- DRAFT Urban and Regional Report No. 81-2 .UD R H;J- ., f- F ., REVIEW OF URBAN TRENDS AND POLICIES IN KOREA Byung-Nak Song and Sang-Chuel Choe Seoul National University May 1981 This report was prepared as part of the initial phase of Korea National Spatial Policies Research Project (RPO 672-13). The views reported here are those of the authors, and they should not be interpreted as reflecting the views of the World Bank or its affiliated organizations. This report is being circulated to stimulate discussion and comment. Urban and Regional Economics Division Development Economics DepartmerLt Development Policy Staff The World Bank Washington, D.C. 20433 We are grateful to John R. Meyer and Kyu Sik Lee for valuable discussions and to John E. Sloboda for helpful comments and suggestions. March 1981 REVIEW OF URBAN TRENDS AND POLICIES IN KOREA TABLE OF CONTENTS Summary and Conclusions ........................ vi I. Policy Issues - Background and Problems 1. Historical Syndrome - Unique Policy Environment .................................1 A. Style of Regional Policies .............. 1 B. Central Political Dynamics .............. 3 C. Ministerial Sectionalism ................... 5 D. Rigid Blueprint Approach .................. 9 E. National Security Issue .................. 11 F. Regionalism and Sense of Deprivation .... 12 2. Profiles of Current Urban and Regional Policies ................................ 16 A. The First Comprehensive National Land Development Plan (1972-1981) ......... 17 B. National Plan for Population Redistri- bution from Seoul Metropolitan Area ..... 21 C. Industrial Location Policies ............. 23 IL Urban Trends 1. Urban Concepts ...................... ......... 30 2. Trends of Urbanization ....................... 30 3; Urbanization by City Size ................... 45 4. Urbanization by Region ................., A. Overall Pattern of Urbanization by Province ............................ 56 B. The Seoul Metropolitan Region ........... 58 C. The Southeastern Coastal Region ..........67 5. New Urban Administrative System ............71 MI. Evaluation of Effectiveness of Recent Urban and Regional Policies 1. Industrial Location Policies and New Industrial City ..............................74 2. Planning for A New Capital City ......... 80 3. Impacts of Rural Policies on Urban Development ............................. 84 4. National Land Use Policies ................ 91 5. Effects of Nonspatical Policies on Urban Development ............................... 92 6. Educational and Service-Sector Policies 94 7. Intrametropolitan Area Policy ............... 96 References ii LIST OF TABLES Table No. Name Page 1. Gross Regional Product Per Capita by Province 14 2. Regional Disparity Between Richest and Poorest Regions 15 3. National Heavy and Local Industrial Estates 28 4. Number of Firias and Employment by Industry in Dispersal District (Seoul Metropolitan Area) 29 5. Urban Population by Province 31 6. Urban Population by Size of Uirban Areas 35 7 . Major Economic and Regional Indicators, 1955-1986 39 8. Total and Urban Populations of Korea, Japan and the United States, 1945-1980 42 9. Percent Urban Population in Korea Relative to Other Countries, 1950 to 2000 44 10. Distribution of Urban Population by Size of Urban Areas, 1960-1975 46 11. Urban Population and Ranks 48 12. Estimates of the Davis Index and Pareto Distribution in Korea, 55 1955-1980 iii I. LIST OF TABLES (cont'd) Table No. Name Page 13. Changes in the Population of the Seoul Region, 1960-1980 64 14. Growth of Cities in the Southeastern Coastal Region 70 15. Newly Designated Cities in Korea 72 160 Relocation Order Issued and Actual Relocation 75 17. Firm Size and Employment Distribu- tion 77 18. Firm Size by Employment in Banwol 78 19. Stages of Growth and Major Development Indicators 83 20. Government Support and Achievement of the NCM 88 21. Comparison of Rural and Urban Househeld Income by Years 89 22. Classification of Non-CBD Activities 98 LIST OF MAPS Map No. Name Page 1. Regional Map 19 2. National and Local Industrial Estates 26 3. Spatial Distribution of Cities 33 Iiv LIST OF MAPS (cont'd) Maap No. Name Page 4. Seoul Region and Capital Region 59 5. Map of the Newly Designated Capital Region 62 6. Map of the Southeastern Coastal Region 68 LIST OF FIGURE Figure No. Name Page Major Planning Units and Their Functions 7 v X... I. Policy Issues Background and Problems 1. Historical Syndrome - Unique Policy Environment As urban and regional development does not occur wi-thin a vacuum, historical and socio-political attributes built in the national system will continously play an important role for the understanding of the current urban and regional po- licies and in shaping the future course of urban and regional development in a country. Historical inputs are not subject to short-term changes and are largely determined outside the domain of the regional development system. The following points would appear to characterize in a some- what loose fashion the unique policy environment in Korea. A. Style of Regional Policies Definitional problems surrounding terms used in discu- ssions of regional development are assumed to be extremely boring. One is faced with the task of finding equivalences between terms in different languages. The Korean term 'Kukto kaehyuk' literally means "national land planning". It cannot be translated without substantial confusion. -2- The term is a direct borrowing of the Japanese Ikokuto kaihakui', the use of which goes back to 1930's. However,,this concept was only Later given legal definition in Japan under the Comprehensive National Land Development Planning Law of 1950. This law was adopted with minor textual changes in Korea in 1963. The Comprehensive National Land Development Planning Law of 1963 was to facilitate a legal base for regional planning with regard to: 1) management and conservation of natural resources; 2) human settlement systems with special reference to urban and rural development; 3) location of industries; 4) location and investment of social overhead capital and infrastructure; and 5) preservation of environmental amenities. As is self-explanatory in the title of the law, the style of regional policies of Korea has been molded by strong concern with land. Since Korea is one of the most densely populated countries in the world and land is its scarse resource, the strong emphasis on land should not come as a surprise. The rapid rise of land prices by more than 20 times over the last twenty years and consequent land speculation has forced the government to place strong emphasis on the manage- ment of land in the name of regional planning. 3 B. Central Political Dynamics When the modern concept of national politico-adminis- trative systems was set up under Japanese colonialism, the local government was expected to function as a purely admi- nistrative body. Local government bodies were subject to the bureaucratic control of the central government for the reason of administrative convenience. Although there had been several attempts to make the western concept of local autonomy work in Korea since the Liberation in 1945, the poli- tical environment and weak local financial resources resulted in a total negation of local autonomy after the military revolution in 1961. Since then, no office below the national level has been elective. The Ministry of Home Affairs has held powers previously exercised by local councils since 1961. From provincial governors to county chief and city mayors, all local government officials are now appointed. This has been followed by the assimilation of local administration into the central government and the subsequent degradation of local government to de-acto field offices of the central government. The vertical integration and alignment of central-local functions has increased as a natural consequence of effects to expand organizational domains in order to reduce administrative uncertainty and delays in the process of central 'local coordination. The distinction between central and local governments has gradually become blurred. The national government has the power to consolidate or annex local jurisdictions without the concurrence of local governmients and can delegate or withraw authority to and from local governments. All these fact5rs are extremely important for the understanding of regional development dyria- mics in Korea. Local planning authorities are barely able to formulate their own plan without very detailed instructions and the strong endorsement of the central government and, even if a plan can be worked out at the discretion of the local planning authority, local governmenments kno-w that the probability of implementing the plan is not great. Most decisions made by local government are highly contingent on the actions of other agencies external to local planning system. Since more than 50 percent of local revenue comes from the nationalgovern- ment any kilnd of long-range financial commitments and in- vestments implied by local plans are highly dependent u-pon changes in national priority. As funds from the national government often become avilable only upon short notice and normally require matching contributions for a specified purpose, any local plan-making effort requires coordina,tion beforehand so as to minimize uncertanity in the process of implementing the local plan. .: - , . -.. : ! .. . . ..... *. .d.:A-.!n1'. .l:.. {.... '.1.. : S :..H: - If a distinction can be made between national-regional planning and local-regional planning,-' indigenous efforts in local-regional planning, which is initiated by,one or more local governments, hardly exist in Korea. C. Ministerial Sectionalism From the outset of modernization, Korean society has been molded by the visible hand of government intervention. Likewise, government administration was almost synonymous with control and therefore, a certain kind of planning function was talten for granted. It was never consciously recognized, however, and was for from being a fully articulated modern concept of planning. When it was applied to the Korean tradition of administrative processis, centripetal political dynamics were strong enough to incorporate the concept of planning for the sake of centralized control. The whole structure of the decision-making process and planning function was characterized by the top-down leadership and the bottom-up expectation of benefits. This planning process has some merits suchi as efficiency and promptness in arriving at decisions, but is founded upon the policy maker's idealistic search for an imaginary 'public interest" without acceding to true public interest. E. Kalk, Regional Plar}a.ing and Regional Government,Kin Europe. The Hague, International Union of Local Authorities, 1971, pp. 37-31. Each-ministry of the national government arbitrarily. insists on its own identification with public interest. The integ,ration of plari-making ef'forts rarely takes place among different ministries, or ever among different bureaus and sections within the same ministry. Planning 'functions are scattered among a number of entities of the government without provisions for their integration. Consequently, the niational government is highly fragmented to the extent that it suffers from a stroag tendency toward what may be called 'departmental sectionalism' or a mosaic of planning enclaves within the government. A schematic picture of planning units and functional relations is shown in Figure 1. At first glance, there are some clear functional responsibilities for the three major planrning un.ts; Economic Planning Boa-d(EPB), Ministry of Construction(MOC), Ministry of Home Affairs(MOHA). EPB works for economic planning concentrating oni capital use. Targets are usually set in terms of levels and patterns of investment, income, output, employment, and so forth; but the plan implies a certain location of industry.and a certain distribution of population and thus a certain pattern of land use. MOC is mainly concerned with land use and spatial aspect of national development. However, a 4omal channel for coordination between EPB's economic planning and MOC's phlysical planning has not been fully articuilated. -7 - FIGURE I MAJOR PLANNING UNITS AND THEIR FUNCTIONS Economic Ministry of Ministry ofI Planning Board Construction Home Affairs The t Five-Year Comprehensive Economic Plan National Land | (1976-1981) I Development Plan National (1972-1981) I Planning Special Area Plans I * I I I I I I . I Provincial Comprehensive Local onstruction Provincial Planning Plans Develoment ., | Plans City Master City or County Plan or Comprehensive County Development Construction Plans Plans Division Economic Physical and spa- Administrative of national tial aspects of supervision on Functions development national and local local budgetary (implicit) mainly expr- development decisions and essed in te- general local rms of mone- council function tary unit Legend- Mandatory referral relation --- Advisory information exchange -8- Although MOHA tends to play a minimum role at the national planning level, EPB's economic plan and MOC's physical plan certainly cannot possibly be implemented at the local and regional levels without the practical involvement of MOHA. EPB has mainly concerned with economic growth in terms of sectoral prioritics and balance through the successive Five-Year