Document of The World Bank FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Report No: PAD3224 INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION PROJECT PAPER ON A PROPOSED ADDITIONAL CREDIT IN THE AMOUNT OF EURO 21.9 MILLION (US$25 MILLION EQUIVALENT) TO THE REPUBLIC OF NIGER FOR THE NIGER DISASTER RISK MANAGEMENT AND URBAN DEVELOPMENT PROJECT April 25, 2019 Social, Urban, Rural And Resilience Global Practice Africa Region This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization. CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS (Exchange Rate Effective February 28, 2019) Currency Unit = Franc (XOF) XOF 574 = US$1 US$ 1 = Euro 0.87581012 FISCAL YEAR January 1 - December 31 Regional Vice President: Hafez M.H. Ghanem Country Director: Soukeyna Kane Senior Global Practice Director: Ede Jorge Ijjasz-Vasquez Practice Manager: Sylvie Debomy Task Team Leader(s): Sabine W. Beddies, Brahim Ould Abdelwedoud ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS AF Additional Financing ANSI National Agency for New Technology CERC Contingency Emergency Response Component CPF Country Partnership Framework DRM Disaster Risk Management ESIA Environmental and Social Impact Assessment ESMF Environmental and Social Management Framework ESMP Environmental and Social Management Plan GBV Gender-based Violence GoN Government of Niger GRM Grievance Redress Mechanism ICT Information and Communication Technology IDA International Development Association IP Implementation Progress IRM Immediate Response Mechanism ISP Implementation Support Plan LDCF Least Developed Country Fund MTR Mid-Term Review M&E Monitoring and Evaluation NPF New Procurement Framework OPCS Operation Policy and Country Services PCU Project Coordination Unit PDO Project Development Objective PGRC-DU Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project PRSC Poverty Reduction Support Credit Program RVP Regional Vice President UN United Nations UNOCHA United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs WB World Bank NIGER DISASTER RISK MANAGEMENT AND URBAN DEVELOPMENT PROJECT ADDITIONAL FINANCING TABLE OF CONTENTS I. BACKGROUND AND RATIONALE FOR ADDITIONAL FINANCING ........................................ 7 II. DESCRIPTION OF ADDITIONAL FINANCING ...................................................................... 8 III. KEY RISKS ..................................................................................................................... 14 IV. APPRAISAL SUMMARY .................................................................................................. 15 VI SUMMARY TABLE OF CHANGES .................................... ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. VII DETAILED CHANGE(S) ................................................... ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. VII. RESULTS FRAMEWORK AND MONITORING .................................................................... 25 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) BASIC INFORMATION – PARENT (Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project - P145268) Country Product Line Team Leader(s) Niger IBRD/IDA Sabine W. Beddies Project ID Financing Instrument Resp CC Req CC Practice Area (Lead) P145268 Investment Project GSU19 (9354) AFCW3 (278) Social, Urban, Rural and Financing Resilience Global Practice Implementing Agency: Cabinet du Premier Ministre ADD_FIN_TBL1 Is this a regionally tagged project? Bank/IFC Collaboration No Original Environmental Approval Date Closing Date Current EA Category Assessment Category 11-Dec-2013 30-Jun-2020 Partial Assessment (B) Partial Assessment (B) Financing & Implementation Modalities Parent [ ] Multiphase Programmatic Approach [MPA] [✓] Contingent Emergency Response Component (CERC) [ ] Series of Projects (SOP) [ ] Fragile State(s) [ ] Disbursement-Linked Indicators (DLIs) [ ] Small State(s) [ ] Financial Intermediaries (FI) [ ] Fragile within a Non-fragile Country [ ] Project-Based Guarantee [ ] Conflict [ ] Deferred Drawdown [ ] Responding to Natural or Man-made disaster [ ] Alternate Procurement Arrangements (APA) Page 1 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) Development Objective(s) The Project Development Objective (PDO) is to improve Niger’s resilience to natural hazards through selected disaster risk management interventions in targeted project sites and strengthening of Government's capacity to respond promptly and effectively to an eligible crisis or an emergency. Ratings (from Parent ISR) RATING_DRAFT_Y ES Implementation 20-Jun-2016 27-Dec-2016 30-Jun-2017 04-Apr-2018 03-Oct-2018 Progress towards achievement of MS MS MS S S PDO Overall Implementation MS MS MS MS MS Progress (IP) Overall Safeguards Rating MS MS MS MS MS Overall Risk S S S S S BASIC INFORMATION – ADDITIONAL FINANCING (AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project - P167352) ADDFIN_TABLE Urgent Need or Capacity Project ID Project Name Additional Financing Type Constraints P167352 AF-Niger Disaster Risk Scale Up No Management and Urban Development Project Financing instrument Product line Approval Date Investment Project IBRD/IDA 17-May-2019 Financing Projected Date of Full Bank/IFC Collaboration Disbursement 30-Jun-2021 No Page 2 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) Is this a regionally tagged project? No Financing & Implementation Modalities Child [ ] Series of Projects (SOP) [ ] Fragile State(s) [ ] Disbursement-Linked Indicators (DLIs) [ ] Small State(s) [ ] Financial Intermediaries (FI) [ ] Fragile within a Non-fragile Country [ ] Project-Based Guarantee [ ] Conflict [ ] Deferred Drawdown [ ] Responding to Natural or Man-made disaster [ ] Alternate Procurement Arrangements (APA) [✓] Contingent Emergency Response Component (CERC) Disbursement Summary (from Parent ISR) Net Source of Funds Total Disbursed Remaining Balance Disbursed Commitments IBRD % IDA 100.00 84.09 6.86 92 % Grants 6.65 4.78 1.87 72 % PROJECT FINANCING DATA – ADDITIONAL FINANCING (AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project - P167352) PROJECT FINANCING DATA (US$, Millions) SUMMARY -NewFi n1 SUMMARY (Total Financing) Proposed Additional Total Proposed Current Financing Financing Financing Total Project Cost 106.64 25.00 131.64 Total Financing 106.64 25.00 131.64 of which IBRD/IDA 100.00 25.00 125.00 Page 3 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) Financing Gap 0.00 0.00 0.00 DETAILS - Additional Financing NewFinEnh1 World Bank Group Financing International Development Association (IDA) 25.00 IDA Credit 25.00 IDA Resources (in US$, Millions) Credit Amount Grant Amount Guarantee Amount Total Amount National PBA 25.00 0.00 0.00 25.00 Total 25.00 0.00 0.00 25.00 COMPLIANCE Policy Does the project depart from the CPF in content or in other significant respects? [ ] Yes [ ✔ ] No Does the project require any other Policy waiver(s)? [ ] Yes [ ✔ ] No INSTITUTIONAL DATA Practice Area (Lead) Social, Urban, Rural and Resilience Global Practice Contributing Practice Areas Climate Change and Disaster Screening This operation has been screened for short and long-term climate change and disaster risks Page 4 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) Gender Tag Does the project plan to undertake any of the following? a. Analysis to identify Project-relevant gaps between males and females, especially in light of country gaps identified through SCD and CPF No b. Specific action(s) to address the gender gaps identified in (a) and/or to improve women or men's empowerment No c. Include Indicators in results framework to monitor outcomes from actions identified in (b) No PROJECT TEAM Bank Staff Name Role Specialization Unit Team Leader (ADM Sabine W. Beddies GSU19 Responsible) Brahim Ould Abdelwedoud Team Leader Urban Development GSU11 Mahamadou Bambo Procurement Specialist (ADM Procurement GGOPF Sissoko Responsible) Aissata Z. Zerbo Procurement Specialist Procurement Specialist GGOPF Harouna Djibrilla Djimba Procurement Specialist Procurement GGOPF Prosper Nindorera Procurement Specialist GGOPF Financial Management Josue Akre FM GGOAW Specialist (ADM Responsible) Hubert Maurice Environmental Specialist (ADM Safeguards GENA2 Waterinckx Responsible) Amadou Ba Team Member Irrigated Schemes GFA01 Immediate Response Andre L. Carletto Team Member GHN07 Mechanism Andrianirina Michel Eric Team Member Finance Officer WFACS Ranjeva Cyril Michel Marcel Counsel Legal LEGFI Fernand Fiat Demba Balde Social Specialist Safeguards GSU01 Page 5 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) Emmanuel Ngollo Environmental Specialist Safeguards GENA2 Hadidia Diallo Djimba Team Member Program Support AFMNE Koffi Hounkpe Team Member Disaster Risk Management GSU19 Late Felix Lawson Team Member Finance Analyst WFACS Mohamed Nanzoul Team Member Infrastructure GWA07 Sung Heng C. Kok Shun Team Member Program Support GSU19 Taibou Adamou Maiga Team Member Water and Sanitation GWA07 Disaster Risk Management / Vivien Deparday Team Member GFDRR ICT Extended Team Name Title Organization Location Page 6 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) I. BACKGROUND AND RATIONALE FOR ADDITIONAL FINANCING 1. The Executive Directors approved the Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (PGRC- DU) on December 11, 2013 for an equivalent of US$100.0 million (Credit IDA-53400-NE; P145268), and an additional US$6.65 million Grant from the Least Developed Countries Fund (TF 16000; P145932) was approved on December 16, 2013. The project became effective on August 15, 2014. The closing date is June 30, 2020. The project development objective of PGRC-DU is to improve Niger’s resilience to natural hazards through selected disaster risk management interventions in targeted project sites and strengthening of Government's capacity to respond promptly and effectively to an eligible crisis or an emergency. The project primarily funds (i) Flood Risk Management Investments (including drainage, irrigation and socio-economic priority infrastructure; flood protection infrastructure; rehabilitation of watersheds); and (ii) Capacity Building for Urban Development and Disaster Risk Management (including for elected officials at local and national levels, municipal services and civil society) in the geographical areas of Niamey, Dosso, Diffa, and Tillabery. 