Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Russian Federation | Environment & Natural Resources Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Specific Investment Loan | FY 2014 | Seq No: 8 | ARCHIVED on 28-Dec-2016 | ISR25935 | Implementing Agencies: RosHydromet Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date:17-Sep-2013 Effectiveness Date:08-May-2014 Planned Mid Term Review Date:05-Dec-2016 Actual Mid-Term Review Date:07-Dec-2016 Original Closing Date:31-Dec-2018 Revised Closing Date:31-Dec-2018 Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The development objective of the proposed Second National Hydromet System Modernization Project (RU-Hydromet-2) is to further enhance the national capacity to deliver reliable and timely weather, hydrological and climate information to the Russian public and economic sector and enhance Russia's capacity to integrate into the global system of meteorological services. As a result of the projectRoshydromet will further modernize its services and improve the accuracy of information necessary to protect society and economy from a wide range of hydrometeorological and climate related hazards. The project will also support Russia's public institutions to make informed economic decisions related to climate information (both negative and positive impacts) based on comprehensive climate models and assessment capacity. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No PHRPDODEL Components Name Component A. Strengthening Information Communication Technology (ICT) infrastructure and systems delivering weather, climate and hyd rological data and information:(Cost $45.40 M) Component B. Modernization of observation networks:(Cost $73.60 M) Component C. Institutional and regulatory strengthening, improvement of service delivery to clients and better preparedness for emer gencies:(Cost $13.95 M) Component D: Project Management:(Cost $6.55 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO  Moderately Satisfactory  Moderately Satisfactory 12/28/2016 Page 1 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) Overall Implementation Progress (IP)  Moderately Satisfactory  Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating  Substantial  Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions The mid-term review confirmed that the development objectives, activities and tasks remain relevant. The Borrower represented by the Ministry of Finance and RHM confirmed its commitments towards reaching the PDO. The accelerated pace of implementation has been sustained over the last six months. While the project is still behind schedule, progress has been made in advancing most of the actions agreed during the mission in May 2016 and follow up agreements in September 2016. [NI1] Particular attention should be paid to finalizing the concept for “Modernization of the hydrological network in the Volga River basin, and development of hydrological forecasting technologies", which is of strategic importance for reaching the project objectives. The next World Bank mission will take place in late spring 2017. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance  --  Substantial  Substantial Macroeconomic  --  Substantial  Substantial Sector Strategies and Policies  --  Moderate  Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program  --  Moderate  Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability  --  Moderate  Moderate Fiduciary  --  Substantial  Substantial Environment and Social  --  Low  Low Stakeholders  --  Substantial  Substantial Other  --  --  -- Overall  --  Substantial  Substantial Results Project Development Objective Indicators PHINDPDOTBL  Increased lead times of basic weather forecasts for major Russian administrative centers with reliability over 70% (Hours, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 120.00 120.00 120.00 168.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 15-Jun-2016 05-Dec-2016 31-Dec-2018 12/28/2016 Page 2 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) Comments No progress, since the progress almost entirely depends on the installation of the supercomputer. PHINDPDOTBL  Increased reliability of forecasts of seasonal water inflow to reservoirs in the Volga River basin (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 75.00 75.00 78.00 85.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 15-Jun-2016 05-Dec-2016 31-Dec-2018 Comments On track with slight delay. PHINDPDOTBL  Increased number of RHM sectoral data users (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 100.00 100.00 105.00 120.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 15-Jun-2016 05-Dec-2016 31-Dec-2018 Comments On track with delays PHINDPDOTBL  Increased satisfaction of users with RHM services (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 65.00 65.00 65.00 75.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 15-Jun-2016 05-Dec-2016 31-Dec-2018 Comments Delayed, activities to commence within next six months. 12/28/2016 Page 3 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) Overall Comments The activities contributing to the progress of this component will be commencing within next six months. Intermediate Results Indicators PHINDIRITBL  A.1 Accuracy of warnings on natural hazards (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 88.00 89.00 89.00 92.