The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Argentina Second Rural Education Improvement Project - PROMER-II (P133195) Argentina Second Rural Education Improvement Project - PROMER-II (P133195) LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN | Argentina | Education Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2015 | Seq No: 9 | ARCHIVED on 19-Jun-2019 | ISR37508 | Implementing Agencies: Argentine Republic, Ministry of Education, Culture, Science and Technology Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 02-Dec-2014 Effectiveness Date: 07-May-2015 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 15-Dec-2017 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: 15-Dec-2017 Original Closing Date: 31-Dec-2019 Revised Closing Date: 31-Dec-2019 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The proposed Project Development Objective is to support the national Government to reduce repetition rates in Primary Education and increase enrollment in, and completion rates of, Secondary Education, all in Argentina's rural areas. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Reducing Repetition Rates in Rural Classrooms:(Cost $44.00 M) Increasing Enrollment and Completion of Rural Secondary School:(Cost $180.00 M) Strengthening Project Management, Monitoring, and Evaluation:(Cost $26.50 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Moderate Moderate Implementation Status and Key Decisions The Project continues to make progress as it enters its final year of implementation, both in terms of implementation of activities and improvements in the performance of Project indicators. Some of the main highlights include:  Infrastructure. To date, 56 works have been finalized, two are undergoing procurement processes, and 78 are being executed. Out of the number of works revised in the November 2018 restructuring, 40 will not be completed by the current closing date and would instead be finalized in early 2020 if counterpart funding is made available. The Bank emphasized the need to prioritize works supporting the implementation of Secundaria 2030 in rural areas to avoid resulting in unmet demand in terms of coverage for secondary in rural areas. The Borrower is also updating its report of unmet demand for rural infrastructure to understand if the Project’s overall objective of 6/19/2019 Page 1 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Argentina Second Rural Education Improvement Project - PROMER-II (P133195) expanding coverage of rural secondary education will be met through the selected works. The first of three field visits to view the status and quality of infrastructure works was carried out in May 2019 in Santiago del Estero and at least one additional visit is expected to be carried out in the second semester of the year.  Secundaria Rural 2030. The pilot is currently under implementation in 127 schools in 11 provinces, which has included the provision of teacher training and technological equipment to participating schools. Increased support to technical and teaching teams for both lower and upper secondary will be provided from June-September 2019 to improve implementation of the model. In addition, improvements are being made to the design of pedagogical material and a monitoring and evaluation tool is being developed to follow up on the implementation of the model.  Cognitive Behavioral Therapy (CBT) pilot for dropout prevention in the Province of Buenos Aires (PBA). Budget cuts at the national level affected the availability of budget to implement the En Sintonía program through PROMER, causing significant delays in its launch and a risk of dropping the activity altogether. The full range of materials, however, was designed and produced as planned and the pilot will now be carried out in 25 schools instead of 100, with the possibility of scaling it up in coming months if additional budget becomes available. The training and implementation of the pilot are now planned for August 2019.  In-Service Training. Activities planned for 2019 include 5 principals’ circles and training days, 1 instance of didactic meetings (replicating the model from previous years), and refresher courses to bring primary school teachers  Evaluation activities with the Secretaría de Evaluación Educativa (SEE). Activities carried out during 2018 included: (i) preparation activities for Aprender 2019; (ii) exploit information from Aprender 2018 results; (iii) self-evaluation in Teacher Training Institutes; and (iv) participation in ERCE. The SEE continues to carry out actions that are helping integrate evaluation into school management, especially through the use of the Aprender jurisdiction- and school-level results reports. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance -- Moderate Moderate Macroeconomic -- Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies -- Substantial Substantial Technical Design of Project or Program -- Moderate Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability -- Substantial Substantial Fiduciary -- Substantial Substantial Environment and Social -- Moderate Moderate Stakeholders -- Moderate Moderate Other -- Moderate Moderate Overall -- Moderate Moderate Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes 6/19/2019 Page 2 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Argentina Second Rural Education Improvement Project - PROMER-II (P133195) Support the national Government to reduce repetition rates in Primary Education IN00713281 ►Average repetition rate in primary schools in rural areas (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 3.80 4.80 4.60 3.50 Date 31-Dec-2014 18-Dec-2018 04-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2019 The increase in the repetition rate seemingly indicates a "rebound effect," similar to those registered in other countries after implementing measures such as the "unidad pedagogica" initiated by the Government and the technical complexity of its implementation. Efforts in in-service training will focus on Comments: ways to decrease repetition in 2019 to get the indicator back on track. It is worth noting, however, that the same effect was evidenced in urban areas and that the increase in urban areas was actually higher than in rural areas (1.7% vs. 1%). Support the national government to increase enrollment in Secondary Education IN00713282 ►Number of students entering the first year of secondary school in rural areas as a proportion of students who finished primary school in rural areas (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 74.40 76.30 76.70 80.00 Date 31-Dec-2014 18-Dec-2018 04-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2019 IN00713283 ►Number of students in rural areas enrolled in 10th grade as a proportion of students that completed 9th grade in rural areas (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 91.60 94.00 94.80 96.00 Date 31-Dec-2014 18-Dec-2018 04-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2019 IN00713284 ►Proportion of the total number of students enrolled in the 1st grade of upper secondary completing the last year of upper secondaryeducation(12th grade) in rural areas, including students that repeat (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 63.30 62.60 64.70 68.00 Date 31-Dec-2014 18-Dec-2018 04-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2019 The performance of this indicator was affected by delays related to the process of building consensus and developing the Secundaria Rural 2030 Model. Despite the decrease in completion rates, rural areas Comments: continue to outperform urban areas, where the completion rate for this level was 57.1% for 2017. Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Component 1: Reducing Repetition Rates in Rural Classrooms IN00713285 ►Direct project beneficiaries (Number, Custom) 6/19/2019 Page 3 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Argentina Second Rural Education Improvement Project - PROMER-II (P133195) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 1,152,011.00 1,149,963.00 1,152,493.00 1,142,470.00 Date 31-Dec-2014 18-Dec-2018 04-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2019 The number of 1,152,493 corresponds to students and teachers. The number of direct students Comments: beneficiaries is 976,701. IN00713289 Female beneficiaries (Percentage, Custom Supplement) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 52.00 52.10 52.20 50.00 IN00713290 ►Percentage of rural schools with at least one teacher completing a training modality (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.00 Date 31-Dec-2014 18-Dec-2018 04-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2019 There has been a delay in uploading the corresponding data to measure this indicator. Data is expected to Comments: become available in July 2019. IN00713293 ►Percentage of rural schools in which the principal has completed a training modality (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 Date 31-Dec-2014 18-Dec-2018 04-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2019 There has been a delay in uploading the corresponding data to measure this indicator. Data is expected to Comments: become available in July 2019. IN00713296 ►Proportion of rural schools with a PEI (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 Date 31-Dec-2014 18-Dec-2018 04-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2018 Data is expected to become available in July 2019. Comments: Component 2: Increasing Enrollment and Completion of Rural Secondary School IN00713286 ►Percentage of rural schools offering Lower Secondary with PBL (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 57.70 76.30 90.00 Date 31-Dec-2014 18-Dec-2018 04-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2019 6/19/2019 Page 4 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Argentina Second Rural Education Improvement Project - PROMER-II (P133195) IN00713287 ►Number of new schools or schools to be refurbished per province defined and agreed upon (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 174.00 160.00 Date 31-Dec-2014 18-Dec-2018 04-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2019 IN00713291 ►Completion of civil works in secondary education (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 50.00 110.00 Date 31-Dec-2014 18-Dec-2018 04-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2019 IN00713294 ►Number of upper secondary schools as a proportion of number of lower secondary schools (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 61.00 70.00 71.00 75.00 Date 31-Dec-2014 18-Dec-2018 04-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2019 Number of schools in Upper secondary: 2,602 Comments: Number of schools in Lower secondary: 3,653 IN00713297 ►Production of pedagogical materials for Lower Secondary - Updating the Horizontes Series in the framework of the Proyecto Secundaria Federal 2030 in rural areas (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 06-Jul-2018 18-Dec-2018 04-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2019 Materials are currently being produced. Comments: IN00713299 ►Production of pedagogical materials for Upper Secondary - Production of integrative pedagogical projects and practical support work by discipline within the framework of the Proyecto Secundaria Federa (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 06-Jul-2018 18-Dec-2018 04-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2019 Materials are currently being produced. Comments: Component 3: Strengthening Project Management, Monitoring, and Evaluation IN00713288 ►Development and maintenance of a website to monitor PROMER II (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes 6/19/2019 Page 5 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Argentina Second Rural Education Improvement Project - PROMER-II (P133195) Date 31-Dec-2012 18-Dec-2018 04-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2018 IN00713292 ►Schools benefitting from "Aprender con la familia y en la escuela" as a proportion of the total targeted schools (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 22.40 22.40 82.90 60.00 Date 29-Dec-2017 18-Dec-2018 04-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2019 82.9% corresponds to the purchase of materials in 2018 and their distribution in 2019. Comments: IN00713295 ►Percentage of rural schools in which the principal accessed the report by school for each edition of the national learning assessment (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 23.00 59.00 24.70 80.00 Date 31-Dec-2014 18-Dec-2018 04-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2019 This is preliminary data on access to results reports for Aprender 2018, which were only launched in May 2019. The total percentage of directors accessing the reports by December 2018 was 74% and, given Comments: preliminary data on access to date, an ever higher percentage is expected by December 2019. IN00713298 ►Design of didactic materials for the Cognitive Behavioral Therapy (CBT) Pilot (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No Yes Yes Yes Date 06-Jul-2018 18-Dec-2018 04-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2019 IN00713300 ►Implementation of the CBT pilot in treatment schools (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Pilot not yet Value Pilot not yet implemented Pilot not yet implemented Pilot implemented implemented Date 06-Jul-2018 18-Dec-2018 04-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2019 Despite delays in starting the pilot, its implementation is now expected to begin in July in 25 schools. Comments: IN00713301 ►Creation of a mechanism that allows the establishment of a communication channel between the Project and citizens (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 06-Jul-2018 18-Dec-2018 04-Jun-2019 31-Dec-2019 Consultations on the mechanism are being finalized to upload to the PROMER website. Comments: 6/19/2019 Page 6 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Argentina Second Rural Education Improvement Project - PROMER-II (P133195) Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P133195 IBRD-84520 Effective USD 250.50 250.50 0.00 167.67 82.83 67% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P133195 IBRD-84520 Effective 02-Dec-2014 16-Apr-2015 07-May-2015 31-Dec-2019 31-Dec-2019 Cumulative Disbursements Restructuring History Level 2 Approved on 15-Nov-2018 Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 6/19/2019 Page 7 of 8 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Argentina Second Rural Education Improvement Project - PROMER-II (P133195) 6/19/2019 Page 8 of 8