Document of The World Bank FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Report No: IMPLEMENTATION COMPLETION AND RESULTS REPORT TF017246 ON A SMALL GRANT IN THE AMOUNT OF USD 500,000 TO THE REPUBLIC OF SUDAN FOR SUDAN STATISTICAL CAPACITY BUILDING PROJECT (P152016) May 21, 2019 Poverty And Equity Global Practice Africa Region ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS APS Agricultural Production Survey CAPI Computer Assisted Personal Interview CBS Central Bureau of Statistics DPs Development Partners FAO Food and Agriculture Organization FM Financial Management GoS Government of Sudan HBS Household Budget Surveys ICT Information and Communications Technology LSMS-ISA Living Standards Measurement Study - Integrated Surveys on Agriculture MoFEP Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning MoL Ministry of Labor NSDS National Strategy for the Development of Statistics NSS National Statistical System PDO Project Development Objective PIU Project Implementation Unit PRSP Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper SNA System of National Accounts StatCap Statistical Capacity Building UNDP United Nations Development Program WFP World Food Program Regional Vice President: Hafez Ghanem Country Director: Carolyn Turk Senior Global Practice Director: Carolina Sanchez-Paramo Practice Manager: Pierella Paci Task Team Leader: Alvin Etang Ndip ICR Main Contributor: Eiman Adil Mohamed Osman TABLE OF CONTENTS DATA SHEET ............................................................................ ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. I. PROJECT CONTEXT AND DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES............................................................. 3 II. OUTCOME ................................................................................................................................ 5 III. KEY FACTORS THAT AFFECTED IMPLEMENTATION AND OUTCOME....................................... 8 IV. BANK PERFORMANCE, COMPLIANCE ISSUES, AND RISK TO DEVELOPMENT OUTCOME ....... 9 V. LESSONS LEARNED AND RECOMMENDALESSONS LEARNED AND RECOMMENDATIONS ...... 9 ANNEX 1. RESULTS FRAMEWORK AND KEY OUTPUTS ................................................................. 11 ANNEX 2. PROJECT COST BY COMPOANNEX 2. PROJECT COST BY COMPONENT ........................ 17 ANNEX 3. RECIPIENT, CO-FINANCIER AND OTHER PARTNER/STAKEHOLDER COMMENTS ......... 18 ANNEX 4. SUPPORTING DOCUMENTS (IF ANY) ............................................................................ 19 The World Bank Sudan Statistical Capacity Building Project (P152016) DATA SHEET BASIC INFORMATION Product Information Project ID Project Name P152016 Sudan Statistical Capacity Building Project Country Financing Instrument Sudan Investment Project Financing Original EA Category Revised EA Category Not Required (C) Not Required (C) Organizations Borrower Implementing Agency Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning Central Bureau of Statistics Project Development Objective (PDO) Original PDO The objective of the project is to strengthen the capacity of CBS to monitor social indicators, collect pilot household agricultural production statistics, and improve the country’s system of national accounts. FINANCING FINANCE_TBL Original Amount (US$) Revised Amount (US$) Actual Disbursed (US$) Donor Financing TF-17246 500,000 500,000 499,908 Total 500,000 500,000 499,908 Total Project Cost 500,000 500,000 499,908 Page 1 of 18 The World Bank Sudan Statistical Capacity Building Project (P152016) KEY DATES Approval Effectiveness Original Closing Actual Closing 01-Oct-2015 23-Nov-2015 23-Nov-2017 23-Nov-2018 RESTRUCTURING AND/OR ADDITIONAL FINANCING Date(s) Amount Disbursed (US$M) Key Revisions 10-Nov-2017 0.24 Change in Results Framework Change in Loan Closing Date(s) Change in Implementation Schedule KEY RATINGS Outcome Bank Performance M&E Quality Satisfactory Satisfactory Modest RATINGS OF PROJECT PERFORMANCE IN ISRs Actual No. Date ISR Archived DO Rating IP Rating Disbursements (US$M) 01 04-Oct-2017 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 0.24 ADM STAFF Role At Approval At ICR Regional Vice President: Makhtar Diop Hafez M. H. Ghanem Country Director: Sajjad Ali Shah Sayed Carolyn Turk Senior Global Practice Director: Ana L. Revenga Carolina Sanchez Practice Manager: Pablo Fajnzylber Pierella Paci Task Team Leader(s): Ayago Esmubancha Wambile Alvin Etang Ndip ICR Contributing Author: Eiman Adil Mohamed Osman Page 2 of 18 The World Bank Sudan Statistical Capacity Building Project (P152016) I. PROJECT CONTEXT AND DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES Context The Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS), with the help of UNDP, prepared the National Strategy for the Development of Statistics (NSDS) as a framework for strengthening statistical capacity for the period 2012 to 2016. The NSDS covered the entire national statistical system and aimed to: i. Strengthen the production of quality and timely statistics in line with international best practices and guidelines; ii. Review the Statistics Act of 2003 to cover the establishment and mandate