The World Bank Ayeyarwady Integrated River Basin Management Project (P146482) REPORT NO.: RES36971 RESTRUCTURING PAPER ON A PROPOSED PROJECT RESTRUCTURING OF AYEYARWADY INTEGRATED RIVER BASIN MANAGEMENT PROJECT APPROVED ON DECEMBER 9, 2014 TO REPUBLIC OF THE UNION OF MYANMAR December 6, 2019 WATER GLOBAL PRACTICE EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC Regional Vice President: Victoria Kwakwa Acting Country Director: Gevorg Sargsyan Regional Director: Benoit Bosquet Practice Manager/Manager: Takuya Kamata Task Team Leader: Shelley Mcmillan, Kristoffer Welsien The World Bank Ayeyarwady Integrated River Basin Management Project (P146482) ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS AIRBMP Ayeyarwady Integrated River Basin Management Project CERC Contingent Emergency Response Component CONOPS Concept of Operations DMH Department of Meteorology and Hydrology DWIR Directorate of Water Resources and Improvement of River Systems IDA International Development Association IRM Immediate Response Mechanism ISM Implementation Support Mission IWT Inland Waterway Transport MOALI Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Irrigation MOPAF Ministry of Planning and Finance MOTC Ministry of Transport and Communications M&E Monitoring and Evaluation MTR Mid Term Review PDO Project Development Objective PMU Project Management Unit RVP Regional Vice President SI Systems Integration TOR Terms of Reference UNOPS United Nations Office for Project Services The World Bank Ayeyarwady Integrated River Basin Management Project (P146482) Note to Task Teams: The following sections are system generated and can only be edited online in the Portal. BASIC DATA Product Information Project ID Financing Instrument P146482 Investment Project Financing Original EA Category Current EA Category Full Assessment (A) Full Assessment (A) Approval Date Current Closing Date 09-Dec-2014 30-Sep-2020 Organizations Borrower Responsible Agency Directorate of Water Resources and Improvement of Republic of the Union of Myanmar River Systems, Ministy of Transport Project Development Objective (PDO) Original PDO The program development objective for the Series of Projects (of which the AIRBM will be the first) is to strengthen integrated,climate resilient management and development of the Ayeyarwady River Basin and national water resources. The project development objective of the AIRBM is to contribute to the development of integrated river basin management on the Ayeyarwady river. Current PDO The program development objective for the Series of Projects (of which the AIRBM will be the first) is to strengthen integrated,climate resilient management and development of the Ayeyarwady River Basin and national water resources. The project development objective of the AIRBM is to contribute to the development of integrated river basin management on the Ayeyarwady river, and, in the event of an Eligible Crisis or Emergency, to provide immediate and effective response to said Eligible Crisis or Emergency. OPS_TABLE_PDO_CURRENTPDO The World Bank Ayeyarwady Integrated River Basin Management Project (P146482) Summary Status of Financing Net Ln/Cr/Tf Approval Signing Effectiveness Closing Commitment Disbursed Undisbursed IDA-55590 09-Dec-2014 03-Apr-2015 10-Jun-2015 30-Sep-2020 100.00 34.93 58.24 Policy Waiver(s) Does this restructuring trigger the need for any policy waiver(s)? No I. PROJECT STATUS AND RATIONALE FOR RESTRUCTURING A. Background 1. The program development objective for the Ayeyarwady Integrated River Basin Management (AIRBM) Series of Projects is to strengthen integrated, climate resilient management and development of the Ayeyarwady River Basin and national water resources. The Project Development Objective1 (PDO) is to contribute to the development of integrated river basin management on the Ayeyarwady river, and, in the event of an Eligible Crisis or Emergency, to provide immediate and effective response to said Eligible Crisis or Emergency. Aligned to this PDO, the AIRBM project has been designed with four main components which support: i) the development of the institutions and tools needed to enable informed decision making in the management of Myanmar’s national water resources and to implement integrated river basin management on the Ayeyarwady (Component 1), while ii) immediately enhancing the country’s capacity to support agricultural productivity and water-related disaster risk management through investments in the hydro-meteorological observation system (Component 2), iii) investments in the design and implementation of channel stabilization works and aids to navigation to promote Inland Waterway Transport (IWT) in the Ayeyarwady River (Component 3), and (iv) an effective response to potential crises and emergencies (Component 4). 