2. A first Level II restructuring was carried out in March 28, 2016 to amend the Financial Agreement reflecting a change in the institutional arrangements for the Project coordination to the Cabinet of the Prime Minister. A second Level II restructuring was carried in March 23, 2017 to reallocate funds for the Contingent Emergency Response Component (US$13.5 million) for the activation of the IDA Immediate Response Mechanism (IRM) to address the negative impact of the 2016 flooding due to heavy summer rains induced by El Niño weather patterns that left more than 92,000 people displaced, according to estimation of the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (UNOCHA). 3. The December 2017 Mid-Term Review (MTR) confirmed (i) the alignment between project implementation and the Project Development Objective (PDO), which remains achievable by the end of the Project; and (ii) the adequacy of the four components for the achievement of the PDO. 4. The last Implementation Support Mission in February 2019 considers progress towards achievement of PDO as Satisfactory, based on the completion of key activities, including the restoration of the functionality of critical infrastructure, improving the Government's capacity to respond promptly and effectively to an eligible crisis or emergency, has been fully achieved with the activation of the IRM and completion of all emergency related activities. Overall implementation Progress is considered Moderately Satisfactory, as some indicators have not met their annual 2017 targets1. Procurement is currently rated Satisfactory based on the findings of the Post Procurement Review (PPR), which evidenced no major procurement issues, while minor issues are being addressed through an action plan that is currently under implementation. Financial Management is rated Moderately Satisfactory, following the latest archived PRIMA Assessment, filed in April 30, 2018. Monitoring and Evaluation is considered Satisfactory due to the quality and periodicity of project reporting, and a new M&E System is under implementation (i.e. data entry into new M&E database). Environmental and Social Safeguards are rated Moderately Satisfactory, as preparatory safeguards work of sub-projects needs to be strengthen, including carrying out of a more systematic screening process and 1Component 1 – Flood risk management- is rated Satisfactory based on a disbursement rate of 81 percentage and the 2018 annual targets having been surpassed; Component 2 – Capacity building in Urban Development and DRM - is rated Moderate Satisfactory as the delivery of some activities have not been fully achieved, which are beyond the scope of the project; Component 3 – Project Management is rated satisfactory’ ; and Component 4 – Contingency Component (CERC) is considered Highly Satisfactory based on its 90percent disbursement rate and achievement of targets for emergency interventions under a highly constrained and challenging operating environment. Page 7 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) finalizing of all compensatory measures prior to works commencement. 5. As of March 2019, this project has been under implementation for about 55 months (4.5 years), with disbursement of 90 percent (for a total amount of $82.16 million) of the Original Credit IDA-53400-NE, while the complementary trust fund, provided by the Least Developed Country Fund (LDCF), TF-1600, has disbursed 72 percent (US$4.78 million). This project paper describes the additional financing, that responds to the respective Government of Niger request, received on December 5, 2017, to close the financing gap created by the IRM activation and scale up emergency response activities. II. DESCRIPTION OF ADDITIONAL FINANCING 6. This Project Paper seeks the approval of the Board for an additional credit. Specifically, an additional credit in an amount of US$25 million to the Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project - PGRC-DU (P145268), to be financed under the International Development Association (IDA) national country allocation. The Additional Financing (AF) includes a level II restructuring of the parent project, PGRC-DU, with an extension of its closing date by 12 months. 7. The additional US$25 million credit to the PGRC-DU parent project will continue to finance (i) Flood Risk Management Investments and (ii) Capacity Building for Urban Development and Disaster Risk Management but will expand these into the regions of Agadez and Tahoua, and will also add ICT activities, such as training, mentoring, and access to working spaces, (that the AF will have rehabilitated), as well as providing access to data, applications, and facilitation for local entrepreneurs2. Specifically, the AF will support the Government to a) address a US$13.5 million financing gap caused by use of CERC funds through the activation of the country-wide IRM in response to the impact of El Niño-related flooding in 2016; b) provide for a US$7.5 million scale up of project activities in two additional regions, Agadez and Tahoua; c) add US$4 million for new Information and Communication Technology (ICT) activities. 8. The Level 2 restructuring includes (a) changes to the results framework to reflect the MTR recommendations, the IRM replenishment, and the new activities; and (b) extending the closing date for 12 months until June 30, 2021 to allow for implementation of additional financing activities, and to close the parent credit and AF credit on the same date. 9. Links to the Country Partnership Framework (CPF) (FY18-22, dated March 13, 2018): The AF will contribute to an increase in resilience to drought impacts on key infrastructure, and a decrease in the near- term drivers of fragility and conflict in Niger. Specifically, the AF will focus on local level interventions. It will provide the needed infrastructure for flood resilience through multi-sectoral investments that are targeted to high poverty rural areas as well as towards communities most at risk in the regions of Diffa, Tillabery, Tahoua and parts of Agadez. It will also provide and finance training of youth and community members on digital cartography to utilize said imagery to derive information for urban planning and to publish data. Hence, the AF directly contributes to the CPF, which addresses reduction of vulnerability and fragility – cross-cutting 2 The project will not finance SME start-up Page 8 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) themes in its three Focus Areas; i.e. rural productivity and incomes; better governance for jobs, service delivery and growth; and improved human capital and social protection. Furthermore, the CPF proposes a combination of investments, policy reforms and technical assistance to tackle the key underlying causes of vulnerability, including interventions in risk mitigation and emergency response – which the proposed AF activities directly support. 1. Additional Financing a) Replenishment to close the Financing Gap due to the IRM 10. On March 23, 2017, the Africa Regional Vice-President approved the request for activation of the IRM in an amount of US$13.5 million to respond to the 2016 floods with the regions of Agadez and Tahoua most affected. Due to the relief topography of these regions, large quantities of run-off water caused critical damage to socio-economic infrastructure, especially in the agriculture and livestock sectors. The region of Agadez is the main source of potato supply in the country and accounts for 95 percent of the national production. The region of Tahoua is the main producer of onions and hosts a sizeable portion of the country's livestock. More than 85 percent of the population’s livelihood is related to agriculture and livestock in these regions, thus the urgent need to support recovery of affected households to resume economic activities. In the regions of Agadez and Tahoua, according to data published by the Government of Niger, the event affected 110 villages (sites, settlements and agro-pastoral hamlets) for a total of 7,065 households and 53,943 people; 2,176 hectares of crops (969 fields and 2,554 gardens) and 41,597 heads of livestock were lost; 120 classrooms and 1,808 houses collapsed. This situation created a risk of pushing a significant share of rural households below the poverty line. 11. At the peak of the crisis and due to the country’s fiscal situation, the IRM was the only instrument available to the World Bank to provide a rapid support for the emergency response. At the time of the IRM activation, three projects had a Contingent Emergency Response Component (CERC); however only the PGRC-DU had uncommitted and undisbursed funds available, and therefore was selected to be the sole source of funding for the emergency response through the IRM activation. 