The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Youth Employment and Opportunities (P151831) Kenya Youth Employment and Opportunities (P151831) AFRICA | Kenya | Social Protection & Jobs Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2016 | Seq No: 7 | ARCHIVED on 18-Dec-2019 | ISR39655 | Implementing Agencies: The Republic of Kenya, Ministry of Public Service, Youth and Gender Affairs Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date: 20-May-2016 Effectiveness Date: 15-Dec-2016 Planned Mid Term Review Date: 31-Oct-2019 Actual Mid-Term Review Date: 11-Nov-2019 Original Closing Date: 31-Dec-2021 Revised Closing Date: 31-Dec-2021 pdoTable Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The proposed Project Development Objective (PDO) is to increase employment and earnings opportunities for targeted youths. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Table Name Improving youth employability:(Cost $75.00 M) Support for job creation:(Cost $41.50 M) Improving labor market information:(Cost $13.50 M) Strengthening youth policy development and project management:(Cost $20.00 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Substantial Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions This project was approved by the World Bank Board on May 20, 2016 and became effective in December 2016. The first Cycle was implemented in five counties (Nairobi, Mombasa, Nakuru, Kisumu, and Kwale) with beneficiaries finishing training in October 2018. The second Cycle is almost complete and being implemented in nine counties (all first Cycle counties in addition to Turkana, Migori, Kitui, and Kiambu). The third Cycle has commenced and is being implemented in 13 counties (all first and second Cycle counties in addition to Kakamega, Mandera, Nyandarua and Kilifi counties). Component 1 and sub-component 2.1 Cycle 1: Over 90,000 applications were received for a total of approximately 4,000 spots in technical skills training and business support services. In Cycle 1, 2,290 youth completed internships and apprenticeships as part of the Component 1 technical skills training and another 874 youth 12/18/2019 Page 1 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Youth Employment and Opportunities (P151831) received two tranches of entrepreneurship grants to help support the youth to start or expand businesses. In addition, 328 master craftsmen were upskilled in Cycle 1 and 1,816 youth participated in trade tests following their technical skills training. Cycle 2: Over 50,000 youth applied for Cycle 2 for a total of approximately 10,000 spots in technical skills training and business support. Applications opened in June 2018 and randomization took place in August. In addition, 150 Master craftsmen were upskilled. Induction of youth for technical skills training took place in September 2018 and youth interested in business support took the entrepreneurship aptitude test in September. The first orientation for business support grants and life skills training for youth in technical training took place in October 2018. Core business skills training finished in November 2018. Cycle 3: Over 104,000 applications were received, with over 10,888 youth enrolling for training and internship and over 4,000 youth receiving business support. Applications opened in November 2018 and selection (with randomization) took place in February 2019. 260 Master craftsmen were upskilled during this period. Induction of youth for the training and internship component took place in March 2019 and grant orientation took place in April 2019. 4,063 youth have received one tranche of the entrepreneurship grants to help support and expand their businesses. Cycle 4: Over 151,000 applications were received, with 18,646 youth enrolling for training and internship and over 12,000 youth being enrolled to benefit from business support in either grants or business development services. Induction of youth for the training component took place in September 2019 after randomization that was conducted in August 2019. Sub-component 2.1. Business Plan Competition: The Micro and Small Enterprises Authority (MSEA) through KPMG have received over 11,000 applications by early September 2019. Scoring of these applications is currently underway. Component 3 LMIS: The State Department of Labor (SDL) has made progress in undertaking an informal sector survey, updating the Kenyan National Occupational Classification (KNOCS), set up a Labor Market observatory and has prepared a roadmap for the Kenya Labor Market Information System (KLMIS). Component 4. National Youth Policy: The National youth policy was endorsed by the Cabinet in November 2019 and is now poised to move to the Kenya National Assembly for legislation. