83138 FINANCIAL SECTOR ASSESSMENT PROGRAM MEXICO CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT TECHNICAL NOTE MARCH 2013 INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND THE WORLD BANK MONETARY AND CAPITAL MARKETS FINANCIAL AND PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT VICE PRESIDENCY LATIN AMERICA & CARIBBEAN VICE PRESIDENCY 2 Contents Page Glossary .....................................................................................................................................4 Executive Summary ...................................................................................................................6 I. Market Overview ..................................................................................................................11 A. Government Debt Market ...............................................................................................12 B. Nongovernment Bond Market .........................................................................................15 C. Public Equity Market ......................................................................................................17 D. Private Equity and Venture Capital ................................................................................20 E. Investments in Infrastructure Projects .............................................................................21 F. Investor Base ...................................................................................................................21 G. Taxation 29 H. Market Infrastructure ......................................................................................................31 II. Issues and Challenges..........................................................................................................31 A. Industry Structure Issues .................................................................................................31 B. Demand-Side Issues ........................................................................................................35 C. Supply-Side Issues ..........................................................................................................37 D. Regulatory and Supervisory Issues .................................................................................40 III. Recommendations ..............................................................................................................41 A. Structural Reforms ..........................................................................................................41 B. Comprehensive Strategy Increasing Demand and Supply ..............................................42 C. Prioritization ....................................................................................................................47 Tables 1. BMV Number of Listing ....................................................................................................18 2. Mutual Fund Managers in Mexico.....................................................................................23 3. Assets Under Management – Debt & Equity Funds ..........................................................24 4. Pension Fund Portfolio Composition .................................................................................25 5. Regulatory Limits of Pension Fund Investments ...............................................................26 6. Composition of Securities Portfolio: Insurance Sector ......................................................27 7. Issuance of CKDs in Mexico (2009-2010) ........................................................................29 8. Ownership Concentration of Financial Intermediaries ......................................................32 9. Number of Contracts in Debt and Equity Funds by Type of Operators ............................37 10. Key Characteristics of Issuance Regimes ..........................................................................49 11. Key Features of Professional (Hybrid) Issuance Regimes in Select Countries .................50 Figures 1. Securities Markets in Mexico ............................................................................................11 2a. Private Credit to GDP ........................................................................................................13 2b. Domestic Private Debt Securities to GDP .........................................................................13 2c. Domestic Public Debt Securities to GDP...........................................................................13 3 2d. Stock Market Capitalization to GDP .................................................................................13 3. Nongovernment Debt Securities – Outstanding Amount ..................................................15 4. Industry Composition of Corporate Bond Issued (2001-2011) .........................................16 5. Issuance of MBS ................................................................................................................16 6. BMV Quarterly Trading Value and Turnover ...................................................................19 7. Pension Funds in Mexico ...................................................................................................25 8. Insurance in Mexico ...........................................................................................................27 9a. Percent of Investments Financed by Supplier Credit (by Size of Firms) ...........................33 9b. Percent of Investments Financed by Banks (by Size of Firms) .........................................33 10. Typical industrial structure in Mexico by size of firms and financing requirements ........34 Boxes 1. Financing Gap for Mexico’s Small- and Medium-Sized Firms ..........................................34 2. Capital Market Masterplan: a Malaysian Example ..............................................................43 3. Capital Market Promotion: “BEST BRAZIL” Example .....................................................44 4. “Democratization ”of State Owned Enterprises: the Case of Ecopetrol (Colombia) ..........45 5. Professional or Hybrid Regimes in Primary Markets of Nongovernment Bonds ...............48 Annex 1. Housing Finance in Mexico: Key Issues and Challenges in Mortgage Securitization ........52 4 GLOSSARY AFORE Administradora de Fondos para el Retiro ANBIMA Associação Brasileira das Entidades dos Mercados Financeiro e de Capitais – Brazilian Financial and Capital Markets Association BANCOMEXT Banco Nacional de Comercio Exterior BANOBRAS Banco Nacional de Obras y Servicios Públicos BMV Bolsa Mexicana de Valores BM&VBOVESPA Bolsa de Valores, Mercadorias & Futuros de São Paulo – Securities, Commodities, and Futures Exchange of Sao Paulo, Brazil BoM Bank of Mexico CCV Contraparte Central de Valores CKD Certificados de Capital de Desarrollo CMIC Corporación Mexicana de Inversiones de Capital CMP Capital Market Masterplan CMSC Capital Market Strategic Committee (Malaysia) CNBV Comisión Nacional Bancaria y de Valores CONACYT Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología CONDUSEF Comisión Nacional para la Protección y Defensa de los Usuarios CSD Central Securities Depository DALI Sistema de Depósito, Administración y Liquidación de Valores DVP Delivery versus Payment EMPEA Emerging Market Private Equity Association ETF Exchange Traded Fund FEBRABAN Federação Brasileira de Bancos – Federation of Brazilian Banks FIBRA Fideicomisos de Inversión de Bienes Raíces FOCIR Fondo de Capitalización e Inversión del Sector Rural FONADIN Fondo Nacional de Infraestructura FOVISSSTE El Fondo de la Vivienda del ISSSTE (Instituto de Seguridad y Servicios Sociales de los Trabajadores del Estado) FSAP Financial Sector Assessment Program GDP Gross Domestic Product INDEVAL Institución Privada de Custodia y Administración de Valores INFONAVIT Instituto del Fondo Nacional de la Vivienda para los Trabajadores IPAB Instituto para la Protección de Ahorro Bancario IPO Initial Public Offering MBS Mortgage Backed Securities MILA Mercado Integrado Latinoamericano Mex$ Mexican pesos NAFINSA Nacional Financiera NASDAQ National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations NAV Net Asset Value 5 OTC Over-the-Counter PE Private Equity REIT Real Estate Investment Trust RNV Registro Nacional de Valores RTGS Real Time Gross Settlement System SC Securities Commission (Malaysia) SHCP Secretaria de Hacienda y Crédito Publico SHF Sociedad Hipotecaria Federal SIC Sistema Internacional de Cotizaciones SME Small and Medium Enterprises SOFOLES Non Deposit-Taking Specialized Credit Institutions SOMOLES Non Deposit Taking Nonspecialized Credit Institutions TSX Toronto Stock Exchange UCP Unidad de Crédito Publico VC Venture Capital WGBI World Government Bond Index 6 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1. Securities markets in Mexico are orderly and relatively innovative; however, corporate markets lag behind those in comparator countries. The government bond market accounts for the bulk of the fixed-income segment, and is well developed and active. The creation of an international segment (Sistema Internacional de Cotizaciones – SIC) in the Mexican Stock Exchange (BMV) has increased trading and provided access for domestic investors to international assets. However, there are relatively few listed equities in the BMV— compared to Chile or Korea—and the number of initial public offerings (IPOs) in recent years has been quite small. The fixed-income market is characterized by few issuers, most of them government entities and large blue-chip companies. 2. While financial savings rates have been growing, little has been transformed into long-term investments. Most of the savings remain in traditional savings accounts. Institutional investors still hold the bulk of their assets in government bonds. The conundrum faced by Mexico, as well as many other emerging markets, is how to increase both the supply and demand for relatively riskier private sector securities, particularly of longer maturities. Currently investors are uninterested in illiquid investments; while companies see little benefit in listing. 3. Mexico will need to find solutions to further develop its capital market to fund its development needs. In the infrastructure sector alone, the country needs approximately US$230 billion of new investments. In the corporate sector, provision of financing by banks fare well below peers, especially for small and medium enterprises. Meanwhile, the pension fund industry, growing at about US$20–US$30 billion annually, requires sound investment outlets. Financial industry structure 4. The large concentration in the control of financial intermediaries raises complex issues and may stunt market development. The extreme predominance of banking over the rest of the financial system affects capital market development, including through the control of distributions channels and of key players like mutual funds and investment banks. This in turn impacts portfolio diversification and reduces the interest to bring new issuers into the market. At times, issuer’s interest may predominate over the interest of the investor raising conflict of interest concerns that undermine market development.1 Demand-side issues 5. In fixed-income markets, the dominance of pension funds limits the expansion of second-tier corporate issuers. Today, the market is concentrated on low risk instruments such 1 It seems that the oversight and enforcement by the BMV and the supervisor have been insufficient to avoid such situations as indicated by the IOSCO assessment. The enforcement capacity displayed by the regulator and the Exchange— as an SRO—is not optimal (see IOSCO assessment—e.g., Principles 3, and 8 to 10). 7 as government bonds and high rated long-term bonds. Private instruments will continue to be crowded out as long as there is good supply and attractive rates on government or quasi- government papers. An important challenge is how to increase pension funds’ appetite for long- term instruments as portfolio composition regulatory constraints continue to be relaxed.2 6. The investor base in the equity market lacks diversity, with limited development of the retail segment. Demand is primarily dominated by pension funds, while insurance companies are very small and foreign investors have been largely absent in IPO’s in recent years.3 Mutual funds, which are typically dominant players in equity markets worldwide, invest mostly in short-term and highly liquid instruments. Meanwhile, the growth of the retail segment has come in the higher income brackets, but further penetration is constrained by structural factors including the lack of an equity culture and the lack of/limited supply of shares of well- known companies (e.g., Pemex). 7. Mutual funds could play a key role in mobilizing long-term finance. Most funds are used by banks as alternative ways of tapping clients’ savings. Mutual funds (particularly open ones) are much more sensitive to liquidity risks than institutional investors with long-term horizon. Thus, the lack of support from underwriters--both on liquidity and company information--limits their appetite to take more exposure to second tier companies. Closed-end and specialized funds (infrastructure, REITs, midcaps, etc.) are still rare. 8. The independent distribution vehicle created under the 2002 reform has not been very successful in fostering sustainable entry. Administration fee splitting practices among distributors and portfolio managers have not being conducive to the growth of independent managers. Large economies of scale barriers are more difficult to overcome for independent managers given constraints on distribution of other financial products. 9. Restrictions placed on institutional investors limiting investment to only publicly offered securities keep them away from more specialized investments. Pension funds have been able to invest in private equity only via special instruments called CKDs. However, CKDs are a second best solution that limits the scope for investor due diligence to public information. As a result, not all relevant PE players have agreed to use CKDs. Further, to contain attendant risks pension funds are extremely selective about the fund managers with whom they choose to operate. This understandable investment behavior by such critically important institutional investors may slowdown the development of the PE industry as PE managers may be reluctant to publicly divulge information on business opportunities. 2 For an initial discussion of how changes in the yardstick used to measure pension funds’ performance may af fect portfolio composition and risk-taking see Mexico FSAP Update Aide Memoire Section VI. B. 3 To be sure, foreign investors do participate in the Mexican “secondary” equity market and have a 20 percent market share. 8 Supply-side issues 10. There is a weak public-equity culture in Mexico with limited incentives to list companies in the equity market. Large companies generally have easy access to bank lending and bond markets, or otherwise to the international financial markets. Further, the oligopolistic nature of many sectors of the economy may also be a factor, as large firms tend to have high profitability and limited need to raise capital from markets. Meanwhile, the rest of the economy is populated by small firms, many with limited capacity to grow. Most of these firms are not ready to come to the markets because of poor corporate governance structure and lack of transparency, while others may not be able to realize their growth potential given limited adequate financing opportunities. To be sure, there are signs of improved professionalism in emerging, mid-sized corporations that in time would help overcome the fear of losing control and publicly disclosing information in family-own firms 11. The small size of the local Private Equity (PE) industry is also a factor limiting the entry of new issuers to the public market. In Mexico, the government has introduced programs to support the growth of the PE and Venture Capital (VC) industries by creating government- sponsored funds and through the scheme of funds of funds that will render benefits in the medium term. While these programs have introduced a number of firms into the public equity market in recent years, there is still very wide room for further growth. 12. There are large sectors of the economy that are under-represented in the public equity markets. Banks, the largest ones foreign owned, have been hitherto largely absent from the market. However, changes in bank capital regulation under Basel III being currently implemented by the Mexican authorities will likely foster the listing of banks or their holding companies into the public equity market.4 The government as the owner of large companies in strategic sectors like oil, power, and transportation could play an important role in developing the equity market. 13. On the fixed-income side, the bond market has not provided a strong incentive for corporates to diversify sources of funding. The cost still is high both in terms of the time it takes to go through the regulatory approval process as well as direct issuing costs in the case of medium and smaller size companies. Unlike in more advanced markets, private and semi-private issues are not real options given a public offering requirement on institutional investors’ investments. Finally, application of the primary market equity regulation to bond issuances adds to the listing “costs.” The mortgage securities market has been shaken up, and it is facing significant challenges to re-establish the viability of mortgage-backed securities (MBS) as funding instruments particularly for private sector issuers (Annex 1). 