2. The project financed by an IDA credit in the amount of US$100 million was approved by the Board on December 9, 2014 and declared effective on June 10, 2015. The project was restructured (under a level II restructuring) in July 2016 to include allocation of funds to the Contingent Emergency Response Component (CERC/IRM). B. Project Status 3. The project is currently rated Moderately Satisfactory for both PDO and Implementation Progress (IP). The Project is rated as Moderately Satisfactory since April 2016 when the rating was upgraded from Moderately Unsatisfactory to Moderately Satisfactory in response to critical changes made to the project in 2016 with assigning a new Project 1 PDO has been revised as per level 2 restructuring [in 2016] to include Component 4: Contingent Emergency Response Component. The World Bank Ayeyarwady Integrated River Basin Management Project (P146482) Director and Component 3 Director and the hiring of international advisors to the PMU. Initial implementation start- up and progress from 2015 to 2018 were slow due to the clients’ limited capacity and unfamiliarity with Bank policies and procedures coupled with complex national administrative procedures. However, gradually implementation progress has improved based on enhanced implementation support and measures to reinforce client capacity. From May 2019, notable improvements could be seen, and based on the findings from the recent implementation supervision mission carried out between Nov 13-22, 2019 the Bank team proposes to upgrade achievement of PDO to satisfactory as the project is on track with the expected extension of the closing date, which will be reflected in the upcoming ISR. The project’s procurement and financial management arrangements remain adequate. The project is in compliance with the reporting and auditing requirements, and there are no overdue audits or any other outstanding financial management issues. The project is also compliant with Bank safeguards policies. The November AM contains a list of action items for the project (mainly Safeguards and Financial Management) to complete before March 2020, if these targets are met, then consideration should be given to also upgrading IP of the project to Satisfactory. The Project’s disbursement rate has reached US$34.93 million as per end of November 2019. 4. The project has taken actions on recommendations made in the May 2019 Country Portfolio Review meeting. The November 2019 mission discussed measures to track social inclusion as part of the project monitoring and explored further guidance from the CMU and Safeguards/Social team to align efforts on project level with the portfolio wide social inclusion approach. 5. A summary of implementation progress with regards to activities outlined in the Project Appraisal Document (PAD) is presented below: a. Component One: Water Resources Management Institutions, Decision Support Systems and Capacity Building (IDA credit – US$29.7 million of which US$11.1 million has been disbursed as per October 1st 2019). Under this component, the Bank team noted progress in: i) Institutional Development - The project made headway with drafting the Water Law and gradual filling of positions under the NWRC. The detailed design for the NWRC/HIC headquarters building in Yangon and the Bidding Documents have been approved, and the Special Procurement Notice is currently under Bank’s review. ii) Ayeyarwady River Basin Masterplan and Decision Support System - the first phase of the development of a River Basin Master Plan has been completed and the preparation of the scenario development report is well underway. iii) Preparation of Future Investments – two potential lending operations are currently being prepared: 1) Navigation Enhancement Project following the preparation of the Detailed Design for river works in the Ayeyarwady between Mandalay and Nyaung-Oo (Stretch 1), and, 2) Yangon Integrated Water Resources Management project (Yangon IWRM). The preparation of the TOR for the (pre-)feasibility study under the Yangon IWRM project is well underway, informed by the results from the Netherlands-supported Regional Water Security Study (RWSS), under which a set of hydraulic and salt intrusion numerical models have been developed and analysis done, to lay the foundation for a water security baseline for Yangon Region and identification of investment options. iv) Implementation Support - the main output is the completion of the PMU building in Yangon. b. Component Two: Hydro-meteorological observation and information systems modernization (IDA credit – US$29.2 million of which US$5.4 million has been disbursed as per October 1, 2019). While Component 2 is significantly behind schedule with implementation as a result of the late acceptance of the Systems Integrator and Concept of Operations (CONOPS), implementation progress has picked up nicely. The Bank noted progress The World Bank Ayeyarwady Integrated River Basin Management Project (P146482) in: i) Institutional and Regulatory Strengthening, Capacity Building and Implementation – DMH has completed a draft version of the hydro-met law and signed a contract with WMO to deliver a comprehensive capacity building program. iii) Modernization of Observation Infrastructure, Data Management Systems and Forecasting – the Bank team noted strong progress in implementation of packages identified