , . Page 119 111 5.17: , , ( ) : , , 2006 . 5.18: , , : , , 2006 . 5.44 . . , , 55 . (90 ) , , , . 5.45 , . ( ) . , 39 . , . , , (80 ) (62 ) , , , (39 ). . , 20 , , , , 100 . / . . / / / . . / / / 3.4 0 130.6 151.2 34.7 0.4 1070.8 4.6 0.3 53.7 4.6 0.2 0.1 86.8 25.6 0.5 200 6.2 1.8 0.1 78.6 11.2 0.4 215 8.5 0.4 0.2 129.6 14.2 0.4 152.7 17.5 2.5 0.1 160.9 / . . / / / . . / p/capita / 20 0.5 196.2 8.7 4.4 0.3 137.2 . . . 14.4 0.2 155.9 10.8 34.3 0.2 301.6 .0 . 0.4 0.3 4.5 0.3 79.6 1.9 0.2 0.1 37.4 . . . 5.5 0.1 0.1 57.8 . . . . 0.2 0.1 14.2 0.4 152.7 17.5 2.5 0.1 160.9 Page 120 112 , 100 , , , 37 . , , , (46 ) , , . 5.19: , , ( ) : , , 2006 . 5.46 , , , 80 . , 138 (43 ), , (193). . , , . , , , , , , , , . , , , 75369 , , , 8044 . 5.47 , . , , , ( . 5.20). , , 268286 , , , , (41947 ) , , . , , 11486 , 108 . , , . , , , , . , , , , . , 100% 82% 100% 100% 94% 90% 93% . . . 100% 100% 75% 67% 81% 100% 82% 67% 25% 50% 100% 50% 53% 67% 56% 60% 80% 100% 0% 100% 68% 70% 59% 54% 86% 50% 63% 63% 37% 46% 37% 20% 39% 39% 33% 50% 100% 0% 25% 67% 43% 80% 52% 56% 62% 39% 75% 50% 55% / Page 121 113 , 164884 , 8197 . 4 2 , , , . 5.20: , , ( ) : , , 2006 . 5.48 , , , . , , , , , , . , , , , ( , ). , , . , 75369 , , , , , , , , (78508 ). , , , (54348 ). 5.49 , , . 70 , . , , - , . , , . 5.21 - , , (1 ) . , ( ) 42 . . . . 268286 41947 3637 35005 . . . 10117 21741 164884 8197 2456 14008 22990 4831 24900 1233 42839 6451 2077 263 2000 11486 108 138986 31007 2693 2000 14644 1121 75369 8044 75369 8044 Page 122 114 ( 10 ) . , , , , , . 5.21: , , , : , , 2006 . 5.50 , , . , 16 , 2005 ., , , , . , , , , . - , , , , . , , ; , . , , , ( , , , ) , . , , , , - , . , . , , . , , , , , , . , , 55 , , , . B. 5.51 , , . , , , . 154 112 266 92 101 193 2 0 3 151 4 6 78 124 1 74 1 43 317 1 38 179 3 17 - . (1) = 6.0303 . = 0.014 - . (1) = 3.4323 . = 0.064 Page 123 115 5.52 . , , 2005 . , . , , (297), , , 65 , - 37 . , 13 , , , , , . 5.22: , , ( ) : , , 2006 . 5.53 , , 2005 . , , , , . 10 . . , , , ( 5.23). 3 , 12 , 4 . 3,9 , 2002 - 9,2 . , 2003 . 3,2 . , . , . 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% . . . 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 17% 0% 25% 0% 0% 13% 0% 11% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 35% 23% 7% 0% 22% 22% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 50% 32% 29% 19% 35% 72% 19% 29% / Page 124 116 . . 2005 2005 200 5 ( ( . ( ) .) .) 11 12.00 11.80 12 10.63 15.61 12 10.57 12.11 14 10.42 10.42 15 15.20 30.55 12.41 19.58 10.23 11.24 12 10.91 15.14 : , , 2006 5.23: : , , 2006 . 5.54 15 , , 12 . – 10 , 2/3 , , . , , 30 , , . , . , , , , . , , 29 . , . , , , , , . , 15 11 , . 5.24: : , , 2006 . . 13690 8368 7182 3191 8371 10356 90 80 . . . . 4212 637 1196 . 425 1469 650 1432 60 185 . . 123 . 123 . 1240 1246 638 135 766 1071 1049 53 111 275 . . 97 97 3381 4456 3192 3880 1126 4263 2699 3430 / .11.5 12.3 10.2 14.3 11.9 11.7 11.8 . . . . 11.8 45.5 17.5 . 43.3 27.1 60 28.6 12 . 18 .. 15 . 15 . 12.8 10 .8 11.4 16.5 14.5 11.9 12.1 . 5.8 5.8 7 .. 5.9 5.9 11.8 15.6 12.1 10.4 30.5 19.6 11.2 15.1 / Page 125 117 5.55 . , , – , . , (97 ) 2005 .; , , , . . , 3 2 , , , , . , , . , , , . , , , (1,14) , – (0,70), , , . 5.56 , , (1,6) , – (0 ,6) . , , , ( 3 ), - . , , . , , (1,6), (1,6), (1,8), - . 5.57 ( ), (0,7 ) , , (0,9 ) (0,9 ). , , (0,8). , , , , , , . 40 , , , - . , , , , . , , -2003 . . , , . Page 126 118 5.25: , : , , 2006 . 