4 Indeed, in late September 2012, the Mexican subsidiary of Santander came to market with a dual listing in the United States (through ADRs) and the BMV. 9 14. The government and the Exchange have jointly introduced some initiatives aimed at reducing the cost of entry for new issuers, but results remain to be seen. The Ministry of Economy (MOE) provides grants to select small- and medium-sized firms to obtain credit ratings; meanwhile, the Exchange waives fees for these firms to issue securities. However it seems that these programs are not comprehensive and do not pay enough attention to the demand factors. They may therefore create operations that will not be sustainable once the subsidies end. Regulatory and supervisory issues 15. The current institutional regulatory architecture seems to be inadequate to provide high-quality responses to the needs of the capital markets. There was a shared perception among industry players that the current institutional regulatory architecture that combines banking and securities under the same agency has been detrimental in some ways to the overall capital markets agenda. The excessive predominance of banking activities in the country reflects in the relative attention that capital market issues received from the regulatory agency. This situation is aggravated by problems of resources—which may become more acute with the widening of the CNBV’s regulatory perimeter—and constrained supervisory autonomy (e.g., dismissal of CNBV Board members without cause at any time).5 This diagnosis is, however, not shared by all government agencies. Recommendations 16. The authority should address concentration and conflicts of interest posed by the dominance of banking groups. Conflict of interest requirements and supervision should be strengthened—and also applied to banks when carrying similar activities to a securities firm—to provide further comfort to potential investors and standards should be brought up to at least the level of peers like Chile and Brazil.6 For example, investor protection of clients’ interest and best execution could be improved by strengthening supervision and enforcement actions in the area of distribution and sales activity. There is an urgent need to strengthen the power and enforcement capacity of CONDUSEF. 17. More competition should be encouraged. Entries of specialized and independent portfolio managers can be facilitated by streamlining the regulatory framework for investment funds (e.g., umbrella funds) and encouraging the sustainable growth of independent distribution channels. Narrow licenses for intermediaries could be reconsidered (e.g., specialization on brokerage activities only) to make it affordable to independent players to enter the market. 5 See assessment of IOSCO CP2 and CP3 for a review of some of these issues. 6 The ongoing CNBV project dealing with these issues and considered in the IOSCO CP 23 assessment, namely to develop a more comprehensive regime for conflict of interest and business conduct, should be completed and the appropriate rule changes put in place as soon as possible. The FSAP team understands that the authorities are well advanced in the process of developing said regulation on these matters. 10 Deepening the level of integration with relevant markets, such as Brazil or the United States, and eventually with MILA (Chile, Colombia, and Peru) as this regional market matures, should be seriously considered which inter-alia would add pressure to the existing market players to raise their standard of services. 18. The relative importance of the capital market development agenda should be elevated and supported by a comprehensive strategy. The government should develop a more formal approach to a medium-term strategy supported by a road map providing long-term consistency to reforms. Efforts should include a joint public-private campaign to promote all segments of the Mexican capital market domestically and abroad. Aggressive financial education effort with domestic investors and potential issuers should also be implemented. Further, the Exchange should broaden the provision of unique services supporting smaller companies to attract new issuers. 19. A major supply of securities and increase in market capitalization can be achieved by bringing the energy and banking sectors to the public equity market. If done right, they will significantly raise the interest and participation of both foreign investors and domestic retail investors. For state-owned companies, a timely upgrade of their governance will be a prerequisite along with lining up political support. 20. The regulator should consider creating a hybrid regime within the public offer framework for specialized instruments introducing a prospectus exemption status for issues targeted to professional investors. From the investor side, additional fine-tuning of the investment regime for pension funds and insurance companies should be considered, to allow direct investments in private or semiprivate instruments within prudent limits. 21. To address shortcomings in the current institutional supervisory architecture, the authority may explore the possibility of separating the prudential—primarily banking— supervision function from the market conduct oversight function with adequate autonomy for both areas. In the meantime, it is important for the government to provide CNBV with adequate resources to elevate its capacity to respond more expeditiously in such areas as product approvals, regulation, and enforcement capacity.7 This may well require to go above and beyond the additional resources that would be available to the CNBV if it were to utilize all the resources collected through supervisory fees.8 7 To be sure, within the scope of the budgetary rules applied to “organismos desconcentrados,” the SHCP grants the CNBV additional flexibility to use the fees collected directly from supervised entities. The additional resources that become available represent about 2 percent of the overall budget of the CNBV. 8 It is noted that the CNBV is the only Supervisory Commission within the Mexican legal framework with budgetary flexibility whereby it may increase the SHCP’s assigned budget up to the full amount of the extraordinary proceeds raised from supervision fees. These additional funds could be allocated to hire staff, and fund investments, IT requirements, etc. Approximately 76.6 percent of CNVB’s budget is covered with resources assigned by the SHCP and the rest by a portion of the proceeds from supervisory fees. The income perceived by the CNVB from the (continued) 11 22. Priority should be given to reforms that will have important impact on access and competition while preparing the ground for a bigger reform effort later on. The near-term reforms include regulatory changes to facilitate access and encourage competition—e.g., a prospectus-exempt regime, expansion of the scope of independent distributors—and efforts to strengthen supervision and enforcement actions on potential conflicts of interest. Enabling legal changes may be required to implement the medium-term strategy. Preparatory work on these issues could start soon. It will be essential to get the new incoming administration fully committed with this effort very early in the process. I. MARKET OVERVIEW 23. Securities markets in Mexico are relatively well developed and innovative with a modern regulatory framework in place (Figure 1). The government bond market, accounting for the bulk of the fixed-income segment, is well-developed and active. The creation of an international segment, the SIC, in the BMV has increased trading and provided domestic investors with access to international assets. The number of listings in the SIC has increased by more than 300 percent over the last five years, particularly on exchange traded funds (ETFs). Figure 1. Mexico: Securities Markets in Mexico % of GDP 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Domestic Public Debt Securities Domestic Private Debt Securities Stock Market Capitalization Private Credit Sources: IFS, BIS, and Standard & Poor’s. 24. However, the size and depth of the markets lag those in comparator countries. Figures 2a–2d show that the level of financial market development in Mexico is behind that of its supervisory fees has averaged 1.1 times the resources required by the estimated budget. Thus, the full use of these proceeds would allow an expansion of the CNBV’s budget by about 2.5 percent. 12 peers in the upper-middle income group, such as Brazil, Malaysia, and South Africa. Particularly, private credit (generally represented by bank credit) is well below its peers, and the securities market indicators suggest that such lack of access to credit is not compensated elsewhere. These all indicate that the level of financial sector development in Mexico is still below its potential.9 A. Government Debt Market 25. The federal government is the main issuer of debt instruments in Mexico. The Public Sector Unit (UCP) of the SHCP is the government debt agency, while BoM, as the government’s fiscal agent, organizes the auctions and the subsequent issuance in dematerialized form. The Mexican government issues four types of instruments in the local market: treasury bills (Cetes), with terms of up to one year; fixed-rate bonds (Bonos), with terms of up to thirty years; inflation- indexed bonds (Udibonos), also reaching 30 years; and floating-rate bonds (Bondes D), with five-year maturity. Internal government debt in August 2011 totaled 2.8 trillion pesos, or 20 percent of GDP. 26. There are two other domestic debt issuers in the public sector, the Institute for the Protection of Bank Savings (IPAB) and BoM. The first issues floating-rate debt instruments of three, five and seven years to roll over its debt, which is a legacy from the banking crisis of 1995 and the stock of this paper stood at 5.6 percent of GDP as of June 2012. BoM issues treasury bills (Cetes) and floating-rate treasury bonds (Bondes D) for monetary policy purposes. The SHCP does not consider these to be government debt because their proceeds are frozen in an account with the central bank, which is responsible for paying the interest. As of August 2011, Cetes and Bondes D issued by BoM equaled 609 billion pesos, or 4 percent of GDP. 27. The infrastructure of the well-developed public debt market in Mexico counts with a central securities depository (CSD), a group of five inter-dealer brokers, two price vendors, and a primary dealer system. INDEVAL, a member of the Mexican Stock Exchange (BMV) group, is the CSD for all equity and debt instruments in Mexico. The five inter-dealer brokers provide semi-automated electronic trading platforms which are the main vehicle for OTC trading in debt markets. The two price vendors are the principal source for market price valuation of public debt and other securities. These prices are widely used by market participants to mark to market their holdings and by BoM as input to the process of establishing the prices at which it will accept public sector instruments as collateral in its lending operations. The primary dealers are financial institutions (mainly banks) that are active in the markets of SHCP debt, selected quarterly according to their performance in the relevant market. There are two groups of primary dealers, one for fixed-rate bonds; the other for inflation-indexed bonds. 9 Figures 2a–d shows Mexico’s actual level of development as well as its “expected” level (noted as “expected median”), which is the expected value for each indicator year based on a median regression that uses global panel data. World Bank staff calculation. 13 Figure 2a. Mexico Private Credit to GDP Figure 2b. Mexico: Domestic Private Debt Securities to GDP % of GDP % of GDP 140 70 120 60 100 50 80 40 60 30 40 20 20 10 0 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Mexico Brazil Malaysia Mexico Brazil Malaysia South Africa LAC Median Expected median South Africa Expected median Figure 2c. Mexico: Domestic Public Debt Securities to Figure 2d. Mexico: Stock Market Capitalization to GDP GDP % of GDP % of GDP 350 60 300 50 250 40 200 30 150 100 20 50 10 0 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Mexico Brazil Malaysia Mexico Brazil Malaysia South Africa Expected median South Africa Expected median Sources: IFS, BIS, Standard & Poor’s, and staff calculation. 14 28. Since the 2006 FSAP, Mexico has made impressive progress with regards to public debt management. The weighted average term to maturity of government bills and bonds outstanding in the domestic markets increased from 4.3 years in January 2007 to 7.3 years in August 2011. The composition of government debt also improved markedly: the share of internal debt over total domestic and external debt continued to rise gradually and was over 81 percent at end-August 2011;10 for domestic government debt, the proportion of fixed-rate plus inflation- indexed instruments rose from 54 percent to 68 percent from January 2007 to August 2011. 29. During the same period, there has been an important diversification of the investor base, with a stronger presence of foreign investors in the local public debt market. Foreign investors now hold 26 percent of the total domestic government debt and 40 percent of the fixed- rate bonds—from 8 percent and 17 percent, respectively, in January 2007. The greater presence of foreign investors can be associated with the lengthening of the outstanding debt profile and the improvement of debt composition, given their appetite for fixed-rate instruments of longer maturities. 30. The nominal yield curve now covers 30 years compared to 20 years prior to 2006, and with reasonable liquidity. Even though the amounts of government bonds traded have not changed much, the average number of transactions has more than doubled; or more than tripled, if only trades of longer-term securities (more than five years) are considered. Using the secondary market of inflation-indexed bonds, one can infer a real yield curve, although the amounts traded in the market for those securities are roughly one-tenth of the amounts in the market of fixed-rate bonds. Since February 2010, the SHCP has organized syndicated placements of long-term fixed-rate and inflation-linked bonds, accelerating the process of building market benchmarks with high outstanding volumes and allowing the inclusion of such bonds in the World Government Bond Index (WGBI). Domestic fixed-rate government bonds are part of this index since April 2010.11 31. Given its sound debt management policies, Mexican authorities were able to preserve the functioning of the primary and secondary markets in the face of the 2008 financial crisis. Reacting to an increased risk aversion, the authorities took the following measures in the last quarter of 2008:  The SHCP reduced the amounts offered in primary auctions of longer-term securities (fixed-rate and inflation-indexed bonds of 10-year terms and longer) and increased the amount offered in treasury bills auctions. This measure was gradually reversed through 2009 and, in the beginning of 2010 the amounts offered at primary auctions of long-term bonds were largely back to pre-crisis levels. 10 At end-December 2000, the internal government debt was 55 percent of total debt. 11 Mexico was the first Latin American country to be included in Citigroup’s WGBI. 15  IPAB also reduced the amounts offered in its primary auctions and resorted to some bank financing to compensate this reduction.  BoM undertook a series of auctions to purchase IPAB securities to alleviate liquidity pressures on investment funds.  BoM also performed interest rate swaps with credit institutions to help them reduce their exposure to long-term interest rates.  SHCP conducted buy-back auctions of fixed-rate and inflation-indexed bonds of 10 years and longer, which were not currently being offered in the regular sales auctions. B. Nongovernment Bond Market 32. The nongovernment debt market is also relatively active, but concentrated on bank debt securities and short-term issues. As of June 2011, the value of nongovernment bonds outstanding stood at Mex$ 1.46 trillion (approximately US$112 billion or about 10 percent of GDP) (Figure 3). The majority of bonds are issued by financial intermediaries (Figure 4), in which approximately 70 percent is issued with a tenor of less than a year. A relatively small number of nonbank corporate entities, only 112 as of June 2011, have bonds outstanding; and the number has not grown for many years (e.g., compared with 114 in December 2005). Figure 3. Mexico: Nongovernment Debt Securities—Outstanding Amount Non-Government Debt Securities - Million Pesos 1,600 Outstanding Amount 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 (June) Corporate Debt Securities Bank Debt Securities ABS, MBS, Municipals, Other Debt Securities Source: Bank of Mexico. 16 Figure 4. Mexico: Industry Composition of Corporate Bond Issued (2001–2011) Industry Composition of Corporate Bonds Issued Materials & 2001-2011 Others (Media, Consumer Industrials, Technology, Staples, 5.1% Real Estate), Products & 1.0% Services, Retail, 6.0% Telecoms, 6.0% Energy & Financials, Power, 13.7% 68.2% Source: Thompson Financials. 33. Mortgage securitization has been quite popular following a U.S.-inspired model, but in recent years has been adversely affected by the 2008–09 global financial crisis. The Mexican mortgage-backed securities (MBS) market became the largest market in the region with the growth of private lenders specialized in mortgage lending (in the forms of sofoles and sofomes hipotecarias), which used capital market funding, financial guarantees, and mortgage insurance under the oversight of the Federal Housing Society (SHF), a specialized development bank. In the midst of the 2008–09 financial crisis, significant market disruption occurred with a rise of loan delinquencies, as well as a crisis of confidence over nonregulated sofoles/sofomes. Starting in 2009, the MBS market has been dominated by quasi-government provident funds (INFONAVIT and FOVISSSTE); while sofoles/sofomes paper has disappeared (Figure 5). 34. While the market has been familiar with securitization techniques, few securitizations have been issued for asset classes other than mortgages, such as infrastructure. Mortgages were the asset class that drove the growth of securitization market. The disappearance of securitization backed by mortgages originated by banks and independent lenders after the global financial crisis 2008/9 affected the overall securitization market, including those asset classes that had not reached a sufficient critical mass (e.g., auto, consumer loans). There have been some efforts to rejuvenate the securitization market, especially in the infrastructure sector, but the market has not taken off. (See section on Infrastructure below). 17 Figure 5. Mexico: Issuance of Mortgage-Backed Securities Source: CNBV. C. Public Equity Market 35. There is one stock exchange, Bolsa Mexicana de Valores (BMV), operating in Mexico under permissions granted by the federal government.12 Public offerings of securities in the jurisdiction must be listed on the BMV. Trading in equities or listed derivatives is required to take place on the exchanges. Trading in some fixed-income instruments and most derivatives takes place over the counter, often through electronic facilities operated by authorized inter- dealer brokers. The BMV, the central securities depository (INDEVAL) and the central counterparties (CCV and Asigna) are all part of the BMV Group, a public company self-listed on the BMV. The BMV is a member of the World Federation of Exchanges. 