under the CONOPS, towards modernization of DMH’s observation & forecaster system. Among others, contracts have been signed for the delivery of an upper-air radio sounding equipment, 2 aluminum survey boats and survey equipment, and a larger contract is expected to be signed before the end of November for the installation of 67 Automatic Weather Stations. iii) Enhancement of Hydromet Service Delivery Systems – although two critical packages are in an advance stage of procurement, there is no progress yet towards improved hydro-met service delivery. c. Component Three: Navigation Enhancement on the Ayeyarwady River (IDA Credit – US $37.9 million of which US$ 12.8 million has been disbursed as per October 1st 2019). Under this component, the main activities include: i) Navigation Improvements – 80% of the channel stabilization works for sub-project 1 are completed and all remaining works will be completed before March 2020. The Engineering Design & ESIA Consultancy contract for Stretch 1 (between Mandalay and Nyaung U) is well underway. Other important accomplishments include the delivery of 3 fibreglass survey boats and a multi-functional amphibious In addition, the bid evaluation for the delivery of 2 Cutter-Suction Dredgers is in the final stage and contract signing is expected by January 2020. ii) Navigation Aids - the project has completed the installation and monitoring of the performance of Aids-to-Navigation (buoys) between Mandalay and Nyaung-Oo, received hydro-graphic survey equipment, and a multi-purpose buoy handling vessel. In addition, tender documents for the installation of more aids-to-navigation between Nyaung-Oo and Yangon are under finalization so that the procurement process can start from January 2020. iii) Water Quality Monitoring – DWIR requested to cancel this sub-component as water quality monitoring is not fully aligned to DWIR’s mandate. iv) Institutional Strengthening and Implementation Support – capacity building activities are included in almost all contracts and DWIR receives additional training in the wet season ‘pause’ from the international advisors to the PMU. d. Contingent Emergency Response Component (CERC/IRM). Following the Level II restructuring (July 2016) for implementation of an Immediate Response Mechanism (IRM), US$4.61 million was reallocated to this component. By September 2019, the final total amount charged to the component amounts to US$3.20 million. These funds were used for the installation of 90 Automatic Weather Stations (AWS) and 10 Automatic Water Level Monitoring Stations (AWLS). The November 2019 ISM will report on the findings of the review done on the installation and operation of these systems. C. Rationale for restructuring 6. The project underwent a mid-term review (MTR) in March-April 2018 at which time it was determined that several critical activities could not be completed by the closing date of September 30, 2020. The outcomes of the MTR were revisited during the last ISM and it was agreed that a level II restructuring was needed to: (i) extend the project closing date by 18 months benefitting all components; (ii) revise certain activities as described in the PAD such as the canceling of the Water Quality Monitoring sub-component; (iii) revise the Results Framework (RF) and; (iv) reallocate funds between components 1 and 3. The World Bank Ayeyarwady Integrated River Basin Management Project (P146482) 7. Up to the ISM held in September 2018, the Bank team was very concerned about slow implementation progress, but during the May 2019 ISM the task team noted a significant turnaround in lagging parts of the project. The disbursement rate has showed considerable improvement with US$18 million disbursement in FY19 amounting to a total of US$31.3 million since the effectiveness date and further picking up to US$ 34,9 million by end of October 2019. However, commitments are still a bit low with only US$52 million (56% of the available funds) committed or disbursed, 11 months before the original closing date of the project. The November 2019 ISM should confirm whether the 6 largest activities with an estimated contract value of about US$28 million, can be signed within the coming 4-5 months. The project would therefore benefit from an 18-month extension to allow full completion of a few strategic activities which are key to achieving the PDO as well as completing the preparatory studies identified as Planned Future Investment (PFI). 8. The Bank team also agreed with the PMU and technical teams to reallocate budget (US$ 1.3 million) from the PFI subcomponent under Component 1 to Component 3, to cover the preparatory studies for Stretch 2 including detailed engineering design and ESIA. In addition, as mentioned above, DWIR indicated that the water quality monitoring activity under Component 3 should be canceled. 