12. As an emergency recovery operation, the PGRC-DU was also in a good position to provide the technical support for the implementation of the emergency response plan and accommodate additional emergency recovery activities to the drought affected areas. Hence, the project mobilized its CERC funds within its original Credit No. 53400-NE-PGRC-DU (P145268) and disbursed them to address Niger’s most urgent needs of agriculture recovery (US$8.3 million), livestock recapitalization (US$2.2 million), land protection and flood mitigation works (US$2.5 million), and technical studies to support the interventions (US$0.5 million)3. As of March 2019, 100percent of IRM resources were executed or committed - activities related to distribution of seeds and agricultural inputs, distribution of livestock, rehabilitation of wells, and land protection works were completed, while the distribution and installation of solar-powered pumps will be concluded by June 20194. 3 The 2015 OPCS Guidance Note on IRM indicates that “after funding has been provided through the IRM, the Recipient and the World Bank identify and implement actions to restructure the affected projects and/or options to restore funding as appropriate to high priority components of projects from which funding has been withdrawn. A decision on whether to restore financing to high-priority project components should normally be taken within six months after the IRM CERC is triggered.” 4 This is behind schedule due to continuous delays related to World Bank procurement issues and a limited local market to carry out traditional procurement processes. Page 9 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) Results achieved to date include: • Agriculture sector: distribution of seeds (wheat – 11,820 ton; corn - 11,820 ton; onion – 1,1905 ton; vegetables - 0.4728 ton; and potatoes - 500 ton) and 2,364 liters of environment friendly pesticides, construction of 842 garden wells, and installation of 45,249 linear meters of irrigation network; allowing 1,091 hectares to be planted, the recovery of 2,364 agricultural jobs in the Agadez region, and overall production of 30,622 ton (12,872 ton of cereals and vegetables and 17,750 ton of potatoes). • Livestock sector: rehabilitation of 87 pastoral wells, distribution of zootechnical inputs as part of health monitoring and recapitalization of livestock by distribution of thousands of heads of small and large ruminants. The intervention has allowed to secure the household economy and improve the availability of milk, which directly impact food security and nutrition of affected population. • Flood protection and mitigation works: 30,000 m3 of gabion works and 776 Ha of boundary bunds and plantation works, securing about 800 Ha of land for agriculture and livestock production. 13. The proposed AF will allow the PGRC-DU to resume some of the Original Project activities, including: • Component 1: Flood Risk Management Investments (US$12.2 million): activities related to drainage, irrigation and socio-economic priority infrastructures, particularly the rehabilitation/construction of wells, boreholes and drinking supply systems, construction of latrines and health facilities, and rehabilitation/expansion of irrigation schemes and drainage infrastructure. • Component 2: Capacity Building for Urban Development and Disaster Risk Management (US$1.3 million): The original activities for supporting the annual municipal budget for routine drainage maintenance in municipalities with a master plan will not be replenished, as the activity has been completed. Further support for municipal planning for drainage management can be provided by other activities within the subcomponent, as needed. Funds will be reallocated to other municipal support activities. b) Scale up of Original Project Activities in two Regions 14. On December 5, 2017, the Government of Niger requested a follow-up to the initial IRM support and a series of scale-up recovery interventions in the regions of Agadez and Tahoua were proposed for a total of US$7.5 million to reduce vulnerability to floods (US$6.3 million for infrastructure rehabilitation and US$1.2 million for technical studies and project operational costs). These activities focus on land protection, flood management and sanitation interventions through reinforcement of waste management capacity and aim to address some of the rising disaster risks in Agadez and Tahoua. Specifically, apart from population growth, and deforestation, increasing soil erosion and land degradation in watersheds and upper catchment areas of river basins have seriously reduced the water absorption and infiltration capacity of the land, allowing water to flow torrentially with damaging results to urban settlements in the region. Silt loads have also increased significantly in river beds. Specifically, the increase in denuded and degraded land areas and widening of ravines are considered a major reason for the increase in flood risk. Additionally, disaster risk is exacerbated by inadequate planning, particularly with respect to population settlements along river banks, coupled with obsolete or inadequate infrastructure such as vulnerable protective dikes and lack of maintenance and waste management. 15. Proposed activities to address this will be implemented under Component 1: Flood risk mitigation, and will include, inter alia, protection of the banks of the Koris, construction of protective dykes, development and regulation of overflow pools and ponds, and support to sanitation management. Page 10 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) c) New Information and Communication Technology (ICT) activities5 16. The PGRC-DU covers five of Niger’s seven regions, and the ICT activities cover these same regions to build on the existing capacity and relationship that have already been developed. This puts the project in a unique position to spearhead a larger initiative that builds on successful pilot projects financed by World Bank projects and grants6 that include the collection of high-resolution imagery, community-based creation of detailed maps, and incubation of local ICT firms. The PGRC-DU can leverage these technologies for urban management and development in domains such as solid waste management, under the Niamey Nyala initiative, assessing school demand, access to markets, revenue collection, land management, and other infrastructure and urban management activities. 17. All the activities are developed in a bottom-up way with a focus on capacity building to ensure adequate support to public entities and ensure ownership of solutions and approaches developed. The proposed activities consist of the following three sub-components in the amount of US$4 million: (i) High resolution imagery (US$1 million): this sub-component proposes the acquisition of high- resolution imagery for the 6 major cities, covered by the PGRC-DU: Niamey, Dosso, Diffa, Tillabery, Agadez, Tahoua7 using drones and microlight aircraft8; development of a capacity building program for national and local authorities and acquisition of equipment to be able to replicate and further develop this type of work. (ii) Urban infrastructure information development (US$1.6 million): based on the high-resolution imagery acquired, this sub-component will focus on training youth and community members on digital cartography to gather information for urban planning such as conditions of roads, buildings, illegal dumpsites, schools, hospitals, drainage networks. The information will be published and shared as open maps and data. Through this activity, the project will provide the necessary basic equipment to key institutions and will train university students and professors, public servants, and local private sector enterprises on using the latest mapping technologies, thus enabling expansion of this work with local capacity and inexpensive locally available hardware. (iii) ICT solution development (US$1.4 million): this sub-component will focus on sustaining and further developing the capacity and economic opportunities developed under the ICT component, as well as ensuring the use of data for impact and decision-making to tackle urban development challenges. The activities include: a) Financing the renovation of an existing research center (ICRISAT) plus equipment, in order for this space to serve as a training facility, collaboration space and a ‘FabLab’, i.e. a space for young entrepreneurs and researchers to develop and manufacture new prototype applications, sensors and other products for smart cities on themes such as urban management with applications in mobility, solid waste management, planning, flood management and municipal 5 The proposed ICT activities are linked to the Smart Villages project (P167543) through connectivity, e.g. a possible focus first on training in cities, the exploitation of past Hackatons, and private sector incentives for business lines which would then allow a shift of focus towards villages. Additionally, the ICT activities are informed by the existing literature and documentation on Digital Technologies in Disaster Risk Management (DRM) operations. 6 http://blogs.worldbank.org/nasikiliza/understanding-niameys-flood-risk-through-open-source-mapping-drones-and-modeling 7 These cities were chosen to benefit from the existing government dialogue under the PRGC-DU and the Niger Refugees and Host Communities Project (PARCA) and Bank project presence. 8 This will also be informed by other Bank experiences with drone regulations, best practices and standards. Page 11 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) services. b) Selection of local start-up projects, that resulted from existing app challenges, to be supported via training, mentoring, and access to space and equipment at the renovated space so that they can develop products and collaborate with the public sector for implementation. 