36. The BMV has a very low number of listings, and the liquidity of these is limited for all but the very largest companies in the domestic market. There has been virtually no growth in the number of listings over the past five years (Table 1), while market capitalization has increased 30 percent and trading volumes were up 131 percent. There are a fairly large number of family-controlled private companies that would be prime targets for listing. However, the consensus is that they have alternative sources of funding that are more attractive, as they do not entail the public disclosure obligations that come with public listing. Trading is concentrated in the largest issuers, with the five most active issues making up 68 percent of total traded value in 2011. 12 Another exchange, Mercado Mexicano de Derivados (MexDer), operates derivatives market. MexDer is part of the BMV Group. 18 Table 1. Mexico: BMV Number of Listing 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Oct-2011 Domestic Shares 136 129 130 131 134 133 ETFs 1 5 6 13 20 20 Total - Domestic 137 134 136 144 154 153 SIC - International Quotation System Shares 119 238 242 273 333 338 ETFs 57 108 153 240 385 410 Total - International 176 346 395 513 718 748 Source: CNBV and BMV. 37. The initial public offer (IPO) activity has been low, but local ETFs have had a significant growth in recent years. On the equity side, the number of IPO’s over the past five years has been small with just seven issues that raised approximately US$2.8 billion. Meanwhile, local ETFs have had very significant growth in recent years. In 2006, there was only one ETF listed; the number grew to 20 in 2010. The domestic ETF market has become a substantial market. The size of domestic ETFs is estimated at Mex$ 110 billion, which represents about 2 percent of BMV domestic market capitalization. However, the trading of ETFs has grown to represent about one-third of the domestic market (Figure 6). The main reason for the likely growth of the ETF was the requirement that pension funds (AFORES) invest in equity only through indexed funds; this requirement has been removed recently. 38. Listings growth in the BMV has been concentrated in foreign equities (and ETFs) in the SIC segment. These instruments are listed on the SIC. These securities have not been publicly offered in Mexico; are not listed in the Registro Nacional de Valores (National registry of securities (RNV)), but are listed in foreign securities markets recognized by the CNBV or whose issuers have otherwise been approved for listing by the CNBV. The CNBV has recognized several foreign stock markets viewed as having comparable standards, such as disclosure rules. These exchanges include NASDAQ, the New York Stock Exchange, the London Stock Exchange, the TSX Group, Inc., and the Deutsche Börse AG. Only qualified investors (institutions and high- net-worth individuals) may purchase securities listed on the SIC. Trades executed through the SIC settle through INDEVAL and are subject to the same operational rules and regulations as other trades executed on the Exchange. The number of listings has increased by more than 300 percent over the last five years, with the largest growth in exchange traded funds (ETFs)—up 575 percent. The trading on the SIC is highly concentrated in the five most active listings, with these ETFs making up 58 percent of the total traded value in 2011. Similar to the reason for the growth of domestic ETFs, the main reason for the growth in the international section of BMV is probably 19 due to regulatory limitation for pension funds, which are allowed to invest in international assets, but only if they are listed in the BMV. 39. Much of the activity on the BMV comes from program trading orders that are placed to take advantage of price asymmetries between markets. According to the BMV, up to 90 percent of total orders in the cash market represent program trading orders. Most are cancelled before the trade is completed. The ratio of orders to trades is about 20 to 1. The BMV has added significant systems capacity in recent years to handle the volume of orders. Its trading rules and the related CNBV Securities Firms Rules have recently undergone significant changes to modernize the rules regarding trading; permit direct market access to institutional investors through member brokers; and facilitate cross-trading. Figure 6. Mexico: BMV Quarterly Trading Value and Turnover BMV Quarterly Trading Value and Turnover Trading Value (Billion Pesos) Turnover (x) 700 0.13 0.12 600 0.11 500 0.10 0.09 400 0.08 300 0.07 200 0.06 0.05 100 0.04 0 0.03 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q2 Q3 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 ETFs IPC Shares Remaining Shares Turnover - All Shares (incl. ETFs) Turnover - IPC Shares Note: - IPC is BMV's main equity index, comprised of 35 largest and most liquid stocks - Turnover is calculated as total trading value for the period (quarter) divided by market capitalization Source: CNBV, Bloomberg, staff calculation 20 D. Private Equity and Venture Capital 40. The private equity (PE) market in Mexico is still relatively small with a penetration of about 0.04 percent of GDP.13 It is estimated that Mexico would need US$12.5 billion in PE investments today to be at the same level as that of Brazil. NAFINSA (Nacional Financiera), a government-owned development bank focusing on small and medium enterprises (SMEs), has been promoting the growth of the PE industry through the establishment of CMIC (Corporación Mexicana de Inversiones de Capital),14 which manages “Fondo de Fondos,” the first and largest PE fund-of-funds in Mexico. “Fondo de Fondos” currently invests in 43 funds managed by 38 PE fund managers, with a total commitment of US$323 million.15 Currently, there are approximately 60 fund managers operating in the Mexican market, most of which started in recent years. 41. The government has a number of equity-funding programs to support the growth of enterprises including start-ups. NAFINSA and CONACYT (Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología—National Institute for Science and Technology) established “Fondo Emprendedores” to invest in start-ups that have concepts using innovative technologies. The fund manages approximately US$20 million and has made 34 investments. With a relatively high success rate for an entry-stage fund,16 there is an effort to replicate this model. Another initiative is Mexico Ventures, sponsored by NAFINSA and SHCP, which was launched in 2011 after a study identified that there was a large financing gap for SMEs that had not been covered by the “Fondo de Fondos” and the local PE industry. The gap existed at the lower end of the SMEs spectrum (SMEs with US$1 million to US$10 million in sales); the PE industry tends to target the medium-to-larger segment of the market. Mexican Ventures has a seed capital of US$70 million and will raise an additional US$50 million; it is managed by a private operator. 42. The Mexican PE industry has a high potential to supply new equity listings to the public market. Five of the IPOs in the past decade were sponsored by PE funds in which “Fondo de Fondos” invested.17 The number is relatively significant considering that there were 13 Penetration in Brazil stood at 0.16 percent, China 0.21 percent, Turkey 0.26 percent, and India 0.61 percent. According to EMPEA (Emerging Market Private Equity Association), total fund-raising in Mexico amounted US$227 million in 2010, as compared with Brazil (US$1,078 million), Colombia (US$308 million), and Peru (US$543 million) in the same year. 14 CMIC is jointly owned by NAFINSA (57 percent), FOCIR (Fondo de Capitalización e Inversión del Sector Rural, 26 percent), BANCOMEXT (Banco Nacional de Comercio Exterior, 12 percent), and BANOBRAS (Banco Nacional de Obras y Servicio Públicos, 3 percent). 15 As a matter of policy, Fondo de Fondos can only invest up to 35 percent of each fund. 16 So far, 10 start-ups have been performing well, while five others have been closed down. 17 The most recent of these IPOs are Homex (2005), Genoma Lab (2008), and Sport World (2010). 21 only a few IPOs in the domestic market in recent years. In addition, there are about 10 companies in the IPO pipeline. 43. Domestic institutional investors have recently been able to invest in the PE market through a special structure. Domestic institutional investors were practically absent in PE investments until recently, reflecting the fact that they are restricted from investing in nonpublic securities. However, in 2009 regulatory changes were introduced allowing for the creation of structured vehicles called “Certificados de Capital de Desarrollo,” CKDs. These vehicles are offered in public markets but make private investments. This financial innovation opened the PE market to domestic institutional investors—pension funds (AFORES) and insurance companies—which indeed have started to invest in PE funds through CKDs. E. Investments in Infrastructure Projects 44. A number of approaches have been tried to mobilize funds to finance infrastructure projects, but no clear winner has emerged. The country has a five-year infrastructure investment target of approximately US$230 billion, with about 40 percent requiring some kind of public-private arrangements.18 To spearhead private sector investments in infrastructure, the government has set up FONADIN (Fondo Nacional de Infraestructura).19 This fund helps the bankability of projects by providing guarantees, subordinated debt, or equity. FONDAFIN has made a total commitment of Mex$86 billion, which in total mobilized about Mex$200 billion of external financing for infrastructure, mostly from banks. So far, the use of capital markets to fund infrastructure has been relatively limited and funding has come primarily through CKDs. FONADIN is investing a total of Mex$7 billion in five existing funds (CKDs) and four upcoming funds.20 Efforts have been made to raise debt funding for both brown-field and green- field projects (e.g., refinancing of Chiapas toll-road project and securitization of government payments for a federal prison project). F. Investor Base 45. The mutual fund industry is relatively well developed, but affiliation with the largest commercial banks limits product diversification. As of August 2011, there were 62 fund managers registered in the CNBV, the largest of them are affiliated with the largest commercial banks in Mexico, including: Banamex, BBVA Bancomer, Santander, Inbursa, Scotia, Actinver, HSBC, Banorte, and Ixe (Banorte Group) (Table 2). In total, these bank-affiliated funds control the bulk (approximately 87 percent) of assets under management. 18 National Infrastructure Program 2007–2012. 19 BANOBRAS, a government-owned development bank focusing on infrastructure sector is considered as having expertise in infrastructure financing; thus, although FONADIN is not part of BANOBRAS, its activities are housed within BANOBRAS. 20 FONADIN can participate up to 20 percent of each fund. 22 46. A large majority of mutual fund assets is invested in short-term debt papers. As of September 2011, there were 534 funds registered with total mutual fund asset under management of approximately US$95.8 billion. Out of this total, approximately 63.6 percent was invested in short-term debts (Table 3). The composition of mutual fund investments reflects the situation in the supply of securities mentioned above, where the majority of debt securities is issued for the short term. 47. Pension funds are a growing investor segment, which is expected to continue in the future. The pension fund segment, as a group, has become a dominant player in the capital markets, since the establishment of the mandatory funded system in 1997. The pension funds (AFORES) held assets amounting to Mex$1.5 trillion (approximately US$124 billion) as of June 2011, growing at a compound rate of 25 percent over the past decade (Figure 7). AFORES are expected to grow by US$20–30 billion annually. 48. Pension funds have been allowed to invest in assets with higher risk-return profiles through gradual increase in regulatory limits, but allocation remains fairly conservative. Equity became an eligible asset class in 2003, but at that time exposure to equity could only be taken through index funds. Direct investment in equity was allowed starting in 2008/9. Currently, limits on equity investments range from 5 percent to 40 percent depending on the risk tolerance level of the fund; the risk level allowed falls as participants grow older. For example, for Siefores 3, the funds with medium-risk tolerance, equity investment is capped at 30 percent. As of September 2011, equity allocation in Siefore 3 averaged 18.1 percent (both national and international equities). Similarly, for Siefore 5, the funds with highest risk tolerance the limit is 40 percent; however, the total of national and international equity allocation was only 24 percent (Tables 4 and 5). 49. Insurance companies are not yet a significant investor segment in the Mexican capital market. As of June 2011, total investible assets were Mex$689 billion (approximately US$53 billion). The assets held by this sector are expected to continue to grow as insurance penetration in Mexico is still relatively low (about 1.9 percent of GDP in 2010, Figure 8). While the share of their equity investments has been rising in recent years, the investment portfolio remains concentrated in government securities (about 60 percent) (Table 6). 23 Table 2. Mexico: Mutual Fund Managers in Mexico1/ Mutual Fund Managers in Mexico (As of August 2011) Size (Million Pesos) Market Share 1 . Impulsora de Fondos Banamex 298,805.2 23.4% 2 . BBVA Bancomer Gestion 296,449.7 23.2% 3 . Gestion Santander 178,912.1 14.0% 4 . Operadora Inbursa 80,633.4 6.3% 5 . Scotia Fondos 61,152.4 4.8% 6 . Actinver-Lloyd 60,460.6 4.7% 7 . HSBC Global Asset Management 58,222.2 4.6% 8 . Operadora de Fondos Banorte 40,448.9 3.2% 9 . Ixe Fondos 39,395.5 3.1% 10 . Operadora GBM 27,152.4 2.1% 11 . Operadora de Fondos Nafinsa 21,349.2 1.7% 12 . ING Investment Management 20,142.0 1.6% 13 . Interacciones Sociedad Operadora 14,708.7 1.1% 14 . Value Operadora de Sociedades de Inversion 13,135.3 1.0% 15 . Operadora Valmex 11,769.8 0.9% 16 . Vector Fondos 11,616.2 0.9% 17 . Prudential Financial 9,562.0 0.7% 18 . Principal Fondos de Inversion 6,985.8 0.5% 19 . Invex Operadora 6,540.3 0.5% 20 . Monex Operadora 4,714.9 0.4% 21 . Skandia Operadora de Fondos 3,223.2 0.3% 22 . Finaccess Mexico 2,728.7 0.2% 23 . Fondos de Inversion Multiva 2,542.3 0.2% 24 . Operadora Mifel 2,234.3 0.2% 25 . Compass Investments de Mexico 2,218.0 0.2% 26 . Intercam Fondos 2,111.9 0.2% 27 . Invercap 967.9 0.1% 28 . Fondos de Inversion Afirme 871.0 0.1% 29 . Administradora Vanguardia 271.0 0.0% 30 . Franklin Templeton Asset Management 264.1 0.0% 31 . Operadora de Fondos Finamex 2.3 0.0% 32 . Interesa 0.7 0.0% Total 1,279,592 100.0% Source: CNBV 1/ Total excludes 30 additional funds with fewer assets. 24 Table 3. Mexico: Assets under Management – Debt and Equity Funds (Total amounts in millions of U.S. dollars) As of September 2011 Classification # Total assets % Debt funds 289 78,880 82.33% Short Term 162 60,904 63.57% Medium Term 60 8,032 8.38% Long Term 42 5,990 6.25% Discretionary 25 3,954 4.13% Equity Funds 186 15,310 15.98% Specialized 82 5,632 5.88% Index funds (passive) 21 1,201 1.25% Balanced funds 38 2,911 3.04% Descretionary 45 5,567 5.81% Funds of funds 59 1,615 1.69% Domestics 40 1,322 1.38% International 19 293 0.31% Total 534 95,805 100.00% Source: CNBV. 1/ Short-/medium-/long-term funds are those with duration shorter than one year/ between one and three years/longer than three years, respectively. 2/ Discretionary funds are those whose investment strategies are based upon a risk limit or a specific return. 3/ Specialized fund are those with at least 80 percent of the total assets invested in equity securities. 4/ Index funds are those willing to replicate a public index. 5/ Balanced funds are those invested in debt and less than 80 percent in equity securities. 25 Figure 7. Mexico: Pension Funds in Mexico Pension Funds in Mexico Billion Pesos Asset Under Management % to GDP 1,800 12.0 1,600 10.0 1,400 1,200 8.0 1,000 6.0 800 600 4.0 400 2.0 200 0 0.0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 (June) Asset Under Management % to GDP Source: Bank of Mexico, staff calculation Table 4. Mexico: Pension Fund Portfolio Composition (End of September 2011) Siefore Siefore Siefore Siefore All 1 Siefore 2 3 4 5 National government debt 59.3 72.9 61.7 58.1 53.6 57.3 National nongovernment debt 17.6 23.2 18.7 17.4 16.1 14.0 International debt 3.0 3.3 2.9 3.0 3.1 2.3 National equity 8.0 0.3 6.7 7.9 11.0 11.7 International equity 9.6 0.2 8.0 10.2 12.8 12.3 Structured products/projects 2.6 0.0 2.0 3.3 3.3 2.5 Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Source: CONSAR. 26 Table 5. Mexico: Regulatory Limits of Pension Fund Investments Source: CONSAR. 27 Figure 8. Mexico: Insurance in Mexico Insurance in Mexico Investible Assets and Penetration Rate Million Pesos % of GDP 800,000 2.5% 700,000 2.0% 600,000 500,000 1.5% 400,000 300,000 1.0% 200,000 0.5% 100,000 0 0.0% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 (June) Investible Assets Penetration Rate (% Premia to GDP) Source: CNSF, Bank of Mexico Table 6. Mexico: Composition of Securities Portfolio: Insurance Sector (In percent) 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Securities 95.4 95.8 95.9 95.4 95.1 95.0 Government bonds 72.5 66.9 62.1 62.7 60.5 60.6 Private: Fixed income 17.7 17.4 21.6 21.5 19.2 17.7 Equity 3.4 7.6 7.7 7.7 10.2 11.2 Foreign 0.0 0.9 2.1 2.5 2.9 2.7 Other 1/ 6.4 7.1 6.5 5.7 7.2 8.7 Loans 1.4 1.5 1.5 2.2 2.8 2.9 Real estate 3.2 2.7 2.6 2.4 2.1 2.0 Source: CNSF. 1/ (a) Net valuation- Variation in the valuation of fixed income securities and equity; (b) interests accrued outstanding; (c) Securities lending. 