The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) AFRICA | Kenya | Poverty and Equity Global Practice | Requesting Unit: AFCE2 | Responsible Unit: GPV01 IBRD/IDA | Program-for-Results Financing | FY 2016 | Team Leader(s): Utz Johann Pape, Johan A. Mistiaen Seq No: 6 | ARCHIVED on 20-Dec-2018 | ISR34799 | Created by: Utz Johann Pape on 09-Nov-2018 | Modified by: Utz Johann Pape on 19-Dec-2018 Program Development Objectives Program Development Objective (from Program Appraisal Document) To support the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics to generate better and more accessible data to inform policy-makers and contribute to strengthening its capacity. Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Satisfactory Satisfactory Implementation Status and Key Decisions The Kenyan Statistics Program-for-Results supports the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics to generate better and more accessible data to inform policy-makers and contribute to strengthening its capacity. The Program, funded with SDR 35.6 million (approximately US$ 50 million) by the World Bank, was approved September 10, 2015 and became effective February 10, 2016. The disbursement rate of the Program increased from 37 percent to 55 percent since the last implementation support mission in January 2018. The disbursement rate is expected to increase to 65 percent before the next implementation support review in early summer 2019. The Program's progress is assessed as satisfactory. Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P149718 IDA-57170 Effective USD 50.00 50.00 0.00 27.55 21.73 56% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P149718 IDA-57170 Effective 10-Sep-2015 02-Oct-2015 10-Feb-2016 31-Dec-2020 31-Dec-2020 Program Action Plan Before Appraisal, the KNBS will apoint a Program Coordinator in the Office of the Director General to help facilitate, Action Description manage and monitor the implementation of the Program 12/20/2018 Page 1 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client No 30-Apr-2015 Completed Comments A focal point will be appointed in the National Treasury to help ensure adequate Program budget provisions, to serve Action Description as a liaison person for stakeholders, and to help address cross-cutting issues related to Program implementation Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client No 31-Mar-2016 Completed Comments To strengthen M&E practices, the KNBS will design and utilize a standardized templates that will be used across Action Description Directorates for Program monitoring purposes on the results framework, the DLIs and the PAPs Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client Yes Yearly Completed Comments To provide coordination oversight for the Program the GoK shall establish, within 3 months after the effectiveness Action Description date, a Program Steering Committee (PSC) comprising PS Planning, PS National Treasury and DG KNBS that will meet semi-annually Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client No 10-May-2016 Completed Comments Provide adequate storage space with restricted access to procurement records to ensure records are maintained in a Action Description safe and secure environment Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client No 01-Jun-2016 In Progress The KNBS is scheduled to move in 2019 into a new building with designated adequate storage space. Therefore, the Comments implementation of this program action point is postponed until the move into the new building is completed. All E-waste will be disposed via an approved recycling facility. Awareness and sensitization training for all managerial Action Description and director level KNBS staff on E-waste management practices will be conducted. 12/20/2018 Page 2 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client No 01-Jun-2016 Completed Comments Within 6 months following the procurement audit by PPOA (to take place during the operation’s lifespan), KNBS will Action Description prepare an action plan documenting compliance with PPOA review findings Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client No 30-Jun-2020 Not Yet Due Comments Action Description Procurement planning integrated and aligned to the budgeting process Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client Yes Yearly In Progress Comments Prepare Contracts Management Plan/Manual (CMP) outlining clear responsibilities, procedures and guidelines for Action Description contracts management; and integrate contract management and monitoring with FMIS Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client No 01-Jun-2016 In Progress The setup of the FMIS was only recently completed, which is a prerequisite of this action point. The action point is Comments expected to be fulfilled in 2019. Planning and Budgeting: Align the KNBS annual budgeting process to the MTEF to ensure adequate funds for the Action Description program Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client Yes Yearly In Progress Comments Action Description Treasury Management and Funds Flow: Improve adequacy and timeliness of exchequer releases Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client Yes SemiAnnual In Progress 12/20/2018 Page 3 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Comments The KNBS will establish a technical working group which will meet quarterly with development partner to facilitate Action Description effective coordination of TA activities Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Client Yes Quarterly In Progress Comments Action Description Audit of the upgraded FMIS system for performance to ensure it continues to deliver. Responsibility Recurrent Frequency Due Date DLI# Status Internal Auditor Yes SEMIANNUAL In Progress Comments The audits will be aligned with implementation support missions. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance -- Substantial Substantial Macroeconomic -- Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies -- Substantial Substantial Technical Design of Project or Program -- Substantial Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability -- Substantial Substantial Fiduciary -- Moderate Moderate Environment and Social -- Low Low Stakeholders -- Moderate Moderate Other -- -- -- Overall -- Substantial Substantial Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes 12/20/2018 Page 4 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Inform policy-makers IN00646737 ►Inform development strategies, policies and poverty reduction programs of the Government of Kenya (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Outdated poverty statistics KIHBS 2015/16 data and household survey used to update proxy- KIHBS data is used for data (2005/06) being used means cash transfer proxy-means cash All three intermediate Value to infrom poverty reduction targeting formulas used transfer targeting as targets achieved targeting and resource by the National Safety well as in the MTP-3. allocations Net Program-for-Results Date 30-Jun-2014 10-Aug-2018 18-Oct-2018 30-Jun-2020 Comments Generate better data IN00646738 ►Produce regular poverty monitoring data and statistics (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Updated poverty Updated benchmark Poverty statistics are numbers for 2015/16 (2015/16) poverty outdated (2005/06) and are published. measures produced and there is insufficient All five intermediate Value disseminated; the capacity to monitor Poverty monitoring targets achieved Continuous Household poverty at least once using the KCHS will Survey is under every 3 years start in 2019. preparation. Date 30-Jun-2014 10-Aug-2018 18-Oct-2018 30-Jun-2020 Comments IN00646741 ►Produce better real and external sector economic data (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Business register upgraded and updated. Insufficient capacity to New CPI weights were CPI series is being meet SDDS criteria in all All five intermediate Value derived, but 12-months produced and will be real and external sector targets achieved data collection of prices available online in 2019. data categories is expected to finish in summer 2019. Date 30-Jun-2014 10-Aug-2018 18-Oct-2018 30-Jun-2020 Comments Generate more accessible data IN00646739 ►Improve access to official survey microdata (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Microdata files not Kenya Integrated Agreed microdata is All five intermediate Value available on-line and not Household Budget available online. targets achieved freely obtainable Survey (KIHBS 2015/16) 12/20/2018 Page 5 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) microdata available on- line. Date 30-Jun-2014 10-Aug-2018 18-Oct-2018 30-Jun-2020 Comments Strengthen the capacity of the KNBS IN00646740 ►Improve Overall Statistical Capacity Score (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 54.00 57.80 57.80 69.00 Date 19-Aug-2015 10-Aug-2018 18-Oct-2018 30-Jun-2020 Comments Intermediate Results Indicators by Results Areas Data gaps filled and capacity strengthened through the implementation of integrated survey programs IN00646742 ►Implement an integrated program of economic surveys to fill National Accounts source data gaps (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Establishment Census ISS was conducted, National Accounts source conducted, report report produced and All four intermediate Value data incomplete and partly produced and available currently being peer- targets achieved outdated on-line. reviewed. Date 30-Jun-2015 10-Aug-2018 18-Oct-2018 28-Jun-2019 Comments IN00646746 ►Improve Overall Statistical Capacity Score (SCI) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 54.00 57.80 57.80 69.00 Date 30-Jun-2015 10-Aug-2018 18-Oct-2018 30-Jun-2020 Comments Quality of key official statistical products and processes improved IN00646743 ►Compile the IMF data Quality Assessment Framework (DQAF) for