18. Proposed activities to address this will be implemented under Component 2 - Capacity Building for Urban Development and Disaster Risk Management. 2. Level II Restructuring 19. The level II restructuring consist of changes to the results framework and an extension of the project duration – please see details below. 3. Summary of proposed changes 20. The proposed changes are listed below and summarized in Table 1, and Section VIII: (a) Changes in results framework to reflect MTR recommendations, IRM results, new activities, and adjustment of end targets, including targets (see section VIII for details), including (i) Increase of PDO indicator 1 target to reflect IRM and AF activities (ii) Decreased target of PDO indicator 2 due to a reduction of activities (iii) Reformulate PDO Indicator 3 to capture activity impact and changes of units of measurement, plus new target (iv) Cancellation of two intermediary outcome indicators of non-budgeted activities: Component 1 – Sirba and Gourouby watershed regulation, and Component 2 – Municipal drainage budgeting and master plan; this will not affect PDO achievement (b) Introduction of new activities and new indicators in Subcomponents 1.1 (US$3.62 million), 1.2 (US$2.4 million), 1.3 (US$0.28 million), 2.4 (US$4 million), and 3.2 (US$1.2 million) (c) Extension of parent project closing date for twelve months to June 30, 2021 to allow implementation of additional financing activities. Page 12 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) Table 1: Project Allocation by Component and Sub-Component (US$ million) IRM Proposed AF and Revised Components/Subcomponents Original Credit Activation Restructuring allocation 1 Flood Risk Management Investments Drainage, irrigation and socio- 1.1 economic services 37.00 27.80 (-12.20) 15.82 40.62* infrastructure 1.2 Flood control infrastructure 12.67 12.67 2.40 15.07 1.3 Watershed rehabilitation 20.33 20.33 0.28 20.61 Total Component 1 70.00 60.8 14.77 76.30 2 Capacity Building for Urban Development and Disaster Risk Management Support to local governance 2.1 5.00 5.00 1.30** 6.30 and civil society Strengthening of central 2.2 6.00 6.00 0.00 6.00 government 2.3 Strengthening DRM Capacity 11.00 9.70 (-1.30) 0.00 9.70 ICT activities for Urban 2.4 0.00 0.00 4.00 4.00 Development Total Component 2 22.00 20.70 5.30 26.00 3 Project Management 3.1 Project Operation Costs 8.00 0.00 0.00 8.00 3.2 Studies and Operations Costs 0.00 0.00 1.20 1.20 Total Component 3 5.00 5.00 1.20 9.20 4 Contingency Component 4.1 Emergency Activities 0.00 13.50 0.00 13.50 Total Component 4 0.00 13.50 0.00 13.50 TOTAL 100.00 100.00 25.00 125.00 *This includes the sum of US$12.2 (IRM replenishment) + US$3.62 (new AF activities) ** This is the IRM replenishment that has been reallocated from 2.3 to 2.1 4. Climate Change Co-Benefits 21. The World Bank Climate and Disaster Risk screening tool was used to complete the project climate screening. As the project is in flood and drought prone areas, extreme precipitation and flooding were identified as the primary hazards that climate change poses to investments under this project. Adaptation measures incorporated into the project design include: (i) adoption of climate resilient construction standards for the rehabilitation and building of social infrastructure, and (ii) rehabilitation of dike infrastructure and irrigation schemes to mitigate flooding and drought risks. According to the World Bank’s Climate Co-Benefit Assessment, the total climate co-benefits in this AF amount to US$22.95 million (92percent), as the new ICT activities are not solely dedicated to addressing climate change (flooding risks). Page 13 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) III. KEY RISKS 22. The overall Project risk for the proposed operation remains "Substantial" and is similar to those of the parent project. 23. The main project risks are related to the instability of the operating environment, the implementation complexity of the project and weak capacity of the implementing institutions. Given Niger’s continuous fragile security situation, the security risk is rated as high, due to periodic upsurges in violence, including within communities, terrorist activity, and possible spill-overs from the situations in Northern Nigeria, and/or along the Malian border. This risk will be closely monitored through the regional implementation units to identify and address possible issues early on, as well as through collaboration with UN agencies, and bilateral partners. To reduce project complexity, the AF includes a level II restructuring. In addition, targeted capacity building and close World Bank supervision will continue to address overall weak implementing capacity. 24. Macroeconomic risks are substantial due to Niger’s vulnerability to volatile commodity prices, its unpredictable climate, and the region’s fragile security situation which could all increase budgetary pressures and threaten fiscal stability. Sector policies and strategies risks remain substantial due to the need for support to apply these strategies, and the project addresses these risks in part through the Climate Risks and Early Warning System (CREWS) trust fund9. 25. Fiduciary risks as well as environmental and social risks are substantial due to the complexity in executing this type of investment project that spreads across Niger. To address these, the Project funds technical assistance and training for identified gaps in knowledge and practices related to the project’s objectives. Furthermore, procurement and financial management arrangements are designed to mitigate fiduciary risks through regional financial and procurement planning and reporting, following World Bank and Government of Niger guidelines and practices, and a qualified fiduciary team at the level of the Project Coordination Unit (PCU). Equally, environmental and social risks will be managed through targeted capacity building, with special attention to social risks. 26. Finally, there is a risk that the ICT activities may become associated with large ICT government programs that may not materialize, which is rated moderate. To mitigate this and allow project-funded ICT activities to be a stepping-stone towards more ambitious work, as well as a signal for other investors, the AF focuses on provision of training, mentoring, equipment to strengthen and develop the existing innovation and ICT ecosystem and actors as standalone investments, that use the existing ICRISAT infrastructure, without depending on large-scale government ICT initiatives. The AF will also support the capacity of the Agence Nationale pour la Société de l’Information (ANSI) during implementation and will conduct a detailed feasibility study/plan. 9 Launched by the 21st session of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) Conference of the Parties (COP21) in Paris, France in late 2015, the Climate Risks and Early Warning System (CREWS) was established in September 2016 with the aim to strengthen and increase the capacity for Multi‐Hazards Early Warning Systems, to generate and communicate effective impact‐ based early warnings and risk information for hazardous hydro‐meteorological and climate events to protect lives, livelihoo ds, and property in Least Developed Countries and Small Islands Developing States. The Niger CREWS Bank-executed TF became effective in December 2017 and has a 5-year budget of US$5 million. Page 14 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) IV. APPRAISAL SUMMARY A. Economic and Financial Analysis 27. In relation to the proposed replenishment of US$13.5 million, no new activities are envisioned; therefore, the economic and financial analysis of the original project activities remains valid. As activities to be funded are largely infrastructure rehabilitation, all procurement processes were carried out as scheduled at the Original Project planning. However, the cost variation experienced from the original estimation increased the cost of some activities, but not the overall cost of the Project.10 28. In relation to new activities proposed for a total amount of US$11.5 million (US$6.5 million for rehabilitation of dikes, drainage, koris, and pond control infrastructure, and US$4 million to support urban development through ICT activities), an analysis was carried out indicating the feasibility of this operation. Overall, the development impact of the project is positive and substantial. Since the project deals with public good activities in the public sector, there is a very good rationale for public financing and implementation. In addition to financing, the World Bank is also adding value by including best international practices in the project and sharing the latest knowledge with the national institutions. 29. The mid-2016 flooding in Niger left more than 92,000 people displaced, according to the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (UNOCHA) and caused important damage to socio- economic infrastructure, especially those serving the agriculture and livestock sectors. More than 85 percent of the population’s livelihood is related to agriculture and livestock in these regions. In the regions of Agadez and Tahoua, according to data published by the Government of Niger, the event affected 110 villages (sites, settlements and agro-pastoral hamlets) for a total of 9,083 households and 54,000 people; 2,176 hectares of crops (969 fields and 2,554 gardens) and 41,597 heads of livestock were lost; 120 classrooms and 1,808 houses collapsed. This situation created a risk of pushing a significant share of rural households below the poverty line. The frequency and intensity of such events is likely to increase due to climate change. 