5.26: , 2005 . .2005 2003 0.89 18.1 0.92 1.59 4.4 0.79 0.77 1.5 0.44 1.17 2.6 0.87 0.61 1.8 0.93 0.99 1.08 1.07 4.2 0.70 : , , 2006 , 2003 . 5.58 , , , . , , . , , . -2003 ., , , . 5.59 . , . , : , ( / ) , ( ), . , : , ( / ), , . 5.60 5.27 , , 5 , 1.3 0.6 0.59 0.06 0.84 0.47 0.7 0.86 1.82 0.35 0.52 0.88 0.99 0.6 0.92 1.67 0.7 1.24 0.3 2.21 1.05 1.13 1.57 0.65 1.26 0.48 1.05 1.05 / 1.6 0.87 1.26 0.75 1.14 1.14 0.86 1.59 0.77 1.17 0.61 0.99 1.08 1.07 / Page 127 119 . , , , . , , , , . , , 30 ; , , , , , , , , . , 95 . , , , , . 5.61 , , , , . , , , , 30 50 . , , , , . , , , , . , , , , , , , , , . 5.62 , , 90 , . 5.28 , , , . , 20 . , , , , 17 15 . , , 19 , - 15 . , . , , , 97 , 109 , , , , , . . Page 128 120 5.27: , , ( ) 82.1 53.6 85.7 82.1 82.1 . . . . 13.6 18.2 13.6 36.4 45.5 66.7 38.9 44.4 55.6 72.2 100.0 66.7 85.2 77.8 100.0 96.6 62.7 93.2 79.7 98.3 . 94.9 51.3 84.0 64.7 96.2 - - 28.6 14.3 - . 85.2 50.8 77.6 66.6 88.6 . 92.9 89.3 96.4 96.4 96.4 . . . . 18.2 45.5 18.2 18.2 36.4 - - - - 5.6 48.1 55.6 77.8 92.6 100.0 3.4 5.1 6.8 11.9 8.5 . - - - - - - - - - - . 14.2 16.7 17.7 19.9 21.5 : , , 2006 . 5.28: , 1877.8 46.4 8109.5 1470.9 14399.6 . . . . 1426.0 13.5 3036.7 2036.3 2571.1 556.3 21.7 1957.8 1062.2 23435.3 384.1 9.2 1006.0 206.8 4749.2 267.2 13.3 504.5 311.5 1883.4 . 127.2 5.1 188.1 108.5 350.5 - - 805.0 2280.0 - . 366.0 12.2 1213.7 442.2 3408.2 . 29.9 476.5 754.6 1556.8 1339.5 . . . . 30.3 621.4 1136.8 1607.0 431.9 - - - - 60.0 8.1 101.8 146.0 158.8 200.9 13.5 109.3 61.8 49.9 83.8 . - - - - - - - - - - . 22.9 377.0 504.2 837.8 669.5 : , , 2006 . Page 129 121 5.63 . , . , , , . , . , , , - : , , . 5.64 . 40 , . , , (93 ) , , , (70 ). – , . , , , , . 5.29 . 5.65 , , , (93 ) , – (22 ). , . , , , 15 53 . , , 44 , (20 ), (40 ), (60 ), (100 ). 5.66 . 5.29 . , , 18, , 6 . , , , – 31, 10 , , . . , , , 9 , , 31 . 5.67 , 46 15 . , 46 , – . - . , - , , , Page 130 122 , . , - . , , - , , , , , , , . 5.29: ( ) : , , 2006 . 5.68 . / , . , . , , / , 89 , 78 - . , , , . , , , (67 ) , (23 ). , , , , . 60 , , , , . , , ( ), , , , , . , , , , 38 , 35 , 31 , . , , . 5.69 , , , , , . , , 6 - , , 14 17 . – - , , . 33 , % N % N % N % N % N % N % N % N 100% 21 91% 15 83% 43 100% 8 100% 20 80% 24 93% 21 . . . 25% 14 50% 3 50% 3 . 100% 3 57% 4 100% 2 59% 4 0% 50% 4 100% 7 50% 36 50% 1 40% 11 67% 4 44% 9 60% 36 20% 35 40% 29 100% 16 50% 60 44% 28 44% 31 35% 11 35% 5 57% 22 50% 7 . 41% 12 41% 12 . 20% 3 15% 6 26% 35 53% 46 . 22% 22 22% 22 67% 5 0% 100% 22 0% 25% 8 67% 12 43% 10 10% 14 39% 13 31% 9 41% 31 68% 21 63% 14 32% 19 38% 18 / Page 131 123 , 4 ; , , 100 , , , 29 . , , . , , (24), (12). . , , 16 - , - 15 . - , , 16 . 5.30: , , , ( ) : , , 2006 . 5.70 . . , 81 , , 14 , . (96 ), (98 ), (86 ) . , (85 ) , , , (28 ). , - , , 80 66 , - 100 90 , . , , , (10 ); (61 ), (79 ), – (86 ). , , , (28) , (12). (41) , , , . , , , - . 5.71 , . , , (6 ), , , , 16 . 43 , 43 , , . % N % N % N % N % N % N % N % N 1 00% 2 9 9 1% 2 6 1 00% 2 0 3 3% 4 9 4% 2 4 8 0% 2 4 8 9% 2 4 . . . 25% 1 6 100% 1 0 75% 1 0 . 17% 3 57% 1 0 0% 55% 1 0 1 7% 1 2 7 5% 9 7 5% 3 5 0% 3 6 0 % 4 7% 1 2 3 3% 3 4 4% 1 0 1 00% 13 6 0% 14 8 0% 8 5 0% 4 1 00% 7 7 6% 12 7 8% 12 35% 9 46% 20 71% 14 50% 15 . 49% 15 49% 15 . 0% 2% 4 0% 0% . 1% 4 1% 4 67% 3 50% 10 100% 22 0% 50% 8 67% 11 57% 10 20% 14 38% 15 31% 17 35% 16 13% 6 67% 16 23% 15 32% 16 Type / Page 132 124 , , , , , 30 , - 18 . , , , , , . , , , 22 , , , , 9 . , , , , , , , , , , 30 , , , . 5.72 , , - , , , , . , , . , - , , . 5.31: , ( ) : , , 2006 . 