of the National Statistical System (NSS), improve the coordination and promote integration and collaboration among and between data producers and users; iii. Strengthen national capacity to produce, analyze, and use reliable statistics generated by an integrated NSS; iv. Ensure the long-term sustainability of the NSS by securing funding for priority data production, analysis, and dissemination. In line with the NSDS, The World Bank and the Government of Sudan (GoS), entered into an agreement to assist CBS in developing a well-informed, time-bound and budgeted implementation plan for the Government policy priority areas in the strategy, through building CBS capacity in using ICT for data collection and processing as well as for compiling the data into meaningful statistics to inform policymaking. Project Development Objectives (PDOs) The objectives of the project are: strengthen the capacity of CBS to monitor social indicators, collect pilot household agricultural production statistics, and improve the country’s system of national accounts. Key Expected Outcomes and Outcome Indicators The project development objectives are assessed by the relevance and quality of statistical information produced by CBS. The main expected outcomes of the project are: i. Improved capacity inside CBS for identifying the gaps in social indicators most needed for the Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper (PRSP) and filling the main gaps using internationally recommended statistical methods. ii. Improved capacity inside CBS to produce quality agricultural data and update national accounts. The key results of the project will be assessed through three PDO level indicators: (Annex 1) i. Compilation of key social statistics and plan to improve the frequency and timeliness of their production and dissemination; Page 3 of 18 The World Bank Sudan Statistical Capacity Building Project (P152016) ii. Publication of the pilot household agricultural survey results; iii. Roadmap for updating the National Accounts at the Federal level. Components The grant was structured around two main components: (1) strengthening social indicators monitoring; and (2) strengthening statistics to inform the government’s economic diversification strategy. The second component is divided into two sub components: (i) build capacity to collect and produce high quality agricultural data through piloting cost effective approaches; and (ii) strengthen capacity to improve Sudan System of National Accounts (SNA) and provide a road map for updating National Accounts at the Federal level. Component 1: Strengthening social indicators monitoring. This component aimed to help the GoS to effectively monitor social indicators that are most needed for the poverty reduction strategy. The component had two activities. The first activity provided support to CBS in mapping available key social indicators, identifying data gaps and drafting a plan to close those gaps. This activity initially included presentation of comprehensive labor market descriptive statistics based on the 2011 Sudan Labor Force Survey. But the Ministry of Labor (MoL) had already prepared a report containing labor market descriptive statistics. For this reason, this sub-activity was cancelled. Nonetheless, a discussion on labor statistics was included in the final report. The second activity was initially planned to support CBS in creating comparable poverty estimates for Household Budget Survey (HBS) 2008/9 and HBS 2014/15 as well as update the poverty maps based on the data from HBS 2014/15. However, the focus changed, because the World Bank team had produced poverty profiles based on the same dataset. Thus, to avoid duplication, it was agreed that the poverty profiling and mapping work focuses on capacity building of relevant CBS staff on how to produce poverty profiles and maps. Component 2: Strengthening statistics to inform the government’s economic diversi fication strategy. This component aimed to help the CBS to collect agriculture statistics and produce reliable National Accounts. The component is divided into two sub-components: Sub-Component 1: Build capacity to collect and produce high quality agricultural data through piloting cost effective approaches. This sub-component aimed to help the design and pilot-testing of a household agricultural production survey to strengthen CBS capacity to collect agriculture statistics which can greatly assist in designing policies for poverty reduction and food security. It also aimed to build the capacity necessary to implement a high- quality agricultural survey nationwide in the future; data was collected using Survey Solutions on the Computer- Assisted Personal Interview (CAPI) system. Together with, the survey was designed to extensively draw lessons from the Living Standards Measurement Study-Integrated Surveys on Agriculture (LSMS-ISA). Sub-Component 2: Strengthen capacity to improve Sudan System of National Accounts and provide a road map for updating National Accounts at the Federal level. Aligned with CBS plans to upgrade its System of National Account to SNA 1993 and SNA 2008, this component aimed to improve CBS