9. It is noted that due to the exchange rate fluctuations between the USD and the SDR, the value of the credit amount expressed in USD as of December 5, 2019 is USD 92.9 million (original credit amount was USD 100 million), USD7.1 million less than at the time of contract signing. The PMU will continue to closely monitor actual amount of funds available for the project through the client connection. II. DESCRIPTION OF PROPOSED CHANGES 10. In response to the letter from the Ministry of Planning and Finance (MOPF) from the Government of Myanmar dated October 4th 2019, requesting the restructuring of the project, the team is proposing modifications, as listed below. D. Change in Results Framework 11. The main changes to the Results Framework (RF) are to better capture the evolution of the project, especially at the PDO level towards improved outcomes rather than outputs and to better align the RF with the revised project scope and activities. As such, two PDO level indicator has been shifted to an Intermediate Results (IR) level Indicator; PDO level indicator descriptions have been revised; three IRs will be replaced to finetune indicator names to better reflect the indicator, one IR will be cancelled, and six new IRs introduced. Targets and target end dates have been revised based on updated more accurate information gained since MTR. See Section “Results Framework” below for further details. The end target dates for all PDO level and Intermediate Results level indicators have changed in response to the 18-month project extension, warranting sufficient time to complete all activities that contribute to the PDO. 12. The restructuring provides a good opportunity to respond to the World Bank’s corporate mandate of tracking progress of the commitment to incorporating Beneficiary Feedback in 100% of projects where beneficiaries can be clearly identified. To this end, the Project proposes adding a new Intermediate Results Indicator to the Results Framework on Citizen Engagement (CE) to track the adequate functioning of the Grievances Redress Mechanism that is put in place. The World Bank Ayeyarwady Integrated River Basin Management Project (P146482) E. Change in Components and Cost 13. The costs allocated to the four components will be revised to reflect the reallocation of budget between Components. US$1.3 million has moved from the Preparation of Future Investments sub-component under Component 1 to the Component 3 Navigation Improvements sub-component for the preparation of an engineering design and ESIA for Stretch 2 river improvement works. Funds transferred to Component 4 are being revised in based on the refund by the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) who were responsible for the implementation of the IRM. According to the activation letter from MOPF, US$4.61 million was allocated to Component 4 of the Project, and as such formalized in a level II restructuring, dated June 14th, 2016. On June 27th, 2017, on the basis of signed Withdrawal Application, the World Bank made advances to UNOPS of US$3.89 million and on July 26th 2019, the Project was refunded US$0.67 million by UNOPS, and total disbursement documented under Component 4 based on the Final Financial Statement received from UNOPS was US$3.20 million. No further disbursement is expected from Component 4. Under Component 3, DWIR has requested to cancel the Water Quality sub-component. In addition, the MTR concluded that implementation timelines and project budget are insufficient to implement the river works identified in the Stretch 1 consultancy activity, hence it was agreed to allocate budget from the Navigation Enhancement sub-component to the Navigation Aids sub-component allowing to extend Aids to Navigation to Yangon. Other components largely follow the activities as listed in the PAD, provided some minor changes (e.g. NWRC building will be built in Yangon instead of Mandalay). F. Change in Loan Closing Date 14. The original closing date of September 30, 2020 will be extended by 18 months to March 31, 2022 to accommodate the required time for full implementation of the project activities. The new End Disbursement Date will be July 31, 2022. G. Change in Disbursement Estimates 15. The new disbursement estimates will reflect the progress made in procurement since Mid-Term Review and the extended project period. For FY20 the disbursement is expected to reach US$21 million. I. SUMMARY OF CHANGES Changed Not Changed Results Framework ✔ Components and Cost ✔ Loan Closing Date(s) ✔ Reallocation between Disbursement Categories ✔ Disbursement Estimates ✔ The World Bank Ayeyarwady Integrated River Basin Management Project (P146482) Implementation Schedule ✔ Implementing Agency ✔ DDO Status ✔ Project's Development Objectives ✔ Cancellations Proposed ✔ Disbursements Arrangements ✔ Overall Risk Rating ✔ Safeguard Policies Triggered ✔ EA category ✔ Legal Covenants ✔ Institutional Arrangements ✔ Financial Management ✔ Procurement ✔ Other Change(s) ✔ Economic and Financial Analysis ✔ Technical Analysis ✔ Social Analysis ✔ Environmental Analysis ✔ IV. DETAILED CHANGE(S) OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_COMPONENTS_TABLE COMPONENTS Current Current Proposed Proposed Cost Action Component Name Component Name Cost (US$M) (US$M) Component 1: Water Resource Component 1: Water Resource