economic plans. While EPB's economic plan has been the most powerful re- ference point and overshadows all other national plans, otheir planning efforts by various central ministries are regarded as technically, implementing the economic plan. The MOC's First Comprehensive National Land Development Plan(1972-1981) has almost been lost in the strong shadow of the prestigious economic plan. According to the Com- prehensive National Land Development Planning Law of 1963, Korean regional planning consists of the four levels of plans; 1) nation-wide plans, 2) special area plans, 3) provincial construction plans, 4) city plans and county construction plans. -9- The hierarchy of the plans is supposed to be from the top-downward but no clear provisions are specified for plan- making procedures between the four sets of plans. As the title 'of the plans implies, they provide the public works construction schemes of the central and local governments. From the beginning, the Comprehensive National Land Development Plan has suffered from the plan's unclear role and its long ten-year time horizon, Finally, the plan has not been implemented and exists only on paper. With MOC's weak leadership in the central ministries and the failure in meet- ing an increasing demand for planned regional development, MOHA, which had kept low voice in regional development, began to intervene into the field of regional planning with thorough compilations of comprehensive provincial or county development plans in the early 1970s. Another confusion in the national planning system was added. As the two central ministries, MOC and MOHA continue to claim their own legitimate involement for regional development, the dilemma of two-horned regional planning system at the local level has not been solved. D. Rigid Blueprint Approach -10- The first cadre of Korean government officials who enterced the field of urban and regional development consisted largely of engineers who had been trained in civil engineering and architecture. Urbarn and regional policies have been built on the inherited tradition of physical planning. From the viewpoint of policy implementation, urban and regional policies are highlighted by the extensive use of public works programs. Physical planners easily accepted the proposition that improved physical amenities will ultimately fulfill regional development objectives. They tend to believe in blueprint determinism whereby a blueprint determines its objective with a predetermined degree of precision over a long period of time. This consequently leads to rigidity of policy implementation. Policy papers and planning documents are full of blueprints showing a list of public works and the layout of the infrastructure to be built. Only crude information about social and economic conditions of a region is presented. The rigid blueprint approach to regional planning without operational flexibility may have resulted in a degenerated form of regional planning, concentrating attention on marginal and vague goals and avoiding the issues that are really important for the region. The First National Land Development Plan has not been revised since its announcement in 1972. As time goes on, the relevance of the plan become less practical. Although the coverage of the plan in terms of subject gives an impression of superficial comprehensiveness, its actual contribution to regioral development is very much in doubt. It is rather clear from the Korean experience that regional planning has to be adaptive depending on constr'aints from within and without regional planning unit. E. National Security Issue Other important factors have also greatly influenced development objectives and methodological orientation of regional development planning since 1970 in Korea. Beginning in the early 1970's, urban problems began to erupt all at once: *Reyolts among urban slum dwellers, a worsened public utilities situation, and some political fallout from shabby public works projects. From the viewpoint of national security, the government also strongly felt a need to take some measures about the fact that one third of the nation's population and one half of the nation's industrial facilities were directly vulnerable to a potential bomb attack by aggressive North Korea. - 12 - As Seoul is situated within 40 miles of the demilitarized zone, the government determined to devise strong measures for population and industrial dispersal. Korea's regional policies, especially in the 1970s, are difficult to understand without taking into account the issue of national security which had been decided upon by extra-rational judgement. The construction of a new capital city away from Seoul metropolitan area and the strong push behind the industrial relocation program have to be understood in this context. F. Regionalism and Sense of Deprivation Another specific issue underlying Korea's regional policies has not come about solely in response to economic rationales. Regional issues are very often rooted in historical incidents or socio-political factors, even though the main cause may differ from country to another. Korea, having a homogeneous racial composition, has been able to concentrate her resources quite successfully upon achieving goals for industrialization without being much hampered by racial conflicts or disputes over religion and language. But lingering regionalism dies hard. - 13 - The south-western provinces of Noth and South Jeonra, comprising the so-called Honam region, are relatively poor and lag behind the rest of the country in development. In terms of gross regional product the region was below the national average by 22 percent in 1961 and by 24 percent in 1978 as shown in Table 1. Conditions in two provinces of Noth and South Jeonra have, at best, remained largely unchanged in spite of planned efforts to reduce disparities between regions. If regional policy is aimed at reducing the gap in incomes between regions, the absolute gap between the richest and poorest regions in a country becomes more meaningful than an aggregate index. As shown in Table 2, the richest region is, of course, Seoul and the poorest are the provinces of Jeonnam and Jeonbug,.although the gap has narrowed somewhat since 1970. The impetus forcing the government to take action for regional development has been a mixture of socio-politial factors accompanied by economic backwardness. The Xongm region disparaged since the founder of the Koryo Dynasity, King Taejo one millennium ago admonished that the people of the Honam region should not be given government positions because they are untrustworthy and rebellious. This superstitious legacy dies hard and many people still live with this bias. Therefore, the perceived degree of deprivation of the people of the region may be greater than other quantitative measures. Table 1 Gross Regional Product Per Capita By Province (Unit: in Won at market price) Provinces 1961 1965 1970 1975 1978 Seoul 19,906 48,441 138,422 .400,974 791,035 Gyeonggi 9,116 24,071 76,218 288,973 691,006 Gangwon 9,617 23,267 64,264 207,338 485,130 Chungbug 8,326 24,117 67,915 246,647 532,160 Chungnam 7,586 22,080 63,898 207,685 476,175 Jeonbug 8,330 22,856 61,359 208,638 456,866 Jeonnam(A) 7,517 21,105 56,494 203,361 474,334 Gyeongbug 8,196 24,332 79,139 234,652 526,367 Gyeongnam 8,526 29,226 .73,612 330,228 731,663 Jeju 7,982 31,037 65,684 267,626 514,872 National (B) 9,580 27,226 81,421 267,352 620,096 (A)/(B) 0,78 0,78 0,69 0,74 0,76 1) including the City of Busan Sources) Ministry of Home Affairs, Annual Report of 7Tross Regional Product, 1975 and 1979 The Special City of Seoul, Annual Account of City Income, 1975 and 1978. Bank of Korea, Regional Income Accounts, 1962, 1965 and 1970. - 15 - Table 2 Regional Disparity Between Richest and Poorest Regions 1961 1965 1970 1975 1978 Richest(Seoul) 2.65 2.29 2.45 2.97 1.80 Poorest 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00* (Jeonnam _nd Jeonbug) Note: Per Capita Gross Regional Product Sources: Ministry of Home Affairs This sensitive regional issue has been delicately exploited for political reasons. Korea was on the verge of national collapse last yearb as the student-led anti-government riot in the region grew into general regional unrest. -16 2. Profiles of Current Urban and Regional policies Since governmental actions which are considered to constitute a body of regional policies are not clearly defined, it is not always possible to follow them without much confusion. As mentioned ea-lier, regional policies over the last two decades or so have been largely embodied within a three-legged administrative apparatus consisting of MOC, MOIHA and EPB at the national level. However, thanks to the increased awareness of regional issues in national development, many other ministries have been involved since the late 1970s and policy measures have accordingly been diversified, although an overall picture of the interrelationship among these measures has not clearly evolved. Policy instruments which have recently been directed toward balanced regional development include the introduction of differential residence tax rates in 1973 which disfavor by the residents of the larger cities, the government office dispersal program, the announcement of educational measures including the faculty exchange program between universities - 17 - in SeQul and in regional cities in 1973, and the designation of green belts around large urban areas in 1971, the New Commuriity Movement since 1972, the enactment of Industrial Redistribution Law in 1978, the initiation of plan for the eventual construction of a new capital city -in 1976 and the formulation of the National Plan for Population Redistribution from Seoul Metropolitan Area. Many of these rqnasures were hastily formulated without horizontal reference to other measures and the initiating government authorities themselves have usually lacked competence for full implementation. Among others, the following three policies and plans are outlined to highlight some features and major emphasis of urban and regional policies in Korea. A. The First.Comprehensive National Land Development Plan(1972-1981) The Comprehensive National Land Development Plan is the Korean version of national urban and regional plan. The time horizon of the plan was elongated to match with the 3rd and 4th Five-Year Economic Plans of EPB. The contents of the plan is briefly given below: 1) establishment of industrial bases, 2) improvement of agro-fishery production base, 18- *3) improvement and expansion of transportation and communication networks, 4) urban development, 5) enhancement of the living environment, 6) water resource development, 7) land utilization and conservation. The main objectives of the plan are the decentralization of population and industries from Seoul metropolitan area, the revitalization of small and medium-sized cities, the raising of the level of infrastructure facilities and services, through which the balanced development of regions can be secured by means of maximizing economic efficiency and the promotion of regional self-sufficiency. The plan introduced the concept of planning regions including four major regions, eight intermediate regions and seventeen sub-regions as shown in Map 1. The three-tier system of planning regions seems to have some hierarchic order. The major regions are delineated to aim at promoting regional development through an integrate river basin schemes. Each major region is divided into three or more intermediate regions which are mainly derived from the concept of a'center-periphery' or 'polarization' criterion. The intermediate regions take into account the patterns of movement in geographic space and an integrated development between a dominant center and its periphery. -19- Map I Regional Map Legand: Major Region's Boundary Intermed ia'te"egion' SEOUL Boun -, REGION Sub - region's TA K Boundary R K ng * Center City of Major Re @ Center City o f nt at ionWna Š Center City o egion 0 cha t REGI&I ] Q 5 An.dong c~~~T aejo K eJeonju NJU ;Toeguj RERGION Kwang sca9Csj:5 sn Jeju , REGION, ^ 2&- - 20 Seventeen sub-r egions are designated on the basis of local market catchement areas and the unitormity of population size. Eaclh sub-region conitains five and more counties in which a core city should be included. Out of eight intermediate planning region the Kwangju region has the focus of a detailed project plan which has been partly implemented with a World Bank loan. The objectives of' the Kwangjui Regional Plan were 1) the maximum reduction in net out-migration from the region, 2) reduction in the disparity of per capita income between the K.wangju region and other regions, 3) improvement o:f the level of infrastriucture facilities, particularly in the major urban areas in the region; and 4) strengthening the planning capability at the provincial government level. As an overall evaluation, "-he effectiveness of the plan has been largely symbolism in terms of investment and the enthusiasm on the part of government as well as the people living in the region. Plans for two more intermediate regions, the Taeback region and the Seoul region, have been worked out' by the Korea S'esearch Institute for Human settlement; which was - 21 established in 1979 as a research arm for MOC However, plans for the two regions are far from being implemented. B. National