28 50. Regulatory changes have made possible for institutional investors to take exposure to alternative asset classes but shortcomings remain. The creation of the exchange-listed CKDs is a positive development (see ¶42), making it possible to tap AFORES’ savings by sectors with funding shortages (e.g., PE, infrastructure, real estate). At the same time, they let AFORES take exposure to a wider range of asset classes (Table 7). However, there is a fundamental tension between the public disclosure requirement on AFORES’ investments and the extent of public disclosure that CKDs issuers can “afford” to provide while protecting business opportunities—as too much information disclosure will encourage other intermediaries to join diluting profit opportunities. This understandable business practice, however, limits the extent of due diligence that AFORES can perform on both projects and issuers. The authorities and AFORES have approached the emergence of CKDs with a high level of professionalism, but not all AFORES are willing to invest through CKDs, given the afore-mentioned limitation. Meanwhile, there is a structure that could be used by institutional investors to invest in real estate, namely FIBRA (“Fideicomisos de Inversión de Bienes Raíces”), a Mexican real-estate investment trust structure; however, the use of this structure has been limited to only one issue so far.21 51. Foreign investors have consistently been present in some segments of the Mexican capital market, but largely absent in recent IPOs. Approximately 20 percent of government securities are held by foreign investors. The market also suggests that foreign participation in nongovernment bond issuance is also significant. In the public equity market, foreign investors hold approximately 9.5 percent of the free-float. However, there is an indication that foreign investor participation in equity issuance (both initial offering and secondary offerings) have been declining as issuers’ efforts have been directed to attract domestic institutional investors, particularly AFORES. 21 Fibra Uno, issued in 2010 for the amount of approximately US$300 million, is the only publicly issued real-estate investment trust in Mexico. 29 Table 7. Mexico: Issuance of CKDs in Mexico (2009–2010) Amount Pension Fund Fund Name/Manager Issue Date Participation (Mex$ billions) (In percent) Private Equity WAMEX Capital Nov-09 0.75 80 Atlas Discovery Mexico Dec-09 1.16 89 Nexxus Capital IV Mar-10 2.64 96 Promecap Jul-10 2.50 94 Total Private Equity 7.06 Infrastructure RCO (ICA & Goldman) Oct-09 7.76 97 Macquarie Dec-09 3.42 100 Navix Dec-10 4.00 99 I Cuadrada Dec-10 2.74 83 Marhnos Dec-10 1.00 70 Total Infrastructure 18.91 Real Estate AMB Jul-10 3.30 81 PLA Inmuebles Industriales (Prudential) Aug-10 3.10 81 Artha Operadora Aug-10 2.44 60 Total Real Estate 8.84 Total CKDs Total 34.80 Sources: Various sources, CONSAR. G. Taxation 52. Generally, there are minor tax treatment differences among securities and among investors in the Mexican capital markets. Equity investments through the exchange enjoy tax exemption, which put them in a slightly advantageous position over fixed-income instruments; income on the later is subject to withholding taxes. In the fixed-income space, foreign investors enjoy a slight benefit from withholding tax exemption on investments in government bonds. 53. Returns on investments made by pension funds are generally tax exempt.22 This exemption applies to both AFORES and the legacy (defined benefit) system. Tax exemption also applies to return on investments made by voluntary contribution funds but only if participants withdraw funds after retirement; returns from investments will be taxable for the portion of the funds withdrawn before retirement. 22 This is the case unless the daily balance of the account exceeds 15 times the minimum official wage. 30 54. Returns on investment in mutual funds are taxable at the investor level. The mutual fund investment vehicle and funds using a trust structure are not subject to taxes because they are not taxpayers under the Mexican tax code. However, taxes are applied to the investors depending on the nature of the investors (e.g., individuals, institutions) and the investments (e.g., equity, fixed incomes). 55. Domestic corporate investors in general do not enjoy tax benefits for their investments in capital markets. Capital gains from equity investments are taxable at the corporate tax rate (30 percent).23 Capital losses can be deducted from capital gains but are not deductible from other income. For fixed-income investments, interest income and capital gains are subject to corporate income tax. 56. Most investors benefit from tax exemption on equity investments, if buying and selling is conducted through the Exchange. Individuals are exempted from tax on investments in stocks as long as trading is done through the exchange and if they own no more than 10 percent of the company.24 Foreign residents, individuals or firms, also enjoy the tax exemption on equity investments through the Exchange. However, as noted above, corporate investors are not exempted from taxes on their investments, including in equities. 57. Fixed-income instruments are generally subject to withholding taxes. For resident individuals, interest income is generally subject to income tax of maximum 30 percent of the real interest income.25 For foreign investors, interest income and capital gains are subject to withholding taxes, which range between 4.9 percent and 40 percent depending on the nature of investments; most investments are taxed at rates in the lower end of this range (e.g., the 40 percent withholding tax rate applies to investments made through related-party entities registered in a tax-free territory). Foreign investors’ investments in government securities are exempted from withholding taxes. For corporate investors, income from fixed-income investments is subject to corporate income taxes. Capital losses are generally tax-deductible, except for foreign investors. 58. In general, for tax purposes, the income from derivatives on debt and equity is treated like the income from the underlying instrument. Any gains or losses from debt derivatives are treated like interest income, applied on accrual basis until maturity or liquidation. For foreign investors, gains or interest income from derivatives on debt are subject to 23 However, if corporate investors sell shares of a listed company outside of the exchange, the sales will be taxed at 5 percent of the total sales amount. 24 For individuals who hold company’s stock before IPO, tax exemption only applies if the shares are sold five years after the IPO or later. 25 A withholding tax of 0.06 percent of principal is applied to fixed income investment as an advance tax payment, which can be credited toward the total income tax; except for individuals with lower that Ps 100,000 annual income. For the latter, the withholding tax is final. 31 withholding tax at the same rate as that applied to debt securities. For domestic investors, no withholding taxes apply, but any gains are taxable at applicable individual or corporate income tax rates. Losses from debt derivatives are tax deductible only if the derivatives are used for hedging purposes. Gains or losses from equity, commodity, and currency derivatives are treated in a similar manner to gains or losses from equity investments. H. Market Infrastructure 59. The securities markets infrastructure in Mexico is relatively well developed. The Bank of Mexico (BoM) is the financial agent for the Mexican government and for the IPAB (Mexican deposit insurance). BOM is in charge of issuing federal government and IPAB bonds. INDEVAL, a subsidiary of the BMV Group, is the only central securities depository for all securities issued in Mexico. INDEVAL owns and manages the securities settlement system, DALI, which settles its transactions on a real-time delivery-versus-payment (DVP) basis. Each DALI participant has its own cash and securities accounts, and can fund its DALI cash account with cash from the real-time gross settlement (RTGS) payment systems managed by BoM. The Contraparte Central de Valores (CCV), also owned by the BMV Group, is the central counterparty for all equity transactions traded on the BMV; it settles transaction through DALI. 60. Some of the institutions supporting the investment community, such as rating agencies, are operating relatively well. The top three rating agencies in the world— Standard & Poors, Moody’s, and Fitch Ratings—are all present in Mexico. In addition, there is a local rating agency, HR Ratings de Mexico, which is recognized by the CNBV. It appears that the rating agencies operate with standards of practices that are acceptable internationally. There are two securities pricing agencies, PiP and Valmer, whose services are widely used by institutional investors as required by prudential regulation. While Valmer is owned by the BMV Group, which operates the Exchange, it enjoys no unfair advantages vis-à-vis PiP. There are, however, concerns with some aspects of their work (See Annex 1). II. ISSUES AND CHALLENGES A. Industry Structure Issues 61. The large concentration in the control of financial intermediaries raises complex issues and may stunt market development. The top eight banks control the majority of the sector and have significant ownership in other financial institutions (Table 8). The extreme predominance of banking affects capital markets development, including through the control of distributions channels and of key intermediaries like mutual funds and investment banks. This in turn affects investment fund diversification and reduces the interest to bring new players (particularly bond issuers) into the market, while, at the same time, affecting the cost at which the retail investor acquires financial products. The predominance of banking activity is also reflected in the relative importance given to the oversight of the banking sector versus securities markets within the CNBV. 32 Table 8. Mexico: Ownership Concentration of Financial Intermediaries (IMF-September 2011) Market share (in percent) Banamex Bancomer Santander HSBC Scotia Banorte Ixe 2/ Inbursa Rest Sector Banks 19.7 19.5 13.7 8.6 3.7 10.2 1.5 4.6 18.5 54.0 Stock brokerage 8.2 0.3 10.9 1.5 10.3 3.2 5.1 13.6 46.9 4.1 Other Credit institutions 13.3 - - - - 2.5 - - 84.2 0.1 Sofomes 0.4 - - - - 37.3 18.0 - 44.4 0.4 Sofoles - - - - - - - - - 0.6 Mutual funds 1/ 23.6 23.3 14.2 4.2 4.6 3.0 2.9 6.4 17.8 11.9 Pension funds (AFORES) 1/ 16.8 15.0 - 6.8 - 6.2 - 7.4 47.9 14.0 Insurance 6.7 12.2 1.5 2.2 - 6.4 - 9.8 61.2 6.5 Development banks - - - - - - - - 100.0 8.3 Total 16.6 16.2 9.7 6.3 2.9 7.5 1.5 5.5 33.3 100.0 Memorandum Total exc. Development banks 18.1 17.7 10.5 6.9 3.2 8.1 1.6 6.0 27.3 … 1/ Assets under management 2/ Ixe and Banorte merged in 2011. Sources: CNBV and CNSF. 62. It is not uncommon that bank-centered groups favored banking instruments over nonbank products. The interest of the issuer may prevail over the interest of the investor in the case of issuers using affiliated financial institutions as intermediaries. It is understood that there have been situations where large players operate on both sides of transactions with clear conflicts of interest. These practices adversely affect the development of private bond markets and mutual funds. Oversight and enforcement by the BMV and the supervisor have been insufficient to avoid such situations. The recent IOSCO Principles assessment highlighted the deficiencies in the conduct of business rules and the fact that they cover only the brokers and not the banks, which is a major gap in the bank-centered groups (Principle 23). 63. Within the securities market industry, the lack of competition has stifled the differentiation of services and the development of more value-added activities. Currently, there is only a main license for “Casa de Bolsa,” which is a license for full investment banking and broker-dealer services. When it comes to the range of services a “Casa de Bolsa” is to provide, some relaxation in licensing requirements was introduced in 2007; but further tailoring is desirable, for example to allow the provision of brokerage or advisory services only. The current minimum capital requirement for the first tier (basic level) is approximately US$1 million, which is high for the range of activities allowed (brokerage, advisory, and selling). The emphasis of the regulation and supervision should be on internal controls and the professionalism of the traders and sales force of the firm, and not so much on having a high basic capital to get the license. 64. The high concentration in economic sectors limits firms’ needs to raise capital from the markets. In many markets around the world, large corporations are typically frequent users of the capital markets, both debt and equity, to obtain more competitive financing, as they are often well-known by the public and have better credit quality. In Mexico, many of these large firms are absent from the capital markets, especially the public equity market. Availability of 33 intergroup financing or otherwise credit from business counterparts (e.g., those with ties to the international markets) may limit the need to raise funding from the domestic capital market. For example, Figure 9a shows that large firms in Mexico use supplier credit to finance investments at a much greater level compared with their regional and worldwide peers. Further, large corporations operating under oligopolistic or near monopolistic conditions may have high profitability and limited need to raise capital from markets. Figure 9a. Percent of Investments Financed by Figure 9b. Mexico: Percent of Investments Financed Supplier Credit (by Size of Firms) by Banks (by Size of Firms) 40 40 % % 30 30 20 20 10 10 0 0 Small Firms Medium Firms Large Firms Small Firms Medium Firms Large Firms Mexico LAC Region World Mexico LAC Region World 1/ Source: World Bank Enterprise Survey, data as of 2009/2010. 1/ Computed using data from manufacturing firms only. Small firms are defined as those with 5–9 employees, medium firms 20–99 employees, and large firms with 100 employees or more. 65. Meanwhile, SMEs access to capital is very limited (Box 1). In general, bank funding of firms’ investments is well below peers in the region or worldwide (Figure 9b). For SMEs, this problem is further worsened by the lack of funding from other sources. Many large corporations operate under oligopolistic or near monopolistic conditions, with high profits and good access to funding, but the rest of the economy is populated by small firms. Most of these firms are not ready to come to the market because of informality, poor corporate governance structures, and lack of transparency. To be sure, some of the small firms would likely be unable to realize their growth potential because of an inadequate supply of funding solutions. In any case, there are welcome signs of improved professionalism in emerging, mid-sized corporations. Even for the latter, banks are often reluctant to provide financing due to lack of financial strength in the form of equity, while the potential bond issue size may be too small for institutional investors—for example, AFORES--to participate given regulatory limitations and liquidity preferences (Group 2 in Figure 10, Box 1). 34 Box 1. Financing Gap for Mexico’s Small- and Medium-Sized Firms Figure 10 illustrates the firm-financing industry structure in Mexico. As the firm grows (here represented by higher capital in the vertical axis), it would typically require different types of financing, represented here by the types of equity financing in the horizontal axis. Capital size and other classification in this Figure are approximate and only to facilitate the discussion. Figure 10. Typical Industrial Structure in Mexico by Size of Firms and Financing Requirements As noted, many industries in Mexico are controlled by few large firms in oligopolistic or near-monopoly conditions. These firms, with capital/equity size in excess of approximately US$350 million, are classified in Group 1 in Figure 10. Group 1 firms tend to have high profitability and limited need to raise capital from markets. They also tend to have good access to bank lending or otherwise to the international financial markets. In addition, strong family-own culture, with fear of giving up information or losing control, has kept many of them away from public markets. As a result, the size of public markets remains small. Besides this group of firms, there are not many firms which could be considered as future industry “contenders.” These firms – Group 2, with capital size approximately between US$100 million and US$350 million – are usually good candidates for future listing in the public market. Meanwhile, the number of firms on the third group (Group 3) is much larger. However, many of these firms, medium-sized firms with capital size under US$100 million (but above US$30 million), face constraints in financing their growth. Banks are often reluctant to extend credit to these companies due to lack of financial strength in the form of equity. Firms in this group may be good target for PE funds; however, as noted the size of the PE industry in Mexico is still small, thus the outreach has been limited to the larger segment of this group. To the extent that bank loans are available, they are usually expensive and very short-term. At the same time, many of these firms are not ready to come to the bond markets because of informality, weak corporate governance structures and lack of transparency. The final group, Group 4, consists of many small firms and family businesses that are likely too small for public capital markets, equity, or debts. However, some of these firms, especially those which have innovative technologies and business ideas, may be good targets for venture capital funds. 35 B. Demand-Side Issues 66. The investor base is not very diversified. The demand for securities in Mexico is dominated by local institutional investors, mainly pension funds. Mutual funds, which are typically dominant players in equity markets worldwide, primarily invest in short-term and highly liquid instruments (Table 3). Meanwhile, insurance companies are still small players, although growing. Foreign investors have been largely absent in the public equity offerings in recent years. 