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Substantial Substantial Substantial Macroeconomic Moderate Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies Low Low Low Technical Design of Project or Program Substantial Substantial Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability High High High Fiduciary High High High Environment and Social Low Moderate Substantial Stakeholders Moderate Moderate Moderate Other -- -- -- Overall Substantial Substantial Substantial Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes 12/18/2019 Page 2 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Youth Employment and Opportunities (P151831) To increase employment and earning opportunities for targeted youths IN00776752 ►Direct Project Beneficiries (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 31,189.00 47,437.00 280,500.00 Date 29-Apr-2016 07-Dec-2018 07-Dec-2019 31-Dec-2021 “The correct date for the previous figure is June 2019, and not December 2018. This applies to all the RI (the team was not able to correct this problem in the operations portal). This number represents beneficiaries who have participated in training and internship, business grants, Comments: and BDS. There have been procurement challenges and delays related to the activity under AGPO, which targets 188,000 beneficiaries. The AGPO activity is expected to commence in May 2020. It will be delivered through digital means, which should allow to rapidly reach a large number of beneficiaries.” IN00776753 ►Female Beneficiaries (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 50.55 50.70 50.00 Date 29-Apr-2016 07-Dec-2018 07-Dec-2019 31-Dec-2021 IN00776754 ►Percentage of youth receiving training and an internship who find a job or are self-employed after at least six months (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 55.00 64.00 63.50 70.00 Date 29-Apr-2016 07-Dec-2018 07-Dec-2019 31-Dec-2021 Preliminary tracer study results on Cycle 1 youth based on responses from a sample of 1291 youth out of 2279 youth who completed training and internship. This is restricted to paid employment (as per PAD Comments: definition). Important to note that data collected by MPYG on Cycle 2 youth indicates 52.6%, however the tracer results on Cycle 2 are expected to provide a much clearer picture. IN00776755 ►Number of youth employed, including self-employed, at least 6 months after receiving a startup grant and/or BDS (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 965.00 3,324.00 27,200.00 Date 29-Apr-2016 07-Dec-2018 07-Dec-2019 31-Dec-2021 Preliminary tracer study results based on responses from a sample of 456 youth out of 1061 who received a start up grant in Cycle 1. These results are 6 months after youth received the grant. As part of the Comments: proposed restructuring, this indicator will change from an absolute number to a percentage IN00776761 ►►Percentage increase in average earnings among workers (self-employed or wage) at least 6 months after receiving a startup grant, BDS, or a business competition award (Percentage, Custom) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 12/18/2019 Page 3 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Youth Employment and Opportunities (P151831) Date 29-Apr-2016 07-Dec-2018 07-Dec-2019 31-Dec-2021 The results from the Impact Evaluation are expected in February 2021 Comments: Intermediate Results Indicators by Components Improving youth employability IN00776762 ►Number of beneficiary youths receiving life skills, technical, and entrepreneurship training and internships (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 10,771.00 10,771.00 70,000.00 Date 29-Apr-2016 07-Dec-2018 07-Dec-2019 31-Dec-2021 This number represents Cycles 1 and 2 beneficiaries who have completed training and internship. 11,000 youth are expected to complete Cycle 3 in December 2019 and a further 18,000 are currently enrolled to Comments: receive training in Cycle 4 and are expected to complete training and internship in June 2020. Delays in targets have been occasioned by challenges related to funds flow to the implementing agencies. IN00776766 ►Number of beneficiary youths obtaining a skill certification (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 1,816.00 6,554.00 35,000.00 Date 29-Apr-2016 07-Dec-2018 07-Dec-2019 31-Dec-2021 This number represents Cycles 1 and 2 youth who sat and passed their trade tests. A further 9800 beneficiary youth in Cycle 3 have registered for trade tests expected to be completed in December 2019. Comments: A further 15,000 youth are expected to register and sit for the trade tests in August 2020. The number has been low due to delayed implementation affecting youth beneficiary intake in Cycle 3. IN00776770 ►Number of craftsmen who participate in upgrading and obtain master craftsman certification (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 738.00 1,061.00 1,000.00 Date 29-Apr-2016 07-Dec-2018 