5.73 , . , . , , . , . 32 , / . , , , , (19) , , (14). , . 16 , , , / . , , , , (19) , , (15). , 16 , . % N % N % N % N % N % N % N % N . . . 25% 24 100% 21 25% 24 . 17% 1 33% 22 100% 1 36% 20 0% . 100% 40 50% 36 50% 60 0% . 40% 44 33% 24 39% 41 . 100% 11 100% 16 80% 11 100% 2 100% 16 96% 12 96% 12 . 100% 15 100% 16 93% 21 100% 7. 98% 17 98% 17 . . 95% 12 89% 10 66% 12 93% 7. 86% 11 86% 11 . 33% 10 50% 8 0% . 0% . 50% 9 0% . 29% 9 10% 24 86% 14 79% 13 65% 16 61% 6 28% 28 85% 12 81% 14 / Page 133 125 5.74 , 6 , , , . , 75 , . , , , , (16), , (13). , , , . , . , , , , , , , . . 5.75 , ( ) ( ) , . . , , , . , , . . , 5 , 42 . , , . , , , σ , , . 5.76 , , , , . OLS- , - 100 5 . 5.32. , , , , , , - . , . 5.77 . , , , 5.33. , , , Page 134 126 , , . , , , . , , , 5 . . . 100 10 . , , , , , 14,6 100 , - . Page 135 127 5.32: OLS- 100 5 / . . ( / ) . ( 100 ) ( 100 ) ( 100 .) / . . ( ) = ( .) = = . = ( . .) = ( .) = = = = -0.018 (0.02) 0.131 (0.37) 0.016 (0.02) 0.041 (0.09) -0.59 (0.09) 0.184 (0.20) -.3872 (6.63) 0.44 (2.08) -0.057 (1.82) -0.097 (0.09) -6.886* (2.78) 0 (0.00) 0.019 (0.01) -0.001 - 0.004 (0.01) -0.010** (0.00) 0.01 (0.01) -0.044 (0.14) -0029 (0.07) 0.027 (0.08) -0.003 (0.00) -0.115 (0.20) -0.008 (0.03) -0.519 (1.02) -0.001 (0.02) -0.409 (0.25) 0.348 (0.32) 0.594 (0.49) 2.603 (2.69) -5.300* (2.71) 1.986 (3.38) 0.459 (0.38) -8.151* (4.09) 0.016 (0.02) 0.424 (0.59) -0.050** (0.02) -0.12 (0.19) -0.387 (0.14) 0.666 (0.49) 3.603 (3.50) 0.034 (3.43) 7.228 (4.64) -0.183* (0.10) -3.631 (4.06) -0.285 (0.35) -1.068 (2.53) 0.055 (0.14) 2.06 (2.42)- 0.908 (0.90) -0.11 (2.25) 0.628 (10.44) -0.305 (4.68) 8.066 (5.25) 0.122 (0.86) -0.507 (35.81) R- – * 10%, ** 5%, *** 1% : , , 2006 . Page 136 128 5.33: OLS- 100 5 / . . ( / ) . . = ( .) . = . .= .= - ( 100 .) .= ( .) - ( 100 .) .= . - ( 100 .) .= . - ( 100 .) .= -2.839* (1.66) -0.02 (0.29) -16.693 (3.95) -5.707 (3.75) -31.344*** (7.66) ( 100 ) ( 100 ) ( 100 .) / . . ( ) = ( .) = = . = ( . .) = ( .) = = = = R- – * 10%, ** 5%, *** 1% : , , 2006 . Page 137 129 . 44 5.78 - , , . ( ), 6 , , , , . , ( ) ( ), , , , . , . , , - , , , . 5.79 . - , , . - , , . , . 5.80 . , , : ( ), . 2,5 3 . , , , . 2005 . , , , . 5.81 . 36 , 64 . , ( ), ( ), ( 3 ). , . , , 17000 . . -- 43000 2005 . 4000 . 44 . Brenzel, L. et al, Immunization Resource Tracking: Case Study of Tajikistan, (2007). Page 138 130 ( ) 155 , ( ). 5.82 . , JICA, , AKHS, Merlin, . 95 , 3 2002-2005 . , . 570839 2002 . 1,5 2005 ., , 11 18 . , , , , . , , 8,5 , . 52 . 1,4 , 2,7 , . , , , . 5.83 . , , 2,4 , 4,7 1,6 . , , , ( , 4), - (1,9). , , (p>0.001) , ( , ). , , , ( ) , (0,88 0,57) — (p<0.06). , 1,86 . ( ) , , (p>0.0001) 8,1 ). 5.84 . , , / . - 25,2, - 14,8 , – 12,6 . , , . , , . (92 ), (88 ) (96 ). ; . Page 139 131 113,33 32,93 . 5 1620 ( 1,5 471 ). (171,65 ) , – (73 ). , (p>0.001). , . , , , , . , . 5.85 . , , , , . ( ). , . 6000 . (18700 , ) - (826 ). , (p>0.0000) (p >0.01). 10 , , 443 , . , , . , 3 , , 212 . (p<0.03). . (p<0.09). . 5.86 . 90 EPI . , , . , . , , 26 000 , . 25 2005 . . 53 , 34 - , 31 - , 17 – , 4 – B. , 2005 . , 8 B 4 – . , . (24 ), (18 ), (12,5 ), (12,5 ). Page 140 132 5.87 , , . , ( 3) , , , , , , , . R 2 0,55. , , , , , , , - 3. , , , , , . . 5.88 , , , . , , . , , . , , , , , . , , . 5.89 , ; ; ; , - ; . , , , , ( , , . . ), , . , . Page 141 6: A. 6.1. ( ) , . 2005 . , , , ; , . , , ( - ). , , . 6.2. , 70 , . - ( , , , ) , , , . 6.3 40 50 , . , , « ». , , , . , 40 , , , , . , , , , , . 