30. The Government of Niger identified major issues that contributed to the flood disaster. The project is designed to “build back better” rural and urban public DRM infrastructure that was destroyed during the floods and to promote economic recovery. In addition, the project is designed to build new infrastructure to control future floods; improve water management in the upstream watersheds; rehabilitate and build infrastructure in the urban areas; strengthen technical and institutional DRM capacity; improve social accountability of all participating government agencies and stakeholders; and strengthen early warning systems, preparedness and response in future disasters. 31. The total AF cost is US$25 million over the period of two years. The project is cost effective and has significant direct and indirect economic impacts on the economy of the project area. As discussed above, the estimated value of damage and some economic losses of one flood event was at least US$13.5 million. The project will help mitigate the impact of future natural disasters in Tahoua and Agadez. With proper operations and maintenance, the infrastructure rehabilitated and/or built under this project can continue to provide flood control benefits for at least 20-30 years. The expected benefits of improved DRM capacity and social 10For lack of the raw data of the economic analysis conducted at appraisal, this analysis focuses only on the additional activities under this AF - this is justified as it does not include activities that were originally identified by the parent project. Page 15 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) accountability are likely to be large in terms of meeting local needs, improved governance and managerial efficiencies. 32. The proposed AF has many substantial direct and indirect potential benefits. This includes improving agricultural growth potential; improving rural and urban livelihoods; improving food security; reducing poverty (almost 50percent of the population is below the poverty line); strengthening technical and institutional capacity; improving implementation of national DRM initiatives; better delivery of urban services; and positive fiscal, employment and environmental impacts. The AF will benefit many beneficiaries both directly and indirectly where 50percent are expected to be women. The interventions are expected to be sustainable provided that: (i) there remains a strong government commitment and ownership; (ii) technical, institutional and DRM capacity is fully coordinated and strengthened; (iii) Government allocates adequate O&M budget at all levels and every year; and (iv) early warning system and preparedness is developed and remains fully effective. B. Technical 33. The technical justification for the original activities remains valid under the AF. The IRM replenishment will allow the implementation of activities that had to be delayed due to the IRM activation and loss of related project funds. The cancelled activities will have no impact on the implementation of infrastructure activities and will be carried out by another project focusing on institutional strengthening11. The scale up of activities in the two new regions of Agadez and Tahoua have the same technical justification as the parent project as they correspond to the original activities, i.e. (i) drainage, irrigation and socio-economic services infrastructure; (ii) flood control infrastructure; and (iii) watershed rehabilitation. The newly added ICT activities for urban development will produce community-based, high resolution maps in select cities, and incubation of local ICT firms. To mainstream this, ANSI is tasked to coordinate a piloting committee, composed of key institutions, that will provide the detailed plans to scale up the production of high-resolution maps for Niamey to all selected cities, and a detailed plan for linking with innovation initiatives that will provide a space (e.g. a ‘FabLab’) for coordination, capacity building, and sustainability of project investments – the planned FY21 urban project could also contribute to the sustainability of ICT investments. Additionally, the AF will support studies and Project Coordination Unit’s operations costs. Finally, the changes in the results framework reflect the updates and modifications under this AF. C. Financial Management 34. All financial arrangements remain the same. The Financial Management rating of the Original Project from the latest archived PRIMA Assessment, filed in April 30, 2018 was “Moderately Satisfactory”. There are no outstanding Interim Unaudited Financial Reports (IFRs) and audit reports under this operation. The IFRs have been submitted in good condition and in the appropriate format. The audit report for the fiscal year ended 2017 was submitted on time as specified by the Legal-Agreements and the audits expressed unqualified opinions on the project financial statements. 11 Institutional strengthening for drainage and master plan is handled by the Urban Water and Sanitation Project (P117365) and its AF (P159240). Page 16 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) D. Procurement 35. The Original Project Procurement arrangements will be retained under the AF. The performance rating from the latest archived Implementation Status & Results Report (ISR) was “Satisfactory”. The Recipient will carry out procurement for the proposed project in accordance with the World Bank’s “Procurement Regulations for IPF Borrowers” (Procurement Regulations) dated July 2016 and revised in November 2017 and in August 2018 under the “New Procurement Framework (NPF), and the “Guidelines on Preventing and Combating Fraud and Corruption in Projects Financed by The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) Loans and International Development Association (IDA) Credits and Grants”, dated October 15, 2006 and revised in January 2011 and as of July 1, 2016. 36. All goods, works, and non-consulting services will be procured in accordance with the requirements set forth or referred to in the Section VI-Approved Methods: Goods, Works and Non-Consulting Services of the Procurement Regulations. The Consulting Services will be procured in accordance with the requirements set fort or referred to in the Section VII-Approved Selection Methods: Consulting Services of the Procurement Regulations, the Project Procurement Strategy for Development (PPSD), and the Procurement Plan, approved by the World Bank. The Procurement Plan, including its updates, shall include for each contract (a) a brief description of the activities/contracts, (b) selection methods to be applied, (c) cost estimates, (d) time schedules, (e) the World Bank’s review requirements, and (f) any other relevant procurement information. The Procurement Plan covering the first 18 months of project implementation has been prepared and approved by the World Bank. Any update of the Procurement Plan will be submitted for the World Bank’s approval. The Recipient shall use the World Bank’s online procurement planning and tracking tools to prepare, clear, and update its Procurement Plans and conduct all procurement transactions. 37. All procuring entities as well as bidders, and service providers (i.e. suppliers, contractors, and consultants) shall observe the highest standard of ethics during the procurement and execution of contracts financed under the Project in accordance with paragraph 3.32 and Annex IV of the Procurement Regulations. 38. Requirements and Actions for National Open Competitive Procurement. When procurement is done on the national market, as agreed in the Procurement Plan, the country’s own procurement procedures may be used, with the requirements set forth or referred to in paragraphs 5.3 to 5.6 related to National Procurement Procedures. 39. Project Procurement Strategy for Development (PPSD). The Recipient will prepare the PPSD, which describes how procurement activities will support project operations for the achievement of the project development objective and deliver value for money. The procurement strategy will be linked to the project implementation strategy at the country, regional, and international levels, ensuring proper sequencing of the activities. It will consider institutional arrangements for procurement; roles and responsibilities; thresholds, procurement methods, and prior review; and the requirements for carrying out procurement. It also will include a detailed assessment and description of the PCU and government capacities for carrying out procurement and managing contract implementation, within an acceptable governance structure and accountability framework. Other issues considered will include the behaviors, trends, and capabilities of the market (that is, market analysis) to respond to the procurement plan. The strategy will include a summary on Procurement Risk, the Mitigation Action Plan, Market Analysis, and Procurement Approaches. The PPSD Page 17 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) (including procurement plan) will be reviewed by the World Bank. 40. Project design will provide a window to enable the Recipient to carry out Advance Contracting and Retroactive Financing in accordance with Section V (5.1 and 5.2) of the World Bank Procurement Regulations for Investment Project Financing Borrowers. Retroactive financing will be allowed up to 20 percent of the credit/grant covering the expenditures incurred by the Project, not more than 12 months before the date of the signing of the Legal Agreements for the World Bank Credit/Grant. 