capacity to assess the country’s SNA data to identify priority areas for strengthening the system in line with current standards and to prepare a road map for updating National Accounts at the federal level. Page 4 of 18 The World Bank Sudan Statistical Capacity Building Project (P152016) II. OUTCOME Assessment of Achievement of Each Objective/Outcome The project’s achievements are assessed against the threefold of the PDOs: (i) strengthen the capacity of CBS to monitor social indicators, (ii) collect pilot household agricultural production statistics, and (iii) improve the country’s system of national accounts. (i) strengthen the capacity of CBS to monitor social indicators Report on available key social indicators and plan for closing the most important gaps in key social indicators, has been prepared. The first activity provided support to CBS, through a local consultant, mapping the available key social indicators, identifying data gaps and drafting a plan to close those gaps. The final report was submitted and accepted by CBS in October 2018. The report set four criteria for selecting the indicators: validity, relevance, and robustness, then it mapped the available social indicators, such as childhood mortality, early marriage, water, sanitation and hygiene, region/state disparities in labor force participation, school enrolment rates and literacy. A recommendation plan was also suggested to fill data gaps and improve social statistics in Sudan. This included coordination among various sectoral agencies to ease data combination from administrative and survey sources, coordination between producers and users in undertaking concreted programs in affected areas and support and strengthen local statistics offices to produce gender responsive data. Key poverty indicators based on HBS 2014/15 and poverty profiling and mapping was completed. During a mission in January 2018, it was agreed that the poverty profiling and mapping activity will include a component designed to strengthen the capacity of CBS staff. As the World Bank was also planning to produce poverty profiles for its poverty assessment, using the 2014/15 NBHPS data, the Bank and CBS agreed that, to avoid duplication of this analysis, the poverty profiling and mapping work should focus on capacity building of relevant CBS staff by World Bank experts. At the end of the training, CBS trainees would employ newly-acquired skills to produce poverty profiles and maps for Sudan. This output would satisfy the PDO indicator as per the results framework. Accordingly, this activity provided training for capacity building of CBS to produce poverty profiles and maps. Six CBS staff received training on poverty profiling and mapping in Washington D.C. in April 2018. Building on this, the new StatCap will further include training on multi-topic household survey design and sampling design. Planned IT equipment was purchased to support the enhancement of data processing, statistical information management, and dissemination. Five laptops for the Project Implementation Unit (PIU) and other head of departments, 37 desktops of which 30 are for the training room at CBS in Khartoum, one photocopier, 8 External hard disks and STATA software for 8 single users, were purchased to support CBS day-to-day work. In addition, 35 tablets were purchased for the pilot Agricultural Production Survey (APS). CBS used CAPI (Survey Solutions) for data collection, which helped to reduce the time lag between data collection and data analysis, improved data quality, and reduced survey costs. (See Annex 4) (ii) collect pilot household agricultural production statistics Page 5 of 18 The World Bank Sudan Statistical Capacity Building Project (P152016) The project designed and piloted the household agricultural production survey in Kassala state during March and April 2018. Kassala was selected for the pilot survey, through a consultative process involving the Ministry of Agriculture, Ministry of Livestock, FAO, and WFP, because of the state's high smallholder agricultural potential including farming and livestock, and it represented different types of practices in Sudan, including rainfed, irrigated and mechanized agriculture, as well as livestock husbandry. CAPI (Survey Solutions) was used to collect and produce high-quality data on agricultural households’ socio-economic status, crop, and livestock production. The pilot has helped to increase CBS capacity in collecting agriculture data which will be useful to conduct future nationwide survey and census. Furthermore, CBS staff were trained on data cleaning, data analysis and report writing as part of the capacity building activities. In light of this, CBS has expressed satisfaction with Survey Solutions, and plan to use it for future surveys going forward. The final report was submitted in October 2018, along with a dissemination workshop in Khartoum. (iii) improve the country’s system of national accounts. An international consultant worked with CBS to assess the country’s SNA data to identify priority areas for strengthening the system in line with current standards. The report was prepared and disseminated in July 2018. The report