67. In fixed-income markets, the single dominance of pension funds that prefer high- rated paper limits the expansion of second-tier corporate. The market is concentrated on low- risk instruments such as government bonds, commercial paper (banks and corporate), and high rated long-term bonds. Pension funds concentrate their holdings on government bonds and large local AAA issues (95 percent of all nongovernment bonds). There will continue to be crowding out of private instruments as long as there is a large, good supply of government or quasi-government paper with attractive rates. The overall prudential framework of AFORES is likely creating incentives toward short-term, high-liquidity investments. The challenge then is how to increase pension funds’ appetite for long-term corporate instruments as well as for instruments with higher risk premia, as regulatory constraints on portfolio composition continue to be relaxed.26 68. Mutual funds could play a key role in mobilizing long-term finance, but currently the industry is concentrated on short-term products (Table 3).27 Most funds, offered to middle- to high-income households, are used by banks as alternative ways of tapping clients’ savings. To be sure, while mutual funds are much more sensitive than institutional investors with long-term horizon to liquidity risks, there is room to extend maturities. However, the lack of underwriters’ support, both on liquidity and company information, limits the funds’ appetite to take on more exposure to second tier companies. For example, it is not common practice in Mexico for broker dealers involved in the transaction to take an active role in providing quotes by request, as it is the case in more advance markets like the United States and Europe. Further, there is no presence of specialized trading systems among a group of market makers to provide competitive bids to their common clients, like MarketAxess in the United States. Closed-end and specialized funds (infrastructure, REITs, midcaps, etc.) are still rare. They are excellent vehicles to bring pension funds closer to the more complex and illiquid asset classes. Until recently, AFORES were not allowed to sub-contract their asset management function to specialized asset managers. 26 For an initial discussion of these issues, see FSAP aide-mémoire, Section VI, B. 27 Almost two-thirds of the assets held in Mexican mutual funds have a maturity of less than a year compared with 4 percent in Brazil and 25 percent in Malaysia. Sources: ANBIMA (Brazil) and Securities Commission (Malaysia). 36 69. The equity market is also characterized by lack of diversity in the investor base, with limited development of the retail segment and structural factors that hold back development. The number of total broker accounts in Mexico has been steady in the past several years at about 200,000 accounts. The growth of the retail segment has come in the higher-income brackets, but further penetration is constrained by several structural factors, including the lack of an equity culture in the population; very difficult access to the larger retail distribution channels by independent fund managers; limited supply of company shares that are well known by a large segment of the population; and very skewed income distribution. Foreign investors, historically very important players in large equity offerings, have been less visible in recent IPOs. Recently, intermediaries, the Exchange, and the government have been focusing more on attracting local investors, such as the pension funds, than on making major marketing efforts to promote the local market abroad like the efforts in other countries (e.g., Brazil). The lack of investor diversity in the placement of equity offerings seems to have contributed to poor performance of the stocks in the secondary market. 70. Very limited access to distribution networks controlled by banks has muted efforts to develop an independent fund managers segment. Reported industry practice splits administration fees, with approximately 70 percent going to the distributor and 30 percent to the portfolio manager; this has not been conducive to the growth of independent fund managers. Such fee allocation may be acceptable under the current industry structure where fund managers and distributors are typically under the umbrella of the same financial groups. However, it sets a framework that makes the development of independent fund managers highly unlikely. The independent fund management distribution vehicle created under the 2002 reform has not been very successful (Table 9) due to large economies of scale required in this activity—regulatory costs associated with standards required to operate is high—and the regulatory limitations on the distribution of other financial products such as insurance. There are only two independent fund distributors, both of which have difficulties in competing with large financial groups which prefer to keep the distribution of their own funds. In the end, the lack of independent fund managers and independent fund distributions stifle the development of an innovative fund management industry. 71. Restrictions placed on institutional investors limiting their investment to only publicly offered securities keep them away from more specialized investments. Pension funds have been able to invest in private equity only via CKDs since 2009. However, CKDs are a second-best solution that limits the scope for investor due diligence only to public information. Given the nature of the investment, which by definition is private, much of the important information is not available to the public. Investors either rely on analysis conducted by a third-party consultant or jointly select an appointee to sit in the investment committee of the CKD trust. However, these parties could potentially be considered insiders under the law. As a result, not all relevant players have agreed to use CKDs, and pension funds are extremely selective on the fund managers with whom they choose to operate. 37 Table 9. Mexico: Number of Contracts in Debt and Equity Funds by Type of Operators Debt Funds Equity Funds Total Type of Operators Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Owned by Banks 18,821 1.0 3,694 2.1 22,515 1.1 Owned by Brokerage Firms 328,832 18.0 49,713 28.7 378,545 18.9 Owned by Financial Groups 1,438,799 78.7 95,878 55.4 1,534,677 76.7 Owned by Independents 42,806 2.3 23,644 13.7 66,450 3.3 TOTAL 1,829,258 100.0 172,929 100.0 2,002,187 100.0 Source: CNBV data as of Sept. 2011. 72. Insofar as there are investments made in CKDs, there is a significant risk that poor investments may be made, given insufficient information available to the investors. In addition, while investments in CKDs are currently limited, pension funds are pressed to find investment outlets, as their assets under management continue to grow and may eventually use the structure in the future more actively. The aforementioned CKDs limitations are not only applicable to investments in private equities, but also to those in infrastructure and real estate. C. Supply-Side Issues 73. From the issuer side, generally, there is also a weak public equity culture in Mexico, with limited incentives to list corporate equities in the market. As noted, large companies generally have easy access to bank lending and bond markets, or otherwise to the international financial markets. Strong family-owned culture is often cited as a major impediment to the increasing supply of securities in the public equity market. The oligopolistic nature of many sectors may also be a factor with few exceptions, such as in infrastructure,28 which is in need of capital to fund their large investment needs. The fear of losing control or giving up information keeps companies, large and small, from going public. 74. The small size of the local PE industry is also a factor limiting the entry of new issuers to the public market. PE can provide necessary financing for many potential SMEs to strengthen their capital base and make them more bankable. In many markets, a significant portion of new supply in the public equity markets comes from the private equity industry. In Brazil, over 40 percent of the large volume of IPOs in the last decade was PE-sponsored. 28 The infrastructure sector represented about 48 percent of domestic IPOs by size from 2005–present. 38 75. The government’s programs to support the growth of PE industry have brought a number of firms into the public equity market in recent years, but there is still wide room for growth. The government-sponsored “Fondo de Fondos” has made a total investment of US$315 million, and has helped mobilize approximately US$4.3 billion29 of other funds since its inception. A number of companies, sponsored by funds in which the “Fondo de Fondos” invested, have been brought into the public market recently. The names include Duty Free (listed in 2002), Homex (2005), Genoma Lab (2008), and Sport World (2010). Thus, arguably, this fund has been the growth engine of the domestic private equity industry in Mexico. However, the mobilization of domestic funding outside of this government-sponsored fund has been very limited, as PE investment by domestic institutional investors has only been made possible relatively recently through the CKD structure. 76. While the government’s program to support funding for enterprises at the earlier stage has been relatively successful, the size is still very small and may be incomplete. One of the major challenges is that there is a small pipeline of companies that are well positioned to take advantage of the program. The program needed a long time to invest and had to launch a series of complementary efforts of education, dissemination, and training for potential companies to start applying to the program. Thus, it appears that the provision of funding needs to be accompanied by systematic efforts to support the creation of a pipeline of suitable companies. It is also clear that the government needs to remain present over a long period in order for this type of program to be really successful. That is the case of developed markets, such as the United States, with their SBIC program, and the United Kingdom with their variety of programs like Enterprise Capital Fund (ECF), or their tax incentive instruments like the Venture Capital Trust program (VCT) and Enterprise Investment Scheme (EIS). 77. There are large sectors of the economy that are underrepresented in the public equity markets. Banks, the largest of which are owned by foreign banks, have been hitherto largely absent from the local market. However, some of the bank capital regulatory changes being phased in with the implementation of Basel III by the Mexican authorities require listing in public equity markets.30 The government, as the owner of large companies in strategic sectors like oil, power, and transport, has also been absent from the equity market. There are countries in the region like Colombia and Brazil that provide good examples of how one could use public equity markets. Listing state-owned enterprises perceived by the population as well-operated companies is an important way to raise funds for their expansion while democratizing and feeding a stronger equity culture in the population. In Colombia, for example, the gradual privatization of the state oil company, Ecopetrol, created over a half a million new equity holders in just three years, “democratizing” equity ownership. 29 The total value of PE funds in which Fondo de Fondos participates. 30 Indeed, in late September 2012, the Mexican subsidiary of Banco Santander listed both in the United States and the Mexican equity market. 39 78. On the fixed-income side, the bond market has not provided a strong incentive for corporates to diversify their funding sources. The cost is still high both in terms of the time it takes to go through the regulatory approval process and, in the case of medium and smaller-size companies, the direct costs borne by the potential issuers. Unlike more advanced markets, private and semi-private issues are not real options given the restrictions on institutional investors to invest only in publicly offered instruments, as noted before. These lacunae have an important impact on the timely access to market for certain issuers (e.g., one-time issuers, as in the case of infrastructure bonds or well known firms with an urgent need of funds), as there is no alternative to a full prospectus review by the regulator. Finally, application of the primary market equity regulation to bond issuances adds to the listing “costs” as there are no significant differences in information requirements between equity and bond listings. The differences in the Circular Única are not really aimed at simplifying requirements for the bond issuer, but rather a recognition that some information on the equity issuing process is not relevant to the debt issuer, unlike in other more advance markets. Such is the case of South Africa, where debt issuers are not required to submit interim financial results or they are given six months instead of three months to publish annual financial statements; or India that does have a different set of regulations in areas such as pricing and lock-in requirements. Meanwhile, the mortgage securities market has been shaken up and it is facing significant challenges to re-establish the viability of mortgage-backed securities as funding instruments. 79. The government and the Exchange have jointly introduced some initiatives aimed at reducing the entry cost for new issuers, but results remain to be seen. The SHCP provides grants to select small- and medium-sized firms to obtain credit ratings; meanwhile, the Exchange waives fees for these firms to issue securities.31 However, it seems that these programs are not comprehensive and do not pay enough attention to demand factors. It may therefore create operations that will not be sustainable once the subsidies are ceased. 80. Securitization has become uneconomical as a funding instrument for private lenders (see Annex—Housing Finance in Mexico). Currently, the mortgage securitization market is in a paradoxical situation where very attractive risk/return combinations are offered to investors for issuances by the provident housing funds (INFONAVIT and FOVISSSTE), likely crowding out private lenders. Even then, hardly 4 percent of the AFORES’ portfolio is invested in this type of securities. At current spread levels for MBS issued by these two funds, it is unlikely that private lenders could grow, and the ongoing introduction of cover mortgage bonds (CMB) could succeed. However, the CMB is likely to be a useful balance-sheet management tool for Mexican intermediaries—as already shown in other jurisdictions—where spreads are to tighten in the future. 31 Very recently, the Exchange introduced a program of independent analysts who seek to support those firms by providing independent research on them available to potential investors. 40 D. Regulatory and Supervisory Issues 81. The current institutional regulatory architecture seems to be inadequate to provide high-quality responses to the needs of the capital markets. There was generalized perception among industry players that the current institutional regulatory architecture that combines banking and securities under the same agency has been detrimental in some way to the overall capital market’s agenda. The excessive predominance of banking activities in the country is reflected in the relative attention that capital market issues receive from the regulatory agency. In particular, enforcement efforts, supervision of the conduct of intermediaries, and control over licensing and professionalism of key market players have not received the level of attention needed. Effective improvements in these areas would buttress investors’ comfort to participate in the Mexican capital markets. Further, the CNBV is expanding its regulatory perimeter and is adding AML/CFT responsibilities over a large number of foreign exchange houses. These changes will add to the challenges common to agencies, with supervisory responsibility for more than one industry, in balancing the attention devoted to each industry appropriately. 82. The recent assessment of implementation of IOSCO Objectives and Principles of Securities Regulation suggested that CNBV independence should be strengthened. With 10 out of 13 CNBV Board members under its control, the SHCP influence over Board composition appears excessive, although it protects the CNBV from special interest capture.32 The supervisory agency lacks the authority to amend its organizational structures, make key staffing decisions, or modify its budget—beyond the limited flexibility provided by the full application of supervisory fees proceeds to fund CNBV’s budget. There is no defined appointment period for senior managers or clear grounds for dismissal of senior officers, or adequate legal protection for staff discharging official functions. The combination of reportedly below-market salaries and legal risk have contributed to high staff turnover, particularly at the technical level;33 at the same time, potential management changes endangers continuity in implementing ongoing reforms. Going forward, these factors suggest that maintaining the current strong quality of supervision and CNBV’s reputation will be challenging 83. There is no consensus among the authorities regarding the adequacy of the present governance arrangements for the CNBV. It should be noted that the presence of Banxico and other sectoral supervisors in the Board of the CNBV provide for an ‘equilibrating,’ positive factor in its decision-making process. Further, it is argued that the mandates of Banxico and the supervisory agencies for promoting financial stability should avoid conflicts of interests. 32 Changes in CNBV governance require changes in law, a process that has its own risks. 33 Between 2007 and 2010, 255 staff, including 110 inspectors and specialized personnel, left the CNBV. Such departures reflect the change in senior management in the CNBV, as well as the widening gap in salaries vis-à-vis the private sector. Salaries for civil servants have been frozen for the last seven years. 41 III. RECOMMENDATIONS34 A. Structural Reforms 84. The authority should address concentration and conflicts of interest posed by the dominance of banking groups. Regulation and supervision of conflict of interest situations should be strengthened to provide further comfort to potential investors and Mexican standards should be brought up to at least the level of peers like Chile and Brazil. In line with the recommendations provided in the IOSCO Principles assessment, the current regime needs significant enhancements to provide appropriate safeguards to clients. This new framework should be put in place as soon as possible and the new rules should apply to all market participants (across banks, brokers and asset managers) dealing with clients on securities or derivatives (Principle 23).35 Investor protection of clients’ interest and best execution could be improved by strengthening supervision and enforcement actions in the area of distribution and sales activity. There is an urgent need to strengthen the power and enforcement capacity of CONDUSEF, so that it could effectively discharge its mandate on consumer protection in the area of financial services (Principle 3). 