41. New contracts envisaged under this AF are related to scaling up emergency activities in Agadez and Tahoua and new ICT activities for urban development. The AF will provide the resources to continue with signing of contracts and initiation of works. E. Social (including Safeguards) 42. OP 4.12 (Involuntary Resettlement) was triggered in the original project. The resettlement Policy Framework (RPF) of the parent project, originally prepared and approved in 2013, has been updated by the client. Since the AF adds the two new regions Tahoua and Agadez, the updated RPF has been consulted upon, adopted and approved by the World Bank, then re-disclosed both in country and on the World Bank website on March 15, 2019. 43. The project social safeguards performance has been assessed and rated to be Moderately Satisfactory. To date, there are no outstanding compensation and resettlement issues. The Project developed a Grievance Redress Mechanisms (GRM) strategy which is being implemented and expanded to cover the AF activities. Monitoring support will be provided during supervision missions to ensure that complaints are lodged, treated and resolved at the regional and local levels. 44. Labor Influx, Gender-based Violence (GBV): The project will establish guidance and rules for contractors to enhance the ESMPs and workers contracts, that will include measures for managing the potential impacts of such an outside workforce on the local community. Specific details will be prepared during the investment activities for contractors who will bring in workers and operators from outside the area to ensure adequate mitigation measures regarding labor influx and possible GBV issues to be integrated into terms of reference for future control missions, the civil works construction Environmental and Social Management Plans (ESMPs) as well as any contracts with local NGOs. 45. Gender: The parent project and the AF are gender-informed with specific gender measurements part of a main PDO indicator, and an Intermediary Outcome Indicator, i.e. achievement of women being direct beneficiaries with 50percent, and achievement of women participating with 25percent in the preparation of Regional and Local Development Plans. While no specific gender distinction is made in project-financed infrastructure investments, as these benefit both men and women, it is expected that project investments will have positive impacts on the life and assets of women and girls, e.g. reduced time to fetch water, improved access to schools and health facilities, given the project’s provision of construction and/or rehabilitation of drinking water supplies, drainage, irrigation and socio-economic priority infrastructure (such as schools, etc); flood protection infrastructure, and rehabilitation of watersheds. Page 18 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) Environment (including Safeguards) 46. Since this Additional Financing addressing the financing gap caused by the IRM activation and new proposed activities are of the same nature and scope as the original project activities, there are no changes in the Safeguard Policies triggers. The parent project was assigned Environmental Category B; it triggered the following policies: OP 4.01 (Environmental Assessment); OP 4.09 (Pest Management); OP 4.11 (Physical Cultural Resources); OP 4.12 (Involuntary Resettlement); and OP 7.50 (Projects on International Waterways). The existing safeguards instruments (Environment and Social Management Framework – ESMF, Resettlement Policy Framework - RPF and Pest Management Plan - PMP). Since two new regions are added with the AF, Agadez and Tahoua, the existing safeguards documents (ESMF, RPF and PMP) were updated, consulted upon, adopted and approved by the World Bank, then re-disclosed both in country and in the World Bank website on March 15, 2019. Furthermore, based on information from the government and in close collaboration with LEGEN, it is confirmed that OP 7.50 is not triggered for this AF, as none of the new activities are located along and/or in any tributaries (e.g. Sirba, Gouroubi or Komadougou Yobe River) of, or on the Niger River or Lake Chad, nor will use their respective water. 47. Overall, the project environment safeguards performance is Moderately Satisfactory. Underlying safeguards issues are mostly related to inadequate community health and safety measures as well as the lack of due diligence on some contracts with safeguards measures described in the bidding documents and ESMPs. The Borrower has stepped up its monitoring of environmental management requirements, such as putting in place a more systematic environmental and social screening of sub-projects prior to works commencement and has informed contractors that safeguards due diligence will be a condition for payments. F. Other Safeguard Policies (if applicable) - Not applicable. G. Implementation arrangements 48. Under this AF, there is no change to the Implementation Arrangements, which, thus far, have been satisfactory. While the Steering Committee and the Implementation Unit are performing well, the regional implementation units have experienced some difficulties, mainly related to the unavailability of the Regional Directors of the Ministry of Plan, who were to lead them. Hence, during the MTR, it was agreed to limit their role to coordinating and monitoring project activities in their respective region. Given the addition of two new regions under this AF, the implementation arrangements of the parent project will be reinforced by a representative of the PCU in the Tahoua and Agadez Regions, who will work closely with local authorities. The new subcomponent related to ICT will be implemented with strong implication of the National Agency for New Technology (ANSI) and the covered municipality. H. World Bank Grievance Redress 49. Communities and individuals who believe that they are adversely affected by a World Bank (WB) supported project may submit complaints to existing Project-level grievance redress mechanisms or the WB’s Grievance Redress Service (GRS). The GRS ensures that complaints received are promptly reviewed in order to address Project-related concerns. Project affected communities and individuals may submit their complaint to the WB’s independent Inspection Panel which determines whether harm occurred, or could occur, as a Page 19 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) result of WB non-compliance with its policies and procedures. Complaints may be submitted at any time after concerns have been brought directly to the World Bank's attention, and Bank Management has been given an opportunity to respond. For information on how to submit complaints to the World Bank’s corporate Grievance Redress Service (GRS), please visit http://www.worldbank.org/en/projects- operations/products-and-services/grievance-redress-service. For information on how to submit complaints to the World Bank Inspection Panel, please visit www.inspectionpanel.org. Page 20 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) VI SUMMARY TABLE OF CHANGES Changed Not Changed Results Framework ✔ Components and Cost ✔ Loan Closing Date(s) ✔ Safeguard Policies Triggered ✔ Implementing Agency ✔ Project's Development Objectives ✔ Cancellations Proposed ✔ Reallocation between Disbursement Categories ✔ Disbursements Arrangements ✔ EA category ✔ Legal Covenants ✔ Institutional Arrangements ✔ Financial Management ✔ Procurement ✔ Other Change(s) ✔ VII DETAILED CHANGE(S) COMPONENTS Current Component Name Current Cost Action Proposed Component Proposed Cost (US$, (US$, millions) Name millions) Comp. 1: Flood Risk 73.00 Revised Comp. 1: Flood Risk 76.30 Management Investments Management Investments Comp. 2: Capacity Building 22.00 Revised Comp. 2: Capacity 26.00 for Urban Development and Building for Urban Disaster Risk Management Development and Disaster Risk Page 21 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) Management Comp. 3: Project 5.00 Revised Comp. 3: Project 9.20 Management Management Comp. 4: Contingency 0.00 Revised Comp. 4: Contingency 13.50 Component Component TOTAL 100.00 125.00 LOAN CLOSING DATE(S) Ln/Cr/Tf Status Original Closing Current Proposed Proposed Deadline Closing(s) Closing for Withdrawal Applications IDA-53400 Effective 30-Jun-2020 30-Jun-2020 30-Jun-2021 30-Oct-2021 Expected Disbursements (in US$) DISBURSTBL Fiscal Year Annual Cumulative 0000 0.00 0.00 2014 302,775.00 302,775.00 2015 1,783,025.00 2,085,800.00 2016 2,756,575.00 4,842,375.00 2017 3,704,200.00 8,546,575.00 2018 4,038,775.00 12,585,350.00 2019 4,181,475.00 16,766,825.00 2020 4,221,350.00 20,988,175.00 2021 4,011,825.00 25,000,000.00 SYSTEMATIC OPERATIONS RISK-RATING TOOL (SORT) Risk Category Latest ISR Rating Current Rating Political and Governance ⚫ Substantial ⚫ Substantial Macroeconomic ⚫ Substantial ⚫ Substantial Sector Strategies and Policies ⚫ Substantial ⚫ Substantial Technical Design of Project or Program ⚫ High ⚫ Moderate Page 22 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) Institutional Capacity for Implementation and ⚫ Substantial ⚫ Substantial Sustainability Fiduciary ⚫ Substantial ⚫ Substantial Environment and Social ⚫ Substantial ⚫ Substantial Stakeholders ⚫ Moderate ⚫ Moderate Other Overall ⚫ Substantial ⚫ Substantial Safguard_Table COMPLIANCE Change in Safeguard Policies Triggered Yes Safeguard Policies Triggered Current Proposed Environmental Assessment OP/BP Yes Yes 4.01 Performance Standards for Private No No Sector Activities OP/BP 4.03 Natural Habitats OP/BP 4.04 No No Forests OP/BP 4.36 No No Pest Management OP 4.09 Yes Yes Physical