proposed three technical procedures in order to carry out the data migration from Sudan’s SNA 1968 to SNA 2008 by the year 2020 in a time window of 5 years. The three procedures can be summarized as follows: First, strengthening the institutional setting. Second, building a knowledge base through workshops on manuals and handbooks of different UN agencies, Central Bank of Sudan, Ministry of Finance and Ministry of Labor. Third, carrying out statistical operations, that consists of full registry for household dwellings and economic entities, conduct an economic census, and integrate presentation to include full sequence of current accounts, accumulation accounts, and balance sheet. Overall Outcome Rating The overall outcome rating is Satisfactory. The last ISR for this small grant was done in 2017 and does not reflect the recent developments. After the ISR was done things have improved a lot in terms of project implementation and disbursement. The disbursement rate was less than 50% at the time of the ISR but increased substantially to 100% upon project completion. The final rating (satisfactory) reflects these improvements. All three indicators measuring progress towards the PDO have been fully achieved. For the first objective, “compilation of key social indicators and plan to improve their production and dissemination� final report on mapping key social indicators and a plan to fill the gaps have been prepared. Also, under this objective, CBS staff were trained in poverty analysis and poverty maps and produced poverty profiles and maps. The second objective “collect household agricultural production survey�, APS was conducted in Kassala State and the final report was disseminated. For the third objective “the Road Map to migrate to a system of national accounts SNA 2008�, the road map has been prepared and disseminated. Page 6 of 18 The World Bank Sudan Statistical Capacity Building Project (P152016) Project Management sub-component: This was added during restructuring, with funds reallocated from component 1. The original design did not have this component which was very helpful for the success of the project. This sub- component provided funds and activities related to project management. It helped to strengthen the CBS’ fiduciary functions (procurement and financial management) and project management capabilities and financed trainings for the CBS Project Implementing Unit (PIU) staff. It also financed operational costs related to project implementation including the use of local consultants as necessary, logistics (transport costs), stationery, workshops/meetings. This facilitated project implementation. Other Outcomes and Impacts Senior staff of CBS participated in one study tour and one annual international meeting to learn the best practices about National Accounts Statistics. The staff went on a study tour to the National Institute of Statistics of Tunisia, to learn about migration to SNA 2008. The staff have also participated in the two-day event of the African Symposium on Statistical Development (ASSD), under the theme “Application of economic statistics and national accounts in support of sustainable development" The Statistical Capacity Building project has contributed to strengthening CBS staff and the institution as a whole on various sectors. The training received by CBS staff can be summarized as follows: i. Financial Management (FM) training. The PIU FM staff initially had neither experience in using the information system with World Bank procedures on disbursement, interim reporting, and annual audit reporting. This challenge was addressed through intensive training and close supervision from the World Bank FM specialist. The project funded the FM officer participation at the “Financial Management for Project Accountant in Government/World Bank funded Project� course at the Kenya School of Government. The FM officer will also work for the new StatCap project, which will help to speed up preparation and implementation. ii. Procurement training. Through intensive supervision by the World Bank Procurement specialist, the PIU procurement officer can conduct procurement activities in a timely manner and in compliance with World Bank guidelines. Along with, the project has financed the participation of the procurement officer of the new StatCap, to attend an international program training on procurement activities using Systematic Tracking on Exchanges in Procurement (STEP) system for better and faster results. iii. Data quality training. The project has funded four training regarding data analysis, of which, 8 staff were trained in the use of CAPI, 5 staff were trained in Advance data management and analysis for surveys using STATA, 5 staff trained in econometrics and forecasting course, and one staff attended the technical workshop on data collection for Sustainable Development Goals land indicators. iv. English language training. CBS staff in Khartoum and other state offices took four months English language course that integrated all the fundamental components of language learning: speaking, Page 7 of 18 The World Bank Sudan Statistical Capacity Building Project (P152016) listening, reading, writing, grammar and vocabulary. The course allowed the staff to be more productive at work by communicating effectively and confidently. v. Administration and office management training. 