Plan for Population Redistribution from Seoul Metropolitan Area The Plan (1977-1986) was announced by the Minister without Portfolio in 1977, Although the population and industrial dispersal program comes under MOC's domain by the statutory provision of the Comprehensive National Land Development Planning Law, the low profile of MOC in leadership among central ministries and the visionary nature of the Comprehensive National Land Development Plan was judged not workable, and prevented the realization of th-e program by MOC. Subsequently the President assigned the Minister without Portfolio, who is more and less a neutral party between ministeries, to prepare an intensive and workable plan for population dispersal from the Seoul metropolitan area. The main objective of the plan is to monitor actions which are taken by the government and which may have a substantial impact on the further growth of Seoul and its outlying areas. The coverage of the plan is very comprehlensive rarąging from the relocation of firms, the provision of industrial sites for exi-ting firms, the development of new industrial cities like Banwol, and harsh school enrollment - 22 - limitations, to the imposition of reduced volume density levels in building permit issued for Seoul. The -plan tried to be logically coherent in tying together two sets of policy measures for the effective implementation of the programs. The nature of the first set of policy measures are restrictive and preventive; 1) the control of expansion of firms and of the new location of firms, 2) active dispersal of existing firms to the region other than Seoul metropolitan area, 3) the prevention of over-utilization of vacated sites previously occupied by the relocated firms, 4) the control of expansion and new location of higher educational institutions in Seoul, 5) the imposition of strict quotas on the number of local students in educational institution in Seoul, 6) the designation of green belts to check further growth of Seoul, 7) the lowering of the floor area ratio and volume density of new buildings in Seoul, 8) the relocation of public facilities generating heavy traffic such as bus terminals and wholesale markets away from the center of Seoul, 9) and strengthened slum-squatter clearance. 23 - The second set of measures are to increase the holding capacity of the regions from where people and industry are leaving for Seoul; 1) the adoption of national industrial zoning, 2) the development of local industrial and national heavy industrial estates outside Seoul, 3) the creation of a new industrial-city of Banwol to accom6date the relocating, firms, 4) the selective development of five growth poles, 5) the revitilization of small towns, 6) the priority development of depressed areas where heavy outmigration flows originate, 7) and priority investment for local educational institutions in terms of investment and the number of enrolment. If any kind of relocation program is to be successful, it has to be coined with two sets of measures: namely 'stick for dispersal' and 'carrot for inducement'. However, policy measures which have actually gone in to action under the plan are mainly of the restrictive type and very few incentives have been provided for inducement in to the receiving areas. C. Industrial Location Policies -24- Government intervention visavis industrial location hardly existed until the government enacted the Local Industrial Development Law in 1969. The law aims at promoting the decentralization of industries, narrowing economic disparity between the regions, and insuring an increase in employment opportunities in regions where economic growth is lagging behind the national average. Under the provision of the Local Industrial Development Law, a local industrial district may be designated if an area meets the following conditions: - 1) sites for factories and housing are- easy to secure; 2) water, electicity, transportation and other public Pacilities are easily provided; 3) location of the district allows an adequate supply of labor and furnishes adequate marketing conditions; 4) interindustrial linkages are properly achieved. Once a local industrial district is designated, the government will provide such supports as the cost of replotting land, the construction of roads leading to the estate and for an industrial water supply system. Land owned by the national and local governments can be leased or sold to those who have attained approval for the development of industrial estates. - 25 D In addition, there are means for indirect sur,sidization in the form of local tax reduction and e.xemption, law interest financing, extended debt repayment periods, and the discounted sale of publicly-owned land. The provisions for the designation of local industrial districts were too general to'defend the government from political pressures and ego-centric local industrial boosterism. As a result, local industrial districts have indiscriminately spread over the nation as indicated in table 3 and Map 2. The amount of public as well as private investment in the designated districts has been so thinly spread that the scale of inputs in a really needy area never reaches the critical mass needed to realize a visible impact. As a result, the government enacted the Industrial Distribution Law in 1978. According to the Law, three types of industrial zones. are to be designated: 1) dispersal zones, 2) status guo zones, and 3) inducement zones. So far, national industrial zoning has not made significant impact on other regions except the Seoul metropolitan area.. Seoul and its outlying areas were designated as dispersal zones where the location of new firms and the expansion of existing firms are strictly controlled. Relocation order f'or existing firms in Seoul has been issued. - 26 - map 2 National and Local Industrial Estates EXGrowth Poles ,( * -Industrical Est e 3CHUNG H > UNGGCHEON Neong Tae jeo ˘ -YEONG SANG BUG Growth *Gurnie $ \ OPo han U CHeonN Taegu 7 @,JON RA IBUG/, XYGYEONSNG NAM nBon \ 61 9 ~Mason f) a~Kv wn g ju \ POJEONRA NAM J J Uon - 27 - The number of firms and employment by industry in the dispersal zone is given in Table 4. Out of 12,533 firms in the dispersal zone, about 3,000 firms which are located in non-conforming districts have been issued relocation orders. The City of Banwol has been developed to accomocate those relocating firms from Seoul. However, there has already been a strong negative reaction from intdustrialists. Only 100 firms have moved out to Banwol. The industrial relocation program is waiting to be critically reexamined and requires further refinement through indepth inquiries into the location behavior of industrial establishments. - 28 - Table 3 National Heavy and Local Industrial Estates i-iame of Estates Area(km2) Categories Changwon 17.45 km2 National Heavy mechanical Yeocheon 15.14 petro-chemical Onsan 15.73 " non-ferrous metals Geojae 4.87 " ship-building Pohang 18.51 " steel mill Ulsan 34.60 o fertilizer, auto and ship-building Bukpeong 10.58 " cement and chemical Incheon 1.20 Local Industrial Estate Seongnam 1.60 Chuncheon 0.49 Nonju 0.40 Cheongju 0.74 Taejeon 0.48 Jeonju 1.68 Kwangju 1.44 Mokpo O.46 Taegu 1.09 fiiasan 0.93 Free Export Zone Iri 0.23 Gumi 10. 53 Export Industrial Estate Table 4 Number of Firms and Employment by Industry in Dispersal District (Seoul Metropolitan Area) Total Seoul Kyeonggi No of Firm Employmentl/ No of Firm Employment No of Firm Employment '% Food & Berverage 481 3.8 40 6.4 394 3.4 37 6-3 87. 10.8 3 8.3 Textile & 12,281 18.2 149 23.8 2,109 18.0 140 23.7 127 21.3 9 25.0 Apparel Wood Products 567 4.5 10 1.6 487 4.2 9 1.5 80 9.9 1 2.8 Paper & Printing 1,433 11.4 4V 7.5 1,407 12.0 45 7.6 25 3.2 2 5.6 Chemical & 1,590 12.7 113 18.0 1,450 12.4 107 18.1 140 17.3 7 19.4 Rubber Non-Ferreous 824 6.6 23 3.7 736 6.3 20 3.4 88 10.9 3 8.3 First lMletal 332 2.6 10 1.6 304 2.6 ?9 1.5 28 3.5 1 2.8 Mvachinery & 346 34.7 120 '19.1 4,202 35.8 191 32.3 144 17.8 9 25.0 EIquipment Others 679 5.4 34 5.4 635 5.4 33 5.6 44 5.4 1 2.8 12,533 100.0 627 100.0 11,724 100.0 591 100.0 809 100.0 36 100.0 Source: Seoul Metropoiitan Government 1/ in.thousands. -30- IE. Urban Trends 1. Urban concepts The urban area in Korea is defined largely in terms of administrative regions. Therefore, the size and pro- portion of urban areas and population vary greatly depen- ding upon which administrative criteria one uses as an urban designation. To review the various urban concepts used in Korean data sources, we begin with a brief des- cription of administrative-regions in Korea. Korea is divided administratively into two special cities (teukbyeol si), namely Seoul and Busan, and nine provinces (do). Special cities and provinces are of the equal administra- tive status. These eleven administrative regions are the basic regional units in Korea, on the basis of which almost all the statistical data including urban popula- tiion and areas are compiled and reported. The areas and populations of these eleven administrative regions are shown in Table 5. A province is administratively divided into "IS"(city) and "gun" (county). To qualify as a.si, a Korean muni- -31- Table 5 Urban Population by Province Population (1,000) Province Ara Total(A) Si (B) Eup(CG I,rban (D) Perce t UUrban (KmZ') yD=B+C) (D/A) Gyeonggi 11,030 4,935 2,380 934 3,314 67.2 Gangwon 16,892 1,792 579 522 1,101 61.4 Choongbuk 7,433 1,424 452 190 642 45.1 Choongnam 8,784 2,956 772 692 1,464 49.5 Jeonbuk 8,075 2,287 678 347 1,025 44.8 Jeonnam 12,164 3,779 1,225 511 1,736 . 45.9 Gyeongbuk 19,876 4,962 2,288 781 3,069 61.9 Gyeongnam 11,847 3,323 1,372 452 1,824 54.9 Je ju 1,825 463 168 112 280 60.5 Seoul 607.3 8,367 8,367 - 8,367 100.0 Busan 432.3 3,160 3,160 - 3,160 100.0 Total 98,965.6 37,448 21,441 4,541 25,982 69.4 Source: National Bureau of Statistics) Report on Population and Mining Census, 1980. cipality must have at least 50,000 residents, and being a city entails a basically different pattern of local government finance. As of 1980, there were as in I-lap 3, 38 citiez in 9 provinces. The.area or the population of the province not covered by si is classified as gun. A gun is divided into eup (town) and myeon which is the rural administrative unit belonging to gun. An eup is usually, but not necessarily, the county seat and offici- ally has a minimum population of 20,000. But many eups have population of less than 20,000. As of 1980, there were 169 eups in 139 counties. Some counties have more than one eup. The number'of myeons in 1980 was 1,256 in 139 counties. The hierarchical system of various Korean administrative areas may be stated as: 2 special cities and 9 provinces-38 cities-169 eups and 139 counties-1,256 myeons-35,553 dongs. There has not yet been any systematic definition of urban areas in Korea. Therefore, many experts and insti- tutions still argue over the meaningfulness of various urban concepts. In Korea urban concepts such as the SMSA used in the U.S. have not yet been institutionalized. As urban areas in Korea are defined mainly in terms of administrative units, population in urbanized areas adj- acent to muncipal boundaries are excluded from the urban Map 3 Spatial Distributi-on of Cities < IV X Sogehoc -X> 4 ~) t Don lducheo\ M D<< vChucheon *Euijongb ;)> > GangneunE4 Incheo<3 seu?. Burc a Seongnam .ou nang °Won juAn Gwangmyung *^4Suweon Donghae 09 -r Sontn g a = OTaeback S 7, ~Chunlju - C0enn Cheongj o°ngju O tts \ ) \Andong) Dae jeon Legend: 0 50,000-100,000 i'-eoGi 0 100,000-999,000 Gunsan Pohang @Over 1,000,000 *Iri Daegu CYeongch on D Newly Designated Gyeongju Citie s ( as of -/ July 1981) ;Ieongju e.ipUlso I 4- VCh n weon ct, 4 ~~Masan @@n^ Q Gwangj jue in ju3 / 3Geums eong Irg tPo Sunc eochePof -Jogwi po population. The ways Korean experts and institutions define urban areas or urban population may be classified into the following four types. 1). Urban population as the population of all sis. A si is, as mentioned already, municipality having at least 50,000 people. According to the results of the 1980 population census, urban population of all 40 sis- was 21.4 million and amounted to 57.3 percent of the total Korean population of 37.4 million(see Table 6).. The is one of the most commonly used urban concepts in Korea. This si-gun criteria for the urban-rural di- stinction is mainly used by the government. In terms of populati5on density, urban structure, industrial composi- tion, and urban function, any si may be safely viewed as an urban area. However, this urban concept excludes municipalities located in gun which have urbanized popu- lation over 50,000. Therefore, many experts choose to define urban areas differently. 2). Urban population as the population of all sis and those eups whose population exceed 50,000. The population criterion of eup is supposedly between 20,000 and 49,999. However, many eups have population over 50,000. For instance, in 1980 16 eups had populations over 50,000. 1/ Four more eups were elevated to sis in 1980. - 35 - Table 6 Urbah Population by Size of Urban Areas 1960 1970 1975 1978 1980P Total Population (A) 24,989 31,469 34,709 36,628 37,14.45 Population of Si(cities) 6,997 12,929 16,793 19,441 21,444 (B) Number of Si 36 40 Urban population(%) 28.0 41.1 48.4 53.0 57.3 Pop. of Si and 7,121 13,549 17,658 20,331 22,470 Eup(towns) over 50,000 Number of areas 39 41 50 52 56 Urban population(%) 28'.5 43.1 50..8 55.5 59. 