Cultural Resources OP/BP Yes Yes 4.11 Indigenous Peoples OP/BP 4.10 No No Involuntary Resettlement OP/BP 4.12 Yes Yes Safety of Dams OP/BP 4.37 No No Projects on International Waterways Yes Yes OP/BP 7.50 Projects in Disputed Areas OP/BP 7.60 No No Page 23 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) LEGAL COVENANTS2 LEGAL COVENANTS – AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) Sections and Description FA: Section III.B.1 (b): Notwithstanding the provisions of Part A, no withdrawal shall be made under Category (2), unless and until the Association is satisfied and so indicates by written notification to the Recipient, that all of the following conditions have been met with respect to activities under Part 4 of the Project: (i) (A) the Recipient has determined that an Eligible Crisis or Emergency has occurred, (B) has furnished to the Association a request to include said activities under Part 4 of the Project in order to respond to said Eligible Crisis or Emergency, and (C) the Association has agreed with such determination, accepted said request, including a reallocation of funds to Category (2) in an amended disbursement table pursuant to Section III., Part A above, and notified the Recipient thereof; (ii) (A) the Recipient has prepared and disclosed all Safeguards Instruments required for said activities, and (B) the Recipient has implemented any actions which are required to be taken under said Safeguards Instruments in advance of said activities, all in accordance with the provisions of Section I.F.3(b) of this Schedule 2; (iii) the Recipient’s Coordinating Authority has adequate staff and resources, in accordance with the provisions of Section I.F.2 of this Schedule 2 to this Agreement, for the purposes of said activities; and (iv) (A) the Recipient has adopted an IRM Operations Manual in form, substance and manner acceptable to the Association, and (B) the provisions of the IRM Operations Manual remain - or have been updated in accordance with the provisions of Section I.F.1(c) of this Schedule 2 so as to be - appropriate for the inclusion and implementation of said activities under the Part 4 of the Project. FA: Section III.B.1 (c): Notwithstanding the provisions of Part A, no withdrawal shall be made under Category (3), the Recipient has: (i) proposed amendments to the Project Implementation Manual in order to, inter alia¸ account for the activities under the new Part 2.4, (ii) afforded the Association a reasonable opportunity to exchange views with the Recipient on the proposed amendments to the Project Implementation Manual, and (iii) adopted an amended and restated Project Implementation Manual as shall have been approved by the Association. Conditions Page 24 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) VII. RESULTS FRAMEWORK AND MONITORING Results Framework COUNTRY: Niger RESULT_NO_PDO AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project Project Development Objective(s) The Project Development Objective (PDO) is to improve Niger’s resilience to natural hazards through selected disaster risk ma nagement interventions in targeted project sites and strengthening of Government's capacity to respond promptly and effectively to an eligible crisis or an emergency. Project Development Objective Indicators by Objectives/ Outcomes RESULT_FRAME_T BL_ PD O Indicator Name DLI Baseline End Target To improve Niger’s resilience to natural hazards Targeted flood protection and sustainable land and water management interventions contributing to increased resilience 0.00 100.00 (Percentage) Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Marked for Deletion Target revised and decreased due to reduction of activities. Direct project beneficiaries (Number) 0.00 4,300,000.00 Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised Overall of project beneficiaries - target adjusted to reflect IRM and AF new activities Page 25 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) RESULT_FRAME_T BL_ PD O Indicator Name DLI Baseline End Target Female beneficiaries (Percentage) 50.00 50.00 Targeted flood protection and sustainable land and water management interventions contributing to increased resilience 0.00 100.00 (% of targeted interventions implemented) (Percentage) Action: This indicator has been Revised Performance of the early warning and response system for natural rapid onset hazards (e.g. floods, strong winds, wild 0.00 5.00 landfires) (Number) Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised Indicator reformulated to capture the activity impact, and changes to unit of measurement to 'number' (not in %) with new end target of 5 (not 100%) PDO Table SPACE Intermediate Results Indicators by Components RESULT_FRAME_T BL_ IO Indicator Name DLI Baseline End Target Comp. 1: Flood Risk Management Investments Sources of drinking water rehabilitated or developed (Number) 0.00 450.00 Rationale: Target revised and increased to reflect the emergency intervention in Diffa region related reallocation of a large number of Action: This indicator has been Revised people Potential retention of peak flow runoff from upstream tributaries (Cubic Meter(m3)) 0.00 500.00 Page 26 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) RESULT_FRAME_T BL_ IO Indicator Name DLI Baseline End Target Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Marked for Deletion Activities cannot be implemented before the end of the project due to the cost under-estimation during project preparation. Targeted irrigable land rehabilitated (Hectare(Ha)) 0.00 1,700.00 Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised Target revised and decreased to reflect project coverage through activities of the original project and the IRM and to update with new AF activities. Watershed protection and land restoration interventions 0.00 6,500.00 measured by sub-indicators below (Hectare(Ha)) Rationale: Revised to improve reporting (1) separation of watershed protection and land restoration into 2 indicators and (2) Action: This indicator has been Revised replacement of the sub-indicators "live fencing" due to lack of feasibility with "dike protection", and to update with new AF activities. Sand dune fixation (Hectare(Ha)) 0.00 5,500.00 Restoration of degraded land (Hectare(Ha)) 0.00 6,500.00 Stonewalls (Kilometers) 0.00 10.00 Action: This indicator has been Revised Dike protection (Kilometers) 0.00 50.00 Page 27 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) RESULT_FRAME_T BL_ IO Indicator Name DLI Baseline End Target Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised Replacement of sub-indicator "live fencing" due to lack of feasibility with "dike protection" Drainage infrastructure rehabilitation (Kilometers) 0.00 23.50 Rationale: Action: This indicator is New New indicator – proposed to capture interventions in Agadez and Tahoua Drainage (Kilometers) 0.00 10.00 Action: This indicator is New Drainage pavement (Kilometers) 0.00 20.00 Action: This indicator is New Koris (Kilometers) 0.00 21.50 Action: This indicator is New Pond control infrastructure (Hectare(Ha)) 0.00 4.00 Action: This indicator is New Comp. 2: Capacity Building for Urban Development and Disaster Risk Management Development and/or updating of urban master plans and local 0.00 25.00 development plans (Number) Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised Revised and decreased. Country's current institutional framework prevents the Project to deliver this activity, thus the Page 28 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) RESULT_FRAME_T BL_ IO Indicator Name DLI Baseline End Target indicator will be refocused new end target will be set. Percentage of female participation in decision committees for development and/or updating urban master plans and municipal 0.00 25.00 development plans (Percentage) Rationale: Revised. Action: This indicator has been Revised The participation of women in municipal councils cannot be reported due to lack of municipal elections. Hence, this indicator will be a sub-indicator of reformulated indicator on "Preparation of Regional and Local Development Plans", which is irrespective of municipal elections, and thus can measure women participation. Annual municipal budget for routine drainage maintanance in 0.00 4.00 municipalities with a master plan (Percentage) Rationale: Revised. Due to the difficulty to report the percentage of municipal budget for municipalities' drainage maintenance with a Action: This indicator has been Revised master plan or for those municipalities with project interventions, thus the indicator will be refocused new end target will be set. Support preparedness and emergency response (measured by No Yes sub-indicators below) (Yes/No) Rationale: Action: This indicator is New New indicator – proposed to capture the DRM interventions Fully functional database of risk in Niger (Yes/No) No Yes Action: This indicator is New Support to Civil Protection to strengthening response capacity (facilities, equipment, training) (Yes/No) No Yes Page 29 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) RESULT_FRAME_T BL_ IO Indicator Name DLI Baseline End Target Action: This indicator is New Support to National DRM agencies (Equipment, training) 0.00 10.00 (Number) Action: This indicator is New Support urban development (measured by sub-indicators below) (Yes/No) No Yes Rationale: Action: This indicator is New New indicator – proposed to capture the ICT interventions Area with detailed maps in digital and paper formats (Square kilometer(km2)) 0.00 400.00 Action: This indicator is New Trained people on digital cartography (Number) 0.00 200.00 Action: This indicator