07-Dec-2019 31-Dec-2021 IN00776773 ►Number of new trade standards and testing instruments developed or revised for traditional apprenticeships (Number, Custom) (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 25.00 50.00 Date 29-Apr-2016 07-Dec-2018 07-Dec-2019 31-Dec-2021 27 trade standards and testing instruments have been developed and 25 gazetted. Comments: IN00776774 12/18/2019 Page 4 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Youth Employment and Opportunities (P151831) ►Percentage of beneficiary youth satisfied with the start-up grants and the business development services (Percentage, Custom) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 81.70 80.00 Date 29-Apr-2016 07-Dec-2018 07-Dec-2019 31-Dec-2021 This represents preliminary tracer study results for youth who participated in Cycle 1. Comments: Support for job creation IN00776763 ►Number of beneficiary youth receiving a startup grant and/or BDS (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 7,423.00 7,423.00 34,000.00 Date 29-Apr-2016 07-Dec-2018 07-Dec-2019 31-Dec-2021 This number represents Cycles 1,2 and 3 youth beneficiaries. Low number occasioned by delays in procurement of BDS and Impact Evaluation firms. A total of 8500 beneficiaries in Cycle 4, are expected to Comments: complete grants and BDS in May 2020. A further 15,700 beneficiaries will be enrolled in Cycles 5,6 and 7. IN00776767 ►Number of applicants to the business competition (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 11,803.00 3,000.00 Date 29-Apr-2016 07-Dec-2018 07-Dec-2019 31-Dec-2021 BPC closed applications in early September 2019, with 11,803 eligible applicants out of 12,171 overall Comments: applicants. IN00776771 ►Percentage of beneficiary youth satisfied with the start-up grants and the business development services (Percentage, Custom) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 97.00 81.70 80.00 Date 29-Apr-2016 07-Dec-2018 07-Dec-2019 31-Dec-2021 Improving labor market information IN00776765 ►Number of and types of LMIS reports published by the LMIS unit (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Fully functional LMIS generating and Value 0.00 n.a. n.a. disseminating various LMI reports Date 29-Apr-2016 07-Dec-2018 07-Dec-2019 31-Dec-2021 12/18/2019 Page 5 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Youth Employment and Opportunities (P151831) This indicator requires harmonization between wording of the indicator and the end target. The revision Comments: will be reflected as part of the proposed restructuring. IN00776769 ►Number of visitors of the LMIS website (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 419,066.00 446,230.00 10,000.00 Date 29-Apr-2016 07-Dec-2018 07-Dec-2019 31-Dec-2021 Strengthening youth policy development and project management IN00776764 ►Number of youth who participate in the awareness sessions on government opportunities (AGPO and government funding) (Number, Custom) (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 22,029.00 0.00 188,500.00 Date 29-Apr-2016 07-Dec-2018 07-Dec-2019 31-Dec-2021 At MTR it was agreed to revert this indicator to zero, as previously it was double counting beneficiaries from CBST. The count will start once the firm to deliver digital training on AGPO and other opportunities Comments: commences activities. The revision will be reflected as part of the proposed restructuring. IN00776768 ►Implementation plan for new NYES submitted to the National Cabinet Office (Text, Custom) (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Implementation plan not Implementation plan Value n.a. n.a. submitted submitted Date 29-Apr-2016 07-Dec-2018 07-Dec-2019 31-Dec-2021 National Youth Policy has been endorsed by Cabinet in November 2019 and an implementation plan is Comments: expected to be developed as a next step. IN00776772 ►Complete process and beneficiary assessment for at least one of the government funding programs for youth (Text, Custom) (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target One or more process No process and and beneficiary Value beneficiary assessments n.a. n.a. assessments conducted completed Date 29-Apr-2016 07-Dec-2018 07-Dec-2019 31-Dec-2021 This activity has been reinstated during the MTR as the Biashara Bank reforms have been put on hold. Comments: Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) 12/18/2019 Page 6 of 7 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Youth Employment and Opportunities (P151831) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P151831 IDA-58120 Effective USD 150.00 150.00 0.00 44.05 102.78 30% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P151831 IDA-58120 Effective 20-May-2016 04-Jul-2016 15-Dec-2016 31-Dec-2021 31-Dec-2021 Cumulative Disbursements Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 12/18/2019 Page 7 of 7