five macro-economic datasets (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target DQAF not compiled for DQAF compiled and DQAF for 2 macro- DQAF compiled and Value any of the seven macro- published for 3 macro- economic datasets is published for 5 macro- economic datasets economic datasets. available. DQAF for 3 economic datasets 12/20/2018 Page 6 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) macro-economic datasets is being compiled. Date 30-Jun-2015 10-Aug-2018 18-Oct-2018 30-Jun-2020 Comments IN00646747 ►Proportion of Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS) requirements met or partially met (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 72.00 72.00 88.00 100.00 Date 30-Jun-2015 10-Aug-2018 18-Oct-2018 30-Jun-2020 Comments Dissemination practices strengthened and access to data improved IN00646744 ►Develop an Advance Release Calendar (ARC) and scale-up data coverage (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Develop and publish Publish an ARC covering ARC for 4 data an ARC covering 10 6 data categories of the categories is published. data categories of the Value ARC not used Special Data ARC for 6 data Special Data Dissemination Standard categories is being Dissemination (SDDS). prepared. Standard (SDDS) Date 30-Jun-2015 10-Aug-2018 18-Oct-2018 30-Jun-2020 Comments Management systems strengthened IN00646745 ►Implement the Corruption Risk Assessment (CRA) action plan and strengthen financial and record management systems (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Design and operationalize a FMIS with multi-dimensional CRA action plan has chart of accounts and been endorsed and CRA conducted and capability to generate key partially implemented Both of the 2 endorsed action plan reports. Establishing an Value with complete intermediate targets prepared by KNBS and ISO 15489 certified implementation achieved fully implemented Record Management expected in 2018/19. (RM) system depends on FMIS is operational. KNBS moving into new building, scheduled for late 2018. Date 31-Dec-2015 10-Aug-2018 18-Oct-2018 30-Jun-2017 Comments 12/20/2018 Page 7 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Disbursement Linked Indicators DLI_IND_TABLE ►DLI 1 DLI 1: Implement an integrated program of economic surveys to fill National Accounts source data gaps (Intermediate Outcome, 14.00, 50%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 5: 2020 National Accounts source DLRs 1.1 and 1.2 DLRs 1.1 and 1.2 Value -- data incomplete and partl achieved. achieved. Date 30-Jun-2014 10-Aug-2018 18-Dec-2018 -- Comments ►DLI 2 DLI 2: Implement an integrated program of household surveys to fill key poverty, labor and socio-economic data gaps (Outcome, 16.00, 69%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 5: 2020 DLRs 2.0 and 2.1 Labor force, poverty and DLRs 2.0, 2.1 and 2.2 Value achieved. DLR 2.2 under -- other key socio-economic achieved. verification. Date 30-Jun-2014 10-Aug-2018 18-Dec-2018 -- Comments ►DLI 3 DLI 3: Produce better real and external sector economic data (Outcome, 7.00, 57%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 5: 2020 DLRs 3.0 and 3.1 Insufficient capacity to meet DLRs 3.0, 3.1 and 3.2 Value achieved. DLR 3.2 under -- SDDS criteria in all achieved. verification. Date 30-Jun-2014 10-Aug-2018 18-Dec-2018 -- Comments ►DLI 4 DLI 4: Compile the IMF Data Quality Assessment Framework (DQAF) for five macro-economic datasets (Intermediate Outcome, 3.00, 33%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 5: 2020 DQAF compiled and DQAF not compiled for any DLRs 4.1 and 4.2 DLRs 4.1 and 4.2 published for 5 Value of the seven macro-econo achieved achieved. macro-economic datasets Date 30-Jun-2014 10-Aug-2018 18-Dec-2018 -- Comments ►DLI 5 DLI 5: Develop an Advance Release Calendar (ARC) and scale-up data coverage (Intermediate Outcome, 4.50, 44%) 12/20/2018 Page 8 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 5: 2020 Publish an ARC covering 10 data ARC not used and DLRs 5.0, 5.1 and 5.2 DLRs 5.0, 5.1 and 5.2 categories of the Value Economic Surveys not achieved achieved. Special Data digitized an Dissemination Standard (SDDS) Date 30-Jun-2014 10-Aug-2018 18-Dec-2018 -- Comments ►DLI 6 DLI 6: Improve access to official survey microdata (Outcome, 3.50, 71%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 5: 2020 DLRs 6.1 and 6.2 KCHS 2018 Microdata files not available DLRs 6.1, 6.2 and 6.3 Value achieved. DLR 6.3 under microdata available on-line and not free achieved. verification. on-line Date 30-Jun-2014 10-Aug-2018 18-Dec-2018 -- Comments ►DLI 7 DLI 7: Implement the Corruption Risk Assessment (CRA) action plan and strengthen financial and records management systems (Intermediate Outcome, 2.00, 25%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 5: 2020 DLR 7.1 under Value No CRA conducted. DLR 7.1 achieved. -- verification. Date 30-Dec-2015 28-Jun-2017 18-Dec-2018 -- Comments 12/20/2018 Page 9 of 9