6.4 . , . , . Page 142 134 6.5 , , , , . , . ( ) , . 6.6 , , , . , , 2005 . , , , . . , , , , 2005 . 6.7 ( ) . , , , , ; , . , , , - . - ( , , ), . . 6.8. , , - . , - . . 6.9. , 2005 .; , , . , ( ) , . , . 6.10. , . - , 2005 . Page 143 135 , , . , 2005 . - , , , . , , - , , , , . 6.11. , . , . , , , , , . 6.12. σ , . , σ , . , , . , . . . . 6.13. , . , . , , . , , . 6.14. ( , , ). , , , . , ( ), , , , ( Page 144 136 ) . , , , . 6.15. . , , ( , ), . , , . : · - , , , ; · - , , . , , . · , . . , , . · . , , , ( ). , ( ), , - . · , , ( ) . , . . · , , Page 145 137 . . 6.16. . , . 24,4 , – , , 147,7 . , , , . (72,1 ). , 82,2 75,6 . , , . / , , 2 4. 2,08; , 0,95, . , , , , 2,71 , . 6.17. , , , , , . , 40 , . , 48 . , , . , . , , , / . 6.18. , , , « », . , 12,7 , 7,9 , , 4,8 . , , 122,8 147,7 . . - , . . Page 146 138 6.19. , . , , , . , . , , . , , , , . 83 . , - . - . . 6.20. . , « » 7,7 . , . , , . 1 8 , , . , 35 , , . . , 54, 8 , - 27.8 . 6.21. , , ( , ) , . , 71,5 , ; 59,5 , – 50,4 . 27,8 , – , 123,9 . 6.22. , 30 . , 31.3 , . 7 , , . , . , . · 50 . 2:1, Page 147 139 , . · , , . , . . 6.23. . - , , , , , , . . , . 6.24. , , , , . 1 , , . 6.25. , - , , . , . , , . , , , , . 6.26. , , , , . , , . 6.27. , , , . , , , ( , ). 6.28. . , Page 148 140 . , , . , , , . . 6.29. . . , 15000 400000 . , 200000 . · - , , , , , . · ( ) , . · , , , , . . , , , , . , . . · . ( , ). · . . , . , , , , , . Page 149 141 : , ( ) , , . 2005 2006 . , , . . , . . . 2006 . ( , , , ), / , , , . , . .1: (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) 1 / / 32 32 1 1 7 42 35 224 218 3 9 25 130 168 1054 1030 12 43 13 91 108 710 696 6 24 15 93 134 597 583 8 30 61 356 445 2617 2559 30 107 : , 2006 . : (4). ( ) (5) , .1. . (2) , , 25 . , , , . 60 . . , . 356 , (3). , , , , , 445 (4). 2617 , , , . , Page 150 142 , 2559 . . 5 61 . , , . ‘ ’ 30, . - . , ( ), , , . , . (7) .1 , . , . ( ) – . .2. : χ χ ψ φ η η θ ζ Χ = = i j i ij ij ) ( (1) ij – j i , i – , i (7) A .1. . , 15 , 105 583. . , . . (6) A .2. , , (7) . . . , , , , . , , . (4). , . , k j i :: j J ijk ijk 4 ) ( = = (2) , , . , 107 . (8) 2.2 , 1 4 (4) A.2. Page 151 143 . , 10 . , : ε = = = 4 1 k 10 ) ( k F ijl ijl (3) , , (9) A .2. , l , k , j i , : ijl ijk ij ijkl Χ Χ = ijkl ijkl 1 = (4) . . , . . . , . . - , , , 5 3 . . , 7 . , . , 5 3 . . , . , 5/3, . – . , , , . , , . . . – , , (12) of 2.2 Page 152 144 A.2: 12 3 45 67 89 10 11 12 O blast # Rayo Rayon # Jamoat # Fac. P(Ray) Sray P(Jam) univ P(Fac.) ovpfac fweight D ushanbe 1 Dushanbe 1 32 1 1 1 32 0.313 0.313 3.2 Gbao 7 Darvoz 4 34 0.468 -- 1 -- -- -- -- Gbao 7 Ishkashim 7 29 0.399 -- 0.571 -- -- -- -- G bao 7 Khorog 1 12 0.165 1 1 12 0.833 0.138 7.267 G bao 7 Roshtkala 6 28 0.385 1 0.667 24 0.417 0.107 9.343 G bao 7 Rushan 8 39 0.537 -- 0.5 0 0 0 0 Gbao 7 Shugnan 8 43 0.592 1 0.5 30 0.333 0.099 10.14 G bao 7 Vandzh 1 33 0.454 -- 1 -- -- -- -- K hatlon 25 A.Dzhomi 7 52 0.584 -- 0.571 -- -- -- -- Khatlon 25 Baldzhuvon 5 23 0.258 -- 0.8 -- -- -- -- K hatlon 25 Bokhtar 10 67 0.753 1 0.4 30 0.333 0.1 9.963 K hatlon 25 Dangara 10 51 1 1 0.4 16 0.625 0.25 4 K hatlon 25 Dzhilikul 6 45 0.506 1 0.667 29 0.345 0.116 8.603 Khatlon 25 Farkhor 12 51 0.573 -- 0.333 0 0 0 0 Khatlon 25 Javan 10 73 0.82 1 0.4 27 0.37 0.122 8.229 K hatlon 25 Kabodijon 10 54 0.607 1 0.4 13 0.769 0.187 5.356 Khatlon 25 Khamadoni 8 42 0.472 1 0.5 15 0.667 0.157 6.357 Khatlon 25 Khovaling 5 23 0.258 1 0.8 20 0.5 0.103 9.674 Khatlon 25 Khuroson 6 32 0.36 1 0.667 19 0.526 