8 Pop. of Si and 8,950 15,683 20,269 22,775 24,940 Eup over 20,000 Number of areas 103 114 142 136 140 Urban population(M) 35.8 49.8 58.4 62.2 66.6 Pop. of Si and Eup 9,256 15,810 20,518 23,238 25,983 Number of areas 122 123 i57 162 209 Urban population(%) 37.0 50.2 59.1 63.4 69.4 Note p - Preliminary Sourn2es: Economic Planning Board/Bureau of Statistics,Report on Population and Housing Census, 196o,1970,1975,i980. Ministry of Home Affairs. Municipal Yearbook of Korea,1979. - 36 - In 1980, 56 urban areas with at least 50,000 resid- ents had ur'.,::n populati.on of 22.5 million, and amoun-ted to 59.8 percent of the total population of 37.4 million. Any eup whose population exceeds 50,090 becomes a legal candidate for si s.tatus. As the elevation of urban places from the status of eup to the status, of si usuall.y takes some time, some eups having population over 50,000 maintain this for some time. This urban concept has been used by various Korean experts and instituti.ons.. For instance, Mills and Song (1979) have used it in discussing Korea's urbanization and urban problems. The Korea Development Insti-tute has also used it in preparing the Long-Term Prospect for Economic and Social Development, 1977-91. The World Bank (1979) has-also used this difinition in discussing issues related to Korea's growth and urbanization. 3). Urban population as the population of all sis and those eups having population over 20,000. This is also one of the most commonly used urban concepts in Korea. Various experts and institutions have been using this urban concept. However, this definition involves the problem of including some eups, which may not be safely viewed as urban areas. Some eups having popula- - 37 - tion over 20,000 may still p.erform more rural-agricultural functions than urban-industrial functions. Their popula- tion density rhay also be very low. In 1980, 140 urban areas with at least 209000 resi- dents had urban population of 24.9 million, or 66.6 per- cent of the total population (see Table 6). 4). Urban population as the population-of all 40 sis and 169 eups. This definition has also been used very extensively in Korea, especially by the government, inclu- ding the Ministry of Home Affairs. In terms of the ava- ilability of statistical data and administrative purposes, this may be the easiest concept of urban areas. However, this definition includes as urban areas those eups which have population as small as 6,000. Many small eups in Korea perform rural-agricultural function and may not be realistically viewed as urban areas. 2. Trends of Urbanization Korea is an extremely crowded country. Its popula- tion density of about 380 people per square kilometer in 1980 makes it one of the most crowded countries in the world. By contrast, population density per square kilo- meter is 304 in Japan, 192 in India, 92 in China and 23 -38 in the U.S'. Like Japan, Korea is a mountainous country in which only about a fifth of the total national land of 98,966' square kilometers is flat enough for agricul- tural or urban uses. By contrast, Belgium and the Neth- erlands, with comparable population densitites, are flat and most land is suitable for agricu2ture and cities. Given that Korea's overall population density is 16 times that in the U.S., it is not surprising that almost any collection of nonagricultural activities and its associated households is classified as urban in Korea. Urban areas are everywhere defined explicitly or implicitly by density and any such collection is likely to reach a density that :would be call-ed urban in a coun- try as crowded as Korea. Both industrialization and urbanization in Korea have been extremely rapid since 1963 as shown in Table 7, with the beginning of the First Five-Year Economic Deve- lopment Plan, 1962-66. 1/ Figures for these countries are for the year 1977 and from the World Bank, World Development Report,1979. Table 7 Major Economic and Regional Indicators, 1955-1986 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1986 GNP per capita (US $) 66 81 106 242 532 1,510- 3,8B57 Urbanization ratio (%) 24.4 28.3 33.9 43.1 50.9 57.3 66.0 Labor force participation rate 55.6. 55.9 56.5 57.6 Number of automobiles 29,100 39,126 126,500 193,927 637,548 1,145,000 Total population (in million) 21.5 25.0 29.2 31.4 34.7 37.4 42.1 Farm population (in million) 13.3 14.6 15.8 14.4 13.2 10.2 10.4 Share of total (%) 61.9 58.3 55.1 44.8 38.2 27.3 24.7 Share of agriculture in GNP (%) 43.9 35.9 36.7 26.2 24.0 15.8 13.8 Percent of non-agricultural 22.1 2441 18.1 28.6 50.0 farm household income Exports (US million $) 18.0 32.8 175.1 835.2 5,081.0 17,500.0 53,455 Imports (US million $) 341.4 343.5 463.4 1,984.0 7,294.4 22,300.0 52,570 Sources: Bank of Korea, Economic Statistics Yearbook, 1980. Figures for 1986 are from the Korea Development Institute, Long-Term Prospect for Economic and Social Development, 1977-91. Working Committee for the Transport Sector Plan for the Fifth Five-Year Plan, The Transport Sector Plan, February 1981. .. - . . . . . International comparisons show that the speed of Korean urbanization has been one of the highest, if not the highest, in the world, especially since 1960. The movement of agricultural population out of rural areas has been extremely rapid in Korea as shown in Table 7 since the early 1960's, more rapid than any country at a comparable stage of development. The share of farm population fell from 58.3 percent of the total employment in 1963 to 27.3 percent in 1980. In the same period, the share of manufacturing employment rose from about 7.0 percent to 23.0 percent. But agricultural em- ployment is less than 20 percent of the total in developed countries. In Japan, with a rice-based agricultural eco- nomy similar to Korea's, agricultural employment is pre- sently less than 15 percent of the total. It should therefore be expected that the movement of workers out of Korean agriculture will continue for many years to come. So far, Korea's development efforts have been dire- Cted mainly for the rapid promotion of export-oriented industrialization..The role and the importance of urban- ization and urban problems closely associated with the 44 - 41 - process of national development have been largely ignored -in the successive Five-Year Plans. It was only very recently that Korea has recognized urbanization and urban problems as serious development issues, as serious perhaps as issues concerning growth, inflation, and equity. The fact that the 15-Year Long Term Perspective Plan (1977- 1991) indicates urbanization and urban problems as one of the three major development issues for Korea in the future may reflect the importance of this issue. Table 8 shows Korea's total population and the per- cent urban for census years from 1945-1980, with similar data from Japan and the U.S. for comparison. Urbaniza- tion is a very recent phenomenon in Korea. By 1950, Korea has not reached the percent urban that Japan had reached a quarter century earlier. The largest increase in percent urban recorded in the table are those during the most recent decade, namely, 1965-75. The 1970-75 increase of 7.8 points in the percent urban is off only slightly from the 9.2 point increase during the 1965-70 interval. Most developed countries are on the average 74 per- cent urban. After they reach about Korea's 1980 level j See, for instance, World Bank, World Development Reoort, 1979. - 42 - Table 8. Total and Urban Populations of Korea, Japan and the United States 1945 - 1980 (Population in million) Korea Japan United States Year Population Urban Population Urban Population Urban 1945 19.4 14.5 72.0 27.8 1950 20.2 18.4 83.2 37.5 150.7 59.6 1955 21.5 24.4 89.3 56.3 1960 24.9 28.3 93.4 63.5 178.5 63.1 1965 28.3 33.9 98.3 68.1 1970 31.4 43.1 103.7 72.2 203.2 73.5 1975 34.7 50.9 112.8 74.8 215.1 73.6 1980 37.4 59.8 115.9a 75.0 220.1a 74.o a - 1979 Sources: Data for Japan and the U.S. are from Edwin S. Mills and Byung-Nak Song, Urbanization and Urban Problems. Harvard University Press, 1979. Korean Data are from National Bureau of Statistics/Economic Planning Board of Korea, Report on Porulation and Housing Cencus, various years, and Handbook of Korean Economy, 1980. - 43 - of urbanization, the pace of urbanization tends to dece- lerate.. The remaining rural population urbanizes only slowly after the percent urban reaches 70 or 75 in nearly all industrialized countries. Thus, although we expect Korean urbanization to continue at a rapid pace, it is unlikely that the extremely rapid urbanization of the 1965-70 period or the 1975-80 period will continue as long as another decade. Given that the total population growth rate averaged 1.87 percent per year from 1945 to 1980, the implication is that the urban population grew at an average annual rate of 5.9 percent. Natural increase has been less until recentely in urban than rural:areas, because urban birth rates have been much lower than rural. Ther.efore, more than two-thirds of postwar urban growth has resulted from rural-urban migration. It has been estimated that about half the population of Korea's largest cities was born elsewhere. Table 9 shows some comparisons between Korea and'developing and developed countries, In 1950 '.C-r''t.;?.:A';':.".;1..tv;: .f n .>- .>i:i't':.l.l&-Ss:SdEE$.t$>*t4';it˘S......................................;S'6.˘:'..Z>:-rt, .............# .. ,....... .-. .-- ;g - 44 - Table 9 Percent Urban Population in Korea Relative to Other Countries, 1950 to 2000 Year Area A 1950 1960 1975 2000 Korea 18.4 24.9 50.9 81.6 Developing Countries 16.5 28.3 45.8 Industrialized countries 51.6 66.0o 76.o 83.6 World Average 28.2 38.9 51.5 Sources: Korean data are from Edwin S. Mills and Byung-Nak Song. Urbanization and Urban Problems. Harvard University Press,1979 and Korea Research Institute for Human Settlement. Long-Term Prospect for Urban Development in Korea Toward 2000, 1980. Data for Developing and Developed countries are from World Bank. World Development Report, 1979. -45- Korea was only slightly more urbanized than the average developing country at the time. Although developing coun- tries have urbanized rapidly during the ensuing quarter century, Korea has urbanized much more rapidly. In 1975, Korea was about as urbanized as was the average developed country shortly after World War T. Although Korea's percent urban is now much closer to that in developed countries than it was in 1950, the gap is still substan- tial. This confirms our suggestion that the pace of ur- banization will continue to be brisk in Korea during coming years, but that it will slacken somewhat, as it has in developed countries. In Korea, in the 1960s the percent of the population that was urban was very similar to the percent of the labor force that was nonagricultural. But the discrepancy between the two ratios has increased since then. This indicates that the rural non-farm population has been increasing since the beginning of the 1970s. 3. Urbanization by city size Table 10 shows the number of cities and the percen- tage of urban residents living in cities in various size 7 Table 10 Distribution of Urban Population by Size of Urban Areas, i960-1975 1960 1966 1970 975 1980 S No.of No.of No.of No.of -. No.of Percent Urban Percent Urban Percent Urban Percent Urban Percent Urban areas areas areas areas areas Over 1,000,000 40.0 2 42.5 2 54.1 3 52.8 3 57.0 4 500,000-1,000,000 6.6 1 11.2 2 7.3 2 .5 3 5 6. 2 200,000- 500,000 *9.9 3 7.7 3 4.3 2 7.1 5 p12.9 11 100,000- 200,000 7.4 5 9.8 10 10.4 12 11.1 17 9.8 19 50,000- 100,000 14.4 20 10.2 18 10.1 22 7.0 22 5.1 21 20,000- 50,000 21.7 74 18.6 77 13.8 74 12.5. 90 9.7 83 Total 100.0 105 100.0 112 100.0 115 100.0 140 100.0 140 Urban Population O Urban areas over 7,-121 10,011 13,549 17,6.58 22,470 50,000 (A) Urban areas over 8,950 12,301 15,683 20,269 24,940 20,000 (B) Total Population (C) 24,989 29,160 31,469 34,709 37,445 Share of urban 28.5 34.3 43 50.8 57.3 Population (A/C) Share of urban 35.8 42.2 49.8 58.4 66.6 Population (B/C) Sources: Ministry of Home Affairs, Municipal Yearbook, 1972,1974. National Bureau of Statistics, Economic Planning Board, Report on Population and Housing Census, 1960,,1966,1970,1975 and 1980. ~. . . * . , S -47- categories for selected years from 1960 to 1980. The . data display an unusually rapid shift of population to large cities during the years of rapid urbanization. Since 1960, there has been a steady decrease in the per- cent of urban population living in cities with less than 20,000 residents, and a corresponding increase in the percent living in cities with more than half million residents. The number of cities with, population over 50,000 was 31 in 1960 but increased to 41 in 1970 and to 57 in 1980. This is due largely to the increase in the number of cities of size 100,000 to 500,000. After 1975, the number of urban areas of 20,000 to 50,000 decreased very rapidly. When we compare the population and rank of Korea's 40 largest cities for selected years from 1960 to 1980, we can find the stability in rank order that is typical of large cities in many countries. There has been no change in rank among Korea's six largest cities, as Table 11 indu- cates, not only during the recent 15 years but also during the 3 decades from 1950 to 1980. By 1980, each of the 6 largest cities in 1950 had reached between 5 and 6 times . its 1950 population. The stability in rank is remarkable in view of the dramatic increases in city size.. 3/ 6 largest cities are, as in Table, Seoul,Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, and Daejeon. Table .11 Urban Population and Ranks (Unit: 1,000) Rank 1960 1966 1970 City(Si) Population City(Si) Population City(si) Population 1. Seoul 2,445 Seoul 3,805 Seoul 5,536 2. Busan 1,163 Busan 1i430 Busan 1,881 3. Daegu 676 Daegu 847 Daegu 1,083 4. Incheon 402 Incheon 529 Incheon 646 5. Gwangju 315 Gwangju 404 Kwangju 503 6. Daejeon 299 Daejeon 316 Daejeon 415 7. Jeonju 189 -Jeonju 221 Jeonju 263 8. Masan 158 Mogpo 162 Masa.