is New Number of local innovation projects supported (Number) 0.00 8.00 Action: This indicator is New Comp. 3: Project Management Quality and timely submission of Procurement and financial Yes Yes management reporting (Yes/No) Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised Revised to improve reporting separation of Procurement and FM activities. Page 30 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) RESULT_FRAME_T BL_ IO Indicator Name DLI Baseline End Target Quality and timely submission of procurement reporting No Yes (Yes/No) Action: This indicator is New Quality and timely submission of Financial Management reporting (Yes/No) No Yes Action: This indicator is New Planned project activities implemented (Percentage) 0.00 100.00 Rationale: Action: This indicator has been Revised List of activities will be updated after the AF and changes in result matrix Grievances registered related to delivery of project benefits that 0.00 80.00 are actually addressed (Percentage) Action: This indicator is New Comp. 4: Contingency Component Immediate Response Mechanism (IRM) established and ready to provide access to financial resources to Niger in case of an No Yes eligible crisis or emergency (Yes/No) Action: This indicator has been Marked for Deletion Time taken to make funds available as requested by Government for an eligible crisis or emergency triggering an Immediate 0.00 4.00 Response Mechanism (IRM) (Weeks) Rationale: Revised to reflect the Project responsibility in the process of activation of the IRM, thus the indicator is refocused to Action: This indicator has been Revised measure the elapsed time for preparation/submission of activation package by the Government. Page 31 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) IO Table SPACE Monitoring & Evaluation Plan: PDO Indicators Mapped Methodology for Data Responsibility for Data Indicator Name Definition/Description Frequency Datasource Collection Collection Targeted flood protection and sustainable Project land and water management Site progress Coordinatio Annual interventions contributing to increased Reports n Unit (PCU) resilience Direct beneficiaries are people or groups who directly derive benefits from an intervention (i.e., children who benefit from an immunization program; families that have a new piped water connection). Please note that this indicator requires Every 6 Progress Progress reports and Project Coordination Direct project beneficiaries supplemental information. months reports surveys Unit (PCU) Supplemental Value: Female beneficiaries (percentage). Based on the assessment and definition of direct project beneficiaries, specify what proportion of the direct project beneficiaries are female. This indicator is calculated as a percentage. Based on the assessment Female beneficiaries and definition of direct Page 32 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) project beneficiaries, specify what percentage of the beneficiaries are female. Targeted flood protection and sustainable Assess project land and water management Site progress Site progress Reports Project Coordination implementation and Annual interventions contributing to increased Reports and surveys Unit (PCU) sustainability of resilience (% of targeted interventions investments implemented) Number of institutions Performance of the early warning and contributing to the DNPGCCA Progress reports and Project Coordination response system for natural rapid onset DNPGCCA information and Annual progress surveys Unit (PCU) hazards (e.g. floods, strong winds, wild warning system, with and reports landfires) according to standard operating procedures ME PDO Table SPACE Monitoring & Evaluation Plan: Intermediate Results Indicators Mapped Methodology for Data Responsibility for Data Indicator Name Definition/Description Frequency Datasource Collection Collection Number of water points, calculated on the basis of Ministry of Hydraulics/ Progress Sources of drinking water rehabilitated or water source equivalents Annual Progress Reports Project Coordination Reports developed (for wells, water pumps, Unit (PCU) drinking water supply systems and networks) Ministry of Monitor effectiveness of Hydraulics/ Potential retention of peak flow runoff infrastructure in capturing Project Progress Annual from upstream tributaries water flow for alternative Coordinati Reports uses on Unit (PCU) Page 33 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) Ministry of Agriculture/ Assess improved land Progress Annual Progress Reports Project Coordination Targeted irrigable land rehabilitated productivity in affected Reports Unit (PCU) areas Determine extent of area Annual protected upstream reports Annual reports Ministry of Watershed protection and land (watersheds, glazes, Annual DEP/MESUDD DEP/MESUDD/ Progress Environment/ Project restoration interventions measured by plateau) from land / Progress reports Coordination Unit (PCU) sub-indicators below degradation, erosion and reports sand encroachment Sand dune fixation Restoration of degraded land Stonewalls Dike protection Aggregation of sub- Ministry of Hydraulics indicators in kilometers of Progress Annual Progress reports and Project Coordination Drainage infrastructure rehabilitation Drainage, Drainage reports Unit pavement, Koris Drainage Drainage pavement Koris Pond control infrastructure This indicator is a proxy to measure mainstreaming of Project Coordination Development and/or updating of urban Annual Progress Progess reports DRM in development Unit (PCU) master plans and local development plans Reports planning. Including for 3 sanitation Page 34 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) master plans, 10 urban development master plans, 2 regional development master plans, and 24 local development plans Percentage of female participation in Progress Project Coordination decision committees for development Annual Progress reports reports Unit (PCU) and/or updating urban master plans and municipal development plans Annual municipal budget for routine Progress Project Coordination Annual Progress reports drainage maintanance in municipalities reports Unit (PCU) with a master plan Aggregation of sub- indicators Fully functional database of risk in Niger, Support preparedness and emergency Progress DNPGCCA/Project Support to Civil Protection Annual Progress reports response (measured by sub-indicators reports Coordination Unit (PCU) to strengthening response below) capacity (facilities, equipment, training) Fully functional database of risk in Niger Support to Civil Protection to strengthening response capacity (facilities, equipment, training) Support to National DRM agencies (Equipment, training) Aggregation of subindicators: Acquisition ANSI reports Semi ANSI reports and ANSI/Project Support urban development (measured of high resolution imagery and progress Annual progress reports Coordination Unit by sub-indicators below) and training conducted; reports Support the incubation of winning applications in a Page 35 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) local start-up Measures the areas for which the activity will Monitoring of how maps provide detailed high- Semi- progress get populated; Area with detailed maps in digital and PCU resolution imagery maps annual reports measuring the area paper formats (in digital and paper covered formats) Provide and finance training of youth, community members, local recording of attendance officials, university semi- Progress of the trainings, professors, etc on digital PCU Trained people on digital cartography annual reports disaggregated by gender cartography to utilize said and youth imagery to derive information for urban planning and to publish data Number of innovation projects that will receive semi- progress recording the number of Number of local innovation projects PCU support and resources for annual reports projects supported supported incubation and acceleration IFRs, Project progress IFRs, Project progress Quality and timely submission of Monitoring of fiduciary Project Coordination Quarterly reports, reports, Procurement Procurement and financial management capacity and coordination Unit (PCU) Procurement Plan reporting capacity Plan Quality and timely submission of procurement reporting Page 36 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) Quality and timely submission of Financial Management reporting Monitoring of Project Project Coordination Annual Project progress reports Planned project activities implemented implementation quality progress Unit (PCU) and coordination capacity. reports Percentage of grievances, Grievances registered related to delivery that are related to the Semi- Progress Project Coordination Progress reports of project benefits that are actually delivery of project benefits, annual reports Unit (PCU) addressed are registered and addressed All documents for activation of the IRM were prepared during the first Immediate Response Mechanism (IRM) year of implementation of established and ready to provide access the Project, including Progress reports to financial resources to Niger in case of Operations Manual, an eligible crisis or emergency Contingency Plans and staff training; and implementation is on track. Annual (in Time taken to make funds available as case of Progress Project Coordination requested by Government for an eligible Progress reports IRM indicator eligible reports Unit (PCU) crisis or emergency triggering an crisis) Immediate Response Mechanism (IRM) ME IO Table SPACE Page 37 of 38 The World Bank AF-Niger Disaster Risk Management and Urban Development Project (P167352) Page 38 of 38