0.126 7.927 K hatlon 25 K olkhozobad 9 57 0.64 1 0.444 22 0.455 0.129 7.729 Khatlon 25 Kuljab 5 48 0.539 -- 0.8 -- -- -- -- K hatlon 25 Kumsangir 7 52 0.584 -- 0.571 -- -- -- -- K hatlon 25 K urgan-Tjube 1 13 0.146 1 1 13 0.769 0.112 8.9 Khatlon 25 Muminobad 7 37 0.416 1 0.571 25 0.4 0.095 10.524 Khatlon 25 Nosiri Khisrav 3 16 0.18 -- 1 -- -- -- -- Khatlon 25 Nurek 4 15 0.169 -- 1 -- -- -- -- Khatlon 25 Pjandzh 6 47 0.528 -- 0.667 -- -- -- -- Khatlon 25 Sarband 3 11 0.124 1 1 11 0.909 0.112 8.9 Khatlon 25 Shakhrituz 6 46 0.517 -- 0.667 -- -- -- -- Khatlon 25 Shurabad 7 24 0.27 -- 0.571 -- -- -- -- Khatlon 25 Temurmalik 7 35 0.393 -- 0.571 -- -- -- -- Khatlon 25 Vakhsh 6 57 0.64 -- 0.667 -- -- -- -- Khatlon 25 Vose 8 59 0.663 -- 0.5 -- -- -- -- RRS 13 Dzhirgatol 10 46 0.347 -- 0.4 -- -- -- -- RRS 13 Fajjzobod 11 40 0.302 -- 0.364 -- -- -- -- RRS 13 Gissar 10 85 0.642 -- 0.4 -- -- -- -- RRS 13 Nurobod 7 40 0.302 -- 0.571 -- -- -- -- RRS 13 Rasht 11 51 0.385 1 0.364 17 0.588 0.082 12.137 RRS 13 Rogun 2 14 0.106 -- 1 -- -- -- -- RRS 13 Rudaki 14 109 0.823 1 0.286 29 0.345 0.081 12.329 RRS 13 Shakhrinav 7 31 0.234 1 0.571 19 0.526 0.07 14.201 RRS 13 Tavildara 4 23 0.174 -- 1 -- -- -- -- RRS 13 Tochikobod 5 25 0.189 1 0.8 17 0.588 0.089 11.254 RRS 13 Tursunzade 9 86 0.65 1 0.444 53 0.189 0.054 18.359 RRS 13 Vakhdat 11 112 0.846 -- 0.364 -- -- -- -- RRS 13 Varzob 7 34 1 1 0.571 15 0.667 0.381 2.625 Sogd 15 Ajjni 8 46 0.663 1 0.5 15 0.667 0.221 4.527 Sogd 15 Asht 10 33 0.484 -- 0.4 -- -- -- -- Sogd 15 B. Gafurov 13 63 0.896 -- 0.308 -- -- -- -- Sogd 15 Dzh. Rasulova 9 35 0.512 1 0.444 24 0.417 0.095 10.552 Sogd 15 Ganchi 8 40 0.58 -- 0.5 -- -- -- -- Sogd 15 Isfara 13 45 0.649 -- 0.308 -- -- -- -- Sogd 15 Istaravshan 12 53 0.759 1 0.333 14 0.714 0.181 5.535 Sogd 15 Kajjrokum 6 14 0.224 1 0.667 12 0.833 0.124 8.05 Sogd 15 Kanibadam 7 39 0.567 1 0.571 21 0.476 0.154 6.485 Sogd 15 Khudzhand 1 22 0.333 -- 1 -- -- -- -- Sogd 15 Mastchokh 9 37 0.539 -- 0.444 -- -- -- -- Sogd 15 Pendzhikent 16 105 1 1 0.25 33 0.303 0.076 13.2 Sogd 15 Shakhristan 2 14 0.224 1 1 14 0.714 0.16 6.261 Sogd 15 Spitamen 7 18 0.278 1 0.571 14 0.714 0.114 8.798 Sogd 15 Zafarabad 13 19 0.292 -- 0.308 -- -- -- -- Page 153 145 , . , , . , ( ). . . . , . , , , , 2005 , . , , . . : , , . , , . , . , , . . ( , ) , , . . ( , , , , ), ( , , ). , , , . , , . , , . , . . , . . ( ), , Page 154 146 . , ( , ), , . , . , , . , . , , . . , , ( ). . . , , , . , / , , , , ( , , , . .). ( , ), ( , , , ), . ( ) , , , 2005 . , , . . , . , 60 80% . , , , , , . , , . , ( ) , . , , , . , , , ( ). ( , ) , . Page 155 147 - “ “ ” ( ). , . 30 2006 , . . : , , “ ”, , , . A .1 . A .1: 1 r 2 3 1, 2, 3, 4 , 6, 7 8 8 . 4 , , . , . , . , , , , , . , 9 12 2006 . . “ ”. – , , , Page 156 148 , , , , , , , , . . . , , . . . , , , , . , . , , . , . . , . , , . , . A .3. , 20 . 15 - . , , . . - . , . - . , , . Page 157 149 A.3: 1- 8 2006 1- 8 2006 9- 12 2006 9- 12 2006 2- 3 2006 13 – 15 2006 13 – 22 2006 26 – 20 20 – 7 2007 26 – 20 2007 7 - 10 2007 . . , “ ” . . . . 30 , 4 10 , 7 . , . , ( ) - , . , 104 ; , . 30 2005 , , . , 74 , 2005 . , , , . , . ( – ). Page 158 150 A.4: 31 28 104 326 1282 328 326 . , 9 : , , , . . , . “ ”. . , . 7 . 10 . . , , , . 5 : ( , - , - , - , – , – ); ( 0, 1 , ---- , ); ; ; . . , . , , . , . . , . Page 159 151 . . , , , , . , 3 . , , , . 