- 191 9. Mogpo 130 Masan 155 Mogpo 178 10. Cheongju 92 Suweon 128 Suweon 171 11. Suweon 94. Cheongju 124 Ulsan 15r9 12. Gunsan 90 Ulsan 113 Cheongju 144 13 . Yeosu 87 Jinju 107 Chuncheon 123 14. Jinju 87 Weonju 104 Jinju 122 15. Chuncheon 83 Gunsan 103 Yeosu 114 16. Weonju 77 Yeosu 102 Gunsan 112 17. Gyeongju 76 Chuncheon 100 Weonju 112 18. Suncheon 69 Jeju 88 Jeju 106 19. Chungju 69 Jangseong 87 Jangseong 103 20. Jeju 68 Kyungju 86 Enijeongbu 95 Table 11 (countinued) Rank 1975 1980 City(Si) Population City(Si) Population 1. Seoul 6,889 Seoul 8,367 2. Busan 2,454 Busan 3,160 3. Daegu 1,311 Daegu 1,607 4. Incheon 800 Incheon 1,085 5. Gwangju 607 Gwangju 728 6. Daejeon 507 Daejeon 652 7. Masan 372 Ulsan 418 8. Jeonju 311 Masan 387 9. Seohgnam 272 Seongnam 376 10. Ulsan 253 Jeonju 367 11. Suweon 224 Suweon - 311 12. Magpo 193 Anyang 254 13. Cheongju 193 Cheongju 253 14. Gunsan 154 Mogpo 222 15. Chuncheon 141 Bucheon 221 16. Jeju 135 Jirnju 203 17. Anyang 135 Pohang 201 18. Pohang 134 Jinju 168 19. Yeosu 131 Gunsan 165 20. Wonju 120 Yeosu 161 Table 11 (countinued) Rank 1960 1966 1970 City(Si) Population City(Si) Population City(Si) Populatibn 21. Jinhae 67 Jinhae 81 Gyungju 92 22. Jangseong 67 Cheongju 80 Jinhae 92 23. Iri 66 Chuncheon 79 Anyang 92 24. Pohang 60 Iri 79 Suncheon 91 25. Gangneung 59 Euijeongbu . 75 Cheongju 88 26. Andong 53 Cheonan 71 Iri 87 27. Euijeongbu 51 Pohang 66 Pohang 79 28. Gimcheon 51 Gangneung 65 Cheonan 78 29. Samcheonpo 50 Andong 64 Andong 76 30. Sosa 48 Sogeho 63 Gangneung 74 31. Chungmu 48 Dongducheon 59 Sogcho 73 32. Sangju 47 Gimcheon 56 Jecheon 62 33. Sogcho 46 Andong 54 Gimcheon 62 34. Cheonan 44 Samcheonpo 53 Dongducheon 60 35. Mogpo 41 Chungmu 51 Yeongju 59 36. Jecheon 39 Mugho 50 Sosa 57 37. Songtan 35 Jecheon 50 Mugho 56 38. Yeongju 32 Sangju 48 Chungmu 55 39. Anyang 31 Yeongju 46 Samcheonpo 55 40. Ulsan 30 Songtan 44 Sangju 53 Table 11 (countinued) aan 175 1980 City(Si) Population city Si Population 21. Iri 117 Chuncheon 155 22. Bucheon 109 Sohwaeup 146 23. Suncheon 108 Iri 145 2)4. Gyungju. 108 Weonju 137 25. Euijeongbu 108 Euijeongbu 133 26. Cheongju 105 Gyeongju 122 -27. Jinhae 104 Cheonan 121 28. Cheonan 97 Gangneung 117 29. Andong 95 Suncheon 114 30. Gangneung 85 C hung ju 113 31. Cheonan 74 Jinhas 112 32. Sogcho 72 Changweotl 112 33. Yeongju 71 Gumi 105 34. Gincheon 67 Donghae 1o4 35. Chungrnu 67 Andong 102 36. Hwangju 61 Jecheon 86 37. Dongducheon 69 Yeongju 78 38. Sameheonpo 60 Chungmu 76 39. Sindo 59 Gimcheon 72 )40. Songtan 57 Gimhaeeup 70 - 52 - Every country usually has its characteristic city size d,istribution, but distributions from many countries and many historical periods bear a strong family resem- blance. The distribution is usually highly skewed to the right, since in all countries and all historical periods there are many very small urban areas and a small number of relatively large cities. This is especially true in the case of many developing countries. Among the distribu- tions that typically fit the urban population data -best are the log-normal and the Paretao/ Both distribu- tions have been found to describe accurately much socio- economic data that produce skewed distributions, includ- ing incomes, firm sizes, etc. 4/ Many scholars formerly believed that city size followed the rank-size distribution, which assumes that the population of the Nth largest city is inversely proportional to N. That is, N = P1! PN, where is the population of the Nth largest city. Putting N = 1 shows that P1 is the population of the largest city. According to this distribution, the second largest city is half the population of the largest, the third largest is one-third the population of the largest, and so on. -53- The size distribution of cities varies somewhat from country to country, but is remarkably persistent within countries over time. The form and parameters of the distribution change very slowly from decade to decade. Therefore, measures of primacy tend also to persist over many decades. Large countries tend to have lower primacy measures than small countries,and primacy tends to decrease as a country develops and average income rises. Primacy It is now widely appreciated that the rank size distribu- tion is no more than an approximation and tha.t other dis- tributions fit much of the data somewhat better than the rank size distribution. A less sophisticated measulre of primacy has been proposed by Davis. Davis' measure is the ratio of the population of the largest city to the sum Of those of the second, third and fourth largest cities. The Davis index is the D in the equation of the form, namely, D = P1/(P2 + P3 + P 4. The advantage of this index is that it does not require the estimation of city size distribution of all cities and,therefore, is simple to measure. Its disadvantage is that it is calculated from an arbitrary subset of the four largest city populations. If the rank size distribution is correct, Davis's index takes usually the value 12/13=0.92. also depends on government actions and development policies. Recently Mills and Song (1979) estimated the Pareto distribution of the following form from the data on city size in Korea for census years from 1949 to 1980. In N = In P-In PN (1) For each census year, equation (1) was estimated from a sample consisting of all cities of at least 20,000 population. The results are summarized in Table 12. This table shows the remarkable stability in the distri- bution of city sizes arąd the tendency for.C, the Pareto coefficient, to be close to 1. A possible conclusion of the analysis maybe that Korea is only slightly more primate than the average coun- try and shows no strong tendency to become more primate. The size distribution of cities has shown remarkable stability during the last quarter century. Almost all Korean cities have grown rapidly, but there is no tendency for Seoul, or any other large city to become increasingly dominant. 4. Urbanization by Region The pattern and pace of urbanization by region in Korea have been influenced to a large extent by the w . -55. - Table Estimates of the Davis Index and Pareto Distribution in Korea, 1955-1980 Year Davis Index Pareto Coefficient 1955 0.87 1.01 1960 1.09 0.98 1965 1.36 1.04 1970 1.53 0.99 1975 1.51 0.94 1980 1.43 0.96 Notes The Davis index D is computed from D =P (P2 + P+ P4), where P P2I P3 and P denote populations of' the first, second, third and fourth largest cities..-The Pareto coefficient is 'D" in N = /P or In N = In P1 -KIn PN, where P and PN are populations of the first and Nth largest cities.. The equation was estima- ted from a sample consisting of all urban areas of at least 20,000 population. -56 - spatial distribution of export industries. Export industries in Korea are largely manufacturing industries and have tended so far to locate close to cities having international ports. This tendency is inevitable because most Korean export industries rely havily on foreign countries for raw materials as well as markets, This was even more so in the early 1960s when Korea's export oriented industrialization strategy had just begun. The cities which have large ports suitable-for in- ternational trade are mainly Incheon in the Seoul region and Busan. Therefore, the Seoul-Incheon region and the Busan region have played dominant roles in the process of Korean urbanization. The discussion in this section will foaus on these two regions. We begin with abrief description of overall pattern of urbanization by region in Korea. A. Overall Pattern c.2 J2.-banization by Province The spatial distribution of cities in Korea is shown in Map 3. As stated above, the regions in Korea most suitable for the location of export-oriented manufacturing industries are the Seoul-Incheon and the Busan regions, which have the largest international ports in Korea. According to the findings by Kye Sik Lee, the share of maniufacturing employment by the Seoul region in 1978 was 46.5 percent (Seoul 24.3 percent plus Gyeonggi province 22.2 percent) and that by the Busan region 27.1 percent (Busan 16.9 percent and Gyeongnam province 10.2 percent) respectively. The share of manufacturing employment by these two regions amounts to 63.6 percent. According to the 1980 Population Census data, the share of total population by these regions in 1980 was 52.8 percent (the Seoul region 35.5 percent plus the Busan region'17.-3 percent). These two regions share 63.6 percent of manu- facturing employment and 52.8 percent of population in Korea. This is why there are many large cities iS these two regions. / Kyu Sik Lee investigated the regional distribution of manufacturing employment in Korea using Korea's 1978 manufacturing Census data. See, for instance, his "Tabu- lation of Manufacturing Employment by Region," draft,1980. -58- Map 3 shows.that the number of cities in the Seoul region is 7 including Seoul and in the Busan region 8 in- cluding Busan. If we add three new cities which will be disignated as cities as of July 1,1981 in the Seoul region, the number of cities in the Seoul region will be 9 and in both regions 18. As the southwestern part of the country is largely agricultural and is not suitable for the construction of large ports, it remains largely as agricultural. This is why there are only few cities in the agricultural provinces of Jeonbuk and Jeonnam. B. The Seoul Metropolitan Region The Seoul metropolitan region is the special city of Seoul and the Gyeonggi province which, as in Maps 2 and 4, geographically surrounds Seoul. This is the concept of SMA defined in the Comprehensive National Land Development Plan (1972-81) and still in use by various experts and institutions in Korea. A concept similar to SMiR is the Capital region which was defined, as in Map 5, by the Population Redistribution Plan for the Capital Map 4 59- Seoul Region and Capital Region Legend Newly Defined Capital Region -, Si (city) | Eup (t6wn) -3co Expressway National highway t1--*- -Railroad A ~~~ n g d,nG h e i e c-heo Gaph ong %g~G iuX Bucheo Setl ' ' >, C -\jg Q, ong ->7 Janghoweon Incheo nPyetongtaea - 60 - Region (1977-1986) formulated by the Office of the Mini- ster without Portfolio. The discussion in this section on urbanization in the Seoul region will be based largely on theSe two con- cepts and in connection with various government policy measures for the Seoul region. We begin with the city of Seoul. Seoul is an extremely crowded city. At the end of 1980, 8.3 million people lived in a total area of 627 square kilometers. The population density in 1980 is over 13,000 people per square kilometer, the highest in the country. The ecent government policy of moving bo-th population and industriez from North Seoul (north of the Han river) to South Seoul (south of the Han rivers) has caused a severe shortage of land in South Seoul, produc- ing a rapid increase in land prices. It is expected that the concentration in South Seoul will continue in the future and will cause an even more sever shortage of land for future urban activities. To alleviate the problem of the severe shortage of urban land in South Seoul, various decentralization policies have been taken. The future growth pattern of Seoul will be determined to a significant degree by various - 61 - decentralization policies. The growth of decentralization policies.may be classified into the following stages. The first stage was the stage for controlling the growth, especially the growth of population, of Seoul City as a whole. The second stage is the stage for controll- ing the growth of the northern half of Seoul. The second stage policy measures also include relocating population and various urban activities from North Seoul to South Seoul. The third stage marks the new era for systematic urban planning in Korea. It was at this stage that the concept of metropolitan area plan- ning was first introduced in Korea. In this connection the capital region was newly defined. The decentraliza- tion policies at this stage include those dispersing po- pulation and industries from the city of Seoul to the area inside the newly -efined capital region south of Seoul's administrative boundary. The third stage decen- tralization strategy include the policy of developing a new industrial city,namely, the Banwol industrial city, as indicated in Map 5. The decentralization strategy for Seoul will require efficient spatial reallocation of population, jobs, and infrastructure facilities. It also necessitates the - 62 - Map 5 MVap of the Newly Designated Capital Region eyegn Boundar X Legend / anwol Uworw- .