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 15-Jun-2016 05-Dec-2016 31-Oct-2018 Comments On track PHINDIRITBL  A.2 Increased level of spatial resolution of weather forecasts with the lead time of up to three days (for large cities) (Kilometers, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 10.00 10.00 10.00 7.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 15-Jun-2016 05-Dec-2016 31-Oct-2018 PHINDIRITBL  A.3 Number of oblast and territorial Roshydromet Centers providing remote client access to archived data (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 1.00 10.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 15-Jun-2016 05-Dec-2016 31-Oct-2018 Comments On track with major delays 12/28/2016 Page 4 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) PHINDIRITBL  A.4 Number of Roshydromet centers providing operational access to observational data and products for internal and external RHM clients (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 15-Jun-2016 05-Dec-2016 31-Oct-2018 Comments During MTR it was discussed that the target value will have to be reduced due to delays caused at early stages of the project implementation. The value will be revised during the upcoming project restructuring. PHINDIRITBL  B.1 Increased number of automated observation sites in pilot regions of the North-West of Russia (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 83.00 83.00 83.00 90.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 15-Jun-2016 05-Dec-2016 31-Oct-2018 PHINDIRITBL  B.2 Availability of modern devices for measurement of soil moisture and heat regime of agricultural lands in the pilot regions (North Caucasus, West Siberia) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 15-Jun-2016 05-Dec-2016 31-Oct-2018 Comments Contract for supply is signed and progress should pick up shortly. 12/28/2016 Page 5 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) PHINDIRITBL  B.3 Modernization of upper air observation network (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 64.00 64.00 64.00 87.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 15-Jun-2016 05-Dec-2016 31-Oct-2018 Comments Contract has been signed recently, once installed the progress will be recorded. PHINDIRITBL  B.4 Reduction of error of water flow data in the Volga River basin (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 20.00 20.00 30.00 10.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 15-Jun-2016 05-Dec-2016 31-Oct-2018 Comments During MTR it was discussed that the reduction of error can reach 15% end target value. Irrespective, this activity is facing major delays. PHINDIRITBL  B.5 Percentage of the Volga River basin territory corresponding to the minimum required number of hydrological observation sites (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 81.00 81.00 81.00 100.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 15-Jun-2016 05-Dec-2016 31-Oct-2018 Comments During MTR it was discussed that the end target may need to be reduced due to the delays with the implementation of this 12/28/2016 Page 6 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) component. Activity contr PHINDIRITBL C.4 Accuracy of warnings on hazardous hydrometeorological events delivered to regional authorities and the Ministry of Emergency Situations (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 81.00 82.00 84.00 85.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 15-Jun-2016 05-Dec-2016 31-Oct-2018 PHINDIRITBL  C.5 Number of Roshydromet institutions where situation centers are deployed (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 25.00 25.00 60.00 100.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 15-Jun-2016 05-Dec-2016 31-Oct-2018 PHINDIRITBL  C.2 Re-training and professional upgrading of specialists from the Roshydromet’s organizations (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 169.00 465.00 1,020.00 3,550.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 15-Jun-2016 05-Dec-2016 31-Oct-2018 12/28/2016 Page 7 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) PHINDIRITBL C.1 Developed/updated regulatory, organizational and administrative documents aimed at improving the organizational, methodological, financial and economic activities of Roshydromet (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 1.00 2.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 15-Jun-2016 05-Dec-2016 31-Oct-2018 PHINDIRITBL  C.3 Number of scientists and specialists participating in internships in leading universities and agencies outside Russia (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Date 01-Jan-2014 15-Jun-2016 05-Dec-2016 31-Oct-2018 Comments During MTR it was discussed that the value of the end target will have to be reduced. The value will be updated during the upcoming project restructuring. Overall Comments Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed Disbursed P127676 IBRD-82910 Effective USD 60.00 60.00 0.00 9.97 50.03 17% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P127676 IBRD-82910 Effective 17-Sep-2013 17-Jan-2014 08-May-2014 31-Dec-2018 31-Dec-2018 Cumulative Disbursements 12/28/2016 Page 8 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report RUSSIA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES MODERNIZATION (P127676) Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 12/28/2016 Page 9 of 9 Public Disclosure Copy