7 : , , , ( ), ( ) . , , “ ” . . , , . , . – ( ), ( ), ( ), ( ), ( , , ), . , , . , , , , . . , , . , , . , . . . , , , , . , : – , . : , , ( , ). , , ( , ). . , ( ). , 3 5 , . , , , , . - , : , , ( , ), . , . Page 160 152 . - . (3 - 7 ). : , , , , . ( “ ” “ ” ), ( “ ” “ ” ) ( “ ” ). . , 2006 , 2005 . , , , . , , , . . , , , . . , . . , , , , . . . , . , / ( ) . , , - , , . 45 A .2, , , . , , . , 30 , 13 , 6 . . 45 . Page 161 153 A .2: 0,2 0,0 0,2 0,4 0,1 0,3 1,4 28,0 13,2 1,7 5,6 0,0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 ( % ) , . , . , - , 4. , . . 2005 . , . , (3 ). , , , . , : , , , . , , , . · . – , . · , , ( ) , . Page 162 154 · , , , , . . : · : , , . · . , , . · , , . . , , . · . , / : , , . . · , , , , . · , , , . · . : Ύ\03 ( ) ; Ύ\03 , , ( , , . .); Ύ\03 ( - ) . · “ ” . , / t . , . · , . Page 163 155 · – , . , . , . . , , . ( 3 -6 ) , , , , , . , . . , . . , , . , . Page 164 156 .1: % . 20,1 16 20,3 17,5 18,9 16,2 18,4 % / . 49,2 37,4 37,7 39,4 42,3 39,9 41,9 % 26 24,9 23,2 . 12,7 22,7 7,5 22 % / 37,3 31,1 44 . 34,9 40,7 26,4 40 % 43,8 46 40,6 41,5 20 40,6 36,9 40,3 % / 31,4 39,2 45,9 46,9 56,9 42,2 48,4 42,7 % . 14,1 14,7 19,8 5,7 12 15,3 15,2 % / . 45,5 39,7 34,3 34,3 42 41,3 41,3 % . 25,8 17,6 30,6 0 . 24,4 24,4 % / . 57,2 56 48,2 77,8 . 53,9 53,9 % . 4 0 1,2 0 . 1,3 1,3 . % / . 73,5 72,9 62,9 58,5 . 69,5 69,5 % . 66,7 40 20 40 42,7 26,8 36,2 % / . 33,3 40 60 40 39,3 56,1 46,2 % 35,7 20,6 17,6 26,7 15,5 25,1 15,5 21,4 % / 34,1 48,7 45 43,7 41,9 41,9 48,9 44,6 Page 165 157 .2: . 2,45 2,33 1,86 2,25 2,24 2,46 2,28 1,43 1,25 1,9 . 2,74 1,79 3,5 1,82 0,72 0,85 1,13 1,13 2,84 1,04 1,31 1,06 . 3,24 2,7 1,73 6 3,5 2,7 2,72 . 2,22 3,18 1,57 . . 2,21 2,21 . 18,42 . 51,25 . . 53,24 53,24 . 0,5 1 3 1 0,92 2,1 1,28 0,95 2,36 2,55 1,64 2,71 1,67 3,15 2,08 : 2006 . .3: 27 16,6 18 24,6 29,7 16,3 24,7 20,8 34 25,6 30,9 36,5 40,6 31,6 31,9 31,9 27 38,1 30 36,4 36,8 21,3 39,7 34,3 50 29,4 26,2 31,3 21,4 20,6 31,3 27,9 30,6 24,2 23,8 32 29,8 19,6 30 26,5 31,3 26,9 29,8 34,2 36,5 26 33,4 31,1 31,1 26,1 27,7 33,5 35,5 24 32,4 29,7 : , , 2006 . .4: ( + ) / 66.2 55.2 46.2 77.7 60.1 53.3 37.2 33.1 35.8 39.9 51 41.9 29. 34 40 60.6 38.4 28. 28. 40 56.9 43.4 33 34.8 41.1 54.8 41.5 38.2 41.3 44.8 56.6 39.7 27. 31.2 38.9 55.7 40.2 30. 34.4 40.8 : 2006 . – Page 166 158 .5: . 475.4 464 337.7 450.5 438.1 255.8 51 175.8 . 47.2 121.2 280.3 84.9 66.3 226.7 106.5 155.7 . 69.8 62.7 57.9 17. 60 . 12. 13. 13. 04. 12. . 4 04. 03. 02. 03. . 3 41 17 5 13. 270.5 33.6 37.6 29. 34.8 37.1 .6: . 464.9 381.2 317.1 446.5 399.2 246.8 48.4 126.3 . 45.9 98.6 271.5 81.5 44.8 160.2 90.8 129.2 . 69.6 46.3 44 17. 51.5 . 12. 11 12. 04. 11. . 03. 03. 03. 02. 03. . 02. 30. 13 5 10. 261.6 32.9 29. 24. 33.5 32.3 .7: . 154017 117491.7 102761.9 192642.4 134256.6 100644 13991 38213.8 . 20423.5 35112.8 62798.7 30317.8 17311.1 12869 34397.5 32511.1 . 18500.2 15961.5 8999.5 6590 15040.5 . 5132.3 3452.7 2745.2 1406.5 3287.5 . 942.2 1002.8 888.5 678.1 926.4 . 1032 8650 4036 1768 4046.4 77936.8 19025.6 9089 6048.3 15113.5 11870.8 Page 167 159 .8: . 145521.2 108343.5 100888.6 180070.6 126378.6 100160.3 13894.4 35901.3 . 18808.8 33488.5 62681.8 15898 14124.4 7231 27297.5 27646.9 . 18500.2 12695.6 8999.5 6483 13918.1 . 3756.4 2849.7 2802.2 1406.5 2967.5 . 901.8 925.7 769.5 678.1 851.6 . 