- Seoiul Region Boundar In u t ial . §-- City Boundary cty*--- Miyeon B oundary - 63 - efficient'transformation of land resources from agricul- tural to urban uses, and the flexible readjustment of city boundaries. The growth of Seoul has been very rapid. The popu- lation of Seoul grew at a rate of 9.4 percent per year, as in Table 13, in the late 1960's. The year 1970 may mark a turning point for the growth of Seoul. Richardson's "Polarization reversal" for Seoul, in terms of the popu- lation growth rate, appears to have taken place around 1970. It maybe said that the change in the pattern of growth of Seoul around 1970 was due largely to the market forces, because there had not been much .urban planning in Seoul prior to 1970. At any rate, it maybe safely said that the growth of Seoul was caused tc d great extent by the growth of manufacturing industries. The Population Redistribution Plan for the Capital Region (1977-s.!,986) formulated by the Ministry without Portfolio may mark another turning point for the growth of Seoul. Since the plan requires relocation of most ma- nufacturing industries in Seoul, it will encourage Seoul to become largely a service-oriented city. Thus, the city of Seoul will face another turning point entailing a shift from being both a manufacturing and service-or- ented city to simply a service-oriented city. Table 13 Changes. in the Population Distribution of the Seoul Regi6n 1960 - 1980 Growth Rates (%) 1960 1966 1970 1975 1980 1966-70 1970-75 1075-80 vA. Seoul Region 5,194 6,913. 8,894 10,924 13,302 6.30 4.11 393 1. Seoul 2,445 3,805 5,536 6,889 8,367 9.37 4.37 3.89 2. Periphery 2,749 3,108 3,358 4,035 4,935 1.93 3.67 4.03 a. Urban 543 845 1,174 1,816 2,777 8,.22- 8.72 8.49 Incheon 401 529 646 800 1,085 4.99 4.28 6.09 Suwon 91 128 171 224 311 7.24 5.40 6.56 Anyang 54 92 135 254 13.32 7.67 12.64 Ž Euijeongbu 51 75 96 108 133 6.17 2.36 4.16 Seongnam - - - 272 376 - 6.47 Bucheon - 57 109 221 - 12.97 14.14, Other (Eups) - 59 112., 168 397 16.02 8.11 17.20 b. Rural 2,206 2,236 2,184 2,219 2,158 0.89 0.32 -0.56 3. Seoul Regional, Urban 2,937 4,650 6,710 8,705 1t,144 9.17 5.21 4.94 B. Korea 24,989 29,193 31,435 34,681 37,445 1.85 1.96 1.53 Share by Seoul Region a. Total Population (A/B) 20.8 23.7 28.3 31.5 35.7 b. Seoul Population (1/B) 9.8 13.0 17.6 19.9 22.3 Note Eups in the periphery are those with population over 50,000. Seource: National Bureau of Statistics, Economic Planning Board, Report on Population and Housing, Census, 1960,1966,1970,1975 and 1980_. - 65 - In addition, because the plan divides Seoul into North Seoul and S6uth Seoul and intends to disperse popu- lation and industries from the former to the latter, it may mark another turning point for the growth of Seoul in terms of the transformation of:its internal spatial structure. The reversal of the growth of Seoul resulting from the planned relocation of manufacturing industries out of Seoul may be called a planned polarization reversal. The reversal of the growth of North Seoul due to the pl- anned populatbn dispersal may-also be called a "p1anned polarization reversal". If Tokyo can be used as an example, Seoul may, unlike big cities such as London or New York, continue to grow. This may be largely connected with Seoul's Central Managerial Function (CMF). Even without much manufacturing employment, Seoul, like Tokyo, will con- tinue to grow due to the enhancing effectiveness and strength of its CMF. Seoul's CMF effectiveness will be substantially strengthened in the future. This will lead to the continuous growth of Seoul. Seoul may experience another turning point in connec- tion with the planned development of Gwacheon, a small - 66 - urban area'adjacent to the southern boundary of Seoul, and Banwol, a rural area located about 20 kilometers from the city's southwestern boundary. Gwacheon will be dev- loped as an administrative city with population of about 50,000 to accommodate central government offices to be relocated from the center of Seoul after 1981. Banwol will be developed as an industrial city to accommodate industries moved from Seoul. Thus. development of both Gwacheon and Banwol will lead to a functional integration of areas presently located in the southern periphery of Seoul with the central part of the city. It also implies a southward spatial expansion of the Seoul metropolitan area. The planned development of the Asan bay area, as the new industrial zone centered around the proposed second largest steel mill in Korea and related industries, will also have a great imact on the future growth pattern of Seoul. The role and function of Seoul are extremely impor- tant in the process of Korean development, civilization, and even everyday life itself. However, planners in Korea underestimate the importance of Seoul in the process of national economic development. They tend to ignore the - 67 - positive role of Seoul and dramatize the negative aspects of the rapid concentration of population and industries. This is 'reflected in past Korean policy measures that emphasize only the control of rapid urbanization and me- tropolitan growth. Thus far, various policy measures have been devised to control Seoul's growth but the policy measures will have to be undertaken to improve the mana- gement of Seoul. C. The Southeastern Coastal Region Much attention has so far been focused on growth in the Seoul area. But since the late 1960's, the southestern coastal region has emerged as the cvuntry's major grwoth area. In many ways it was natural that this area should develop as Korea industrializes. It is the part of the country closest to sources of raw materials, most of which are imported, and to Japan and other foreign markets. It has good natural harbors and a mild climate. Unlike Seoul and its port of Incheon, undeveloped land is still avail- able on the southeastern coast on which to locate large manufacturing facilities. Finally, it .is a good location from a military viewpoint in that it is the most distant part of the country from North Korea, and was the only Map 6 Map of the Southeastern Coastal Region -,S. { ^ lGYE l NK / Ulsan PROVID, Jf a asu a aMog p / i4 Changmon ~ 0 Y oc eon Snacm eonpo SOUTH SEA Expressways Je ju NNCE. Seogwipo I - 69 - part of the country that was not overrun during the Korean War. Since the late 1960's, much of Korea's new heavy industry has located in this region. Prominent industries are oil refining and petrochemicals, other chemical indu- stries, steel and shipbuilding. Reference to the accom- panying map shows that the main cities in the region are Busan, Masan, Yeosu, Jinhae, Ulsan and Pohang. The region is bounded, as in Map 6, by Yeosu in the southwest and by Pohang in the northeast. The growth and shifts of population in the region have been staggering. Most dramatic has been thegrowth of Ulsan as in Table 14. In 1960 it was Korea's 40th city with a population of 30,000. 3y 1980, it was 7th, with a population of 416,000, representinga compound annual population growth of 13.1 percent per year. Pohang rose from the 27th city to 17th in the 1970-1980 decade. Some cities such as Changwon and Yeosu are jUst beginning to industrialize arid will undoubtedly grow rapidly in the 1980's. During the 1970's, the growth of several cities in the region outstripped Seoul's. Between 1970 and 1980, Seoul's population grew 4.1 percent per year, whereas Busan grew 5.2 percint, Pohang 9.3 percent, Masan 7.1 -70- Table 14 Growth of Cities in the Southeastern Coastal Region (Unit: lOOs) 1960 1970 1980 C (A) (B) (C) Pohang 60 79 201 3.4 Ulsan 30 159 418 13.9 Busan 1,163 1,881 3,160 2.7 Changwon - - 112 - Masan 158 191 387 2.4 Jinhae 67 92 112 1.7 Choongmu 48 88 76 .1.6 Samcheonpo 50 55 65 1.3 Yeosu 87 114 161 1.9 Total 1,663 2,659 4,692 2.8 Note Changwon became a city in 1977. Source: National Burean of Statistics, Relort on Population and Housing Census, 1960,1970 and 1980. -71- percent, and Ulsan 9.7 percent. There can be no doubt that manufacturing has been the driving force of recent growth in the region. Between 1966 and 1973, manufacturing value added increased 34.8 percent per year in current prices in Seoul. In Busan, the annual growth of value added was only 32.5 percent. But in Pohang it was 83.9 percent and in Masan 67.4. 5. New Urban Administrative System The government announced -in late March a new urban administrative system which will be effective as of July 1, 1981. The major differences between the old and new urban systems are described below. Old system New system (as of 1980) (as of 1981) Number of 1 1 special cities (SeoCil) (Seoul) Number of "directly administered." 1 3 cities (Busan) (Busan, Daegu, Incheon) Number of cities 38 46 Number of eups 204 188 Number of' myeon 1,256 1,253 - 72 - Table 15 Newly Designated Cities in Korea N,ame of Area Population o Cities (Kmz) (1,000) 1. Gwangmyung 36.47 14L5.8 Siheung comunty in Gyeonggi Province (Soha eup, Gwangmyungri, etc.) 2. Songtan 27.1 63-7 Pyungtack county in Gyeonggi Province (Songtan eup and 10 ris) 3. Dongducheori 87.0 96.4 Dongducheon eup in Gyeonggi Province (Dongducheon eup and 7 ris) 4. Taeback 259.7 111.8 Samcheok county in Gangwon Province (Intergration of Hwangji and Jangsung eups) 5. Youngcheon 58.e 54.2 Youngcheon county in Gyeongbuk Province (Youngcheon eup and surrounding ris) 6. Gimhae 63.96 69.5 Gimhae county in Gyungsangnamdo (Elevation oi' Gimhae eup) 7. Namwon 43.35 57.4 Namwon county in Jeonbook Province (Namwon eup and 16 myeons) 8. Jeongjoo 27.52 66.7 Jeongeup county in Jeonbook Province (Elevation of Jeongjoo eup) 9. Geumseong 60.59 57.5 Najoo county in Jeonnam Province (Integration of Najoo and Youngsanpo eups) 10. Seogwipo 253.9 77.1 Namjeju county in Jeju Province (Jeju eup and Joongmon myeon) Total 918.39 800.1 Note: These 10 urban places will be designated as cities as of July 1, 1981. Source: Ministry of Home Affairs. -73- The new urban system consists, as shown above, of I special city, 3 "directly admini-stered"' cities, 46 cities, 188 eups and 1,253 myeons. The 10 new cities to be designated as of July 1,1981 are as shown in Table 15, The new system includes also th.e plan of relocating the provincial government of Gyeongnam province from Busan to the industrial city of Changwon in Gyeongnam province. With the elevetion of the urban status of Daegu to a di-rectly administered city, the area of Daegu city also will be expanded from 180 sqguare kilometers to 460 square kilome- ters. - -, .... - 74 - III. Effe,ctiveness and Consequences of Urban and Regional Policies 1. Industrial Location Policies and New Industrial City The government's determination to decentralize industry and people from Seoul and the confidence in being able to finance a grand new project worked together to bring forth during the economic boom of the 1970s the ideas of creating a new industrial city and a new capital city. The industrial city of Banwol, under construction 40 kilometers away from Seoul is planned to accomodate the industrial establishments to be dispered from Seoul, especially those which generate environmental nuisances and are also located in non-conforming site under the terms of the zoning ordinance of the City of Seoul. The number of non-c.oniforming to which relocation orde.rs have been issued since 1976 is about 3,058. Out of the firms under relocation orders, 1,920 firms or 62,8 percent have actually relocated, as shown in Table16. It is interesting to note that a proportionately larger number or relocation orders has been issued to small- and-medium size firms which are likely to be more docile in following governmental directives. -75- Table 16 Relocation Order Issued and Actual Relocation 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 Total Relocation Orders i86 187 242 1,813 613 3,058 I ssued* Actually Relocated 180 172 229 1,114 225 1,920 Firms () (93.3)(92.0) (94.6) (60.8) (36.7) (62.8) * Firms in hon-conforming area by uses; commercial area 578 residential 2,258 conservation area 80 and others 147. -76- Even. among firms received relocation orders, large firms have responded more slowly than small-scale firms. As of Rovember 1980, ninety-seven firms had moved in Banwol whereas about 7,000 workers were employed on the basis of either commuting from Serul and other nearby cities, or were=liv,ng in Banwol. Firms located in Banwol can be divided into two categories: relocated firms trom somewhere (largely from Seoul) and newly located firms in Banwol. Industrial establishments which have moved into Banwol are mediuin-sized ones as compared with the national average, as shown in Table 17. About 89 percent of the firm have between 20 and 299 employees whicli means that small firms of less than 20 and large -firms with over 300 employees have shown a very low rate of relocation. Reasons for the difference of relocation rate between small and large firms may not be same. Small firms can not pay for the cost involved in relocation and can not survive without the externalities which they may enjoy in large metropolis like Seoul, while large firms may be able to stand against the government's relocation order through one means or another. Contrary to its optimistic start, the whole project has stalemated because of the low rate of relocation and the sluggish sale of developed land to finance Banwol's continuing development. : - - -- . - . -i -- 0 - . X X -3 *.. tw- Table 17 Firm Size and Emploment Distribu-tion si Total less than 20 20-49 50-99 100-299 300 and more Seoul 11,724(100.0) 7,363(62,8) 2,434(20,0) 965(8,2) 706(6,o) 256(2,2) Busan 4,399(100,0) 2,293(52,1) 1,118(25,4) 411(9,3) 406(9,2) 171(3,9) Gyonggi 6,937(100, -) 3,393(48,9) 1,614(23,3) 838(1i2,1) 792(11,4) 300(4,3) Gangwon 796(100,0) 623(78,3) 86(10,8) 29(3,6) 44(5,5) 14(1,8) Chungbuk 688(100,0)| 493(71,7) J 90(13,1) 41(5,9) 44(6,4) 20(2,9Y Chungnam. . 