Management Institutions, Management Institutions, 30.50 Revised 29.70 Decision Support Systems & Decision Support Systems & Capacity Building Capacity Building Component 2. Hydro- Component 2. Hydro- meteorological Observation and meteorological Observation 28.80 Revised 29.20 Information Systems and Information Systems Modernization Modernization The World Bank Ayeyarwady Integrated River Basin Management Project (P146482) Component 3. Navigation Component 3. Navigation Enhancement on the 36.10 Revised Enhancement on the 37.90 Ayeyarwady River Ayeyarwady River Component 4. Contingent Component 4. Contingent 4.60 Revised 3.20 Emergency Response Emergency Response TOTAL 100.00 100.00 OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_LOANCLOSING_TABLE LOAN CLOSING DATE(S) Original Revised Proposed Proposed Deadline Ln/Cr/Tf Status Closing Closing(s) Closing for Withdrawal Applications IDA-55590 Effective 30-Sep-2020 31-Mar-2022 31-Jul-2022 OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_REALLOCATION _TABLE REALLOCATION BETWEEN DISBURSEMENT CATEGORIES Financing % Current Allocation Actuals + Committed Proposed Allocation (Type Total) Current Proposed IDA-55590-001 | Currency: XDR iLap Category Sequence No: 1 Current Expenditure Category: GdWkNonCS,CS(+audit)Trng&OC P1,2,3 64,210,000.00 20,941,067.08 65,247,900.00 100.00 100.00 iLap Category Sequence No: 2 Current Expenditure Category: Emergency Expenditures Pt 4 3,290,000.00 2,252,035.03 2,252,100.00 100.00 100.00 Total 67,500,000.00 23,193,102.11 67,500,000.00 OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_DISBURSEMENT_TABLE DISBURSEMENT ESTIMATES Change in Disbursement Estimates Yes Year Current Proposed 2015 0.00 0.00 The World Bank Ayeyarwady Integrated River Basin Management Project (P146482) 2016 5,000,000.00 1,350,000.00 2017 6,500,000.00 3,000,000.00 2018 14,000,000.00 9,000,000.00 2019 18,000,000.00 18,000,000.00 2020 35,000,000.00 21,000,000.00 2021 20,000,000.00 32,000,000.00 2022 0.00 9,000,000.00 . The World Bank Ayeyarwady Integrated River Basin Management Project (P146482) . Results framework COUNTRY: Myanmar Ayeyarwady Integrated River Basin Management Project Project Development Objectives(s) The program development objective for the Series of Projects (of which the AIRBM will be the first) is to strengthen integrated,climate resilient management and development of the Ayeyarwady River Basin and national water resources. The project development objective of the AIRBM is to contribute to the development of integrated river basin management on the Ayeyarwady river, and, in the event of an Eligible Crisis or Emergency, to provide immediate and effective response to said Eligible Crisis or Emergency. Project Development Objective Indicators by Objectives/ Outcomes RESULT_FRAME_TBL_PDO Indicator Name DLI Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 To contribute to the development of integrated river basin management on the Ayeyarwady River Component 1: River Basin Master Plan No No No No No No Yes Yes Yes Developed (Yes/No) Rationale: Action: This indicator Slight revision made on the indicator name.Original PDO indicator name "River Basin Master Plan" will be revised to "River Basin Master Plan Developed". has been Revised Component 1: Preparation of 0.00 2.00 Feasibility Studies (Number) Rationale: Action: This indicator PDO indicator “Preparation of Feasibility Studies” will be moved to Intermediate results Indicator (IRI). has been Marked for Deletion The World Bank Ayeyarwady Integrated River Basin Management Project (P146482) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_PDO Indicator Name DLI Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Component 2: Hydro- Met Stations 0.00 90.00 90.00 Functioning per SOP (Percentage) Action: This indicator Rationale: has been Marked for PDO indicator “Hydro-met stations functioning per SOP” moved to Intermediate results Indicator (IRI). Deletion Component 2: Improved DMH 45.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.00 45.00 50.00 60.00 65.00 weather and climate services (Percentage) Rationale: PDO Indicator name and description has been revised. Original PDO Indicator “Hydro-Met Products (number) revised to “Improved DMH weather and climate services (custom, %)” with unit of measurement changed from “number” to “percentage” to reflect the percentage of users scoring DMH services as “moderately Action: This indicator satisfactory” or “good. Hence, PDO Indicator description has changed from “Hydro-met products for water resource planning, agriculture, and disaster risk has been Revised management products evaluated on average as at least “moderately satisfactory” by sector end users through a user satisfaction survey” to “A User Satisfaction Index of > 65% of users scoring DMH services as “moderately satisfactory” or “good.” The baseline was established during the project at the Monsoon Forum 2018 as 45%. Component 3: Improved Navigation between Mandalay and 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 20.00 40.00 80.00 80.00 Yangon to desired operating