3 staff from the executive office and the secretary of CBS, have been trained by experts in Cairo in developing their managerial and organizational skills. One of the trainees has been selected to work on the PIU for the new StatCap project. CBS organized a retreat (attended by World Bank project team) in November 2018. The meetings discussed lessons learned from the project and plans for the new project. New CBS training center equipped with 30 desktops. The project purchased 30 desktops to equip CBS training center that will be used for future trainings. (See Annex 4). Follow up research on enumerator characteristics for survey data quality has been developed. A follow-up questionnaire was distributed to the enumerators and supervisors of APS to collect information on their background, education, work experience, agriculture’s surveys experience, general surveys experience, and APS experience in specific. The data was then analyzed and produced a paper on “Interviewer Design Effects in Household Surveys: Evidence from Sudan�. The research recommended some techniques for b etter interviewer quality, some of these techniques are :reducing the number of respondents per interviewer, including interviewer identifiers in all survey data, and follow good survey implementation practices, such as: budgeting adequate time for questionnaire design, including early identification of reoccurring interviewer- level issues that might affect data quality, and conducting a high-quality training using a close to finalized questionnaire. III. KEY FACTORS THAT AFFECTED IMPLEMENTATION AND OUTCOME The project’s initial implementation was slow but, with CBS commitment to the activity and with the World Bank’s support, implementation improved significantly in 2017/18. The grant agreement was signed on October 1, 2015 and became effective on March 1st, 2016. Initial delays were due to several factors, including: (i) opening bank accounts in Sudan took long to be verified. (ii) CBS’s limited capacity to implement World Bank-financed projects; (iii) delays in recruiting consultants either because consultants’ applications sometimes had to be re-evaluated because the selection committee had not followed the appropriate procedures, or the committee took so long to complete the evaluation. Relevant orientation and training were organized to overcome those challenges, such as the training on procurement procedures by the World Bank procurement specialist. Disagreement on disseminating data and reports from the project played a key factor on delaying project implementation plan. The World Bank was informed in early 2017 that CBS intends not to disseminate any data nor reports from the project. During a mission in April 2017, the government was informed that this contradicts the signed project agreement. Then, following back and forth discussions between the government and the World Bank, the issue was resolved, and it was agreed on August 2017 to disseminate project outputs. Page 8 of 18 The World Bank Sudan Statistical Capacity Building Project (P152016) However, it was clear by April 2017 that it would not be possible to complete the project’s activities and achieve its PDO by the original November 23, 2017 closing date. An implementation support mission in April 2017 assessed that the milestones of the PDO continue to be delayed. The Government requested the project’s closing data extension through MoFEP, which was accepted by the World Bank and the project was then restructured with a new closing date of November 23, 2018. The continued delay in releasing HBS 2014/15 data affected the timely preparation of poverty profile and maps. After the WB team had productive discussions with the CBS and the MoFEP in August 2017 and October 2017 datasets were released to the team. The macro-economic context has led to several risks that affected the implementation. The country macro context has led to (i) increased exchange rate depreciation coupled with high inflation reducing the purchasing power of funds held in local currency, this risk was mitigated by ensuring that only small amounts of funds are held in local currency. (ii) the change in the exchange rate from 18 SDG per 1 dollar to 47.5 SDG per 1 dollar in October 2017, which led to nearly tripling the grant amount when transferred from dollar to local currency, it was mitigated by PIU preparing and implementing an immediate action plan for the extra fund. IV. BANK PERFORMANCE, COMPLIANCE ISSUES, AND RISK TO DEVELOPMENT OUTCOME Overall, the World Bank’s performance has been satisfactory. Since the signing of the agreement, the World Bank team carried out eight implementation support missions, as well as providing extensive implementation support via phone, VCs, and emails. The team has also initiated a Statistical Forum for coordination of statistical activities between development partners (DPs). The forum took place 5 times during the project implementation period, where more than 15 DP institutions attended this forum. The participants shared experiences and plans for statistical activities in Sudan. It helped to mitigate the risk of duplicating efforts related to statistical activities supported by different organizations. V. LESSONS LEARNED AND RECOMMENDALESSONS LEARNED AND RECOMMENDATIONS 1. The appointed PIU staff have to free enough time to work on the project, as from experience when PIU procurement officer took on a new responsibility as CBS IT department director, he wasn’t able to continue supporting the project. 