1,714(l00,0) 1,139(66,5) 319(18,6). 116(6,8) 90(5,3) 50(2,9) Jeonbug 822(100,0O) 470(57,2) 202(24,6) 68(8,3) 46(5,6) 36(4,4) Jeonnamn 1,750(100,0) 1,292(73,8) 270(15,4) 91(5,2) .70(4,0) 27(1,5) Gyongbug 5,125(100,0) 2,840(55,4) 1,288(25,1) 462(9,0) 388(7,6) 147(2,9) Gyongnam 2,155(100,0) 1,231(57,1) 420(19,5) 178(8,3) 185(8,6) 141(6,5) Jeju 154(100,0) 125(81,2) 17(11,0) 3(1,9) 9(5,8) - -- Nation 36,264(100,0) 21,262(58,6) 7,858(21,7) 3,202(8,8) 2,780(7,7) 1,162(3,2) Banwol 97(100,0) 10(10,3) 30(30,9) 32(33.0) 24(24,8) 1(1,0) Table 18 Firm Size by Employment in Banwol Total less than 20 20-49 50-99 100-299 300 and more Textile 13 5 5 2 1 Machinery 70 2 24 22 21. First Metal 5 . 1 2. i Chemical 7 7 Others 2 2 Total(%) 97 10 30 32 249 1 (100,0) (10,3) (30,9) (33,0) (24,8) (1,0) 6-','.ss 46:rntS,7e'-s'f< 6' ; d X 6 62 0 -66. ' fS ' 1 0 6.6'4','sk 666M.'06*666.,- - > > l + . 0o,t.,66O0, s t U -0Z~-0-0 '3 .6if ,,0 ,6 6.,60 ,> -1 - 79 - From the start, the plan for the industrial city of Banwol had some intrinsic limitations which have contributed to the project's poorer performance. Being different from the earler heavy and local industrial estates where modenm and capital intensive industries were newly located with heavy support of the government in terms of infrastructure investment and finance, Banwol was developed as a business venture by the development corporation, the Korea Industrial Estate Development Corporation with almost no support from the government. Consquently, the selling price of development land has become so high that small firms cannot afford the cDst of relocation. Secondly, local industrial development-efforts should go beyond providing an appropriate environment for industrialists. The provision of -a livable environment for new or relocated workers should-be weighed as must as the industrialists requirements. Given a highly centralized system of government finance, it is nearly impossible to expect local government to bear the burden of additionLal social demands on the part of new employees. Substantial investment for the settlement of new workers should have been made by the national government. From the viewpoint of policy effectiveness, it is a fundamental aim that a new industrial city would be developed as a self-contained community in which new employees will find work as well as settlement. - 80'' - Beside the, provision of incentives to attract industrialists, a new industrial city must appeal to workers as well as their dependents. Many of the new comers otherwiise refuse settle down on a permanent basis in the region and are likely to drift back to a more prosperous and livable region if any chance is available. The problem is especially acute where new plants are built in a formerly rural and small village like Banwol which does not have the public facilities to accomodate an abrupt increase in new immigrants. A loosely organized housing market with sharply soaring rent and land price have resulted in the dislocation of the families of the new.employees. 2. Planning A New Capital City One of the most dramatic measures with regard to national spatial policy was the announcement of the initiation of planning for a new capital city. Capital cities embody and exemplify the nature of their nations and are a reflection of the wealth, organization, and power of the political entity. Some nations have poured considerable resources into constructing wholly new capitals in order to create an image of the nation as it hopes to in the future and to provide a source of national pride. In the case of Korea, the reasons for considering shifting the capital to a new site is somehow different from that in other nations. The idea of constructing of a new capital city -81- arose from more immediate motivations.. The first of these is national security. More than ten millions people are under the risk.of direct bomb attack from belligerent North Korea, living only 40 miles away from the demilitarized zone. One out of every five Koreans is now living in Seoul, and the pace of immigration into Seoul has shown nb prospect of slowing down. The locational disruption raised by the national territorial division has distorted the spatial efficiency of national development, as the over-concentration of people and industries in the capital city located at the north-western corner of the country has generated much more movement than would occur with a centrally located capital. Policy makers have strongly felt that external economies of scal3 in Seotul have already become negative and are expected to become aggravated as time goes on. All of these facts have gradually combined to bring about the striking announcement that the capital would be moved. The implications of shifting the nation's capital, which has existed for six-hundred years would be enormous in terms of the spatial and socio-economic structure of the nation. The proposed population of the new capital city would be approximately one half million when the city is completed. The location of the capital is to be near the center of gravity of the country. The location should be neutral in terms of regional- ism and should be equally accessible from all parts of the country and, at least, facilitate the remodelling of the nation's spatial - 82 - organization. The momentum of shifting the capital city should be utilized to reduce regional disparities existing between Seoul and other regions. Although the motivation behind creating a new capital city has been political and to express the nation's grandeur in many countries, in the case of Korea it has to be understood as a part of the national spatial development strategy. According to the preliminary plan for the new capital city, three stages of development are implicitly introduced in moving toward the target population of one half million as shown in Table 19. The first stage is dominated by construction workers through the period of copstruction. Tens of thousands of workers from rural areas and other cities will naturally trek to the desig- nated site to participate in the building of this great and grand new city. This initial stage is to be followed by the stage of administrative specialization-in which tlhe local economy broadens to include government services, and deepens by extending forward or backward linkages of government-related establishments and by adding some residential services for the government employees and their families. The third and final stage is the stage of economic maturity in which the weight of government ser-vices in the capital's economy diminishes as the other sectors of the local economy fill out the range of business and consumer services. The dynamics of' urban growth may not be so simple. The impacts of a completely new capital city of one half mill.ion on the existing spatial pattern and the consequent changes in the socio-political structure would be grater thaan any other policy measures implemented so far. -83- Table 19 Stages of Growth and Major Development Indicators of New Capital City First Stage Second Stage Third Stage Population 75,000 250,000 500,000 (persons) Characteristics construction- Administrative- Economic leading specialization maturity Construction Construction. Transfer Full-fledged period period city Development 300 300 300 Area (Km2) Built-up Area 20 46 64 (Km2) Persons Employed 46,600 133,400 203,300 Industrial 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Structure Agriculture 28e.0% 7.5% 3.5% Manufactuaring - 4.1% 11.3% SOC & Service 72.0% 88.4% 85.2% - 84 - 3. Impacts of Rural Policies on Urban Development As far as national spatial policies are concerned, rural development has been ambivalent since the Independence from Japan after the World War II. Four alternative policies for rural development have appeared without being necessarily consistent over the period, a policy or another has been dominant at any one time. Rural development strategies have had nation- wide impact on the distribution of population and economic activities, especially on migration and regional economic disparities. The first strategy is to raise agricultural productivity through increases in capital investment in the agricultural sector. This capital intensive method entailing the mechanization of agricultural production usually results in decreased demand for agricultural labor and consolidation of small farms into large farms, both of which tend to induce rural-to-urban migration. Korea's economy has been marked by little connectivity between the agricultural and non- agricultural sectors even if compared with the performance of most developing economies. A smooth transfer from a subsistance agricultural labor-surplus economy to an advanced industrialized economy has not been taking place,.but the concentration on the mechanization of agricultural production -85- has brought a discontinous shift from a labor-surplus for the nation- as a whole to a premature labor shortage in rural areas, accentuating the labor'surplus in urban areas. The second policy instrument which requires specific attention is the New Community Movement. This aims at improving the welfare of the rural populace as well as to increase agricultural productivity through the sequential and progresseve introduction of comprehensive rural development. This strategy of rural development would presumably slow rural-to-urban migration. But this presumption has not beern substantiated by in-depth inquiry into the magnitude and selectivity of migration. In the late 1960s, after ten-year indulgence'in aggregate economic growth, it was strongly felt in Korea that there would be great difficulty i n enhancing the general welfare of the lower stratum of the nation's population and of reducing distributive ir.equalities without promoting the agricultural sector. Altlicu,L the New Community Movement was not the very first suchi efio.-t, it was instituted as a nation-wide popular movement Iir. 1.971. The New Community Movement was initiated as a reaction against the macro and aggregate national planning approach. -86- The to.p-down conceptualization of macro-aggregate national development, its technical sophistication and the lack of relevance to daily life were accepted by the majority of people. The deteriorating rural situation widened the gap between the modern industrial sector and the traditional agricultural sector. This became a major source for the rapid shift of rural population into a few large cities. The New Community Movement heavily relies on the materialization of the idle labor force, the mobilization of marginal resources and intermediate technology. Achievements was very striking in the early phase but, as time goes on, the estimated multiplier effect of increased government inputs seems to have declined from 9.5 in 1972 to 1.9 in 1977, as shown in Table. 20. In spite' of the difficulty of separating the net effect of the New Community Movement from other policy instruments, it is generally accepted that the New Community Movement has made a significant contribution to slowing down out-migration and even to stimulating return-migration through the enhanced morale of rural population and increased income. Thanks to the success of the New Community Movemaent and other development policies geared to improving the rural areas, the rural economic situation in terms of average household income is at least advanced to the level of urban areas even though socio-cultural amenities are still lagging -87- behind the national average. Average household income in the rural areas was 67.1 percent of that. in the urban areas in 1970 but average income per rural household is getting ahead of urban areas by 100.4 percent in 1976 as given in Table 21. The third policy instrument has been to encourage the development of the intermediate market towns or rural centers. This instrument, if carried out in conjuction with a program of comprehensive rural developmnent, will greatly contribute to more balanced regional development and is expected to lower migration to the large cities by diverting migratory flow from large cities to the intermediate market towns. In a highly urbanized and densely populated country like Korea, it is unrealistic to separate the rural from the urban areas. It is also very dangerous to view a village as an isolated island for integrated rural development. The need for a spatial development stategy to integrate a number of villages into a meaningful cluster as a development unit and to further link the group of villages with a low-order urban center is strongly felt. Since 1976 the Ministry of Home Affairs has intrQduced policy instruments in this regard: the Village Cooperative Scheme and the Small Town Revitalization Program. The Village Cooperative Scheme was introduced to make it possible for a group of village to undertake general and specific projects because one village had become too small a unit to carry out its own project in terms of scale econonmies. Table 20 Government Support and Achievements of the NCM (Unit: .1,000 Million Won) 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 Total Government Support 41 33 215 308 1,653 1,651 2,460 6,361 (A) Estimates of 122 313 984 1,328 2,957 3,226 4,665 13,547 c Achievements (B) B/A 3.0 9.5 4.6 4.3 1.8 2.0 19 2.1 * included the central and local governments Sources Ministry of Home Affairs, Saemaul Undong, 1978, pp. 42-44. - 89 - Table 21 Comparision of Rural and Urban Household Income by Years Unit: 1,000 Won Ye'ars 1970 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 Rural House- 255.8 429.4 480.7 674.5 872.1 1,156.3 hold Income (A) Urban House- 381.2 517.4 550-2 644.5 859.3 1,151.3 hold Income (B) A/BxlOo 67.1 83. - 87.