85. To address shortcomings in the current institutional supervisory architecture, the authority may explore the possibility of separating the prudential—primarily banking— supervision function from the market conduct oversight function and provide adequate resources and autonomy to both areas. This could be done within the existing institutional arrangement (CNBV). Alternatively, the authority could consider a “Twin Peaks” model, splitting the two areas in two institutions and combining the conduct supervision of the other sub-sectors (pension and insurance) into a new entity. In the meantime it is important for the government to provide CNBV with adequate resources to elevate its capacity to more promptly respond in areas such as product approvals, regulation, and enforcement capacity.36 34 Recommendations on mortgage securitization are presented in Annex 1. 35 It is noted that a project is underway to develop a more complete regime to address conflicts of interest that would classify types of conflicts/transactions and apply the appropriate requirement. 36 It is noted that within the scope of the budgetary rules applied to “organismos desconcentrados,” the SHCP grants the CNBV some flexibility in using the fees collected directly from supervised entities. These are the fees that are in excess of what is envisioned in CNBV’s budget to come from this source; it is estimated that these additional resources amount to about 2 percent of the CNBV’s budget. 42 B. Comprehensive Strategy Increasing Demand and Supply 86. The relative importance of the capital markets development agenda should be elevated and supported by a comprehensive strategy and an effective campaign.37 It will be important for the government to develop a more formal approach to a medium-term strategy for the sector, supported by a road map that serves as a reference point for subsequent administrations and provides long-term consistency to reforms. Other middle-income countries have used this approach to build consensus among stakeholders, public and private, on the agenda and priorities, and to guide the authorities in the implementation. Countries like Malaysia have been considerably successful in using this approach to guide their market development efforts (Box 2). 87. An effective campaign to promote all segments of the Mexican capital market, domestically and abroad, should be conducted jointly by the public and private sectors. For example, Brazil, through its Best Brazil program, or Chile with its InBest program, has been successful in this effort (Box 3). Aggressive financial education efforts with domestic investors and potential issuers should also be undertaken while the Exchange provides unique services (e.g., independent research for smaller companies) to attract new issuers. For pre-IPO financing, consideration should be given to the provision of incentives (e.g., liquidity backstopping, partial public guarantees) that could mitigate the large risks investors bear when investing in IPOs of and debt placements by second-tier companies. 88. More competition should be encouraged by inter-alia effectively opening up the market to independent players and deepening the integration with relevant foreign markets. Entries of specialized and independent portfolio managers can be facilitated by streamlining the regulatory framework for investment funds (e.g., umbrella funds) and encouraging the sustainable growth of independent distribution channels. Further refining the 2008 licensing requirement for intermediaries with a narrower specialization in services offered (e.g., brokerage activities only) could be reconsidered to make it more-cost affordable to independent players to enter the market. Deepening the level of integration with relevant markets, such as Brazil, MILA (Chile, Colombia, Peru), or the United States, should be seriously considered which inter-alia would add pressure to existing market players to raise their standard of services. 37 It is noted that the Exchange, the SHCP, and the CNBV have been working together on these issues with some positive results (e.g., Independent Analysts). The recommendation is for the formalization of a development agenda and systematization of efforts. 43 Box 2. Capital Market Masterplan: A Malaysian Example In the early 2000s, following the Asian financial crisis, Malaysia established a Capital Market Masterplan (CMP), a comprehensive plan to guide the development of the Malaysian capital markets in the following ten years. The CMP articulates the vision, objectives and strategic initiatives for the Malaysian capital market to successfully meet future challenges. The Masterplan, established in 2001, sets out 152 detailed recommendations and outlines the framework for implementation. After successful implementation of the first Masterplan (CMP 1), a second Masterplan (CMP 2) was issued in 2011 to support further growth of the market and address challenges in the new environment. In formulating the CMPs, extensive consultations were held with a wide range of market participants, ministries, agencies, academics and independent consultants to ensure that the views of all participants were considered in the CMP blueprint. This task was led by a Capital Market Strategic Committee (CMSC), comprised of representatives from the Securities Commission (SC) and respected capital market professionals, local and foreign. The framework for implementation provides timetable and priority areas that benefit from early action. It outlines the roles and responsibilities of parties involved and prescribes a coordination mechanism, which addresses issues relating to implementation process, structure, and phasing. It identifies the skills, capacity, and resources required; and it sets guidelines for regular monitoring and progress reporting. Overview of CMP Implementation Process* Approval of Implement Monitor Update Masterplan Recommendations Progress Masterplan Minister of • Securities Commission Finance • Other Govt. agencies • Relevant market Report institutions & market Progress participants *Sources: Securities Commission, Malaysia The overall process is closely monitored by the SC. An Implementation Task Force was established by the SC for coordination, while responsibility for the operational implementation of various recommendations is largely delegated to Working Committees with representatives from relevant industry associations and market participants. To ensure timely and effective implementation, the SC appointed a Capital Market Advisory Council (CMAC), comprised of experienced professionals and prominent entrepreneurs, to provide independent views on the progress and advice on areas where it may be necessary to fine-tune the recommendations. CMP 1 provided a comprehensive roadmap for the orderly growth and diversification of Malaysia’s capital market. The plan identified a total of 152 recommendations with strategic initiatives around six objectives, namely: (i) to be the preferred fund-raising centre for Malaysian companies; (ii) to promote an effective investment management industry and a more conducive environment for investors; (iii) to enhance the competitive position and efficiency of market institutions; (iv) to develop a strong and competitive environment for intermediation services; (v) to ensure a stronger and more facilitative regulatory regime; and (vi) to establish Malaysia as an international Islamic capital market centre. By the end of 2010, 95 percent of the recommendations in CMP1 had been completed. Most notable achievements during the CMP 1 implementation were, among others, the establishment of a facilitative regime that promoted rapid industry growth (see discussion on hybrid regime in Box 5) and the establishment of Malaysia as a barometer for Islamic finance markets worldwide. In the CMP 2, programs are developed around two strategic themes, namely (i) growth strategies to expand the role of the capital markets to promote, inter alia, capital formation to support early-stage and small/mid-cap companies and other asset classes; and (ii) governance strategies to manage risks in changing global economic and regulatory landscape and increase investor protection. 44 Box 3. Capital Market Promotion: “BEST BRAZIL” Example Established in 2004, “BEST BRAZIL: Excellence in Securities Transactions” is a joint public-private initiative aiming at promoting Brazilian capital and financial markets to the international investor community. The initiative is sponsored and organized jointly by (i) industry associations, namely the Brazilian Association for Financial and Capital Markets (ANBIMA) and the Brazilian Banks Federation (FEBRABAN), (ii) government agencies, such as the Brazilian Central Bank and the National Treasury, and (iii) market operators, i.e., the Securities, Commodities and Futures Exchange (BM&FBOVESPA) and the OTC clearing house (Cetip S.A.). This initiative also involves other official agencies, such as the Securities and Exchange Commission. The initiative provides international investors with up-to-date information on the state of the Brazilian markets, developments, and opportunity for investments. It aims to provide an accurate picture of the Brazilian Capital Market’s safety, efficiency and reliability. Its main activities consist of road shows, meetings and other projects in the main financial centers of the world. It also provides an open channel of communication with top executives of the Brazilian capital and financial markets. In the early years of the initiatives, BEST BRAZIL conducted road-shows to the most important financial centers in North America, Europe, Middle East, and Asia. In recent years, the initiative has provided more interactive opportunities for investors to learn about specific products and services provided. It has moved from introductory to explanatory – and recent events have been designed with more “how-to” programs. While such educational and promotional efforts are not substitute for a good strategy and effective implementation of capital market development efforts, they are regarded as having had a significant impact in elevating the profile of Brazilian market in the international investor community. Furthermore, such continuous and open channel of communication with international investors provides a feedback mechanism for the Brazilian policy makers and other stakeholders on issues relevant to the capital market development agenda. Source: www.bestbrazil.org.br and various sources. 89. A major supply of securities and a jump in market capitalization can be achieved by bringing the energy and banking sectors to the public equity market. If done right, listing companies well known by large segments of the population will significantly raise the interest and participation of domestic retail investors. The energy and banking sectors will also likely increase the interest of foreign investors given the size of those two sectors. Bringing large banks to the public equity market can arguably be a way to improve public transparency, as well as to provide more sustainable funding that at the same time meets more demanding capital standards (Basel III). For state-owned companies, a timely upgrade of their governance will be a prerequisite along with lining up political support, before bringing them to the public market. The privatization of Ecopetrol in Colombia may be used as an example of how privatization of a state-owned enterprise can help develop the domestic capital market (See Box 4 on “Democratization” of State-Owned Enterprises: The Case of Ecopetrol). 45 Box 4. “Democratization ”of State-Owned Enterprises: The Case of Ecopetrol (Colombia) The following case features the privatization of Ecopetrol in Colombia, which has been seen as one of the most successful privatization of state-owned enterprises that not only improve the company’s performance, but also develop the domestic capital markets. With an asset size of approximately US$53 billion, Ecopetrol is the largest company in Colombia. It is among the top five oil companies in Latin America and among the forty largest in the world. Its activities include exploration, production, refining, transportation and marketing of oil, natural gas and derivatives products. In 2007, the company was transformed into a fully commercial, publicly listed company from a pure government-owned entity. The term “democratization” is loosely used to refer to the process of privatization targeting at allowing the general public to be investors of the company. As a 100 percent government owned entity before the democratization, Ecopetrol faced several limitations and was losing competitiveness in its sector. Among the limitations were the legal regime and financial structure of a government-owned company that demand significant operational costs and lead to limited authority of the management to only administrative activities. It was considered necessary to transform the company and obtain resources to improve its operations through privatization. Among the expected benefits was management autonomy over budget. Democratization was chosen to position the company's shares as an interesting investment option. Change in Legal Status. The first step toward this process was getting Congress approval for the change of Ecopetrol’s legal status. In December 2006, Congress approved the change in the legal status of the company into a ‘mixed-economy’ company, where a portion of the shares is owned by government and the other by private parties. The government would maintain ownership of 80 percent of the company; but as a mixed economy company, it will be governed by private laws. The law also sets out key process for the management the company (directed by the general assembly of shareholders) and appointment of executives. Guidance on the process of privatization is also set out in the law, e.g., valuation must be done by two reputable international investment banks. Improved Corporate Governance. After the legal nature of the company was changed, the company adopted a corporate governance code in order to ensure confidence to the new shareholders and investors. The new corporate governance code includes: fair treatment for all shareholders, clear definition of the functions of the board of directors and senior executives, and application of information transparency and integrity. Once the requirements of the corporate governance code were met, the structuring process of the public offer was started. Structuring. Internationally well-known investment bankers (JP Morgan, Credit Suisse, Citigroup, and Merrill Lynch) were hired as advisors for the valuation and the privatization’s structuring process. After the company valuation was agreed, the company and the advisors started the structuring of the offer. The type of stock, distribution network, and marketing strategy were carefully designed to ensure that it would reach an important part of the population. Public offer. One of the key objectives of the democratization of Ecopetrol was to maximize the distribution reach of the shares to domestic population. Accordingly, the offer was designed in such way to facilitate individual investors participation in the offer, which included: low minimum purchase, the facility to pay in installments (with incentives for prompt payments), and distribution networks through banks since retail reach of brokerage companies were not as deep. 46 The final structure of the offer was as follows: First phase Second Phase Third phase Market Local investors Local investors General public, national (under Law 118) (under Law 118) and international Minimum Investment 1,000 stocks 2,000 stocks 5,000 stocks Down payment 15 percent 20 percent 100 percent Monthly payments 12 months 6 months none Maximum amount per 50,000 stocks 30,000 stocks n/a monthly payment Discount for promptly none payment Colombian Citizens 5 percent 2.5 percent Rest of investors 2 percent 0 percent Distribution network Banks Banks Brokerage companies Brokerage Brokerage companies International brokers companies Ecopetrol Price Valuation Market Market Results. In the first phase of the offer in November 2007, a total of 470,000 new shareholders were recorded. The number is much higher than the original target of 250,000 shareholders. The distribution of the investors was 37 percent pension funds, 62 percent individuals and 1 percent corporations. A total of 4.1 billion shares with a value of US$2.8 billion were sold, equivalent to 10 percent of capital. The second round took place in July-August 2011, raising a further US$1.3 billion and recording 161,447 new shareholders. Most of the investors of this round were individuals, 87 percent of the total new investors, while institutional investors were only 13 percent. By December 31, 2011 Ecopetrol’s stock market capitalization reached US$88 billion and positioned the company as the world’s 12th largest oil & gas company. Other than listed in the Colombian Stock Exchange, its ADR (American Depository Receipt) is traded in the New York Stock Exchange. Ecopetrol’s democratization has increased the profile of the Colombian capital markets and massively increased retail participation in the Colombian equity market with more than half a million new shareholders created over three years. 90. The government should continue and expand its support to the domestic venture capital and PE industries. There have been notable successes with both “Fondo de Fondos” and “Fondo Emprendedores” programs to date; a continuation of these programs should be made certain. Particularly, “Fondo Emprendedores” has finished its investment cycle, but a replacement has not been launched. Moreover, lessons from the first cycle of the programs indicated that emphasis should be put at the early stages of the cycle that identify and bring firms into the programs. The government may supplement the provision of risk capital with a broader strategy for intervention to promote the creation of new, innovative enterprises, via educational, promotional, and incentives programs. 91. The regulator should consider creating a hybrid regime within the public offer framework for specialized instruments. The regulator may introduce a prospectus-exemption status for issues targeted to professional investors that overcome barriers to proper due diligence 47 on private-equity type investment with public offerings. Terms and conditions of the investments are developed based on negotiations among the transacting parties, without requiring approval of the regulators. Although these are public offerings, these investments are not targeted to retail investors. Disclosures are limited to the targeted investors. Regulator involvement is limited to fraud protection. This new channel could be a way of improving the major deficiency of the CKDs. (See Box 5 for more discussion on hybrid issuance regimes). 