2. Conduct training for PIU members in advance before the start of the project to ensure compliance with procurement, disbursement, and FM policies and procedures as well as agreed reporting requirements. 3. To apply APS as a nationwide survey, or in another state, some of the lessons learned should be taken into consideration. These lessons have been compiled from the experience of survey enumerators, supervisors and management. i. Allow sufficient time at each stage of survey design: The questionnaire was still being refined during training, which was understandably confusing for enumerators. Adequate time should be given for questionnaire review and feedback by national and local agricultural experts before training to avoid Page 9 of 18 The World Bank Sudan Statistical Capacity Building Project (P152016) this issue. Furthermore, the sample was prepared only during training which did not afford the field teams sufficient time to plan their fieldwork. Additionally, there were still logic issues with the questionnaire application during implementation. Adequate time needs to be given for piloting the questionnaire as well as for addressing issues that emerge from the pilot. One week should be the target for piloting and finalizing the questionnaire. In general, the obvious lesson learned is to allocate more time than you think is necessary to refine the questionnaire. ii. The fieldwork schedule may have been too ambitious: Teams of four enumerators and one supervisor were to complete listing and conduct 10 interviews in one cluster each day. This may have been overly ambitious. Sometimes, especially where local administration was not cooperative, listing took until three in the afternoon and data collection finished at night. Two changes could improve this situation. The first is to communicate earlier with local administrators to schedule listing. The second is to reduce cluster size from 10 to 8 respondents, reducing overall sample size but increasing slightly the number of clusters. iii. Measurement issues: While the questionnaire was based on the World Bank’s LSMS-ISA questionnaire, a number of simplifications were made for the sake of simplicity for the pilot. One was not conducting a market survey to assess unit weights and the other was using respondent estimated land sizes. The lack of accurate unit weights was an impediment for both food consumption and crop harvest data and no subsequent agricultural survey should be conducted without one. On the other hand, respondent estimation of land appeared to be less of an issue judging by both the data and enumerator experience. iv. Other questionnaire issues: Enumerators reported that respondents struggled with questions on shocks. These questions need to be explained better in the questionnaire and taught better during training. Additionally, some enumerators may need better training on eliciting accurate food consumed in the last 7 days responses. Enumerators mentioned that respondents with both crop and livestock lost interest over time as they were required to fill all four modules during lengthy interviews. Solutions to this later issue may include conducting interviews with multiple respondents based on the different modules. v. Need for local language interpreters: In some areas, enumerators could not communicate with respondents in Arabic. They had to find someone nearby to help, slowing fieldwork. Arrangements including budget should be made for having local interpreter ready in advance. 4. For better time management, some actions need to be considered, such as: i. CBS to arrange all meetings for the consultants in advance, prior to their arrivals, ii. Review all deliverables before the final submission (from the first draft). iii. World Bank procurement specialist to train selection committee, once formed by CBS to speed up recruitment of consultants to support project activities. . Page 10 of 18 The World Bank Sudan Statistical Capacity Building Project (P152016) ANNEX 1. RESULTS FRAMEWORK AND KEY OUTPUTS A. RESULTS INDICATORS A.1 PDO Indicators Objective/Outcome: Improved capacity inside CBS for identifying the gaps in social indicators most needed for the PRSP and filling the main gaps using internationally recommended statistical methods Unit of Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Baseline Original Target Measure Target Completion Compilation of key social Text Current available Text Report on available Consultant for the statistics and plan to improve social indicators from key social indicators social indicators has their production and in-country systems and plan for closing prepared the full dissemination the most important report. Training of CBS gaps in key social staff on poverty indicators profiling and mapping has been completed 01-Jan-2016 01-Jan-2016 23-Nov-2018 31-Oct-2018 Comments (achievements against targets): 1). Final report on Available Key Social Indicators for Sudan: Mapping, Identifying and Planning for Closing Most Important Gaps. 2). 