1032 6413 2709 1768 3037.7 77673.2 12881 8196.6 5378.2 13845.7 10277.9 B.9: , & 4,8 10 25,3 2,6 12,1 17,1 6,9 20,3 11 0 30 45,7 37,1 34,4 23,8 52,8 39,2 27,8 48,3 7 0 15,1 25,5 28,4 28,2 15,8 22,6 21,5 22,7 45,5 11,4 6,4 30,3 31,6 27,6 29,6 15,4 34,8 35 30,7 41,1 7 0,2 8,1 38,6 58,1 38,6 30 42 34,3 30 57,6 3,1 0 8,7 24,4 25,7 25,2 16,1 29,1 23,5 29,3 44,3 6,8 1,5 28,8 42,5 39,7 38,9 20,7 41,5 39,1 18,7 44,1 11,3 3,7 6,5 31,6 31,3 30,7 17,9 34 29,8 25,1 44,2 8,6 2,4 19,9 : 2006 : , , , , , . Page 168 160 .10: 92.9 63.5 71 84.5 67.1 71.5 23.3 17.4 19.7 50 39.4 43.6 13.1 30.1 24 53.5 52.9 53.1 40.6 28.1 32 43 56.5 52.3 31.8 11.9 16.3 0 9.8 7.7 32.8 31.9 32.2 41.6 41.9 41.8 20.3 17.2 18.3 57.1 49.8 52.3 28.1 26.5 27 47.4 44.8 45.7 : 2006 .11: ( ) 52.4 7.02 9.21 3.45 3.79 12.97 6.48 11.25 / 39.01 4.77 5.57 4.07 1.91 11.27 2.65 7.33 76.44 19.59 1.2 0 9.36 21.06 0 17.35 59.41 6.61 11.92 1.75 0 11.24 1.76 7.42 4.53 1.76 2.26 0.54 0 2.19 0.72 1.52 85.16 7.74 8 4.02 4.22 15.56 4.46 11.44 34.18 5.06 6.5 2.69 2.09 9.75 2.71 7.15 47.22 6.12 7.01 3.11 2.62 11.69 3.3 8.58 : 2006 Page 169 161 .12: , .13: , /Fe . . 70.7 59.2 67.8 100 45.3 75.6 63.6 66.6 53.4 41.1 84 61.5 76.6 49.4 52.6 51.3 53.1 47.7 31.7 39.9 45.4 50.1 46.9 48.1 52.3 41.8 0 75.9 21.6 63.2 39.4 46.9 80.2 88.4 96.7 87.7 89.1 86.4 87.1 86.9 58.3 52.6 88.3 70.4 45.6 58.3 58.7 58.6 56.8 46.7 18.4 51.1 48.5 55.2 46.9 49.7 57.9 49.9 77.7 62.9 47 57.2 54.4 55.3 : 2006 14 2.4 5.8 5.6 0 100 29.4 3.9 3.9 8.6 10.1 35.9 34.4 15 96.4 43.2 37.1 0.6 9.1 7.5 50 24.6 23.9 97.8 51.9 45.8 1.8 1.2 12.3 26.8 17.8 5.6 89.8 28.8 13.6 1.4 0 0 2 0.6 10.9 100 17 12.3 0.5 7.9 8.8 22.9 17.1 13.7 96.3 37.6 26.8 1 2.6 3.2 39 23.3 13 97.5 33.5 27.7 2 6.1 7 28.3 19.1 13.5 96.7 36.2 27.1 1.3 : 2006 Page 170 162 .1: 107.4 481.2 7.5 4.2 0 : fl 107.4 510.4 7.5 4.2 0 : ffl 107.4 514.2 7.5 4.2 0 : fl 107.4 541.9 7.5 4.2 0 : ff 107.4 546.4 7.5 4.2 0 : fl n 107.4 577.9 7.5 4.2 0 : fl ccent 107.4 610.2 7.5 4.2 0 : fl 107.4 635.0 7.5 4.2 0 : fi 107.4 639.5 7.5 4.2 0 : fl 107.4 643.2 7.5 4.2 0 : fl 330.9 511.9 7.5 4.2 0 : fl 330.9 535.2 7.5 4.2 0 : ffl 330.9 538.9 7.5 4.2 0 : fl 330.9 560.7 7.5 4.2 0 : ff 330.9 564.5 7.5 4.2 0 : fl n 330.9 590.7 7.5 4.2 0 : fl ccent 330.9 616.2 7.5 4.2 0 : fl 330.9 635.0 7.5 4.2 0 : fi 330.9 639.5 7.5 4.2 0 : fl 330.9 643.2 7.5 4.2 0 : fl 325.7 472.9 6.0 1.7 0 : \12 343.7 481.2 6.0 1.7 0 : \11 370.7 502.9 7.5 2.1 0 : \11 359.4 472.9 6.0 1.7 0 : \12 378.2 481.2 6.0 1.7 0 : \11 381.9 479.6 7.5 5.5 0 : + 385.6 483.4 7.5 4.2 0 : R 388.6 486.4 7.5 3.8 0 : V 390.9 489.4 7.5 4.2 0 : S 393.9 492.4 7.5 2.1 0 : \11 395.4 493.9 7.5 2.1 0 : \03 396.9 495.4 7.5 5.0 0 : $ 400.6 498.4 7.5 2.1 0 : W 402.2 499.9 7.5 2.1 0 : W 403.6 501.4 7.5 2.1 0 : \11 393.9 472.9 6.0 1.7 0 : \12 411.9 481.2 6.0 1.7 0 : \11 427.7 472.9 6.0 1.7 0 : \12 445.7 481.2 6.0 1.7 0 : \11 461.4 472.9 6.0 1.7 0 : \12 480.2 481.2 6.0 1.7 0 : \11 Source: Tajikistan Health PETS 2006 Figure .2: / 0 2 0 0 4 0 0 6 0 0 8 0 0 / . Note: Tajikistan Health PETS 2006 / . . Page 171 163 .14: : ( ) -1 -2 -3 -4 -5 -6 -7 -8 0.063*** 0.074*** 0.019 0.019 0.018 0.027 0.024 0.024 -0.015 -0.017 -0.026 -0.026 -0.026 -0.026 -0.026 -0.026 - 0.080*** - 0.082*** -0.076** - 0.102*** - 0.099*** -0.128*** - 0.128*** -0.03 -0.03 -0.031 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.032 -0.032 -0.026 -0.049 -0.042 -0.070** -0.070** -0.034 -0.034 -0.035 -0.034 -0.034 -0.033 -0.033 -0.017 -0.007 -0.013 -0.036 -0.054 -0.067** -0.067** -0.036 -0.036 -0.036 -0.035 -0.034 -0.033 -0.033 - 0.105*** - 0.111*** - 0.106*** - 0.126*** - 0.130*** -0.156*** - 0.156*** -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.029 -0.029 -0.029 0.058* 0.056* 0.044 0.032 0.029 0.029 