92. The authorities may explore ways to involve institutional investors more actively in infrastructure financing through a structure appropriate for them. First, at the project level, the ability to separate construction business and project financing will be critical to enable investors’ participation in financing the projects without exposing them to unnecessary and unmanageable risks. Second, some form of risk sharing may be required, and to that end BANOBRAS or FONADIN may play an important role. 93. Additional fine-tuning of the investment regime for pension funds and insurance companies could be considered to allow direct investments in private or semiprivate instruments. In some cases, direct investments in private instruments may still be needed for the types of transactions that are highly specialized. These types of investments could be important for institutional investors to increase investment returns. Allowing such investments would also encourage innovation in the market. Because such investments require extra care due to their inherent risk, the regulators may want to set a low limit for them, e.g., between 5 percent and10 percent. Allowing investments in private or semiprivate instruments would be helpful in increasing institutional investors’ participation in the private equity industry. For reasons mentioned before, a CKD structure is not ideal and could actually expose institutional investors to risks not well understood by them. Some of the recommended changes may require changes in statues. 94. The authorities may also consider raising AFORES’ participation limit on single issues to facilitate investments in smaller issues. Given the growing size of AFORES, the minimum value of investment—to justify resource allocation for conducting necessary investment evaluation—becomes larger. With the current 35 percent participation limit on single issues, the minimum issue size to be marketable (currently around US$100 million) is too large for a small issuer. Raising this limit, combined with a new hybrid regime which would facilitate faster issuance, would motivate smaller issuers to come to the bond market. C. Prioritization 95. Priority should be given to reforms that will have important impact on access and competition while preparing the grounds for a bigger reform effort later on. The near term reforms should include regulatory changes to facilitate access and encourage competition—e.g., a prospectus-exempt regime, expansion of the scope of independent distributors--and efforts to strengthen supervision and enforcement actions on potential conflicts of interest by large financial conglomerates. The bigger reform, anchored on a medium-term strategy and 48 dissemination campaign, should include enabling legal changes required to implement the strategy. Preparatory work on these issues could start soon. It will be essential to get the new incoming administration fully committed with this effort very early in the process. Box 5. Professional or Hybrid Regimes in Primary Markets of Nongovernment Bonds A number of developed and emerging market countries (EMCs) have been successful in developing their corporate bond markets through a variety of regulatory and market actions that have stimulated market growth. Because of the relatively illiquid nature of corporate bonds due to high fragmentation and low fungibility, efficient operation of primary markets, with emphasis on increasing the supply of instruments, is one of the most important building blocks of developing the corporate bond market. Therefore, it is critical to introduce regulatory flexibility and broaden the range of offering mechanisms in the primary market to accommodate diverse needs of corporate issuers, depending on their size, industry, and length of operation, and whether they are recurring, first-time, or one-time only issuers (e.g., infrastructure projects). This can be done by widening the range of issuance options both within and outside the public offer framework, namely: (i) introducing fast-track public offer initiatives, such as shelf- registrations and automatic approvals for seasoned issuers; and (ii) introducing alternative issuance regimes, such as private placements and hybrid offer regimes. Alternative issuance regimes, such as professional or hybrid offer regimes are a key part of increasing the flexibility of the primary market regulatory framework. Professional or hybrid offer regimes refer to issuance frameworks that contain elements of both public and private regimes. Table 10 on the following page outlines key characteristics of professional offer regimes as compared to pure public and private regimes. 1/ Excerpts from IOSCO Report: Development of Corporate Bond Markets in the Emerging Markets, November 2011. For full report, view http://www.iosco.org/library/pubdocs/pdf/IOSCOPD360.pdf. 49 Table 10. Mexico: Key Characteristics of Issuance Regimes Issuance Regimes Characteristic Pure Private Pure Public Professional (Hybrid) Investors Typically restricted in No restrictions Typically restricted according to level of number Open to institutional, professionalism Sometimes also professional and retail Often only qualified or institutional investors restricted according to investors are eligible level of Sometimes also restricted in number professionalism Offer documentation Typically none2 Submission of a full Exemption from submission of a full to the regulator / prospectus prospectus SRO Sometimes simplified or short-form prospectus or a basic information notice is required Regulatory approval None Required Typically none Timing of approval If required, typically automatic or only a few varies but requires days thorough review by the regulator Secondary market Highly restricted Unrestricted Typically restricted to qualified investors, trading If any, OTC Exchange and OTC but freely tradable among this group of investors Usually OTC Continuous None Full requirements Typically simplified requirements disclosure requirements Antifraud provisions None Apply Typically apply While there are some variations, the following are key features of professional/hybrid regimes:  Investment limited to qualified investors, usually institutional investors and/or high net worth individuals;  Reduced initial and ongoing disclosure requirements;  Limited role of the regulator, if any, in the approval process;  Unrestricted access to secondary market trading, usually OTC, for eligible investors (i.e., professional); and  Continued provision of antifraud protections by the regulator against false or misleading statements in initial or ongoing disclosures. Hybrid offer regimes have lighter regulatory requirements and are designed with target investors of corporate bonds in mind – i.e., professional or institutional investors. Lighter regulatory requirements do not mean absence of all disclosures. Regardless of regulatory requirements, issuers under hybrid regimes, like in private placement regimes, provide offer documentation to target investors based on prevailing market practice and specific demands of relevant investors. To ensure protection to investors, hybrid regimes typically have antifraud provisions against false or misleading statements made in offering documents or during the offering process. Pure public offer represents an issuance regime with the widest distribution and greatest investor protections, but its initial and ongoing requirements can be onerous and costly for issuers, discouraging the use of bond financing, especially for smaller, less established issuers. Pure private placement regime offers the smallest distribution and the least amount of investor protections. While it grants issuers the quickest access to bond financing, its limited information disclosure and restricted trading reduce its investor appeal. A hybrid offer regime aims to achieve the desired balance between sufficient flexibility for issuers to encourage greater access to bond financing and adequate investor protections to stimulate investment interest from target investors, such as regulated institutions (e.g., pension funds and insurance companies). The entire hybrid approach is predicated on the notion that chief investors in corporate bonds are highly sophisticated and mostly institutional investors that have sufficient knowledge and resources to analyze opportunities and risks related to corporate bond issues. As such, ensuring the professionalism of institutional investors is a necessary step in adopting a hybrid offer regime, including investing resources, if needed, in their 50 development. Further, existence of antifraud provisions places specific responsibility on intermediaries involved in the issuance process, such as investment banks and legal advisors, to conduct robust due diligence and prepare high quality disclosure documents. Hence, it is also important to ensure a certain level of professionalism in the intermediary community. Table 11 below shows information on hybrid regimes in several jurisdictions gathered through a survey jointly conducted by IOSCO and World Bank. Table 11. Mexico: Key Features of Professional (Hybrid) Issuance Regimes in Select Countries United European States Union Brazil Chile India Israel Malaysia Thailand Year of 1990 2003 2009 2001 2008 2005 2007 2009 adoption Nature of Private Exempt Exempt Exempt Listed Private Private Private regime placement public offer public offer public private placemen placement placement with with offer placement t with with secondary secondary secondar secondary market trading market y market market trading trading trading Key Conditions QIBs 5 possible Max. 20 Qualified Max. 50 Qualified HNW and HNW and conditions QIBs investors investors investors sophisticate institutional d investors investors Full prospectus No No No No No No No No approval by regulator / SRO Submission of Yes No, Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes any kind of unless the offer document security is to regulator / listed on SRO an RM United European Brazil Chile India Israel Malaysia Thailand States Union Type of Notice N/A Conclusion Simplified Simplified Descriptio Principal Registration document to be claiming announce- prospectu disclosures n of Terms and statement and submitted exemption ment s and ads have to be securities Conditions short-form must be should be have to be filed with and trust and IM, if prospectus filed with filed with submitted exchange deed issued regulator regulator to need to regulator be submitted to the exchange Timing of After the N/A Within 5 At least 2 Prior to Prior to Prior to At least 1 day submission first sale days after days listing listing issuance before the first the sale before the securities sale first sale on TACT Institution al Approval No N/A No No Yes, No Yes Yes required by by the regulator / SRO exchange Max. time N/A N/A N/A N/A 5 business N/A 14 business 1 day frame for days days approval 51 Conditions for QIBs Same as QIBs after Qualified None, but Qualified HNW and HNW and trading initial 90 day investors typically investors sophist. institutional exemption holding large on TACT investors investors conditions period denominatio Institution n al Continuous No Yes if listed, Yes, but Yes, Yes, similar No Yes, but Yes, but lighter disclosure but lighter if lighter similar to to public lighter denomina- public offers tion is offers >€100,000 Antifraud Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes provisions QIBs: qualified institutional buyers HNW: high net worth RM: regulated market, which constitutes a major EU exchange. Other, alternative markets, referred to as “exchanged-regulated markets” do not trigger prospectus obligations. IM: Information Memorandum TACT Institutional: Tel-Aviv Continuous Trading Institutional is a standalone trading system within the exchange. In the United States and the European Union, hybrid offer regimes account for a sizeable portion of total issuance – 30 percent and 65 percent, respectively. Notably, in the United States, th e hybrid offer regime has seen most usage from high yield corporate bond issuers, approximately 70 percent of high yield issues over the last 15 years. Among the EMCs, the professional offer regimes carry the most importance in Malaysia, India, Brazil, and Thailand, accounting for 99 percent, 80 percent, 70 percent, and 36 percent of total issuance, respectively. Notably, in Thailand, and the hybrid offer regime makes up 81 percent of total issuance in terms of number of issues. 52 ANNEX I. HOUSING FINANCE IN MEXICO: KEY ISSUES AND CHALLENGES IN MORTGAGE SECURITIZATION 96. Securitization has become a significant funding tool of mortgage lending since the development of a well designed framework in 2000. The share of mortgage backed securities (MBS) in overall housing finance is already among the highest in Latin America. The demand for capital market funding for housing finance will likely continue to grow in the years to come given the housing needs in Mexico and the asset-liability mismatches in the banking system. 97. The market was deeply affected by the global 2008–2009 crisis, and has not fully recovered yet. Non-deposit-taking specialized lenders that were heavy users of MBS for funding collapsed. The crisis highlighted weaknesses in market infrastructure and organization, and resulted in the de-facto monopoly of two semi-public housing provident funds as MBS issuers. Private sector lenders have been crowded out from the MBS market and the state-owned development bank Sociedad Hipotecaria Federal (SHF) has not succeeded in keeping this segment of the market open for them. 98. A range of challenges needs to be overcome to reestablish a vibrant secondary market for mortgage financing, including the excessive heterogeneity and dispersion of products, shortcomings in the discharge of fiduciary responsibilities that affect investors’ confidence, weaknesses in price formation on primary issuances, and the illiquidity of the market. Mexican financial sector authorities have already taken positive measure on these various fronts, but more remains to be done, especially to enhance transparency in the market, to improve the valuation mechanism of securitized mortgages and the fluidity of secondary market trading, and to promote better risk-adjusted prices that would make securitization viable again for private lenders. This is a condition for the successful development of covered bonds. Market overview and developments 99. Securitization has become a very significant source of funding for housing finance. In Mexico, mortgage securitization grew after 2000 in parallel with the activity of the non- depository mortgage lenders, the “SOFOLES/SOFOMES hipotecarias,” SSH, which were the drivers of the market rebound after the 1995 crisis. The capital market funds close to 10 percent of outstanding housing loans, the third highest percentage in Latin America. The total MBS outstanding amounted to Mex$132.25 billion in December 2010.38 This positive result reflects: (i) a clear legal framework for trusts and true sale of assets through “certificados bursátiles” established in 2001; (ii) the actions of SHF, mandated to support the SSH sector; and (iii) the strong growth of pension funds and the positive macro-economic context, two major drivers of long-term investments. 38 Sources of data: IXE Reporte Trimestral, April 2011, SHF and Fitch Mexican RMBS Performance Update December 2010 53 100. The 2008–2009 financial crisis had a deep, but differentiated, impact on the market:  Financial stress in stand-alone SSH rose sharply in 2008, illustrated by the demise of three major institutions and of some smaller ones. The trigger was the surge in loan delinquencies in securitized portfolios, with NPL rates reaching 40 percent in some segments (developer loans). The problems were amplified by the drastic downgrade of U.S. financial insurers (“monolines”); they had been actively providing guarantees on SSH’s MBS (SSH-BORHIS) until 2008. Thirty-seven BORHIS were downgraded between December 2009 and March 2011. Market confidence suffered a further blow with the revelation that one of the failed SOFOLES had been diverting cash-flows owed to securitization trusts for its own use. The SSH market segment came to a halt.  Commercial banks’ mortgage portfolios, however, remained largely immune from the loan quality degradation, although the 2009 economic recession led to a rise in defaults— the NPL ratio of their MBS went from 1.4 percent to 5.6 percent from December 2008 to December 2010. But, in any case, banks stopped issuing MBS, in part because they did not need to mobilize capital market funding, but primarily because funding costs had risen sharply affecting the viability of MBS as a funding source.  The only, and active, MBS issuers since 2009 have been the two housing provident funds, INFONAVIT and FOVISSTE (the “Institutes”), which have high liquidity requirements—at least for the time being—and can offer attractive conditions to investors for reasons described below. Arguably, these entities have contributed to raising the cost of securitization given the risk/return combinations they offer that commercial lenders cannot match. 101. The crisis nevertheless highlighted the degree of maturity reached by the market. On the official front, the CNBV and the SHF have shown commendable awareness of the issues and have developed policy initiatives to address them. On the market front, it is worth stressing that the transfer of portfolios of failed SSH to back-up servicers did take place despite operational problems. This was a significant test of the actual bankruptcy-remoteness of securitization structures in Mexico, a critical underpinning of MBS markets that remains in question in many jurisdictions. In addition, stakeholders managed to agree on consensual solutions for the restructuring of securitized impaired loans, another indicator of market resiliency under very severe stress. 102. Certain original features of the fiduciary responsibility function set in the law provide added strength to the MBS structure. Besides the classic trustee, the “Ley de Títulos y Operaciones de Crédito” provides for the original figure of “Representante Común,” entrusted with the legal representation of bond holders.39 This function applies to all fixed-income 39 The “Representante Común” is an institution that is not MBS-specific. 