+4 104.6 101.6 100.4 Source: Ministry of Agriculture and Fisheries, 1978. .. -90- There are approximately 550 small towns in Korea with populations ranging from 3,000 to 5,000. These smalJ. towns are quite evenly distributed over the country, and are bei.ng selectively revitalized to provide basic needs that cannot be supported by a single village and or through multi -village cooperative. Basic rural needs, which cannot be provided locally should be accessible within reasonable distance. Each village cannot realistically be provided with services and facilities such as a middle school, hospital and similar large public facilities for its sake alone. If rural services are to be made ealily accessible in terms of monetary and time costs, there would be no serious problem whether services and facilities are located within or outside the village. It is therefore necessary to promote the importance of low- order centers to integrate the urban core and rural periphery through comprehensive rural development. The small town revitalization program is still in an initial stage. Since the meager financial resources of local government do not permit a substantial investment in the small town revitalization program, it is felt that the prograrn has not had a visible impact on out-migration from rural areas. Rural development will succeed, only when the rural sector is reduced in size and the urban sector is more effectively integrated with it. - 91 - 4. National Land Use Policies As mentioned earlier, norms and instruments of the Korean regional planning have had particular relevance for t.he planning and management of national land. By the provision o& the City Planning Law of 1971, the Ministry of Construction has designated fifteen Development Retriction Zones (green belts) around major urban areas to preserve productive agricultural land from urban sprawl and to promote natural amenities. As of 1980, the total area covered by the zones 5,046 square kilometers, or approx.imately 5 percent of the nation's land. Twenty-two cities out of a total of 40 cities are circumscribed by the green belts. Another revolutionary measure concerning the management and planning of land was the enactment of the National Land Use and ivianagement Law of 1974. By the Law all areas of national land are subject to zoning plan and the government has the right to declare the base land price by which the government can purchase land at the base price on the date of declaration and to designate a special regulation area where there is a high potential for land speculation. Once a special regulation area is designated, a higher rate of transfer tax on the sale of land will be levied. A variety of techniques for recapturing windfall profits were also built in the Law. With the increased regulation of land use in recent years, - 92 - harsh land use-controls are imtosed. As far as Korea's regional policy is concerned, the legal bases are the Comprehensive National land Development Planning Law of 1963 and the National Land Use and Management Law of 1974. These are the most important two legal devices which have made Korea's regional planning workable at the practical level. 5. Effects of Non-spatial Policies on Urban Development The mcst important nonspatial policy that has had great impacts on urban development in Korea appears to be the Korea's national development strategy.of export-oriented' industrializa- tion itself. Export industires in Korea are mostly manufacturing industries and depend heavily on foreign countries for both raw materials and markets. This was especially true in the early 1960s when Korea's rapid industrializat$ion just began. As international ports play important roles in the development of export industries, manufacturing industries catering to foreign markets tend to be' located close to the large cities having good international ports such as Incheon and Busan r Thus the rapid development of the Seoul-Incheon area the Busan region could be explained to a substantial degree by the Korea's national development strategy itself. Because of the Korea's export-oriented industrialization strategy, development of other cities also is affected greatly by the availability of international ports. Examples are cities in the south-eastern coastal region such as Pohang, Ulsan, Masan, Changwon, Yeosu and Jinhae. The rapid growth 93 of many of these cities is due largely to the development of heavy manufacturing industries relying heavily owl foreign countries. Other important nonspatial policy that has had great impacts on urban development in Korea may be the financial subsidy policy for export industires. Since the beginning of the export-oriented industrialization strategy in the early 1960s, the government provided export industries with various financial subsidies which resulted in the further growth of urban areas having a large number of export industries. This financial policy contributed to great extent toward increasing discrepancy in growth rates between industrial cities and others. The third important nonspatial policy may be the social overhead capital policy. Because of the export-oriented industrialization strategy, the government adopted the policy of allocating as much investment resources as possible to, in Hirschmanian terminology, the directly productive activities. The investment resources allocated to social overhead sector are only those closely related to productive activities. The result is that cities having a large number of export industries are able to obtain more investment resources than other cities. Other nonspatial policies include the education policy that encourages development of mainly universities in major regiohal centers, and the fiscal policy which mainly discourage the location of firms in large metropolitan areas. But it is generally understood that those educational and fiscal policies have not had much impacts on the growth or control of congestion of large cities. -94 6. Educational and Service Sector Policies Among educational and service sector policies having spatial implication, the two policies seem to have special interest with regard to urban and regional development in Korea. They are the dispersal program of government offices and range of measures under the name of the so-called educational decentralization program. The government office dispersal program is not very new. It has been frequently expressed in government circles and by regional planners since 1964. But, so far, actual relocation have been that the Central Official Training Institute has been relocated in Taejon near the - geographical center of South Korea. A new research and university town is being built in the sururb of Taejon to accomocate the Ship-building Institute, the National Oceano- graphic Research Institute, the Precision Machinery and Mechanic Center and Chungnam National University. A couple of government agencies, which are in Seoul, are scheduled to be dispersed, although the details have not been materialized for full implementation. The faculty exchange program was initiated in 1973 to reduce educational disparity between the universities in Seoul and local universities by means of- exchanging ,: K -95- facul.ty on a voluntary base, The implications of the program is not simply to exchange faculty mumbers but to discourage the movement of high school graduates in local provinces to the universities in Seoul, where better qualified faculty members are known to overly concentrated. Making them available at the local universi.ties is intended to reduce the incentive to enroll in universities in Seoul. Another educational measure concerning regional development is the creation of university. advancement districts. The Ministry of Education proi;iulgated administrative measures for reducing school disparity and controlling over-conentration of higher educational facilities in Seoul in 1973. These measures are intended to restrict movement to universities across provincial jurisdictions from where the applicant's high-school is located. Previously, the high-school graduates were able to go arny universities in the nation, if they passed an entrance examination given by individual universities. According to the new measures, high-school graduates are given a limited choice of two provinces. After high-school graduates wanting to advance to the university have passed a nation-wide qualification examination, they can apply for the entrance examination to a university in the provinces where they have previously registered. These complicated measures aire intended to countercheck the concentration of university enrollment in Seoul. The relationship between education and internal migration 96 - has been discussed from two aspects; the influence of education on migration and the adaptation of the educational system caused by the changing pattern of population distribution. The expansion of educational institutions has been seen as aggravating internal migration, especially from rural to urban areas and from small-and-medium size cities to large cities. Although the government lacks accurate knowledge of the results in the absense of corrective efforts, policy measures initiated by the Ministry of Education have been implemented to tackle the influx of population into the largest cities, especially into Seoul. 7. Intra-Metrcpolitan Area Policies Traditionally many manufacturing industries were located in the centre of Seoul. The city shows the remnants of industry right in the middle of its central business districts. Many industrial establishments were there before the modern concept of land use controls was introduced, thereby generating many critical problems such as traffic bottlenecks and environ- mental hazards. From such new concerns the dispersal program of the so-called non-CBD activities has been introduced. Since the first comprehensive development plan for Seoul was adopted in 1966, repeated emphasis has been given to the planned growth of.subcenters which are expected to gear to a multi-nuclei 6J Sang-Chuel Choe, "Education and Population Migration", in Korean Educational Development Institute ed., Ponulation Dnamics and Educational Planning, 1974, pp. 187-203. -97- city and tb check the on-going growth of the central city. But the pace of development and attractiveness of those planned sub-centers never effectively compete with the central city. Non-CBD activities have been categorically defined as follows: 1) activities generating excessive traffic and population movement, 2) manufacturing establishments undeir non-conforming uses, 3) facilities causing environmental pollutions like noise, dust, fumes and noxious odors, 4) activities having a high risk of industrial disasters such as fire and explosion, 5) non-CBD lo6ational requirements in terms of marketing and distribution. According to the above criteria, manufacturing establishments and other non-CBD activities were extensively filed for relocation as indicated in Table 22. As expected,, the dispersal program of non-CBD activities will continue to face many problems in implementation. Spatial inertia and uncertain business perspectives on the part of enterprenuers make it difficult for the government to push the program with certain mandate. Exten- :i-ve analysis has been made in search of locational rationality and supportive measures for the parsuation of eligible relocators. The city government has taken initiative of looking for a site of relocation and has negotiated with the representatives of different business groups, offering a favorable terms of selling I: -98- Table 22 Classification of Non-CBD Activities 1JNo. of Sectors Activlties Establishments Wholesale Automobile Parts 1,750 and Steel & Steel Products 839 Distribution Tools & Equipments 2,921 Building Materials 377 Bulky Second-hand Goods 124 Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals 160 Electrical and Electronic 1,100 Packing and Packing Materials; 89 Paper and Paper Proa:ucts 920 Manufacturing Printing 537 Garment and Apparel 5,648 Transporta- Automobile Repair 104 tion related Second-hand Automobile Row 64 Activities Inspection 10 Freight Terminals! 2 Bus Terminals 6 Agricultural Grains 240 and Fishery Fish 35 Products Educational Training Institut.es 39 Facilities Schools 34 Energy Gas Stations 18 related Propane Gas Stations 4 Faciliątiis Soft Coal Destribution 2 Markets Wholesale Markets 38 Source: Seoul Metropolitan Area Study Center, A Study of Relocation on Non-CBD Activities in Seoul, The City University of Seoul, 1978 and Korea Environmental Planning Studies Institute, Survey of Activitv Systems in the Central Businless Distric t of Seoul, 18 .19797- -99- publicly-owned land and the provision of infrastructure facilities with priority. 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