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 0.085*** 0.080** 0.073** 0.056* 0.054* 0.054* -0.033 -0.033 -0.033 -0.032 -0.032 -0.032 0.061* 0.051 0.016 0 -0.003 -0.003 -0.034 -0.034 -0.033 -0.032 -0.032 -0.032 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.058*** -0.007 -0.01 -0.012 -0.012 -0.016 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 / 0.147*** 0.148*** 0.126*** 0.126*** -0.024 -0.024 -0.024 -0.024 0.177*** 0.169*** 0.133*** 0.133*** -0.031 -0.031 -0.032 -0.032 0.085** 0.081** 0.052 0.052 -0.033 -0.033 -0.033 -0.033 - 0.082*** -0.029 -0.029 -0.018 -0.022 -0.022 -0.002*** - 0.002*** 0 0 3498 3498 3498 3498 3495 3495 3495 3495 R 0 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 -2087.68 -2075.93 -2071.39 -2065.32 -2042.51 -2031.72 -2022.38 -2022.38 * 10%; ** 5%; *** 1% Page 172 164 .15: – -1 -2 -3 -4 -5 -6 -7 -0.232*** -0.235*** -0.236*** -0.239*** -0.212*** -0.232*** -0.232*** -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 -0.07 -0.08 -0.07 -0.07 -0.127*** -0.132*** -0.141*** -0.106** -0.039 0.001 0.006 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.187** -0.190** -0.198** -0.166** -0.112 -0.099 -0.097 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.08 -0.565*** -0.563*** -0.564*** -0.553*** -0.548*** -0.549*** -0.548*** -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.103*** -0.125*** -0.144*** -0.055 -0.047 -0.034 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 -0.007*** -0.026*** -0.017*** -0.015*** -0.015*** 0 0 0 0 0 0.003*** 0.002*** 0.002*** 0.002*** 0 0 0 0 Exp. squared -0.000*** -0.000** -0.000** -0.000* 0 0 0 0 0.405*** 0.378*** 0.370*** -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 0.365*** 0.354*** 0.353*** -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 0.220*** 0.205*** 0.204*** -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 0.141*** 0.133*** -0.04 -0.05 -0.036 -0.039 -0.05 -0.05 0.053 0.048 -0.04 -0.04 0 0 / 0.004* 0 1195 1195 1195 1195 1195 1195 1195 R 0.09 0.1 0.11 0.16 0.2 0.21 0.21 -750.17 -745.04 -734.45 -693.73 -664.68 -655.63 -652.12 * 10%; ** 5%; *** 1% Page 173 165 . 16: – Tobit -1 -2 -3 -4 -5 -6 -7 - 104.16*** - 104.52*** - 104.10*** - 104.57*** -95.72*** -98.34*** -97.12*** -14.89 -14.56 -14.52 -14.42 -14.42 -14.4 -14.56 -78.06*** -79.05*** -80.59*** -76.22*** -62.89*** -53.99*** -52.41*** -14.37 -14.05 -14.02 -13.93 -14.03 -14.1 -14.25 - 100.76*** - 100.54*** - 101.31*** -96.23*** -85.57*** -81.48*** -79.87*** -15.52 -15.17 -15.13 -15.04 -15.05 -15 -15.16 - 278.66*** - 266.27*** - 266.11*** - 256.91*** - 250.36*** - 254.78*** - 252.30*** -29.32 -28.55 -28.67 -28.68 -28.87 -29.5 -29.57 -43.24*** -46.51*** -50.43*** -29.02*** -26.15*** -24.58*** -7.12 -7.17 -7.21 -8.3 -8.33 -8.43 -1.30*** -4.56*** -3.65*** -3.20*** -3.18*** -0.36 -0.67 -0.74 -0.75 -0.75 0.53*** 0.39*** 0.36*** 0.35*** -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 Exp. squared -0.0004** -0.0003* -0.0003* -0.0003* -0.0001 -0.0001 -0.0001 -0.0001 83.96*** 76.04*** 74.14*** -14.67 -14.67 -14.86 / 53.97*** 50.21*** 49.82*** -13.61 -13.53 -13.55 45.63*** 40.81*** 39.97*** -15.17 -15.12 -15.18 25.65*** 25.16*** -7.74 -7.77 2.27 2 -10.14 -10.14 14.84** 14.56** -7.25 -7.26 0.04 -0.11 / 0.32 -0.25 78.28*** 107.47*** 163.21*** 209.72*** 117.17*** 85.45*** 78.86** -13.37 -13.87 -20.85 -25.38 -31.65 -32.63 -33.36 1195 1195 1195 1195 1195 1195 1195 * 10%; ** 5%; *** 1% Page 174 166 N. 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