54 securities, but has particular importance for securitization with the responsibility of overseeing trustees. Issues and challenges 103. The need to mobilize long-term capital market funding for housing is growing. This is because: (i) the housing deficit is still large and requires significant investments to start closing the gap; and (ii) maturity mismatches induced by long-term loans in lenders’ balance sheets are a threat to banks’ financial stability and are “sanctioned” by bank -capital charges. The challenge is not merely quantitative: it is expected that the deepening of the mortgage market will take place in currently underserved and more challenging (e.g., risk-management and access perspectives) categories, i.e., households that are unaffiliated to a Social Security regime, in particular small entrepreneurs and informal sector workers. Channeling market resources toward these segments requires very strict standards to do it safely and to be able to mobilize funding from capital market investors. In this respect, the rehabilitation of a sound private lenders segment of the MBS market is of utmost importance.40 104. There is room in institutional investors’ portfolio to safely take on more exposure to the housing sector. MBS represent less than 4 percent of pension funds’ holding, whereas the SIEFORES regulatory ceilings for this asset class range from 10 percent to 40 percent; holdings of private sector-issued MBS is less than a third of the total. Insurance companies invest around 2.5 percent of their portfolios in MBS. While ascertaining the potential maximum safe exposure to this asset class for institutional investors is quite difficult, current regulatory limits and portfolio size suggest that exposure could amount to Mex$313 billion according to a recent report by a CNBV-led working group.41 42 The actual potential is certainly less, given the diverse time horizons of investors—the pension funds dedicated to persons close to the retirement age mostly need short-term assets—and the limits internally set by managing companies may be well below the regulatory limits. Still, there is large room for growth, and the fact that the housing sector has been given a very low allocation by many of the institutional investor managers is indicative of the lingering negative perception of MBS. 40 INFONAVIT recently launched housing loans programs for non-affiliated workers—domestic workers, “repequos” (individual entrepreneurs who pay small taxes), and local civil servants. It is not clear how far would INFONAVIT be able to reach out to these categories of borrowers without an adequate distribution network. 41 This working group assessed the problems of, and options for, the securitization market and recently issued a report “Recomendaciones para Reactivar el Mercado Mexicano de Bonos Respaldados por Hipotecas,” February 2012. 42 For comparison, the total MBS market stood at Mex$132 billion in December 2010. 105. Most of the issues that need to be addressed to revive the mortgage securitization market are also relevant for the Mexican bond market more generally. They include:43  Dealing with the heterogeneity and complexity of the MBS that have been issued; those instruments challenge investors’ understanding and valuation capability;  Weaknesses in the fulfillment of fiduciary responsibility functions that are designed to provide comfort to investors regarding the quality of portfolios and their administration;  Inefficiencies in market organization that makes secondary market trading quasi inexistent; and  The high cost of securitization for private issuers, which started with the crisis but is now mostly linked to distortions in the formation of market prices. These problems are can be traced to market structure and operations issues, as well as to the regulatory framework. Market structure issues44 106. The institutes crowd out private sector issuers from the mortgage securitization market. In the last three years, MBS issuances have been exclusively done by the two Institutes, which together have a 70 percent share (85 percent in terms of number of loans) of new loans origination (2010). This quasi-monopoly is largely explained by the extremely favorable conditions of the issuances. First, the portfolios have now a very low risk profile: repayments through payroll-deduction and the use of the pension subaccount as collateral in some cases, and unemployment assurance (INFONAVIT loans). Second, the Institute’s MBS have been structured with a very high level of (internal) credit enhancement – typically between 23 percent and 29 percent overcollateralization of the senior tranches. Justifications for this high level are (i) to cushion the mismatch between the index used on the securities (UDI-general inflation) and on the loans that back them (minimum wage-VSM); however, the divergence between the two indexes is limited; and (ii) the practice of “prorrogas” that allows borrowers who lose their jobs to postpone mortgage payment for 12 months. In fact, both of these risks are also covered by significant spreads and reserve accounts. Third, Institutes are perceived as public sector entities with strong institutional support unlike ordinary loan servicers. 43 In addition, the large stock of private MBS accumulated by SHF creates an uncertainty on the balance between demand and supply, which, although of more temporary nature, inhibits the market revival 44 Many of the issues raised in this section are discussed in the recent report referenced in footnote 46. 56 107. In light of the aforementioned risk mitigants, the spreads on the MBS issued by the Institutes appear quite rich: in early 2012, they were in the range of 260–280 bps for CEDEVIS (INFONAVIT MBS) and over 300bps for FOVISSSTE. However, the Institutes can afford such conditions because: (i) profitability is less of a driving constraints than for private lenders– margins on FOVISSSTE’s MBS, whose loans carry an average rate of about 5.5 percent in real terms, are particularly narrow, while they are somewhat wider in the case of INFONAVIT, which prices loans to households above a certain income level at market conditions; and (ii) more favorable prudential treatment--the absence of capital charges on the retained junior tranches contrary to the general prudential regime. 108. Given the place of the Institutes in the housing finance market and their issuances quasi- risk-free status, those conditions are a de-facto benchmark. At such spreads, securitization is uneconomical for other lenders, which consequently are now crowded out of the MBS market. In this respect, SHF’s policy to buy MBS from the Institutes may well be further distorting pricing rather than fostering the development of private sector lenders by increasing the market competition for their issuances of MBS; the SHF is mandated to help develop the private sector lending segment. 109. MBS is an illiquid asset class despite the support provided in the law for secondary market trading. Market liquidity of MBS is low in most countries - MBS are complex instruments, difficult to value and difficult to hedge. In Mexico, indexation re- enforces the buy-to-hold behavior of investors. Still, providing greater confidence in the ability to trade assets when called for strategic portfolio adjustments or changing market conditions would probably help widen the range of interested investors. In Mexico, the law provides for the organization of market makers and price vendors to those ends but implementation has fallen short. Attempts at true market making on BORHIS with binding 2- way price quotes, first by banks and then by the SHF, failed.45 These attempts were little realistic, but no alternative method has been tried to promote liquidity. Regarding price vendors, they had in fact a rather negative impact on the overall market development. Shortcomings include material discrepancies in the prices given by the two vendors and questionable choices for spread levels. Since these prices tend to be used not only as an accounting instrument, but also as a reference for the pricing of transactions,46 the discrepancies actually impede supply and demand matching. Further, these shortcomings also impact pension funds as they are required to use fair value accounting,47and must use 45 It is worth noting that SHF holds over 40 percent of the total outstanding stock of BORHIS, as de-facto SHF became the sole buyers of securities. 46 The law contributes to the confusion by defining the function of price vendors as the determination of “updated prices for the valuation of securities.” 47 CONSAR circular of March 2012, Anexo O. 57 vendors’ prices to value securitized instruments; this requirement does not seem consistent with the development of in-house valuation capacities. 110. Overall, distortions in the formation of prices prevent the securitization market to fully serve its purpose. The distortions impact both the primary and the secondary markets. On the former, the process does not facilitate the revelation of investors’ preferences or an economic valuation of credit risk. On the latter, the rare transactions that take place are mainly done over the counter with no transparency. Supply-side issues 111. The multiplicity of products and structures is excessive, relative to the size of the MBS market, adversely impacting its dynamism. The market is fragmented into multiple products with very different risk profiles varying with the type of originator (banks, SSH, Housing Institutes), the type of collateral (residential or developer loans), and the securitization structures (multiple patterns in terms of credit enhancement, trigger events, impact of prepayments, payment waterfall, etc.). A securitization platform in which SHF is the main shareholder, Hito, has been a driver of innovation, but also added several degrees of heterogeneity to the landscape with a growing variety of products (loan-by-loan issues, multiple originators issues, specific structures for indirect INFONAVIT or FOVISSSTE issues). Dispersion and complexity make valuations difficult, exclude the participation of investors with limited internal analytical capacities and impede the fluidity of the secondary market trading. Regulatory issues 112. Experiences with some SSH securities have cast a doubt on the effectiveness of fiduciary functions. In those cases, the discharge of fiduciary responsibilities appeared to have been carried out in a fairly passive way, with limited due diligence and loose oversight of portfolio administration. There seems to be no legal provision on enforcement—there is no specific sanction in case of noncompliance with legal obligations. Some contractual arrangements allow trustees to replace ill-performing servicers and they further allow “Representantes Comunes” to replace trustees; however, not all arrangements include these powers. While the monitoring of securitization structures has been improved by the emergence of master servicers,48 their responsibilities are not clearly listed while their reporting obligations are limited; further they do not have legal powers vis-à-vis servicers or primary trustees. 113. The regulatory and supervisory structure can be a source of confusion. There are at least three sources of regulation for the same instrument: CNBV, CONSAR, and SHF. 48 3 companies offer now this service. 58 Some rules that should be part of the general securitization framework, only apply to certain categories of investors or issuers, for instance: the obligation of risk retention by originators (CONSAR), the definition of independent entities and, hence, true sale (CONSAR), and the use of master servicers, some underwriting standards, and credit enhancement options (SHF). 114. Market information is incomplete and the access to it is difficult. The CNBV’s “Anexo T” template in the Instruction to Issuers is fairly comprehensive, but static. Information is not easily available to investors and intermediaries. Responsibilities for gathering and conveying portfolio information are spread between different actors/vehicles-- trustee reports, Vigia platform for BORHIS, rating agencies, and price vendors; there is no formalized aggregation process, nor a homogenous way to access cash flow projections that are the basis for valuing securities. Electronic communication tools that would facilitate the processing of information are limited and not standardized. Recommendations 115. Positive initiatives have been taken by the Mexican financial authorities to revamp the housing finance securitization market. In the specific BORHIS segment, the SHF sought early on to improve the investment environment by promoting the function of master servicer, developing a data base and monitoring platform, Vigia, and providing investors with valuation tools. More recently, the CNBV initiated a broad stakeholders’ consultation in 2011 to diagnose roadblocks and formulate proposals to increase the efficiency of the securitization market and restore investors’ confidence. The report released earlier this year includes a very relevant list of reforms, including the clarification and enforceability of fiduciary duties, quality norms for securitized portfolios, and standardization of MBS structures. Steps have been taken to this effect. The securities law is being amended to specify the conditions under which trustee activities can be exercised by stockbrokers. The CNBV requirement of loan-by-loan information to be given monthly by portfolio administrators (Annex T) was recently extended. 116. Moreover, the range of housing finance tools is being widened with the introduction of a covered bond framework. This new asset type would not raise the same difficulties as MBS in terms of origination standards, direct exposure on loan portfolios, and valuation. Two routes are being ready to introduce covered bonds: (i) a specific law, which implies a few significant legal changes,49 but leaves the timing for its introduction dependent on the legislative priorities and process; and (ii) a general law-based structure, which would be subject to the central bank’s considerations. The second option is expected to be ready quicker than the first one. 49 The covered bonds framework implies adjustment of the insolvency law and is included in a draft reform of banks’ insolvency regime. It conflicts with the legal wage earners priority in case of employers’ bankruptcy. 59 117. However, more needs to be done to restore and further develop investors’ confidence and interest in long-term mortgage-related securities, and to re-establish a price scale that makes these instruments attractive to private sector lenders. Within the areas of reforms delineated by SHCP and CNBV, complementary actions could be considered as follows:  Simplify and homogenize MBS: the need to standardize loans and structures throughout the various market segments is widely recognized but could go a step further with the development of a highly reputable “label”, which will be assigned to securities meeting pre-set standards. These standards would cover the quality of lending, the conduct of portfolio checks and audit, the structure of transactions (credit enhancement, triggers, waterfalls, etc.), and their oversight. Establishing the said “label” would require a non-, or self-, regulatory authority to coordinate the practices of different issuers and regulators, and to oversee the compliance with the “label” standards on an on-going basis. SHF could extend its scope of policy intervention beyond the BORHIS segment and play this pivotal role.  Strengthen fiduciary mechanisms. Besides the clarification and strengthening of responsibilities of servicers already being considered, which should include the standardization of contracts between trustees and “Representantes Comunes” and between servicers and master servicers, progress needs to be made on several other elements: o Make pre-issuance audits and ongoing due diligence verifications systematic, and part of the criteria underlying the quality “label,” o Homogenize the dissemination of information to the market in terms of information structure, aggregation, communication vehicle; and o Organize a multi-originators channel for small lenders that will not access the market without a critical mass, and without an intermediary level that would add a layer of warranties and oversight to their MBS. The Hito platform has fulfilled this centralization functions a few times for SSH. It could provide this service more systematically, with the support of SHF in defining and implementing eligibility requirements.  Improve the fluidity of the secondary market: The following developments could be initiated, at least for MBS, which meet the “label” standards, and the price of which could become the benchmark for other MBS: 60 o Develop pre-trade information: all orders could go through brokers, and the stock of pending orders made public by INDEVAL,50 thus allowing players to gauge the depth of the market and adjust their strategy accordingly; o Develop post trade information: Make the information of the market at large compulsory, which would not be too costly if all transactions are settled by INDEVAL; o Promote the emergence of a private repo /securities lending market on standardized- hence substitutable to a certain extent- MBS, with INDEVAL building the corresponding platform; and o Organize a system of non-committing quotations by brokers for securities. SHF could be a facilitator and supervisor of this activity, e.g., by developing standardized securities lending contracts, or being a lender of last resort of cash or securities. 118. In addition, it seems necessary to revisit and clarify the function of price vendors, which is basically to provide estimates of fair values for accounting purposes. Price vendors should focus more on modeling and simulation services, on estimating yield curves and price volatility, and provide only indicative, nonbinding spreads and values. Pension funds should be at liberty to use their own valuation systems, subject to validation by auditors and CONSAR. Such reforms could be introduced by regulation.  Promote a risk-adjusted pricing process of new issues: Mexican authorities are in the process of progressively including the housing Institutes in the general banking prudential regime, which will remove one source of price distortion. In addition, a more transparent and competitive method than the current book building process to set new issuance prices is needed. A more auction-type of sale should be explored, complemented by an approach designed to limit the collective power of a few price leaders who can prevail even in a bidding mechanism. Achieving an economically balanced formation of prices will mean the acceptance by investors to pay higher prices for higher levels of security, and will be a key condition for the successful introduction of covered bonds. 50 INDEVAL already offers similar information for security lending (VALPRE system).