6 CBS staff trained in poverty analysis and poverty maps. Objective/Outcome: Improved capacity inside CBS to produce quality agricultural data and update national accounts Page 11 of 18 The World Bank Sudan Statistical Capacity Building Project (P152016) Unit of Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Baseline Original Target Measure Target Completion Publication of the pilot Text No available surveys Text Dissemination of the Data collection household agricultural survey pilot survey results completed in March results 2018. Final report submitted, and dissemination workshop took place in October 2018. 01-Jan-2016 01-Jan-2016 23-Nov-2018 31-Oct-2018 Comments (achievements against targets): A pilot Agricultural Production Survel was conducted in Kassala State and the final report was disseminated Unit of Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Baseline Original Target Measure Target Completion Roadmap to update National Text Current available Text Prepare a Project Report prepared for Accounts at the Federal level assessments of SNA Document for the migration to SNA Migration to SNA 2008 2008, and that can be forwarded dissemination to the development workshop held. partners for finance and technical assistance. Convene a workshop for the UN system in Sudan for the purpose. Page 12 of 18 The World Bank Sudan Statistical Capacity Building Project (P152016) 01-Jan-2016 01-Jan-2016 23-Nov-2018 31-Jul-2018 Comments (achievements against targets): Prepared a Project Document for the Migration to SNA 2008 that can be forwarded to the development partners for finance and technical assistance. Convened a workshop for the UN system in Sudan for the purpose A.2 Intermediate Results Indicators Component: CAPI training for CBS staff and enumerators. Training of enumerators and supervisors Data collection completed Unit of Formally Revised Actual Achieved at Indicator Name Baseline Original Target Measure Target Completion Build capacity to collect and Text No available surveys Text survey instruments CBS staff received produce high quality developed for the APS training on CAPI. A agricultural data through and CAPI training pilot agricultural piloting CAPI delivered to CBS staff production survey was and enumerators conducted in Kassala State and the final report was disseminated 01-Jan-2016 01-Jan-2016 31-May-2018 28-Jun-2018 Comments (achievements against targets): The project designed and piloted the household agricultural production survey in Kassala state during March and April 2018. Kassala was selected for the pilot survey, through a consultative process involving the Ministry of Agriculture, Ministry of Livestock, FAO, and WFP, because of the state's high smallholder agricultural potential including farming and livestock, and it represented different types of practices in Sudan, including rainfed, irrigated and mechanized agriculture, as well as livestock husbandry. Page 13 of 18 The World Bank Sudan Statistical Capacity Building Project (P152016) CAPI (Survey Solutions) was used to collect and produce high-quality data on agricultural households’ socio-economic status, crop, and livestock production. The pilot has helped to increase CBS capacity in collecting agriculture data which will be useful to conduct future nationwide survey and census. Furthermore, CBS staff were trained on data cleaning, data analysis and report writing as part of the capacity building activities. In light of this, CBS has expressed satisfaction with Survey Solutions, and plan to use it for future surveys going forward. The final report was submitted in October 2018, along with a dissemination workshop in Khartoum. PDO Level Results Cumulative Target Values Current Status Comment Baseline Indicators January 2018 April 2018 July 2018 October 2018 key social statistics and Current Map of the Key poverty Poverty Report on Consultant for plan to improve their available available key indicators profiling available key the social Completed production and social social based on HBS and social indicators has dissemination. indicators indicators and 2014/15 mapping indicators and prepared the from in- identification plan for closing full report. country of the main the most Training of CBS systems gaps important gaps staff on poverty in key social profiling and indicators mapping has been completed Indicator Two: No available Design of the CAPI training Data Dissemination Data collection Completed Publication of the pilot surveys survey sample for CBS staff collection of the pilot completed in household agricultural and and completed survey results March 2018. survey results. questionnaire enumerators. Final report Training of submitted, and enumerators dissemination and workshop took supervisors place in