standards (Percentage) Rationale: Action: This indicator PDO indicator name, description and targets revised. PDO indicator "Navigation Improvements" will be revised to " Improved Navigation between Mandalay and has been Revised Yangon to desired operating standard". Description of the indicator " Percentage length of river navigation channel enhanced to desired operating standard as The World Bank Ayeyarwady Integrated River Basin Management Project (P146482) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_PDO Indicator Name DLI Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 identified by Navigation Design/Feasibility Study" will be revised to "Navigation improvements are defined as safe and effective (day/night) navigation and is achieved through operational interventions (topo-hydrographic surveys and charting, dynamic management of aids to navigation, and river regulating works). Percentage length is defined as the proportion of actual length of day/night navigation related to the river length between Mandalay and Yangon." CERC - To provide immediate and effective response in the event of an Eligible Crisis or Emergency Goods procured and distributed as outlined No Yes in the CERIP (Yes/No) Rationale: Action: This indicator End target date revised to reflect proposed project extension date. has been Revised PDO Table SPACE Intermediate Results Indicators by Components RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO Indicator Name DLI Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Component 1: Water Resource Management Institutions, Decision Support Systems & Capacity Building Component 1.1: River Basin Master Plan - State of the Basin No No No No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Assessment Report (Yes/No) Rationale: Action: This indicator End target date revised to reflect proposed project closing date, and indicator description revised. Original IR Indicator name " River Basin Master Plan - Phase 1 has been Revised Report (Yes/No)" will be revised to " River Basin Master Plan - State of the Basin Assessment Report", and description of the IRI "The rapid assessment phase completed and first set of priority projects identified " will be revised to "The State of the Basin Assessment (SOBA) report completed". The World Bank Ayeyarwady Integrated River Basin Management Project (P146482) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO Indicator Name DLI Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Component 1.2 : Ayeyarwady River Basin No No No No No No Yes Yes Yes Decision Support System (Yes/No) Rationale: Ayeywarwady River Basin Decision Support system indicator description "Functional decision support system including hydrologic, hydraulic, and water quality Action: This indicator models coupled with GIS based user interface" will be revised to “Functional decision support system, fit for purpose for multi-sectoral basin planning, including has been Revised hydrologic, hydraulic, and water quality models coupled with GIS based user interface". The end target date also updated to reflect proposed project closing date. Component 1.3. Preparation of Feasibility Studies for 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 2.00 Future Investments (Number) Rationale: PDO Indicator “ Preparation of Feasibility Studies” will be moved to IRI and the indicator name will be revised to “ Preparation of Feasibility Studies for Future Investments” and description of the indicator " Number of preparation/feasibility studies for priority investment projects identified under the Master Plan and Action: This indicator is selected for PFI support that are successfully completed " will be revised to " Number of preparation/feasibility studies for priority investment projects selected for New PFI support that are successfully completed. Preparation studies are defined as equivalent to, or more advanced than a pre-feasibility study (relative to scope and quality)." Capacity building and 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 500.00 500.00 1,500.00 gender (Number) Rationale: Action: This indicator End target value increased from 500 to 1500 and end target date revised to reflect new closing date. has been Revised The World Bank Ayeyarwady Integrated River Basin Management Project (P146482) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO Indicator Name DLI Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Capacity building - percentage of 0.