October 2018. Page 14 of 18 The World Bank Sudan Statistical Capacity Building Project (P152016) Indicator Three: Current Review of Identify the Design the Prepare a Report prepared Completed Roadmap to update available previous survey Strategy Project for migration to National Accounts at the assessments assessments priorities in for the Document for SNA 2008, and Federal level. of SNA and Statistics relation to migration the Migration dissemination Norway the to SNA to SNA 2008 workshop held. ongoing implementati 2008 by that can be activities to on of the 2020 with forwarded to identify the Action Plan detailed the gap in CBS 2016-2020 of Action Plan development concepts and the NSDS Activities, partners for capacity and timeline finance and the missing and cost. technical surveys to assistance. Co migrate to nvene a SNA 2008 workshop for the UN system in Sudan for the purpose. Page 15 of 18 The World Bank Sudan Statistical Capacity Building Project (P152016) B. ORGANIZATION OF THE ASSESSMENT OF THE PDO Objective/Outcome 1: Improved capacity inside CBS for identifying the gaps in social indicators most needed for the PRSP and filling the main gaps using internationally recommended statistical methods. Outcome Indicators 1. Compilation of key social statistics and plan to improve the frequency and timeliness of their production and dissemination Key Outputs by Component 1. Final report on Available Key Social Indicators for Sudan: Mapping, (linked to the achievement of the Objective/Outcome 1) Identifying and Planning for Closing Most Important Gaps. 2. 6 CBS staff trained in poverty analysis and poverty maps. Objective/Outcome 2: Improved capacity inside CBS to produce quality agricultural data and update national accounts. Outcome Indicators 1. Publication of the pilot household agricultural survey results 2. Roadmap for updating the National Accounts at the Federal level Key Outputs by Component 1. Agricultural Production Survey conducted in Kassala. (linked to the achievement of the Objective/Outcome 2) 2. APS final report submitted. 3.Dissemination workshop of APS results conducted. 4.Research paper conducted: Interviewer Design Effects in Sudan. 5.Project document submitted for the Migration to SNA 2008. 6. Dissemination workshop took place on the roadmap for updating the National Accounts at the Federal level. Page 16 of 18 The World Bank Sudan Statistical Capacity Building Project (P152016) . ANNEX 2. PROJECT COST BY COMPOANNEX 2. PROJECT COST BY COMPONENT Amount at Actual at Project Percentage of Components Approval Closing (US$M) Approval (US$M) (US$M) Strengthening social indicators monitoring 230,000 89,311 Strengthening statistics to inform the 251,636 270,000 government’s economic diversification strategy Project Management *1 0 159,053 Total 500,000.00 500,000.00 0.00 1The project management component wad added after the restructuring of the project in October 2017. The component has covered the project coordinator salary, all logistical costs and capacity building training. Page 17 of 18 The World Bank Sudan Statistical Capacity Building Project (P152016) ANNEX 3. RECIPIENT, CO-FINANCIER AND OTHER PARTNER/STAKEHOLDER COMMENTS Comments from the Central Bureau of Statistics: “The StatCap was successful in terms of project design and implementation. The expertise of many experts in various fields has been utilized, as well as training of CBS staff internally and abroad. It is a good practice and it is the first collaboration between WB and CBS since 1989.� (Elsir, Abbas, Project Coordinator) Page 18 of 18 The World Bank Sudan Statistical Capacity Building Project (P152016) ANNEX 4. SUPPORTING DOCUMENTS (IF ANY) A. Supporting Documents by project component: Component/Activity Supporting Document Component 1: Strengthening Social Indicators Final Report on Available Key Social social indicators monitoring Indicators for Sudan: Mapping, Identifying and Planning for Closing Most Important Gaps. Training on poverty profiles and Training material maps Component 2: Strengthening Build capacity to collect and Concept Note statistics to inform the produce high quality agricultural government’s economic data through piloting cost Questionnaire (English and Arabic) diversification strategy effective approaches Manual (English and Arabic) Summary Report Full Report Workshop Agenda and Invitation Workshop Presentation Enumerators Study Questionnaire (English and Arabic) Enumerators Study Final Report Strengthen capacity to improve Final Report Sudan System of National Accounts and provide a road map Workshop Presentation for updating National Accounts at the Federal level. Extension Report Page 19 of 18 The World Bank Sudan Statistical Capacity Building Project (P152016) B. Supporting Documents by other activities: Training room equipment: the first pictures show the old training room at the old building of CBS; the second picture shows the new training room at the new building with the IT equipment that the project funded: Picture 1. Old Training Centre at CBS Page 20 of 18 The World Bank Sudan Statistical Capacity Building Project (P152016) Picture 2. New Training Center at CBS Page 21 of 18