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 participants female (Percentage) Rationale: Action: This Target value of the IRI indicator “Capacity building and gender” will be increased from “500” to “1500”, and female participants target percentage will be increased indicator has been from "40%" to "50%". Revised Component 1.4: NWRC and its institutions No No No No No No No Yes Yes legalized (Yes/No) Rationale: Action: This indicator is New IR Indicator added to better track outcome on institutional aspect of the component. New Grievances registered related to delivery of 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.00 80.00 80.00 project benefits addressed (Percentage) Action: This indicator is New Component 2. Hydro-meteorological Observation and Information Systems Modernization Component 2.1: Hydromet System No No No No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Design (Yes/No) Rationale: Action: This indicator The end target date updated to reflect proposed project closing date. has been Revised The World Bank Ayeyarwady Integrated River Basin Management Project (P146482) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO Indicator Name DLI Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Component 2.2: Hydromet Stations 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 120.00 161.00 161.00 Upgraded (Number) Rationale: Original PDO indicator Hydro-met stations functioning per SOP (percentage) moved to IRI and combined with existing IRI “Hydromet stations upgraded Action: This indicator (percentage)” to create revised indicator name “Hydromet stations upgraded (number, custom)”, and description of the intermediate indicator "Percentage of has been Revised hydromet stations operating as per SOPs defined by the Systems Integrator and agreed with DMH" will be revised to "The number of hydromet stations installed and operated according to Standard Operating Procedures as defined in the Concept of Operations (CONOPS)." Component 2: Hydromet System 0.00 90.00 90.00 Financial Sustainability (Percentage) Rationale: Action: This indicator IR indicator “Hydromet System Financial Sustainability” will be dropped as the project cannot be held accountable for a decision at Ministerial level. Instead the has been Marked for project will prepare a business plan including the required O&M budget needs for the coming years to sustain the new system. Deletion Component 2.3 The development of site- 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 6.00 17.00 17.00 specific weather forecasts (Number) Rationale: Action: This indicator is New Indicator added with description "The development of site-specific weather forecasts (number of regions). The number of site-specific forecasts provided by New DMH at the regional city scale." Component 3. Navigation Enhancement on the Ayeyarwady River The World Bank Ayeyarwady Integrated River Basin Management Project (P146482) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO Indicator Name DLI Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Component 3: Navigation Detailed No Yes Yes Design (Yes/No) Rationale: Action: This indicator Intermediate indicator “Navigation Detailed Design” will be deleted since the detailed design for river works as originally envisioned as core activity under has been Marked for Component 3 has been moved to Component 1 IR 1.3 Preparation Studies for Future Investments. Deletion Component 3.1 Channel stabilization Works for Sub-project 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.00 80.00 80.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 1 completed (Percentage) Rationale: Indicator name "River Works Construction" will be revised to " Channel stabilization Works for Sub-project 1 completed", and indicator description is "Percent Action: This indicator physical progress of construction works for navigation identified in intermediate results indicator above " will be revised to "Channel stabilization works are defined has been Revised by construction of bank protection works, river training works and strategic dredging works. Sub-Project 1 is defined as the river stretch between Mandalay and Sagaing". Component 3.2 Aids to Navigation installed 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 20.00 60.00 80.00 100.00 (Percentage) Rationale: Action: This indicator is New Indicator added with indicator description "Percentage of river length between Mandalay and Yangon with installed Aids to Navigation (buoys) for 24/7 New navigation” Component 3.3: DWIR No No No No No No No Yes Yes Re-organization and The World Bank Ayeyarwady Integrated River Basin Management Project (P146482) RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO Indicator Name DLI Baseline Intermediate Targets End Target 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Operations Plan (Yes/No) Rationale: Action: This indicator is New Indicator added to reflect outcome on institutional capacity building for Component 3. Indicator description "The DWIR Resources Management and Operations New Plan (RMOP) for Ayeyarwady Shipping approved and the DWIR Hydrographic and Navigation Offices are established and functioning as per RMOP". Component 4. Contingent Emergency Response Goods procured and distributed as outlined No No No No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes in the CERIP (Yes/No) Rationale: Action: This indicator End target revised to reflect proposed project closing date. has been Revised IO Table SPACE The World Bank Ayeyarwady Integrated River Basin Management Project (P146482) Note to Task Teams: End of system generated content, document is editable from here. Please delete this note when finalizing the document